Yagnesh Eco
Yagnesh Eco
Yagnesh Eco
FII is a category of investment instruments that are more easily traded, may be
less permanent, and do not represent a controlling stake in an enterprise. These
include investments via equity instruments (stocks) or debt (bonds) of a foreign
enterprise which does not necessarily represent a long-term interest. The returns
that an investor acquires on FII usually take the form of interest payments or nonvoting dividends. Investments in FII that are made for less than one year are
distinguished as short-term portfolio flows. Foreign portfolio investment (FPI), on
the otherhand is a category of investment instruments that is more easily traded,
may be less permanent, and do not represent a controlling stake in an enterprise.
These include investments via equity instruments (stocks) or debt (bonds) of a
foreign enterprise which does not necessarily represent a long-term interest.
Stocks:
dividend payments
Bonds:
interest payments
no voting rights
Investments in FPI that are made for less than one year are distinguished as shortterm portfolio flows. FPI flows tend to be more difficult to calculate definitively,
because they comprise so many different instruments, and also because reporting
is often poor. Estimates on FPI totals generally vary from levels equaling half of
FDI totals, to roughly one-third more than FDI totals.
The role of foreign capital in economic growth is much discussed nowadays but
remarkably little analysed. The basic objective of this chapter is to investigate the
causal long run relationship between FCIs and economic growth of India. The
FCIs-growth linkage assumes that the foreign capital inflows provide a significant
amount of contribution to the economic growth. To examine the same, first the
researcher developed a model on the basis of source of financing available to an
economy i.e. domestic capital and foreign capital. After that the researcher
employed co-integration test and Error Correction Model (ECM) technique.
The recent wave of financial globalization and its aftermath has been marked by a
surge in international capital flows among the industrial and developing countries,
where the notions of tense capital flows have been associated with high growth
rates (Edwin, 1950) in some developing countries. Some countries have
experienced periodic collapse in growth rates and financial crisis over the same
period. There is an ongoing debate on the pros and cons of Capital inflows i.e. is
there any strong positive connection between foreign capital inflows (FCIs) and
growth? Evidence on this very important question is far from ambiguous, with
China lending support and Brazil negating it. Since 1994, Brazil has attracted
enormous FDI from the developed countries, but neither the growth rate nor the
export prospects have showed Commen surate results. The study by Carkovic and
Levin (2002) failed to find strong evidence of positive correlation between FDI
inflows and output growth. The comments made earlier about the feasibility of
economic development without dependence on foreign borrowing are relevant
too. Historically, all of the three countries- Japan, South Korea and Taiwan very
carefully regulated foreign investment inflow during their period of growth
(Griffin, 2009). Theoretical and empirical research on the role of foreign capital
in the growth process has generally yielded conflicting results (Waheed, 2004).
Conventionally, the two-gap approach justifies the role of foreign capital for
relaxing the two major constraints to growth (Chenery and
Burno, 1962;
neither
explains differences in the levels and rates of growth across countries nor can
large capital flows make any significant difference to the growth rate that a
country could achieve (Krugman, 1993). Fitz Gerald (1998) theoretically argues
that higher capital inflows lower interest rates, which help increase investment
and economic growth. In their attempt to measure the link between growth and
capital inflows into India, Marwah and Klein (1998) starts by discussing the two
alternative frameworks for analysing the impact of inflows:
ratio and
a multifactor production function is estimated to capture the changes
The econometric analysis is based on annual observations for the period 1951-89
or appropriate sub periods. Results suggest that for every one percentage growth
point, 0.351 is generated by growth of domestic and foreign capital
nested
together, 0.569 by labour and 0.08 by imports. The contribution of the two types
of capital to the growth in productivity can be allocated in proportion to their
respective weights in the total nest. In this chapter an attempt has been made to
establish the relationship between foreign capital and economic growth of the
Indian economy. The purpose of foreign capital to under developed countries is
to accelerate their economic development upto a point
where a satisfactory
growth rate can be achieved on a self-sustaining basis. Capital flows in the form
of private investment; foreign investment, foreign aid and private bank lending
are the principal ways by which resources can come from rich to poor
countries. The transmission of technology, ideas and knowledge are other special
types of resource transfers. Capital flows have begun to play a significant role in
Indias growth dynamics.
