0% found this document useful (0 votes)
79 views38 pages

State Bank of India: Table: 2 Calculation of Moving Average For The Period of 2010-2013

This document provides calculations of various technical indicators for analyzing stock price movements of State Bank of India from 2010 to 2013. It includes calculations of moving averages, relative strength index, rate of change and beta value on monthly, yearly, half-monthly closing prices during this period. Charts are presented to visualize trends identified by these technical indicators. Interpretations suggest the indicators can help identify buy and sell signals like when prices reach overbought or oversold levels.

Uploaded by

Deborah Bryant
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
79 views38 pages

State Bank of India: Table: 2 Calculation of Moving Average For The Period of 2010-2013

This document provides calculations of various technical indicators for analyzing stock price movements of State Bank of India from 2010 to 2013. It includes calculations of moving averages, relative strength index, rate of change and beta value on monthly, yearly, half-monthly closing prices during this period. Charts are presented to visualize trends identified by these technical indicators. Interpretations suggest the indicators can help identify buy and sell signals like when prices reach overbought or oversold levels.

Uploaded by

Deborah Bryant
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 38

STATE BANK OF INDIA

TABLE: 2
CALCULATION OF MOVING AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013

SNO

DATE

1.
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

30/04/2010
31/05/2010
30/06/2010
30/07/2010
31/08/2010
30/09/2010
29/10/2010
30/11/2010
31/12/2010
31/01/2011
28/02/2011
31/03/2011
29/04/2011
31/05/2011
30/06/2011
29/07/2011
30/08/2011
30/09/2011
31/10/2011
30/11/2011
30/12/2011
31/01/2012
29/02/2012
30/03/2012
30/04/2012
31/05/2012
29/06/2012
31/07/2012
31/08/2012
28/09/2012
30/10/2012
30/11/2012
31/12/2012
31/01/2013
28/02/2013
28/03/2013

MONTHLY
CLOSING PRICE
2300.70
2268.80
2302
2502
2766.40
3240.45
3150.60
2992.2
2811.90
2642.4
2630.45
2765.3
2804.6
2297.95
2404.65
2344.80
1973.80
1911.05
1906.3
1762.45
1619.05
2061.6
2247.55
2096.35
2138.10
2056.05
2159
2005.10
1837.35
2240.60
2110.25
2170.30
2385.50
2483
2080.9
2072.75

MOVING
AVERAGE
0
0
2290.5
2357.5
2523.46
2836.28
3052.48
3127.75
2984.9
2815.5
2694.91
2679.38
2733.45
2622.66
2502.4
2349.13
2241.08
2076.55
1930.38
4404.83
1762.6
1814.36
1976.60
2135.16
2160.66
2096.83
2117.71
2073.38
2000.48
2027.68
2062.73
2173.71
2222.01
2331.26
2301.46
2197.21

YEAR

YEAR END
CLOSING PRICE
32373.2
25430.15
25738.9

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

MOVING
AVERAGE
27362.66
28549.2
25765.12

CHART: 1

35000

32373.2

30000

27362.66

28549.2
25738.9 25765.12

25430.15

25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2010-2011

2011-2012

YEARLY CLOSING PRICE

2012-2013

MOVING AVERAGE

IINTERPRETATION
From above the moving average chart indicate price market is bullish from
01/NOV/2010, 01/NOV/2011 and 28/FEB/2013 we buying the scrip and 30/DEC/2012
bearish market is selling the scrip .Then the scrip price increase to 28/DEC/2010.
TABLE: 3
CALCUALTION OF RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) FOR THE PERIOD
2010-2013
YEAR
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

GAIN

LOSS
188.91
193.62
145.94

RSI
106.98
180.43
136.55

63.83
51.76
51.64

CHART: 2

SBI BANK RSI CHART


51.76

51.64

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

63.83

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below
30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From the RSI CHART shows that the shares 20102011 period 63.83 to flat and its overbought level and technical strength of this year.
CHART: 3

