Ikea PPP Macro
Ikea PPP Macro
Ikea PPP Macro
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Examiner:
Subject:
Level and semester:
Thomas Ericson
Dominique Anxo
Economics
Bachelor's Thesis, Spr 2012
Abstract
During the past decade, the law of one price and purchasing power parity
theories have been empirically tested for their validity. IKEA, as a world famous
furnishing company, sells identical products in different countries with different prices.
The main emphasis of this paper is placed on the problem of if and why IKEAs
pricing actually departs from the law of one price and purchasing power parity. We
focus on the following three main explaining factors: the existence of trade cost, the
influences of non-traded parts cost of the goods, and other possible pricing behaviors
of the firms. To be able to fulfill our objectives, a regression model combined with the
theoretical framework and the institutional framework of IKEA have been used in this
paper. The remarkable outcomes are gotten as below: () The price variation still
exist after removing the influences of transportation cost, trade barriers, taxes. ()
Higher productivity contributes to higher national prices, but higher labor cost has no
significant effect on price variation. () Price discrimination and special market
strategies in specific areas do play a role in the price variation.
Key words: IKEA, identical products, price differentials, the law of one price,
purchasing power parity
Content
Abstract ............................................................................................................................................1
1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................3
1.1 Background ........................................................................................................................3
1.2 Objective ............................................................................................................................4
1.3 Limitations .........................................................................................................................5
2 Theoretical Framework ...............................................................................................................5
2.1 About LOP and its implication..................................................................................... 6
2.1.1 The law of one price .................................................................................................6
2.1.2 Purchasing power parity ...........................................................................................8
2.1.2.1 Absolute PPP .........................................................................................................8
2.1.2.2 Relative PPP ........................................................................................................12
2.1.3 Nominal exchange rate and real exchange rate ......................................................12
2.2 Why does LOP not hold? ................................................................................................14
2.2.1 Transportation cost .................................................................................................16
2.2.2 Trade barriers .........................................................................................................17
2.2.3 Productivity ............................................................................................................20
2.2.4 Labor cost ...............................................................................................................21
2.2.5 Value-added tax ......................................................................................................21
3 The Institutional Framework of IKEA ....................................................................................23
3.1 Price setting strategies ....................................................................................................23
3.2 Market environment .......................................................................................................26
3.3 Logistics process ..............................................................................................................28
4 Methodology ...............................................................................................................................29
4.1 Data collection .................................................................................................................29
4.2 Empirical model ..............................................................................................................34
5 Results .........................................................................................................................................37
5.1 Empirical results .............................................................................................................37
5.2 Sensitivity analysis ..........................................................................................................39
6 Conclusion...................................................................................................................................42
Appendix ........................................................................................................................................44
References ......................................................................................................................................48
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
The law of one price (LOP) states each truly homogenous product should be
sold with only one price in all markets. Purchasing power parity (PPP) also supports
that the price levels in different countries should be described as the same in a
common currency. Both of these theories serve as the foundations of international
economics, and the basis for price setting determinations in international markets.
However, prices of many IKEA products in Sweden are strongly different
from IKEA prices in Beijing, China, when they are converted to a common currency.
Further investigation shows that IKEAs products ubiquitously have different prices in
different countries. This phenomenon actually departs from the theories of LOP and
PPP. Since then, it is of great interest and motivation to study on why the products of
IKEA have different prices in different countries.
IKEA is founded in 1943 in lmhult, Sweden. During the past 70 years,
IKEA gradually developed to one of the largest and most famous furniture companies
in the world. It sells identical products all over the world in a range of approximately
9,500 different kinds of products in an identical shopping environment. Presently,
IKEA owns over 280 stores in 26 countries. 1 Its products are divided into several
categories, mainly including the categories of living room, bedroom, kitchen,
childrens IKEA, and textiles.
The above-mentioned characteristics provide an overview and useful
information of IKEA, for approaching if and why IKEAs pricing departs from LOP
and PPP theories. Hassink and Schettkat(2001) firstly use the data from IKEAs
products to continue formers researches on LOP and PPP. They collected the data of
222 products from IKEA in 10 EU countries, which can help avoid all formal
trade-barriers. The conclusion in their paper is LOP definitely does not hold in EU.
The explanation they have given is price discrimination and incomplete information
may show some responsibility on this reality. However, there still have about 75% on
price variation of identical products which cannot be explained.
Moreover, according to Haskel and Wolf(2001)s research, the price pattern
that IKEA holds can be hardly explained by local distribution costs, local taxes and
probably tariffs. Baxter and Landry(2010) examined all of the items catalog prices
for 6 different countries from Europe and North America, from 1994-2010, finding
that deviation from LOP is large and typical in both aggregate and micro field.
However, it still can be hardly explained.
In this paper, we focus on the data of 5 individual products from all 5
categories. They are chosen as the representatives to compare their prices within 10
different countries from both Europe and Asia. In order to illustrate the general
explanations of the price variations in different regions, this paper limits to five
identical products prices in two areas, to make the processing and findings more
manageable. The Asian market is chosen as an unique character of this paper, since
former researches pay more attention to European and North American markets.
1.2 Objective
In this paper, we will try to continue the study on LOP and PPP, to find the
possible explanations why IKEAs identical products show different prices in different
countries.
To summarize the objective, this paper aims at:
Pointing out in which markets are IKEA goods relatively more expensive and
in which markets are cheaper.
Based on the objective, this research will be presented as the following outline:
The next section illustrates the theories related to LOP and describes the possible
reasons why IKEA holds different prices in different countries. Thereafter section 3
provides the problems in IKEAs price-setting strategies by explicitly considering the
market environment and logistics process. Section 4 and section 5 contain a
quantitative analysis about the regression relationship between value-added tax,
productivity and labor cost in different countries, and the price differentials of IKEAs
identical products. Finally, conclusion and future work is summarized in section 6.
