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Vikram MPC

The summary provides regression statistics from analyzing the relationship between a dependent variable (Y) and independent variable (X). It shows that the regression model has a very strong fit to the data (R-Square of 0.9914) and the independent variable is highly significant (p-value < 0.0001) in predicting Y. It also provides the coefficients for the regression equation which includes a quadratic (X^2) term, indicating the relationship between X and Y is curvilinear.

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Vikram Pratap Singh
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54 views12 pages

Vikram MPC

The summary provides regression statistics from analyzing the relationship between a dependent variable (Y) and independent variable (X). It shows that the regression model has a very strong fit to the data (R-Square of 0.9914) and the independent variable is highly significant (p-value < 0.0001) in predicting Y. It also provides the coefficients for the regression equation which includes a quadratic (X^2) term, indicating the relationship between X and Y is curvilinear.

Uploaded by

Vikram Pratap Singh
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.997037
R Square
0.994084
Adjusted R Square
0.993098
Standard Error
10.08397
Observations
8
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 102514.9 102514.9 1008.146 6.49E-08
6 610.119 101.6865
7
103125

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
1075.744 10.72393 100.3125 6.61E-11 1049.504 1101.985 1049.504
49.40476 1.555991 31.75132 6.49E-08 45.59739 53.21213 45.59739

Upper 95.0%
1101.985
53.21213

Carter

Sale
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

1000
1100
1500
1200
1200
1300
1700
1400
1350
1500
1850
1900

Deseasonalise
1125.149
1174.554
1225.00 1223.958
1275.00 1273.363
1325.00 1322.768
1375.00
1372.173
2500
1418.75 1421.577
1462.50 1470.982
2000
1506.25
1520.387
1587.50 1569.792
1619.196
1500
1668.601
1718.006
1767.411
1000
1816.815
1866.22

Ratio
Seasonality Index Forecast
0.888771
0.894630622
1007
0.936526
0.946489838
1112
1.225532
1.187976222
1454
0.942386
1.010936579
1287
0.907189
0.894630622
1183
0.947403
0.946489838
1299
1.195855
1.187976222
1689
0.951745
1.010936579
1487
0.887932
0.894630622
1360
0.955541
0.946489838
1486
1.142542
1.187976222
1924
1.138678
1.010936579
1687
0.894630622
1537
0.946489838
1673
1.187976222
2158
1.010936579
1887

500

0
0

10

12

14

16

2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
Forecast
Actual

800
600
400
200
0
0

16

18

10

12

Series1
Series2
Forecast

14

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.622985
R Square
0.38811
Adjusted R Square
0.300697
Standard Error
41.96867
Observations
9
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 7820.417 7820.417 4.439965 0.073098
7 12329.58 1761.369
8
20150

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
642.9167 30.48953 21.08647 1.36E-07 570.8204 715.0129 570.8204
11.41667 5.418132 2.107122 0.073098 -1.39518 24.22851 -1.39518

Intercept
X Variable 1

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Predicted Y
654.3333
665.75
677.1667
688.5833
700
711.4167
722.8333
734.25
745.6667

Residuals
Standard Residuals
-54.3333
-1.384
-15.75 -0.40119
12.83333 0.326896
31.41667 0.80026
40 1.018898
38.58333 0.982812
22.16667 0.564639
-9.25 -0.23562
-65.6667 -1.67269

X Variable 1 Residual Plot


Residuals

50
0
1

-100

Upper 95.0%
715.0129
24.22851

-50
X Variable 1

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.995698
R Square
0.991414
Adjusted R Square
0.988552
Standard Error
5.369802
Observations
9
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 19976.99 9988.496 346.4045 6.33E-07
6 173.0087 28.83478
8
20150

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 527.7381 6.832633 77.23788 3.17E-10 511.0192 544.4569 511.0192 544.4569
X Variable 1 74.24134 3.137279 23.66425 3.74E-07 66.5647 81.91799 66.5647 81.91799
X Variable 2 -6.28247 0.305973 -20.5328 8.68E-07 -7.03116 -5.53378 -7.03116 -5.53378

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
Standard Residuals
1 595.697 4.30303 0.925306
2 651.0909 -1.09091 -0.23458
3 693.9199 -3.91991 -0.84292
4 724.184 -4.18398 -0.89971
5 741.8831 -1.88312 -0.40494
6 747.0173 2.982684 0.641384
7 739.5866 5.41342 1.16408
8 719.5909 5.409091 1.163149
9 687.0303
-7.0303 -1.51177

Upper 95.0%

X Variable 1 Residual Plot


Residuals

10
5
0
-5
-10

X Variable 1

10

period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

period

demand
600
650
690
720
740
750
745
725
680

p^2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100

Coefficients
Intercept 527.7381
X Variable 1 74.24134
X Variable 2 -6.28247

demand Forecast
600
595.70
650
651.09
690
693.92
720
724.18
740
741.88
750
747.02
745
739.59
725
719.59
680
687.03

demand
800
700
600
500

y = -6.2825x2 + 74.241x + 527.74


R = 0.9914

400

demand
Poly. (demand)

300
200
100
0
0

10

oly. (demand)

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