193.62
200

188.91

180.43

145.94
136.55

150

106.98
GAIN

100

LOSS

50
0

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
From above the Gain and Loss chart is indicate the 2011-2012 to gain from 193.62 higher in
the market scrip. And the 2011-2012 loss on the 180.43 lower in the market scrip

TABLE: 4
CALCULATION OF RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010 -2013
S.NO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

DATE
15/04/2010
30/04/2010
14/05/2010
31/05/2010
15/06/2010
30/06/2010
15/07/2010
30/07/2010
16/08/2010
31/08/2010
15/09/2010
30/09/2010
15/10/2010
29/10/2010
15/11/2010
30/11/2010
15/12/2010
31/12/2011
14/01/2011
31/01/2011
15/02/2011
28/02/2011
15/03/2011
31/03/2011
15/04/2011
29/04/2011
16/05/2011
31/05/2011
15/06/2011
30/06/2011
15/07/2011
29/07/2011
16/08/2011
30/08/2011
15/09/2011
30/09/2011
14/10/2011
31/10/2011
15/11/2011
30/11/2011
15/12/2011
30/12/2012

HALF MONTHLY
CLOSING PRICE
2054.05
2300.7
2224.25
2268.8
2364.2
2302
2439.85
2502.9
2821.4
2766.4
3060.3
3240.45
3165.65
3150.6
3163.5
2992.2
2698.05
2811.9
2500.8
2642.4
2736.8
2630.45
2562.5
2765.3
2808.15
2804.6
2616.3
2297.95
2182.5
2404.65
2474.9
2344.8
2196.95
1973.8
1898.05
1911.05
1891.7
1906.3
1729.65
1762.45
1736.8
1619.05

PRICE
RATIO
0
1.120
0.966
1.020
1.042
0.973
1.059
1.025
1.127
0.980
1.106
1.058
0.976
0.995
1.004
0.945
0.901
1.042
0.889
1.056
1.035
0.961
0.974
1.079
1.015
0.998
0.932
0.878
0.949
1.101
1.029
0.947
0.936
0.898
0.961
1.006
0.989
1.007
0.907
1.018
0.985
0.932

ROC
0
0.120
-0.033
0.020
0.042
-0.026
0.059
0.025
0.127
-0.019
0.106
0.058
-0.023
0.047
0.004
-0.054
-0.098
0.042
-0.110
0.056
0.035
-0.038
-0.025
0.079
0.015
0.002
-0.067
-0.121
-0.050
0.101
0.029
-0.052
-1.063
-0.101
-0.038
0.006
-0.010
0.007
-0.092
0.018
-0.014
-0.067

43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

16/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
29/02/2012
15/03/2012
30/03/2012
16/04/2012
30/04/2012
15/05/2012
31/05/2012
15/06/2012
29/06/2012
16/07/2012
31/07/2012
16/08/2012
31/08/2012
14/09/2012
28/09/2012
15/10/2012
31/10/2012
15/11/2012
30/11/2012
14/12/2012
31/12/2012
15/01/2013
31/01/2013
15/02/2013
28/02/2013
15/03/2013
28/03/2013

1816.4
2061.6
2250.65
2247.55
2299.3
2096.35
2265.1
2138.1
1860.4
2056.05
2183.1
2159
2199.45
2005.1
1894.45
1837.35
2079.55
2240.6
2264.45
2110.25
2153.7
2170.3
2344.3
2385.5
2489.85
2438
2233.45
2080.9
2262
2072.75
CHART: 4

SBI BANK ROC CHART


0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1
-1.2

1.121
1.134
1.091
0.998
1.023
0.911
1.080
0.943
0.870
1.105
1.061
0.988
1.018
0.911
0.944
0.969
1.131
1.077
1.010
0.931
1.020
1.007
1.080
1.017
1.043
0.979
0.916
0.931
1.087
0.916