1.3 Limitations
In this paper, the identical products of IKEA will be strictly defined as the
same products which have the same color, the same name in the same series, the same
dimensions including width, depth and height, and also own the same package
measurement and weight. We consider the stores of IKEA all over the world have an
identical shopping environment, based on their design and management strategies.
In addition, this paper will give the theoretical explanations on the law of one
price (LOP), absolute purchasing power parity (absolute PPP) and relative purchasing
power parity (relative PPP). The institutional framework of IKEAs pricing strategies
will be given as well.
However, since IKEA is a private company, it is hard to collect the information
and data from IKEA. IKEA does not show any information about the production
location for the specific products in the catalogues, which makes it difficult to study
about the transportation cost and other relative aspects in a limit period.
2 Theoretical Framework
In the following chapter, the fundamental theories of LOP and its implication
will be reviewed, which include the PPP and the exchange rate theories. This
theoretical framework can help to unveil the possible explanations toward why LOP
economy. Lets take the price of timber in Sweden and China as an example. The law
of one price can be expressed as:
(1)
= ,
Where and represent the prices of timber in Sweden and China respectively,
and represents the nominal exchange rate ( = SEK/CNY). Assuming that each
timber cost 2,000 per ton in China and that exchange rate ( = SEK/CNY) is equal
to 1.1, then according to the law of one price, the price of timber in Sweden is 2,200
kr. In this case, no matter if the product in China (or Sweden) is overvalued or
undervalued, the product will move between two markets until the prices are exactly
the same. This activity is what we have mentioned as arbitrage. Figure 1 sketches the
arbitrage behavior.
Figure 1
According to the figure, in the timber market, if the price in Sweden is lower
than that in China, arbitrageurs will buy timbers in Sweden and sell it in China. It will
lead to an increase in both the demand of timber in Sweden and supply of Swedish
timber in China. Consequently Ps will increase and Pc will decrease, so that the prices
of timber in these two markets will finally reach a new equilibrium. Obviously, this
kind of transaction has a strong connection with the foreign exchange market. For
example, a Swedish purchases a ton of timber in Sweden and sell it in China, so that he
or she needs to go to the foreign exchange market for transferring Chinese Yuan to
Swedish kronor. The demand of Swedish kronor will increase, which makes the
Chinese Yuan depreciate (the nominal exchange rate decrease). Following this paper
7
will simply introduce the definitions of the nominal exchange rate and the real
exchange rate.
Source: http://fx.sauder.ubc.ca/PPP.html
8
domestic currency and foreign currency equal to the ratio between these two countries
purchasing power of currency or the price level. Identically, the purchasing power
parity can be expressed as follows:
(2)
= / , or =
Where refers to the domestic price index, such as the price index in Sweden,
represents the price index in a foreign country, such as in China, and is the
exchange rate between two countries.
Also, and can be described as :
(3)
=1
and =
=1
where and represent the tradable goods weight and price of item i in domestic
economy respectively, while and are foreign countries weight and price of item
i. These equations show that the price level in different countries should be equal after
adjusting the exchange rate.
An interesting example can be used to help us understand the theory. The
Economist, an international magazine, collected the data of the prices of McDonalds
Big Mac hamburger in different countries. According to the PPP theory, the price of a
Big Mac should be the same after we adjust the price into a common currency with
the nominal exchange rate.
The following table can help to predict the nominal exchange rate based on the
theory of PPP. The third column shows the price of a Big Mac in different countries and
the fourth column represents the predicted exchange rate, which is equal to Big Macs
domestic price divided by the price in United States. In the last column, The Economist
collected the actual exchange rate to compare with the predicted exchange rate.
As shown in table 1, if the price of a Big Mac in domestic currency is higher,
the exchange rate (domestic currency per dollar) should be higher. Take the Big Macs
price in United Kingdom as an example, the exchange rate between pound and dollar
is 2.29/3.57, that is, 0.63 pound per dollar. At this exchange rate, the Big Macs price
should be the same in United Kingdom and in U.S. Apparently, a Big Mac is more
expensive in the UK than in the US. According to Table 1, similar situations
significant exist in Hungary, Czech Republic, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Argentina,
9
Brazil, Switzerland, Turkey, New Zealand, Canada and Euro area. The nominal
exchange rate actually differs from the actual exchange rate. It is a perfect evidence
which can show the fact that the prices in different countries are different, which
departs from the theory of PPP.
10
Currency
Rupiah
Won
Peso
Forint
Predicted
5238
896
434
188
Actual
9152
1018
494
144
Japan
Yen
280.00
78.4
106.8
Taiwan
Czech republic
Thailand
Dollar
Korunna
Baht
75.00
66.10
62.00
21.0
18.5
17.4
30.4
14.5
33.4
Russia
Ruble
59.00
16.5
23.2
Norway
Sweden
Kroner
Krona
40.00
38.00
11.2
10.6
5.08
5.96
Mexico
Peso
32.00
8.96
10.20
Denmark
South Africa
Hong Kong
Krona
Rand
Dollar
28.00
16.90
13.30
7.84
4.75
3.73
4.70
7.56
7.80
Egypt
Pound
13.00
3.64
5.31
China
Argentina
Yuan
Peso
12.50
11.00
3.50
3.08
6.83
3.02
Saudi Arabia
UAE 4
Riyal
Dirham
10.00
10.00
2.80
2.80
3.75
3.67
Brazil
Poland
Real
Zloty
7.50
7.00
2.10
1.96
1.58
2.03
Switzerland
Malaysia
Franc
Ringgit
6.50
5.50
1.82
1.54
1.02
3.20
Turkey
Lire
5.15
1.44
1.19
New Zealand
Dollar
4.90
1.37
1.32
Canada
Dollar
4.09
1.15
1.00
Singapore
Dollar
3.95
1.11
1.35
United States
Australia
Dollar
Dollar
3.57
3.45
1.00
0.97
1.00
1.03
Euro area
Euro
3.37
0.94
0.63
United Kingdom
Pound
2.29
0.63
0.50
Note: The predicted exchange rate is the real exchange rate that would make the price of
a Big Mac in that country equals to its price in the United States.
