Final (Draft) Report
Final (Draft) Report
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FINAL REPORT
SUBMITTED TO
SUBMITTED BY
MARCH 2014
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CONTROLLED COPY
Report for
2013/04/DEVELOPMENT ADVISORY/YU/BLR/428
Document Status:
Final Report
Date:
Girish K. S.
02
Circulation
Copy 01: Kenz Inn Commercial Complex Limited, Thrissur, Kerala, India
Copy 02: Office Copy - Bangalore
Contact Information
For further information please contact:
Mr. Girish K. S. MRICS
Local Director - Strategic Consulting
Jones Lang LaSalle Property Consultants India Private Limited
Level 3, Concorde, UB City, #24, Vittal Mallya Road
Bangalore - 560 001
Ph: +91 80 4118 2900, Fax: +91 80 4118 2901
Mobile: +91 9900154567
E-mail: [email protected]
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1
INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 10
SCOPE OF W ORK ....................................................................................................... 10
LIMITATIONS TO THIS ASSIGNMENT .............................................................................. 11
DISCLAIMER AND PROFESSIONAL INDEMNITY ............................................................... 12
THRISSUR SNAPSHOT................................................................................................. 13
REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY ........................................................................................... 14
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS .............................................................................. 15
SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS ......................................................................... 16
ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS .................................................................................... 17
2.5.1
2.5.2
2.6
2.7
3.6.1
3.6.2
3.6.3
3.6.4
3.6.5
3.6.6
BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................ 67
CATCHMENT DELINEATION AND ANALYSIS ................................................................... 68
6.2.1
6.2.2
6.3
6.3.1
6.3.2
6.3.3
6.3.4
6.3.5
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GENERAL................................................................................................................... 85
RETAIL SHOPPING BEHAVIOR OF TARGET POPULATION ................................................ 85
DEMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS FOR RETAIL MALL AND BROAD TENANT MIX .................. 91
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
GENERAL................................................................................................................... 91
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED FOR DEMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS .......................................... 91
DEMAND ASSESSMENT FOR RETAIL SPACE .................................................................. 92
DEMAND-SUPPLY-GAP ASSESSMENT .......................................................................... 99
BROAD TENANT MIX AND POSITIONING ...................................................................... 100
DEVELOPMENT MIX, BUSINESS PLAN AND FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT ...... 105
9.1
9.2
9.2.1
9.2.2
9.2.3
9.7
9.8
10
CONSOLIDATED BUSINESS PLAN FOR THE ENTIRE FIRST PHASE DEVELOPMENT ................... 116
BUSINESS PLAN FOR THE RETAIL MALL AND MULTIPLEX ..................................................... 122
BUSINESS PLAN FOR THE SHOWROOM AND OFFICE SPACE ................................................. 126
10.1
10.2
10.3
10.4
LIST OF TABLES
Table 2.1: Salient Features of Thrissur City ..................................................................................... 13
Table 2.2: Demographic Features of Thrissur City (Municipal Corporation Area) and Thrissur UA
as per the 2011 Census ................................................................................................................... 16
Table 2.3: Population Details and Growth Trends in Population of Thrissur City (Municipal
Corporation Area) ............................................................................................................................. 16
Table 2.4: Working SSI/MSME Units Registered in Thrissur and Kerala ........................................ 18
Table 2.5: Working SSI/MSME Units Registered in Thrissur........................................................... 18
Table 2.6: District-wise Investment and Employment in KSIDC Units............................................. 19
Table 2.7: Tourism Statistics of Thrissur District and Kerala State ................................................. 20
Table 2.8: Overview and Salient Features of Major Infrastructure Projects in Thrissur .................. 21
Table 3.1: Select List of Builders and Developers Active in Thrissur City ....................................... 24
Table 3.2: Description of Key Residential Development Zones in Thrissur City ............................. 26
Table 3.3: Average Capital Value of Residential Space in Prime Locations of Thrissur City ......... 28
Table 3.4: Historic Trends in Residential Apartment Capital Values in Select Micro-Markets in
Thrissur City...................................................................................................................................... 29
Table 3.5: Other Charges Levied for Residential Developments in Thrissur .................................. 30
Table 3.6: Prominent Graded Residential Projects in Thrissur City ................................................ 30
Table 3.7: Profile of Buyers in Thrissur for Residential Apartment Projects .................................... 31
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Table 9.8: Capital Structuring, Debt Repayment Schedule and Debt Indicators for the First Phase
Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 1 to Year 8) ..................................................... 114
Table 9.9: Capital Structuring, Debt Repayment Schedule and Debt Indicators for the First Phase
Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9 to Year 15) ................................................... 115
Table 9.10: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 1
to Year 8) - Consolidated ............................................................................................................... 116
Table 9.11: Consolidated Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project
Site (Year 9 to Year 15) - Consolidated ......................................................................................... 119
Table 9.12: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 1
to Year 8) - Retail Mall and Multiplex ............................................................................................. 122
Table 9.13: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9
to Year 15) - Retail Mall and Multiplex ........................................................................................... 124
Table 9.14: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 1
to Year 8) - Showroom and Office Space ...................................................................................... 126
Table 9.15: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9
to Year 15) - Showroom and Office Space .................................................................................... 129
Table 9.16: Key Financial Indicators for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site
........................................................................................................................................................ 133
Table 9.17: Sensitivity Analysis - Behavior of the Project Cost and Performance of the Key
Financial & Bankability Indicators for the Proposed First Phase Development on the Project Site
........................................................................................................................................................ 135
LIST OF MAPS
Map 2.1: Map on Regional Connectivity of Thrissur ........................................................................ 15
Map 2.2: Growth Trends and Growth Corridors in Thrissur City ..................................................... 22
Map 3.1: Overview of Real Estate Sub-Sectors in Thrissur City ..................................................... 23
Map 3.2: Residential Development Zones in Thrissur City .............................................................. 27
Map 3.3: Key Residential Development Projects in Thrissur City ................................................... 32
Map 3.4: Map Showing Major Retail Corridors of Thrissur City ....................................................... 37
Map 4.1: Location of Project Site ..................................................................................................... 55
Map 4.2: Map on Location of the Project Site and its Surroundings................................................ 58
Map 6.1: Map Showing the Primary and Secondary Catchment of the Project Site ....................... 69
Map 6.2: Map Showing the Urban Centers of Tertiary Catchment of the Project Site .................... 70
Map 6.3: Map Showing the Key Retail Developments in the Primary and Secondary Catchment of
the Project Site ................................................................................................................................. 76
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ADR
BHK
BPO
BUA
CBD
CCTV
CDR
CPU
DBM
DCR
DSCR
F&B
FAR
FPI
GBC
GDP
GLA
GoI
GoK
GSDP
Ha
HNI
ICSC
INR
IT
ITES
KBF
KFC
KILA
KINFRA
km
KMBR
KSEB
KSIDC
KSRTC
KSUDP
KTDC
KWA
LSGD
MSL
MSME
MT
NBA
NCA
NH
NHAI
NRIs
NRKs
PBD
PBD
PBSEZ
PPP
PWD
SBD
SEC
SEZ
SH
sq. ft.
sq. m
SSI
SWOT
TDA
TMC
UA
USP
Government of Kerala
Gross State Domestic Product
Hectare
High-Net-Worth Individual
International Council of Shopping Centers
Indian National Rupees
Information Technology
Information Technology Enabled Services
Kerala Builders Forum
Kerala finance corporation
Kerala Institute of Local Administration
Kerala Industrial Infrastructure Development Corporation
Kilo-metre
Kerala Municipality Building Rules
Kerala State Electricity Board
Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation
Kerala State Road Transport Corporation
Kerala Sustainable Urban Development Project
Kerala Tourism Development Corporation
Kerala Water Authority
Local Self Government Department
Mean Sea Level
Micro Small and Medium Enterprises
Metric Tonne
National Board of Accreditation
Net Cash Accrual
National Highway
National Highway Authority of India
Non Resident Indians
Non Resident Keralites
Peripheral Business District
Peripheral Business District
Port Based Special Economic Zone
Public-Private-Partnership
Public Works Department
Secondary Business District
Socio-Economic Category
Special Economic Zone
State Highway
square feet
square metre
Small Scale Industries
Strength-Weakness-Opportunity-Threat
Thrissur Development Authority
Thrissur Municipal Corporation
Urban Agglomeration
Unique Selling Proposition
CONVERSION OF UNITS
1 hectare
1 acre
1 acre
1 sq. km
1 sq. m
1 sq. m
2.4711 acres
43559.66 sq. ft.
4046.9 sq. m
247.11 acres
1.196 sq. yards
10.764 sq. ft.
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1 meter
1 meter
1 cent
1 acre
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1.0936 yards
3.28 ft.
435.6 sq. ft.
40 guntas
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Anchor Store: In retail, an Anchor store is one of the larger stores in any mall or shopping
center which is the main attraction and draws retail traffic to the center.
Bare Shell (Commercial Building): The said premises shall include only building shell and
core. This includes connected power, water supply, common lifts and staircase. Also termed as
Cold Shell.
Built Up Area/Gross Floor Area: The exclusive floor area allocated to tenants measured from
the exterior of the enclosing walls for a unit. It excludes the common areas such as stairs, lift
shafts, lobbies. The built-up area (BUA) of a building is the sum of BUA of all the floors. BUA is
typically 20-25% higher than the carpet area
Capital Value: The price at which a sale transaction takes place. [Capital Value=Rent per
year/Yield]
Carpet Area: The exclusive floor area allocated to tenants measured from the interior of the
enclosing walls for a unit. It excludes the common areas such as stairs, lift shafts, lobbies.
CBD: Central Business District (CBD). Generally the central part of the city where most of the
commercial activities in terms of office and retail is concentrated. It extends up to a radius of 3
to 5 km around the area.
Commercial Office (Non IT/SEZ) Building: Unlike IT Parks and SEZs, Office space within
Commercial Office Buildings can be leased/sold to occupiers from any industry and the
occupiers may not have any tax advantages of locating in them.
Commercial Retail Units (CRU) / Line Shops: These are small format stores or specialty
stores dealing in specific product category within a mall.
Floor Area Ratio (FAR): This is the quotient obtained by dividing the total area covered
(pedestal area) on all floors, divided by the total area of the plot. In a nutshell, FAR = Total
covered area of all floors /Total plot Area)
Floor Plate: The extent of rentable/ leasable area on one whole floor, sometimes also called
as the footprint
Footfall Conversions: Proportion of visitors to a retail outlet actually making purchase during
the visit. Expressed in numbers or percentage
Ground Coverage: It is the ratio of the building footprint and the total plot area. It is generally
expressed in percentage.
High Streets: Main street of a town with concentration of retail stores and other business
along side
Interest Rate: The rate of interest in effect for the monthly payment due.
IT Park: A building which conforms and functions according to the guidelines of the Software
Technology Parks of India (STPI) regulations. STPI aids IT companies with various
infrastructure issues like connectivity, land procurement etc. currently all IT parks are governed
by section 80/A if income tax laws
Market Study: A forecast of future demand for a certain type of real estate project that
includes an estimate of the square footage that can be absorbed and the rents that can be
charged. Also called Marketability Study.
Matriculation: In India, matriculation is a term commonly used to refer to the final year of high
school, which ends at tenth standard (tenth grade), and the qualification consequently received
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by passing the national board exams or the state board exams, commonly called "matriculation
exams". English is the standard language for matriculation, while regional languages are also
an option. Most students who pass out of matriculation, or class 10, are 1516 years old. Upon
successfully passing, a student may continue onto junior college. The 11th and 12th standards
are usually referred to as "first year junior college" and "second year junior college".
Minimum guarantee: A floor lease rent is mutually agreed between the developer and the
Tenant. In case the revenue generated from the store does not exceed the pre-determined
revenue generation figure then, this Minimum guarantee lease rent is paid to the developer.
Mixed-Use: Space within a building or project providing for more than one use (i.e., a loft or
apartment project with retail, an apartment building with office space, an office building with
retail space).
Occupancy Cost: The percentage of turnover that a retailer can afford/ willing to pay to
occupy the premises.
Real Estate: Also called "real property." (1) Land and anything permanently affixed to the land,
such as building, fences and those things attached to the buildings, such as light fixtures,
plumbing and heating fixtures, or other such items that would be personal property if not
attached. (2) May refer to rights in real property as well as the property itself.
Super Built up Area: Total leasable space in a building, usually a sum of the carpet
area/usable area, common areas (like, entrance lobby, lift lobby, stairwell, etc in a multitenanted building) and areas earmarked for services. this usually excludes the basement of
basement is used for parking and utilities
Supply: The sum of built-up area of all building completions in a given period
Utilities: The private or public service facilities such as gas, electricity, telephone, water, and
sewer that are provided as part of the development of the land.
Warm Shell (Commercial Building): Warm shell premises refer to building with not only
electricity connection but also have all services such as high side air-conditioning, 100% power
back-up. Main plant and equipment such air-handling units, diesel generator sets and chillers
shall be operational for servicing the said Premises, and ready for the tenant to connect to.
Zoning: The division of a city or town into zones and the application of regulations having to
do with the structural, architectural design and intended use of buildings within such
designated zone (i.e. a tenant needing manufacturing space would look for a building located
within an area zoned for manufacturing).
THE ASSIGNMENT
1.1
INTRODUCTION
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Kenz Inn Commercial Complex Limited (hereinafter referred to as the Client) intends to
develop a multi-dimensional mixed use real estate project on a land parcel measuring
about 11.3 acres located in Thrissur, Kerala, India (hereinafter referred to as the Project
Site). Proposed mixed-uses would comprise of a shopping mall, office and showroom
spaces, hotel as well as residential apartments with the construction taking place in phases
(in 3 phases). First phase of the development is expected to have Commercial/Office and
Retail Mall & Showroom Space, spread over about 4.46 acres.
In this regard, the Client intends to carryout comprehensive market analysis to:
a) assess the market feasibility for various uses/activities proposed as part of the overall
integrated development in medium- & long-term (in all 3 phases), inter-dependency,
value add in positioning and key critical success factors for development of such
use/activity; and
b) assess the feasibility of the project components proposed under the Phase 1
(Commercial/Office and Retail Mall), its medium- and long-term viability and to assess
possible risks and rewards based on detailed primary surveys of the customers. In
addition, the Client also intends to understand the financial feasibility of the
development proposed under First Phase based on the prevailing market conditions,
proposed positioning, phasing and other development aspects of the upcoming
development.
Jones Lang LaSalle (hereinafter referred to as the Consultants) have been appointed to
provide services on the above said Development Advisory for the Project Site. The
Consultants are one of Indias leading international property consultants, specializes in
providing real estate advice to corporates and institutions, offer full line of real estate
services, i.e., Consulting, Research, Agency, Valuation, Project Management, Facilities
Management, Property Maintenance & Investment Consultancy.
1.2
SCOPE OF WORK
Broadly, the scope of work covers the following key areas / aspects:
City Overview and Macro-Market Assessment
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Local market dimensions for Commercial/Office and Retail, supply & competitor
analysis including competitive benchmarking;
Detailed market assessment for retail mall comprising customer spending pattern
analysis, market potential assessment, retail demand assessment based on trade area
analysis covering total potential, ticket sizes, etc.; and
Assessment of demand drivers, demand-supply-gap analysis and potential demand for
the Project Site based on market share analysis.
Review the concept design and provide design inputs based on market assessment -to cover scope & suggestions for improvements, missing components & amenities,
ease of access, impact of the site location and any other aspects;
Assessment of the built-up areas versus saleable areas -- to cover potential target
occupant categories, optimum size ranges for shop units, suggestions for potential
anchor tenants and mix of other shopping units & types; and
Validation and/or confirmation of final area statement / saleable area configuration
based on the development controls and market practices.
1.3
The interpretation of real estate key trends is based on rapid market assessment and
interactions with limited key players in real estate market, viz. developers, brokers and
investors. Hence, they are indicative of situations prevalent at the time of assessment;
All facts & figures, findings, conclusions of the macro- and micro-market assessment
are captured from key players in the real estate market as indicated above. Hence,
they are indicative of situations prevalent at the time of assessment;
1.4
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The development options are indicative of what may be most practical, marketable and
remunerative for the Client. The anticipated returns are worked out in a conservative
and realistic manner.
2.1
THRISSUR SNAPSHOT
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Thrissur is the headquarters city of Thrissur District and the 5th largest city in Kerala.
Thrissur is the 3rd largest Urban Agglomeration (UA) with a population of about 1,854,783
(provisional as per the 2011 census) and the 21st largest in India. Thrissur is located 75 km
from Kochi, 112 km west of Coimbatore and 122 km south of Kozhikode. The city is
located at a distance of about 300 km from the state Capital City Thiruvananthapuram
(Otherwise called as Trivandrum).
Thrissur was originally called as Thrisivaperoor1 and was once the capital of the Kingdom
of Cochin. The city is popularly known as the Cultural Capital of Kerala because of its
cultural, spiritual and religious leanings throughout history. The city attracts the highest
number of domestic tourists in Kerala and is maximum when the city hosts Thrissur
Pooram Festival, which is the most colorful and spectacular temple festival in Kerala. The
region also offers religious attractions for people of communities, which include
Vadakkumnathan Temple, Thiruvambadi Sri Krishna Temple and Paramekkavu Temple,
Our Lady of Lourdes Syro-Malabar Catholic Metropolitan Cathedral and the Our Lady of
Dolours Syro-Malabar Catholic Basilica. Further, Thrissur District houses the holiest Hindu
Temple (the Guruvayur Temple) and Islam Masjid (Cheraman Juma Masjid). Cheraman
Juma Masjid is the countrys first mosque, opened in AD 629, which has opened the gates
for Arabs, Romans, Portuguese, Dutch and English.
Apart from being the cultural headquarters of the state, the city is also a major educational
hub and is home to several educational institutions including the Kerala Kalamandalam,
Kerala Police Academy, Kerala Agricultural University, Kerala University of Medical and
Allied Sciences and Kerala Institute of Local Administration (KILA).
The hillock (65 acres), which presently houses Vadakkumnathan Temple form the core
area of the city and the city grew around this hillock called the Thekkinkadu Maidan2. At
present, the city branches out from Thekkinkadu Maidan through nine roads, viz. MG Road,
Vivekananda Road, Karunakaran Nambiar Road, Palace Road, Thrissur Palghat Road,
High Road, Kodungallur Shornur Highway, AR Menon Road and Municipal Office Road.
The city acts like an incubator for many entrepreneurs, and is a major financial hub of the
city. The city is also one of the large centre for shopping in Kerala for silks, gold and
diamond jewelry. It is noteworthy that the gold business in the city is a major revenue
earner for the economy of Kerala and Thrissur City manufactures about 70% of gold
jewellery manufactured every year in state. The table below presents some of the salient
features of Thrissur City.
Table 2.1: Salient Features of Thrissur City
City
Thrissur
Population (2011
Census - Provisional)
Area
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Geographic Location
Connectivity and
Linkages
Climate
Tropical climate
Monsoon season: June - September (heavy rains)
Mild winter: October - February (cool, dry with occasional rain)
Summer: March - May (hot and humid)
Temperature
Languages
City Administrator
City Functions
Distance of
International Airport
from City
Key Advantages of
Thrissur
Source: Various Government and/or Public Sources and Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April
2013
2.2
REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY
Thrissur District is bound by Malappuram District in the north, Palakkad District in the east,
Eranakulam District in the south and the Coimbatore District of Tamil Nadu in the
southeast. The regional setting map of Thrissur District is shown in the following page:
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Thrissur Region is very well connected to the other regions as indicated in the map above.
The city has access to other parts of state and neighboring states and few countries by
roadways, railways and airways. As described below:
Road: Thrissur is connected to the North-South Corridor of National Highway System
through NH-47. The highway passes through the city and provides connectivity to the
nearby cities such of Kochi, Palakkad and Coimbatore. NH-47 provides two main exit
points at Mannuthy and Thalore to the Thrissur City. Apart from NH-47, the city is
connected by three State Highways, viz. SH-69 (Thrissur-Kuttippuram Road), SH-22
(Kodungallur - Shornur Road), and SH- 75 (Thrissur - Kanjani - Vadanappally Road), which
connects the city with its suburbs and adjoining areas.