0.121
0.134
0.091
0.001
0.023
-0.088
0.080
-0.056
-0.129
0.105
0.061
-0.011
0.018
-0.088
-0.055
-0.030
0.131
0.077
0.010
-0.068
0.020
0.007
0.080
0.017
0.043
-0.020
-0.083
-0.068
0.087
-0.083

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below
30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From above the graph scrip ROC chart reaches the
historic low value at -1.063 on 16/AUG/2011; the scrip is in the oversold region and buy the
scrip. The ROC reaches the high value at 0.134 on 31-JAN-2012; the scrip is in the
overbought region. In this time to sell the scrip in the overbought region.
TABLE: 5
CALCUALTION OF BETA VALUE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
DATE
01-04-2010
03-05-2010
01-06-2010
01-07-2010
02-08-2010
01-09-2010
01-10-2010
01-11-2010
01-12-2010
03-01-2011
01-02-2011
01-03-2011
01-04-2011
02-05-2011
01-06-2011
01-07-2011
01-08-2011
02-09-2011
03-10-2011
01-11-2011
01-12-2011
02-01-2012
01-02-2012
01-03-2012
02-04-2012
01-05-2012
01-06-2012
02-07-2012
01-08-2012
03-09-2012
01-10-2012
01-11-2012
03-12-2012
01-01-2013
01-02-2013
01-03-2013

INDEX PRICE
2165.85
2137.95
2188.93
2380.71
2628.93
3074.26
2996.29
2846.91
2672.86
2511.22
2502.61
2631.83
2667.68
2213.37
2317.54
2255.94
1899.54
1840.88
1836.64
1698.07
1559.99
1985.32
2160.97
2018.02
2059.39
2016.14
2117.7
1966.7
1809.58
2194.94
2069.1
2128.39
2337.99
2389.82
2045.36
2032.96

RETURNS
-1.28818
2.384527
8.761358
10.4263
16.93959
-2.53622
-4.9855
-6.11365
-6.04745
-0.34286
5.163409
1.36217
-17.0302
4.706398
-2.65799
-15.7983
-3.08812
-0.23032
-7.54476
-8.13158
27.26492
8.84744
-6.61508
2.050029
-2.10014
5.037349
-7.13038
-7.98902
21.29555
-5.73319
2.865497
9.847819
2.216861
-14.4136
-0.60625

CLOSE PRICE
2300.7
2268.8
2302
2502
2766.4
3240.45
3150.6
2992.2
2811.9
2642.4
2630.45
2765.3
2804.6
2297.95
2404.65
2344.8
1973.8
1911.05
1906.3
1762.45
1619.05
2061.6
2247.55
2096.35
2138.1
2056.05
2159
2005.1
1837.35
2240.6
2110.25
2170.3
2385.5
2483
2080.9
2072.75

RETURNS
-1.38653
1.463329
8.688097
10.56755
17.13599
-2.77276
-5.02761
-6.02567
-6.02795
-0.45224
5.126499
1.421184
-18.065
4.643269
-2.48893
-15.8222
-3.17915
-0.24855
-7.54603
-8.1364
27.33393
9.019693
-6.72733
1.991557
-3.83752
5.007174
-7.1283
-8.36617
21.94737
-5.81764
2.845634
9.91568
4.087193
-16.1941
-0.39166

CHART: 5

SBI BANK BETA VALUE


y = 1.0242x - 0.0985
R = 0.9969

40
30
20
X-Axis

10

-20

RETURNS

0
-10

-10

10

20

30
Linear
(RETURNS)

-20
-30

Y-Axis

INTERPRETATION:
Beta value is 1.024 is a stock has the same volatility as the market.