the rules and regulations pertaining to the entry and operations of foreign
investors
The determinants of FPI are somewhat more complex, however. Because portfolio
investment earnings are more likely to be tied to the broader macroeconomic
indicators of a country, such as overall market capitalization of an economy, they
can be more sensitive to factors such as:
interest rates
2)The lure of higher profits: In the 1980s and early 1990s, a number of countries
in East Asia (Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore,
Taiwan, and Thailand) began to experience enormous economic growth rates, in
some cases piling up double-digit expansions in their GDP per capita year after
year. These countries had built their phenomenal growth on a foundation based on
greater integration into the international economy. In particular, they
began emphasizing export-led growth. Investors from around the world realized
that access to East Asian markets and their trading partners might help them attain
much higher returns on their investments than they could obtain at home.
3) The fall of the Berlin Wall: The end of the Cold War had an important impact
on international financial liberalization. First, many developing countries that had
previously been committed to socialist models of economic planning began to
turn toward market economies. The resulting efforts to privatize state-owned
enterprises and changes in economic policies that were more favorable to capital
investment made these economies much more attractive to potential investors.
In addition, the demise of the Soviet Union also gave many investors much more
confidence in the political stability of developing countries in general. Fears that a
government might be overthrown or voted out in favor of one that might
expropriate foreign assets declined.
4) Financial liberalization: Prior to the 1970s, many countries, including the
United States, imposed strict limits on the rights of companies and individuals to
invest overseas, to purchase foreign stocks and bonds, or even to hold foreign
currencies. Many of these restrictions were put in place following the Great
Depression of the 1930s, which had produced volatile movements of capital,
triggering financial panics in some cases.
However, in the early 1970s, the United States went off the gold standard and the
previous system of fixed exchange rates between foreign currencies was
abandoned. In addition, many restrictions were lifted on the flows of international
capital, making it much easier for investors to purchase foreign securities. Since
that time, the United States has been in the forefront of efforts to remove
remaining controls on the movement of international capital. The
Reagan, Clinton, and George W. Bush Administrations in particular made deregulation of capital movement a high priority on their international economic
policy agendas.
Financial liberalization has been the most direct, and probably the single biggest,
factor accounting for the growth of international investment flows over the past
several decade
creation, the availability of more advanced technology for the domestic market
and access to research and development resources. The local population may be
able to benefit from the employment opportunities created by new businesses
experienced periodic collapse in growth rates and financial crisis over the same
period. There is an ongoing debate on the pros and cons of Capital inflows i.e. is
there any strong positive connection between foreign capital inflows (FCIs) and
growth? Evidence on this very important question is far from ambiguous, with
China lending support and Brazil negating it. Since 1994, Brazil has attracted
enormous FDI from the developed countries, but neither the growth rate nor the
export prospects have showed commensurate results. The study by Car kovic and
Levin (2002) failed to find strong evidence of positive correlation between FDI
inflows and output growth. The comments made earlier about the feasibility of
economic development without dependence on foreign borrowing are relevant
too. Historically, all of the three countries- Japan, South Korea and Taiwan very
carefully regulated foreign investment inflow during their period of growth
(Griffin, 2009). Theoretical and empirical research on the role of foreign capital in
the growth process has generally yielded conflicting results Conventionally, the
two-gap approach justifies the role of foreign capital for relaxing the two major
constraints to growth In the neoclassical framework, however, capital neither
explains differences in the levels and rates of growth across countries nor can
large capital flows make any significant difference to the growth rate that a
country could achieve (Krugman,1993). Fitz Gerald (1998) theoretically argues
that higher capital inflows lower interest rates, which help increase investment
and economic growth. In their attempt to measure the link between growth and
capital inflows into India, Marwah and Klein (1998) starts by discussing the two
alternative frameworks for analysing the impact of inflows: (a) a macroeconomic
growth model in which the effect of FDI is examined through its effects on the
saving ratio and the capital output ratio and (b) a multifactor production function
is estimated to capture the changes induced by FDI in the relevant parameters.
Adopting framework (b) they assume constant returns to scale and four main
inputs- labour, domestic capital, foreign capital and imports. The econometric
analysis is based on annual observations for the period 1951-89 or appropriate
sub periods. Results suggest that for every one percentage growth point, 0.351 is
generated by growth of domestic and foreign capital nested together, 0.569 by
labour and 0.08 by imports. The contribution of the two types of capital to the
growth in productivity can be allocated in proportion to their respective weights
in the total nest. In this chapter an attempt has been made to establish the
relationship between foreign capital and economic growth of the Indian economy.
