Research Article: An Optimal Portfolio and Capital Management Strategy For Basel III Compliant Commercial Banks
Research Article: An Optimal Portfolio and Capital Management Strategy For Basel III Compliant Commercial Banks
Research Article: An Optimal Portfolio and Capital Management Strategy For Basel III Compliant Commercial Banks
Research Article
An Optimal Portfolio and Capital Management Strategy
for Basel III Compliant Commercial Banks
Grant E. Muller and Peter J. Witbooi
University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X17, Bellville 7535, South Africa
Correspondence should be addressed to Peter J. Witbooi; [email protected]
Received 3 October 2013; Accepted 5 January 2014; Published 19 February 2014
Academic Editor: Francesco Pellicano
Copyright 2014 G. E. Muller and P. J. Witbooi. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
We model a Basel III compliant commercial bank that operates in a financial market consisting of a treasury security, a marketable
security, and a loan and we regard the interest rate in the market as being stochastic. We find the investment strategy that maximizes
an expected utility of the banks asset portfolio at a future date. This entails obtaining formulas for the optimal amounts of bank
capital invested in different assets. Based on the optimal investment strategy, we derive a model for the Capital Adequacy Ratio
(CAR), which the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) introduced as a measure against banks susceptibility to failure.
Furthermore, we consider the optimal investment strategy subject to a constant CAR at the minimum prescribed level. We derive a
formula for the banks asset portfolio at constant (minimum) CAR value and present numerical simulations on different scenarios.
Under the optimal investment strategy, the CAR is above the minimum prescribed level. The value of the asset portfolio is improved
if the CAR is at its (constant) minimum value.
1. Introduction
Successful bank management can be achieved by addressing
four operational concerns. Firstly, the bank should be able
to finance its obligations to depositors. This aspect of bank
management is called liquidity management. It involves the
bank acquiring sufficient liquid assets to meet the demands
from deposit withdrawals and depositor payments. Secondly,
banks must engage in liability management. This aspect
of bank management entails the sourcing of funds at an
acceptable cost. Thirdly, banks are required to invest in assets
that have a reasonably low level of risk associated with them.
This process is referred to as asset management. It aims to
encourage the bank to invest in assets that are not likely to
be defaulted on and to adopt investment strategies that are
sufficiently diverse. The fourth and final operational concern
is capital adequacy management. Capital adequacy management involves the decision about the amount of capital the
bank should hold and how it should be accessed. From a
shareholders perspective, utilizing more capital will increase
asset earnings and will lead to higher returns on equity.
From the regulators perspective, banks should increase their
buffer capital to ensure the safety and soundness in the case
.
rw
(1)
3
Bank capital fulfills the role of balancing the assets and
liabilities of the bank. A useful way, for our analysis, of
representing the balance sheet of the bank is as follows:
() + () + () = () + () + () ,
(2)
(3)
0 (0) = 1.
(4)
()
= () + 1 ( () + 1 )
()
(6)
+ 2 ( () + 2 ) ,
with (0) = 1 and 1 , 2 (resp., 1 , 2 ) being constants (resp.,
positive constants) as in Deelstra et al. [24].
The third asset is a loan to be amortized over a period
[0, ] whose price at time 0 is denoted by (). We assume
that its dynamics can be described by the SDE
()
= () + ( , ()) ( () + 2 ) . (7)
()
We now model the asset portfolio of the bank. Let ()
denote the value of the asset portfolio at time [0, ]. The
dynamics of the asset portfolio are described by
() = ()
0 ()
()
+ ()
0 ()
()
()
+ () ,
+ ()
()
(8)
(5)
+ () 2 ) ()+ () .
(9)
(0) > 0.
(10)
( , ) = E ( ( ())) ,
subject to () = ( ()) () ,
( 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
(11)
If we put (15) into (14), we obtain a PDE for the value function
:
+ ()] + () 1 ()
+ ( ) +
+ ( () ( , ())
(0) = 0 ,
with > 0.
(12)
2
1 2 2
2
[1 + ( + 2 ) ] +
2
2
( +
2 2 )
(14)
= 0,
(16)
(, , ) = sup E ( ( () | () = , () = )) ,
,
2
+ ( + )
2
( )
2 2
1 2
= 0.
2
2
+ () 2 ) () ,
(0) = 0 ,
(15)
( 2 1 ) + 1
.
= 1 2
1
() = [ () () + ()
+ () 2 ( , ())
1
,
1
( , ()) = ( )
(17)
2 ( 1)
,
( 1 2 ) + ( + 1 2 )
(18)
with
() =
= ( 1 2 ) + 21 .
Remark 2. The solution of Problem 1 is obtained by solving
(16) in terms of and substituting the result into (15). The
optimal solution is as follows.