Railways: The railway station is just one km south-west of the city. There are several trains
connect the city to different parts of India. There is a broad gauge rail line, which connects
the city to Vettikkattiri, Mullurkkanchery, Mulankunnathukavu, Poonkunnam, Ollur,
Pudukkad, Nellai, Irinjalakuda, Chalakudy, Koratty, Angamaly and Karukutty, along 69 km
line passing through the Thrissur District.
Airways: Cochin International Airport at Nedumbassery is located at a distance of about 50
km south of the city and is the nearest airport. Other nearby airport is at Calicut
(Kozhikode), which is located at a distance of about 108 km north of the city. Cochin
International Airport has regular flights to Bangalore, Mumbai, Coimbatore, Delhi, Goa,
Chennai, and Thiruvananthapuram.
2.3
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
As per the Census 2011 provisional population totals, Thrissur Municipal Corporation limits
had a population of 315,596 persons while that of the Thrissur UA was 1,854,783 persons.
Thrissur Municipal Corporation Area witnessed negative growth in the population with
respect to the 2011 Census population figures. However, the UA witnessed significant
increase of about 462% with respect to the 2011 Census population figures and this
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increase is attributable to change in the jurisdiction of the Thrissur UA, which comprises of
Thrissur Municipal Corporation (TMC) and five Municipalities of Kunnamkulam, Guruvayur,
Chavakkad, Irinjalakuda, and Kodungallur and 105 Census Towns.
The table below presents key demographic features of Thrissur City (Municipal Corporation
Area) and Thrissur UA as per the 2011 Census.
Table 2.2: Demographic Features of Thrissur City (Municipal Corporation Area) and
Thrissur UA as per the 2011 Census
Sl.
Particulars
Thrissur City
1.
Population (Nos.)
2.
3.
Households (Nos.)
4.
5.
Thrissur UA
315,516
1,854,783
(0.6)
462
394,635
4.7
97.24
96.19
It is noteworthy that the literacy rates of both Thrissur and Thrissur UA is higher than
national urban literacy rate (84.98%) and Kerala urban literacy rate (94.99%).
The table below presents population growth trends of Thrissur City (Municipal Corporation
Area) over last 6 decades.
Table 2.3: Population Details and Growth Trends in Population of Thrissur City (Municipal
Corporation Area)
Census Year
Population (Nos.)
1961
73,000
--
1971
76,200
4.4%
1981
77,900
2.2%
1991
74,600
-4.2%
2001
317,474
325.6%
2011
3,15,596
-0.6%
It is noteworthy that the city population has a very slow growth and the increase in
population during the decade 1991-2001 is primarily due to increase in the jurisdiction of
the Thrissur Municipal Corporation Area. The city has witnessed negative growth during
the last decade.
2.4
SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS
Literacy Rate: As per the Census
2011
figures
(provisional),
Thrissur City had a literacy rate
of 97.24% and Thrissur UA had
a literacy rate of 96.19%. It is
noteworthy that the literacy rates
of both Thrissur and Thrissur UA
is higher than national urban
literacy rate (84.98%) and Kerala
urban literacy rate (94.99%).
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Per Capita Income: As per the District wise Per Capita Income at Constant Prices (200405), Thrissur had per capita income of INR 64,629 per annum in the year 2011-12, ranking
5th in the state (Department of Economics and Statistics, Government of Kerala),
registering an average growth rate 9.39% than the previous year (INR 59,080 per annum).
Socio-Economic Classification (SEC) of the City Population: As per the City Skyline data of
year 2012, Thrissur City has about 27.7% of SEC A & B population in city. Description of
the SEC is given in Annexure under Section 9.1.
Credits Deposit Ratio: As per the 2012 Economic Review of Kerala, Thrissur District had a
Credit Deposit Ratio of 81.5%, indicating economic growth in the region and ranks 4th in
the state.
2.5
ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS
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the marine products are the major food product export from Kerala. Two thirds of Keralas
export income comes from processed food. Dairy products, fish/meat products, rice &
wheat products, ready to eat/ ready to cook products, bakery products, masala powder,
coconut & other oils, Ayurvedic medicines, fruit juices, etc. are the major food items
produced in the State. Kerala Industrial Infrastructure Development Corporation (KINFRA)
is the state agency engaged in the promotion of food processing industry in the State.
KINFRA has set up exclusive Food Processing Parks to suit the specific needs of the food
processing sector and they offer space for food processing units in their 12 Industrial parks,
as the demand for space is high. Out of these, KINFRA Small Industries Park, Koratty,
Thrissur houses about 8 units, covering an area of about 9.393 acres with an investment of
INR 200 million and has an employment of about 308 employees.
Dies and Moulds Cluster: The die making industries started in the city basically in
connection with tile industry. The cluster is located in a geographical area of 25 km
distance from the city center. The average employment in each unit is 10 workers. There
are more than 50 units in this field.
Diamond Cluster: This cluster is located in Adatt, Tholur and Kaiparambu in the city. All the
units are located within a radius 10 km from the city. On an average, this cluster consists of
10 small units and 65 micro units. The process includes cutting and polishing of natural
diamonds. The raw material comes from Surat of Gujarat and the same is been cut into
standard sizes and polished as per the standards in the city. The finished products are
exported to countries like Australia, China, Peru and CIS nations.
Industrial Sector: In the recent past, the Kerala State has made serious efforts to identify
new opportunities and equip it to meet emerging challenges. While traditional industries
like handlooms, coir and cashew are in a difficult phase of development with their inherent
problems, the present Industrial Policy and other related policies of the State are aimed at
enhancing investment opportunities. Emphasis is on Information Technology (IT), which
has started showing positive signs through promotion of IT enabled services. Industrial
Parks, Estates. Industrial infrastructure facilities offered by the State include industrial
parks and estates. Major industries in Thrissur district include Food Processing, Chemicals,
Textiles & Hosiery, Rubber & Plastics, Metal & Light Engineering, Electrical & Electronics,
Wood and Leather. Pattern of industrialization is mainly in the SSI sector with a fair
sprinkling of large and medium industries. Various agencies such as KSIDC, KINFRA and
KFC are involved in industrial promotion by providing financial and infrastructure
assistance to industrial units. The details pertaining to small scale industrial units, small
and medium enterprises and Mini Industrial Estates in Thrissur is presented in the table
below and the same is same is cross referred at the state level.
Table 2.4: Working SSI/MSME Units Registered in Thrissur and Kerala
SSI/MSME
Units Promoted
(Nos.)
Kerala
Thrissur District
Total
Investment
(INR Million)
Employment
Generated (Nos.)
205,987
108,316
371,557
1,021,162
27,465
10,323
21,205
106,755
Total Area
Acquired (Acres)
Total No. of
Units
No. of
Working Units
DP Athani
48.286
43.286
85
79
DP Kunnamkulam
3.0035
2.1
26
19
29.32
21.6
64
15
DP Ayyankunnu
Name of DA/DP
Total Area
Acquired (Acres)
DP Velakkode
Puzhakalpadom
Kerala
24.066
21.866
51.41
2481.37
2094.76
Final Report
- 19 -
Total No. of
Units
No. of
Working Units
35
15
2616
2019
Employment
(Nos.)
Public Sector
Private Sector
Public Sector
Private Sector
Thrissur
352.5
72.7
90
Kerala State
25
833.7
9343.7
7460
Final Report
- 20 -
The city functions mostly as a transit point for domestic and foreign tourists. Thrissur has a
high incidence of domestic tourists, which can be contributed to the presence of major
religious destinations. The average tourist arrivals are to the tune of 1.6 million domestic
tourists and 3,398 foreign tourists per annum. Foreign tourist inflow witnessed a sharp
decline from 2006. A growth rate of 8.06% was observed in the arrival of domestic tourists
to Thrissur. The tourism statistics of Thrissur District with respect to Kerala State is
presented in table in the following page.
Table 2.7: Tourism Statistics of Thrissur District and Kerala State
Year
Thrissur
Foreign Tourists
Nos.
Kerala
Domestic Tourists
Growth
Rate
Nos.
Growth
Rate
Foreign Tourists
Nos.
Growth
Rate
Domestic Tourists
Nos.
Growth
Rate
2005
2,421
-8.92%
13,27,856
-3.65%
3,46,499
0.28%
59,46,423
-0.43%
2006
4,142
71.09%
13,98,014
5.28%
4,28,534
23.68%
62,71,724
5.47%
2007
4,645
12.14%
15,46,576
10.63%
5,15,808
20.37%
66,42,941
5.92%
2008
3,398
-26.85%
16,71,174
8.06%
5,98,929
16.11%
75,91,250
14.28%
2009
3,452
1.59%
17,33,862
3.75%
5,57,258
-6.96%
79,13,537
4.25%
2010
4,326
25.32%
18,74,211
8.09%
6,59,265
18.31%
85,95,075
8.61%
2011
5,011
15.83%
20,62,032
10.02%
7,32,985
11.18%
93,81,455
9.15%
2.6
Final Report
- 21 -
Table 2.8: Overview and Salient Features of Major Infrastructure Projects in Thrissur
Name of the
Infrastructure
Initiative
Medicity
Executing Agency
Development Phase
Infrastructures Kerala
Limited (INKEL) Kerala State
Industrial
Development
Corporation Limited
joint venture
Infopark Thrissur
Government of
Kerala
Location
Area /
Coverage
Medicity Project is conceived mainly to address the growing demand for healthcare Koratty
services in Kerala and also to explore the scope of promoting medical tourism within
the State.
INKEL has done feasibility assessment for developing a Medicity in Koratty.
The proposed Medicity will provide healthcare for all at affordable cost by utilizing the
available resources effectively. It will cater to various healthcare needs at a single
point by providing treatment under various streams of medicine. The facility would
cater to the existing and futuristic needs of the healthcare sector in various aspects
like medical research, education and training etc.
Project is envisaged to have adequate social infrastructure facilities to support the
healthcare requirements.
Third Technology Park in Kerala after Thiruvananthapuram and Kochi, located 45 km
from Kochi and 35 km from Thrissur and around 14 km from the Cochin International
Airport.
First Information Technology Park operational under the 'Hub and Spoke Model'
(where Kochi Info Park acts as a hub and Koratty as the spoke) and it is associated
with Kerala State IT Mission and Kerala State Information Technology Infrastructure
Limited.
The Government of Kerala has allotted 42 acres of land for the Info Park and Info Park
possesses 30 acres of land for the development. The Phase I of Info Park was
launched on October 10, 2009 with 12 medium-sized companies and an office space
of 44,500 sq. ft. The Phase-II of Info Park was inaugurated on January 8, 2010, were
another 18,240 sq. ft. was added. In the Phase-III and final phase, Government is
planning to develop the 25 acres of Info Park as a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) were
0.2 million sq. ft. building will be constructed. The remaining land in the SEZ will be
leased out to IT companies and co-developers for developing their own campuses. It
is said that when the Info Park becomes fully operational, it will have a built-up area of
around 1.4 million sq. ft.
Source: Various Government and/or Public Sources and Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Muringoor
Thekkumuri Village,
Mukundapuram
Taluk, Koratty
42 acres
allotted
30 acres
under
possession
Final Report
- 22 -
Other infrastructure projects at the city level, which are under implementation include
augmentation of municipal water supply & drainage system by Kerala Water Authority,
augmentation of municipal solid waste management & urban sanitation program by the
Municipal Corporation, augmentation of SH-69 by the PWD and augmentation of urban
transport jointly by the PWD and NHAI.
2.7
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The above map represents the major growth corridors in the city. The presence of
institutional developments (Medical College, Civil Station), excellent connectivity along the
north and northwestern part of Thrissur especially along Guruvayoor Road (SH-39),
induced more real estate development along this region. Further the SH-39 is emerging as
prime destination for hospitality, car showrooms and white goods and it is considered as
one of the fast growing corridors of Thrissur City. The locality adjacent to NH-47 bypass is
also forming a major mixed use destination.
Immediate periphery of the CBD observes residential development. The prime residential
areas are Mission Quarters towards south of CBD, Punkunnam towards North, Paturaykal,
Chembukavu, etc. The upcoming residential areas include Ayyanthol, Puzhackal, Manuthy,
Kuttenalloor, Ollur, Poothol, Koorkencherry, Cheroor, etc.
3.1
Final Report
- 23 -
Thrissur is one of the important cities of Kerala State and strategically located in close
proximity to the Kochi City, which is the commercial hub of the state. The location
advantages, proximity to Kochi and the proximity to three airports (Kochi, Kozhikode and
Coimbatore) provide good opportunity for the city to grow its economic drivers. Further, the
city is also linked to the Kochi Port by rail and a network of National Highways. The district
administration of Thrissur is trying to leverage the potential of Thrissur and to turn it into a
center of sustainable development. There is a proposal for inter-city connectivity by
creating a Rapid Transit Corridor to the nearest metro cities. Major Government projects
that are proposed to catalyze the development are the construction of Info Park at Koratty,
the KINFRA Park at Puzhakkal, the Medicity at Koratty, the Muziris Heritage Project for
tourism development, etc. These developments, together with the investments from the
non-resident Indians have contributed to the growth of real estate sector in the city. The
map below indicates the major real estate sub-sectors of Thrissur City.
Map 3.1: Overview of Real Estate Sub-Sectors in Thrissur City
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Following are the prime areas witnessing different real estate activities.
Retail and Commercial: CBD comprising Swaraj Round and the radial roads primarily
housing retail high streets in the ground and first floors and office spaces primarily
housing banking and financial institutions, travel agencies, etc. on the upper floors.
Residential: Mission Quarters, Punkunnam, Patturaickal, Kuttenallor, Ayyanthol,
Poothol, Koorkencherry, Kishakkanpatturkara, Cherror, etc.
Corporate / Office: CBD and Secondary Business District (SBD) areas comprising
Swaraj Round, Thrissur Kuttippuram Road, Shornur Highway, Ayyanthole, etc.
Hospitality: CBD area near Saktan Private Bus Stand, Puzhakkal, etc.
Industrial: Ollurkkara, Adatt, Athani, etc.
Final Report
- 24 -
There are about 17 members of Kerala Builder Forum (KBF) who are active in the real
estate market of the city. The leading builders include Skyline and Cheloor Properties. Few
developers from outside Thrissur have also entered into the real estate market here. These
include Oceanus Dwellings, Sobha Developers, SRK Constructions, etc. The table below
lists few of the select builders and developers having active presence in the city:
Table 3.1: Select List of Builders and Developers Active in Thrissur City
Alukkas Builders and Developers
Athira Builders
Oceanus Dwellings
Maya Realtors
Skyline Builders
Sobha Developers
SRK Builders
Thrissur Builders
Hilife Builders
Plama Builders
3.2
RESIDENTIAL SUB-SECTOR
The residential real estate market
in the city witnessed high growth
over the past four years in terms of
capital values and development
activities. All the prime residential
areas of the city witnessed
significant development activity in
this period. The development
typology also witnessed a change
from the homestead and plotted
developments
to
villa
and
apartment typology.
The demand is primarily attributed from those generated from the Non-Resident Keralites
(NRK) and to a significant extent, from the business class segment of the city. The
absorption rate in the CBD is 70% while the average absorption rate in the city and
outskirts is 59%. The absorption rates do not vary widely across the micro-markets in the
city. The proposed developments such as the IT/ITES initiatives, Medicity, the industrial
estates, etc. are expected to contribute to the further growth in the residential real estate
sector of the city.
Development Zones in City
The residential development zones in the city are delineated based on the distance and
intensity of development at these locations. The residential areas under CBD are primarily
comprises locations near the Swaraj Round, Patturaickal, MG Road, College Road, North
Bus Stand Area, Shornur Road, Korpath Lane, etc. Locations under the SBD include
Ayyanthole, Chembukavu, Chungam, Kottapuram, Saktan Stand premises, locations near
Mission Hospital, Palakkad Road, Poothole, Poonkunnam etc. The Peripheral Business
District (PBD) locations include residential developments along Athani, Muthuvara,
Puzhakkal, Puthurkkara, Cheroor, Koorkencherry, Kuriachira, Kanamkulangara,
Koorkencherry, Kuttenalloor, Mannuthy (Off Bye-pass), Mundur, Amalagiri, Ollur, Perigavu,
Puranettukara, Viyyur, Thirur and Mulankunnathukavu, etc.
Final Report
- 25 -
The most predominant residential typologies in the city are apartments and villas. The most
active residential market in the city is the SBD followed by the PBD. About 48% of the
residential developments are coming up in the SBD areas. The higher land values of the
CBD and the lack of developable spaces are the major reason for shift of residential
developments to the SBD and PBD locations. Further, good connectivity between the SBD
& CBD and availability of good social infrastructure facilities in the SBD is conducive for
residential development.
The Project Site is located at Punkunnam and forms part of the SBD.
The table in the next page presents brief description of various residential development
zones in the city. Map showing the different residential development zones in the city is
presented in the subsequent page.
Final Report
- 26 -
Important Locations
Profile
Central Business
District (CBD)
It is a high density area. These areas are well developed with very few new supply. The new supply is mostly from
redevelopment of old residential or commercial buildings into modern apartments. Majority of the proposed and
launched projects target luxury and upper mid segment population with average number of 35 units per project. These
areas consists of primarily business class, upper middle-income and higher-income population. Population with high
disposable income and propensity to spend on family shopping and entertainment is high
Secondary
Business District
(SBD)
Ayyanthole, Chembukavu,
Chungam, Kottapuram, Saktan
Stand premises, locations near
Mission Hospital, Palakkad
Road, Poothole, Poonkunnam
etc.
The growth of the micro-market especially in Ayyanthole, Poonkunnam, Chungam, Poothole and Kottapuram is driven
by the Civil Station, proximity to the CBD and excellent connectivity. Most upper-middle class buyers who wish to stay
closer to the city CBD and work place prefer the SBD area, areas between CBD and Civil Station. Micro-market like
Chembukavu, Saktan Stand and area surrounding the Mission Hospital are driving factors for real estate development
and these area are densely populated. The project size variation across the micro-market is in the range of 80-100
units. As a whole, SBD has access to well-developed social and physical infrastructure facilities and the land rates are
lower than that of CBD.
These locations house the service class and middle-income group households. It is a densely populated area with a
mix of residential bungalows and new apartment developments. Population with moderately high disposable income
and propensity to spend is high.
Peripheral
Business District
(PBD)
The proximity to Industrial estates & plots, improved infrastructure facilities has triggered the development in this
region. In the case of residential development, most of them here are plotted development followed by small numbers
of Residential Apartments and Villa developments. The western parts especially the areas like Puthurkkara, Puzhakkal,
Peramangalam are the upcoming residential areas with the residing population consisting of a mix of medium and low
disposable income groups. Even though the areas are industrial in nature, prominent developers like Sobha, Oceanus
and Plama etc have their presence in these areas with projects under various stages of construction. This is mainly
due to excellent connectivity (Thrissur Kuttippuram Road, Shornur Highway) and availability of social infrastructure
facilities. The project size variation across the micro-market is in the range of 60-100 units.
Middle and lower middle income population.
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 27 -
Final Report
- 28 -
Major Locations
Patturaickal
2,600
Kuriachira
2,900
Punkunnam
3,050
West Fort
3,000
Ayyanthole
2,910
Kuttenallor
2,600
Chembukavu
2,500
Poothole
2,775
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Predominant housing typology has been the homestead type and the plotted
developments till recent years. The plotted development is usually developed by one-time
builders who sub divide the plot and provide the road layout and basic infrastructure
facilities. There exists no Grade-A plotted developments in the city at present. Villas are
the most desired typology. However, the higher costs of villas have resulted in preference
for apartments, which in turn resulted in the growth of apartment projects in Thrissur.