The purpose of foreign capital to under developed countries is to accelerate their
economic development upto a point where a satisfactory growth rate can be
achieved on a self-sustaining basis. Capital flows in the form of private
investment; foreign investment, foreign aid and private bank lending are the
principal ways by which resources can come from rich to poor countries. The
transmission of technology, ideas and knowledge are other special types of
resource transfers. Capital flows have begun to play a significant role in Indias
growth dynamics.
according to what form any given investment started out as. The potentially
positive effects of FDI include inducing incumbent firms to upgrade their
technology, and spill-over benefits so that local competitors can learn from
MNCs technological and managerial practices. The potentially negative effects
include the possibility of MNCs deliberately raising concentration levels, forcing
competitors out of business by predatory pricing, taking away skilled labour and
R&D staff from local firms, or engaging in restrictive business practices
which,among other things, may deter technological development.A well educated
and trained workforce is one of the location advantages that host countries can
provide to attract and retain inward FDI
income, but also through vertical linkages with suppliers and others. Labour
turnover, on the other hand, may have rather different implications for the
individual firm on the one hand, and the wider economy on the other. For the
individual firm, some degree of labour stability will be required to ensure that the
benefits from training flow back to the firm rather than moving on to rival firms.
For the economy as a whole, however, such movement may generate positive
spill-over effects. To some extent the successful creation of industrial districts can
internalise what would otherwise be externalities to the firm, so that labour
turnover becomes less costly, as the firm becomes more likely to benefit from
recruiting already skilled labour, and will also benefit from the fact that other
firms within the region are operating at or near the relevant technological frontier.
equal to the sum of the gross values added of all resident institutional units
engaged in production (plus any taxes, and minus any subsidies, on products not
included in the value of their outputs)."
GDP estimates are commonly used to measure the economic performance of a
whole country or region, but can also measure the relative contribution of an
industry sector. This is possible because GDP is a measure of 'value added' rather
than sales; it adds each firm's value added (the value of its output minus the value
of goods that are used up in producing it). For example, a firm buys steel and adds
value to it by producing a car; double counting would occur if GDP added
together the value of the steel and the value of the car. Because it is based on
value added, GDP also increases when an enterprise reduces its use of materials
or other resources ('intermediate consumption') to produce the same output.
The more familiar use of GDP estimates is to calculate the growth of the economy
from year to year (and recently from quarter to quarter). The pattern of GDP
growth is held to indicate the success or failure of economic policy and to
determine whether an economy is 'in recession'.
The most widespread belief among researchers and policy makers is that
FDI boosts growth through different channels. It increases the capital stock,
stimulates technological change through technological diffusion and generates
technological spillovers for local firms. Foreign investment is expected to
increase and improve the existing stock of knowledge in the recipient economy
through labour training, skill acquisition and diffusion. It contributes by
introducing new management practices and a more efficient organization of the
production process. As a result, FDI improves the productivity of host countries
and stimulates economic growth in terms of increase in GDP .Investigating the
impact of foreign capital on economic growth has important policy implications.
Positive impact of FDI on economic growth weakens the arguments for restricting
foreign investment in the host country. However the negative impact of FDI on
Exports:
The term export means shipping the goods and services out of the port of a
country. The seller of such goods and services is referred to as an "exporter" and
is based in the country of export whereas the overseas based buyer is referred to
as an "importer". In International Trade, "exports" refers to selling goods and
services produced in the home country to other markets .Methods of export
include a product or good or information being mailed, hand-delivered, shipped
CONCLUSION
preliminary analysis of FII flows to India and their influence onthe prices of
stocks in the Indian stock market. A more detailed study using daily
data of equity returns for a longer period or, better still, disaggregated
data showing the transactions of individual FIIs at the stock level
can help address questions regarding the extent of herding or returnchasing behavior among FIIs which now account for a significant part
of the capital account balance in our balance of payments. The extent
to which FII participation in Indian markets has helped lower cost of
capital to Indian industries is also an important issue to investigate. Broader
and more long-term issues involving foreign portfolio investment in
India a n d
their
economy-wide
implications
have
not
been