The document discusses various capital budgeting techniques for evaluating investment projects. It describes calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) using different capital components and their costs. Multiple approaches are provided for estimating the cost of equity, debt, preferred shares, and retained earnings. The capital budgeting process involves generating projects, estimating cash flows, evaluating projects using techniques like net present value, internal rate of return, and payback period, selecting projects, and implementing/reviewing them. Risk analysis methods like scenario analysis and simulation are also discussed.
The document discusses various capital budgeting techniques for evaluating investment projects. It describes calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) using different capital components and their costs. Multiple approaches are provided for estimating the cost of equity, debt, preferred shares, and retained earnings. The capital budgeting process involves generating projects, estimating cash flows, evaluating projects using techniques like net present value, internal rate of return, and payback period, selecting projects, and implementing/reviewing them. Risk analysis methods like scenario analysis and simulation are also discussed.
The document discusses various capital budgeting techniques for evaluating investment projects. It describes calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) using different capital components and their costs. Multiple approaches are provided for estimating the cost of equity, debt, preferred shares, and retained earnings. The capital budgeting process involves generating projects, estimating cash flows, evaluating projects using techniques like net present value, internal rate of return, and payback period, selecting projects, and implementing/reviewing them. Risk analysis methods like scenario analysis and simulation are also discussed.
The document discusses various capital budgeting techniques for evaluating investment projects. It describes calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) using different capital components and their costs. Multiple approaches are provided for estimating the cost of equity, debt, preferred shares, and retained earnings. The capital budgeting process involves generating projects, estimating cash flows, evaluating projects using techniques like net present value, internal rate of return, and payback period, selecting projects, and implementing/reviewing them. Risk analysis methods like scenario analysis and simulation are also discussed.
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WEIGHTED AVERAGE generally used since firms seldom use
equal amounts of debt and equity capital sources.
INVESTOR-SUPPLIED ITEMS: debt, preferred shares, & ordinary share are called Capital component. COST OF DEBT (Kd) minimum rate of return required by suppliers of debt. Before tax cost of debt interest rate a firm must pay on its new debt. After tax cost of debt should be used to calculate WACC FORMULA: After-tax cost of debt=Interest rate(1-Tax rate) COMPUTING COST OF A NEW BOND ISSUE 1. Determine net proceeds from sale of each bond Net proceeds of bond sale=Market price Flotation cost 2. Compute the before tax cost of bond NPd=I(PVIFAKD,N)+PN(PVIFKD,N) I= annual interest payment in pesos PVIFA= Present value interest factor of annuity Pn= Par/ principal repayment req. in period N Kd= before tax cost of new bond issue n= length of holding period of bond in yr t= time period in yrs PVIF= present value interest factor of a single 3. Compute the after-tax cost of debt using the ff. equation: Kdt= after-tax cost of debt Kd= before-tax cost of debt T= marginal tax rate PREFERRED SHARE(Kp) a hybrid security that has characteristics of both debt & equity. Formula: Kp=Dp / NPp Where: Dp= Annual div per share on preferred share NPp= Net proceeds from sale of preferred ORDINARY EQUITY SHARE does not represent a contractual obligation to make specific payments thus making it more difficult to measure its cost than the cost of bonds/preferred. Cost of existing ordinary equity share is same as the cost of retained earnings. Cost of new O.E share and R.E are similar but not equal. A. COST OF EQUITY 1. Capital Asset Pricing Model(CAPM) most widely used method for estimating cost of ordinary equity. Steps: 1.1. Estimate risk free rate (rRF) (Generally use 10 yr Treasury bond) 1.2. Estimate stock beta coefficient (bi) & use it as an index of the stock risk. 1.3. Estimate expected market risk premium. 1.4. Substitute preceeding values in CAPM equation to estimate required rate of return on stock question. Formula: Rs=rRF + (RPm)bi or rRF (rm rRF)bi 2. Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium Approach Generalized risk premium/bond-yield-plus-risk premium required rate of return on shareholders equity. Formula: Ks=Kd + rp Where: kd= base rate of long term bonds/bond yield rp=risk premium 3. Dividend Yield Plus Growth Rate Approach Formula: Ks= D1/Po + g Where: D1=div expected to be paid @ the end of yr.1 Po=Current stock price g= Expected dividend growth rate 4. Discounted Cash flow (DFC) Approach method of estimating cost of equity. Formula: Ks= D1/Po + expected g 5. Earnings Price Ratio Model simplistic technique used to estimate cost of ordinary equity, w/c is based on inverse of the firms price-earnings ratio. Formula: Ks=E/Po Where: E= Current earnings per share Po= Current market price of O.E share B. COST OF NEW ORDINARY EQUITY SHARES or Constant growth Model for new O.E shares is generally used in measuring cost of new ordinary equity share. Underpricing it occurs when new O.E share sells below the current market price of outstanding O.E share in order to attract investors & compensate dilution of ownership. Underwriting fee covers the cost marketing new issue C. COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS R.E should be cost-free bcoz they represent money that isleft-over after dividends are paid. R.E. BREAKPOINT tot amount of capital that can be raised before new shares must be issued. PROBLEMS TO CONSIDER W/ ESTIMATES OF COST OF CAPITAL: 1. Privately owned firms 2. Measurement problems 3. Capital structure weights 4. Cost of capital for projects of differing risk Formula: WACC=(% of debt)(After-tax Cost of Debt)+(% of Preferred share)(Cost of preferred share)+(% of ordinary Equity)(Cost of O.E) WACC measures specific cost of capital of each long term financing source. TWO MAJOR SCHEMES IN COMPUTING WACC: 1. Historical Weights based on the firms existing capital structure. Optimal Capital Structure combination of debt & equity that simultaneously maximizes the firms market value & minimize WACC. 1.1. Book value weights measure actual proportion of each type of permanent capital in firms structure based on accounting values. 1.2. Market value weights measure the actual proportion permanent capital in firms structure @ current market prices. 2. Target Weights are based on firm's desired cap. Structure. CHAP.28: CAP BUDGETING STRATEGIES ASSET ALLOCATION PROCESS usually more involved than just deciding whether to buy a particular fixed assets. CAPITAL BUDGETTING PROCESS is a system of interrelated steps for making long term investment decision. STEPS IN CAPITAL BUDGETING: 1. GENERATING PROJECT PROPOSALS 1.1. Capital Budgeting decision: Replacement decisions to continuous current operations Replacement to effect cost reduction Expansion into new products/market Expansion of existing products/markets Equipment selection decision Safety & environmental projects Merger Other projects 1.2. 2 Broad Categories: Independent capital investment projects/ Screening decision: - Investment in long-term assets - New product development - Undertaking large scale advertising campaign - Introduction of computer - Corporate acquisitions Mutually exclusive capital investment projects/ preference decision: - Replacement against renovation od equipment - Rent/ lease against ownership of facilities - Manual bookkeeping system against computerized - Preventive maintenance against periodic overhaul of machineries. - Purchase of machineries from an outside supplier against assembly of machinery by company staff. 2. COLLECTING RELEVANT INFO ABOUT OPPORTUNITIES Capital Budgeting dynamic process bcoz firms changing environment may affect desirability of current/ proposed investment.
3. ESTIMATING CASH FLOWS Net Cash Flow the difference between inflow & outflow of cash that result from firms undertaking a project. Cash flows of a Project fall into 3 CATEGORIES: 3.1. NET INITIAL INVESTMENT Net Investment net initial cash outlay needed to acquire a specific investment project. Initial cash outflows include purchase price of new asset, outlays & transportation. Initial cash Inflows include proceeds from disposal of existing assets 3.2. NET OPERATING CASH FLOWS/RETURN incremental changes in a firms cash flows that result from investing in a project. 3.3. NET TERMINAL CASH FLOW 4. EVALUATING PROJECT PROPOSALS 5. SELECTING PROJECTS 3 MAJOR FACTORS: 1. Project type 2. Availability of funds 3. Decision criteria 6. IMPLEMENTING & REVIEWING PROJECTS Implementation stage involves developing formal procedures for authorizing expenditures of funds for capital projects. Post-audit final aspect of the capital budgeting process Main purpose of Post-Audit 1. Improve forecast 2. Improve operations FORECASTING RISK(Estimation risk) possibility that a bad decision will be made bcoz of errors in the projected cash flows. METHOD OF ESTIMATING & MEASURING RISK: 1. Scenario Analysis basic form of what-if analysis. 