Apartments constitute 68% of the residential supply of the city. The land cost and
construction cost is higher for villa developments. Cost for a typical 3-BHK Villa in the city
varies from INR 3.0-6.6 million and the prices may go as high INR 12.5 million for Grade-A
developments. This is one of the major reasons for the shift towards apartment preference
in the recent years in the city. Villas are mainly confined to suburbs and peripheral
locations of the city. Especially northern quadrant of the city constitutes about 50% of the
total villa projects.
Following are the major findings from the residential sector analysis for the city:
Residential activity is high in suburbs and peripheral areas due to good connectivity,
availability of social infrastructure facilities, low land cost and also availability of land
parcel for development.
Majority of the Grade-A developments in the city are located at the PBD areas such as
Ayyanthole, Puzhakkal and Kuttenalloor. Whereas the Grade-B & C projects are at the
SBD locations. CBD is having low residential supply owing to the high land values and
the unavailability of land parcels. This indicates the spread of high spending population
to the outskirts propelling growth of real estate activity to such locations.
Demand - residential property market caters to both end users and investors with
average demand of about 300-500 units per annum. Demand for mid-segment from
end users while demand for premium segment from NRKs.
Supply - city residential market is dominated by the Grade-B developers contributing to
43 percent of the total supply followed by Grade-A & C of 971 & 663 units. But in-terms
Final Report
- 29 -
Residential Apartment Capital Values - Average Price (INR per sq. ft.)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
1Q 2013
2,950
2,800
3,150
3,250
3,800
4,200
Patturaickal
2,200
2,150
2,500
2,600
3,200
3,500
Punkunnam
2,700
2,600
2,950
3,050
3,100
3,250
Ayyanthole
2,750
2,750
2,860
2,910
3,200
3,300
Chembukavu
1,900
2,000
2,300
2,500
2,900
3,200
Kuriachira
2,650
2,565
2,780
2,900
3,200
3,250
West Fort
2,400
2,320
2,700
3,000
3,300
3,400
Kuttenallor
2,250
2,100
2,500
2,600
2,800
3,100
Classification of Grade is based on the Scale of Development, Development Profile (includes market penetration), Specification and
Quality of Construction
Micro-Markets
Final Report
- 30 -
Residential Apartment Capital Values - Average Price (INR per sq. ft.)
2008
Poothole
2009
2,475
2010
2,350
2011
2,700
2012
2,775
1Q 2013
2,850
3,000
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Typology and Size: Most common typologies of the apartments are 2-BHK and 3-BHK
units. Typically, sizes of 2-BHK units range between 741-1,200 sq. ft. while that of 3-BHK
units range between 1,200-1,500 sq. ft. Sizes of 4-BHK units range between 1,800-2,250
sq. ft. while that of 5-BHK units range between 2,200-2,500 sq. ft.
Charges: Other than sales price on saleable / super built-up area, developers also charge
other charges as described in the table below.
Table 3.5: Other Charges Levied for Residential Developments in Thrissur
Parking Charges
Floor Rise
Varies from INR 10 per sq. ft. to INR 30 per sq. ft. of every 3
floors. Further a similar premium is sometimes attached based on
the apartment facing.
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Developer
Location
Status of Project
Units
(Nos.)
Pricing (INR
per sq. ft.)
Alukkas
Bhavanam
Alukkas Builders
Olari
Completed
107
3,400
Alukkas Parpidam
Alukkas Builders
Chiyyaram
Completed
3,100
Alukkas Castle
Alukkas Builders
Ayyanthole
Completed
110
3,200
Sobha City
Sobha
Developers
Along SH-69
Under Construction
648
4,500
Alukkas Nest
Alukkas Builders
Under Construction
36
5,000
Krishna
Unidesign
Close
Chembukavu
Under Construction
11
4,000
Chandra
Unidesign
Under Construction
Axis
Skyline
Under Construction
Infinity
Skyline
Under Construction
44
3,500
Trichur Builders
Swetha
Residency
Close to Swaraj
Round
Under Construction
35
3,500
Trichur Builders
Meghna
Residency
S.T. Nagar
Under Construction
35
3,600
Trichur Builders
Indus Avenue
Viyyur
Under Construction
77
--
Chelakottukara
Kalyan Habitat
Jubilee
Hospital
Under Construction
66
3,100
to
Mission
2,750
3,400
Project Name
Developer
Location
Final Report
- 31 -
Status of Project
Units
(Nos.)
Pricing (INR
per sq. ft.)
Aashiyana
Devdatham
Builders
Under Construction
55
3,900
Lisieux
Sun Rays
Oralikara
Under Construction
30
3,200
Swapanpuri
Apartment
Local Player
Chembukkav
Under Construction
21
3,500
Namasthe Legacy
Namasthe
Kerala
Chembukkav
Under Construction
12
4,000
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Investors
End users
NRI Sales
Skyline Builders
10%
12%
78%
Alukkas Builders
12%
13%
75%
Cheloor Property
10%
10%
65%
Penark Builders
25%
20%
55%
Thrissur Builders
35%
35%
30%
Unidesign
8%
12%
80%
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The buyers of luxury residential developments are primarily the NRIs who work in the
shipping industry and oil companies in Middle East. The domestic buyers who purchase
luxury residential developments are primarily the traders, large scale agriculturists, doctors,
industrialists and other high earning professionals. The NRI demand has reduced in the
recent past due to the economic downtrends in the Middle East. However, market
perceives the same as a temporary phenomenon.
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 32 -
3.3
Final Report
- 33 -
CADD Centre
KSFE
Western Union
Vijaya Bank
Axis Bank
Dhanalakshmi Bank
Federal Bank
HCL
Corporation Bank
Bank of Baroda
Indian Bank
Dharmmodayam Company
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
There are several buildings constructed by the PWD for the Corporation and these are
leased to companies on a long term basis. Existing office space locations have been facing
problems like traffic congestion, parking problems, etc. Majority of the buildings have
smaller floor plates and are provided with air handling units. Commercial / office spaces
are concentrated along three roads, viz. MG Road, Shornur Road and Palace Road. Brief
description of developments along these roads are given below:
MG Road connects West Fort Junction and Swaraj Round. This stretch houses
primarily educational institutions imparting software training and BFSI offices. The
Final Report
- 34 -
tenants include IndusInd Bank, Dewan Housing Finance, HDFC Standard Life, Image
Multimedia, Kerala Infotech, Catholic Syrian Bank, etc.
Palace Road is a major retail destination. However, few offices are also located in this
stretch. The major tenants here include State Bank of India, New India Assurance Co.
Ltd, UTI Mutual Fund, etc. Department of Education offices, Kerala Sahitya Academy,
Town Hall, etc. are also present in this stretch. College Road connects Swaraj Round
and East Fort. This stretch houses the district hospital, Catholic Syrian Bank,
Cooperative Bank, travel agencies, office of DMO, etc. Municipal Office Road and
Kuruppan Road stretch houses primarily the corporation office. Apart from these, the
nodes such as East Fort, West Fort, Patturaickal, etc. houses few commercial
developments.
The table below provides an insight into the prevailing lease rentals in select prime
locations for commercial space in the city.
Table 3.9: Lease Rentals for Commercial Space in Prime Locations within Thrissur City
Location
Quality of Space
Swaraj Round
Grade B/C
70-150
6500 - 20,000
MG Road
Grade B/C
50 - 80
5000 - 8500
Kuruppam Road
Grade B/C
50 - 55
5000 - 6000
Shornur Road
Grade B/C
40 - 50
4000 - 5000
College Road
Grade B/C
30 - 50
3000 - 5000
Patturaickal
Grade B/C
20 - 50
2000 - 5000
West Fort
Grade B/C
50 - 70
5000 - 7200
East Fort
Grade B/C
25 - 65
2500 - 6500
Punkunnam
Grade B/C
25 - 65
2500 - 6500
Ayyanthole
Grade B/C
30- 60
3800 - 6500
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
New Developments
The new developments along these stretches are the high street format with retail on
ground floors and commercial developments on the upper floors. Graded developments
under commercial / office space in the city are yet to come up.
There are several IT park projects under proposal. Brief description of these proposed
developments are given below.
3.4
Final Report
- 35 -
Apparel: Kalyan Silks, Pulimootil Silks, Sree Lakshmy Silks, Sobha Wedding Galaxy,
Van Heusen, Scullers, Arrow, Indigo Nation, Koutons, Raymons, Lee, Levis and United
Colour of Benetton
F&B: Dominos, Chicking, US Pizza, AFC,, Baskin Robbins, etc.
Supermarkets: Varkeys, Reliance Super, Elite, City Super Market
Hypermarket: Big Bazaar
The major retail format in the city is the traditional and modern streets, and the major retail
clusters are given in the table below.
Table 3.10: Overview of Retail Market in Select Zones of Thrissur City
Sl.
Zones
Major Locations
Central (CBD)
North
East
West
South
Final Report
- 36 -
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The table below presents characteristics of the select high-street retail markets in the City.
Table 3.11: Overview of High-street Retail Market in Thrissur City
Market
Type
Brands Present
Remarks
Swaraj Round
Apparel, Jewellery,
Accessories,
Footwear, Casuals,
Supermarket
Patturaickal
Supermarkets,
Apparels, Electronics
Goods
East Fort,
College Road
stretch
F&B, Supermarket
Palace Road
Jewellery, Apparels,
etc.
MG Road
Apparel, footwear,
electronics, etc
Kuruppam Road
Apparel, Hardwares,
Electrical Goods, etc.
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Market Trends
The table below presents an insight into the prevailing lease rentals and capital values in
select prime locations in the city for retail space.
Table 3.12: Lease Rentals and Capital Values for Retail Space in Thrissur City
Location
Quality of Space
Swaraj Round
Grade B/C
75 - 120
7500 - 12000
MG Road
Grade B/C
60 - 80
6000 - 8000
Kuruppam Road
Grade B/C
60 - 80
6000 - 8000
Shornur Road
Grade B/C
College Road
Grade B/C
50 - 70
5000 - 7000
Patturaickal
Grade B/C
30 - 60
3000 - 6000
West Fort
Grade B/C
50 - 80
5000 - 8000
East Fort
Grade B/C
25 - 40
2500 - 4000
40 - 60
4000 - 6000
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The retail market in CBD is dominated by large format jewellery and local branded
apparels such as Kalyan Silks, Sreelakshmi Silks, Sobha Wedding Galaxy, etc. Very few
stand-alone fine dining restaurants exist in the CBD. The map in the following page
indicates the major retail stretches in the city.
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 37 -
Final Report
- 38 -
The major corridors witnessing retail developments are Shornur Road, Guruvayoor Road
and Palakkad Road (College Road). The developments are notable towards the Northwest,
North and East directions. The other areas are primarily residential and the supermarket
and neighborhood shopping formats of retail outlets are found in these residential pockets.
Shornur Road has formats such as Big Bazaar, Next, Sreelakshmy Silks, etc. Guruvayoor
Road houses vehicle showrooms and food outlets primarily. The Palakkad Road is a major
destination of F&B outlets and super market formats such as Reliance Trends. The road
connecting to Ayyanthole also houses retail formats. This location is an emerging prime
residential area owing to the presence of the civil station and other government offices.
Most of the retail shops are own premises. Most of the retail shops have areas ranging
between 2,000 sq. ft. to 6,000 sq. ft. Some of the shops like Kalyan Collections, Modern
Dress World, Kalyan Jewellers, Pulimootil Silk House, Sree Lakshmi Silks, Chungath
Jewellery and Kalyan Silks have area between 10,000-20,000 sq. ft. Big Bazaar, Center
Point and City Center have 40,000-45,000 sq. ft. while EMKE Silks Kundungalur Shornur
Highway has a shop of size 160,000 sq. ft.
The table below presents lease rentals for select retail shops in the city.
Table 3.13: Lease Rentals for Retail Space in Prime Locations in Thrissur City
Location
Swaraj Round
60-150
Kalyan Silk
MG Road
50-100
Kuruppam Road
60- 80
Louis Philippe
Shornur Road
40- 65
College Road
50- 80
--
Patturaickal
45- 80
West Fort
50 -100
--
East Fort
35- 75
--
Ayyanthole Road
45-60
--
45-100
--
80-120
Oralikkara
20-35
--
Ashwini Junction
45-80
--
Poothole
40-90
40-90
CJ Complex
High Road
40-60
Fabis Arcade
--
Jeva Tower
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 39 -
Final Report
- 40 -
The broad breakup of the leasable area is presented in the table below:
Table 3.14: Leasable Area Details in Sobha City Mall in Thrissur City
Format
Type of Store
Floors
Remarks
Large
Hypermart
Ground &
First
Department
Store
Ground &
Second
Multiplex
Second
Electronics
Ground
Food Court
Second
Home
Furnishing
Second
Line
Stores/
Vanilla
Ground,
First
&
Second
Medium
Small
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
3.5
HOSPITALITY SUB-SECTOR
With the growing importance of tourism sector in the state as well as in the city, hospitality
sub-sector is one of the key drivers for real estate development in the city. The city
functions mostly as a transit point for domestic and foreign tourists. Thrissur has a high
incidence of domestic tourists, which can be contributed to the presence of major religious
destinations.
The hotels in the city cater to both business travelers and tourists. The occupancy rates
vary from 60-80%. Few business class hotels in the CBD have occupancy rates as high as
87% throughout the year. The city witnesses deficiency in accommodation during the peak
tourist season, typically, during April-May when the Pooram Festival is held in the city.
Stock & Supply
The total supply of standard hotel rooms in the city is 758 (excluding tourist home, home
stay & lodges). There are several 3-star category hotels in the city. Present supply
indicates that 63% of the inventory is under 3-Star category. The table below provides
inventory of prominent hotels in the city.
Table 3.15: Inventory of Prominent Hotels in Thrissur City
Hotel Name
Location
Keys
(Nos.)
Max
Suite
Palace Road
24
2,775
5,200
6200- 11330
LULU International
Convention Center
Off SH-69
35
--
4000
7000
Casino Hotels
T B Road
51
1,700
3,200
6,500
Joys Palace
58
3,400
4,400
8,500
Olarikkara
30
2,200
2,700
5,000
Hotel Name
Location
Keys
(Nos.)
Final Report
- 41 -
Max
Suite
Ashoka Inn
34
--
2,900
5,500
T B Road
25
1,500
1,900
4,900
Sidaartha Regency
Kokkalai Junction
25
850
1,350
--
Kuruppam Road
62
2,200
4,000
5,000
Central Hotel
Chembukavu
10
--
1,700
2,200
Chembottil Lane
72
1,500
1,900
3,000
Dass Continental
Sakthan Nagar
27
2,300
2,800
4,000
Mannapuram Hotels
Kuruppam Road
76
1,050
1,550
2,300
Hotel Seafort
47
1,800
2,160
--
Ammu Regency
Marar Road
27
1,400
1,600
2,200
Warriam Lane
35
1,500
1,850
2,600
Poothole Road
21
1,450
1,700
2,300
Kuruppam Road
37
1,700
2,700
--
Elite International
Chembottil Lane
72
1,500
2,800
3,000
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
3.6
MICE SUB-SECTOR
22%
52%
18%
Europe
Asia
Africa
Australasia/Pacific
Final Report
- 42 -
50 million trips are taken each year for MICE purposes. The worldwide market share for
meetings by continent is indicated in the chart on the right hand side. A major pie of the
meetings happens in Europe followed by Asia and America. Till the early nineties, North
America and Europe had dominated the conventions and conference markets. The US still
holds the top spot for the highest number of meetings as a single country destination.
However, the market has moved towards newer destinations in Asia and Oceania in the
recent past. Europe accounts for the maximum share with over half of all international
meetings. However, there is a constant decrease in share of Europe, while Asia and
Oceania are gaining. The top ten countries in the descending order are USA, France,
Singapore, Japan, Spain, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Belgium and UK. India is ranked
27th with approximately over 250 meetings6.
Medical sciences remain a popular area for international meetings accounting for about 33%
of all meetings. The other top sectors are Science (13%), Technology (7%), Industry (7%)
and Social Sciences (4%). As far as seasonality is concerned, the industry worldwide
shows seasonality, with September, October and November being the busiest periods for
convention tourism.
Meetings and conventions offer high value addition in terms of delegate expenditure and
also serve the dual purpose of promoting international relations. It is a highly profitable
form of tourism as most delegates are subsidized and tend to use costly accommodation
and often travel before and after the event. In addition, by organizing during the offseasonal months, one can remove the seasonality effects of leisure tourism. Thus
undesirable social effects of seasonal tourism such as migration, temporary employment
and job instability can be avoided. These events can also be termed as knowledge
tourism as they promote the exchange of ideas, technology and commercial knowledge
that contribute to an intangible but important source of value add to the economy of the
host country. The MICE sector also helps increase local government and private sector
investments that result in improvements in the general hospitality environment of the
destination country.
The sector and trends can be summed up as follows.
MICE tourism offers countries the opportunity to grow tourism particularly out of
season.
The destination image of a country is of particular value in the development of MICE
tourism.
The new consumer trends are of particular importance in the development of this
format of tourism.
The education of expert human resources to manage MICE development is a key
priority.
Final Report
- 43 -
India ranks 27th in the Global Meetings market and 7th in the Asia Pacific region by the
number of international conventions hosted each year 7 . Most of the international
convention centers in Asia Pacific region are integrated facilities with accommodation,
entertainment, shopping along with the convention, exhibition and business center facilities.
The table below presents market share of MICE in Asia Pacific:
Table 3.16: Market Share of International Conventions and Meetings in Asia Pacific
Sl.
No.
Country
Market Share in
Asia Pacific
1.
Japan
20 Percent
2.
Australia
19 Percent
3.
South Korea
14 Percent
4.
11 Percent
5.
Singapore
11 Percent
6.
Thailand
10 Percent
7.
India
9 Percent
8.
Malaysia
6 Percent
Thailand
10%
India Malaysia
6%
9%
Singapore
11%
China &
Hong
Kong
11%
Japan
20%
Australia
19%
South
Korea
14%
Final Report
- 44 -
increase the capacity of existing infrastructure, in addition to setting up four new world
class mega convention centres in New Delhi, Mumbai, Jaipur and Goa. That apart, the
MoT, in order to boost MICE tourism further, has extended its benefits under the Market
Development Assistance (MDA) scheme to the active members of ICPB, towards the
bidding process for international conferences /conventions. The scheme would bring in
more MICE business to the country. Under this scheme, associations would be given
financial support on winning the bid or for obtaining second and third positions in the
bidding process
Infrastructure
India provides an impressive combination of conference support facilities like venue, travel,
accommodation, technology, event organizers, recreation, etc. to hold a successful
conference / exhibition. To mention a few; Vigyan Bhawan, Pragathi Maidan, India habitat
Center (IHC), India International center (IIC) etc. in New Delhi, Center Point, Renaissance
Hotel, Convention Center in Mumbai, HITEX and HICC in Hyderabad, CTC in Chennai, the
BM Birla Science and Technology Centre in Jaipur, the Jaypee Hotels & International
Convention Centre, Agra Convention Centre and the Cochin Convention Centre, etc.
together with facilities in the business hotels and resorts at various centers in the country.
A large number of convention centers are available in India with a seating capacity of up to
1,500 persons. Most MICE events are normally up to 1000 capacity for which there are
number of options across India. India also has vast geographical expanse with varied
climate features that is an advantage for organizing events throughout the year in the
location that has suitable climate during the time. The larger congregations are very few
and normally held in HICC (5000 capacity), Mumbai grounds, Pragathi Maidan-Delhi,
Palace Grounds in Bangalore etc. With all the facility presently existing it is still realized
that there is lack of organized area as in HICC, Hyderabad with world class facilities that
can attract the MICE events multi-fold. This is also attributed to the less marketing
strategies adopted by MoT. The same is being addressed through MDA scheme as
discussed above.