3
4
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(5) =
where is the real exchange rate; is the nominal exchange rate ( = SEK/CNY);
represents the price level in China, and is the price level in Sweden (following it
is treated as the domestic price level).
Equation (5) has two layers of meanings. First, real exchange rate implies that
how many quantities of domestic products (Swedish goods) we can gain from one unit
of foreign goods (Chinese goods). If the real exchange rate increases, it will show that
one unit of foreign goods can exchange more domestic goods, which implies the
domestic currency depreciation. On the contrary, if the real exchange rate decreases,
domestic currency will appreciate. Second, the exchange rate reflects the deviation of
the nominal exchange rate that is corresponding to the absolute PPP and the nominal
exchange rate in the economy. According to absolute PPP, equals to 1/ ,
representing the nominal exchange rate. Thus, the real exchange rate can be expressed
as:
(6)
= /
If = 1 , we can say that absolute PPP hold continuously; otherwise,
13
that nominal exchange rate is more suitable when trying to adopt the theory of PPP. In
addition, Hassink (2001) used the nominal exchange rate to analyze the price
differential in IKEA products, either. Thus, this paper will follow the earlier researches
and use the nominal exchange rate.
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is, for instance, when IKEA have found the larch wood as a special source in China,
they quickly recognized it and encouraged all suppliers to use this kind of source from
China. It may lead to two possible results. One is, because of the specificity of the raw
materials, IKEA has to produce these kinds of products in China, and then try to
delivery them to different market areas. Thus, it will come up with a large amount of
transportation cost, especially on the way from suppliers to stores, so that the prices in
China can be much lower than mean levels. And different countries can hold different
prices for these products. The other result is, since the specific and unique raw
material has to be used, other suppliers from all kinds of countries may compete for
this raw material. Then this raw material will be transferred to the suppliers in
different countries for production. It may cause a large amount of transportation cost
during the process from the raw materials purchasing place to the suppliers. The final
products will be distributed to the nearby markets. However, both of these above
situations can lead to a large variation on transportation cost, and finally contributes to
the different prices in different countries for identical products.
17
Country
Tariff (%)
UK
1.61
Germany
1.61
France
1.61
Ireland
1.61
Sweden
1.61
Norway
0.44
Finland
1.61
Japan
1.6
China
4.04
Singapore
United Kingdom, Germany, France, Ireland, Sweden and Finland are the
members of the European Union. They actually build a single market which contains a
customs union to impose a common external tariff on all goods entering the union. Thus,
tariff in these six countries has the same level, which has shown in Table 2 as 1.61%. If
tariff data is included into a regression model, it will be difficult to explain why the
products prices are different in the chosen ten countries. In other word, tariff is not the
main factor affecting the price differential in the European Union. In this case, the data
can be used will only include Norway, Japan, China and Singapore, to find how the
tariffs influence the prices. Since the data range is too small, the qualitative analysis
will hereby be given instead of the quantitative way.
Some research studies have been carried out on this topic. Cassel (1921)
investigated the influences of trade restrictions. It stated that, If trade between two
countries is more hampered in one direction than in the other, the value of the money of
the country whose export is relatively more restricted will fall, in the other country,
beneath the purchasing power parity. The author indicates that import and export
restrictions have opposite effects on purchasing power parity. In other words, if
government imposes fewer restrictions on imports, the currency in this country will be
undervalued. The article adopted different tariffs of beef in Korea and Japan, finding
that tariff is a partial explanation of the beef differential between these two countries.
It is efficient if study the impact of tariff using economical analyzing. As is known,
tariff will raise the price of imported goods. Thus, we use the following figure to
18
illustrate the effects of world trade without tariff. In Figure 2, DD refers to domestic
demand and DS represents domestic demand. Demand and supply at home determine
the price, P, while the world price is P*, lower than native price. Under this situation,
domestic consumers will consume goods, while producers will just produce .
So, the country will import worth of goods.
Figure 2: Effects of World Trade without Tariff
However, when the government decides to impose a tariff on import goods and
price will increase and the volume of imports will decrease. From this figure, price
increases to P, and because of the prices raising, producers are stimulated to produce
more goods, moves to right. At the same time, demand will decrease to left.
Eventually, the imports will be reduced.
Figure 3: Effects of world trade with tariff
Thus, we can conclude that tariff will affect price differentials, which departs
from the theory of PPP. However, as shown in Table 2, China has the highest tariff level,
while the prices of the most of the IKEA goods are lower than they are in other
19
countries. Since these kinds of products may be produced local. So we can not use
tariff to analyze the price differentials in different countries directly in the regression
model. Therefore, productivity, labor cost and value-added tax should be taken into
account. It is also the contribution for the study on IKEAs price differentials in this
paper.
2.2.3 Productivity
A wealth information is to be found in the literatures regarding the impact of
productivity differentials to price variations. Samuelson (1964) and Balassa (1964)
proved that productivity differences across countries or industries would affect the
theory of PPP deviations of non-traded goods. They also stated that high-income
country would have overvalued currency relative to low-income country. In addition,
higher GDP per capita represents higher income and higher labor productivity.
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total value of all market goods and
services produced within a country. Then GDP per capita can be treated as an indicator
of a nations prosperity, while GDP per employed person and GDP per working hour
may therefore show a countrys productivity from different viewpoints.
Gutsalyuk (2004) adopted the principle of Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) theory,
trying to find the relationship between productivity and price. It points out that about
9-16 percent of change in the price level can be explained by relative productivity
changes. Pellnyi (2007) also use Harrod-Balsssa-Samuelson theory to look for the
relationship. His paper organized a panel database of relative price levels of 34
product groups in 29 European countries during 1996-2005, suggesting that
productivity growth leads to increasing price.
