g12m Counting Probability
g12m Counting Probability
g12m Counting Probability
PROBABILITY
TERMINOLOGY RECAP
TERMINOLOGY RECAP
oSet notation is often used, where
is the union of sets
-> operation is OR
is the intersection of sets
-> operation is AND
Intersection and Union of Sets
Practicing Basic Set Notation
TOOLS USED IN PROBABILITY
Venn Diagrams
Show all possible logical relations
between a finite collection of sets
Practicing Venn
Diagrams with Actual
Numbers
Practicing Venn
Diagrams with Set
Notation
TOOLS USED IN PROBABILITY
Tree Diagrams
Have branches
which show the
possible outcomes
of multiple types
of events
Tree Diagrams
TOOLS USED IN PROBABILITY
Contingency Table
Is a two-way table consisting of 2
variables to summarize data and
compare the variables.
+ 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Contingency
Table for Die
Using
Contingency
Tables in
Probabilities with
Monopoly
INDEPENDENT EVENTS
The Coin
Toss
Independent Events Venn Diagram
Basic
Independent
Test Example
Use a tree diagram to determine the
probability of getting two Heads and one
Tail when tossing a fair coin three times?
Independent Events Tree Diagram
Independent
Tree
Diagram
Example
Independent Events Question:
What is the probability of a couple
having 3 male children?
Independent Events Question:
If the probability of having an accident
is 0,25 and the probability of using a
taxi is 0,64, then determine the
probability of having an accident while
using a taxi.
Independent Probability
Questions
DEPENDENT EVENTS
A Pack of
Cards
Sam and Alex work together. Sam has
0,6 chance of being picked to relocate. If
Alex gets picked to relocate, the chance
that he says yes is 0,3. Use a tree
diagram to determine the probability of
the boss picking Sam and Sam saying
yes to the relocation.
Dependent Events Tree Diagram
Dependent
Tree Diagram
Example
Dependent Events Question:
Use a tree diagram to determine the
probability of choosing two blue sweets
(without replacement), if there are 12
Green sweets and 9 Blue sweets.
Dependent Events Question:
What is the probability of picking two
blue marbles from a hat containing 4
blue; 8 red and 6 green marbles, if the
first marble isnt replaced?
Dependent Events
Questions
Identifying Dependent
vs Independent Events
MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS
MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS
Practical Examples of
Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually Exclusive Venn Diagram
Mutually Exclusive Events Question:
What is the probability of picking a
red or blue ball from a bag containing
3 red; 7 blue; and 5 green balls?
COMBINED EVENTS
Combined Events Venn Diagram
Combined
Events Card
Example
Combined
Events Shape
& Colour
Example
Combined Events Question:
What is the probability of drawing a
King or a Red card from a standard
deck of cards?
Combined Events Question:
The probability of a wife going to the
shops is 0,92; the probability of the
husband going to the shops is 0,14; and
the probability that both husband and
wife will go to the shops is 0,45.
Determine the probability of either the
husband or the wife going to the shops.
Combined Events
Questions
COMPLEMENTARY EVENTS
Complementary Events Venn Diagram
Complementary Events Question:
If you throw two dice, what is the
probability of getting two different
numbers?
Rolling Doubles
Probability Laws Summary
FUNDAMENTAL COUNTING
PRINCIPLE
How many different combinations of
meals could I order if I could choose from
the following:
a soda or juice
a sandwich on a bagel, rye bread or
white bread
with cheese, pastrami, roast beef or
turkey as a filling?
Fundamental Counting Principle
illustrated by a Tree Diagram
Fundamental Counting Principle
illustrated by a Tree Diagram
Ways to Pick
Officers
Example
Fundamental Counting Principle Question:
How many different party packs can be
chosen from each of the following:
BarOne; Kit-Kat; Smarties; Tex; Aero;
Nosh; or M&Ms
Coke; Fanta; Cream Soda or Sprite
Nik-Naks; Lays; or Simba
Peanut butter or Marmite sandwich
Colour Combinations Question
Fundamental Counting Principle Question:
How many possible letter arrangements
can be made from the word MATHS, if:
a) the letters may be repeated?
b) the letters may NOT be repeated?
FACTORIAL NOTATION
Probability
Summary
Examples