Discussion QA 9to17
Discussion QA 9to17
Discussion QA 9to17
CHAPTER NINE:
4. Discuss how you would set up a collaboration mechanism for the enterprises in a supply
chain.
1. What are some obstacles to creating a flexible workforce? What are the benefits?
A flexible worktorce possesses the ability to learn new tasks or switch tasks without
significantly disrupting production, to expand (or contract) capacity via over or idle time, hiring
and firing of seasonal workers, or subcontracting, and to work different schedules.
A number of factors influence a producer's ability to realize a flexible workforce: restrictive
labor agreements and work rules, a tight labor market, the education level, culture, or
organizational culture ofthe work force, the complexity ofthe tasks, the proprietary nature of
the production process, and restrictions imposed by other members of the supply chain.
A flexible workforce opens the supply chain up to a wider range of alternatives when trying to
match supply with demand. If subcontracting or temporary workers can be deployed, then a
firm can function at a steady base rate and use the subs to buffer periods of high demand.
2. Discuss why subcontractors can often offer products and services to a company more
cheaply than if the company produced them themselves?
The subcontractor can offer services more cheaply for a number of reasons.
In many cases, the subcontractor is a specialist in the area and is more flexible, hence cheaper.
If a subcontractor is performing similar work for a number of clients, they can take advantage
of the zero-sum nature of business competition. By aggregating orders from a number of clients,
the subcontractor is able to satisfy peaks in demand from some of their clients because other
standard clients will be experiencing valleys in demand. If subcontracting occurs because a
[lfm is at capacity, the subcontractor (that is not overcapacity) can handle the production more
cheaply simply because is expensive to operate a system at excess capacity.
3. In what industries would you tend to see dual facility types (some facilities focusing on
only one type of product and others able to produce a wide variety)? In what industries
would this be relatively rare? Why?
Any industry where a lucrative product requires both unique labor skills and production
facilities is a prime candidate for a dual facility operation. The healthcare industry is one
example of a dual facility type; many large hospital chains have focused operations for trauma,
heart, ob/gyn, and other specialties. Other industries with dual facility types include the legal
profession, hospitality, construction, and many others. Industries where dual facility types are
rare include tobacco products, alcoholic beverages, sawmills, and chemicals.
The dividing point among these industries is the continuous flow nature of the non-dual
producers. Ifprocessing requirements dictate that the product stream must visit the same steps
of a process in the same sequence, then the higher volume and low process flexibility
combination results in dedicated production facilities that simply can't have a broad product
range.
9-1
Collaboration mechanisms in a supply chain should begin with the initial partnering process as
the supply chain is being established. All parties in the chain must be aligned and dedicated to
the success ofthe entire chain. Trust and open communication are of primary importance; there
should be a myriad of formal and informal communication channels open among all parties. If
constancy of purpose is ever in question, each [lfm might devote some resources towards
equitable "chain incentives" such that behaviors that benefit the entire supply chain are
recognized and rewarded. The incentives, communication, and trust should be established at all
levels of every chain member. Company leadership should provide for highly visible evidence
ofthese activities on their level and among cross-business supply chain teams.
5. What are some product lines that use common parts across many products? What are the
advantages of doing this?
There are many producers, both manufacturing and service, that use common parts across many
products. Some ofthese product lines include the food industry, construction, furniture, soap,
plastics, perfumes, computer and office equipment, automotive, motorcycles, bicycles,
airframe, and most back-office operations in the service industries.
The use of common parts (and services) lowers costs and enables producers to meet variability
in demand. Part commonality absorbs variability in dis aggregated demand from period to period
since the aggregated demand is inherently less variable. The common parts may be produced or
acquired at a more constant rate and stocked at a lower inventory level while maintaining a
higher customer service level.
6. Discuss how a company can get marketing and operations to work together with the
common goal of coordinating su pply and demand to maximize profitability.
l\1arketing and operations often [md themselves at cross purposes; as the authors note,
marketing often has incentives based on revenue, whereas operations has incentives based on
cost. The cachet of new products, service gnarantees, co-promotions, and other marketing
vehicles is quite often lost on members of the organization that must fulfill promises made by
their ti"iends in marketing. As with all collaborations, open communication is a must on a nearconstant basis. Regnlar planning meetings must include full cross-functional participation and
critical information must be shared as sales and operations occur. Having common performance
measures is another way to get these two groups to work together for the common good of the
company. Holding both groups responsible for Customer service, accuracy, on time delivery
and quality and rewarding them jointly for achieving these goals will greatly increase their
willingness to work together.
9-2
A change in price, one of marketing's Four P's, will change demand assuming that there is some
elasticity in demand. A firm can shift demand from a popular product or time to a less-popular
product or what is traditionally an off-peak demand period by lowering prices. A firm can
collect data on the impact of price changes on demand and use the correlation as an input into
supply chain aggregate planning. In the absence of such coordination, it is virtually guaranteed
that supply chain partners will face demand levels they had not anticipated and will be unable
to satisfy. The increase in demand results from a combination of a) market growth, b) stealing
share, and c) forward buying. The first two increase demand for the product and the third robs
sales from the future.
The impact of lack of coordination is degradation of responsiveness and poor cost performance
for all supply chain members. As the bullwhip effect rears its ugly head, supply chain partners
fmd themselves with excessive inventory followed by stockouts and backorders. The
fluctuations in inventory result in increased holding costs and lost sales, which in turn spike
transportation and material handling costs. Ultimately, the struggle with cost and
responsiveness hurts the relationships among supply chain partners as they seek to explain their
lack of performance.
3. In what way can improper incentives lead to a lack of coordination in a supply chain?
What countermeasures can be used to offset this effect?
8. Why would a firm want to offer pricing promotions in its peak-demand periods?
If we assume that a pricing promotion serves to increase demand, then there are a couple of
reasons a firm may offer pricing promotions during peak demand periods. Even at peak demand,
the firm may have excess capacity and could meet this demand. The nature of the product and
supply chain may be such that a promotion today results in an order that both the supply chain
and customer recognize will be filled in the future, perhaps during an anticipated low demand
period. If a flfm produces a product that is at the end of its life cycle, there may be incentive to
exhaust accumulated materials and labor skills that are dedicated to its production. Finally, a
flfm may be practicing a form of predatory pricing if it senses that a competitor, teetering on
the brink of extinction, is starved for sales.
Incentive obstacles occur in situations when different participants in the supply chain are
motivated by self interest.
Incentives that focus only on the local impact of an action result in decisions being made that
achieve a local optimum but can avoid a global (supply chain) optimum. All supply chain
partners must agree on global performance measures and structure rewards such that members
are appropriately motivated.
Sales force incentives also are responsible for counterproductive supply chain behavior.
Commissions that are based on a single short time frame can be gamed by the sales force to
maximize commission but these actions inadvertently increase demand variability and exert
pressure on the supply chain. Commissions should be structured to provide incentives to
consistently sell large volumes of product over a broad time rame to the sell-through point.
9. Why would a firm want to offer pricing promotions during its low-demand periods?
Pricing promotions during low-demand periods should serve to increase demand and sales. The
increase in demand results from a combination of the fo llowing three factors:
l\1arket growth - sales may be realized from customers that were not considering this product
at the higher price.
Stealing share - sales may be realized rom customers that were considering a competitors
product.
Forward buying - sales may be stolen from the future by customers that feel that price may rise
in the future.
CHAPTER TEN:
1. What is the bullwhip effect and how does it relate to lack of coordination in a supply
chain?
The bullwhip effect refers to the fluctuation in orders along the length of the supply chain as
orders move from retailers to wholesalers to manufacturers to suppliers. The bullwhip effect
relates directly to the lack of coordination (demand information flows) within the supply chain.
Each supply chain member has a different idea of what demand is, and the demand estimates
are grossly distorted and exaggerated as the supply chain partner is distanced from the customer.
9-3
4. What problems result if each stage of a supply chain views its demand as the orders placed
by the downstream stage? How should firms within a supply chain communicate to
facilitate coordination?
If each stage of a supply chain views its demand as the orders placed by their downstream
counterpart, the bullwhip effect is realized by the supply chain. Each member develops a
forecast that is based on something other than the true customer demand and hilarity ensues.
Supply chain members should share point-of-sale (PaS) data so that all members are aware of
the true customer demand for product. The beauty of data sharing requirements is that only
aggregate pas data must be shared to mitigate the bullwhip effect; there is no need to share
detailed pas data.
5. What factors lead to a batching of orders within a supply chain? How does this affect
coordination? What actions can minimize large batches and improve coordination?
Order batching is caused by a number of different factors. One mechanism is the price structure
of TL and LTL shipment quantities; there is incentive to wait a while to make sure that a TL
shipment is achieved. A customer's natural tendency to wait for a milestone, either real or
perceived, can also cause batching. Customers may wait until Friday, Monday, the last or flfst
day of the month, etc., just because that's when they always have or because that event reminds
them to order. Order batching also occurs because customers are aware of an impending price
9-4
reduction and want to take advantage of it. Batching adversely affects supply chain coordination
because the supply chain will be starved for flow, then overwhelmed with demand.
A supply chain can reconfigure their transportation and distribution system to allow for
shipments to multiple customers on a single truck to achieve TL quantities. The chain can also
assign (or encourage) days for placing orders and move from lot-size based to volume based
quantity discounts (or abandon discounts and promotions altogether).
6. How do trade promotions and price fluctuations affect coordination in a supply chain?
What pricing and promotion policies can facilitate coordination?
Trade promotions and price fluctuations make supply chain coordination more difficult.
Customers seek to purchase goods for less and engage in forward buying which creates spikes
in demand that may exceed capacity. All parties would benefit ifthe supply chain used every
day low pricing (EDLP) to mitigate forward buying and allow procurement, production, and
logistics to function at a steadier pace. If price incentives must be offered, the chain is better
served by implementing a volume-based quantity discount plan instead of a lot size based
quantity discount, i.e., providing incentives to purchase large quantities over a long period of
time, perhaps a year.
7. How is the building of strategic partnerships and trust valuable within a supply chain?
Cooperation and trust within the supply chain help improve performance for the following
reasons:
When stages trust each other, they are more likely to take the other party's objectives into
consideration when making decisions, thereby facilitating win-win situations.
Action-oriented managerial levers to achieve coordination become easier to implement and the
supply chain becomes more agile.
An increase in supply chain productivity results, either by elimination of duplicated effort or by
allocating effort to the appropriate stage.
Detailed sales and production information is shared; this allows the supply chain to coordinate
production and distribution decisions.
8. What are the different CPFR scenarios and how do they benefit supply chain partners?
Collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment (CPFR) is defmed as a business practice
that combines the intelligence of multiple partners in the planning and fultillment of customer
demand. In order to be successful, the two parties must have synchronized their data and
established standards for exchanging the information.
The four scenarios that sellers and buyers can collaborate along include:
Retail event collaboration - the identification of specific SKUs that will be involved in
sales promotions and sharing of information regarding the timing, duration, pricing,
advertising, and display tactics to be deployed. The benefit of retail event collaborations
is a reduction in stockouts, excess inventory and unplanned logistics costs.
DC replenishment collaboration - the forecasting of DC withdrawals or demand from
the DC to the manufacturer is converted to a stream of orders that are locked in over a
9-5
CHAPTER ELEVEN:
1. Consider a supermarket deciding on the size of its replenishment order from Proctor &
Gamble. What costs should it take into account when making this decision?
The main cost categories for the supermarket's inventory policy are material costs, ordering
costs, and holding costs. Material cost is the money paid to Proctor and Gamble for the goods
themselves. Ordering costs, also called procurement costs, are incurred by requesting the goods
from the supplier and are fixed in the sense that they do not vary with the size of the order.
Examples of such fixed costs are the labor required to place the order, handle the resultant
paperwork and the transportation fee to ship the order. The holding cost is the cost to carry one
unit in inventory for a specified period of time, usually one year. This cost is variable and
includes the cost of capital and all of the costs associated with physically storing inventory shrinkage, spoilage or obsolescence, insurance, the cost of capital, the cost of the warehouse
space, etc.
2. Discuss how various costs for the supermarket change as it decreases the lot size ordered
from Proctor & Gamble.
As the lot size ordered from the supplier decreases, the holding cost (variable with respect to
lot size) decreases. As the lot size decreases, the ordering cost remains the same, but the annual
ordering cost will rise since the total number of orders each year must increase. As the lot size
decreases, the cost of the materials will drop on a per-order basis but will stay the same on an
annual basis since total annual demand hasn't changed.
The exception to this occurs if the supplier has a price hreak for an order size above a certain
threshold; in this case the cost of the goods might increase if the reduced order size is not
sufficient to trigger a substantial per unit discount.
3. As demand at the supermarket chain grows, how would you expect the cycle inventory
measured in days of inventory to change? Explain.
9-6
As the demand at the supermarket chain grows, we would expect the cycle inventory as
measured in days of inventory to also increase, although the increase in cycle inventory is only
40% of the increase in demand. This is because the relationship between the optimal lot size Q'
~2DS
. Since D is under the radical, its doubling to 2D does
he
not translate to a jump from a Q' to a 2Q' order; it translates to a jump from a Q' to a 1.4Q'
order.
4. The manager at the supermarket in Question 1 wants to decrease the lot size without
increasing the costs he incurs. What actions can he take to achieve his objective?
One action would be to simply decrease the lot size and let the robust nature of the EOQ model
work its magic. The total cost curve on either side of the optimal order quantity, the Q', is
relatively flat, so movements in either direction have little impact on total annual procurement
and carrying costs.
If greater cuts in lot size are desired, the manager can aggregate multiple products in a single
order. Recall that the EOQ model is based on a one-product-at-a-time assumption; if multiple
products are aggregated, then the fIxed procurement cost is spread over all of the items and
dramatic lot size reductions are possible. If the same products are being ordered by another
supermarket in the same chain (or at least by stores that are willing to cooperate) the combined
orders can be delivered by a single truck making multiple stops, thereby reducing transportation
expense.
Other techniques that should be deployed when aggregating across product lines include
advanced shipping notices and RFID tags that will make inventory tracking and warehouse
management simpler.
