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Tutorial 4 - Probability Distribution (With Answers)

This document contains 19 problems involving calculating probabilities of various events using probability distributions like binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. The problems cover topics like finding the probability of a certain number of successes in binomial experiments, calculating probabilities of defective items using Poisson distributions, and determining probabilities of values falling within certain ranges for normal distributions. The document provides the problems, distributions to use, and in some cases, the expected answers.

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LiibanMaahir
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728 views

Tutorial 4 - Probability Distribution (With Answers)

This document contains 19 problems involving calculating probabilities of various events using probability distributions like binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. The problems cover topics like finding the probability of a certain number of successes in binomial experiments, calculating probabilities of defective items using Poisson distributions, and determining probabilities of values falling within certain ranges for normal distributions. The document provides the problems, distributions to use, and in some cases, the expected answers.

Uploaded by

LiibanMaahir
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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ASIA PACIFIC UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION

Degree Level 1
Quantitative Skills
Probability Distribution
Intake
Lecturer
Date Assigned :
Date Due

:
:
:

1.

Calculate and tabulate the probabilities of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 successes for a binomial


situation with n =4 and p = 0.25
(0.316, 0.422, 0.211, 0.047, 0.00391)

2.

If a manufacturer produces a product with a defective rate of 10% and if samples of 5


are taken from the production line, find the probability of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 defectives in
the sample. (0.59, 0.328, 0.0729, 0.0081, 0.00045, 0.00001)

3.

If there are 6 machines running on a particular day, find the probability that
(a)
no machines need correcting. (0.262)
Note: The probability that a machine need correcting adjustment during a
days production run is 0.2.
(b)
just one machine need correcting (0.393)
(c)
exactly two machines need correcting (0.246)
(d)
more than two machines need correcting (0.099)

4.

A company Minibus has 7 passenger seats and on a routine run it is estimated that any
passenger seat will be filled with probability of 0.42
(a)
What is the mean and variance of the binomial distribution of the number of
passengers on a routine run? (2.94, 1.71)
(b)
Calculate the probability (to 3D) that, on a routine run:
(i)
there will be no passenger; (0.022)
(ii)
there will be just one passenger; (0.112)
(iii)
there will be exactly two passengers; (0.243)
(iv)
there will be at least three passengers (0.623)

5.

Calculate and tabulate the Poisson probabilities of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 or more random


events occurring in an interval for which the mean number of events is 2.3. (0.1,
0.231, 0.265, 0.203, 0.201)

6.

Computational errors in an Accountant department have a mean of 4 per day.


Calculate the probability that on a given day the number of errors is
(a)
none (0.0183)
(b)
exactly 7 (0.0595)
(c)
between 2 and 4 inclusive (0.537)

7.

Customers arrive randomly at a department store at an average rate of 3.4 per minute.
Assuming the customer arrival form a Poisson distribution, calculate the probability
that:
(a)
no customers arrive in any particular minute (0.0334)
(b)
exactly one customer arrives in any particular minute (0.1135)
(c)
two or more customers arrive in any particular minute (0.8531)

Level 1

Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation

Page 1 of 3

(d)

one or more customers arrive in any 30-second period. (0.8173)

8.

The mean number of calls received on a telephone per hour is 1.6. Calculate the
probability of the following
(a)
Exactly two calls will be received in an hour. (0.2584)
(b)
More than two calls will be received in an hour. (0.2167)
(c)
Exactly five calls will be received in a three hour period. (0.1747)

9.

Items produced from a machine are known to be 1% defective. If the items are boxed
into lots of 200. What is the probability of finding a single box has 2 or more
defectives using (a) binomial (0.5954)
(b) Poisson approximation. (0.594)

10.

Transistors are packed in boxes of 1000. On average 0.1% will be defective. Use
Poisson approximation to determine what proportion of boxes will contain the
following:
(a)
0 defective (0.368)
(b)
1 defective (0.368)
(c)
2 defectives (0.1839)
(d)
3 or more defectives (0.0801)

11.

The time taken to complete job of a particular type is known to be normally


distributed with mean 6.4 hours and standard deviation 1.2 hours. What is the
probability that a randomly selected job of this type takes
(a)
less than 7 hours (0.6915)
(b)
less than 6 hours (0.3707)
(c)
between 6 and 7 hours (0.3208)

12.

Weights of bags of potatoes are normally distributed with mean 5 lbs and standard
deviation 0.2 lbs. The potatoes are delivered to a supermarket 200 bags at a time.
(a)
What is the probability that a random bag will weigh more than 5.5 lbs?
(0.00621)
(b)
How many bags from a single delivery would be expected to weigh more than
5.5 lbs ? (1 bag)

13.

A company produces batteries whose lifetimes are normally distributed with a mean
of 100 hours. It is known that 90% of batteries last at least 40 hours.
(a)
Estimate the standard deviation lifetime. (46.9 hours)
(b)
What percentage of batteries will not last 70 hours? (26.1%)

14.

Company records show that the weekly distance travelled by their salesmen is
approximately normally distributed with mean 800 miles and standard deviation 90
miles. The sales manager considers that salesman who travel less than 600 miles in
one week are performing poorly.
(a)
If the company employs 200 salesmen, how many would be expected to
perform poorly in a particular week ? (approximately 3)
(b)
The sales manager wishes to identify the number of miles travelled in one
week, above which only 1% of salesmen are expected to exceed. What weekly
mileage is this? (1009.7 miles)

Level 1

Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation

Page 2 of 3

15.

Suppose that we have a number of players in a football team of 11 who have broken
their legs at some time in the past, with a mean of 5.3 and a standard deviation of 1.2.
What is the probability that in a football team, at least four players will have broken
their leg at some time in the past. (Cancelled)

16.

A cab driver knows from experience that the number of fares he will pick up in an
evening is a random variable with = 21.3 and s = 3.4 Assuming that the distribution
of this random variable can be approximated closely with a normal curve, find the
probabilities that in an evening the driver will pick up (a) at least 30 fares (b)
anywhere from 20 to 25 fares inclusively ((a) 0.00794
(b) 0.5945)

17.

Bolts are manufactured by a machine and it is know that approximately 20% are
outside certain tolerance limits. If a random sample of 200 is taken, find the
probability that more than 50 bolts will be outside the limits ? (0.0314)

18.

A popular restaurant has places for 50 customers. For Sunday lunches there is great
demand so it is necessary to book. The restaurant manager knows that 10% of
customers who book do not arrive at the restaurant. He takes bookings for Sunday
lunch for 55 customers. What is the probability that he will have more customers than
places ? (0.345)

19.

The time taken to complete a particular type of job is distributed approximately


normally with mean 1.8 hours and standard deviation 0.1 hours.
(a)
If normal-time work finishes at 6.00 p.m. and a job is started at 4.00 p.m.,
what is the probability that the job will need overtime payments? (0.02275)
(b)
What estimated completion time (to the nearest minute) should be set so that
there is a 90% chance that the job is completed on time? (5.56pm)

Level 1

Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation

Page 3 of 3

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