HDFC
TABLE: 6
CALCULATION OF MOVING AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013

SNO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

DATE
30/04/2010
31/05/2010
30/06/2010
30/07/2010
31/08/2010
30/09/2010
29/10/2010
30/11/2010
31/12/2010
31/01/2011
28/02/2011
31/03/2011
29/04/2011
31/05/2011
30/06/2011
29/07/2011
30/08/2011
30/09/2011
31/10/2011
30/11/2011
30/12/2011
31/01/2012
29/02/2012
30/03/2012
30/04/2012
31/05/2012
29/06/2012
31/07/2012
31/08/2012
28/09/2012
30/10/2012
30/11/2012
31/12/2012
31/01/2013
28/02/2013
28/03/2013

MONTHLY
CLOSING PRICE
2000.45
1888.45
1919
2126.90
2134.25
2489.35
2279.90
2285.40
2346.35
2047.30
2052.25
2345.85
2295.55
2399.55
2515.55
486.8
471.95
467.65
490
442.50
426.85
492.1
517.10
519.85
542.50
506.20
563.55
587.75
595.35
629.15
634.20
703.95
678.60
643.05
625.35
625.35

MOVING
AVERAGE
0
0
5807.9
1978.11
2060.05
1612.16
2301.16
2351.55
2303.88
2226.35
2148.63
2148.46
2231.21
2346.98
2403.55
1800.63
1158.1
475.46
476.53
466.71
453.11
453.81
478.68
509.68
526.48
522.85
537.41
552.5
582.21
1392.81
619.56
655.76
672.25
675.2
649
631.25

CHART: 6

HDFC BANK MOVING AVERAGE CHART

MONTHLY CLOSING PRICE


MOVING AVERAGE

7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

INTERPRETATION:
From above the moving average chart indicate price market is bullish from
01/JUN/2010, 01/JUN/2011 we buying the scrip and 30/NOV/2011 bearish market is selling
the scrip.
TABLE: 7
CALCUALTION OF RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) FOR THE PERIOD
2010-2013
YEAR

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

GAIN

LOSS

112.92
39.24
31.48

RSI

206.83
360.22
28.72

35.06
9.09
52.15

CHART: 7

HDFC RSI CHART


35.06
52.15

2010-2011
2011-2012

9.09

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below 30 it is
time to buy and oversold level. From the RSI CHART shows that the shares 2011-2012
period 9.09 to fall and its oversold level and technical weakness of this year. And other year
shares flat region.

CHART: 8

360.22

400
350

GAIN

300

206.83

250
200
150

112.92

100

39.24

31.48 28.72

2011-2012

2012-2013

50
0
2010-2011

LOSS

INTERPRETATION:
From above the Gain and Loss chart is indicate the 2010-2011 to gain from 112.92
higher in the market scrip. And the 2011-2012 on 360.22 lower in the market scrip.

TABLE: 8
CALCULATION OF RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010 to2013
SNO

DATE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34

15/04/2010
30/04/2010
14/05/2010
31/05/2010
15/06/2010
30/06/2010
15/07/2010
30/07/2010
16/08/2010
31/08/2010
15/09/2010
30/09/2010
15/10/2010
29/10/2010
15/11/2010
30/11/2010
15/12/2010
31/12/2011
14/01/2011
31/01/2011
15/02/2011
28/02/2011
15/03/2011
31/03/2011
15/04/2011
29/04/2011
16/05/2011
31/05/2011
15/06/2011
30/06/2011
15/07/2011
29/07/2011
16/08/2011
30/08/2011

Half monthly Price ratio


closing price
1957.05
2000.45
1928.85
1888.45
1963.9
1919
2062.6
2126.9
2084
2134.25
2375.45
2489.35
2386.25
2279.9
2385.85
2285.4
2162.9
2346.35
2068.1
2047.3
2107
2052.25
2184.65
2345.85
2363.1
2295.55
2253.05
2399.55
2372.8
2515.55
508.95
486.8
456.45
471.95