5. Discuss why supply chain profits may be hurt by a retailer making lot sizing decisions
with the sole objective of minimizing its own costs. What advantage would result if the
entire supply chain could coordinate this decision?
A supply chain is coordinated if the decisions the retailer and supplier make maximize total
supply chain profIts. In reality, each stage of a supply chain is likely to make lot-sizing
decisions with an objective of minimizing its own overall costs. The result of this independent
decision making can be a lack of coordination in a supply chain because actions that maximize
retailer profits may not maximize supply chain profits. This decision has an effect on overall
supply chain costs including inventory holding costs, production costs, transportation costs,
ordering costs, and warehousing costs.
6. When are quantity discounts justified in a supply chain?
Quantity discounts are justified in a supply chain as long as they are the fruits of a coordinated
supply chain and maximize total supply chain profIts. For commodity products for which price
is set by the market, manufacturers with large fIxed costs per lot can use lot size-based quantity
discounts to maximize total supply chain profIts.
Lot size discounts are based on the quantity purchased per lot, not the rate of purchase. Lot sizebased discounts tend to raise cycle inventory in the supply chain by encouraging retailers to
increase the size of each lot. Lot size-based discounts make sense only when the manufacturer
incurs a very high fIxed cost per order. For commodity products for which price is set by the
market, manufacturers with large fixed costs per lot can use lot size-based quantity discounts to
maximize total supply chain profits.
Volume discounts are based on the rate of purchase or volume purchased per specified time
period. Volume-based discounts are compatible with small lots that reduce the cycle inventory.
If the manufacturer does not incur a very high fIxed cost per order, it is better for the supply
chain to have volume-based discounts. For products for which a firm has market power,
volume-based discounts can be used to achieve coordination in the supply chain and maximize
supply chain profIts.
8. Why do manufacturers such as Kraft and Sara Lee offer trade promotions? What impact
do trade promotions have on the supply chain? How should trade promotions be
structured to maximize their impact while minimizing the additional cost they impose on
the supply chain?
l\1anufacturers use trade promotions to offer a discounted price and a time period over which
the discount is effective. The goal of manufacturers such as Kraft and Sara Lee is to influence
retailers to act in a way that helps the manufacturer achieve its objectives. These objectives may
include increased sales, a shifting of inventory from manufacturer to retailer, and defense
against the competition.
Trade promotions may cause a retailer to pass through some or all of the promotion to customers
to spur sales, which increases sales for the entire supply chain. What happens more frequently
in practice is that retailers may choose to pass through very little of the promotion to customers,
purchase in greater quantities, and hold this cheaper inventory in greater quantities. This action
increases both cycle inventory and flow times within the supply chain.
Trade promotions should be structured such that a retailer's optimal response benefits the entire
supply chain, i.e., retailers limit their forward buying and pass along more of the discount to
end customers. If the manufacturer has accumulated excessive inventory, then a trade promotion
may provide sufficient incentive to the buyer to forward buy, thus drawing inventories down to
an appropriate level. The manufacturer may be able to smooth demand by shiftmg It to a penod
of anticipated low demand with a trade promotion.
Research has shown that trade promotions by the manufacturer are efiective for products with
high deal elasticity that ensures high pass-through (passing the discount on to the consumer)
and high holding costs that ensure low forward buying, paper goods being the poster child for
this combination. Trade promotions are also more effective with strong brands relative to weak
hrands and may make sense as a competitive response.
9. Why is it appropriate to include only the incremental cost when estimating the holding
and order cost for a firm?
7. What is the difference between lot size-based and volume-based quantity discounts?
Copyright 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
9-7
9-8
The cycle inventory models discussed in the chapter are robust; thus incremental (variable)
costs per lot size are more important than costs that are fIxed with respect to lot size. The labor
component of procurement or setup costs may be salaried; therefore changes in lot size do not
impact this component.
CHAPTER TWELVE:
9-9
The two types of ordering policies discussed in the text are continuous review and periodic
review. Continuous review requires that inventory levels be monitored constantly with an order
for a lot size ofQ placed when the inventory level drops as low as the reorder point. Since the
level of inventory is known continuously, the level of safety inventory can be low; an order will
be placed the minute the reorder point is reached.
Periodic review requires less vigilance; tlie inventory level is measured at regular time intervals
and an order is placed to raise tlie inventory level to a specified thresliold. Under tliis system
the level of inventory is known once a period and merely estimated until the next count. More
safety inventory must be carried under a periodic review system to guard against a surge in
demand.
5. What is the impact of supply uncertainty on safety inventory?
The required safety inventory increases with an increase in the standard deviation of periodic
demand. The standard deviation of periodic demand is a function of the variance in the lead
time and the variance in the demand. Anything that causes supply to be more deterministic will
minimize the need for safety inventory.
6. Why can a Horne Depot with a few large stores provide a higher level of product
availability with lower inventories than a hardware store chain such as Tru-Value, with
many small stores?
Horne Depot benefIts from substitution and from aggregation. Many of the products Horne
Depot carries are not aggressively branded in the eyes of the do-it-yourselfer. This class of
customers wants to perform a simple horne repair or improvement and is less concerned about
a specific manufacturer than about getting all the supplies in one trip (although I should note
that in my experience there is no such thing as a single trip to Horne Depot for any project).
Horne Depot also benefIts from aggregation; the large box store draws customers from a wider
area and what one part of the customer base doesn't need this month, the other part does. The
highs and lows tend to cancel, thus stabilizing demand within each season.
7. Why is Amazon able to provide a large variety of books and music with less safety
inventory than a bookstore chain selling through retail stores?
Amazon is able to provide a large variety of books and music with less safety inventory through
the power of aggregation. By holding best-selling items in geographically dispersed
warehouses, Amazon can hold less inventory and still meet customer demand. Equations 11.12
through 11.16 illustrate the savings possible through aggregation versus a multiple location
retail design.
Intuitively, many small retail stores would each have their own safety inventory for their
customer base and most of this safety inventory would languish on the shelves. If one site
experienced a surge in demand, a stockout would result. A large centralized supply would need
less safety inventory as the demand variances might cancel each other, e.g., high demand from
one region is offset by low demand from another. Only if many regions had unanticipated high
demand would the central supply be exhausted.
9-10
8. In the 1980s, paint was sold by color and size in paint retail stores. Today paint is mixed
at the paint store according to the color desired. Discuss what, if any, impact this change
has on safety inventories in the supply chain.
12. What capabilities can local suppliers in high-cost countries develop if they are to
effectively compete against overseas suppliers in low-cost countries? Discuss how each
capability impacts the level of inventory in the supply chain.
The practice of adding pigmentation in the retail store is a classic example of postponement;
paint stores can mix any color into a solid white base and produce exactly what the customer
wants. This change has greatly reduced the amount of safety inventory required as the paint
store must now stock far fewer product lines. The reduction in safety inventory has
simultaneously reduced safety inventory storage costs and increased responsiveness.
Local suppliers can begin to understand better the demand within the country and the drivers of that
demand. By reducing the demand uncertainty the suppliers can better plan levels of safety inventory.
Also by understanding replenishment lead times, lead time variability, and desired product availability,
they can design a supply chain that can be more efficient with inventory levels and transportation costs
that should offset the difference in production costs between themselves and competitors in low-cost
countries.
9. A new technology allows books to be printed in ten minutes. Barnes & Noble has decided
to purchase these machines for each store. They must decide which books to carry in stock
and which books to print on demand using this technology. Do you recommend it for bestsellers or for other books? Why?
If Barnes & Noble must carry stock after purchasing this machine, they should carry items with
a steady demand, bestsellers and the like. The fringe books that are rarely purchased would best
be left to the 10 minute process which is effectively instantaneous production. The books with
low demand would be too expensive to stock for sporadic demand; they would need only one
of each, but the breadth of the product line would be overwhelming and prohibitively expensive
to carry from month to month.
10. Consider a firm like Zara that has developed production capabilities with very short
replenishment lead times. Do you think this capability is more valuable for its online
operations or its store operations? Why?
It is more valuable for its store operations. Because Zara has developed a strategy that uses
local flexible production, the trigger for replenishment is closer to the retail store than to it's
online facilities. Thus this strategy benefits the store operations to a greater extent than the
online operations.
11. As a firm gets better at postponement (can postpone at lower cost), should it increaselleave
unchanged/decrease the variety that it offers? Why?
The typical response of most [lfms is to increase the variety that its offers, making the
assumption that the more variety leads to greater demand. This is not always the case. As a
firm increases variety, the number of component parts that need to be purchased and maintained
increases thereby increasing the overall inventory holding costs. The better response is to
maintain variety at the current levels, constantly monitoring the demand for each end item and
adjusting the mix of products to reflect the overall demand. This means that as they add variety,
they also may be taking away some items. Over the long haul this will lead to increased variety,
but it is a managed and strategic move to increase variety instead of a direct response to
postponement.
9-11
availability
1. Consider two products with the same cost but different margins. Which product should
have a higher level of product availability? Why?
The product with the higher margin should be stocked at a higher level of availability than the
product with the lower margin. The product with the higher margin will have a higher Cu, which
is the cost of understacking. The cost of understacking is the sale price less the cost and may
be thought of by the supplier as profit foregone. A higher cost of understacking results in a
higher critical fractile, so the optimal cycle service level will be higher, which will yield a higher
availability.
2. Consider two products with the same margin carried by a retail store. Any leftover units
of one product are worthless. Leftover units of the other product can be sold to outlet
stores. Which product should have a higher level of availability? Why?
The product with the higher salvage value should be stocked at a higher level of availability
than those with the lower salvage value. The product with the higher salvage value will have a
lower Co, which is the cost of overstocking. The cost of overstocking is the sale price less the
salvage value. A lower cost of overstocking results in a higher critical fractile, so the optimal
cycle service level will be higher, which will yield a higher availability.
3. A firm improves its forecast accuracy using better marketing intelligence. What impact
will this have on supply chain inventories and profitability? Why?
Improved forecast accuracy should result in a closer match between supply and demand,
resulting in improved profitability. An improved match will result in lower levels of unplanned
carryover inventory and shortages at the end of planning periods. The improved match will
lower the expected costs of having too much or too little inventory.
4. How can postponement of product differentiation be used to improve supply chain
profitability?
9-12
Postponement refers to the delay of product differentiation until closer to the sale of the product.
Postponement allows producers to leverage two features common to forecasts: forecasts with
shorter time horizons tend to be more accurate than those with longer time horizons; and
aggregate forecasts tend to be more accurate than forecasts for individual items/models. More
accurate forecasts allow for a better match of supply and demand, thereby lowering mismatch
costs and increasing profitability as discussed in the previous question.
5. What are some scenarios in which postponing product differentiation across all products
may not be profitable? How can tailored postponement help in such situations?
Postponement is valuable in a supply chain when a firm sells a large variety of products with
highly unpredictable demand of about the same size that is not positively correlated.
Postponement is not as valuable if a large traction of the demand comes trom a few products.
In such a setting, tailored postponement is most effective whereby base loads are not postponed
but the variation is postponed.
6. Zara has used local production in Europe to have short replenishment lead times. How
does this capability of quick response help the company improve profits in a highly volatile
trendy apparel marketplace?
In a trendy apparel market there exists a high probability for inventory obsolescence due to the
nature of the industry. Therefore, by postponing the fmal configuration of the goods, Zara
provides flexibility to its inventory to minimize this trend and better meet the ever changing
demand.
7. When can tailored sourcing be used to improve supply chain profits? What are some
challenges with implementing tailored sourcing?
In tailored sourcing, firms use a combination of two supply sources, one focusing on cost but
unable to handle uncertainty, and the other focusing on flexibility to handle uncertainty but at a
higher cost. For tailored sourcing to be efiective, having supply sources such that one serves
as the backup to the other is not sufficient. The two sources must focus on different capabilities.
The low-cost source must focus on being efficient and should be required to supply only the
predictable portion of the demand. The flexible source should focus on being responsive and
be required to supply the uncertain portion of the demand. As a result, tailored sourcing allows
a firm to increase its profits and better match supply and demand.
8. Mattei has historically allowed toy retailers to place two orders for the holiday shopping
season. Mattei is considering allowing retailers to place only one order. What impact will
this have on retailer orders? What impact will this have on supply chain profits?
Mattei needs to abandon this approach to supply chain management. Under the two-order
system, retailers could place an order, assess market demand, and place a second order that
takes advantage of the short time horizon and improved kuow ledge about market demand. The
single-order system will require a less-educated guess about demand that will occur further in
the future. The single-order system has a much higher risk of a gross mismatch between supply
9-13
and demand, resulting in excessive stock-out situations (lost sales) and fire sales at the end of
the season. Supply chain profits will decline if the ordering system is changed to a single-order
system.
9. Discuss how an expensive supplier with short lead times who is used as a backup for a low
cost supplier with long lead times can result in higher profits than using only the low-cost
supplier.
The two suppliers can be deployed so that the customer has the opportunity to place two (or
more) orders during each demand cycle. The low-cost supplier with long lead times should
receive the flfst order trom the customer. As demand is realized, the customer can refme their
demand forecast. Ifthe forecast is overly optimistic, the excess inventory can be disposed for
its salvage value. The salvage value should be the same regardless of supplier, but thanks to the
lower purchase price, the cost of overstocking is much lower.
The second order can be placed at a later time and can be used to match demand as closely as
the production situation permits. It may be possible to use the second order to fill only flfm
customer demand that was not met by the order trom the slow, low-cost supplier. Even if this
is not the case, the second order gives the customer the ability to match supply and demand
while taking advantage of each supplier's strength.
CHAPTER FOURTEEN:
Transportation
1. What modes of transportation are best suited for large, low-value shipments? Why?
Rail and water transportation modes are best suited for large, low-value shipments. The price
structure of the business make rail and water the modes of choice if low-value, large, heavy, or
high-density items need to be transported. Air, package carriers, and trucks would not have the
infrastructure required to accommodate large items; roads and bridges would be damaged and
the storage capacity of the carriers is insufficient.
2. Why is it im port ant to account for congestion when pricing the use of transportation
infrastructure?