According to the definitions, GDP per capita and GDP per person employed can
indicate the development level in different economies. In other words, higher GDP per
person employed or productivity will cause higher price of goods. It is the reason why
high labor productivity is associated with high level of human capital, determining the
rise of wages in the society. For example, each year China keep a pace of 8 persent
20
years ago in France5 [Thuronyi, (1996)] . In the book of Ebrill, etc. (2001), the
authors state that the birth of VAT is probably the most important tax development in
latter twentieth century. Now VAT is a primary source of government revenue, which
rises about one-quarter of all government revenue. They developed VAT as:
A broad-based tax levied on commodity sales up to and including, at least, the
manufacturing stages, with systematic offsetting of tax charged on commodities
purchased as inputsexcept perhaps on capital goodsagainst that due on outputs.
It means VAT is always levied on the value added at every stage of production
and distribution of goods and services. This is a key feature of the value-added tax:
the tax is charged throughout the production process, with taxes on inputs credited
against taxes on output. For example, a timber company sells timbersone of main
raw materials for furniturefor a price of 100 SEK (excluding tax) to a furniture
company, which in turn sells its output to final consumers for 400 SEK (again
excluding tax). Assume that VAT rate is 10%. The timber company will charge
furniture company 110 SEK, remitting 10 SEK to the government in tax, while
Furniture Company will charge the consumer 440 SEK which contains the
value-added tax for 40 SEK. However, the taxable person is entitled to deduct the tax
already paid at the preceding stage. It means the furniture company only needs to pay
the government 30 SEK. In this situation, the output tax is 40 SEK and minus a credit
for 10 SEK of tax charged on its inputs. The total government revenue is 40 SEK. The
tax has been partially shifted forward to the buyers from the sellers. Moreover, Viren
(2007) deals with the question of how VAT affects consumption prices, finding that all
analysis support more than one half of a tax incidence shifts to prices. It proves that
the final consumer, who will use the final goods or services for non-taxable purpose,
absorbs VAT as part of the purchasing price. The above-mentioned procedure
indicates that the tax actually is shared between the buyers and the sellers.
From the statements above, VAT is a key factor in determining products cost,
which further influences the final price of goods. Ruebling (1973) mention that VAT
has been a concern of Europeans since VAT is rated to the possibility of increase in
5
average price of goods and services. Sellers were always able to raise prices to cover
the VAT they pay, leading to an increase in goods price. Sekwati and Malema (2011)
advanced that it is possible for suppliers to raise their products prices immediately in
anticipation of increase in VAT since they take VAT as a hidden tax and goods cost.
National Audit Office of the Republic of LithuaniaPublic Audit Report, (2006)
investigated a research project-- On the application of reduced value-added tax rates
and concluded that a reduced VAT rate have direct benefits to consumers owning to
the fact that prices for relevant goods and services will go down, the supply of and
demand for such goods/services will increase. These researches reflect that
value-added taxes do play an important role in products prices.
23
pricing strategies based on their lower prices aim. One of them is that IKEA sets the
prices of their products before their research and development. It means IKEA designs
the price tag as a basis, and then develops the products to suit that price. Usually, the
price tag comes from IKEAs product managers searching. The development and
research department of IKEA builds a price matrix to find opportunities in the
companys product lineup, and decides how much will the new product charge for,
stated by Magonelly (2002). In order to provide lower price, product managers will
consider the mainly market locations for their primary new product, find out the price
of similar products produced by their rivals, and finally set their price of target products
30-50% below them. The designer of IKEA will then get the final products prices, and
try to consider the details of these products to control the sale prices. This price priority
strategy has been shown on the website of IKEA as their business idea. Based on the
information from the website, IKEA provides a possibility to let the product developers,
designers and suppliers work together, trying to come up with the best design. In the
process of designing, the designers usually keep contact with the production
department and the logistics department, to get more information about the selection of
materials and the product specifications. At the same time of designing, they will also
look for the suitable supplier based on the produce prices, the quality of products, the
productivity, the geographical locations, etc. Thus they can guarantee to provide a
well-designed, practical product with an acceptable price.
However, according to the comprehension about IKEAs different prices for
identical products in different countries, there may exist some special strategies in
specific area. That is, from the viewpoint of IKEAs local stores, in some regions, the
attitude that they constantly pursue the lower prices motivates IKEA to set different
specific pricing strategies in different countries. This idea can help IKEAs variety
products fit the different economic and cultural environments as fast as possible. It
implies the price-setting tries to fit not only the market forms but also customer
behaviors including their consumption habit and level in some points of view. Take
what IKEA stores have done in China as an example. Since IKEA builds its first store
in China later than its competitors such as B&Q from the UK, it can hardly promote
24
IKEA owned factories, and can be only sold in IKEA stores. This measure is a constant,
valid barrier to make sure the arbitrage can hardly occur. Another important reason to
avoid arbitrage is that the products of IKEA are daily consumption goods and furniture,
it will depreciate when it becomes to a second-hand goods.
27
responsibility to win the benefits of cost saving with their customers. However, this
kind of statement is more likely a public relation skill instead of the truth of their
pricing variation reasons.
28
4 Methodology
In this chapter, we are going to collect the data to analyze whether IKEAs
identical products hold different prices in different countries, then present the
empirical model we built in this research; finally discuss the expected result and
hypothesis for empirical model analysis.
29
bedroom, kitchen & appliances, childrens IKEA, and textiles & rugs. So this paper
selects one product from each category, thus five study objects in total are chosen.
These five identical products are picked from IKEAs website to guarantee that the
data has validity and representativeness. Five products are as below:
Table 3: Products Description7
Name and Series
Department
Width
Depth
Height
Living Room
190cm
95cm
83cm
Bedroom
211cm
197cm 38cm
39.8cm
60cm
86cm
Cot, SUNDVIK
Childrens IKEA
126cm
66cm
88cm
165cm
235cm null
This paper will use the series name following to present the specialized
products, instead of both name and series for convenience.