0
1.022
0.964
0.979
1.039
0.990
1.074
1.031
0.979
1.024
1.113
1.047
0.958
0.955
1.046
0.957
0.946
1.084
0.881
0.989
1.029
0.974
1.064
1.073
1.007
0.971
0.981
1.065
0.988
1.060
0.202
0.956
0.937
1.033

ROC=ratio-1
0
0.022
-0.035
-0.020
0.039
0.009
0.074
0.031
-0.020
0.024
0.113
0.047
-0.041
-0.044
0.046
-0.042
-0.053
0.084
-0.118
-0.010
0.029
-0.025
0.064
0.073
0.007
-0.028
-0.018
0.065
-0.011
0.060
-0.797
-0.043
-0.062
0.033

35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

15/09/2011
30/09/2011
14/10/2011
31/10/2011
15/11/2011
30/11/2011
15/12/2011
30/12/2012
16/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
29/02/2012
15/03/2012
30/03/2012
16/04/2012
30/04/2012
15/05/2012
31/05/2012
15/06/2012
29/06/2012
16/07/2012
31/07/2012
16/08/2012
31/08/2012
14/09/2012
28/09/2012
15/10/2012
31/10/2012
15/11/2012
30/11/2012
14/12/2012
31/12/2013
15/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
28/02/2012
15/03/2012
28/03/2012

484.65
467.65
478.05
490
472.25
442.25
431.35
426.85
460.5
492.1
533.05
517.1
510.8
519.85
529.75
542.5
499.1
506.2
547.55
563.55
582.65
587.75
600.05
595.35
608.3
629.15
634.15
634.2
646.25
703.95
676.5
678.6
668.3
643.05
676.75
625.35
639.4
625.35

1.026
0.964
1.022
1.024
0.963
0.937
0.974
0.989
1.078
1.068
1.083
0.970
0.987
1.019
1.019
1.024
0.92
1.014
1.081
1.029
1.033
1.008
1.020
0.992
1.021
1.034
1.007
1
1.019
1.089
0.961
1.003
0.984
0.962
1.052
0.924
1.022
0.978

0.026
-0.035
0.022
0.024
-0.036
-0.062
-0.025
-0.010
0.078
0.068
0.083
-0.029
-0.012
0.017
0.019
0.024
-0.08
0.014
0.081
0.029
0.033
0.008
0.20
0.008
0.021
0.034
0.007
0.000
0.019
0.089
-0.038
0.003
-0.015
-0.037
0.052
-0.075
0.022
-0.021

CHART: 9

HDFC BANK ROC CHART

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below
30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From above the graph scrip ROC chart reaches the
historic low value at -0.797 on 15/JUL/2011; the scrip is in the oversold region and buys the
scrip. The ROC reaches the high value at 0.20 on 16-AUG-2012; the scrip is in the
overbought region. In this time to sell the scrip in the overbought region.

TABLE: 9
CALCULATION OF BETA VALUE FOR THE PERIOD OF2010-2013
DATE
01-04-2010
03-05-2010
01-06-2010
01-07-2010
02-08-2010
01-09-2010
01-10-2010
01-11-2010
01-12-2010
03-01-2011
01-02-2011
01-03-2011
01-04-2011
02-05-2011
01-06-2011
01-07-2011

INDEX PRICE
73.6
69.48
72.93
80.83
81.11
94.61
86.65
86.85
89.17
77.81
77.99
89.15
87.24
91.19
99.01
478.99

RETURNS

-5.59783
4.965458
10.8323
0.346406
16.64406
-8.41349
0.230814
2.671272
-12.7397
0.231333
14.30953
-2.14246
4.52774
8.575502
383.7794

CLOSE PRICE
2000.45
1888.45
1919
2126.9
2134.25
2489.35
2279.9
2285.4
2346.35
2047.3
2052.25
2345.85
2295.55
2399.55
2515.55
486.8

RETURNS

-5.59874
1.61773
10.8338
0.34557
16.6382
-8.41384
0.24124
2.66693
-12.7453
0.24178
14.3062
-2.14421
4.5305
4.83424
-80.6484