The estimated number of hotel rooms in India with respect to the demand is found to be
lower by almost 30,000 rooms as per MoT analysis. The number of budget hotel rooms are
less as compared to assessed and this is also cited to be a reason for slow off take of
MICE segment in India. In order to address this issue Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has delinked credit for hotel projects from commercial real estate, thereby enabling hotel projects
to avail credit at relaxed norms and reduced interest rates. In addition, the External
Commercial Borrowing (ECB) norms have been relaxed by Ministry of Finance to solve the
problem of liquidity being faced by the hotel industry due to economic slowdown.
The air connectivity which is also important criteria for MICE industry performance has
been addressed by GoI. Many metro and 35 non-metro airports were taken up under up
gradation program and most of them are either completed or reaching completion (source:
AAI)
Event Type
Conventions
No. of Events
1,600
Sl. No.
Event Type
2.
Meetings
3.
Exhibitions
No. of Events
Total
Final Report
- 45 -
44,300
1605.70
300
5600.00
46,200
7825.80
The international events that have, over the years, developed an institutionalized character
include International Security Exhibition, Aahar (Food Expo), Printpack India, Delhi
International Shoe Fair, Tex-Styles India, the India International Trade Fair, Prakash
(Lighting Exhibition) at Pragati Maidan , the India International Leather Fair (at Chennai)
and International Leather Goods Fair (at Calcutta). These exhibitions enjoy tremendous
industry support, both from the point of view of participation and visitor turnout from India
and abroad.
Locations
Important conference centers in the country are at New Delhi, Mumbai, Agra, Bangalore,
Chennai, Cochin, Goa, Hyderabad, Jaipur & Kolkata. Some important hotel chains like the
Taj Group, ITC-Welcome Group, the Oberoi's, Meridien Hotels, and Marriott Hotels, etc.
also have excellent conference facilities and obtain a large share of revenues through
MICE operations of industries. The table below summarizes availability of facilities for
MICE events in some of the select major cities India.
Table 3.18: Availability of Facilities for MICE Events in Major Cities in India
Sl.
1.
India's premier conference venue is still the Vigyan Bhavan, which is mostly
used for government functions or international events. After extensive
renovation, Vigyan Bhavan facilities are now on par with some of the best in the
world. With a capacity of 2,400 in theater-style, it is the largest facility in India.
To give a further boost to convention business, the government has decided to
set two international convention centers in the country with an investment of
USD 222 million. Most of India's convention facilities are located in the
country's five-star hotels. The MICE industry in Delhi is sized more INR 2.00
billion. It is the key MICE destination in India presently and contributes nearly
30 percent of the industry in India.
2.
Mumbai
There are more than 72 star (3 star and above) category hotels which have
convention / banquet halls. These hotels and stand alone convention centers
have a combined capacity of 194 banquet halls with an average number of 2.75
halls in each center / hotel.
In terms of number of banquets and convention halls, Hotel Oberoi tops the
chart with 12 halls having a total of 330,268 sq. ft. of built up space with a total
capacity of 2245 persons. The largest convention hall in this hotel has a
capacity of 1,000 sq. ft. with minimum revenue earning potential of INR
243,000 per day. The total revenue potential for all the banquet halls in the
Hotel Oberoi ranges between INR 1.26 million to INR 1.95 million per day
3.
Pune
There are more than 40 star (3 star and above) category hotels in Pune with
more than 12 hotels having convention / banquet halls. These hotels and stand
alone convention centers have a combined capacity of 41 banquet halls with an
average number of 3.7 halls in each center / hotel.
In terms of number of banquets and convention halls, Hotel Le Meridian tops
the chart with 7 halls with a total capacity of 1,500 persons. Government of
Maharashtra has given a go ahead to establish this International Exhibition
Center at Moshi, District Pune on an area of 170 hectares with most advanced
Sl.
Final Report
- 46 -
4.
Kolkata
There are not many convention centres in Kolkata. The major one operating is
at Science City, which is a complex for promoting science and technology to
the general public. The convention centre, which is part of this complex, is
rented out to public and is popular for national and international conventions.
However the maximum capacity the main hall can hold is 2000 persons.
Apart from this, all the major 5 star hotels have facilities for conventions and
conferencing ITC Shonar Bangla hotel, Hyatt Regency, Grand Oberoi, Taj
Bengal and The Park. In terms of number of banquets and convention halls,
ITC Shonar Bangla has nearly 9 halls with varying capacity of 24-700 and
Oberoi Grand can take max. capacity of 1000 persons.
5.
Hyderabad
6.
Chennai
There are nearly 25 star (3 star and above) category hotels, which have
convention / banquet halls. Only 3 hotels have convention/meeting halls that
can hold capacity of 1,000. The others can hold only about 300 and below as
maximum capacity. Although there are more than 25 hotels with an average of
3 halls per hotel there is no space for large conventions/meetings.
Following table provides an insight into the most sought convention facilities in India:
Table 3.19: Most Sought Convention Facilities in India
Sl.
No.
Facility
Land
Area (in
Acres)
Exhibition Hall
1.
Pragati
Maidan
149
2.
Chennai
Trade Center
25
1500 persons
3.
HITEX,
Hyderabad
100
32,825 sq. m.
1350 persons
4.
HICC
Hyderabad
15
NA
5000 persons
BIEC
Bangalore
35
Delhi leads the MICE segment in India with the advantage of being the capital city and best
infrastructure facilities. Mumbai, the financial capital has around six large grounds/
exhibition spaces and most entertainment, religious, economic events are held here.
Hyderabad is fast emerging MICE center in India since the opening of HICC in 2006. The
number of exhibitions/conventions held in this center has been growing multifold. HICC
hosted ICCA meet in 2010 which was one of the large global meets of ICCA. Chennai
Final Report
- 47 -
Trade Center is the most sought out exhibition complex in South India due to lack of such
facilities and also owing to the lower costs compared to HITEX-HICC in Hyderabad.
Conventions by Category and Days
There are more than 45 categories listed under industries that conduct exhibitions, seminar,
conventions in India, etc. However, some of the leading industry segments for exhibitions
in India are Information Technology, FMCG, beauty and fashion, hardware & machinery,
environment, printing and packaging, medical/pharma, gifts, textile and garments, real
estate, furniture and interiors, media, engineering etc.
Considering textile industry alone, nearly 27 Industry trade fairs, more than 10 prominent
fairs and exhibitions have taken place at various locations in India during last year.
In the agriculture related MICE, there were a little above 24 trade fairs and shows
conducted during 2006 in India and this has grown to over 75 events for the year 2012.
This accounts to increase by more than 200% in the last 6-7 years. Some of the prominent
events area Food Tech India, Aahar, Krishi Expo, International Animal Industry Expo, Agri
& Flora Tech, International Flora Expo, Agri-Tech India, Grain Tech India, etc. Most events
are held in Mumbai, Bangalore, Coimbatore and Delhi.
There are various institutional and industry related bodies like Confederation of Indian
Industries (CII), Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industries (FICCI),
NASSCOM, India Trade Promotion Organization (ITPO), etc. that conduct various fairs,
conferences, training programmes throughout the year. The CII alone organizes many
programs each year.
MICE events are held in many multi fold categories pertaining to various industries;
MoT is focusing on marketing India as a destination for MICE events. There is also
recommendation of setting up an independent body to monitor MICE events in India.
MoT has extended its benefits under the Market Development Assistance (MDA)
scheme to the active members of ICPB to promote MICE sector.
Delhi leads in terms of no. of events conducted -an advantage of being national capital
HICC is slowly emerging as important place for most International events in India due
to the advanced technology, choice of vast single congregation area in combination
with business centers, hotel and F&B
South India is gaining importance in MICE events since the operation of HITEX and
HICC. When Hyderabad, Chennai and Bangalore are considered together they seem
take the maximum share of business of MICE events in India; and
Most events are held in convention facilities existing in five star hotels in all cities due
to lack of international scale of facilities and the right ambience for national /
international conventions.
The Ministry of Tourism has decided to consider proposals for grant of financial
assistance up to INR 50 million for construction of one convention centre at any wellconnected and accessible tourist destination in each State/UT for promotion of MICE
Tourism.
Final Report
- 48 -
tourism in Kerala on a cultural plank. The study indicated that while Kerala is not a
significant business destination, its calm and serene environs could make it an attractive
meeting venue for corporates. This would also introduce business and professional
decision makers to the State, which in turn can open gates for investments in other areas.
Hotel and resorts focusing on foreign tourists can increase occupancy during the lean April
- September season, by focussing on meetings and seminars market, through appropriate
packages as may be necessary. Hotels/resorts with traditional architecture and ambience
can position themselves to offer business tourism packages incorporating cultural
performances, local cuisine, ayurvedic rejuvenation, etc. that could lend uniqueness and
special image to the product.
Kerala is located in the south western corner of the country and thus is far removed from
the main business centres. However, neighbouring states of Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and
Andhra Pradesh are well ahead into industrialisation, and could provide the potential to tap
business tourism. This opportunity includes business meetings, small conferences, inhouse training, all combined with holidays in exotic locations in the State. Further, Kerala is
also in the international crossroads between the Middle East/Europe and Far East/
Australia. Kerala has air links with the Middle East and Singapore. This advantage could
be utilised to attract the international community for business tourism to the State. Though
seemingly far-fetched at present, this could be developed gradually with a clear vision and
concerted efforts. This would essentially require upgradation of relevant infrastructure communication facilities in hotels & resorts, innovative packages for combining business
with pleasure, brand building and marketing of Kerala as a business/conference
destination.
Kochi, the business hub of the State has made certain foray into the MICE tourism with the
operation of Le Meridian Hotel. Subsequently, during the year 2006, the State entered into
global arena for MICE activities with the operation of Lulu International Convention Center
in Thrissur, which caters to the growing needs of a convention facility of international
standards. Lulu ICC and Garden Hotels is a venture of renowned business magnate and
global entrepreneur Padmasree M. A. Yusuff Ali, who heads the EMKE Group and Lulu
Chain of Hypermarkets
Lulu ICC is benefitted by good connectivity of Thrissur by road, rail and airport. Nearest
airport is the Cochin International Airport, which is located at a distance of about 55 km
from the city. Cochin International Airport handles both domestic and international flights
and is the largest Airport in Kerala. Majority of the connections are domestic although a
fairly significant number of flights connect destinations in the Gulf and Middle East catering
to the Kerala Diaspora. A second airport run by the Navy also operates in the city. There
are two main railway stations. Kochi ranks among Indias major seaports due to its being a
safe harbour. It also operates passenger ships to Colombo and Lakshadweep.
At present, convention and conference options in the state are quite limited, and are
catered to a limited extent by the premium hotels in Kochi and Lulu ICC in Thrissur. The Le
Meridian Hotel in Kochi offers moderate conference facilities, with capacities of 270-1350
sq. m. (with 500-2000 delegates in theatre seating option) across 9 halls. It has also some
smaller spaces, which can be availed for smaller meetings. Taj Malabars convention
facilities include a conference hall with the capacity to cater to 300 plus delegates. An
initiative for an international trade and convention centre is in place by Zoom Developers.
This is being developed in a 40 acre land parcel and is a part of the Multi Product SEZ at
Kalamassery, developed by KINFRA. The work is at present on hold. Piling is completed
for the structure.
Final Report
- 49 -
The table below presents distance of major land arks from the ICC along with approximate
travel time by road.
Table 3.20: Distance from Major Landmarks from Lulu ICC
Landmark
10
10
55
70
Kozhikode Airport
80
100
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The Lulu ICC is located at Puzhackal and is located 100 m off the SH-39 connecting
Thrissur and Gurvuvayoor. This State Highway is one of the fast developing corridors of
the city. The immediate neighborhood comprises of Sobha City, an integrated development
project, automobile showrooms, and few industrial & commercial developments.
Meeting Facilities
The centrally air-conditioned Main Hall, Lulu Grand can comfortably seat 2,200 pax, and is
one the best venue for conventions, conferences, product launches, mega shows,
weddings, etc. in State. This hall is equipped with most modern audio-visual facilities.
Final Report
- 50 -
The air-conditioned Banquet Hall, Ruby can take up to 1,100 pax (theatre style) while the
non-air-conditioned Banquet Hall, Lotus can accommodate 1,000 pax. For a typical Kerala
style feast (sadya), the halls can seat up to 1,500 people in one go.
The Mini-conference Safina I, II, III is an air-conditioned and carpeted hall, which can be
segregated into 3 different halls, each equipped with state-of-the-art audio-visual facilities.
This hall can seat 20 to 450 pax and provides a very aesthetic ambience for meetings,
seminars, conferences, corporate events, etc.
Accommodation and Restaurant
Apart from the conference halls, Lulu has a Lulu Garden Hotel which has 30 executive
rooms and 5 suites, all air-conditioned and of double occupancy category. The hotel also
has a well-equipped health club and kids play park for recreation. The present tariff
structure is as follows:
Table 3.21: Average Daily Room Rate for Hotel Rooms at Lulu ICC
Room Category
Executive Rooms
Presidential Suite
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 51 -
Location
Nandambakkam
Developer
EMKE Group
Operator
EMKE Group
Site Extent
15 Acres
Space
Design
Exhibition hall
Convention
Center
14,000 sq. ft. column free space (140 feet x 100 feet)
Open Exhibition
Area
Proposed Use
Hall 1 (Grand Lulu Hall): Without F&B - INR 300,000 plus taxes and
with F&B at INR 850 per pax plus applicable taxes 5% tax per head
Hall 2 (Ruby Hall): Without F&B - INR 150,000 plus taxes and with
F&B at INR 850 per pax plus applicable taxes
Hall 3 (Lotus Hall): Without F&B - INR 125,000 plus taxes and with
F&B at INR 850 per pax plus applicable taxes
Hall 4 (Saffina): Without F&B - INR 75,000 plus taxes and with F&B at
INR 850 per pax plus applicable taxes
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The table below presents some of the technical facilities of the Lulu ICC
Table 3.23: Technical Details of Lulu International Convention Centre
Exhibition Hall/ Gallery
(Column Free Space)
Final Report
- 52 -
Range from 1,583 sq. ft. to 14,000 sq. ft.; Capacity range from 50 persons to
2,200 persons
Accommodation
Lulu Garden Hotel with 35 keys in premises. Tie ups with other hotels in the
city.
Car Parking
Service pits
Service trenches for power, water supply and drain line, telephone and
compressed air.
Drains
Key Features
The special and unique facilities available in the Convention Center are a)
Foldable sliding partition; b) Helipad; c) The theatrical lighting system; d)
Fire protections with sprinklers and smoke detectors; e) Modern Audio and
video system; f) Meeting rooms; g) Banquet hall; h) Protocol and VIP
lounge; i) Business center; j) Information Booth; k) Parking facilities; l) Wi-Fi
connectivity; m) Service pits for connectivity; and n) Outdoor area
Information kiosk/booths
Protocol and service room
Fire safety, Ambulance & First aid services (on request)
Banking facilities (on request)
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Sources of Business
The major events that happen in the Lulu ICC are undoubtedly marriage events. This is
followed by Medical. The banking and financial sector also conducts events regularly at the
convention centre. Other sectors include tourism, government, entertainment, pharma
sector, FMCG product launches, Bio-technology, etc. The chart below presents the
sectoral contribution of events and the scale of events happening in Lulu ICC.
Lulu has plans to construct a 100 keys 5-star category hotel. The major occupants in their
hotel are those who come for conferencing. This is followed by Corporates and domestic
Final Report
- 53 -
travelers. Unlike Cochin, the peak season is during April which is the season of Thrissur
Poorams. All the convention spaces in Lulu are column free.
Conference Facility
The fees and details of the conference facilities available in Lulu ICC are as follows.
Table 3.24: Details of Conference Halls at Lulu International Convention Centre
Halls
ColumnFree Space
(Yes/No)
Area /
Size
(sq. ft.)
Capacity
(No. of
Persons)
Yes
14,000
2,000
Yes
10,630
Yes
Hall 4 (Saffina)
Yes
Monthly
Frequency
of Usage
(Average)
Charges
with F&B *
(INR excl.
Taxes)
Charges
without F&B
(INR excl.
Taxes)
10 days
850
300,000
1,500
15 days
850
150,000
7,100
750-900
15 days
850
125,000
1,583
50 - 500
17 days
850
75,000
During off season, the duration of advance booking is 3 to 6 months while during season
time the duration is 9 to 12 months. There is no seasonal variation in prices for conference
facility. The banquet facility is provided in three of the halls.
Final Report
- 54 -
4.1
11.3 acres (492,224 sq. ft.). First phase of the development is envisaged over a
land area of about 4.46 acres (194,276 sq. ft.) comprising Retail Mall, Showroom
Space and Office Space.
Access
Frontage
Shape
Topography
Contiguity
Landuse
4.2
Power
Telecommunication
Water Supply exists in the Project Site in the form of conventional well. There is no
trunk infrastructure available for water supply and sewerage.
Final Report
- 55 -
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Table below provides distances of the important locations / landmarks from the Project Site:
Table 4.2: Distances of the Project Site from Major Landmarks in the City
Location / Landmark
Distance from
Project Site (km)
Location / Landmark
Swaraj Round
3.5
Sobha City
West Fort
2.5
Punkunnam Junction
Paturaickal Junction
Thrissur
Station
Collectorate/
2
Civil
3.5
3
Distance from
Project Site (km)
1.5
1
3.5
3.5
55
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
4.3
Final Report
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Final Report
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Map 4.2: Map on Location of the Project Site and its Surroundings
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 58 -
4.4
Final Report
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4.5
4.6
Project Site is part of SBD of the city and is located along one of
the fast growing corridors of the city.
Project Site enjoys good connectivity from SH-69 and is
proposed to be widened to four-lane.
Surrounding developments in the catchment attracts significant
floating population of SEC A & B with high disposable income.
Opportunities
Project Site catchment has good social and physical
infrastructure
Proposed surrounding developments such as KINFRA Park,
Puzhakkal River Tourism Project, would improve the profile of
the area.
Weaknesses
Final Report
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Table 4.4: Break-Up of Area Statement for First Phase Development on the Project Site
All Area in sq. m.
Sl.
No.
Level / Floor
Floor Plate
excl.
Parking
Service
Area
Passage
Area
Built-Up
Area
within FAR
Common
Area
Component-Wise Break-Up
Shops
Multiplex
F&B
Showrooms
Floor Plate
incl.
Parking
Office
A.
Retail Mall
1.
Basement 2
520.51
178.62
341.89
520.51
7,407.45
2.
Basement 1
442.35
149.86
292.49
442.35
7,358.04
3.
Ground Floor
1,687.71
277.04
113.34
1,297.33
1,295.26
392.45
6,481.46
4.
First Floor
6,037.18
8.63
132.70
5,895.85
2,501.38
3,535.80
6,037.18
5.
Second Floor
5,597.23
8.63
132.70
5,455.90
1,740.37
3,856.86
5,597.23
6.
Third Floor
5,424.76
8.63
129.83
5,286.30
1,654.39
3,770.37
5,424.76
7.
Fourth Floor
5,460.82
122.67
129.83
5,208.32
1,691.43
2,368.36
706.96
694.07
5,460.82
8.
Fifth Floor
5,494.00
314.30
283.95
4,895.75
634.89
784.00
953.22
3,121.89
5,494.00
9.
Terrace Floor
1,556.96
833.74
26.40
696.82
1,306.48
194.16
56.32
1,556.96
32,221.52
1,902.12
948.75
29,370.65
11,787.06
14,902.00
1,716.50
3,815.96
50,817.90
Showroom
Space and
Office
1.
Basement 2
374.06
215.55
158.51
374.06
5,763.39
2.
Basement 1
322.49
215.55
106.94
322.49
5,736.96
3.
Ground Floor
344.39
145.18
199.21
344.39
4,751.84
4.
First Floor
2,290.85
80.86
31.18
2,178.81
382.45
1,908.40
2,290.85
5.
Second Floor
2,787.51
80.86
2,706.65
320.11
2,467.40
2,787.51
6.
Third Floor
2,787.51
80.86
2,706.65
320.11
2,467.40
2,787.51
7.
Fourth Floor
2,787.51
80.86
2,706.65
320.11
2,467.40
2,787.51
Sl.
No.