We collect all of these five products prices in ten different countries; the
countries we have chosen to study are the UK, Germany, France, Ireland from Western
Europe, Norway, Sweden, Finland from Northern Europe, and Japan, China, Singapore
from Asia. The selections mainly based on their locations and their high share of IKEAs
total sales of final products, as well as IKEAs purchase of raw materials/products for
their production. Table 4 shows the countries that IKEA has its largest share of product
sales and supplier of final products.
Germany
15%
The U. S.
11%
France
10%
Italy
7%
Sweden
6%
Top 5 share of
supply of products
China
22%
Poland
18%
Italy
8%
Sweden
5%
Germany
4%
This table gives a brief description about the markets distribution of IKEA.
Table 5 lists the prices which are acquired from IKEAs catalogues:
7
8
Source: http://www.ikea.com/
Source: Li (2010), The competitive advantage of IKEA and IKEA in China .
30
KIVIK
MALM
FAKTUM
SUNDVIK
STOPP
UK
GBP325
GBP259
GBP88
GBP89.99
GBP7.99
Germany
EUR349
EUR 189
EUR 153
EUR 99
EUR 6.99
France
EUR 399
EUR 239
EUR 109
EUR 99
EUR 6.99
Ireland
EUR 364.94
EUR 283.61
EUR 107.75
EUR 102.64
EUR 10.16
Sweden
SEK3,495
SEK 2,295
SEK 1,355
SEK 995
SEK 59
Norway
NOK2,890
NOK1,795
NOK1,115
NOK795
NOK59
Finland
EUR 379
EUR 219
EUR 134
EUR 129
EUR 6.95
Japan
JPY39,900
JPY32,900
JPY23,200
JPY9,900
JPY899
China
CNY1,999
CNY1,499
CNY1,075
CNY999
CNY79
Singapore
SGD545
SGD539
SGD228
SGD249
SGD15.90
1 EUR
in EUR
0.81915
1.22078
8.2468
0.121259
106.64
0.00937735
7.5525
0.132406
1.6381
0.610462
8.85
0.112994
This is the newest exchange rate information on April 18th 2012. The recent
published exchange rate information is used because it is more important to describe
the current situation about IKEA price deviations. Using the exchange rates in last year
is still another choice since the annual catalogues are more likely determined in last year.
However, it will have no influence on the research result if this years exchange rates are
used since the difference between this year and last year is very small.
Table 7 provides the prices which are converted into euro in different countries .
At the end of Table 7 is shown the average price of each product. As a result it is
9
10
Source: http://www.ikea.com/
Source: http://www.x-rates.com
31
obvious that for KIVIK, the prices in China, Singapore and Germany are lower than the
average price, while others are higher. For MALM, Germany, France, Norway, Finland
and China set prices below average price. For FAKTUM, the prices in United Kingdom,
France, Ireland, Finland and China are lower than the average price EUR 139.9. For
SUNDVIK, three out of five countries prices are lower than the average price and there
are United Kingdom, Germany, France, Ireland, Norway and Japan. In the last column,
STOPP shows the price below the average in Germany, France, Sweden, Norway and
Finland.
Table 7: The price list in a common currency (EUR)
Product
Country
KIVIK
MALM
FAKTUM
SUNDVIK
STOPP
UK
396.75
316.18
107.43
109.86
9.75
Germany
349.00
189.00
153.00
99.00
6.99
France
399.00
239.00
109.00
99.00
6.99
Ireland
364.94
283.61
107.75
102.64
10.16
Sweden
394.91
259.32
153.11
112.43
6.67
Norway
382.65
237.67
147.63
105.26
7.81
Finland
379.00
219.00
134.00
129.00
6.95
Japan
374.16
308.51
217.55
92.84
8.43
China
242.40
181.77
130.35
121.14
9.58
Singapore
332.70
329.04
139.19
152.01
9.71
Mean
361.551
256.31
139.901
112.318
8.304
Based on Table 7, Germany has the prices which are below average in 4 of 5
cases, while China is 3 of 5. This table shows strong deviations on the prices of IKEAs
products, which indicates that the law of one price may not hold on IKEAs products.
Since value-added tax play an important role in prices differentials among
different countries, it is essential to control the influence of VAT by the following
method:
(7)
= (1 )
20%
23%
25%
25%
23%
19% 19.60%
17%
15%
VAT
10%
5%
5%
7%
UK
Ge
rm
an
y
Fr
an
ce
Ir
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
No
rw
ay
Fi
nl
an
d
Ja
pa
n
Ch
in
Si
a
ng
ap
or
e
0%
This figure suggested that the standard VAT rate applied in seven European
countries varies from 19% to 25%. The minimum allowable standard VAT rate (19%) is
applied in Germany, while the maximum VAT rate (25%) is applied in Norway and
Sweden. In general, European countries VAT rates are higher than in other three Asia
countries. Among all of these ten countries, Japan has the minimum VAT rate, just 5%
and second is Singapore, 7%.
The prces after subtracting the value of VAT is presented in Table 8.
11
Source: http://www.uscib.org/index.asp?documentID=1676
33
KIVIK
MALM
FAKTUM
SUNDVIK
STOPP
UK
317.40
252.94
85.94
87.89
7.80
Germany
282.69
153.09
123.93
80.19
5.66
France
320.80
192.16
87.64
79.60
5.62
Ireland
281.00
218.38
82.97
79.03
7.82
Sweden
296.18
194.49
114.83
84.32
5.00
Norway
286.99
178.25
110.72
78.95
5.86
Finland
291.83
168.63
103.18
99.33
5.35
Japan
355.45
293.08
206.67
88.20
8.01
China
201.19
150.87
108.19
100.55
7.95
Singapore
309.41
306.00
129.45
141.37
9.03
Mean
294.294
210.789
115.352
91.943
6.81
Ch
in
a
Si
ng
ap
or
e
Ja
pa
n
Fi
nl
an
d
No
rw
ay
Ge
rm
an
y
Fr
an
ce
Ir
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
UK
MALM
It is expected to find there is a general fall in the products price and now more
countries prices are below to the average price. Yet the most obvious changes are in
34
Sweden and Norway because there are four products prices below average, which
may be caused by their highest VAT. However, the situation in Germany and China
remains, since Germany still have four products price lowering than average price and
China has three. This new table with transformed price departs from the thory of LOP
as well.