Infrastructure often requires goverrnnent ownership and is not something that can be increased
in capacity in the short term. If congestion is not factored in to the price structure for
infrastructure, then demand for the resources will exceed capacity and major delays will occur.
Pricing may be used to force users to internalize the marginal impact of their choices, thus
alleviating some of the demand during peak periods.
3. Wal-Mart designs its networks so that a DC supports several large retail stores. Explain
how the company can use such a network to reduce transportation costs while
replenishing inventories more frequently.
A distribution center that supports several large retail stores can reduce supply chain costs in
four ways: 1) Inbound shipments to the DC achieve economies of scale because each supplier
9-14
sends a large shipment; 2) The outbound transportation costs for a DC can be low because it
serves retail locations nearby; and very large inbound shipments that match retail demand can
be cross-docked at the DC, which saves both 3) storage and 4) material-handling costs.
A DC also can replenish retail inventories more frequently; the DC breaks bulk from
manufacturers on one side of the warehouse and sends it to retail locations on the outbound
side. Since retail demands are aggregated at the DC leve~ the amount of inventory actually
stored at the DC is very low and as Little's Law indicates, the time between replenishments is
low also.
4. Compare the transportation costs for an e-business such as Amazon.com and a retailer
such as Home Depot when selling home-improvement materials.
The primary difference between these retailers is that Home Depot does not incur any outbound
transportation cost for residential customers while Amazon faces such charges. Home Depot
has substantial inbound transportation charges but is able to offload the outbound transportation
cost to the vast rnajority of their customers. Amazon must use high cost package carriers for
much of its product line although they are able to avoid inbound transportation costs for items
that are drop shipped. For items that are held in one oftheir warehouses, Amazon must pay both
inbound and outbound.
5. What transportation challenges does Peapod face? Compare transportation costs at online
grocers and supermarket chains.
Peapod faces the burden of expensive outbound transportation costs and must account for
congestion in the delivery area. Unlike traditional grocers who don't deliver their products,
Peapod must deliver items in their fleet of climate-controlled trucks. These trucks must be
scheduled with pricing incentives offered for peak and off-peak delivery times. Customers are
keenly aware of the transportation component of their purchases and Peapod can use pricing
incentives to spur their customers towards higher order amounts.
Both Peapod and traditional grocers must pay the inbound transportation costs oftheir wares;
there would appear to be no great advantage gained by either approach unless one vendor has
such substantial market share as to gain price concessions that they other can't negotiate.
6. Do you expect aggregation of inventory at one location to be more effective when a
company such as Dell sells computers or when a company such as Amazon.com sells
books? Explain by considering transportation and inventory costs.
Inventory aggregation is a good idea when inventory and facility costs form a large fraction of
a supply chain's total costs. Inventory aggregation is useful for products with a large value to
weight ratio and for products with high demand uncertainty. Both factors allow aggregation to
work to Dell's advantage, while Amazon reaps less of a reward.
Dell benefits trom aggregation because personal computers have an extremely high value to
weight ratio; the demand for new items is uncertain, and Moore's Law makes holding excessive
inventory an extremely unattractive proposition.
Amazon benefits from aggregation when inventory costs are examined, but is hurt by increased
transportation costs. Most items that Amazon sells have low value to weight ratios and Amazon
9-15
must ship them via package carrier, which is expensive. Amazon saves money on storage costs
since they choose to stock more popular titles and allow other entities to hold items with more
variable demand.
7. Discuss key drivers that may be used to tailor transportation. How does tailoring help?
Tailored transportation is the term for use of different transportation networks and modes based
on customer and product characteristics. Tailoring transportation allows fIrms to achieve cost
and responsiveness targets that are appropriate for the supply chain. The key drivers are density
and distance, customer size, and product demand and value. These drivers can be viewed as
guide for ownership of
Transportation options based on customer density and distance are summarized in the table and
p
d
ti h e supply
I charn.
trad eo ffisort
resent cost
an responSIveness
Short distance
Medium distance
Lon!! distance
Private fleet with Cross-dock
with Cross-dock
with
High
density
milk runs
milk runs
milk runs
Third-party
milk LTL carrier
LTL or package
Medium
density
runs
carner
Third-party
milk LTL or package Package carrier
Low
density
runs or LTL carrier carrIer
Customer size and location dictate whether a supplier should use a TL or L TL carrier or milk
runs. Very large customers can be supplied using a TL carrier, whereas smaller customers can
use LTL carriers or milk runs. The authors discuss a customer-partitioning procedure for
combining smaller customers' shipments with larger customers in order to achieve
responsiveness and cost targets.
Product demand and value determine whether aggregation strategies will benefit the supply
chain The best combinations are shown in the tabk
Product
High Value
Low Value
Type
High
demand
Low
demand
Aggregate
only
safety
Aggregate all inventories. If needed,
inventory. Use inexpensive
use fast mode of transportation for
mode of transportation for
filling customer orders.
replenishing cycle inventory.
9-16
CHAPTER FIFTEEN:
Sourcing
1. What are some ways that a firm such as Wal-Mart benefits from good sourcing decisions?
The bottom line is that good sourcing decisions improve profits for the firm and total supply
chain surplus. The authors' list of benefits derived from effective sourcing decisions includes:
Better economies of scale can be achieved if orders within a iirm are aggregated.
More efficient procurement transactions can significantly reduce the overall cost of
purchasing.
Design collaboration can result in products that are easier to manufacture and distribute,
resulting in lower overall costs.
Good procurement processes can facilitate coordination with the supplier and improve
forecasting and planning (lowering inventories and improving the match of supply and
demand).
Appropriate supplier contracts can allow for the sharing of risk, resulting in higher
profits for both the supplier and the buyer.
Firms can achieve a lower purchase price by increasing competition through the use of
auctions.
2. What factors lead Wal-Mart to own its trucks although many retailers outsource all their
transportation?
Wal-Mart is able to run its own fleet of trucks because it can ship TL throughout its supply
chain. Wal-Mart's shipment sizes are large and the company achieves aggregation across the
many retail stores it owns. IfWal-Mart elected to go with a carrier, they might be able to match
Wal-Mart's costs, but Wal-Mart would cede control to the carrier.
3. How can a supplier with a lower price end up costing the buyer more than a supplier with
a higher price?
Lower price can be achieved by sacriiicing product quality, product reliability, and process
contro~ which ultimately will cost the outsourcer more than the total variable cost saved. The
cost of coordination is often underestimated; the outsourcer offloads relatively low-skilled labor
but increases the burden on mid and upper management in controlling the production. A firm
may also lose customer/supplier contact that causes them to miss opportunities that may have
been recognized with a more direct relationship.
4. Explain why, for the same inventory level, a revenue-sharing contract results in lower
sales effort from the retailer than if the retailer has paid for the product and is responsible
for all remaining inventory.
manufacturer and retailer agree to share a fraction of the retailer's revenue after agreeing on a
low wholesale price. The low wholesale price triggers a larger order from the retailer, and this
can increase supply chain surplus if all product is sold. Wliat happens in practice is that the
retailer has a smaller upside under the revenue sharing arrangement and loses the incentive to
push merchandise.
5. For a manufacturer that sells to many retailers, why does a quantity flexibility contract
result in less information distortion than a buy-back contract?
A buy-back contract allows a retailer to return unsold inventory to the supplier; the contract will
stipulate the maximum amount returnable and the reimbursement amount the retailer will
receive. A buy-back contract provides an incentive for the retailer to place a larger order and
make product more available and can increase total supply chain surplus. A downside of buyback contracts is information distortion, i.e., the supply chain is aware of the retailers' orders
and not the actual customer demand until the sales period has ended. This problem is
exacerbated by a situation involving multiple retailers each of which holds inventory.
A quantity flexibility contract permits the retailer to change the quantity ordered after observing
demand; the contracts are similar to buy-back contracts except no returns are required. With a
quantity flexibility contract, retailers specify only the range within which they will purchase,
well before actual demand arises. The supplier can aggregate inventory across all retailers and
build a lower level of surplus inventory. Since retailers order closer to the point of sale when
demand is more visible and less uncertain; the uncertainty is aggregated by a supplier that enjoys
lower information distortion.
6. Most firms offer their sales force monetary incentives based on exceeding a specified
target. What are some pros and cons of this approach? How would you modify these
contracts to rectify some of the problems?
Two incentive oriented contracts discussed in the chapter are the two-part tariff and the
threshold contract. The two-part taritt" increases sales agent efiort by allowing the retailer to
acquire product at cost and letting the dealer's margin be the supply chain margin. Threshold
contracts establish greater rewards for the retailer as total sales reach successively higher
hrackets. These incentives can increase supply chain profits but can also be gamed to maximize
retailer/agent bonuses without benefiting the manufacturer. Sales can be postponed from one
sales period to the next by slow-playing customers, post-dating paperwork, and minimizing
efiorts. The sales that would have occurred in period 1 are delayed to period 2, during which
sales efiorts are maximized; ior the same level of sales, the agent has an increased commission,
but the manufacturer realizes a lower profit. This gamesmanship also causes information
distortion at the producer.
These problems can be avoided by modifying the contracts with a rolling horizon. Rather than
creating a high bonus period over a fixed period of time, reduced bonuses can be offered
continuously over a shorter time period. The rolling periods have many "last weeks" built in
and lead to a more constant level of efiort from the retail sites.
The retailer puts forth a lower sales effort because they are paid less on a per unit basis to sell
items under a revenue sharing contract than under a buyback or a classic retail contract. The
9-17
9-18
7. An auto manufacturer sources both office supplies and subsystems such as seats. What, if
any, difference in sourcing strategy would you recommend for the two types of products?
For an auto manufacturer, seats are considered direct materials (components used to make
finished goods) while ofiice supplies are indirect materials (goods used to support the operation
of a firm). The procurement process for direct materials should be designed to ensure that
components are available in the right place, in the right quantity, and at the right time. Sources
should be carefully selected to ensure that quality and responsiveness are acceptable and that a
long-term relationship is possible. The primary goal of the procurement process should be to
make production plans and current levels of component inventory at the manufacturer visible
to the supplier and should have alerts built into it if mismatches between supply and demand
are detected.
The procurement process for indirect materials should be on reducing the transaction cost of
each order. These items are not critical and can be purchased in bulk with an eye towards
aggregation and cost savings. Stockout costs are low in comparison with direct materials so
sourcing decisions are not as critical.
8. Why do you think assembly in the consumer electronics industry is performed by third
parties, whereas assembly in the auto industry is almost never outsourced?
In the consumer electronics industry, the third parties aggregate the demand across multiple
flfms when performing assemblies thereby gaining production economies of scale that no single
firm in this industry can. The auto industry on the other hand, maintains volume levels for its
models that each individual manufacturer can reap the benefits oftheir own assembly.
9. How can design collaboration with suppliers help a PC manufacturer improve
performance?
Design collaboration with suppliers can help a firm reduce cost, improve quality, and decrease
time to market. These performance metrics are increasingly influenced by suppliers since
between 50 and 70 percent of the spending at a manufacturer is through procurement.
Costs can be reduced by designing the product for postponement and mass customization. If the
product's design permits the use of standardized parts or modules, the manufacturer can save
on inventory ho Iding costs and training for assembly and repair labor. Costs are also reduced
by increasing attention to design for manufacturability.
Quality is increased by applying robust design techniques, certifying suppliers, and conducting
failure modes and effects analysis. Suppliers that are specialists in a required component can
bring to bear the design skills that will improve fmished goods quality.
Time to market can be decreased by bringing suppliers into the design team from the early
stages of product design. An engineering drawing reference database can eliminate the necessity
for designing new parts which reduces overall design time.
9-19
10. For products such as home appliances, toys, garments, and consumer electronics, what
factors would influence selecting an onshore, near-shore, or offshore supplier?
The decision to outsource is based on the growth in supply chain surplus provided by the third
party and the increase in risk incurred by using a third party. This growth in surplus needs to
be looked at understanding the following:
Capacity aggregation
Inventory aggregation
Transportation aggregation by transportation intermediaries
Transportation aggregation by storage intermediaries
Warehousing aggregation
Procurement aggregation
Information aggregation
Receivables aggregation
Relationship aggregation and
Lower costs and higher quality.
chain
1. In what ways can a retailer such as Nordstrom take advantage of revenue management
opportunities?
Nordstrom can take advantage of revenue management by using dynamic pricing through their
Nordstrom Rack stores. Dynamic pricing is the tactic of varying price over time and is suitable
for fashion and seasonal items. The Nordstrom Rack web site indicates that there are currently
49 locations in 18 states and that the Nordstrom Rack stores are the off-price division of
Nordstrom (positioned for the cost-conscious shopper). Merchandise that does not sell at the
Nordstrom stores is discounted 50-75% and moved to the Rack stores where it is sold in a less
attractive setting with a less generous return policy. Nordstrom Rack is positioned such that it
does not compete with Nordstrom stores, but allows the parent company to reap the greatest
return from all products stocked at Nordstrom.
2. What revenue management opportunities are available to a manufacturer? How can it
take advantage of these opportunities?
A manufacturer's most profitable use of revenue management comes through the tactic of
overbooking, which is the overselling of an available asset that faces last-minute cancellations
of customer orders. The manufacturer's valuable asset is production capacity, which is fmite
and loses value after a certain date; in this case, capacity is worthless at the end of the production
period or past the date that the supply chain can fill customer orders. The tradeoff is the cost of
unused capacity with the cost of customer orders that can't be filled and therefore must be
subcontracted. The manufacturer can compute the marginal cost of wasted capacity and the
9-20
marginal cost of a capacity shortage, form the critical ratio, and apply this to their knowledge
of the customer order distribution, thereby increasing asset utilization.
3. What revenue management opportunities are available to a trucking firm? How can it
take advantage of these opportunities?
A trucking iirm can use revenue management by oifering a two-tiered pricing system; charging
smaller customers a higher price than larger customers that consume the majority of the fleet.
The rationale is that the larger customers offer the trucking flfm steady demand and the ease of
dealing with only one or very few customers. These bulk purchases are made at a discount while
smaller customers must make spot purchases at higher prices to fill up remaining capacity.
4. What revenue management opportunities are available to the owner of a warehouse and
how can it take advantage of them?
