CIA 58682 Prognostic Value of Severity Indicators of Nursing Home Acqu 021114
CIA 58682 Prognostic Value of Severity Indicators of Nursing Home Acqu 021114
CIA 58682 Prognostic Value of Severity Indicators of Nursing Home Acqu 021114
Dovepress
open access to scientific and medical research
Original Research
Prognostic value of severity indicators of nursinghome-acquired pneumonia versus communityacquired pneumonia in elderly patients
This article was published in the following Dove Press journal:
Clinical Interventions in Aging
11 February 2014
Number of times this article has been viewed
Motoi Ugajin
Kenichi Yamaki
Natsuko Hirasawa
Takanori Kobayashi
Takeo Yagi
Department of Respiratory Medicine,
Ichinomiya-Nishi Hospital, Ichinomiya
City, Japan
Introduction
With the expansion of the aging population, the number of nursing home residents is
increasing globally. In Japan, the number of nursing home residents increased from
300,000 residents in 1995 to 600,000 residents in 2006. Among nursing home residents,
the most common cause of hospital admission is pneumonia.1,2 Therefore, nursinghome-acquired pneumonia (NHAP) is an important topic in public health.
NHAP is included under the concept of health-care-associated pneumonia (HCAP)
that has been proposed by the American Thoracic Society (ATS)/Infectious Diseases
Society of America (IDSA).3 However, it is controversial whether NHAP should
be managed as HCAP because several former reports showed that the influence of
267
Dovepress
2014 Ugajin et al. This work is published by Dove Medical Press Limited, and licensed under Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (unported,v3.0)
License. The full terms of the License are available at http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/. Non-commercial uses of the work are permitted without any further
permission from Dove Medical Press Limited, provided the work is properly attributed. Permissions beyond the scope of the License are administered by Dove Medical Press Limited. Information on
how to request permission may be found at: http://www.dovepress.com/permissions.php
http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CIA.S58682
Dovepress
Ugajin etal
Study design
The following variables were retrieved from the patients
medical charts: demographic characteristics (age and sex);
performance status; coexisting illnesses; clinical data at
the time of admission (body temperature, respiratory rate,
268
Dovepress
Methods
Blood urea nitrogen was measured by the enzymatic method
with urease and glutamate dehydrogenase (Shino-Test
Corporation, Tokyo, Japan). The serum C-reactive protein
(CRP) level was measured by the latex agglutination assay
(Nittobo Medical, Tokyo, Japan). The serum albumin level
was measured by the bromocresol green method (Shino-Test
Corporation) from August 2010 through December 2011 and
by the bromocresol purple method (Kainos Laboratories,
Tokyo, Japan) from January 2012 through July 2013.
Dovepress
The normal range of the serum albumin level was the same
for both methods. Other biochemical markers were assayed
by using standard methods. To detect the causative pathogens, routine sampling included sputum and urinary antigen
tests for S. pneumoniae (Binax Inc., Portland, ME, USA) and
L. pneumophila serogroup 1 (Binax Inc.).
Statistical analysis
The data are expressed as the number or as the median
(25th75th percentile range). Differences between the two
groups were tested by using the nonparametric Mann
Whitney U-test for continuous variables and the Fishers
exact test for categorical variables. Receiver-operating
characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and area under the
curve (AUC) measurements were performed to assess the
diagnostic ability of each potential indicator for predicting mortality. A two-tailed probability value of ,0.05 was
considered significant.
Results
Patient population
During the study period, 535 patients were admitted because
of pneumonia. Of these patients, 149 were defined as having
NHAP and the remaining 386 were defined as having CAP.
Eleven of the NHAP patients were excluded because
of being younger than 65 years (n=3) or because of having
chronic kidney disease (n=7) or immunosuppression (n=1).