,
= 0 + 1 + 2 + + 10 + ,
This paper collects the data of 5 products in 10 countries which deducted VAT
value, so that this model contains 50 observations in total. We focus on the following
steps to establish the model: First, set variable as , , where index i refers to the five
products (i = 1, , 5) and c identify the 10 countries (c = 1, , 10). Second, calculate
the mean price for each product. Supposing this variable is . We calculated the
value of natural logarithm (ln) in the 50 prices and 5 mean prices. Finally, a new variable
has been given which is defined as
(9) ,
= ln , ln
This variable describes the relative deviation from the mean for product i in
data forms the dependent variable in this model. The independent variables are country
dummy variables, which is equal to one if the observation comes from country c and
in Model (8). In addition, Singapore will be treated as the reference country.
Model (8) is used to test whether is equal to zero or not. If is not equal to
zero, the PPP does not apply apparently. Based on the illustration in section two, this
35
paper treats the following factors as the explanations of the research question:
Transportation cost, tariff, labor cost and productivity. Considering the difficulties of
finding the data of transportation cost and the similarity of tariff in European area, the
regression method is only used to analyze the influences of labor cost and productivity.
So when investigating whether national differences in productivity and labor
costs can explain the price differences, these variables have to contained into the model.
In this case, the model can be expressed as follows:
(10)
,
= 0 + 1 + 2 + + 10 + 1 +
2 +
In this equation, labor cost and productivity will be regarded as dummy
variables by computer. There is only one value for each country, so there will be a
perfect linear correlation between the explaining variables. From the regression result,
we will observe the coefficient of labor cost and productivity, that is 1 and 2 . Based
on our analysis in theoretical part, we expect the sign of 1 and 2 are positive
because based on the mentioned studies; labor cost and productivity should be
positively related to price. At the same time, should be different from zero, too.
Based on the empirical model which has been explained, the collected data
of labor cost and productivity are as shown in Figure 7.
Labor cost is collected from the International Labor Organization. The data
contains hourly compensation costs for all employees in the manufacturing sector (US =
100) in 2009. Assuming that compensation cost is closely related to labor cost, although
it cant completely correspond to the definition of labor cost.
36
Labor Cost
productivity
U
Ge K
rm
an
y
Fr
an
Ir ce
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
No
rw
Fi ay
nl
an
d
Ja
pa
n
Ch
Si in
ng a
ap
or
e
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Productivity is the output per unit of labor input, such as capita contribution or
hours working. Economic growth of a country can be described as the increase in
effective work by those who are employed, that is, labor productivity. In this thesis, the
data of GDP per person employed (constant 1990 PPP $) is used, which equals the gross
domestic product (GDP) divided by total employment in the economy collected from
The World Bank, 2010.
5 Results
5.1 Empirical results
We process the data using the software EVIEWS. During the procedure, linear
regression method is used to analyze the relationship between two chosen variables
and the price differentials have been found in this paper for IKEAs identical products.
The data of productivity and labor cost are put in the built empirical model as
variables., Table 9 describes the regression result we have gained.
37
Model (10)13
Dependent variable:
ln ,
Dependent variable:
ln
ln , ln
Coefficients
0.108617
t-values
3.299767
Coefficients
-0.106447
t-values
-2.267052
UK
-0.103910
-2.232179
-0.134987
-2.961544
Germany
-0.161606
-3.471613
-0.145759
-1.564158
France
-0.162231
-3.485023
-0.207510
-3.412322
Ireland
-0.139313
-2.992701
-0.197052
-3.470819
Sweden
-0.149799
-3.217961
-0.169190
-2.633403
Norway
-0.155206
-3.334121
-0.174441
-1.641119
Finland
-0.152662
-3.279461
-0.173345
-2.309251
Japan
-0.002452
-0.052672
China
-0.155051
-3.330798
Constant
Singapore
Labor cost
-9.84E-05
-0.081520
Productivity
0.004945
2.223774
Dummy variables
F-test
R-squared
Adj. R-squared
SSR
N
9
3.769219
0.458896
0.337148
0.216698
50
7
3.769219
0.458896
0.337148
0.216698
50
The reference country in model (8) is Singapore, which means the spread of
price between Singapore and the average is about 0.11. In other words, on average,
the price value of natural logarithm of Singapore is about 11 percent, higher than the
mean price. Compared with this, the price of other countries are lower than Singapore,
for example, the price differential in United Kingdom is lower than in Singapore by
about 10 percent.
The statistic data provides that Singapore has the highest price level (+11%)
and France has the lowest price level (-16.2%). The range of the country effects is
about 27 percent. R-squared suggests that the model (8) can explain about 45.9
percent of the price variation, which does not change if we include other variables
12
13
Model (8): , = 0 + 1 + 2 + + 10 + ,
Model (10): , = 0 + 1 + 2 + + 10 + 1 + 2 +
38
such as labor cost and productivity. And it is noticed that the country coefficients
change slightly, but the location of the highest and the lowest price remain as before.
It points out that labor cost and productivity may affect price setting.
The following purpose is to test whether these products have the same price or
not in every country. It can be completed through checking the coefficients for all
dummies whether are zero or not. Model (11) describes both the null hypothesis and
the alternative hypothesis in this model.
(11)
H 0 : ., c 0
H 1 : ., c 0
The null hypothesis indicates there is no difference on price in each country
and the alternative hypothesis postulates that the price differentials exist. F-statistic =
3.769 is larger than F (9, 40) = 2.12 at 5% level of significance. At this significance
level, we can reject the null hypothesis. From the empirical results obtained so far, it
states that pricing of IKEAs identical products actually departs from LOP. And we
have described some of the reasons why LOP might not be expected to hold as a
practical matter during the theoretical part.