A warehouse owner can lease capacity in bulk at a discount to a large company and fill up the
remaining warehouse capacity at full price to smaller customers. The large customer offers more
stable demand and more fully utilizes the warehouse owner's space, albeit at a discount. The
smaller customer may never materialize, so holding space for them is a risky proposition and
merits a premium price.
5. Explain the use of outlet stores such as Saks Fifth Avenue in the context of revenue
management. How does the presence of outlet stores help Saks? How does it help its more
valuable customer, who is willing to pay full price?
One way that the presence of outlet stores helps Saks is by recouping their purchase price for
items that do not sell in flagship stores. Items can be sold in the outlet stores at a lower margin
or even at a loss. Saks also benefits by freeing up more sales floor capacity in their main stores,
allowing them to stock with the current season's high margin merchandise.
The full-price customers of Saks beneiit because the inventory level of in-season items at Saks
is higher, thereiore they are more likely to iind what they want. Saks knows they can dump any
unsold merchandise at the end of the season in their outlet store; therefore Saks initial order will
be higher than if they did not use revenue management.
6. Demand for hairdresser is much higher over the weekend, when people are not at work.
What revenue management techniques can be used by such a business?
A hairdresser can use pricing and revenue management for seasonal demand; peaks on the
weekend and valleys on weekdays. The hairdresser can provide off-peak discounting in order
to shift demand from weekend to weekdays. The hairdresser should create a price structure such
that the discount given during the off-peak period is more than offset by the decrease in cost
because of a smaller peak and the increase in revenue during the ofi~peak period. This tactic
increases proiits ior the hairdresser, decreases the price paid by a fraction of the customers, and
also brings in potentially new customers during the off-peak discount period and is, in a word,
fabulous.
9-21
7. How can a golf course use revenue management to improve financial performance?
A golf course can use pricing and revenue management for seasonal demand much in the way
the hairdresser in the previous scenario can. By lowering the price for less popular tee times, a
golf course manager can increase revenue by increasing the total number of players and perhaps
capturing new players. A golf course manager can also engage in overbooking ior tee times,
overselling the course in the event that a ioursome or individual players will cancel at the last
minute. Overbooking will use up more of the golf course's capacity which might decrease the
level of customer service but will improve the course's fmancial performance.
9-22
necessary application on a cloud server of the developer which allows saving money and
quickly introducing the software to the business. It is needless to say that as a result everyone
wins: customers don't need to spend money on system administration, and suppliers, thanks to
software installation on their cloud hosting, quickly provide the clients with the necessary
servIce.
9-23
3. A more powerful and secure IT infrastructure - few organizations can match the infrastructure
and security investments made by SaaS vendors
4. Why is the supply chain management software dominated by the ERP players like SAP
and Oracle?
Both SAP and Oracle have done a good job in convincing top management ofthe benefits from
ERP solutions. They have dominated the market by showing overall cost improvements in
operations from the installation and use of their software. The have also managed to scale their
solutions for all size companies allowing for not only the biggest fIrms to benefIt, but also small
to medium size fIrms.
5. Identify a few examples of when the availability of real time information has been used to
improve supply chain performance.
The Wal-Mart & P&G experiences demonstrate how information sharing can be utilized for
mutual advantage. Through sound information technologies Wal-Mart shares point of sale
information trom its many retail outlet directly with P&G and other major suppliers.
Lucent technologies was able to achieve a dramatic cut in costs and reduced product delivery
times. This inevitable led to significant improvements in customer satisfaction and increased
market share.
6. Discuss why the high tech industry has been the leader in adopting supply chain IT
systems.
The high tech industry has been the leader in adopting supply chain IT systems because of the
mindset of the decision-makers in this sector. The high tech workforce tends to be early adopters
of new technologies; they understand there is a risk associated with adoption but are willing to
assume the risk and proceed. High tech corporate cultures lend themselves to such ventures;
there is little resistance to change because survival in this sector depends on it.
CHAPTER EIGHTEEN:
9-24
Every company and supply chain faces the challenge of the tragedy of the commons as it
operates in agio bal environment. They must compete against others that may be extracting
benefits from the envirornnental or resource commons without spending to maintain these
commons. They must compete in a market where customers often value low cost and are not
willing to pay the price of a more sustainable solution, either in the form of a higher price or
reduced consumption.
Two potentially "mutually coercive" mechanisms that could be implemented are "cap-andtrade" and an emission tax. With "cap-and-trade" there would be constrained aggregate
emissions, which would create a limited number of tradeable emission allowances that emission
sources must secure and surrender in proportion to their emissions. With an emission tax, each
entity generating greenhouse gases is charged a tax proportional to the size of the emissions.
4. What are some problems with firms reporting their sustainability performance based on
metrics that do not consider their extended supply chain?
A major challenge relates to the scope over which a supply chain measures in regards to the
following four categories:
Energy consumption
Water consumption
Greenhouse gas emissions
Waste generation.
If a company reports only energy consumption within its own operations, and then decides to
outsource some production to an offshore supplier, its own energy consumption will show a
decline even though the energy consumption of the entire supply chain may have increased. If
it decides to bring some production in-house and onshore, the energy consumption within its
operations will show an increase even if the energy consumption for the entire supply chain has
decreased. Thus companies must defme the scope across which all metrics are measured. The
Greenhouse Gas Protocol defmes three scope levels which companies should report metrics:
1. Direct emissions - refers to emissions from sources that are owned or controlled
9-25
9-26
Exercise Solutions:
In addition you will find the Hershey Company 2009 CSR Executive Summary and their
Scorecard results for 2010 as previewed below:
CORPORATE
SOCIAL
RESPONSIBILITY
SCORECARD
2010
Problem 7-1:
We utilize a static model with leve~ trend, and seasonality components to evaluate the forecasts for
year 6. Initially, we deseasonalize the demand and utilize regression in estimating the trend and level
components. We then estimate the seasonal factors for each period and evaluate forecasts. EXCEL
Worksheet 7-1 provides the solution to this problem.
::
D,
5997.261 + 70.245 t
9-27
Month
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
S.I
0.427
0.475
0.463
0.398
0.621
0.834
0.853
1.151
1.733
1.778
2.124
1095
For example, the forecast for January of Year 6 is obtained by the following calculation:
F61 = [5997.261 + (61)
* 70.245] * 0.4266 =
4386
The quality of the forecasting method is quite good given that the forecast errors are not too high.
Problem 7-2:
9-28
200
Moving Average
Actual Demand
Forecasted Demand
160
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
140
Sales
120
100
80
60
10 11 12 13 14 15 16
40
Periods
20
0
P1
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
Actual Demand
Unit Demand
Un it Deman d
180
Forecasted Demand
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Periods
P2
P3
P4
P5
P6
P7
P8
P9
Period
P10
P11
P12
P13
P14
P15
P16
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
4
5
6
7
8
125
12D
115
;; 110
E 1D5
~ 1DD
'2
95
1000
1113
1271
1445
1558
1648
1724
1850
1864
10
11
12
2076
2187
II
Forecast
1659
1461
1357
1331
1365
1423
1491
1561
1647
1712
1821
1925
2005
1659
1461
1357
1331
1365
1423
1491
1561
1647
1712
1821
1925
A,
bias
MSE
MAO
659
348
659
348
659
1007
1093
979
786
561
328
39
-178
-542
-887
-1153
434281
277797
187652
143984
122618
110614
102597
100243
94317
98107
100042
97596
659
504
" "
114
-193
-225
233
289
-217
364
-346
-266
114
193
225
233
289
217
364
346
266
Percent
Error MAPE
66
31
7
8
12
14
14
16
12
18
16
12
36'
302
280
271
265
268
263
273
279
278
66
49
35
28
25
23
22
21
20
20
19
19
TS
1.00
2.00
3.00
3.24
2.81
2,07
1.24
0.14
-0.68
-1 .99
-3,18
-4.14
200S
200S
13
9D
85
E,
14
W~~ro-.-'-r.-.-~r-r-ro-.-,~
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1D 11 12 13 14 1516
Pe riods
Holl's m ooet
Period Sales level
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
7
8
9
10
11
12
13D~--------------------------~~
125
12D
'5! 115
13
li 110
14
E 1D5
~
5
'1000
1113
1271
1445
1558
1648
1724
1850
1864
2076
2187
1
Trend
1DO
Forecast
E,
A,
bias
MSE
MAO
1057
1163
1269
1377
1490
1602
1714
1824
1935
2040
2152
2262
2367
2476
57
57
57
57
50
-2
-6'
-68
-46
-10
-26
71
-36
-15
71
50
2
68
68
46
10
26
71
36
15
71
107
105
37
-31
3249
2868
1913
2577
2997
2847
2455
2234
2541
2414
2216
2449
-77
-87
-, ,3
-43
-78
-94
-23
9D
85
6
5
3
53
36
44
0
5
49
48
43
41
44
43
41
43
95
Percent
Error "'APE
3
I
I
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
I
TS
1,00
2.00
2.88
0.84
-0.64
1.59
-2.03
-2.77
..(J.97
-1 .81
-2.30
-0.53
2ill..
Problem 7-7:
Worksheet 7-7 reexamines the A&D Electronics data with the Holt's model being run with the
original alpha at .05 and beta at .1 and a revised Holt's with an alpha and beta both of 5
w h~~~~~~---r-~"----'~---r-~
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1D 11 12 13 14 15 16
Pe riods
Period
From the data and the graphs, it is evident that the alpha of.9 is a better tracker of the forecast.
Problem 7-6:
10
11
Worksheet 7-6 looks at the forecast for A&D Electronics and compares the results of simple
exponential smoothing model with the Holt's model. In looking at the results of these two models, it
is evident the Holt's model is a better forecasting model.
12
Sale$ L evel
940
1 054
' 160
1269
' 381
1493
1604
1 7 14
1825
1931
204 2
2152
2258
Trend
109
1087
'08 5
108.5
1088
'092
109.4
1094
'096
109.2
'095
109. 1
Foreca$t
1' 63
1269
1 377
1490
1602
1 714
1824
1935
2040
2152
2262
2367
2476
E,
A,
bh' $
MSE
MAD
57
50
-2
-68
-68
-4.
-10
-26
71
-36
-15
71
57
50
2
68
68
4.
10
26
71
36
15
71
57
,"7
105
37
3249
2868
1913
2577
2997
2 847
2 4 55
2234
254 1
2 414
2216
2449
57
53
36
-"
-77
-87
_113
-43
-78
_9'
23
44
'9
.8
43
41
44
' 3
41
.3
Perc;ent
Error
MAPE
6
5
3
~0 . 53
. ..
4
0
5
3
1
1
4
2
1
3
TS
1 .00
200
2 .88
06'
-064
-1 .59
-20 3
_277
-0.97
_181
_230
3
3
3
3
Holl's mode! Wit h alpha equal to .05 and beta equal to . , has lower forecast error
9-31
9-32
1000
1113
1271
1445
1558
'648
9
'0
"' 2
1724
1850
'884
2076
2167
1
Trend
109
94.8
92.2
107.4
13 1.6
139.1
130.5
11 2.6
107.0
81 .0
100.7
108.1
90.8
948
1029
11 18
1241
1397
' 543
' 665
1760
1861
1916
2037
2152
2226
'3
14
Forecast
E,
A,
bias
MSE
MAD
57
'0
-6 '
-97
57
'0
6'
97
30
34
72
22
'0'
79
30
69
57
67
7
90
-120
86
-' 5
8
3249
1677
2346
4111
3467
3084
3376
3017
3889
4123
3829
3909
57
Percent
Error MAPE
Overtime constraints:
TS
1057
1123
1210
1348
1528
1682
'796
1872
'968
1997
2137
2260
2316
2407
-30
34
72
22
'0'
-79
-30
69
'12
33
3
73
34
43
56
5'
48
52
'8
54
57
54
55
5
7
2
2
6
3
4
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
,
3
1.00
2.00
0.1 5
-1.61
-2.36
-1 .79
0.28
0.16
2.07
0.59
006
1.31
0, - 20W,
<;
0, t
1, ... ,12
Production constraints:
P - ~ - 960W, < 0
1 12
, 1000
1000 - , t ~ , ...
Workforce constraints:
W,
1250, t
0, ... ,12
(a) Worksheet 8.1 provides the solution to this problem and the corresponding aggregate plan. The
total cost of the plan is $360,400,000.
Exercise Solutions:
(b) If the number of overtime hours per employee were increased from 20 to 40 it would result in
decreasing the total cost to $356,450,000. So, it is advantageous to do it.
We defme a comprehensive set of decision variables that are utilized in problems 8-1 to 8-3
depending on the problem context.
(c) If the number of employees is decreased to 1200 and the overtime hours per employee are held at
20 and 40 then the total costs of the plan are $363,324,000 and $357,422,000, respectively. If the
number of employees is increased to 1300 and the overtime hours per employee are held at 20 and 40
then the total costs of the plan are $358,790,000 and $356,270,000, respectively. So, the value of
additional overtime increases as workforce size decreases.
Decision Variables:
H, ~ # of workers hired in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
L, ~ # of workers laid-off in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
W, ~ # of workers employed in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
0, ~ # of hours of overtime in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
I,~ # of units (OOOs) held in inventory at the end of month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
C,~ # of units (OOOs) subcontracted in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
P,~ # of units (OOOs) produced in month t (t ~ 1, .. ,12)
<;
1291.667, t
Problem 8-2:
Parameters:
D, ~ # of units (OOOs) demanded in time period t (t ~ 1, ... 12)
12
12
12
12
t =l
1=1
1=1
1=1
Subject to:
Problem 8-1 :
12
12
12
Inventory constraints:
1'_1 + P, + C, -I, ~ D"
12
1=1
1=1
1=1
1, .. ,12
10 ~I'2 ~50
Subject to:
Overtime constraints:
Inventory constraints:
1'_1 + P, -I, ~ DO' t ~ 1, .. ,12
0, - 20W,
<;
0, t
1, ... ,12
10 ~I'2 ~50
Production constraints:
Copyright 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
9-33
9-34
Production constraints:
Workforce constraints:
I 12
t = ,...
