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    Problem Set For Week 7

    Uploaded by

    Seung Yoon Lee
    The document contains 8 problems related to probability and statistics concepts: 1. Calculating the number of possible squads for a World Cup team and the probability that Wayne Rooney is included. 2. Finding the probability of different scenarios for randomly returning marked essays to students. 3. Calculating the probability that a person has cancer given a positive result from a new diagnostic test. 4. Determining the probability that one of two competing firms will quit the market based on the changing gap between the firms. 5. Analyzing properties of the Poisson distribution and using it to approximate the binomial for a word misprinting problem. 6. Showing two random variables are not independent even

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    Problem Set For Week 7

    Uploaded by

    Seung Yoon Lee
    34 views2 pages
    The document contains 8 problems related to probability and statistics concepts: 1. Calculating the number of possible squads for a World Cup team and the probability that Wayne Rooney is included. 2. Finding the probability of different scenarios for randomly returning marked essays to students. 3. Calculating the probability that a person has cancer given a positive result from a new diagnostic test. 4. Determining the probability that one of two competing firms will quit the market based on the changing gap between the firms. 5. Analyzing properties of the Poisson distribution and using it to approximate the binomial for a word misprinting problem. 6. Showing two random variables are not independent even

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    probex1-1

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    The document contains 8 problems related to probability and statistics concepts: 1. Calculating the number of possible squads for a World Cup team and the probability that Wayne Rooney is included. 2. Finding the probability of different scenarios for randomly returning marked essays to students. 3. Calculating the probability that a person has cancer given a positive result from a new diagnostic test. 4. Determining the probability that one of two competing firms will quit the market based on the changing gap between the firms. 5. Analyzing properties of the Poisson distribution and using it to approximate the binomial for a word misprinting problem. 6. Showing two random variables are not independent even

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    34 views2 pages

    Problem Set For Week 7

    Uploaded by

    Seung Yoon Lee
    The document contains 8 problems related to probability and statistics concepts: 1. Calculating the number of possible squads for a World Cup team and the probability that Wayne Rooney is included. 2. Finding the probability of different scenarios for randomly returning marked essays to students. 3. Calculating the probability that a person has cancer given a positive result from a new diagnostic test. 4. Determining the probability that one of two competing firms will quit the market based on the changing gap between the firms. 5. Analyzing properties of the Poisson distribution and using it to approximate the binomial for a word misprinting problem. 6. Showing two random variables are not independent even

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 2

    Problem Set for Week 7

    1. The England Manager has to select 23 out of 30 players for his nal World Cup
    squad.
    (a) How many dierent possible squads are there? (Assume for simplicity that all
    players can play in all positions.)
    (b) How many of these squads includes Wayne Rooney (assumed to belong to the
    original squad of 30)?
    (c) Provide an explanation for the formula

    n 1
    r 1

    n 1
    r

    n
    r

    2. A tutor has marked three essays but absent-mindedly returns them to the students
    randomly, without looking at the names on the essays. What is the probability
    that:
    (a) all three students receive their own essay?
    (b) none do?
    (c) at least two do?
    (d) exactly two do?
    (e) only one does?
    (f) at least one does?
    3. One in a thousand of the population of a country suer from cancer. A new di-
    agnostic test is developed that gives a positive indication 99% of the time when
    an individual has the disease and a negative indication 95% of the time when and
    individual does not have the disease. A person is selected a random, is given the
    test and reacts positively. What is the probability that this person has cancer?
    4. A rm is competing with another rm for market dominance. The gap between the
    rms can be represented by an integer. If the gap between the rms is currently x,
    it is x+1 next period with probability p and x1 with probability q = 1 p (with
    p =
    1
    2
    ). If the rm manages to extend its lead over the other rm to b > 0, the
    other rm will quit the market. If the gap reaches a < 0, the rm will itself quit
    the market. Find a formula for the probability that the rm will quit the market
    eventually if the gap between the rms is currently x. Find a similar formula for
    the probability that the other rm will quit.
    5. (a) Suppose X has Poisson distribution with parameter . Find E(X) and E(X(X
    1)) and hence show that the variance of X is .
    (b) A page contains 500 words. There is a probability 0.01 that a word is mis-
    printed (independently of the other words). Find the probability that the page
    contains at most two misprints using
    i. the Binomial distribution,
    ii. the Poisson approximation to the Binomial.
    1
    6. Suppose (X, Y ) = (cos , sin ) where = K/4 and K is a random variable such
    that Pr(K = r) = 1/8, r = 0, 1, 2, . . . , 7. Show that Cov(X, Y ) = 0 but X and Y
    are not independent.
    7. An unemployed worker is searching for a job. The probability that he nds a job
    on a given day is p (independent of other days). Hence the number of days it takes
    for him to nd a job, X, has a geometric distribution with parameter p (that is
    P(X = r) = pq
    r1
    , r = 1, 2, . . ., where q = 1 p.)
    (a) Find the mean of X by conditioning on the outcome of his rst day of search.
    (b) Find E(X
    2
    ) by conditioning on the outcome of his rst day of search and
    hence nd the variance of X.
    (c) Find the generating function of X. Use it to nd the mean and variance of X.
    (d) Find P(X > s + r|X > r) where s and r are non-negative integers. Interpret
    your answer.
    8. Suppose that X and Y are independent Poisson random variables with parameters
    and respectively.
    (a) Find the joint mass function of X and Y , P(X = m, Y = n).
    (b) Find P(X + Y = k), for any k, and hence show that X + Y has a Poisson
    distribution with parameter + .
    (c) Use generating functions to give another proof of the result in the previous
    part.
    (d) Find the distribution of X conditional on X + Y = m.
    2

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