Draft Revenue Constrained Transportation Scenarios: Transportation and Regional Planning Committees - Aug. 1, 2014
1) The document outlines the process for developing draft revenue constrained transportation scenarios for the San Diego region through 2050.
2) It will evaluate scenarios based on projected revenues, project criteria, and performance measures to develop a preferred network scenario.
3) The scenarios focus on different approaches to transit and managed lanes investments and will be presented to committees and the public for feedback.
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Draft Revenue Constrained Transportation Scenarios: Transportation and Regional Planning Committees - Aug. 1, 2014
1) The document outlines the process for developing draft revenue constrained transportation scenarios for the San Diego region through 2050.
2) It will evaluate scenarios based on projected revenues, project criteria, and performance measures to develop a preferred network scenario.
3) The scenarios focus on different approaches to transit and managed lanes investments and will be presented to committees and the public for feedback.
Transportation and Regional Planning Committees Aug. 1, 2014
Process and Timeline Revenue Projections
Project Evaluation Criteria
All Modes Network Development
All Modes
Network Performance Measures
All Modes Ranked Projects by Category Apply Performance Measures 2050 Regional Growth Forecast
Vision Goals Objectives
Revenue Constrained Preferred Network Scenario Draft San Diego Forward Regional Plan Revenue Constrained/ SCS Network Scenarios Unconstrained Network Fall 2013 Spring 2013 Winter 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Summer 2014 Ongoing Public Involvement Policy Area Development Alternative Land Use and Transportation Scenarios 2 3 Scenario Development Based on Revenue Constraints Draft Scenario #2 Criteria 2020 2035 2050 2020 2035 2050 Draft Scenario #1 Unconstrained Multimodal Network $ 4 Anticipated Revenues A Comparison with the 2050 RTP/SCS $18 $58 $121 $15 $60 $132 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 2014-2020 2021-2035 2036-2050 2050 RTP/SCS Regional Plan Year of expenditure dollars 5 Projected 2050 Housing and Jobs 6 Transit Managed Lanes & Highways Including connector ramps Active Transportation Emerging Technologies and Transportation Systems Management Transportation Demand Management Other Components Scenario Elements 7 Transit Scenario 1: Emphasizes strengthening existing transit corridors with express services Scenario 2: Emphasizes a more widespread network of Rapid services Managed Lanes Scenario 1: Phasing of 2 Managed Lanes along I-5, I-805, and SR 78 earlier in the plan Scenario 2: Phasing of 4 Managed Lanes for segments of I-5 and I-805 at one time and middle segment of SR 78 later in the plan Scenario Differences 2015 Transit System Transit Improvements Common to Both Scenarios by 2020 All Improvements by 2020
2035 Transit Improvements Common Projects Scenario 1 Additional Projects 2035 Transit Improvements Common Projects Scenario 2 Additional Projects 2050 Transit Improvements Common Projects Scenario 1 Additional Projects 2050 Transit Improvements Common Projects Scenario 2 Additional Projects 14 Scenario 1: Emphasizes Strengthening Existing Transit Corridors with Express Services Express Trolley: Santa Fe Depot to San Ysidro Express Trolley: El Cajon to future ITC Trolley: Mid-Coast Extension to Mira Mesa Scenario 2: Emphasizes a More Widespread Network of Rapid Services BRT: El Cajon to Downtown San Diego BRT: San Ysidro to Downtown San Diego and Kearny Mesa BRT: Chula Vista to Palomar Airport Road Rapid Bus: Solana Beach to Sabre Springs Rapid Bus: Carlsbad to San Marcos Rapid Bus: Camp Pendleton to Carlsbad Village Streetcar: Mission Beach to La Jolla via Pacific Beach Mid-Coast Trolley Extension to COASTER
Scenario Differences Current Managed Lanes and Highway System (2015) 2020 Managed Lanes and Highway Improvements Common to Both Scenarios All Projects by 2020 2035 Managed Lanes and Highway Improvements Common to Both Scenarios All Projects by 2035
2035 Managed Lanes and Highway Improvements Scenario 1 Scenario 2 2050 Managed Lanes and Highway Improvements Scenarios 1 and 2 All Projects by 2050 20 Regional Bicycle Plan Network Safe Routes to Transit Bicycle and Pedestrian Access Improvements at All New and Upgraded Transit Stations Local Bicycle Projects Local Pedestrian, Safety, and Traffic Calming Projects Implementation of the Regional Safe Routes to School Strategy Active Transportation Improvements at Highway Interchanges
Active Transportation 21 Traveler Information Electronic Payment Systems Arterial, Freeway, and Transit Management Vehicle Automation (New) Universal Transportation Account (New) ITS for Transit and Transit Infrastructure Electrification (New)
Emerging Technologies and Transportation Systems Management 22 Regional Vanpool Program Employer and Commuter Services and Outreach Mobility Hubs (New) Active Traffic & Demand Management (New) Shared-Use Mobility (New)
Transportation Demand Management 23 24 Transit Operations and Specialized Transportation Services Transit Vehicles, Maintenance Facilities, Park & Ride Highway Operations, Maintenance, and Rehabilitation Goods Movement New Toll Lanes on I-5 to Orange County and I-15 to Riverside County Local Streets and Roads, Regional Grade Separations Smart Growth Incentive Program California High Speed Rail Debt Service
Other Network Components 25 Strengthen the Economy Provide Mobility Choices Improve Access Preserve the Environment Performance Measure Scorecard 26 Transit Access Up from 34 Percent to 60 percent Collision Rates Down Nearly 7 Percent for Bicycles and Pedestrians Physical Activity Up More Than 65 Percent Air Quality Improved by 70 Percent Both Scenarios Meet and Exceed SB375 GHG Emission Reduction Targets Performance Highlights 2012 to 2050 27 Partnered with CBO Network Vulnerable Populations Analyzed: Minorities Low-income (200% of Federal Poverty Rate) Seniors (75+) A Subset of Eight Performances Measures Analyzed for Disparities No Significant Disparate Impacts Title VI/Social Equity Analysis 28 Aug. 1 Transportation and Regional Planning Committees Aug. 4 Public Outreach Workshops at Caltrans 11:30 a.m. to 2 p.m. 5:30 p.m. to 8 p.m. Aug. 4-17 Community Based Organizations Outreach Aug. 6 Joint Meeting with SANDAG Working Groups Aug. 15 Board of Directors September Proposed Preferred Revenue Constrained Scenario to RPC, TC, and Board Next Steps Add Express Trolleys or Expand Rapids? Express trolleys can address long-distance ridership demand Rapids can reach more communities How/When to Complete Managed Lanes? 2 ML early and come back for additional 2 ML + Provides more complete system early + Better geographic coverage sooner - Major construction in corridor twice - Multiple project development processes 4 ML initially in selected corridors + Less inconvenience to users + One project development process - Leaves gaps in system longer Discussion Questions 29 sandag.org/SanDiegoForward 30