(b) Third party production must be used in periods 5, 6, 7, and 10 for a total of 1,050,000 units. If the
subcontract cost per unit decreases to $25 per unit then a total of 1,650,000 units must be acquired
trom this option.
T, - 7',-1 - H , + L, = 0,
1~
t = 1, ... ,12
=0
T,",50
(c) If the subcontract cost increases to $28 per unit then a total of 700,000 units must be acquired
from this option.
(d) The total number of units produced, including subcontract production, is 14,900. So, using
subcontract the total cost incurred is $357,450,000, which leads to an average cost of $23.99 per unit.
Without the subcontract option, the cost per unit is $24.18 (from a). Therefore, it is still beneficial for
Skycell to use subcontracting option even if the per unit cost is higher. Without using subcontracting,
Skycell would need to use overtime to produce extra units to fulfill demand. The cost of using
overtime is 1.5 times regular labor cost. In addition, in the absence of subcontracting, ho Iding costs
will also increase due to extra units being carried into future time periods.
(a)
IT otal cost = $
358,210,000
Ht
Tt
Lt
Period
# Hired
0
1
# Laid off
# Temp
0
0
0
0
Problem 8-3:
We defme and include a new decision variable for this model called T" which represents the number
of temporary workers employed in time period t. Since hiring and layoff of temporary workers is
allowed, we include hiring and layoff costs in the model. Also, note that there is no subcontract
option available for this case. The LP model for this case is shown below:
6
7
8
12
12
12
12
12
11
t =l
t=l
1=1
1=1
12
1=1
0
50
10
12
(0)
50
0
50
50
Pt
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
950
1184
1200
1404
1404
1404
1404
900
1100
1200
1346
1404
(b)
Subject to:
IT atal cost = $
Inventory constraints:
1'_1 + P, -I, = D" t = 1, .. ,12
356,658,667
Ht
10 =112 =50
Tt
Lt
Period
# Hired
Overtime constraints:
0
50
50
50
50
50
0
Wt
#
Workforce Production
0
1,250
0
9-35
# Laid off
0
# Temp
0
Wt
Pt
#
Workforce Production
0
1,250
0
9-36
(0)
96
96
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
100
1,250
0
100
100
100
100
100
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
(0)
(0)
0
100
950
1100
1200
1326
1458
1458
1458
900
1100
1200
1292
1458
IT otal cost = $
356,926,500
Ht
Period
Lt
# Hired
0
2
3
156
154
9
10
11
12
(d) Since there is no difference between regular employees and temporary employees in terms of
productivity and cost of hiring and layoffs, this problem is equivalent to using at most 1300
employees and allowing hiring and layoffs. So, the formulation can be revised as follows.
12
12
12
12
12
t =l
t =l
1=1
1=1
363
208
44
110
0
50
0
0
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
50
50
Pt
# Permanent # workforce
1,250
990
1,146
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
938
1,146
1,190
1,250
1,250
1,300
990
1,146
1,300
1,300
1,300
1,300
1,300
938
1,146
1,190
1,300
1,300
Production
0
950
1100
1284
1404
1404
1404
1404
900
1100
1142
1404
1404
12
So, if the no layoffno hiring policy for the permanent employees can be relaxed, Skycell will be able
to further reduce the total cost. However, the reduction from case (c) is marginal.
6
7
8
# Temp
0
310
(c) IfSkycell only carries 1100 permanent employees but has 200 seasonal employees, the total cost
will be reduced to $356,984,667, a 0.34% cost saving compared to (a)
Wt
# Laid off
1=1
Subject to:
Problem 8-4:
Inventory constraints:
1'_1 + P, - I , = D" t = 1, .. ,12
We defme a comprehensive set of decision variables that are utilized in problems 8-4 to 8-7
depending on the problem context.
10 =112 =50
Decision Variables:
Overtime constraints:
0 , - 20W,
<;
0, t = 1, ... ,12
Production constraints:
p _ ~ _ 960W, < 0
1000
1000 -
, t
= , ...
12
Parameters:
DR, = # of routers (ODDs) demanded in time period t (t = 1, ... 12)
DS, = # of switches (ODDs) demanded in time period t (t = 1, ... 12)
t = 1, ... ,12
Wo = 1250
W, <; 1300, t = 0, ... ,12
9-37
9-38
12
12
12
12
and (b) it can be observed that the production schedule of switches (PSt) is impacted, as is 1S t. On the
other hand, the production plan for routers remains the same.
t =l
1=1
t=l
Subject to:
Inventory constraints:
lRH + f'R, -lR, = DR"
t = 1, .. ,12
t = 1, .. ,12
(c) From the table below it is evident that as the number of employees increases, the value of
increasing total number of overtime hours allowed per employee per month decreases. When the
number of employees is 6700, there is no cost difference between using 20 and 40 hours of overtime
per employee.
Total cost
# employees Overtime 20
ISo = IS'2 = 50
Overtime constraints:
5900
6300
6700
138,302,0001138,302,000
Production constraints:
In this case we add hiring and layoff options.
333PR, + 166.7 PS, - 0 , -160W, oe; 0,
t = 1, ... 12
12
12
12
12
12
12
Workforce constraints:
t =l
t=l
t =l
1=1
1=1
t =l
Subject to:
W, = 6300,
t = 0, ... ,12
(a)
IT otal cost = $
135,429,000
t = 1, .. ,12
t = 1, .. ,12
Router
Switch
Production Production
Period
Inventory constraints:
IRH + PR, - IR, = DR"
ISo = IS'2 = 50
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1700
1600
2600
2500
800
1800
1200
1400
2500
2800
1000
2648
2848
1150
1804
800
1800
2400
3248
1048
1204
1000
1100
1050
Overtime constraints:
0 , - 20W, oe; 0, t = 1, ... ,12
Production constraints:
333PR, + 166.7PS, - 0 , -160(W, - 0.5(H,_, + H , J Joe; 0,
Workforce constraints:
W, -W,_, -H, + L, = 0,
(b) If the overtime allowed per employee per month is increased to 40, the total cost becomes
$134,552,000. So, cost reduction is incurred as a result of such an action. Comparing the output of (a)
t = 1, ... 12
9-39
t= 1, ... ,12
Wo =6300
9-40
The solution to this problem is shown in Worksheet 8-5. Part (b) can be solved by replacing the
production constraints in the above formulation by:
Problem 8-6:
t = 1... 12
(a)
ITotal cost =
137,118,107
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
Period
Lt
# Hired
0
1
Wt
11
0
0
0
0
671
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
431
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Router
Switch
t =l
#
#Laidofl Workforce Overtime Production Production
0
0
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
241
0
0
0
0
Ot
6,300
00
6,300
00
6,300 86500.0
6,300 126000.0
5,629
00
5,629
00
5,869
00
5,869
00
5,869 117385.9
5,869 117385.9
5,869
00
1700
1600
2600
2600
800
1800
1200
1400
2500
2800
1000
2645
2845
1362
1599
800
1800
3117
2716
1334
733
1000
6,300
1000
1050
00
t=l
Inventory constraints:
IRH + PR, + CR, - IR, = DR"
Ht
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Lt
Ht
0
0
0
0
671
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1451
0
0
0
0
0
3718
0
0
0
t =l
t = 1, .. ,12
Overtime constraints:
t = 1, ... 12
Workforce constraints:
t= 1, ... ,12
Wo =6300
Lt
(a) FlexMan should use the subcontractor to produce 446,000 units of routers in period 4 and
1,446,000 units of routers in period 10. FlexMan should not use the subcontractor for switch
616
0
0
0
3069
0
0
0
0
0
1483
0
t =l
ISo = IS'2 = 50
t =l
b)
# Hired
1=1
W, -W,_, -H, + L, = 0,
Period
1=1
Subject to:
(b) The total cost will be $131,256,258, a reduction of 4.275% from (a). Comparing the hiring and
layoff results of (a) and (b), we fmd more hiring and layoff happens in (b). As can be seen, when a
new employee is 100% productive when they are hired, FlexMan's cost will reduce. So, it is
reasonable that FlexMan will use the option of more new hires and lay them off when appropriate.
a)
t=l
Problem 8-7:
9-41
9-42
We utilize the same fOl1Uulation as in Problem 8-4, but impose constraints on the ending inventory to
allow for safety stock as shown below:
IR,
:2
0.15DR'+1
IS,
:2
0.15DS'+1
(a)
Parameters:
142,960,650
IT otal cost = $
D,
Router
Period
Switch
Production Production
Problem 9-1:
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1770
1750
2585
2245
950
1710
1230
1565
2545
2530
1000
950
2504
2545
1037
2310
770
1815
2308
2915
953
1739
865
1050
12
12
12
12
1=1
1=1
1=1
Subject to:
Inventory constraints:
IH + P, -I, ~ D" t ~ 1, .. ,12
10 ~ 112 ~ 4000
Overtime constraints:
0, - 20W, "' 0, t
1, ... ,12
Production constraints:
(b) Comparing cost in (a) to cost in 8-4 (a), we observe an increase of$7,531,650 in total cost, an
5.56% of cost increase by providing this service contract.
(c) From the table below we can see that keeping a safety stock of 5% of the following month's
demand for routers will be the best policy for Flexl\1an.
W,
Savings
Total Cost
142.960.650
138.902.350
2.84%
142.125.650
0.58%
250,
t ~ 0, ... ,12
(b) From the table below we can see that it is better to promote in April than in July, as the profit is
slightly higher.
Price=$125
Total Cost
Promotion
Promotion
July)
No promotion April)
Total Cost$16.820.000
$17.059.400
$17.367.300
Total Revenue - $28.500.000
$28.916.625
$29.198.750
Profit =
$11.680.000
$11.857.225
$11.831.450
Profit increase $177.225
$151.450
Decision Variables:
(a) Worksheet 9-1 provides the solution to this problem and the corresponding aggregate plan. The
total cost of the plan is $16,820,000
We defme a comprehensive set of decision variables that are utilized in problems 9-1 to 9-3
depending on the problem context.
1, ... 12
Workforce constraints:
H,
9-43
9-44
Workforce constraints:
(c) If a sink is sold at $250, then the profit associated with promotion in July is higher than in April.
So, as the product margin increases it is more beneficial to offer the discount in high demand period.
Price= $250
Total CostTotal Revenue Profit Profit increase -
Total Cost
No promotion Promotion (April) Promotion (July)
$16,820,000
$17,059,399.94 $17,367,299.95
$57,000,000
$57,833,250
$58,397,500
$40,180,000
$40,773,850.06 $41,030,200.05
$593,850.06
$850,200.05
W, -W'_l -H, + L,
(a)
Total Cost =
Total Revenue =
Profit =
Period
Problem 9-2:
We now include hiring and layoff costs in the model. Note that the workforce level constraints also
change.
12
12
12
12
12
12
t =l
t =l
1=1
1=1
1=1
Inventory constraints:
1 H + 1', -1 , = iJ" t = 1, .. ,12
10 = 112 = 4000
Overtime constraints:
t= 1, ... ,12
I$
$
$
16,571,000
28,500,000
11,929,000
Production
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
18,000
15,000
15,000
= 0,
Wo = 250
Total Cost =
Total Revenue Profit =
Profit increase-
t = 1, ... 12
Total Cost
No
Promotion
Promotion
July)
promotion
April)
$16,571,000
$16,794,500
$17,050,850
$28,500,000
$28,916,625
$29,198,750
$11,929,000
$12,122,125
$12,147,900
0
$193,125.1
$218,900.1
(c) If the holding cost increases to $5/unitlmonth, then promotion should be held in April. Promotion
in July will result in producing more units of product, which in turn results in a higher carrying
cost. Although, the sales amount is also higher if promotion is in July, the incurred profit is lower
due to the higher carrying cost.
9-45
9-46
Holding =
$5/unitlmonth
Total Cost
Promotion
April)
Total Cost
No
Promotion
Promotion
Ipromotion
April)
July)
$16,828,625
$17,038,361
$17,353,188
$28,500,000
$28,916,625
$29,198,750
$11,671,375
$11,878,264
$11,845,562
0
$206,889
$174,187.4
Problem 9-3:
Total Cost-
Promotion
Julv)
$17,000,100
$17,251,400
Total Revenue
=
Profit =
$28,916,625
$11,916,525
9-4~
In this case we add the subcontract option to problem information given in 9-1
12
12
12
12
1=1
1=1
1=1
9-6
We defme a comprehensive set of decision variables that are utilized in problems 9-4 to 9-6
depending on the problem context.
12
$29,198,750
$11,947,350
Decision Variables:
1=1
Subject to:
Overtime constraints:
0 , - 20W, "' 0,
Parameters:
Inventory constraints:
/=1, .. ,12
io = i'2 = 4000
/ = 1, ... ,12
Production constraints:
Problem 9-4:
Workforce constraints:
W, = 250,
Subject to:
12
t =l
/ = 0, ... ,12
From worksheet 9-3, no units should be outsourced from the subcontractor. But with promotion, the
subcontracting option should be used. Specifically, if the promotion is in Apri~ 2600 units and 1000
units should be outsourced from the subcontractor in August and September, respectively. If the
promotion is in July, then 1000units and 6100 units should be outsourced in July and August,
respectively. The need for subcontracting is because promotion induces additional demand, which
will not be cost effective for Lavare to produce by itself, as the carrying cost will outweigh the costs
paid to the subcontractor.
9-47
12
1=1
12
1=1
12
1=1
Inventory constraints:
1,_, + P, -I, = D" / = 1, .. ,12
10 = 1'2 = 4000
Overtime constraints:
9-48
CQ
Production constraints:
44
Period
t = 1, ... 12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Workforce constraints:
W, = 250,
t = 0, ... ,12
(a)
Total Cost =
Total Revenue =
Profit =
$12.013.000
$15.920.000
$3.907.000
Pt
Period
66
46
64
9,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
11,000
14,000
12,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
17,000
15,000
10,000
11,000
14,000
8,000
12,700
20,000
20,000
20,000
17,500
20,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
11,000
14,000
8,000
15,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
18,000
15,000
10,000
11,000
14,000
Production
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
(d) There are tbree strategies for both Jumbo and Sbrimpy, which leads to a total of9 combinations of
strategies, as shown in the table below. Jumbo would achieve the highest profit if it promoted in June
and Shirmpy did not promote at all, and it would receive the lowest profit if it promoted in June and
Sbrimpy promoted in April. In order to achieve a middle ground, it would be beneficial for Jumbo to
coordinate with Shirmpy so that they either don't promote at all or promote in the same month.