Level / Floor
Final Report
- 61 -
Floor Plate
excl.
Parking
Service
Area
Passage
Area
Built-Up
Area
within FAR
Common
Area
Component-Wise Break-Up
Shops
Multiplex
F&B
Showrooms
Floor Plate
incl.
Parking
Office
8.
Fifth Floor
2,787.51
80.86
2,706.65
320.11
9.
Sixth Floor
1,762.89
103.52
1,659.37
423.51
1,339.38
1,762.89
10.
Seventh Floor
1,757.23
103.52
1,653.71
405.53
1,351.70
1,757.23
11.
Eighth Floor
1,757.23
103.52
1,653.71
405.53
1,351.70
1,757.23
12.
Ninth Floor
1,757.23
103.52
1,653.71
405.53
1,351.70
1,757.23
13.
Tenth Floor
1,156.47
439.74
103.52
613.21
917.30
239.17
1,156.47
14.
Terrace Floor
127.20
127.20
127.20
127.20
22,800.08
1,420.32
548.78
20,830.98
5,388.43
11,778.00
5,633.65
38,011.33
55,021.60
3,322.44
1,497.53
50,201.63
17,175.49
14,902.00
1,716.50
3,815.96
11,778.00
5,633.65
88,829.23
2,467.40
2,787.51
Based on the above area statement, FAR area is about 50,201.63 sq. m., which translates into 540,366 sq. ft., which translates into utilized FAR
of 2.78 on land extent of 4.46 acres (i.e. 194,276 sq. ft.)
Final Report
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5.1
Phase I: Proposed to have a Retail Mall of 316,143 sq. ft. of built-up area within FAR
and Commercial Block containing 224,223 sq. ft. of built-up area within FAR for both
showroom space & commercial / office space on warm shell basis. The entire Phase I
is expected to be spread over 4.46 acres land extent;
Phase II: Proposed to have a Hotel Block and Convention Center Block. The Phase II
development is expected to be spread over 6.84 acres land extent; and
Based on the area statement shared by the Client for the first phase, the Project Site,
proposed development is envisaged over a land area of about 4.46 acres (194,276 sq. ft.)
comprising Retail Mall, Showroom Space and Office Space. The table below summarizes
the break-up of area statement.
Table 5.1: Break-Up of Area Statement for First Phase Development on the Project Site
Sl.
No.
Uses
1.
29,370.65
316,143
2.
Showroom
13,385.73
144,083
3.
Office
7,445.25
80,140
Total
50,201.63
540,366
(sq. m.)
Description
(sq. ft.)
Based on the above area statement, FAR area is about 50,201.63 sq. m., which translates
into 540,366 sq. ft., which translates into utilized FAR of 2.78 on land extent of 4.46 acres
(i.e. 194,276 sq. ft.). Total built-up area including service areas, common areas, parking,
etc. works out to 956,150 sq. ft.
While components proposed under Phase I is dealt in detail in the subsequent chapters for
their market feasibility and financial feasibility, the table below provides market feasibility
and profitability of all the components proposed under all three phases based on the
macro-market assessment, considering various uses/activities proposed as part of the
overall integrated development in medium- & long-term (in all 3 phases), inter-dependency,
value add in positioning and key critical success factors for development of such
use/activity.
5.2
Final Report
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Final Report
- 64 -
Table 5.2: Summary Sector Assessment and Recommended Development Mix for Project Site under Different Phases
Sl.
No
.
Project
Components /
Sectors
1.
Organized
Retail
(Mall
Format
incl.
Showrooms)
2.
Commercial /
Corporate
/
Office Space
3.
Hospitality
Positioning - Size to act as a city-level mall with gross built-up area of about
470,000 sq. ft.
Competition - Lesser penetration of mall format in the city and enjoys competitive
advantage
Inter-dependency - Integrated mixed-use development on the Project Site offers
inter-dependency for retail mall more specifically from Phase II and Phase III
components
Demand drivers - Demand from the city in general and micro-market in particular.
Captive demand potential from Phase II and Phase III components
Positioning driven - complement hotel, MICE and residential development
Market
Feasibility
Profitabilit
y
Recommendation for
Final Development Mix
YES
Recommended for
development after
securing anchor
OR consider as
part of Phase II
Demand drivers - Demand from the city in general due to business and tourism
potential
Inter-dependency - Integrated mixed-use development on the Project Site offers
inter-dependency for hotel component more specifically from retail mall, office and
Convention Center
Demand catalysts - office and MICE components proposed under Phase I & II
Captive demand - Fully occupied office space and operational Convention Center
offers sizeable captive demand
Positioning - Operator formats/brands complement other uses
YES
YES
Sl.
No
.
Project
Components /
Sectors
4.
MICE
Convention
Center
5.
Residential
Apartment
INDEX
Final Report
- 65 -
Market
Feasibility
Positioning - Play role of an anchor - high multiplier factor for the integrated
development
Capital intensive - profitable as a package of activities, which can capitalize
multiplier factor
Inter-dependency - Integrated mixed-use development on the Project Site offers
inter-dependency for Convention Center more specifically from retail mall, office
and hotel
Competition - Lulu Convention Center will be a direct competition to the proposed
development
Positioning - This component makes the proposed development as fully integrated
development with walk to work concept
Competition - will have edge over other standalone developments due to
integrated nature of the overall development
Inter-dependency - Retail mall and Convention Center (for social events) will be
significantly benefitted from the residential development
Demand drivers - Demand from the city in general and micro-market in particular.
Competitive edge due to integrated nature of overall development
Positioning driven - complement retail, office and Convention Center
FAVORABLE
MODERATE
NON-FAVORABLE
Profitabilit
y
Recommendation for
Final Development Mix
YES
Recommended for
further evaluation
on profitability
before
commencing
Phase II
development
YES
Final Report
- 66 -
Based on the above matrix, key observations on the development mix are summarized
below:
Proposed components like organized retail (mall format incl. showrooms), hospitality
and residential apartment demonstrates favorable market feasibility & profitability;
Convention Center offers moderate market feasibility due to the direct competition from
Lulu Convention center while the profitability need to be evaluated on a later date due
to high capital expenditure and potential negative impact on revenue due to
competition; and
Final Report
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6.1
BACKGROUND
The Project Site and developments in its neighborhood (micro-market) have been
assessed to understand its demography, socio-economic profile, affordability, housing
characteristics, social infrastructure, available amenities, existing commercial & residential
developments, leisure & entertainment facilities, city level infrastructure initiatives, which
will have their impact on the development at the Project Site. Further, the existing real
estate scenario has been captured to analyze the prevailing needs and demands for such
developments in the near future. Also, this analysis would help in determining the potential
opportunities which are available in the neighborhood for proposed development and the
like.
The inputs for the assessment are derived from both market assessment and primary
demand assessment surveys carried out within the primary & secondary catchments of the
Project Site. The real estate market assessment covered both macro- and micro-market
assessment across all core real estate (residential, commercial/office and hospitality) subsectors in general and the retail sub-sector in particular.
In the case of primary demand assessment, a perception analysis has been conducted
covering households and shoppers for shopping behavior & perceptions and retailers for
their perceptions & preferences. In addition, about 20 perceptions were captured from
office occupiers from Kochi and Bangalore to ascertain their interest to expand in Thrissur.
The table below presents the framework adopted for the primary demand assessment
surveys.
Table 6.1: Framework on Methodology Adopted for Primary Demand Assessment Surveys
Sl.
Type of Survey
Survey Details
No. of Samples
1.
Household
Surveys (In-home
Surveys)
and
Shoppers Surveys
Household
Surveys - 215
Samples
Shoppers Surveys
- 100 Samples
2.
Retailers Survey
50 Samples
Sl.
Type of Survey
Survey Details
Final Report
- 68 -
No. of Samples
6.2
Occupiers Survey
20 Samples
(10 samples each
at Kochi and
Bangalore)
Final Report
- 69 -
Map 6.1: Map Showing the Primary and Secondary Catchment of the Project Site
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 70 -
Map showing the urban centers surrounding the city, which forms part of the tertiary
catchment, is presented below.
Map 6.2: Map Showing the Urban Centers of Tertiary Catchment of the Project Site
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Following are the areas under primary secondary and tertiary catchment of the Project Site.
Table 6.2: Catchment Details of Project Site
Primary*
Catchment
Secondary
Catchment
Tertiary
Catchment
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Neighborhood Characteristics
Location
Final Report
- 71 -
Neighborhood Characteristics
Adat
Kolazhy
Avanoor
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Demographic Characteristics
The primary and secondary catchment areas are within the jurisdiction of Thrissur
Corporation and thus the population figures have been collated based on the Census
figures 2011. The areas considered under the tertiary catchment are located under the
Thrissur UA as per the Census 2011. The population growth rates have been estimated
based on growth derived based on Census 2001 and 2011 figures. The tables below
present the demographic characteristics of the population residing in the catchment area of
the Project Site.
Table 6.4: Key Demographic Features of the Catchment Area of the Project Site
Catchment
Primary Catchment
Total Population
(Projected 2013*)
Total Population
(Projected 2016*)
2,49,321
2,49,321
2,49,321
66,275
66,275
66,275
Tertiary Catchment
1,24,194
1,53,468
2,08,721
Total
4,39,790
4,69,064
5,24,317
Secondary Catchment
Note: Primary catchment covers areas located within Thrissur Corporation (79%), Secondary catchment covers about 21% of
Thrissur Corporation and Tertiary catchment covers of 7% of the District Urban Population.
* Projected population based on 2011 Census Figures. Thrissur Corporation indicates negative growth and therefore no increase
in population figures have been considered for the Primary and Secondary catchments.
Source: Census of India 2011
Based on the above, target population (SEC A & B category) and households within the
catchment area of the Project Site is estimated for the current year ( year 2013) and year
2016. The same is presented in the table in the following page.
Final Report
- 72 -
Table 6.5: Existing and Projected SEC A & B Population and Households within the Catchment Area of the Project Site
Catchment
Population
(Census 20111/)
Total No. of
Households2/
2,49,321
57,982
16,037
--
Sub Total
2,49,321
57,982
16,037
16,037
16,037
17,385
66,275
15,413
4,263
4,263
4,263
4,263
2011
2013
2016
Primary Catchment
--
--
16,037
--
16,037
--
16,037
1,348
Secondary Catchment
Thrissur Corporation (21%)
Additional Supply from the On-going/New Projects
Sub Total
--
--
--
--
--
483
66,275
15,413
4,263
4,263
4,263
4,746
1,24,194
27599
7633
7633
9,432
12,828
Sub Total
1,24,194
27599
7633
7633
9,432
12,828
27,933
29,732
34,959
Tertiary Catchment
Grand Total
Population figures based on 2011 Census data
2/ Households calculated based on the average household size indicated in the primary surveys in the catchments.
3/ Proportion of population under SEC A & B Category is 27.7% and is based on City Skyline Data 2012 published by Indicus Analytics
1/
Final Report
- 73 -
Catchment Profiling
A primary survey of shoppers and residential population in the catchment was undertaken
to understand the perceptions and preferences of consumers of the primary & secondary
catchments and other areas of the city. Opinion and feedback received through this survey
is utilized for ascertaining the demand for the retail development on the Project Site.
Household Size: The average household size of the primary & secondary catchment is 4.3.
About 60% of the population in the primary & secondary catchment has a family size of 3
to 6 members. About one-third of the households had 1 to 3 members and remaining
households had 6 to 8 members in the household. This indicates the increasing nuclear
families of the households in Thrissur, which in-turn result in the increase in requirement of
commodities and thus increase in spending.
Thrissur is also known for having a large percentage of the population working abroad
mainly in the Middle East. Similar characteristics were also indicated in the household
surveys wherein the primary & secondary catchment had approximately one-fifth of
families with members residing abroad. This indicates a higher buying power for the
households in the catchments due to remittances from the NRI segment. Majority of these
households in the catchment have 1 -2 members working abroad followed by about 6-7%
households with 3-4 members residing/working abroad.
Earning Members: Majority, over half (55%) of the households within the primary
catchment have single earning member while the remaining had more than one earning
members in the household. However, in the case of the secondary catchment, almost twothird of the respondents had single earning member, while the remaining had two or more
earning members in the household.
Occupation Profile: About two-third
(70%) of the households in the
catchment are employed in the
private sector. There is small
percentage of the households
under the self-employed category
and public sector employment.
Majority of the respondents in
primary & secondary catchment
have reported a monthly household
income of INR 30,001 - 60,000.
While 14-15% have reported
monthly income of INR 60,001 - 90,000. It was also observed that primary catchment alone
had about 10% of the respondents with income above INR 150,000 per month. The
average monthly household income works out to be INR 58,606 and INR 46,580 per month
for the primary and secondary catchment respectively.
Final Report
- 74 -
However the above analysis does not include the remittances by NRI members of the
household.
Workplace Location: Majority (17%) of the respondents in the primary catchment work in
and around Swaraj Circle (Thrissur Round) followed Ayyanthole and Punkunnam (10%
each). The workplace locations for the remaining 29% of the respondents are almost
equally distributed among Puzhakkal (8%), Punkunnam (7%), Kuraichira (7%), Olarikkara
(7%), etc. The secondary catchment also has major percentage (20%) of respondents
working in and around Swaraj Circle followed by Ayyanthole (17%), Patturaickal (14%),
Poonkunnam (12%) and Ollur (11%).
Housing Typology and Ownership: Over 95% of the respondents were residing in individual
homes in the primary & secondary catchment while the remaining was in the apartments.
Majority of the respondents (92-93%) have reported living in own houses and a small
percentage of the population resides in rented homes with average monthly rental of about
INR 7,200. Most of the apartments and villas developments are either second homes or for
rental accommodation whose owners are mainly investors or expatriates.
6.3
The micro-market has mix of residential, hospitality, small scale retail & commercial
developments;
Retail formats in the micro-market is mainly the automobile showrooms, food outlets,
etc.
The residential developments are primarily by the local developers along Punkunnam
stretch. These are mainly Grade B & C developments.
Lulu International Convention Center and Puzhackal River Tourism Center add to the
hospitality profile of the micro-market.
Proposed KSRTC Bus Terminal is located in this stretch. Few Commercial
developments are proposed in the stretch.
The table below provides an overview of the prevailing micro-market situation in the
primary catchment of the Project Site, covering core real estate sectors.
Table 6.6: Overview of the Micro-Market Situation for the Project Site
Sub-Sector
Description
Prevailing Prices
Residential
Commercial
Retail
Standalone formats for retail development. Micromarket has large presence of automobile showrooms,
small F&B outlets, and furniture & light showrooms.
Sobha City Mall, which is under construction, is
located within this catchment
Rental
ft. per
Value:
ft. of
Final Report
- 75 -
Sub-Sector
Description
Prevailing Prices
Hospitality
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
City Centre is located in the Swaraj Round, the CBD of the city. The shopping complex
has a total area of approximately 45,000 sq. ft. with a floor plate of 9,000 sq. ft. The
ground floor comprises of inline stores and the major categories are apparel, F&B,
supermarket, jewellery store and gifts store. The first and second floor also has almost
the same tenant mix. The area of individual shops in these three floors varies from 450
sq. ft. to 2,000 sq. ft. The supermarket occupies the largest area of approximately
2,000 sq. ft. Fourth and fifth floor is occupied by educational institutes and offices. The
brands present in City Centre include Cottons, Peter England, City Supermarket, Zapp,
Kobbler, Scullers, Lee, Wrangler, etc. Existing lease rentals vary from INR 60-150 per
sq. ft. per month. Most of the shops are sold out to investors, who have in turn leased
out the premises to the retailers. The sale price ranges from INR 9,000- 15,000 per sq.
ft. for the ground floor.
Centre Point is located at MG Road. The approximate area of this complex is 40,000
sq. ft. and has a floor plate of approximately 8,000 sq. ft. The retail formats are located
on the Ground Floor. The formats present include a local super market, food outlet,
computer hardware store, travel agency, etc. No major brands are present here. The
upper floors are occupied by institutes such as Frank Finn and offices. The lease
rentals vary from INR 50-100 per sq. ft. per month. Though the shopping complex has
a good frontage, failed to perform well due to poor product mix, and lack of parking
facilities.
The immediate micro-market has large presence of automobile showrooms, a few small
scale F&B outlets, and furniture & light showrooms. The micro-market also houses few
super markets developed by local players. Under construction Sobha City Mall is also
located along this stretch (SH-69), at a distance of about 1 km from the Project Site.
Details of the Sobha City Mall is given in Section 3.4 above.
Map showing the Key retail development in the primary & secondary catchment is
presented in the following page.
Final Report
- 76 -
Map 6.3: Map Showing the Key Retail Developments in the Primary and Secondary Catchment of the Project Site
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 77 -
Retailers Preferences
As part of the primary surveys, retailers survey was carried out to assess the preferences
of the retailers and retail shopping characteristic of the city. Two retailers from each key
category were surveyed to understand the preferences from all the categories. Key
outcome and observations are presented below.
Area Preference: There is high preference for increased area requirements from categories
like Home Furnishings, Jewellery and Supermarket. This could be due to the nonavailability of larger format retail stores in the city. Accessory stores, electronics stores and
gifts stores are more or less satisfied with the existing area. Home furnishing stores are
presently functioning in approximately 2,750 sq. ft. area and they prefer expansion to 3,833
sq. ft. Similarly Jewellery stores that are functional in an average area of 5,036 sq. ft. prefer
to expand to larger areas of 6,250 sq. ft.
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Retailers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The average area for various retail outlets within the primary & secondary catchment is
3,984 sq. ft. and the area preferred by retailers is about 4,375 sq. ft., which is higher by
about 10% over the existing sizes.
Prevailing and Preferred Rental: Majority of the retailers are paying rentals ranging
between INR 25-50 per sq. ft. per month. The rentals are on the lower side as many have
paid substantial amount of deposits and most of them are occupied for long time. In terms
of willingness-to-pay, most of the retailers surveyed have indicated their preference to pay
the rental in a lesser range except accessory stores & jewellery stores, who are willing to
pay higher rentals if provided with better facilities. The average existing rentals in the
primary & secondary catchment is INR 72 per sq. ft. per month and the preferred rental per
month is INR 68 per sq. ft. per month.
Brand
Brand
Theatre Name
Reliance Mobile
City Super Market
Jayalakshmi
Reliance Trends
Big Bazaar
Fashion Fabrics
Reliance Super
Final Report
- 78 -
Weekdays Footfall
(Nos.)
300
4000
700
300
5000
1000
1000
Weekends Footfall
(nos.)
5000-6000
1000
300
6000
1000
1000
Jos Theatre
400
900
1100
Swapna Theatre
450
600
1142
Ragam Theatre
600
960
1200
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Retailers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 79 -
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Retailers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Location Preference of Retailers: Close to half (46%) of the retailers surveyed indicated
their willingness to relocate to a mall, while the rest (52%) of the retailers interested in
shifting to stand alone unit. The categories looking forward to locate within shopping mall
format are Apparel, Food Chain, Gift and Toys and Electronics Stores. The apparel formats
preferred locating in areas which are visible from mall or close to the food court of multiplex.
Final Report
- 80 -
Gifts & toy shop preferred to locate near areas which are visible from road while electronics
format preferred to locate near the multiplex.
Selection Criteria for Retail Expansion: The survey on selection criteria for retail purpose
indicated that location has the highest priority followed by footfalls, parking and
accessibility. Hence, any development which is at a preferred location with adequate
parking facilities and good ambience would be a development preferred by the retailers.
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Retailers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Ranking of Retail Destinations: Palace Road and Shakthan Thambura are the most
preferred retail destination for new outlets, followed by Swaraj Round and MG Road. The
Project Site ranks seventh among the various destinations preferred. However, owing to
the lack of availability of retail space in MG Road, CBD, etc., there will be lesser space for
expansion and hence the suburbs of the city will be preferred in which case, the Project
Site has better ranking than other suburban locations such as Ayyanthole, Kuttanalur,
Patturaikkal, etc.