15/12/2013

15/10/2013

15/08/2013

15/06/2013

15/04/2013

15/02/2013

15/12/2012

15/10/2012

15/08/2012

15/06/2012

15/04/2012

15/02/2012

15/12/2011

15/10/2011

15/08/2011

15/06/2011

15/04/2011

15/02/2011

15/12/2010

15/10/2010

15/08/2010

15/06/2010

15/04/2010

0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1

01-08-2011
02-09-2011
03-10-2011
01-11-2011
01-12-2011
02-01-2012
01-02-2012
01-03-2012
02-04-2012
01-05-2012
01-06-2012
02-07-2012
01-08-2012
03-09-2012
01-10-2012
01-11-2012
03-12-2012
01-01-2013
01-02-2013
01-03-2013

467.38
460.14
482.13
435.4
420
484.2
508.8
511.51
533.79
498.07
558.88
582.88
590.42
623.94
628.95
698.12
672.98
637.72
620.17
620.17

-2.42385
-1.54906
4.77898
-9.69241
-3.53698
15.28571
5.080545
0.532626
4.355731
-6.69177
12.20913
4.294303
1.293577
5.677314
0.802962
10.99769
-3.6011
-5.23938
-2.75199
0

471.95
467.65
490
442.5
426.85
492.1
517.1
519.85
542.5
506.2
563.55
587.75
595.35
629.15
634.2
703.95
678.6
643.05
625.35
625.35

CHART: 10
40

HDFC BANK BETA VALUE

20

y = -0.2014x + 1.8824
R = 0.7071

0
X-Axis

-100

100

200

300

400

500

-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
Y-Axis

INTERPRETATION:

RETURNS
Linear (RETURNS)

-3.05053
-0.91111
4.77922
-9.69388
-3.53672
15.2864
5.08027
0.53181
4.35703
-6.69124
11.3295
4.29421
1.29307
5.67733
0.80267
10.9981
-3.60111
-5.23873
-2.75251
0

AXIS BANK
TABLE: 10
CALCULATION OF MOVING AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
S.NO

DATE

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.

30/04/2010
31/05/2010
30/06/2010
30/07/2010
31/08/2010
30/09/2010
29/10/2010
30/11/2010
31/12/2010
31/01/2011
28/02/2011
31/03/2011
29/04/2011
31/05/2011
30/06/2011
29/07/2011
30/08/2011
30/09/2011
31/10/2011
30/11/2011
30/12/2011
31/01/2012
29/02/2012
30/03/2012
30/04/2012
31/05/2012
29/06/2012
31/07/2012
31/08/2012
28/09/2012
30/10/2012
30/11/2012
31/12/2012
31/01/2013
28/02/2013
28/03/2013

MONTHLY
CLOSING
PRICE
1270
1232.35
1242.40
1343.45
1330.65
1536.60
1471.05
1366.85
1350.10
1242.20
1218.55
1403.85
1286.60
1282.50
1289.55
1337.50
1072.75
1018.90
1159.35
947.65
808.10
1075.05
1177.75
1146.20
1106.95
970.95
1015.75
1044.15
991.80
1136
1182.60
1319.90
1356.55
1505.15
1344.15
1300.70

MOVING
AVERAGE
0
0
1248.25
1272.73
1305.5
1403.57
1446.10
1458.7
1396
1319.71
1270.28
1288.2
1303
1324.31
1286.21
1303.18
1233.26
1143.05
1083.67
1041.96
971.7
943.6
1020.3
1133
1143.63
1074.7
1031.21
1010.23
1017.23
1057.31
1103.46
1212.83
1286.35
1393.86
1401.95
1383.33

YEAR

YEARLY
CLOSING
PRICE
16008.05
12793.8
14274.65

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
18000

MOVING
AVERAGE
13409.04
12815.54
14116.09

16008.05

16000
13409.04

14000

14274.65
12793.8

14116.09

12815.54

12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2010-2011

2011-2012

YEARLY CLOSING PRICE

2012-2013

MOVING AVERAGE

INTERPRETATION:
From above the moving average chart indicate price market is bullish from
01/NOV/2011, 01/JAN/2013 we buying the scrip and 31/JAN/2012 bearish market is selling
the scrip.