9,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
11,000
14,000
(e) We flfst identifY the minimum profit for each strategy for Jumbo, as indicated by the numbers in
bold in the table below. The maximum of these tbree minimum profits is $3,594,600. So, Jumbo
sliould not undertake any promotion at all tbrougliout tlie year.
Since both Jumbo and Sbrimpy have similar demand patterns, and maybe similar cost structure, it is
reasonable to think that the profit gained by one party's promotion is the competitor's loss caused by
not promoting. Often the market size for a specific product is steady. So, one firm's gain is likely
corning from its competitors' loss.
Problem 9-5:
9-49
9-50
12
12
12
12
1=1
1=1
1=1
Subject to:
From the results, ifQ&H does not promote in the right month it tends to lose even ifUnilock does not
promote. On the other hand, ifUnilock does promote, then Q&H would expect loss of profit.
Inventory constraints:
1 H + 1', -1 , = iJ" t = 1, .. ,12
Overtime constraints:
0 , - 20W,
<;
0, t = 1, ... ,12
44
Production constraints:
Period
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
W, = 2,
t = 0, ... ,12
(a)
Total Cost =
Total Revenue =
Profit =
$7,453,150
$9,061,000
$1,607,850
Pt
Period
66
46
64
291
320
320
320
214
209
291
277
304
291
320
329
230
305
320
320
320
320
218
208
304
291
320
329
263
320
320
320
228
83
291
277
304
291
320
329
230
301
277
188
320
320
233
222
304
291
320
329
Production
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
(d) There are three strategies for both Q&H and Unilock, which leads to a total of 9 combinations of
strategies, as shown in the table below. Q&H would achieve the highest profit if it promoted in June
and Unilock did not promote at al~ and it would receive the lowest profit if it promoted in June and
Unilock promoted in April. In order to achieve a middle ground, it would be beneficial for Q&H to
coordinate with Unilock so that they either don't promote at all or promote in the same month.
230
301
277
302
285
278
291
277
304
291
320
329
Q&H IUniiock
No promotion
April
June
No promotion April
June
9-51
9-52
(e) We frrst identifY the minimum profit for each strategy for Q&H, as indicated by the numbers in
bold in the table below. The maximum of these three minimum profits is $1,366,250. SO, Q&H
should not undertake any promotion at all throughout the year.
Q&H IUniiock
No promotion
April
June
No promotion
$1,607,850
$1,520,174
$1,611,294
April
$1,366,250
$1,466,410
$1,253,614
2.
(a) If the order quantity is 100 then the number of orders placed in a year are: D/Q = 109500/100 =
1095. So, 1095 orders are placed each year at a cost of$1000/order. Thus, the total order cost is
$1,095,000.
June
$1,385,450
$1,259,774
$1,477,050
Cycle inventory = Q/2 = 100/2 = 50 and the annual inventory cost is (50)(0.2)(500) = $5,000
(b) If a load of 100 units has to be optimal then corresponding order cost can be computed by using
the fo llowing expression:
Problem 9-6:
Q=~2DS
12
12
12
hC
12
1=1
1=1
1=1
r=~-;:-:c::-::-:-::;-
100 =
1=1
Subject to:
Inventory constraints:
IH+P,+C, -I,=D"
(2)(109500)S
(0.2)(500)
/=1, .. ,12
C, ;:-0
3.
(a) to (e) are exactly the same as 9-5, as none of the promotion/no promotion strategy results in
outsourcing anything from the third party.
For supplier A:
2(20000)( 400 + 100) = 4,472 units/order
(0.2)(5)
Total cost = order cost + holding cost = (20000/4472)(500) + (4472/2)(0.2)(5) = $4,472
Chapter 11: Managing Economies of Scale in the Supply Chain: Cycle Inventory
. order quantity
. IS
. given
.
l. The economic
by
~2DS
. problem:
- - . In this
Similarly, for suppliers Band C the order quantities are 1768 and 949 and the associated total costs
are $1,414 and $949, respectively.
hC
S = $1000/order
H = hC = (0.2)(500) = $100/unitlyear
(b) In using complete aggregation, we evaluate the order frequency (n*) as follows:
So, the EOQ value is 1480 units and the total yearly cost is $147,986
9-53
9-54
So, n* ~
For supplier A:
Q
5. We solve this problem using a similar approach as in the previous case except the equation used for
computing the order quantity at a particular price level in the presence of marginal unit quantity
discounts is as shown below:
$4,500
Similarly, for suppliers Band C the order quantities are 625 and 225 and the associated total costs are
$650 and $513, respectively.
. level C
Q at for a pnce
~2D(S+V-qC)
"
,
hC,
Q~
2(20000)(12)(400+ 0- (0)(1))
(0.2)(1)
30 984
,
4.
(a) This is a quantity discount model and the decision is to identify the optimal order quantity in the
presence of discounts. We evaluate the order quantities at different unit prices using the economic
order quantity equation as shown below:
The same procedure is followed for the other unit prices and the optimal quantity is 63,246 at a total
cost of $242,663.
Q~EOQ~
So,
We select Q ~ 20,000 (break point) and evaluate the corresponding total cost, which includes
purchase cost + holding cost + order cost
Total Cost ~ (20000)(12)(0.98) + (20000](0.2 KO.98) + (20000)(12) (400)
2
20000
Q~
Qd_~+ CQ'
~ $ 241,960
(C-d)h
Similarly we evaluate the EOQs at prices ofp ~ 0.98 (Q ~ 31298) and p ~ 0.96 (Q ~ 31623, which is
not in the range so use Q ~ 40001). The corresponding total costs are $241,334 and $236,640.
C-d
40001/2 ~ 2000.5
(b) If the manufacturer did not offer a quantity discount but sold all plywood at $0.96 per square foot
then Q ~ 31,623 and the total cost is $ 233,436
9-55
9-56
7. In this problem, the goal is to obtain an annual demand for which TL costs are equal to LTL costs. As the
annual demand increases, the optimal batch size grows making TL more economical. Above the threshold
obtained, Flanger should use TL. Below the threshold they should use L TL.
8.
Thus, we equate the two cost functions as shown below:
(a) LTL costs with one supplier per truck:
2(D)(500)
(0.2)(50)
~(100)
245
- 12
( 3000
0.98 months
QTL
~ ~(400)
QTL
QTL (10)
2
~ ~(100)+~(400)+ QTL
QTL
Qn
(10)
$5449
LTL Costs:
2(D)(100)
(0.2)(50)
~(100)
QLTL
~
D(1)
. between orders
TIme
(775
- 12
3000
3.1 months
QLTL (10)
2
Equating the TL and L TL costs results in a demand value of 3056. If the demand goes beyond this value then
the TL option will prove economical and if the demand is below this value then LTL is the optimal choice.
Worksheet 10-7 solves this problem in EXCEL by using the solver option.
(b) If the unit cost is increased to $100 then the new threshold is 6112. Thus, as unit cost increases the LTL
QLTL
$7746
(c) If the L TL cost decreases to $0.8 per unit then the new threshold value becomes 4775.
9-57
9-58
(a)
So, n* of the case of 2 suppliers is
S*
Thus, n* =
$ 1200
EO
_ _
Q- Q-
/2(30000)(200)
5(0.5)
3464 unitslbatch
$17320
$6000
Similar analysis for the medium and slow products results in batch sizes of 2191 and 980, respectively.
(d) The optimal number of suppliers that need to be grouped is 4 with an order quantity of 490 units and total
cost of $4,899. The truck capacity of 2000 units would not be sufficient if more than 4 suppliers are
aggregated.
(b)
The total costs for three product groups are:
(e) When demand is 3000 the aggregated TL option with four suppliers is optimal, and when the demand
decreases to 1500 the L TL option is optimaL As demand increases to 1800, the aggregated TL option with
four suppliers is optimaL
Worksheet 11-8 shows the results and analysis for this problem
So, the total cost across all products is $73,522.
9. We compute the total cost for the fast moving product and a similar approach can be utilized to evaluate the
total costs for medium and slow moving products.
(c)
For the fast moving products the total time required is:
9-59
9-60
10.
(a)
In situations where full truckloads are used the number of deliveries for large, medium, and small customers in
a given year is 5, 2, and 0.7, respectively, which is obtained by dividing annual demand by truck capacity in
each case.
(7.1/2)(365)/60
22 days of inventory
For the medium and small customers the total costs are $11,225 and $6,481, respectively, and the inventory
carried by these customers is 34 and 59 units, respectively.
5(800+ 250)
$5250
So, n* of the case is
$15,000
S*
800 + 3(250)
$1550
(12/2)(365)/60
So, n* =
8.6 orders/year
2(1550)
37 days of inventory
For the Large customer:
For the medium and small customers the total costs are $17,100 and $15,700, respectively, and the inventory
carried by these customers is 91 and 274 units, respectively.
Order quantity
Thus, the overall cost of this plan for the three customers is $53,050
Transportation cost:
nL(S+SL)
(b) In this case, we evaluate separate EOQs for each of three cases.
(6.97/2)(10000)(0.25)
Order quantity
D/Q
6017.1
8.5(800+250)
60/8.6
6.97 units/order
$9,044
$8,707
For the medium and small customers the total costs are $5,636 and $3,314, respectively, and the inventory
carried by these customers is 21.2 and 21.2 units, respectively.
$8874
Thus, the overall cost of this plan for the three customers is $26,702
(d) In the case of partial aggregation we evaluate relative delivery frequency. In this case not every customer
is supplied with the product in every order.
$8,874
8.6(800+250)
(6.97/2)(365)/60
D/n*
8.5 orders/year
9-61
9-62
Step 1 we identify most frequently ordered product assuming each product is ordered independently.
11.
(a) From the retailer's standpoint, the optimal order quantity is:
Q~
For the medium and small customers the order frequency is 5.3 and 3.1, respectively.
Thus, the most frequent ordering of the product comes from the large customer.
Retailer costs:
Step 2: We identify the frequency with which other customer orders are included into the most frequently
ordered.
We evaluate
nM and nL
Crunchy's costs:
Since we are already accounting for the fixed cost for the large customer, we only consider the product specific
costs for medium and small customers. Thus:
n ~ ~hCMLJM
M
and similarly, n L
2s M
0.25(10000)(24)
2(250)
11
Total cost
$37,232
6.3
We now evaluate the frequency with which medium and small customers order relative to the large customer.
mM
Similarly, m s
Step 3: Having decided the order frequency for each customer, we recalculate the order frequency for the most
n~
2(S+SM/mM +SL/mL)
9.37 orders/year
Step 4: For medium and small customers, we evaluate the order frequency:
nM
ns
~
~
nimM
nims
9.3711 ~ 9.37
9.37/2 ~ 4.68
The total costs are evaluated as in the previous problem except for the fact that the order costs for medium and
small customers only includes the product specific costs.
9-63
9-64
(c) In this case, we equate the total costs associated with ordering at the EOQ and the breakpoint levels for the
retailer in determining the discount level. The goal seek option is utilized to obtain the discount per unit at
2.
break point, which is equal to $0. 00917. Worksheet 11-11 provides details of the analysis.
Dr - (T+L) D
(2+3)(300)
1500
12.
(a) Given that Demand is estimated to be equal to 2,000,000 - 2,000p and the production costs for Orange
is $100 per unit, we get the optimal price by setting P equal to (2,000,000 + 2,000(100))/4000 giving
Orange a wholesale price equal to $550.
At this wholesale price Good Buy would set a retail price equal to (2,000,000 + 2,000(550))/4000 or
$775.
SS -
hi (CSL)
OUL
X CYr -
D(T+L) + ss
hi (0.95) x 447
~
1500 + 736
~
~
NORMSINV (0.95))
2236
Profits for Orange at this price would be $202,500,000 and Good Buy would have a profit of
$101,250,000.
3.
(b) If Orange offers a $40 discount to Good Buy, then the new price would be (2,000,000 +
2,000(510))/4000 or $755. Good Buy would pass along $20 or 50% of the discount offered by
Orange.
Worksheet 11-12 provides details of the analysis.
Dr
CY L
LD
(2)(300)
JL CY D
600
../2(200) ~ 283
13.
(a) Good Buy should purchase is lots equal to SQRT[(2DS)/hC]
SQRT {(2x450000x10000)/(.2x550)] ~ 9,045
We use the following expression to determine the safety stock (ss): ESC ~ -ss[l- F s(~)]+ CY Lf s(~)
O'L
(b) Given the $40 discount by Orange for the next two weeks, Good buy should adjust its lot size to
(40)(450000)/(550-40)(.2) + (550x9045)/(550-40) ~ 16,814. Equation 11.15
O'L
1.
BY CHANGING CELL C27
D r ~ LD
(2)(300)
600
This results in a ss value of 477 and the reorder point of:
(JL -
SS
JL CY D
~ hi (CSL) X CYr ~ hi
ROP ~ DL + ss
ROP ~ DL + ss
(0.95) x 283
600 + 465
NORMSINV (0.95))
600 + 477
1,077
4.
1065
D r ~ LD
(2)(250)
500
9-65
9-66
DL
SS -
ROP - ss
CSL
600 - 500
LD
(4)(800)
"L - Ji"D -
100
3200
.J4(lOO)~200
Coefficient of variation - rs / 11
0.68
ESC~-ss[l- FS(~)]+"ds(~)
O'L
O'L
1- (ESC/Q)
1- (43.8611000)
43.86
100/800 ~ 0.13
(329)(900)
0.96
296,074
(296,074)(30)
$8,882,210
5.