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Retailers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 81 -
located at West Fort has been considered and benchmarked to arrive at the achievable
rental for the proposed retail development. The table in the following page presents the
price benchmarking and adjustments to arrive at achievable pricing.
Table 6.7: Price Benchmarking - Achievable Rentals for the Proposed Mall on the Project
Site
Benchmark Competitive Retail Malls
Benchmark Unit - Average Rental Value (INR
per sq. ft. per month)
Benchmark Price
Omega Center
Value
Adjustments
50
Value
46
5%
5%
-15%
-8
-5%
-3
-15%
43
5%
48
Large
Format
43
Medium
Format
48
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Based on the above table, average achievable lease rent (on leasable/chargeable area
basis) will be INR 48 per sq. ft. per month, for the overall medium format mall, which is
comparable to the size of the proposed retail mall on the Project Site. Please note that
the above achievable average lease rent is as on the date of assessment and is expected
to grow at around 5% per annum during the construction period. Considering 3 years for
construction of the proposed retail mall on the Project Site, estimated achievable average
lease rent for the retail mall will be INR 56 per sq. ft. per month during the year of operation.
Proposed mixed-use development on the Project Site envisages showroom space as part
of the commercial block. Since the showroom space largely occupied by large retailers,
who typically represent anchor and/or mini-anchor, the achievable rental for showroom
space can be same as that of large format store, which is INR 43 per sq. ft. per month.
Please note that the above lease rent is as on the date of assessment and is expected to
grow at around 5% per annum during the construction period. Considering 3 years for
construction of the proposed showroom space on the Project Site, estimated achievable
lease rent for the showroom space will be INR 50 per sq. ft. per month during the year of
operation.
Final Report
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In a nutshell, the occupiers surveys did not provide any concrete demand for IT-ITES
office space in Thrissur in near future.
In order to arrive at a benchmark price (rental value) for commercial / office space on warm
shell basis, for the proposed development on the Project Site, comparable projects in the
micro-market have been considered and analyzed. Adjustments are made in terms of
premium and discount parameters to arrive at the achievable rentals. As described earlier
in the report, the city does not have graded commercial space. Most of the offices are
located as part of the standalone complex where the floor plate size range from 3,000 to
4,000 sq. ft. Since there are no graded comparable instances for price benchmarking,
standalone complex like Vijas Infra located near Vadakke Bus Stand, Spoon Tower
(Poothole) and Fabis Arcade (High Road) are considered for benchmarking excises. The
arrived average achievable rental for commercial / office space at Project Site is further
qualified based on the size of the format, considering the prevailing market discounted
percentage. The table in the following page presents the price adjustments carried out to
arrive at achievable pricing for the commercial / office space at the Project Site.
Table 6.8: Price Benchmarking - Achievable Rentals for the Proposed Commercial / Office
Space (on Warm Shell Basis) on the Project Site
Benchmark Competitive
Commercial Office Space
Benchmark Unit - Average Rental
Value (INR per sq. ft. per month)
Vijas Infra
Adjustments
Benchmark Price
Spoon Tower
Value
Adjustments
58
Fabis Arcade
Value
Adjustments
50
Value
60
-10%
(6)
-10%
(5)
10%
-10%
(6)
-
Benchmark Competitive
Commercial Office Space
Benchmark Unit - Average Rental
Value (INR per sq. ft. per month)
Vijas Infra
Final Report
- 83 -
Spoon Tower
Fabis Arcade
Adjustments
Value
Adjustments
Value
Adjustments
Value
5%
5%
5%
-10%
(6)
-10%
(5)
-10%
(6)
Amenities Provided
5%
5%
5%
Grade of Construction
5%
5%
5%
-10%
(6)
-10%
(5)
-10%
(6)
-10%
(6)
-10%
(5)
-10%
(6)
-25%
44
-15%
43
-25%
45
Weightage
35%
Scalability Option
Scale of Development
35%
30%
Average Achievable Rentals for Commercial / Office Space at the Project Site
(INR per sq. ft. per month) on Warm Shell Basis
44
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Since the proposed floor plate is about 10,000 sq. ft. and overall development is about
70,000 sq. ft., it is recommended to consider different formats for improving the
marketability. The table below presents the suggestive format size along with achievable/
recommended rentals.
Table 6.9: Suggestive Format Sizes and Recommended Achievable Rentals for the
Proposed Commercial / Office Space (on Warm Shell Basis) on the Project Site
Sl.
No.
Average Base
Rental (INR per sq.
ft. per month)
Suggestive
Premium/
Discount
Achievable Rental
(INR per sq. ft. per
month)
1.
44
0%
44
2.
44
(10%)
39
3.
44
(20%)
35
4.
44
(35%)
28
Source: Real Estate Market Research and Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Based on the above table, average achievable lease rent (on leasable/chargeable area
basis) will be INR 42 per sq. ft. per month, for offices spaces under different format & size.
Please note that the above achievable average lease rent is as on the date of assessment
and is expected to grow at around 5% per annum during the construction period.
Considering 3 years for construction of the proposed office development on the Project
Site, estimated achievable average lease rent for the office space will be INR 49 per sq. ft.
per month during the year of operation.
Final Report
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7.1
GENERAL
Final Report
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As stated in the previous chapter, the inputs for the assessment are derived from both
market assessment and primary demand assessment surveys carried out within the
primary & secondary catchments of the Project Site. In the case of primary demand
assessment, a perception analysis has been conducted covering households and
shoppers for shopping behavior & perceptions. Shoppers on-site exit surveys were
conducted at City Center, Center Point and Big Bazaar (all together about 100 samples)
while the household (in-home) surveys were conducted within select locations (all together
about 215 samples) within the primary, secondary and tertiary catchments of the Project
Site.
The sections below present the outcome and key observations on the shopping behavior &
perceptions of the respondents of household and shoppers surveys.
It may be noted that the city does not have an operational mall and thus majority of
the respondents may not have exposure to the retail mall and the experiences of
shopping in retail mall. Thus, some of the responses may be attributed to such
limited experience.
7.2
Final Report
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Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
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In terms of expenditure, excluding large ticket categories like Jewelleries, Furniture and
Electronic Goods, highest expenditure is seen in Food & Groceries, Clothing & Fashion
and Accessories in both primary and secondary catchment of the Project Site, as
presented in the charts below.
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
The average expenditure in the primary catchment is estimated as INR 41,403 per
month while that of the secondary catchment is estimated as INR 39,398 per month.
Average group size visiting the shopping centers is 3.14 indicating the the group may
consists of 3 to 4 persons.
Conveyance for Shopping
Majority (two-third) of the respondents prefer to use four wheelers for shopping in the
catchment while about two-fifth of the respondents. Others have indicated preference for
using Public Transport and Para Transport for shopping. Considering the majority
responses, it is of paramount importance to provide adequate parking spaces both 4wheelers and 2-wheelers in the proposed retail mall.
Perception Analysis
Preferred Shopping Location: In order
to ascertain the perception of the
target
population
for shopping,
existing/operational shopping centers
and malls both in Thrissur and Kochi
are considered. A majority (91%) of
the respondents in the primary and
secondary catchment indicated their
preference
for
shopping
within
Thrissur City. A small percentage
Final Report
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(about 9%) of the respondents has reported their interest to visit Kochi mainly for multiplex
& entertainment categories. City Center is the preferred shopping location for majority
(41%) of the respondents.
Ranking of Operational Malls & Shopping Centers: Majority of the respondents ranked Big
Bazaar as number one, as it meets the entire requirements under single roof. Similarly,
City Center is also ranked as the best retail outlet, which also is a successful shopping
center due to the variety of products available. However, the Center Point at MG Road is
not preferred much due to poor design and availability of facilities & amenities. Besides the
shopping centers in the city, almost 13% of the respondents have ranked malls in Kochi as
a best place for shopping and entertainment.
Incentives and Disincentives for Visiting Operational Malls: The most favored shopping
center in the city is City Center. The major incentives for shopping complex are adequacy
of parking facilities, merchandise/activity mix, facility management, ambience, design,
location and accessibility. No major disincentives are perceived for City Center. The next
preferred outlet is Big Bazaar. The major incentives for shopping at Big Bazaar are the
variety of products available, location and accessibility while respondents indicated
displeasure on the non-availability of adequate parking. Centre Point was ranked third in
the survey.
Rating of Location for Mall Development: The ranking of respondents indicate that the
preferred location for a mall is MG Road followed by Swaraj Circle, East Fort, West Fort,
Patturaikkal and Pookunnam. A
majority
(about
92%)
of
the
respondents have rated the location of
the Project Site (Pookunnam) as good
in the primary catchment and scored
almost
maximum
from
the
respondents
of
the
secondary
catchment. Thus, it can be inferred
that the Project Site has a potential to
emerge as the favored location for
shopping.
Final Report
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Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Preferred Retail Format: Most favorable product mix option for establishing a new retail
outlet in the catchment is a general Mall followed by mall plus hypermarket format. Since
the catchment profile is yet to develop in terms of proportion of SEC A&B population
category, a hypermarket along with a mall would be a preferred format.
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Source: Primary Preference Surveys of Households & Shoppers; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
Final Report
- 90 -
Final Report
- 91 -
8.1
GENERAL
As stated earlier, organized retail in Thrissur was introduced during 1998 with the launch of
City Centre Mall by a private developer. This development comprised of a built up area of
45,000 sq. ft. and is a Shopping Complex. The trend has continued till date with similar
kind development in the form of standalone shopping complexes being developed by many
private developers across the city. The current stock of organized retail comprising of high
street and standalone developments accounts to about 0.59 million sq. ft. and where the
unorganized segment is about 0.39 million sq. ft., indicating a 60:40 ratio of organized to
unorganized retail supply.
Thrissur has a presence of global and national brands such as Woodland, Nike, Flying
Machine, Lee, Levis, Addidas, Puma, Navigator, Doc & Mark, Wrangler, John Miller, Big
Bazzar, KFC (Upcoming- Swaraj Circle), Reliance Digital and Reliance Trends, etc. With
the higher exposure for malls (with operation of the Sobha City Mall) and the increasing
lifestyle characteristics and behavior, the city population is expected to move towards
organized retailing like other cities in India, which will significantly increase demand for
organized retail space in the city in the coming years.
8.2
Description / Action
1.
Populations of the primary, secondary & tertiary catchments are considered as per the Census
data and the number of households are arrived by dividing the catchment population by average
household size of the catchment as arrived at using primary survey analysis
2.
No of dwelling units added through future supply in a particular year is also added to the number
of households assuming 1 household per new dwelling unit
3.
Demand for the each retail category is calculated as per the following steps below:
{No. of target households x Trips per month per household x Spend per trip} = Monthly
top-line revenue for each retail category.
Top-line monthly revenue x Occupancy cost (percent) = Monthly Occupancy Cost (INR)
Monthly occupancy cost / Rent per sq. ft. per month = potential demand for retail space
(current demand) in sq. ft. per retail category is calculated.
4.
Demand Supply Gap = Total Demand - Current Supply in Organized Retail Sector
6.
Percentage Share of the Project Site with respect to Demand Supply Gap is calculated.
Demand for retail development is derived based on the catchment population, as maximum
business would be catered by the primary & secondary catchment of the Project Site. Total
retail space that the catchment can support has been derived based on the following
parameters.
Total residing target households in the primary, secondary and tertiary catchments;
Population projections for the year 2016 based on Census 2001 & 2011 population;
Final Report
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Occupancy cost for retailers based on the discussions with the retailers and the
prevailing market trends; and
Prevailing rentals for each category is based on the market survey of the retail areas.
The table below describes the total demand for retail space in the catchment area.
Table 8.2: Retail Demand Estimate for the Catchment of the Project Site
Sl.
No.
Catchment
1.
Primary Catchment
2.
3.
Existing Households
(Year 2013)
Target Households
(Year 2016)
16,037
17,385
Secondary Catchment
4,263
4,746
9,432
12,828
29,732
34,959
Grand Total
Source: Primary Demand Assessment Surveys & Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle; April 2013
8.3
Final Report
- 93 -
Table 8.3: Derivation of Potential Retail Demand for the Catchment of the Project Site for the Year 2013 for Different Retail Categories
Sl.
No.
A.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Primary Catchment
Secondary
Catchment
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
16,037
4,263
9,432
5,451
5,130
5071
87,414,236
21,869,208
47,836,170
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
6%
6%
6,557,007
2,870,170
48
48
135,756
59,424
16,037
4,263
9,432
749
699
650
12,013,247
2,981,103
6,131,115
Tertiary Catchment
12%
12%
1,799,322
735,734
98
98
18,360
7,507
16,037
4,263
9,432
782
1,090
744
12,532,162
4,644,774
7,015,410
12%
12%
Potential Size of
the Trade
195,180
25,868
Sl.
No.
5.
6.
Primary Catchment
Final Report
- 94 -
Secondary
Catchment
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
Tertiary Catchment
2,061,232
841,849
98
98
21,033
8,590
D.
Jewellery
1.
Households (Nos.)
16,037
4,263
9,432
2.
21,712
23,273
21,143
3.
348,193,039
99,210,559
199,429,665
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
E.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3%
13,422,108
5,982,890
48
48
277,890
123,869
16,037
4,263
9,432
2,571
2,501
2,321
41,222,614
10,660,226
21,896,838
3%
15%
15%
7,782,426
3,284,526
98
98
79,413
33,516
16,037
4,263
9,432
3,674
3,243
2,857
Potential Size of
the Trade
29,623
401,760
112,928
Sl.
No.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Primary Catchment
58,917,667
Final Report
- 95 -
Secondary
Catchment
13,824,788
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Baggage,
Perfumes
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Tertiary Catchment
Potential Size of
the Trade
26,949,955
15%
15%
10,911,368
4,042,493
98
98
111,340
41,250
16,037
4,263
9,432
6,153
5,576
4,393
98,671,480
23,770,243
41,435,555
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
17%
17%
20,202,884
6,836,867
98
98
206,152
69,764
152,590
275,916
&
16,037
4,263
9,432
4,525
3,784
2,750
72,572,706
16,128,906
25,939,331
14%
14%
11,974,718
3,501,810
98
98
122,191
35,733
157,924
Sl.
No.
I.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Primary Catchment
Final Report
- 96 -
Secondary
Catchment
Fine Dining
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
4,263
9,432
1,189
1,408
650
19,072,845
6,00,0163
6,131,115
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
10%
10%
2,507,301
613,111
48
48
51,911
12,694
16,037
4,263
9,432
1,311
1,852
700
21,022,216
7,895,613
6,602,739
Tertiary Catchment
16,037
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
15%
15%
4,337,674
990,411
48
48
89,807
20,505
16,037
4,263
9,432
1,163
2,173
1,507
59,532,956
25,620,593
14,216,101
11%
11%
9,366,890
1,563,771
Potential Size of
the Trade
64,605
110,312
Sl.
No.
6.
Primary Catchment
Final Report
- 97 -
Secondary
Catchment
L.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
48
48
193,931
32,376
4,263
9,432
9,487
8,549
9,917
59,532,956
25,620,593
93,538,801
8%
8%
6,812,284
7,483,104
48
48
1,41,041
1,54,930
16,037
4,263
9,432
5,653
5,542
4,850
90,647,728
23,623,013
45,747,548
Tertiary Catchment
16,037
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
3%
3%
3,428,122
1,372,426
48
48
70,976
28,415
16,037
4,263
9,432
1,115
1,125
650
17,882,574
4,794,291
6,131,115
Potential Size of
the Trade
226,308
2,95,971
99,390
Sl.
No.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Primary Catchment
Final Report
- 98 -
Secondary
Catchment
Total of Primary
and Secondary
Catchment
9%
9%
2,040,918
551,800
43
43
48,022
12,984
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
16,037
4,263
9,432
965
659
600
15,475,304
2,809,632
5,659,490
11%
11%
2,011,343
622,544
48
48
41,643
12,889
1.
Households (Nos.)
2.
3.
4.
Occupancy cost
5.
6.
Tertiary Catchment
16,037
4,263
9,432
1,565
1,355
1025
25,102,771
5,775,528
9,668,296
Potential Size of
the Trade
61,005
54,532
12%
12%
3,705,396
1,160,196
98
98
37,810
11,839
49,649
2,313,561
Final Report
- 99 -
Based on the demand assessment carried out for the year 2013, demand scenario has
been projected for year 2016 using the following assumptions:
Projecting the total residing households in the primary, secondary and tertiary
catchments based on the Census 2001 & 2021 and the incremental residential units;
The household expenditure per month for each retail category has been kept constant
and same as the year 2013 (without factoring the inflation and potential net increase in
household expenditure year-on-year); and
The real estate rentals assumed for each retail category has also been constant as the
year 2013 (without factoring the rental escalation/appreciation year-on-year).
The table below summarizes retail segment-wise demand for the year 2013 and 2016
based on the above.
Table 8.4: Estimation of Retail Demand of Thrissur City
Sl.
No.
195,180
228,780
1.
2.
25,868
30,221
3.
29,623
34,650
4.
Jewellery
401,760
471,517
5.
112,928
132,147
6.
152,590
177,420
7.
275,916
319,532
8.
Accessories, Baggage
Perfumes, & Watches
157,924
181,710
9.
64,605
73,902
10.
Fine Dining
110,312
125,961
11.
226,308
237,964
12.
295,971
351,750
13.
Electronic Goods
99,390
116,016
14.
61,005
70,013
15.
54,532
62,860
16.
49,649
57,296
2,313,561
2,671,739
Total
Source: Estimated based on Market Assessment and Primary Demand Assessment Surveys & Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle;
April 2013
Based on the above table, analysis and outcome, the city has a total demand for retail
space to a tune of 2.31 million sq. ft. in the current year (2013) and the projected demand
for retail space during the year 2016 (potential year of operation of retail mall on the Project
Site) is estimated to be 2.67 million sq. ft.
8.4
DEMAND-SUPPLY-GAP ASSESSMENT
Based on the and assessment for retail space presented above, the city has a total
demand for retail space to a tune of 2.31 million sq. ft. in the current year (2013) and the
projected demand for retail space during the year 2016 (potential year of operation of retail
mall on the Project Site) is estimated to be 2.67 million sq. ft. As on the date, the city has
Final Report
- 100 -
total organized stock of about 0.59 million sq. ft., which excludes under construction Sobha
City Mall (gross leasable area of 320,000 sq. ft.). However, by the year 2016, the total
organized retail supply (existing stock and proposed supply) is estimated to be about 1.10
million sq. ft. This includes the existing retail stock and proposed supply from Sobha City
Mall, VMB Mall (Shopping Center) and Mall of Joy (Standalone Complex).
The table below summarizes demand-supply-gap scenario with respect to the proposed
Retail Mall on the Project Site for the year 2013 and 2016 (estimated year of operation).
Table 8.5: Demand-Supply-Gap for the Potential Retail Space for the Project Site for the
Year 2013 and 2016
Particulars
Description
Current (Year
2013)
Projected (Year
2016)
2,313,561
2,671,739
586,276
1,101,753
1,727,285
1,569,986
460,226
460,226
27%
29%
Source: Estimated based on Market Assessment and Primary Demand Assessment Surveys & Analysis; Jones Lang LaSalle;
April 2013
Based on the above, estimated utilization potential of the upcoming retail mall (incl.
showroom space) on the Project Site from the existing demand-supply-gap in the year
2013 is about 27% and the same for projected demand-supply-gap in the year 2016
(estimated year of operation of the mall on the Project Site) is about 29%. Optimal
utilization in terms of retail space concentration, from the normative market benchmarks
available in tier-1 cities in India is estimated to be 15-20%. Considering normative
benchmark of tier-1 cities, estimated utilization of the proposed mall on the Project Site is
on the higher side. Since Thrissur retail market is in the beginning of transformation to
organized retail and considering the fact that the proposed mall is positioned as city-mall,
Consultants are of the opinion that the percentage utilization of 25-30% can be considered
as favorable provided the proposed mall is well designed, appropriately positioned with
suitable merchandize mix, appropriately priced and well managed during the entire period
of operation.