Seventy-nine CAP patients were similarly excluded because
Dovepress
269
Dovepress
Ugajin etal
NHAP (n=138)
CAP (n=307)
P-value
85 (8190)
63 (45.7)
3 (33)
68 (49.3)
25 (18.1)
79 (7486)
208 (67.8)
1 (12)
44 (14.3)
14 (4.6)
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
16 (11.6)
21 (15.2)
29 (21.0)
76 (55.1)
4 (2.9)
66 (21.5)
58 (18.9)
40 (13.0)
60 (19.5)
7 (2.3)
0.012
0.421
0.035
,0.001
0.745
11.3 (7.714.2)
35.5 (31.938.3)
12.21 (7.0518.75)
138 (133141)
124 (105148)
0.71 (0.491.03)
21.5 (16.028.1)
3.1 (2.83.5)
7.12 (5.279.43)
10.8 (8.513.6)
37.7 (34.240.5)
13.07 (6.7719.56)
138 (135141)
132 (110161)
0.85 (0.681.06)
20.0 (14.826.8)
3.5 (3.03.8)
5.81 (4.208.14)
0.85
,0.001
0.439
0.083
0.024
,0.001
0.082
,0.001
,0.001
,0.001
1 (0.7)
3 (2.2)
78 (56.5)
56 (40.6)
17 (5.5)
124 (40.4)
134 (43.6)
32 (10.4)
19 (13.8)
35 (25.4)
84 (60.9)
88 (28.7)
112 (36.4)
107 (34.9)
22 (15.9)
34 (24.6)
82 (59.4)
105 (34.2)
100 (32.6)
102 (33.2)
95 (68.8)
17 (12.3)
6 (4.3)
23 (16.7)
185 (60.3)
19 (6.2)
38 (12.4)
82 (26.7)
,0.001
,0.001
0.09
0.038
0.009
0.055
270
Dovepress
Dovepress
NHAP
(n=138)
CAP
(n=307)
P-value
Streptococcus pneumoniae
Klebsiella pneumoniae
MRSA
Pseudomonas aeruginosa
Staphylococcus species
Proteus mirabilis
Haemophilus influenzae
Escherichia coli
Serratia marcescens
Acinetobacter baumannii
Stenotrophomonas maltophilia
Moraxalla catarrhalis
Enterobacter species
Unknown
22 (15.9)
16 (11.6)
12 (8.7)
9 (6.5)
8 (5.8)
4 (2.9)
2 (1.4)
2 (1.4)
1 (0.7)
1 (0.7)
1 (0.7)
0
0
60 (43.5)
52 (16.9)
12 (3.9)
7 (2.3)
11 (3.6)
8 (2.6)
0
11 (3.6)
6 (2.0)
2 (0.7)
1 (0.3)
0
3 (1.0)
1 (0.3)
193 (62.9)
0.891
0.005
0.004
0.215
0.104
0.009
0.361
.0.999
.0.999
0.525
0.31
0.556
.0.999
,0.001
Discussion
The important findings of the present study in the elderly
population were as follows: 1) the 28-day mortality was
significantly higher in the NHAP patients than in the CAP
patients; 2) the patient characteristics and the detected pathogens differed greatly between the NHAP patients and the CAP
0.8
0.8
Sensitivity
Sensitivity
0.6
AUC
0.4
0.2
CURB-65
0.69
PSI class
0.67
B/A ratio
0.65
CRP
0.58
0.6
AUC
0.4
0.2
B/A ratio
0.83
PSI class
0.81
CURB-65
0.76
CRP
0.64
0
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
1 specificity
0.8
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1 specificity
Dovepress
271
Dovepress
Ugajin etal
NPV (%)
76.0
60.0
36.0
32.0
34.5
62.8
83.2
92.9
20.4
26.3
32.1
50.0
86.7
87.7
85.5
86.1
100
100
68.0
0.9
3.5
65.5
18.2
18.7
30.4
100
100
90.2
100
84.0
40.0
16.8
44.2
80.5
21.0
25.0
31.3
100
92.6
85.8
100
84.0
40.0
19.5
46.0
81.4
21.6
25.6
32.3
100
92.9
86.0
patients; 3) the B/A ratio and PSI were good prognostic indicators in the CAP patients, but the existing severity indicators
had a poor prognostic value in the NHAP patients.
It is an important clinical issue to extract pneumonia
patients who are likely to have poor prognosis. In 1997,
Table 4 Prognostic validity of different cutoff values of each
severity indicator in CAP
B/A ratio
$6 mg/g
$8 mg/g
$10 mg/g
$12 mg/g
PSI
$3
$4
$5
CURB-65
$2
$3
$4
A-DROP
$2
$3
$4
Sensitivity (%)
Specificity (%)
PPV (%)
NPV (%)
92.9
85.7
64.3
50.0
54.6
76.1
88.7
92.8
8.9
14.6
21.4
25.0
99.4
99.1
98.1
97.5
100
85.7
64.3
5.8
47.4
92.2
4.8
7.2
28.1
100
98.6
98.2
100
71.4
28.6
30.0
66.9
93.5
6.4
9.3
17.4
100
98.0
96.5
92.9
64.3
28.6
35.5
68.3
93.5
6.4
8.8
17.4
99.0
97.6
96.5
272
Dovepress
Dovepress
Disclosure
The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.