After that, this paper tests whether price has a significant relationship with
labor cost and productivity. Thus, we added these two factors in model (10).
Through observing the coefficients in model (10), it is easy to find that price is
positively related to productivity and negatively related to labor cost. Conversely,
productivity has positive coefficient and the t-value is about 2.22, which is lager than t
(40) = 1.684 at 5% significance. That is, productivity has significant effect on price. In
other words, productivity can partially interpret why IKEA products have different
prices in different countries.
However, the negative coefficient of labor cost is hard to explain since it
violates the existing theories about how labor costs should influence the price level. In
addition, the low t-value indicates that labor costs have no statistically significant
effects on the price variation across countries. It is helpful to review the original data
in this paper when it comes to try to explain the above unexpected results
Figure 7 in this paper shows that Germany, Japan, China and Singapore have
39
productivity below mean, 459719. But Japan and Singapore have prices below
average only for one product. Thus, it should be explained the positive correlation
between price and productivity in China and Germany, as Germany have price below
mean for 4 products and China for 3 products.
Switch to labor cost, however, below-average countries are now UK, Japan,
China and Singapore. Consequently, the negative correlation between labor costs and
prices could be explained by the fact that Germany has a labor cost above average. In
fact, Hassink and Ronald (2001) also got the same result with ours. In their test model,
the coefficient of labor cost is negative as well, but they didnt explain why this
phenomenon exists.
40
Model (10)
Dependent variable:
ln ,
Dependent variable:
ln
ln , ln
Coefficients
0.103515
t-values
3.119508
Coefficients
-0.111548
t-values
-2.356588
UK
-0.103910
-2.214229
-0.134987
-2.937729
France
-0.162231
-3.456998
-0.207510
-3.384882
Ireland
-0.139313
-2.968636
-0.197052
-3.442909
Sweden
-0.149799
-3.192083
-0.169190
-2.612226
Norway
-0.155206
-3.307310
-0.174441
-1.627922
Finland
-0.152662
-3.253089
-0.173345
-2.290681
Japan
-0.002452
-0.052248
China
-0.155051
-3.304013
Labor cost
-9.84E-05
-0.080864
Productivity
0.004945
2.205891
Constant
Singapore
Dummy variables
F-test
R-squared
Adj. R-squared
SSR
N
8
3.935049
0.466512
0.347959
0.198203
45
6
3.935049
0.466512
0.347959
0.198203
45
The signs of these country dummy variables are consistent compared with
former result. However, the t-value did not change significantly. In this model,
Singapore is also treated as the reference country and the spread of price between
Singapore and the average is about 10.4 percent, lower than 11 percent. The
coefficients of other dummy variables remain as before. The highest price level
(+10.4%) belongs to Singapore as well and France has the lowest price level
(-16.2%).
Obviously, if the models data range excludes the data of Germany, R-squared
will increase to about 46.7%. This point suggests that now the price variation can be
explained on the level of about 46.7%. Whats more, the F-statistic (about 3.935) is
larger than 3.769. The higher the F-statistic is, the more significant the model can be
shown. From the discussion above, one may conclude that if we skip the price data of
Germany, the result will be better. Moreover, Model (10) shows all of the absolute
41
value of t is larger than 1.684 except Norway. Also prove that it can be considered as a
better result.
As shown in Figure 7, it is obvious that China has the lowest labor cost and
productivity, which has a large gap with others. This is the motivation why the result
which excludes the data of China is wanted. According to the method which removes
Model (10)
Dependent variable:
ln ,
Coefficients
Dependent variable:
ln
ln , ln
t-values
Coefficients
t-values
Constant
0.104857
3.438711
1.365318
2.338894
UK
-0.103910
-2.409581
0.092031
1.132760
Germany
-0.161606
-3.747518
-0.215895
-1.950458
France
-0.162231
-3.761994
0.127387
1.261114
Ireland
-0.139313
-3.230546
0.220350
1.591458
Sweden
-0.149799
-3.473707
-0.009676
-0.229053
Norway
-0.155206
-3.599099
0.001865
0.034519
Finland
-0.152662
-3.540095
Japan
-0.002452
-0.056858
Labor cost
0.000142
0.118177
Productivity
-0.028475
-1.952297
Singapore
Dummy variables
F-test
R-squared
Adj. R-squared
SSR
N
8
4.738562
0.512911
0.404669
0.167368
45
6
4.738562
0.512911
0.404669
0.167368
45
As the result shown above, the values and the signs of these country dummy
variables still keep consistent with former results. However, if we exclude the data of
China, the R-squared will continually increase to about 51.3%, so that the price
variation can be explained on the level of about 51.3%. Whats more, the F-statistic
equals to about 4.74, larger than 3.769 and 3.935. In a word, if the price data of China
42
can be skipped, the result will be better than both the model with ten countries and the
one excluded the data of Germany. However, if labor cost and productivity are added
into the model, as models (10) shown, most of the t-value is not significance now. In
this situation, maybe both of labor cost and productivity are not suitable to explain
why the pricing actually departs from the theory of LOP.
Finally, the price both in Germany and China will be excluded followed the same
way we dealt with Germany and China.