2. Sensitivity analysis process of changing one or more variables to determine how sensitive a project returns 3. Simulation Analysis a combination of scenario and sensitivity analysis. 4. Beta Estimation this approach to risk measurement involves the concepts of CAPM. - Systematic Risk Principle it states that the reward of bearing risk depends only on that assets systematic risk. When performing a new P.V analysis, the ff. should be observed: If a MARKET-BASED COST OF CAPITAL is used to discount cash flow, then cash flow should be adjusted upwards. If the REAL COST OF CAPITAL is used in the analysis, there is no need to adjust the cash flows upward CHAPTER 29: INVESTMENT PROPOSALS TECHNIQUES IN CAPITAL BUDGETING A. DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (TIME-ADJUSTED) APPROACH 1. Net Present Value 2. Internal rate of return 3. Profitability index 4. Discounted Payback Period B. NON-DISOUNTED CASH FLOW (UNADJUSTED) APPROACH 1. Payback Period 2. Bailout Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal 4. Accounting Rate of Return (BV rate of return) STEPS IN COMPUTATION OF IRR A. CASH INFLOWS ARE EVENLY RECEIVED 1. Compute PV factor by dividing Net Invest by Annual Cash Returns 2. Trace PV factor in table for PV of P1 received annually using the life of project as point of reference 3. Column that gives the closets amount to PV factor is the Discounted rate of return 4. Get the exact Discounted rate of return, interpolation is applied.
B. CASH INFLOWS ARE NOT EVENLY RECEIVED: 1. Compute Ave. Annual Cash Return by dividing the sum of returns to be received during the life of project by total economic life of the project 2. Divide Net Investment by Ave. Annual Cash Returns to get the PV factor. 3. Refer to table PV of P1 received annually to determine rate that will give closest factor to computed PV factor. 4. Use step 3. 5. Add PV of annual returns & compare with net investment 6. If result in step 4 does not give equality of PV of returns & net investment try another rate 7. Interpolate to get exact discounted rate of return. ADVANTAGES OF USING PV INDEX 1. Consider the magnitude & timing of cash flows 2. Provides an objective criterion for decision making w/c maximizes shareholder wealth 3. Provides a relative measure of return per peso of net investment. DISADVANTAGE OF USING PV INDEX Conflict may arise with NPV when dealing w/ mutually exclusive investment ADVANTAGES OF PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD 1. Easy to compute and understand 2. Used to measure the degree of risk associated w/ a project 3. Generally, the longer the payback period the higher the risk 4. Used to select projects w/c provide a quick return of invested funds DISADVANTEGES OF PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD 1. Does not recognize the time value of money 2. Ignores the impact of cash inflows after the payback period 3. Does not distinguish between alternatives having different economic lives 4. Conventional payback computation fails to consider salvage value 5. It does not measure profitability only the relative liquidity of investment 6. There is no necessary relationship between a given payback & investor wealth maximization so an investor would not know what an acceptable payback is. ADVANTAGES OF USING THE ARR 1. Easily understood by investors acquainted with financial statements 2. Used as a rough preliminary screening device of investment proposals DISADVANTAGES OF USING THE ARR 1. Ignores the time value of money by failing to discount the future cash inflows and outflows 2. Does not consider the timing component of cash inflows 3. Different averaging techniques may yield inaccurate answers 4. Utilizes the concepts of capital & income primarily designed for the purpose of financial statement preparation & which may not be relevant to the evaluation of investment proposals. SELECTION PROBLEMS 1. Accept Reject Decision 2. Mutually Exclusive Project Decision a. Sophisticated or Advanced capital budgeting techniques: Difference in expected economic lives of the project Substantially difference in net investments (size) of the projects Difference in timing of cash flows Difference in reinvestment rate assumptions in discounted cash flow techniques b. NPV is considered the superior technique. Reasons: NPV method provides correct rankings of mutually exclusive investment projects, whereas other DFC techniques sometimes do not. NPV implicitly assumes that the operating cash flows generated by the project are reinvested at the firms cost of capital w/c approx. the opportunity cost for reinvestment 3. Capital Rationing Decision
SCENARIOS OF CAPITAL RATIONING 1. Projects are Divisible and Constraint is a Single Period One 2. Projects are Indivisible and Constraint is a Single Period One 3. Projects are Divisible and Constraint is Multi-period One