Thus, conceptualization, design, amenities, positioning, mechanize mix, pricing and
mall management plays a critical role in ensuring the success of the proposed retail
mall on the Project Site.
8.5
Final Report
- 101 -
Table 8.6: Location Preference of Retail Categories within the Mall as Indicated by the Retailers in Thrissur
Categories
Apparel
Footwear
Home
Furnishing
F&B
Accessories
Jewellery
Gifts
Electronics
Supermarket
Music
Multiplex
Apparel
Footwear
Home
Furnishing
F&B
Accessories
Jewellery
Gifts
Electronics
Supermarket
Music
Multiplex
Legend
Less Preference
Moderate Preference
High Preference
In order to achieve optimal favorable mix, it is important to position the retail categories within the mall based on their preference as these
preferences indicate inter-dependency and complementing characteristics of each of the retail categories in flourishing and sustaining the
business. For example, earmarking a store for footwear category along with apparel, gifts category along with footwear, and gifts category along
with footwear will help in creating induced buying behavior among the shoppers. Many a times similar category shops are placed together like
apparel next to apparel etc. which helps the consumer in quicker decision making, understanding the location of all categories and creating
efficient circulation system.
It is recommended to consider above location preferences indicated by the retailers while determining the tenant/merchandise mix
and their position within the mall.
A tentative tenant mix indicating the above preferences for the retailers and positioning within the mall is provided in the Annexure 10.4
Final Report
- 102 -
2.
Format
Large
Format
Anchors
Medium
Format
Mini
Anchors
Type of Retail
Categories
Typical Sizes
(sq. ft.)
Department
Store
15,000- 20,000
Westside
Hypermarket
30,000-100,000
Multiplex
15,000- 50,000
Home
Furnishings
10,000-15,000
Electronics
7,000-12,000
Fine Dine
5,000-7,000
Apparel
5,000-10,000
Footwear
Sl.
No.
3.
Format
Small
Format
Inline Stores
/ Vanilla
Final Report
- 103 -
Type of Retail
Categories
Typical Sizes
(sq. ft.)
Super Market
10,000-15,000
Entertainment
4,000-8,000
Healthcare
3000-6000
Jewellery
5,000-15,000
Branded shops
under all retail
categories like
Apparel,
Footwear, Gifts,
etc.
1,000- 2,500
Sl.
No.
Format
Type of Retail
Categories
Typical Sizes
(sq. ft.)
Final Report
- 104 -
Final Report
- 105 -
9.1
Phase I: Proposed to have a Retail Mall of 316,143 sq. ft. of built-up area within FAR
and Commercial Block containing 224,223 sq. ft. of built-up area within FAR for both
showroom space & commercial / office space on warm shell basis. The entire Phase I
is expected to be spread over 4.46 acres land extent;
Phase II: Proposed to have a Hotel Block and Convention Center Block. The Phase II
development is expected to be spread over 6.84 acres land extent; and
Based on the area statement shared by the Client for the first phase, the Project Site,
proposed development is envisaged over a land area of about 4.46 acres (194,276 sq. ft.)
comprising Retail Mall, Showroom Space and Office Space. The table below summarizes
the break-up of area statement.
Table 9.1: Break-Up of Area Statement for First Phase Development on the Project Site
Sl.
No.
Uses
1.
29,370.65
316,143
2.
Showroom
13,385.73
144,083
3.
Office
7,445.25
80,140
Total
50,201.63
540,366
(sq. m.)
Description
(sq. ft.)
Based on the above area statement, FAR area is about 50,201.63 sq. m., which translates
into 540,366 sq. ft., which translates into utilized FAR of 2.78 on land extent of 4.46 acres
(i.e. 194,276 sq. ft.). Total built-up area including service areas, common areas, parking,
etc. works out to 956,150 sq. ft.
Detailed assessment for components proposed under Phase I development comprising
Retail Mall incl. Showroom Space and Commercial / Office Space is presented in the
earlier chapters. This chapter presents the overall project configuration, development
phasing, key cost & revenue assumptions, detailed business plan and key financial
indicators & sensitivity analysis leading to financial feasibility.
9.2
Final Report
- 106 -
Built-Up Area
within FAR (sq.
ft.)
Proportion with
respect to the
Project
Saleable /
Leasable Area
(sq. ft.)
Retail Space
Sub-Total (A)
316,143
58.51%
336,614
316,143
58.51%
336,614
144,083
26.66%
157,703
80,140
14.83%
87,715
224,223
41.49%
245,418
540,366
100.00%
582,032
Showroom Space
2.
Office Space
Sub Total (B)
Grant Total
Note: Loading of 6.48% and 9.45% is applied on retail and showroom & office space built-up area to arrive at saleable area as
per the common area calculations given by the Client
Source: As given by the Client
Proposed Standard
No. of Car
Parking Units
386
207,908
386
207,908
202
109,198
2. Office Space
113
60,737
315
169,936
701
377,843
Above parking provision is provided under 2 basements and ground floor as indicated by
the Client.
Final Report
- 107 -
Development Phasing
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Expected COD
1. Retail Mall
B. Showroom and Office
1. Showroom Space
2. Office Space
Entire project is proposed to be executed in one phase with development phasing over 3
years period.
Detailed business plan has been prepared for the entire project and financial feasibility has
been explored for the entire project on EBIDT basis. However, bankability indicators (for
debt financing) have been prepared on post-tax basis.
Key assumptions used in the business plan, consolidated business plan, feasibility and
bankability indicators are presented in the next section.
9.3
Assumptions
Remarks / Basis
Sanction Fees
and Cost of
Approvals
Deposits
Payable to
Civic
Authorities
Cost
7% per annum
Parameters
Final Report
- 108 -
Assumptions
Escalation
Remarks / Basis
and 2% for increase in cost of
materials.
Car Parking
Organized
Retail Mall &
Multiplex
Showroom and
Office Space
on Warm Shell
Basis
Preliminary
and
Preoperative
Costs
Parameters
Assumptions
Showroom
Space on
Warm Shell
Basis
Final Report
- 109 -
Remarks / Basis
Thrissur
Parameters
Assumptions
Office Space
on Warm Shell
Basis
Common Area
Management
(CAM)
Charges
Final Report
- 110 -
Remarks / Basis
OTHER ASSUMPTIONS
Depreciation
Schedule
Parameters
Assumptions
Final Report
- 111 -
Remarks / Basis
Capitalization
Rates
LAND VALUE
Tentative
Market Value
of the Land
CAPITAL STRUCTURING
Financing and
Debt Terms
and Conditions
Parameters
Assumptions
9.4
Final Report
- 112 -
Remarks / Basis
construction loan)
Ballooned payment
considering debt service
coverage ratio of 1.50
9.5
Built-Up Area
(within FAR)
(sq. ft.)
316,143
3,478
1,099.50
224,223
3,052
684.43
Grant Total
540,366
1,783.93
Total Development Cost
1,783.93
224.00
223.03
Total Estimated Project Cost (incl. Land Value and Interest during
Construction)
2,230.96
Sources of Funds
Amount (INR
Million)
1.
49.31%
1,100.00
2.
50.69%
1,130.96
100.00%
2,230.96
Total
Below are the debt related assumptions used in the business plan for the proposed
development under the First Phase based on the commercial real estate project financing
terms & conditions based on the discussions with the leading financial institutions.
Final Report
- 113 -
Construction Finance
o Drawdown - 12 quarters
o Principle moratorium - 12 quarters
o Repayment - through Lease Rent Discounted (LRD) Loan post operation
o Rate of Interest - 14% per annum
LRD Finance
o Repayment period - 10 years
o Rate of Interest - 13% per annum (100 bps discount on construction loan)
o Ballooned payment considering debt service coverage ratio of 1.50
Following table presents debt drawdown and repayment schedule based on the above
capital restructuring for the proposed First Phase development on the Project Site.
Final Report
- 114 -
Table 9.8: Capital Structuring, Debt Repayment Schedule and Debt Indicators for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site
(Year 1 to Year 8)
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
1,783.93
INR Million
392.56
672.16
719.21
224.00
INR Million
24.50
73.50
126.00
223.03
INR Million
223.03
2,230.96
INR Million
640.09
745.66
845.21
50.69%
1,130.96
INR Million
290.09
395.66
445.21
49.31%
1,100.00
INR Million
350.00
350.00
400.00
Opening Balance
INR Million
350.00
700.00
1,100.00
1,070.64
1,015.42
931.53
805.88
Loan Receipts
INR Million
350.00
350.00
400.00
Loan Repayment
INR Million
29.36
55.23
83.88
125.65
134.31
Closing Balance
INR Million
350.00
700.00
1,100.00
1,070.64
1,015.42
931.53
805.88
671.57
1,054.46
INR Million
24.50
73.50
126.00
141.09
135.59
126.55
112.93
96.03
24.50
73.50
126.00
141.09
135.59
126.55
112.93
96.03
1.95
2.35
2.85
3.73
4.38
3.90
2.73
2.25
1.95
1.91
Interest during
(Capitalized)
Construction
Estimated Tentative
Value of the Land
Market
223.03
by
Interest
Total Interest on the Debt
Component
Interest during Construction
14.00%
224.00
INR Million
13.00%
830.46
INR Million
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 115 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
1.50
Y6
1.50
Y7
1.50
Y8
1.50
1.53
Table 9.9: Capital Structuring, Debt Repayment Schedule and Debt Indicators for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site
(Year 9 to Year 15)
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
1,783.93
INR Million
224.00
INR Million
223.03
INR Million
2,230.96
INR Million
50.69%
1,130.96
INR Million
49.31%
1,100.00
INR Million
Opening Balance
INR Million
671.57
537.26
402.94
268.63
134.31
Loan Receipts
INR Million
Loan Repayment
INR Million
134.31
134.31
134.31
134.31
134.31
Closing Balance
INR Million
537.26
402.94
268.63
134.31
1,054.46
INR Million
78.57
61.11
43.65
26.19
8.73
78.57
61.11
43.65
26.19
8.73
Interest during
(Capitalized)
Construction
Estimated Tentative
Value of the Land
Market
223.03
by
Interest
Total Interest on the Debt
Component
Interest during Construction
14.00%
224.00
INR Million
13.00%
830.46
INR Million
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 116 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
9.6
INR Million
133.02
193.75
205.09
216.40
284.47
424.16
5,227.03
INR Million
420.60
484.72
484.18
483.61
557.34
556.72
5,359.49
INR Million
133.02
193.75
205.09
216.40
284.47
424.16
5,227.03
5.35
7.93
11.09
18.46
63.84
1.99
2.44
2.53
2.61
3.12
1.62
1.99
2.15
2.35
2.99
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS AND BUSINESS PLAN FOR THE PROPOSED FIRST PHASE DEVELOPMENT
9.6.1 CONSOLIDATED BUSINESS PLAN FOR THE ENTIRE FIRST PHASE DEVELOPMENT
Considering the overall development and revenue stabilization period, business plan is prepared for the 15 years period and factored exit
valuation (terminal cash flow) at the end of 15 years period. The tables below present the consolidated business plan for the proposed First
Phase development on the Project Site on both EBIDTA and post-tax basis.
Table 9.10: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 1 to Year 8) - Consolidated
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Capital Account
Capital Expenditure
Retail Mall with Multiplex
Showroom and Office
Total Development Cost
1,099.50
INR Million
239.95
415.25
444.31
684.43
INR Million
152.61
256.91
274.90
1,783.93
INR Million
392.56
672.16
719.21
Particulars
Interest during
(Capitalized)
Inputs
Construction
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 117 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
73.50
126.00
224.00
INR Million
24.50
223.03
INR Million
223.03
2,230.96
INR Million
640.09
745.66
845.21
3,458.55
INR Million
188.48
212.03
235.59
270.93
270.93
2,227.75
INR Million
106.92
127.72
148.55
177.06
177.06
5,686.30
INR Million
295.40
339.75
384.14
448.00
448.00
249.50
INR Million
14.23
15.65
17.08
19.12
19.39
96.59
INR Million
5.41
5.99
6.57
7.33
7.51
346.09
INR Million
19.64
21.64
23.66
26.44
26.91
5,340.21
INR Million
275.76
318.11
360.49
421.56
421.09
4,803.43
INR Million
7,912.69
INR Million
(640.09)
(745.66)
(845.21)
275.76
318.11
360.49
421.56
421.09
50.69%
1,130.96
INR Million
290.09
395.66
445.21
49.31%
1,100.00
INR Million
350.00
350.00
400.00
INR Million
350.00
700.00
1,100.00
1,070.64
1,015.42
931.53
805.88
Estimated Tentative
Value of the Land
Market
223.03
Expenditure
Retail Mall with Multiplex
Showroom and Office
Total Revenue Expenditure
Gross
Operating
(EBIDTA Basis)
Profit
(on
by
Debt Schedule
Opening Balance
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 118 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Loan Receipts
INR Million
350.00
350.00
400.00
Loan Repayment
INR Million
29.36
55.23
83.88
125.65
134.31
Closing Balance
INR Million
350.00
700.00
1,100.00
1,070.64
1,015.42
931.53
805.88
671.57
1,054.46
INR Million
24.50
73.50
126.00
141.09
135.59
126.55
112.93
96.03
24.50
73.50
126.00
141.09
135.59
126.55
112.93
96.03
Interest
Total Interest on the Debt
Component
Interest during Construction
14.00%
224.00
INR Million
13.00%
830.46
INR Million
5,340.21
INR Million
275.76
318.11
360.49
421.56
421.09
830.46
INR Million
141.09
135.59
126.55
112.93
96.03
1,014.01
INR Million
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
86.01
INR Million
5.40
5.67
5.96
6.26
6.57
3,089.74
INR Million
61.91
98.26
138.18
196.29
212.97
4,509.75
INR Million
134.67
182.52
233.93
308.62
325.05
1,002.47
INR Million
20.09
31.88
44.83
63.69
69.10
3,507.28
INR Million
114.58
150.64
189.10
244.94
255.96
4,803.43
INR Million
8,310.72
INR Million
114.58
150.64
189.10
244.94
255.96
INR Million
85.22
95.41
105.22
119.29
121.64
30%
32.45%
Particulars
- Loan Repayment)
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 119 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
INR Million
(640.09)
(745.66)
(845.21)
275.76
318.11
360.49
421.56
421.09
INR Million
(290.09)
(395.66)
(445.21)
85.22
95.41
105.22
119.29
121.64
1.95
2.35
2.85
3.73
4.38
3.90
2.73
2.25
1.95
1.91
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.53
Table 9.11: Consolidated Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9 to Year 15) - Consolidated
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
Capital Account
Capital Expenditure
Retail Mall with Multiplex
1,099.50
INR Million
684.43
INR Million
1,783.93
INR Million
224.00
INR Million
223.03
INR Million
2,230.96
INR Million
3,458.55
INR Million
270.93
311.57
311.57
311.57
358.31
358.31
358.31
2,227.75
INR Million
177.06
203.62
203.62
203.62
234.17
234.17
234.17
Construction
Estimated Tentative
Value of the Land
Total Project Cost
Market
223.03
Revenue Account
Receipts
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 120 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
5,686.30
INR Million
448.00
515.20
515.20
515.20
592.48
592.48
592.48
249.50
INR Million
19.69
22.03
22.35
22.69
25.38
25.75
26.14
96.59
INR Million
7.71
8.45
8.67
8.90
9.75
10.01
10.27
346.09
INR Million
27.40
30.48
31.02
31.59
35.13
35.76
36.42
5,340.21
INR Million
420.60
484.72
484.18
483.61
557.34
556.72
556.06
4,803.43
INR Million
4,803.43
7,912.69
INR Million
420.60
484.72
484.18
483.61
557.34
556.72
5,359.49
50.69%
1,130.96
INR Million
49.31%
1,100.00
INR Million
Opening Balance
INR Million
671.57
537.26
402.94
268.63
134.31
Loan Receipts
INR Million
Loan Repayment
INR Million
134.31
134.31
134.31
134.31
134.31
Closing Balance
INR Million
537.26
402.94
268.63
134.31
1,054.46
INR Million
78.57
61.11
43.65
26.19
8.73
78.57
61.11
43.65
26.19
8.73
Expenditure
Retail Mall with Multiplex
Showroom and Office
Total Revenue Expenditure
Gross
Operating
(EBIDTA Basis)
Profit
(on
by
Interest
Total Interest on the Debt
Component
Interest during Construction
14.00%
224.00
INR Million
13.00%
830.46
INR Million
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 121 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
5,340.21
INR Million
420.60
484.72
484.18
483.61
557.34
556.72
556.06
830.46
INR Million
78.57
61.11
43.65
26.19
8.73
1,014.01
INR Million
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
84.50
86.01
INR Million
6.90
7.24
7.60
7.98
8.38
8.80
9.24
3,089.74
INR Million
230.20
294.46
311.66
328.86
400.13
408.57
408.26
4,509.75
INR Million
342.02
423.60
440.52
457.42
548.61
556.72
556.06
1,002.47
INR Million
74.69
95.54
101.12
106.70
129.82
132.56
132.46
3,507.28
INR Million
267.34
328.07
339.41
350.72
418.79
424.16
423.60
4,803.43
INR Million
4,803.43
8,310.72
INR Million
267.34
328.07
339.41
350.72
418.79
424.16
5,227.03
INR Million
133.02
193.75
205.09
216.40
284.47
424.16
5,227.03
INR Million
420.60
484.72
484.18
483.61
557.34
556.72
5,359.49
INR Million
133.02
193.75
205.09
216.40
284.47
424.16
5,227.03
5.35
7.93
11.09
18.46
63.84
1.99
2.44
2.53
2.61
3.12
1.62
1.99
2.15
2.35
2.99
30%
32.45%
Final Report
- 122 -
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Capital Account
Construction Phasing
20%
40%
40%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Capital Expenditure
Land Development Cost
36
11.37
INR Million
11.37
35
11.07
INR Million
11.07
Deposits Payable
Authorities
Civic
74
23.47
INR Million
23.47
2,175
2,175
2,327
2,490
2,664
2,851
3,051
3,264
3,493
750
750
803
859
919
983
1,052
1,126
1,204
7%
to
Total
Construction
(including Parking)
Cost
916.17
INR Million
168.73
361.08
386.36
15%
137.43
INR Million
25.31
54.16
57.95
3,478
1,099.50
INR Million
239.95
415.25
444.31
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 123 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Revenue Account
Absorption Rate of Leasable
Area
Leasable
Area
336,614
No. of
CPUs
386
0%
0%
0%
80%
90%
100%
100%
100%
sq. ft.
269,291
302,953
336,614
336,614
336,614
Nos.
309
347
386
386
386
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
48.00
48.00
50.40
52.92
55.57
55.57
55.57
63.90
63.90
1,500
1,500
1,575
1,654
1,736
1,736
1,736
1,997
1,997
15%
3,294.98
INR Million
179.56
202.01
224.45
258.12
258.12
118.07
INR Million
6.44
7.23
8.04
9.25
9.25
8%
227.54
INR Million
12.40
13.95
15.50
17.82
17.82
5%
182.03
INR Million
9.92
11.16
12.40
14.26
14.26
3,458.55
INR Million
188.48
212.03
235.59
270.93
270.93
2%
69.17
INR Million
3.77
4.24
4.71
5.42
5.42
3%
103.76
INR Million
5.65
6.36
7.07
8.13
8.13
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 124 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Property Tax
5%
50.32
INR Million
3.16
3.32
3.49
3.66
3.84
Insurance Premium
5%
26.25
INR Million
1.65
1.73
1.82
1.91
2.00
249.50
INR Million
14.23
15.65
17.08
19.12
19.39
3,209.05
INR Million
174.25
196.37
218.51
251.82
251.54
2,768.05
INR Million
643.57
INR Million
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
Depreciation
4.88%
Table 9.13: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9 to Year 15) - Retail Mall and Multiplex
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
Capital Account
Construction Phasing
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Capital Expenditure
Land Development Cost
36
11.37
INR Million
35
11.07
INR Million
Deposits Payable
Authorities
Civic
74
23.47
INR Million
2,175
3,737
3,999
4,279
4,578
4,899
5,241
5,608
750
1,289
1,379
1,475
1,579
1,689
1,807
1,934
7%
-
Total
Construction
(including Parking)
to
Cost
916.17
INR Million
Particulars
Preliminary and Preoperative
Costs
(Percentage
of
Construction Costs)
Total Development Cost
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 125 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
15%
137.43
INR Million
3,478
1,099.50
INR Million
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
336,614
336,614
336,614
336,614
336,614
336,614
336,614
386
386
386
386
386
386
386
Revenue Account
Absorption Rate of Leasable
Area
Leasable
Area
336,614
No. of
CPUs
386
sq. ft.