Table 12: Exclude Germany and China
Model (8)
Model (10)
Dependent variable:
ln ,
Dependent variable:
ln
ln , ln
Coefficients
0.098727
t-values
3.251523
Coefficients
1.359189
t-values
2.338330
UK
-0.103910
-2.419863
0.092031
1.137594
France
-0.162231
-3.778048
0.127387
1.266496
Ireland
-0.139313
-3.244332
0.220350
1.598249
Sweden
-0.149799
-3.488531
-0.009676
-0.230030
Norway
-0.155206
-3.614458
0.001865
0.034666
Finland
-0.152662
-3.555202
2.338330
Japan
-0.002452
-0.057101
Labor cost
0.000142
0.118682
Productivity
-0.028475
-1.960628
Constant
Singapore
Dummy variables
F-test
R-squared
Adj. R-squared
SSR
N
7
5.068908
0.525802
0.422071
0.147510
40
5
5.068908
0.525802
0.422071
0.147510
40
Above mentioned two results show a strong possibility that skipping the data
for both Germany and China can advance the result of the regression model in this
paper. In fact, after eliminated the data of Germany and China at the same time, the
coefficients remain the same as before, but the price variation of Singapore continues
to decrease until about 9.8 percent. Not only the R-squared but also F-statistic are
higher than the results presented before. It implies that this kind of model is more
43
6 Conclusion
This paper aims at looking for the possible explanations regarding why do
IKEAs products have different prices in different countries. Given existing theories of
the law of one price and purchasing power parity, the price variations of IKEAs
products across countries need to be explained. We analyzed this puzzle by using
previous researches and data collection, and the empirical model we built in this paper.
In this paper, the explanations of the price differentials which exist in IKEA
have been divided into following three parts: (i) the existence of trade cost which
includes VAT, transportation cost and tarrif, (ii) the influence of non-traded parts cost
of the goods, which contains productivity and labor cost, (iii) other possible pricing
behaviors of the firms, such as price discriminations and special strategies in specific
regions.
According to our analysis and discussion, we draw the conclusion as follow:
First of all, IKEA holds different prices in different countries for its identical products.
And the price variation still exists after removing the influences of transportation cost,
trade barriers, taxes. It actually departs from the theories of LOP and PPP. () Price
discrimination and special market strategies in specific areas do play a role in the
price variation.
Second, transportation cost and tariff do play a role in the prices differentials;
however they are difficult to be analyzed in quantitative ways. Third, there is a linear
relationship between countrys productivity and the price variations across countries.
We found statistical significant evidence that higher productivity contributes to higher
national prices. On the other hand, higher labor cost had no significant effect on the
price variation. There are other factors which are influencing the pricing of IKEA, such
as price discrimination and special strategies in specific market areas. Future research
should further analyze how different local market influences the price setting of global
companies like IKEA.
44
Appendix
Figure 8: The price distribution of KIVIK
KIVIK
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
UK
Ge
rm
an
y
Fr
an
ce
Ir
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
No
rw
ay
Fi
nl
an
d
Ja
pa
n
Ch
in
a
Si
ng
ap
or
e
KIVIK
FAKTUM
Ch
in
a
Si
ng
ap
or
e
Ja
pa
n
Fi
nl
an
d
No
rw
ay
UK
Ge
rm
an
y
Fr
an
ce
Ir
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
50
0
45
Ja
pa
n
Fi
nl
an
d
No
rw
ay
UK
Ge
rm
an
y
Fr
an
ce
Ir
el
an
d
Sw
ed
en
SUNDVIK
STOPP
Si
ng
ap
or
e
Ch
in
a
Ja
pa
n
Fi
nl
an
d
No
rw
ay
Sw
ed
en
Ir
el
an
d
Fr
an
ce
Ge
rm
an
y
UK
2
0
46
47
Figure 15: Empirical results without Germany (including labor cost and productivity)
48
Figure 17: Empirical result without China (including labor cost and productivity)
49
Figure 19: Empirical results without Germany and China (including labor cost and
productivity)
50
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Pakko, M.R. and Pollard, P. S. (2003), Burgernomics: A Big Mac Guide to Purchasing Power
Parity, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Vol. 85, No. 6, pp. 9-28.
Pellnyi, Gbor (2007), The Relationship between Relative Productivity and Price Levels in
Europe, ICEG European Center, Working Paper No 33.
Public Audit Report, (2006), On the Application of Reduced Value-Added Tax Rates, National
Audit Office of the Republic of Lithuania, 19 December 2006 No. 8000-7P-31, Vilnius.
Ruebling, C.E. (1973), A value Added Tax and Factors Affecting Its Economic Impact, Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Samuelson, Paul A (1964), Theoretical Notes on Trade Problems, Review of Economics and
Statistics, 46(2), pp.145-54.
Sekwati, L. and Malema, W. (2011), Potential Impact of the Increase in VAT on Poor Housholds
in Botswana, Int. J. Eco. Res., 2011, 2(1), ISSN: 2229-6158.
Taylor, Alan M. and Taylor, Mark P. (2004), The Purchasing Power Parity Debate, Journal of
Economic Perspectives, Vol 18, Number 4, pp.135158.
Zhang, Yifan and Hed, Carl J. (2009), Exploring the Benefits of Implementing CSR Practices:
from a Supplier Perspective -A case study of IKEA and its Vietnamese Suppliers, university
essay from Goteborg university.
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Internet sources:
www.bestlog.org.
IKEA Sustainability Report 2010,
http://www.ikea.com/ms/en_US/about_ikea/read_our_material/index.html.
Hourly compensation costs,
http://www.ilo.org/empelm/what/WCMS_114240/lang--it/index.htm.
GDP per person employed,
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.GDP.PCAP.EM.KD.
Exchange rate,
http://www.x-rates.com.
IKEAs catalogues in various countries, http://www.ikea.com/.
http://fx.sauder.ubc.ca/PPP.html.
IKEA pushes lower price strategy,
http://www.chinaretailnews.com/2006/12/18/429-ikea-pushes-lowest-price-strategy/
IKEA welcome inside (2011)
http://www.ikea.com/ms/en_US/about_ikea/facts_and_figures/yearly_summary.html.
Book sources:
Ebrill, Liam; Keen, Michael; Bodin, J.P. and Summers, Victoria (2001), The Modern VAT,
International Monetary Fund, ISBN 1-58906-026-1.
Mankiw, N. G. (2009), Macroeconomics, New York, Worth Publishers, International edition.
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