The optimal amount of bank capital invested in the loan
is
=
( 2 1 1 2 )
1
() [
[
( 1 2 2 1 ) |
1
| ( ) (1 | )
],
]
(19)
( 2 1 1 2 )
1
rw ()
= [0.2 () ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
() [ ( 1 2 2 1 ) |
1
[
+
| ( ) (1 | )
+ 0.2 () 1 ()
+ [0.2 () 2
].
]
1
( + () | ) ,
1
+0.5 () ( , ())] () .
(21)
1 () |
+
.
1
(22)
(23)
= 1 ,
(24)
and hence
3
()
[(2 +
)
2 ()
()
(1 () + 2 ())] ,
(27)
1 =
()
,
()
2 = 0.2 () ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
+ 0.5 () ( () + ( , ()) 2 ) + () ,
(26)
where
()
+ 0.5 ()
+ () ,
()
(20)
(25)
3 = (0.2 () 1 ) + (0.2 () 2
2
+ 0.5 () ( , ())) ,
1 = 0.2 () 1 ,
2 = 0.2 () 2 + 0.5 () ( , ()) .
(28)
Proof. We mainly use Itos general formula to derive (27). Let
(rw ()) = 1/(rw ()). Then by Itos Lemma,
(rw ())
= (rw ()) + (rw ()) rw ()
1
2
+ (rw ()) [rw ()]
2
= 0
rw () [rw ()]
+
2 ()
3 ()
rw
rw
1
[0.2 () ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
()
= 1 + () [(
2
rw
+ 0.5 () ( () + ( , ()) 2 )
1
1
1
2 + 3
3 ) 2
rw ()
rw ()
()
2
rw
(1 () + 2 ())]
1
2
[(0.2 () 1 )
+ ()] + 3
rw ()
= 1 +
+ (0.2 () 2
3
()
[(2 +
)
2
rw ()
rw ()
+ 0.5 ()
(1 () + 2 ())] ,
(31)
( , ()))2 ]}
1
[0.2 () 1 ()
2 ()
rw
+ (0.2 () 2
2 = 0.2 () ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
()
,
rw ()
1 =
()
= () (rw ()) .
rw ()
+ 0.5 () ( () + ( , ()) 2 ) + () ,
2
3 = (0.2 () 1 )
(30)
1 = 0.2 () 1 ,
2 = 0.2 () 2 + 0.5 () ( , ()) .
(32)
This concludes the proof.
()
We provide a numerical simulation in order to characterize the behaviour of the CAR, . We assume that the
interest rate follows the CIR dynamics (2 = 0) and that the
financial market consists of a treasury, a security, and a loan.
Furthermore, we consider an investment horizon of = 10
years and that capital is raised at the fixed rate of = 0.13.
The rest of the parameters of the simulation are
()
+ () (rw ())
rw ()
()
rw ()
+ () {{
1
[0.2 () ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
()
2
rw
+ 0.5 () ( () + ( , ())
1
2 )+ ()]+ 3
rw ()
2
() ( , ())) ]}
1
[0.2 () 1 ()
2 ()
rw
+ (0.2 () 2 + 0.5 ()
( , ())) ()]}
= 0.0118712,
1 = 0.00118712,
1 = 0.045,
= 0.0339,
1 = 0.1475,
2 = 0.295,
(33)
2 = 0.09
(0) = 0.075,
rw (0) = 1.4,
(0) = 0.08.
(34)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.4
2
0
Treasury
Security
4
6
Time (years)
10
Loan
6
Time (years)
10
3.2
3
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2
1.8
1.6
1.4
10
Time (years)
(35)
TRWAs
where
1 = ( () () ()) ()
117
+
() ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
115
24
+ () ( () + ( , ()) 2 ) ,
23
117
2 =
() 1 ,
115
117
24
3 =
() 2 + () ( , ()) .
115
23
(36)
0.16
117
24
117
() 1 + [
() 2 + ()
115
115
23
0.15
( , ())] .
0.14
(40)
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.1
0.09
0.08
4
6
Time (years)
10
= 0.0118712,
1 = 0.00118712,
1 = 0.045,
= 0.0339,
1 = 0.1475,
2 = 0.295,
(41)
2 = 0.09
()
()
1
+ 0.5 ()
.
1) () = 0.2 ()
0.08
()
()
(37)
1
()
()
2
+ ()
.
()
115
()
23
()
(38)
(0) = 1,
(0) = 1.5,
(0) = 0.075,
(0) = 1.5.
(42)
0 () 117
()
+
()
0 ()
115
()
24
()
+ ()
.
23
()
7. Conclusion
(39)
117
() ( () + 1 1 + 2 2 2 )
115
24
() ( () + ( , ()) 2 )]
23
10
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
4
6
Time (years)
10
Conflict of Interests
1.035
1.03
1.025
Acknowledgment
1.02
1.015
1.01
References
1.005
1
0.995
4
6
Time (years)
10
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