$2,220,552
$308
Aggregated Option:
D L ~ LD
(2)(250)
500
0 L -"
SS -
2 2 -
hi (CSL)
DC ~ kD ~ (900)(800) ~ 720000
2x 150 +
2
250 x1.5
2
431
~
DL - LD c ~ (4)(800)(900) ~ 2,880,000
ESC~-ss[l- Fs(~)]+"ds(~)
O'L
ESC
1- (ESC/Q)
"L
O'L
1- (911000)
"firs g ~
ss ~ Fs i (CSL)
0.991
9869
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
(9869)(30)
$296,070
709
539
$74,018
$0.1
Savings in the holding cost per unit sold from aggregation ~ $3.08 - $0.1
405
$2.98
349
Following are the evaluations for the Cashmere Sweaters:
DL
LD
(4)(50)
200
"L - Ji"D -
Disaggregated Option:
9-67
.J4(50)~ 100
9-68
Coefficient of variation ~
CY / I-'
50/50 ~ 1
(164)(900)
France:
D L ~ LD
(I L -
147,600
(147,600 )(100)
$14,760,000
(8)(3000)
JL (I D
ss at France
~
$3,690,000
(CSL)
$82
The ss at the other five countries is evaluated in a similar manner, which results in a total ss for Europe of
48,384
Aggregated Option:
DC ~ kD ~ (900)(50) ~ 45000
DC =
DL ~ LD c ~ (4)(50)(900) ~ 180000
ss
hi (CSL)
(IL
4935
CY,2 -
.[iCY;
ss ~ Fs i (CSL)
~
~ 16500
(4935)(100)
~ 4445.22
DL - LD c ~ (8)(16500) ~ 132,000
~ = ~t
(J'
-!4(l500)~ 3000
i:D, ~
1=1
.[iCY; -
Aggregated Option:
(I L -
24000
F S i
(J' ~
~ .J8(4445.22)~ 12573
X
$493,456
Inventory savings from aggregation ~ 48,384 -
20,681~
27,704
$123,364
Excel Worksheet 12-7 illustrates these computations.
Savings in the holding cost per unit sold from aggregation ~ $82.84 - $2.74
$79.50
Centralization results in savings for both products, but it is evident that savings in holding cost per unit sold
(a)
Disaggregated Option:
from aggregating Cashmere Sweaters is higher than Khaki pants. So, Cashmere Sweaters are better for
centralization.
From the previous problem, we know that the total ss for Europe is 48,384
7.
Aggregated Option:
ss
$2,419,200
20,681
Disaggregated Option:
9-69
9-70
$1,034,036
The following table shows the savings as the correlation coefficient increases from 0 to 1 with increments of
0.2
Savings from aggregation
$2,419,200 -$1,034,036
$1,385,164
(b) If the $5/unit additional cost of assembly from centralization then the total additional costs
(132000)(52)(5) ~
Savings ~ $1,385,164 - So, it is not economical to aggregate
Corr.Coeff.
995876.3
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
(c) If the lead time changes to 4 weeks, we evaluate the safety stocks and associated costs in a similar
manner.
(200)(0.25)(34213)
$1,710,650
$731,150
Excel Worksheet 12-9 illustrates these computations.
$1,710,650 - $731,150
$979,500
10.
(5000)(20)
100,000
Since the demand at various locations is not independent, we utilize the following expressions for the
aggregated option:
ss
k
hi (CSL)
X "[
hi (0.99) x 24000
55832/5000
11.17 days
batch size/2
100000/2 ~ 50,000
NORMSINV (0.99))
i>j
i=l
50000/5000
For P ~ 0.2
10 days
(50000 + 55832)(100)(0.2)
(0.5)(5000)(365)
$2,116,640
$912,500
ss
In-Transit Inventory
17307
~ Fs (CSL)
i
DL
(5000)(36)
~ Fs
(0.95) x 17307
28,467~
NORMSINV (0.95))
180,000
(180000)(100)(0.2)
19,918
$3,600,000
9-71
(5000)(1)
5,000
9-72
11.
(JL -
ss
~ hi (CSL)
X "[
~ hi
(0.99)
8000
18611/5000
3.72 days
batch size/2
5000/2
"L -
2500/5000
ss - hi (CSL)
(2500 + 18611)(100)(0.2)
~
DL
(5000)(4)
OUL
$2,737,500
~
(20000)(100)(0.2)
~
X "[ -
(5000)(20)
hi (0.99) x 29933
D(T+L) + ss
100,000
50000/5000
349,635
100000/2 ~ 50,000
10 days
(50000 + 69635)(100)(0.2)
(0.5)(5000)(365)
$2,392,700
$912,500
Based on the results air transportation would be the optimal choice, but if Motorola does not have the
ownership of in-transit inventory then sea transportation is the optimal choice.
In-Transit Inventory
DL
(5000)(36)
NORMSINV (0.99))
13.93 days
batch size/2
$3,559,720
69635/5000
$400,000
$3,159,720 + $400,000
5000(36+20) + 69635
$3,159,720
20000
$422,220
.JL + T (J'D
DT
2,500
0.5 days
(1.5)(5000)(365)
NORMSINV (0.99))
$3,305,200
180,000
(180000)(100)(0.2)
$3,600,000
$3,029,140 + $3,600,000
$6,905,200
ss ~ Fs i (CSL)
X "[
DT
~ Fs i
9-73
(5000)(1)
~
~
5,000
4.16 days
5000(1+4) + 20807
batch size/2
2500/5000
45,807
5000/2
2,500
0.5 days
9-74
(2500 + 20807)(100)(0.2)
(1.5)(5000)(365)
$466,150
$2,737,500
DL
(5000)(4)
We use the GOAL SEEK function in determining the safety stock (ss) by using ss as the changing value that
results in an ESC value of IS
$3,203,650
20000
(20000)(100)(0.2)
~
$400,000
$3,203,650 + $400,000
TO VALUE 1.5
$3,603,650
Based on the results air transportation would be the optimal choice. Even if Motorola does not have the
871
(a)
ss
ROP - DL
750 - 300(2)
750-600
150
Disaggregated Option:
(JL
JL CY D ~ ../2(100)
~ 141.42
CJL+T - .JL+T CJ D
CSL
ESC~-ss[l- Fs(~)]+cyds(~)
O'L
1- (ESCIQ)
1- (1011500)
(where, hi (0.99)
O'L
-J3+7(50)~ 158
85.56%
10
NORMSINV (0.99))
(367.83)(25)
9195.7
Aggregated Option:
0.993
DC ~ kD ~ (25)(300) ~ 7500
If the ROP increased from 750 to 800 the fill rate will increase to 0.996
l>j
13.
Fill rate (fr)
So, ESC
1- (ESCI1500)
0.999
CJ ~ ~ ../kcy - m(50) ~ 250 (we are assuming that p ~ O. If P is not 0 then the covariance terms have to be
1.5
included)
ESC~-ss[l- Fs(~)]+cyds(~)l
O'L
O'L
ss ~ Fs i (CSL)
1.5
9-75
9-76
(7356.56) (10)
$73,566
(73,566 )(0.2)
$14,712
(300)(25)(365)(0.02)
$54,750
..;r5-(1-5-)2;;--+-3-0-(5-)"'2 ~ 43.30
Since the increase in transportation costs outweighs the savings received from aggregation, we do not
recommend aggregation for this case.
(b)
We utilize the same approach as in (a) by changing the daily demand mean and standard deviation to
5 and 4, respectively
Inventory savings
(588.52) (10)
588.52
$ 5885.2
,fL
(J
~ Fs 1 (0.95)
(597.74)(20000)(0.2)
~
597.74
$2,390,942.52
(550)(100)(52)
$2,860,000
(c)
($5885.2 )(0.2)
(5)(25)(365)(0.02)
$1177
$913
Since the increase in transportation costs does not outweigh the savings received from aggregation, we
recommend aggregation for this case.
F S 1 (0.95)
J4(27.39) ~ 90.09
493.46 - 90.09
15.
(a)
,fL
(J
D -
(403.36)(20000)(0.2)
403.36
$1,613,440
(300)(100)(52)
$1,560,000
Decentralized:
ss (at each large dealer) ~ Fs 1 (CSL) x ,fL (J D ~ Fs 1 (0.95)
ss (across all large dealers) ~ (5)(49.35) ~ 246.73
J4(15) ~ 49.35
(e) Similar analysis can be performed for the uncommon variant (See EXCEL Worksheet 12-15 for
more details)
(f) For the popular variant, centralize inventories from small dealers and decentralize at large dealers.
For the uncommon variant, centralize all inventories.
Decentralized:
ss (at each small dealer) ~ Fs (CSL) x ,fL (J D ~ Fs (0.95)
ss (across all small dealers) ~ (30)(16.45) ~ 493.46
1
J4(5) ~ 16.45
(b)
9-77
9-78
(394.76)(1000)(0.2)
$78,952.97
$327,600
$6.03
Commonality is not justified across low vo lume variants because of increased costs.
Excel Worksheet 12-16 illustrates these computations.
(b&c)
Exercise Solutions
C"+Cc
50+120
Optirnallot-size ~ O ~ NORMINV
ss ~ F S - 1 (CSL)
JL
(J
~ F S- 1 (0.95) x 8686.91
Given that p
reduction in safety inventory from complete commonality ~ 657.94 + 592.15 - 686.91
Expected profits
holding cost savings per year
(563.18)(1000)(0.2)
$200, s
$30, c
$150:
563.18
~
$ll2,635.54
- (p - s)(J NORMDIST((O - f')/'0 O. 1. 0) - 0 (c - s) NORMDIST(O.
f', '0
1)
$1,627,600
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O.
additional cost at which complete commonality is justified ~ ll2635.54/(1252)(52)
f', '0
I)] ~ $2.657
$l. 73
Expected overstock ~ (0 - f')NORMDIST(O - f')/(J. O. 1. 1) + (J NORMDIST(O - f')/(J. O. 1. 0)
~741
(d&e)
Expected understock ~
29.07
JL (J D ~ Fs- 1 (0.95) x
2.
..[4(60) ~ 197.38
9-79
9-80
4.
50+120
CC::-'L
""<'L' - ~ __
30 __ 075
L0
C " + C, 30 + 10
CC::-'L
2.78
Expected understock =
8,236
3.
CSL =
Standard deviation of demand during lead time = (JL = CY DJL = 500.[i = 707
CC::-'L
,f',J) = NORMINV(0.857,20000,10000)
= 30,676
Safety inventory = ROP - DL = 6000 - 4000 = 2000
Given that p = $60, s = $25, c = $30:
Expected profits
OptimalCSL
HQ
(1- CSL) D y ,",
~= _8_0_=
C" + C, 80 +10
10 x 10000
= $4ll
(1- 0.9977) x 2000 x 52
0.8889
11,407
So, it is evident that using South America option results in increased expected profits, but also increases the
9-81
9-82
Thus, it is benefical to utilize the tailored sourcing option due to increased expected profits. This
option increases the optimal production lot size for Reguplo and decreases the lot sizes for each of the
other three options.
5.
Current sourcing (one line):
CC::-'L
IBM:
.f'.J) = NORMINV(0.8333, 10000, 1000) =
CS'L '=~=_35_=0.7447
C " +C, 35+12
= 10,967
Given that p = $200, s = $80, c = $100:
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
f',
f', '0
1)
(01)] = $970,018
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
CC::-'L
f',
f', '0
1)
(01)] = $144,796
= 0.7857
= 1,622
CC::-'L
,f',J) = NORMINV(0.7857,1000,700) =
Similarly, the other three are evaluated and the results are summarized below:
= 1,554
Given that p = $220, s = $80, c = $llO:
Outputs
Optimal cycle service level
Optimal production size
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
f',
f', '0
1)
Expected profits
(01)] = $81,421
Expected overstock
AT&T
0.7447
8,645
HP
0.7447
5,316
Cisco
0.7447
5447
-$207,245
-$109,796
- $106,776
2,028
1,622
1,785
9-83
9-84
7.
(b)
With aggregation:
Cost of overstocking, Co =
0.50
Cost of understocking, Cu =
5.00
Mean demand
Standard deviation of demand
=
50,000
Anticipated demand
C"+C, 32+4
Optimal lot-size ~ 0' ~ NORMINV
~ 25,333
Given that p
20,000
. CSL ~
Optunal
15,000
- C"
- - ~ -5- ~ 0.91
C"+C, 5+0.5
Expected profits
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
f',
'0 1)]
f',
'0 1)
$610,210
5,568
As can be seen from the results above, postponement increases the expected profit and decreases the amount of
overstock.
(a)
Cost of overstocking, Co =
0.50
Cost of understocking, Cu =
100
Mean demand
Standard deviation of demand
=
50,000
Optimal CSL ~
15,000
~ ~ ~ _1_ ~ 0.67
C"+C,
1+0.5
9-85
9-86
9.
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
(a)
Mean demand =
5.000
2.000
Cost of overstockinq. Co
$ 40.00
Order size =
6.000
1)] ~ $140,001
f', '0
1,224
(Co)(CSL)/(l-CSL)
0.691
Given that p
CCS'L
NORMDIST (6000-5000/2000)
(40)(0.691)/(1-0.691)
$125, s
$75, c
$80:
$89.64
Expected profits
(b)
- (p - s)CY NORMDIST((O - f')/'0 0, 1, 0) - 0 (c - s) NORMDIST(O,
Mean demand =
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
2,000
$ 40.00
Order size =
8,000
~
1)] ~ $164,644
f', '0
2,326
NORMDIST (8000-5000/2000)
(Co)(CSL)/(l-CSL)
0.933
(40)(0.933)/(1-0.933)
II.
~
$558.74
(a)
~DL~
(40)(1)
40
10.
Safety inventory
Current policy:
CSL
CCS'L
ROP - DL
45 - 40
Expected profits
$125, s
~
$60, c
~ CY DJL ~ 5.Jl ~ 5
(0.25)(4)
HQ
(1- CSL)
Dr,",
$1
Given that p
(JL
0.8413
45 + 20
1)
5,000
Cost of overstockinq, Co
f', '0
$80:
1 x 200
(1- 0.8413) x 40 x 365
$0.086
f', '0
1)
9-87
9-88
(b)
With postponement:
HQ(CSL)
1 x 200 x 0.8413
$0.073
Standard deviation
= 16000
(c)
DesiredCSL~I-~-ICu
,",
C u+C u
lx200
l.5 x 40 x 365
0.9909
8+5
11.8
84,694
f', '0
1)
12.