Nos.
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
48.00
63.90
73.49
73.49
73.49
84.51
84.51
84.51
1,500
1,997
2,296
2,296
2,296
2,641
2,641
2,641
15%
3,294.98
INR Million
258.12
296.84
296.84
296.84
341.36
341.36
341.36
118.07
INR Million
9.25
10.64
10.64
10.64
12.23
12.23
12.23
8%
227.54
INR Million
17.82
20.50
20.50
20.50
23.57
23.57
23.57
5%
182.03
INR Million
14.26
16.40
16.40
16.40
18.86
18.86
18.86
3,458.55
INR Million
270.93
311.57
311.57
311.57
358.31
358.31
358.31
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 126 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
Expenditure
Sales Costs and Overheads
2%
69.17
INR Million
5.42
6.23
6.23
6.23
7.17
7.17
7.17
3%
103.76
INR Million
8.13
9.35
9.35
9.35
10.75
10.75
10.75
Property Tax
5%
50.32
INR Million
4.03
4.24
4.45
4.67
4.90
5.15
5.41
Insurance Premium
5%
26.25
INR Million
2.10
2.21
2.32
2.44
2.56
2.69
2.82
249.50
INR Million
19.69
22.03
22.35
22.69
25.38
25.75
26.14
3,209.05
INR Million
251.25
289.55
289.23
288.89
332.93
332.56
332.17
2,768.05
INR Million
2,768.05
643.57
INR Million
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
53.63
Depreciation
4.88%
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Capital Account
Construction Phasing
20%
40%
40%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Capital Expenditure
Land Development Cost
36
8.06
INR Million
8.06
35
7.85
INR Million
7.85
Particulars
Deposits Payable
Authorities
Inputs
to
Civic
74
Total
Unit
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
INR Million
16.65
1,760
1,760
1,883
2,015
2,156
2,307
2,468
2,641
2,826
750
750
803
859
919
983
1,052
1,126
1,204
7%
Total
Construction
(including Parking)
Cost
16.65
Final Report
- 127 -
566.84
INR Million
104.39
223.40
239.04
15%
85.03
INR Million
15.66
33.51
35.86
3,052
684.43
INR Million
152.61
256.91
274.90
0%
0%
0%
80%
90%
100%
100%
100%
sq. ft.
126,162
141,933
157,703
157,703
157,703
Nos.
162
182
202
202
202
Revenue Account
Showroom Space
Absorption Rate of Leasable
Area
Leasable
Area
157,703
No. of
CPUs
202
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
43.00
43.00
45.15
47.41
49.78
49.78
49.78
57.24
57.24
1,500
1,500
1,575
1,654
1,736
1,736
1,736
1,997
1,997
Particulars
Rent Appreciation (once in 3
years)
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 128 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
15%
1,382.89
INR Million
75.36
84.78
94.20
108.33
108.33
61.80
INR Million
3.38
3.79
4.21
4.84
4.84
8%
96.31
INR Million
5.25
5.90
6.56
7.54
7.54
5%
77.05
INR Million
4.20
4.72
5.25
6.04
6.04
IINR Million
79.79
89.75
99.72
114.68
114.68
0%
0%
0%
50%
70%
90%
100%
100%
sq. ft.
43,858
61,401
78,944
87,715
87,715
Nos.
57
79
102
113
113
87,715
No. of
CPUs
113
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
42.00
42.00
44.10
46.31
48.62
48.62
48.62
55.91
55.91
1,500
1,500
1,575
1,654
1,736
1,736
1,736
1,997
1,997
25.59
35.82
46.06
58.85
58.85
15%
720.57
INR Million
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 129 -
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
33.17
INR Million
1.19
1.65
2.13
2.71
2.71
8%
50.25
INR Million
1.79
2.50
3.21
4.10
4.10
5%
40.20
INR Million
1.43
2.00
2.57
3.28
3.28
IINR Million
27.13
37.97
48.83
62.38
62.38
2,227.75
INR Million
106.92
127.72
148.55
177.06
177.06
2.14
2.55
2.97
3.54
3.54
2%
44.55
INR Million
Property Tax
5%
35.69
INR Million
2.24
2.35
2.47
2.60
2.73
Insurance Premium
5%
16.34
INR Million
1.03
1.08
1.13
1.19
1.25
96.59
INR Million
5.41
5.99
6.57
7.33
7.51
2,131.16
INR Million
101.51
121.74
141.97
169.74
169.55
2,035.38
INR Million
370.44
INR Million
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
Depreciation
4.51%
Table 9.15: Business Plan for the First Phase Proposed Development on the Project Site (Year 9 to Year 15) - Showroom and Office Space
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
Capital Account
Construction Phasing
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Capital Expenditure
Land Development Cost
36
8.06
INR Million
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 130 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
35
7.85
INR Million
Deposits Payable
Authorities
Civic
74
16.65
INR Million
1,760
3,024
3,236
3,462
3,705
3,964
4,241
4,538
750
1,289
1,379
1,475
1,579
1,689
1,807
1,934
7%
to
Total
Construction
(including Parking)
Cost
566.84
INR Million
15%
85.03
INR Million
3,052
684.43
INR Million
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
157,703
157,703
157,703
157,703
157,703
157,703
157,703
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
57.24
65.83
65.83
65.83
75.71
75.71
75.71
Revenue Account
Showroom Space
Absorption Rate of Leasable
Area
Leasable
Area
157,703
No. of
CPUs
202
sq. ft.
Nos.
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
43.00
Particulars
Car Parking Charges
Rent Appreciation (once in 3
years)
Inputs
Total
Unit
1,500
Final Report
- 131 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
1,997
2,296
2,296
2,296
2,641
2,641
2,641
15%
1,382.89
INR Million
108.33
124.58
124.58
124.58
143.27
143.27
143.27
61.80
INR Million
4.84
5.57
5.57
5.57
6.40
6.40
6.40
8%
96.31
INR Million
7.54
8.68
8.68
8.68
9.98
9.98
9.98
5%
77.05
INR Million
6.04
6.94
6.94
6.94
7.98
7.98
7.98
114.68
131.88
131.88
131.88
151.67
151.67
151.67
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
87,715
87,715
87,715
87,715
87,715
87,715
87,715
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
IINR Million
Office Space
Absorption Rate of Leasable
Area
Leasable
Area
87,715
No. of
CPUs
113
sq. ft.
Nos.
Receipts
Weighted Average Lease Rent
42.00
55.91
64.30
64.30
64.30
73.95
73.95
73.95
1,500
1,997
2,296
2,296
2,296
2,641
2,641
2,641
15%
Particulars
Inputs
Total
Unit
Final Report
- 132 -
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Y13
Y14
Y15
720.57
INR Million
58.85
67.68
67.68
67.68
77.83
77.83
77.83
33.17
INR Million
2.71
3.11
3.11
3.11
3.58
3.58
3.58
8%
50.25
INR Million
4.10
4.72
4.72
4.72
5.43
5.43
5.43
5%
40.20
INR Million
3.28
3.78
3.78
3.78
4.34
4.34
4.34
IINR Million
62.38
71.74
71.74
71.74
82.50
82.50
82.50
2,227.75
INR Million
177.06
203.62
203.62
203.62
234.17
234.17
234.17
2%
44.55
INR Million
3.54
4.07
4.07
4.07
4.68
4.68
4.68
Property Tax
5%
35.69
INR Million
2.86
3.00
3.16
3.31
3.48
3.65
3.83
Insurance Premium
5%
16.34
INR Million
1.31
1.38
1.44
1.52
1.59
1.67
1.76
96.59
INR Million
7.71
8.45
8.67
8.90
9.75
10.01
10.27
2,131.16
INR Million
169.35
195.17
194.95
194.72
224.41
224.16
223.89
2,035.38
INR Million
2,035.38
370.44
INR Million
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
30.87
Depreciation
4.51%
9.7
Final Report
- 133 -
Unit
Financial Indicator
Percent
17.67%
Percent
18.49%
Ratio
1.95
Ratio
12.19
Ratio
1.91
Ratio
2.54
Ratio
1.50
Ratio
1.86
INR Million
1,783.93
INR Million
2,230.96
Based on the above table, it may be concluded that the upcoming First Phase
development on the Project Site with built-up area of approximately 540,366 sq. ft.
comprising retail mall & multiplex, showroom space and office space, proposed to be
executed over next 3 years timeframe, has favorable financial feasibility indicators with
project internal rate of return (IRR) of about 18%, which is within the range of 18-20% as
expected in the market.
Further, the project also demonstrates favorable bankability indicators indicating healthy
cash flows and loan repayment potential. Average debt service coverage ratio works out
1.86, which is higher than 1.50 as desired by financial institutions. Minimum debt service
coverage ratio during the debt repayment period is 1.50, which is also higher than 1.30 as
desired by financial institutions.
Based on the above, it may be concluded that the proposed First Phase
development on the Project Site with built-up area of approximately 540,366 sq. ft.
comprising retail mall & multiplex, showroom space and office space, proposed to
be executed over next 3 years timeframe, is feasible both from the market and
financial feasibility perspective. Further, the cash flows demonstrate favorable
bankability indicators, indicating healthy cash flows and loan repayment.
9.8
Scenario 1: 10 percent increase in capital cost over the base case scenario;
Scenario 2: 10 percent decrease in revenues over the base case scenario; and
Scenario 3: 10 percent increase in capital cost and 10 percent decrease in revenues,
over the base case scenario
Final Report
- 134 -
Upside Scenario
Scenario 4: 10 percent decrease in capital cost over the base case scenario;
Scenario 5: 10 percent increase in revenues over the base case scenario; and
Scenario 6: 10 percent decrease in capital cost and 10 percent increase in revenues,
over the base case scenario
The table in the following page presents and summarizes the behavior of the project cost
and performance of key financial & bankability indicators for the proposed development
under each of the above sensitivity scenarios.
Final Report
- 135 -
Table 9.17: Sensitivity Analysis - Behavior of the Project Cost and Performance of the Key Financial & Bankability Indicators for the Proposed
First Phase Development on the Project Site
Sl.
No.
Particulars
Behavior of the Project Cost and Performance of Key Financial Indicators for Sensitivity Scenarios
(Base Case)
Scenario 1
(10% Increase in
Capital Cost)
Scenario 2
(10% Decrease in
Revenue)
Scenario 3
(Combination of
Scenario 1 & 2)
Scenario 4
(10% Decrease in
Capital Cost)
Scenario 5
(10% Increase in
Revenue)
Scenario 6(
Combination of
Scenario 4 & 5)
1.
17.67%
16.84%
16.20%
15.39%
18.58%
19.06%
19.99%
2.
18.49%
17.17%
16.76%
15.49%
20.01%
20.14%
21.72%
3.
1.95
1.95
1.75
1.75
1.96
2.16
2.16
4.
12.19
12.18
9.05
9.02
12.21
14.34
14.36
5.
1.91
1.90
1.73
1.73
1.91
2.07
2.07
6.
2.54
2.54
2.59
2.60
2.54
2.73
2.73
7.
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
8.
1.86
1.86
1.60
1.60
1.87
2.10
2.10
9.
1,783.93
1,919.09
1,783.93
1,919.09
1,648.77
1,783.93
1,648.77
10.
2,230.96
2,366.12
2,230.96
2,366.12
2,095.80
2,230.96
2,095.80
Final Report
- 136 -
Based on the above table, it may be noted that the proposed first phase of development on
the Project Site with built-up area of approximately 540,366 sq. ft. comprising retail mall &
multiplex, showroom space and office space, proposed to be executed over next 3 years
timeframe, indicates higher sensitivity towards change in revenue assumptions. The base
rate indicators are marginally higher than the accepted market norms and therefore the
downside scenarios show non-favorable indicators. As the project shows higher sensitivity
towards revenue assumptions, it is important to maintain and increase the revenue
realization from that of the base case scenario.
The project demonstrates favorable bankability indicators indicating healthy cash flows and
loan repayment. Under the worst case scenario, average debt service coverage ratio works
out to 1.60, which is higher than 1.50 as desired by financial institutions. Minimum debt
service coverage ratio during the debt repayment period is 1.50, which is also higher than
1.30 as desired by financial institutions.
Therefore, based on the above sensitivity analysis, it is evident that the proposed
development is sensitive to both increase in cost and decrease in revenue. Thus, it is of
paramount importance to administer strict cost control management measures
during the execution of the project. Further, as the sensitivity is higher towards the
revenue assumptions, aggressive marketing is very essential to ensure similar or
higher pricing recommended in this report is achieved during the disposal/
operation. A close watch and control of costing and pricing is of critical importance in
ensuring financial feasibility of the project.
Final Report
- 137 -
10 ANNEXURE
10.1 DESCRIPTION OF SOCIO ECONOMIC CLASSIFICATION
Socio Economic Classification (SEC) is widely used classification under market researchers worldwide to describe the quality of the population. This classification of Indian consumers is on two
parameters, namely occupation and education of the chief wage earner (head) of the households.
The classification criteria were formulated in 1988 and were subsequently ratified by Market
Research Society of India (MRSI). This classification is used widely by media researchers and
brand managers to understand the Indian consuming class. The table below presents the SocioEconomic Classification Matrix for ready reference.
EDUCATION
OCCUPATION
Illiterat
e
Unskilled Workers
E2
E2
E1
Skilled Workers
E2
E1
Petty Workers
E2
Shop Owners
Literate
but not
Formal
School
School up
to 9 Years
SSC/
HSC
Some
College but
Not
Graduate
Graduate/
Postgraduate
- General
Graduate/
Post
GraduateProfession
B2
B2
B2
B2
B2
B1
A2
A2
Self-Employed Prof.
B2
B1
A2
A1
Clerical /Salesmen
B2
B1
B1
Supervisory Level
B2
B1
A2
Officers/ Executive-Junior
B2
B1
A2
A2
Officers/Executive-Middle/Senior
B1
B1
B1
B1
A2
A1
A1
B2
B1
A2
A2
A1
4 to 10
B2
B2
B1
A2
A2
A1
More than 10
B1
B1
A2
A2
A1
A1
A1
SEC A (Urban): Shop owners/ farmers/ wholesalers/ traders/ self employed professionals/
junior executives/ officers who have a graduate degree or above, businessmen/ industrialists
with less than 10 employees and have been to college, businessmen/industrialists with 10 or
more employees and have greater than four years of schooling, all middle/senior officers and
executives who have been to college in urban areas
SEC B (Urban): Shop owners/ farmers/ wholesale traders/ self employed professionals/
officers/ junior executives who have spent some time in college but are not graduates, clerks
and salesmen who are graduate and above, supervisors who are graduate and general post
graduates, businessmen/industrialists with 9 or less employees and have completed schooling,
businessmen/ industrialists with 10 or more employees but up to 9 years of schooling, all
middle/senior officers and executives who have not been to college, skilled workers and petty
traders with graduate or higher degree, Shop owners who have completed schooling,
businessmen with 5 to 9 years of schooling, businessmen with up to 9 years of schooling, self
employed professionals, officers and junior executives who have completed schooling,
Final Report
- 138 -
supervisors/ clerks/ salesmen who have spent some time in college but are not graduates in
urban areas
SEC C (Urban): Skilled workers and petty traders with greater than 9 years of schooling but
not graduates, shop owners/ farmers/ wholesalers/ traders with 5 to 9 years of schooling,
illiterate businessmen with 1 to 9 employees, businessmen with no employees but up to 4
years of schooling, clerks and salesmen who have completed schooling, supervisors with
greater than five years of schooling but not college, officers and junior executives with up to 9
years of schooling in urban areas
SEC D (Urban): Unskilled workers with greater than 9 years of schooling, skilled workers with
5 to 9 years of schooling, literate petty traders with up to 9 years of schooling, shop
owners/farmers or wholesale traders with up to 4 years of schooling, self employed with no
employees, self employed with up to 9 years of schooling, Clerks and salesmen with up to 9
years of schooling, Supervisors with up to 4 years of schooling in urban areas
SEC E (Urban): Unskilled workers with 5 to 9 years of schooling, skilled workers with up to 4
years of schooling, unskilled workers with up to 4 years of schooling, illiterate skilled workers,
illiterate petty traders in urban areas
Final Report
- 139 -
Puma,
Woodlands,
Arrow, Lee, United
Colour of Benetton &
Van Heusen
Kalyan Silk
Footfalls & Conversions: The average footfalls vary from 200-300 during weekdays with conversion of about 50% and 200-400 during the weekends
with conversion rate of 80%. Both footfalls and conversions are significantly high during festival season.
Shoppers: Shoppers are basically from Thrissur (major percentage) followed by adjoining urban centers like Chavakkad, Shoranur, Vadakkencherry,
Irinjalakuda , Chalakuddy, Kunnamkulam and partly from Pollachi.
Age of Shoppers: The active shoppers in Thrissur are basically those between 25 to 50 years of age and these are primarily the working class
population.
Expansion Plan: Looking for expansion or shifting to new premises with better facilities in the city with space of about 10,000-15,000 sq. ft.
Willingness to Relocate to Mall: Indicated willingness to relocate to a mall with rental ranging from INR 40-45 per sq. ft. per month
Preference for Facilities and Amenities: Require ample parking facilities and facility should have good ambience.
Rating of Location of the Project Site for Mall: Excellent location, as shoppers catchment is from Punkunnam, Ayyanthole & Chembukkav.
Footfalls & Conversions: The average footfalls vary from 30-40 during weekdays with conversion of about 75% and 30-60 during the weekends with
conversion rate of 40%. Both footfalls and conversions are significantly high during festival season.
Shoppers: Shoppers are basically from Thrissur. However, during the festive seasons and holidays, shoppers are coming from adjoining urban
centers like Chavakkad, Shoranur, and Chalakuddy.
Age of Shoppers: The active shoppers in Thrissur are basically from 16-25 years of age and these are primarily students.
Expansion Plan: Looking for expansion or shifting to new premises with better facilities in the city with space of about 1,200-2,000 sq. ft.
Willingness to Relocate to Mall: Indicated willingness to relocate to a mall with rental ranging from INR 75-100 per sq. ft. per month
Preference for Facilities and Amenities: Require ample parking facilities. Prefer locating in the ground floor, close to atrium with good frontage.
Rating of Location of the Project Site for Mall: Excellent location, as the catchment has good residing population.
Footfalls & Conversions: The average footfalls vary from 500-600 during weekdays with conversion of about 75% and 500-750 during the weekends
with conversion rate of 85%. Both footfalls and conversions are significantly high during festival season.
Shoppers: Shoppers are basically from Thrissur (major percentage) followed by adjoining urban centers like Chavakkad, Shoranur, Chalakuddy and
Kunnamkulam etc. with high disposable income.
Age of Shoppers: The active shoppers in Thrissur are basically those between 25 to 50 years of age and these are primarily the working class
population and also NRIs (NRKs).
Expansion Plan: Looking for expansion or shifting to new premises with better facilities in the city with space of about 15,000 sq. ft.
Willingness to Relocate to Mall: Indicated willingness to relocate to a mall with competitive rentals (not specifically indicated rental range). However,
indicated larger preference for standalone complex.
Shoppers
Final Report
- 140 -
OCCUPIERS SURVEY
IN
KOCHI
AND
Survey
conducted
from IT/ITES and other
occupiers in Kochi
FROM
Final Report
- 141 -