References
Dovepress
273
Dovepress
Ugajin etal
17. Lee JC, Hwang HJ, Park YH, Joe JH, Chung JH, Kim SH. Comparison
of severity predictive rules for hospitalised nursing home-acquired
pneumonia in Korea: a retrospective observational study. Prim Care
Respir J. 2013;22(2):149154.
18. Porfyridis I, Georgiadis G, Vogazianos P, Mitis G, Georgiou A. CRP,
PCT, CPIS and pneumonia severity scores in nursing home acquired
pneumonia.Respir Care. Epub October 8, 2013.
19. Onder G, Carpenter I, Finne-Soveri H, et al; SHELTER project.
Assessment of nursing home residents in Europe: the Services and
Health for Elderly in Long TERm care (SHELTER) study. BMC Health
Serv Res. 2012;12:5.
20. Johnson JC, Jayadevappa R, Baccash PD, Taylor L. Nonspecific
presentation of pneumonia in hospitalized older people: age effect or
dementia? J Am Geriatr Soc. 2000;48(10):13161320.
21. Voyer P, McCusker J, Cole MG, St-Jacques S, Khomenko L. Factors
associated with delirium severity among older patients. J Clin Nurs.
2007;16(5):819831.
22. Verbrugghe M, Beeckman D, Van Hecke A, et al. Malnutrition and
associated factors in nursing home residents: a cross-sectional, multicentre study. Clin Nutr. 2013;32(3):438443.
23. Stange I, Poeschl K, Stehle P, et al. Screening for malnutrition in
nursing home residents: comparison of different risk markers and their
association to functional impairment. J Nutr Health Aging. 2013;17(4):
357363.
24. Mukamel DB, Ladd H, Temkin-Greener H. Stability of cardiopulmonary
resuscitation and do-not-resuscitate orders among long-term nursing
home residents. Med Care. 2013;51(8):666672.
25. Messinger-Rapport BJ, Kamel HK. Predictors of do not resuscitate
orders in the nursing home. J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2005;6(1):1821.
26. Bardach N, Zhao S, Pantilat S, Jhonston SC. Adjustment for do-notresuscitate orders reverses the apparent in-hospital mortality advantage
for minorities. Am J Med. 2005;118(4):400408.
27. Xie C, Taylor DM, Howden BP, Charles PG. Comparison of the bacterial
isolates and antibiotic resistance patterns of elderly nursing home and
general community patients. Intern Med J. 2012;42(7):e157e164.
28. Shorr AF, Zilberberg MD, Micek ST, Kollef MH. Prediction of infection
due to antibiotic-resistant bacteria by select risk factors for health careassociated pneumonia. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(20):22052210.
29. Aliberti S, Di Pasquale M, Zanaboni AM, etal. Stratifying risk factors for
multidrug-resistant pathogens in hospitalized patients coming from the
community with pneumonia. Clin Infect Dis. 2012;54(4):470478.
30. Bouza E, Cercenado E. Klebsiella and enterobacter: antibiotic resistance and treatment implications. Semin Respir Infect. 2002;17(3):
215230.
31. Sisto A, DAncona F, Meledandri M, et al; Micronet network
participants. Carbapenem non-susceptible Klebsiella pneumoniae
from Micronet network hospitals, Italy, 2009 to 2012. Euro Surveill.
2012;17(33):20247.
32. Tsakris A, Ikonomidis A, Poulou A, Spanakis N, Pournaras S,
Markou F. Transmission in the community of clonal Proteus mirabilis
carrying VIM-1 metallo-beta-lactamase. J Antimicrob Chemother.
2007;60(1):136139.
33. Fukuyama H, Yamashiro S, Tamaki H, Kishaba T. A prospective comparison of nursing- and healthcare-associated pneumonia (NHCAP)
with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). J Infect Chemother.
2013;19(4):719726.
Dovepress
274
Dovepress