Scribd
Upload
40 views3 pages

Time Series Ex

This document contains instructions for multiple time series analysis exercises involving calculating trends, seasonal indices, and forecasts from given quarterly or monthly data on topics like TV production, sales, tourism, and road accidents from various years. The exercises ask the student to determine trends using methods like moving averages, calculate seasonal indices, explain their meanings, and make forecasts for future periods.

Uploaded by

zattymy
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
40 views3 pages

Time Series Ex

This document contains instructions for multiple time series analysis exercises involving calculating trends, seasonal indices, and forecasts from given quarterly or monthly data on topics like TV production, sales, tourism, and road accidents from various years. The exercises ask the student to determine trends using methods like moving averages, calculate seasonal indices, explain their meanings, and make forecasts for future periods.

Uploaded by

zattymy
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 3

Exercise (Time Series)

1. The table below show the number of television sets produced (in units) by a factory during
the morning, afternoon and evening shifts of the week.:
Shift
ay
!orning "fternoon #vening
!onday 1$% 11& 1'&
Tuesday 1'( 11) 1'*
+ednesday 1$* 11% 1&$
Thursday 1'1 11, 1&1
-riday 1'$ 1$( 1&&
a) -ind the trend values by using the moving average method
b) .alculate the seasonal indices for the above data.
c) #/plain the meaning of the afternoon seasonal inde/.
d) -orecast the number of television sets produced during the afternoon shift on Tuesday
of the following week.
$. The following data represent sales of 001 Sdn. 2hd. for the years $((' to $((,:
Sales (3! 4 ( ((()
5eriod $((' $((& $(() $((,
6an 7 "pr 1$ 1) $( 1&
!ay 7 "ug 1) $) '( $&
Sept 7 ec $( '( ') '*
a) -ind the trend values8
b) etermine the seasonal inde/ for each period8
c) -orecast the sales value for the second period $((%.
'. " tourist spot in 9angkawi recorded the following number of visitors (4((() :uarterly from $((' 7 $((,.
;uarter
1ear 1 $ ' &
$((' 1, $1 $& 1%
$((& 1% $$ $, 1*
$(() 1% $' $* 1<
$((, $( $& '( $1
a) .alculate the seasonal indices.
b) #/plain the meaning of the seasonal inde/ for the third :uarter.
c) #stimate the number of visitors for the fourth :uarter $((%.
&. The following data represent )7daily sales of 001 Sdn. 2hd. for the first & weeks in $((%.
Sales (3! 4 ((()
ay +eek 1 +eek $ +eek' +eek&
!onday 1( 1% $( 1&
Tuesday 1) $, '( $&
+ednesday $( $< '& 1%
Thursday $1 $& ', 1*
-riday $) $$ '$ $(
(a) -ind the trend values8
(b) etermine the seasonal inde/ for each day8
(c) -orecast the sales value for +ednesday of +eek %.
). The following data represent sales of Syarikat =saha !a>u for the years $((& to $((%:

Sales (3! 4millions)
;uarter $((& $(() $((, $((%
? 1* 1) $( 1&
?? $( $) '( $&
??? $( '( ') 7
?@ $) &( &) 7
a) -ind the trend values8
b) etermine the seasonal inde/ for each :uarter8
c) -orecast the sales value for the third :uarter $((%.
,. The following data shows the sales of =A" company for $((& to $((,:
Sales (3! 4millions)
1ear 1 $ ' &
$((& 1.) 1.% $.( 1.&
$(() 1.* $.) '.( $.&
$((, $.( '.( '.) $.*
a) Bbtain the trend values of the :uarterly sales using the least s:uare methods.
b) Craph the trend values together with the original data.
c) 5redict the trend for the first period, $((%.
d) .ompute the seasonal indices.
e) -orecast the first period $((% sales.
%. efine and give one e/ample for each of the following terms.
a) Seasonal variation
b) ?rregular variation.
(&a, Bctober $((,)
*. The following table represents the number of road accidents reported at a police station
every four months from year $(($ to year $(().
1ear
Term
6an D "pr !ay D "ug Sept D Bct
$(($ ') $* )&
$((' &$ '% ,(
$((& &< &' ,,
$(() )1 &* %)
a) etermine the trend using the moving average method (correct to two decimal places)
b) .alculate the seasonal indices for the three terms.
c) #/plain the meaning of the seasonal inde/ for the first and third terms.
d) -orecast the number of road accidents for the last term of year $((,.
(&b, Bctober $((,)
<. -ill in the blanks with appropriate terms.
a) " series of data or measurements taken at successive intervals of time is called
EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE.
b) EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE represents a long term pattern movement which is :uite consistent
throughout the se:uence.
c) The process of reducing the random fluctuation in time series is known as
EEEEEEEEEE.
(&a, "pril $((%)
1(. The table below shows the :uarterly Cross omestic 5roduct (C5) performance for the
year $((' to the first :uarter of $((,.
1ear
Cross omestic 5roduct (3! bil)
;1 ;$ ;' ;&
$((' )&.) )%.( )<.( ,1.)
$((& )<.( ,$.) ,'.) ,&.)
$(() ,'.( ,&.) ,%.( ,*.(
$((, ,,.)
a) -ind the trend values by using the moving average method (correct to ' decimal
places.
b) etermine the seasonal inde/ for the second and fourth :uarter.
c) ?nterpret the seasonal inde/ for the second and fourth :uarter.
d) -orecast the C5 for the fourth :uarter of $((,.
(&b, "pril $((%)

You might also like