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O.
f', '0
I)]
$560.515
Without postponement:
Expected overstock ~ (0 - f')NORMDIST((O - f')/CY. O. 1. 1) + CY NORMDIST((O - f')/CY. O. 1. 0)
F or each box:
~
Indifferent:
At a unit cost of$IO.7 the two options. i.e .. postponement and no postponement would be indifferent. This
unit cost is obtained by using the solver option in EXCEL by considering cell 21 as the changing cell while
cell 35 is utilized as the target cell with a value of $673.446.
25,891
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O.
f', '0
I)]
13.
f', '0
1)
The with and without postponement calculations are similar to problem 12 (EXCEL worksheet 13-13
illustrates these computations). but what is new in this problem is the tailored postponement which is discussed
below:
$168.362
Tailored postponement:
6.965
4(168.362)
9.003
""<''L' = ~= _1_5_=0.6818
L0
C +C u 15 +7
Optima11ot-size ~ 0' ~ NORMINV CCS'L . f'.0") ~ NORMINV(0.6818,30000,5000)
$673.446
4(25.891)
27.860
~
103.564
9-89
32,364
9-90
Given that p
Expected profits
$35, s ~ $13, c
~
$20:
Given that p
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
Expected profits
$410,757
Standard deviation ~
J4000
Expected profits
Given that p
,1',0") ~ NORMINV(0,6182,24000,6928)
$21,4:
$28:
$268,281
6,295
$410,757 + $268,281
~
$679,038
15.
21,479
Without discount:
1"<'1' - ~- _7__ 0 7
L0
C"+C, 7+3
14.
$1,076,941
18,083
$95, s ~ $0, c
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
5,470
Expected profits
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
$1,029,731
With discount:
26,083
$35, s ~ $13, c
C" + C, 14 + 8
Optimal lot-size ~ 0' ~ NORMINV CCSL
Given that p
24,000
CS'L = ~ = ~ = 0,6182
~
$30:
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
3,396
$95, s ~ $0, c
~
,1',0") ~ NORMINV(0.6842,20000,8000)
CCS'L
23,836
Given that p
CCSL
83,110
$10, s ~ $0, c
$3:
65 +30
9-91
9-92
Expected profits
40-Gb
26,1'72
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
$403,077
expected profits would be:
40-Gb
20-Gb
$1,790,125
$2,072,482
17,869
6-Gb
$2,002,170
With discount:
EXCEL worksheet 13-16 illustrates these computations.
Expected profits
$10, s ~ $0, c
~
$2,75:
Exercise Solutions
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
1.
$410,974
Coal:
31,403
the carload option the calculations are shown below:
2(15)(100000)
3,000,000 Ibs
16.
a. the manufacturer should order
40-Gb
26,772
20-Gb
47,419
6-Gb
84,054
40-Gb
$1,664,888
20-Gb
$2,048,931
(3000000)(0.25)(0.01)/365
I 00000/2
$20.55
50000 units
6-Gb
$2,080,846
Cycle inventory cost per day ~ (50000)(0.25)(0.01)/365
c. !fthe available capacity is limited to 140,000 units the manufacturer should order:
9-93
$0.34
9-94
One warehouse is built in either the eastern or western zone (by symmetry, the costs will be the
same)
One warehouse is built in the central zone
A warehouse is built in each zone
$4000
Worksheet 14-1 provides the results for all the options. Based on these results, using a full train
results in the lowest cost per day of$258.8l
l\1RO:
Similar analysis can be undertaken for the l\1RO option and using a truck at the smallest shipment
size of 1250 results in the lowest cost of $139 per day.
The idea of this exercise is to evaluate the change in facility, inventory and transportation costs on
centralization. We evaluate the costs for the following three options:
2.
9-95
9-96
2*205
410 Euros
Tlius, if Milan is to be replenished every three days, it is best to use one large truck The optimal
trucking option and associated cost for each replenishment frequency is shown in the table.
Below we show the optimal shipment options for each city.
The cost with a warehouse in each zone is the lowest (it is very close to the cost of having only one
warehouse in the central zone).
3.
We detail the analysis for one ofthe cities (l\1ilan) and provide the results in the other cases. Milan
has daily demand of25,000 kg. If the Milan warehouse is replenished every k days, the quantity to be
shipped will be 25,000k kg. Thus, the number of trucks and the cost per ton for different
replenishment intervals is as shown below.
MILAN
1
2
3
4
Replenishment Interval
Load Size
No of Trucks (Small)
Cost per ton (Small)
No of Trucks (Medium)
Cost per ton (medium)
No of Trucks (Large)
Cost Der ton (Laroe)
25000
1
720
1
8.20
1
9.20
50000
2
720
1
4.10
1
4.60
75000
2
4.80
2
5.47
1
3.07
100000
3
5.40
2
4.10
2
4.60
75,000 kg.
The use of small or medium trucks will require two trucks each, whereas the use of a large truck will
only require one truck With replenishment every three days,
Cost of2 small trucks every three days
2* 180
360 Euros
9-97
9-98
PARIS
Paris
Daily Demand
35000
1000
Distance
Replenishment Interval
Load Size
No of Trucks (Small)
Cost per ton shipped (Small)
No of Trucks (Medium)
Cost per ton (medium)
No of Trucks (Large)
Cost per ton (Larqe)
1.
35000
1
5.71
1
6.43
1
7.14
70000
2
5.71
2
6.43
1
105000
3
5.71
2
4.29
2
4.76
140000
4
5.71
3
4.82
2
3.57
With no buyback:
CSL' = C":"C,
Daily Demand
Distance
Replenishment Interval
Load Size
No of Trucks (Small)
Cost per ton (Small)
No of Trucks (Medium)
Cost per ton (medium)
No of Trucks (Large)
Cost per ton (Larqe)
3.57
Given that:
Barnes & Noble's sale price (p) = $24
Barnes & Noble's salvage value (s = b) = $3
Barnes & Noble's cost (c) = $12:
20000
600
20000
1
8.00
1
9.25
1
10.5
40000
1
4.00
1
4.63
1
5.25
60000
2
5.33
1
308
1
3.50
80000
2
4.00
2
4.63
1
Distance
Replenishment Interval
Load Size
No of Trucks (Small)
Cost per ton (Small)
No of Trucks (Medium)
Cost per ton (medium)
No of Trucks (Large)
Cost per ton (Larqe)
2.63
Daily Demand
MADRID
Madrid
= 20,900
COPENHAGEN
CopenH
= 121!9 =0.571
20000
1300
Expected understock =
20000
1
11.50
1
12.75
1
14.00
40000
1
5.75
1
6.38
1
7.00
60000
2
7.67
1
4.25
1
4.67
80000
2
5.75
2
6.38
1
Given that:
Publisher's sale price (c) = $12
Publisher's buyback price (b) = $0
Publisher's cost (v) = $1
3.50
The above tables assume that only one type of truck will be used. We can also do the analysis
assuming that a combination (e.g small + large) can also be used.
$198,784 + $229,901
O(c-v) - (overstock)(b)
=
$229,901
$428,685
With buyback:
Other factors that should be considered before making this decision are:
1. How does the replenishment interval affect the safety stock requirement at the warehouses?
2. How does the replenishment interval affect the level of inventory (and thus the size of the
warehouses )?
3. How does the replenishment interval affect other warehouse costs (such as labor cost)?
9-99
5)
23372
4118
746
9-100
$214,578
$236,506
4)
16648
6862
214
$451,084
$90,835
2.
~
$122,386
With no buyback:
Total supply chain profit
I"<''L'
L0
Cu
Cu+C u~
9.99
999+501
0.666
3.
Topgun's response:
Given that:
VideosRUs' sale price (p) ~ $19.99
VideosRUs' salvage value (s ~ b) ~ $4.99
VideosRUs' cost (c) ~ $10:
~
CSL~~= (1-f)p-c
C+C
f', '0
1,752
Expected understock ~
1,103
(1-0.35)(15)(6487-1752) + (1)(1752)-(3)(6487)
O(c-v) - (overstock)(b)
$72,609 + $109,300
(3-2)6487 + 0.35(15)(6487-1752)
$31,344
Given that:
Studio's sale price (c) ~ $10
Studio's buyback price (b) ~ $0
Studio's cost (v) ~ $1
~
6,487
3,248
1)] ~ $72,609
(1-f)P-SR
+ 0 (p - c) [I -NORMDIST(O,
$213,221
12,144
SR
$28,455
$59,799
$109,300
$181,909
With buyback:
9-101
9-102
We reevaluate the problem with the revised contract; the solution is shown below:
Inputs
Whole sale price, c =
Production cost, v =
Retail price, p =
Discount price,
$
$
$
$
SR
2
2
15
We solve for the optimal order quantity 0 using Solver by maximizing the retailer ' s profit function shown
above. The results are shown below:
Inputs
0.43
5000
2000
Mean Demand
4,000
1,600
36.00
Benetton's Cost, v=
salvage value for Benetton, Sm
20.00
Topgun's Response
O ptim al cycle service lev el O ptim al order quanti ty, O =
Expected overstock =
Expected sales =
0 .868
7230
2363
4867
$
$
1000
$
Output
60 905
Q - 0 (1+ 0.35)
0 (1- 0)
3931
0.35
Q=
5,307
q=
393 1
Output
4.
2500
alpha =
beta =
salvage value, Sc =
Order size, 0 =
Contract
It is evident that the second contract results in higher profits for both parties.
55.00
$
31,391
$
29,514
$
4,41 8
3,8 13
Manufacturers profits =
$
61 ,791
$
Retailers proFits =
65 804
$
127,595
J-
(J
s( Q: fl
J,
9-103
9-104
We reevaluate the total costs associated with supplier 2 based on the three options provided in the problem; the
costs are show below:
Supplier 1: Reliable
Cost/unit ~ $5000
Min batch size ~ 100
Lead time (wks) ~ 1
SD Lead time (wks) ~ 0.1
Option
Total Cost
LT=4
26,373,828.55
min batch=800
26,259,790.75
SD of LT=3
26,191,932.07
All three
26,064,178.01
$
$
ss
~ hi (CSL)
x (h
~ hi
(0.95) x 50.99
(83.87)(5000)(0.25)
NORMSINV (0.95))
$104,839
$26,167,339
Supplier 2: Value
Cost/unit ~ $4800
Min batch size ~ 1000
Lead time (wks) ~ 5
SD Lead time (wks) ~ 4
q ~ 0 (1- 0.2)
F(q)
(683.16)(4800)(0.25)
~NORMSINV
F(Q)
(0.95))
1000(1.2)
1000(0. 8)
1200
800
NORMDIST (800,1000,300,1)
0.2525
~NORMDIST(1200,1000,300,1) ~
Q-I-l
$819,791
0 (1+ 0.2)
1200 -1000
300
0.7475
0.67
$26,379,790
800-1000
It is evident that supplier 1 is the preferred supplier due to lower costs
300
- 0.67
9-105
9-106
.u{FS(Q:.u]-FS( q:.u]} -
NORMINV(O.S, 400000,150000)
400,000
But since the manufacturer only sends 100,000 to the retailer, the amount to be sent to the high service channel
is the minimum of 100,000 and 400,000. So only 100,000 units are sent to the high service channel.
J- (J f s( Q: fl J~ 954.66
QR -DR ~ 45.34
s*~~~_3_~0.S
Expected manufacturer profit ~ QRX
Cw+C s
3+3
0' ~ NORMINV(s', fl" (J,) ~ NORMINV(O.S, 20000, 10000) ~ 20000
+ (Q - QR)SM- Q x v ~ $4,800
With change in alpha and beta values the revised profits are:
So, the total size of the contracts that the manager should sign is 20,000 square feet
Retail profit
(b)
$
alpha=.5
3,704.18
$
beta=.5
The problem is solved by using solver by maximizing 0 subject to the restriction that 0
3,782.96
NORMINV(O.S,
So, the total space that the manager should sign contracts for is 17,647 square feet
Worksheet 16-3 presents this solution
4.
Exercise Solutions
The amount of trucking capacity the manager should save for the spot market is given by:
1.
~NORMINV(p',
fl, (J)
45,274 units
250 units
5.
The size of the annual contract the manager should sign is given by:
2.
9-107
9-108
Subject to:
6.
PI, P2 >~ 0
Unconstrained case:
Decision variables:
Worksheet 16-7 presents the solution to this problem using Solver. Note that this is a non-linear modeL
<~
$1,150 and P2
Constrained case:
PI
P2
The only difference for the constrained case is that we change the capacity constraint as shown below:
<~
20000
Objective:
Solving this problem results in PI
$1,287.5 and P2
<~
PI, P2 >~ 0
Solving this problem results in PI
$1,100 and P2
Worksheet 16-6 presents the solution to this problem using Solver. Note that this is a nonlinear modeL
8.
Constrained case:
In this case we allow for acquiring additional capacity at a cost
The only difference for the constrained case is that we change the capacity constraint as shown below:
Decision variables:
<~
20000
~
$1,250 and P2
PI
P2
7.
c
The only change that we make here is with respect to the production costs as shown in bold.
Objective:
Unconstrained case:
Subject to:
PI
P2
c>~
<~
20000 + c
Objective:
9-109
9-110
$1,112.5 and P2
Decision variables:
Worksheet 16-8 presents the solution to this problem using Solver. Note that this is a nonlinear modeL
PI
pz
Pl
9.
Objective:
p
p(6000-60p)
(2000-1OpI) +(2000-20pI) +(2000-30pI)
<~
Subject to:
PI, P2, Pl,
(2000-1Op) + (2000-20p) + (2000-30p)
<~
q>~
5000
Solving this problem results in PI
>~
$120, P2
$70, Pl
Worksheet 16-9 presents the solution to this problem using Solver. Note that this is a nonlinear modeL
Solving this problem results in p
PI
pz
Pl
Objective:
Maximize revenue: pI(2000-1OpI) + p2(2000-20p2) + pl(2000-30pl)
Subject to:
(2000-1OpI) +(2000-20pI) + (2000-30pI)
PI, P2, Pl
>~
<~
5000
$100, p2
$50, p3
Quantity model:
9-111
9-112