TABLE: 11
CALCUALTION OF RELATIVE STRENTH INDEX (RSI) FOR THE PERIOD 2010-2013

YEAR
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013
CHART NO: 12

GAIN

LOSS
120.87
164.55
83.79

RSI
52.64
23.50
86.41

69.60
87.5
48.97

AXIS BANK RSI CHART


48.97

69.6
2010-2011
2011-2012

87.5

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level
and below 30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From the RSI CHART shows that the
shares 2011-2012 period 87.5 and its overbought level and technical strength of this year.
And other year shares flat region.

CHART NO: 13

180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

164.55
GAIN

LOSS

120.87
83.79 86.41
52.64
23.5

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
From above the Gain and Loss chart is indicate the 2011-2012 to gain from 164.55
higher in the market scrip. And the 2011-2012 on23.5 lower in the market scrip.
TABLE: 12

CALCULATION OF RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010 -2013

SNO

DATE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

15/04/2010
30/04/2010
14/05/2010
31/05/2010
15/06/2010
30/06/2010
15/07/2010
30/07/2010
16/08/2010
31/08/2010
15/09/2010
30/09/2010
15/10/2010
29/10/2010
15/11/2010
30/11/2010
15/12/2010
31/12/2011
14/01/2011
31/01/2011
15/02/2011
28/02/2011
15/03/2011
31/03/2011
15/04/2011
29/04/2011
16/05/2011
31/05/2011
15/06/2011
30/06/2011
15/07/2011
29/07/2011
16/08/2011
30/08/2011
15/09/2011
30/09/2011
14/10/2011
31/10/2011
15/11/2011
30/11/2011
15/12/2011
30/12/2012
16/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
29/02/2012

Half Monthly
closing price
1148.3
1270
1295.75
1232.35
1245.25
1242.4
1350.3
1343.45
1336.6
1330.65
1470
1536.6
1502.05
1471.05
1521.7
1366.85
1297.6
1350.1
1201.6
1242.2
1274.8
1218.55
1282.95
1403.85
1429.9
1286.6
1224.4
1282.5
1224.4
1289.55
1267.9
1337.5
1212.45
1072.75
1115.7
1018.9
1103.35
1159.35
1008.4
947.65
949.1
808.1
939.7
1075.05
1221
1177.75

Price ratio
0
1.105
1.020
0.951
1.010
0.997
1.086
0.994
0.994
0.995
1.104
1.045
0.977
0.978
1.034
0.898
0.949
1.040
0.890
1.033
1.026
0.955
1.052
1.094
1.018
0.899
0.951
1.047
0.954
1.053
0.983
1.054
0.090
0.884
1.040
0.913
1.082
1.050
0.869
0.939
1.001
0.851
1.162
1.144
1.135
0.964

ROC
0
0.105
0.020
-0.048
0.010
-0.002
0.086
-0.005
-0.005
-0.004
0.104
0.045
-0.022
-0.021
0.034
-0.101
-0.050
0.040
-0.109
0.033
0.026
-0.044
0.052
0.094
0.018
-0.100
-0.048
0.047
-0.045
0.053
-0.016
0.054
-0.909
-0.115
0.040
-0.086
0.082
0.050
-0.130
-0.060
0.001
-0.14
0.162
0.144
0.135
-0.035

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

15/03/2012
30/03/2012
16/04/2012
30/04/2012
15/05/2012
31/05/2012
15/06/2012
29/06/2012
16/07/2012
31/07/2012
16/08/2012
31/08/2012
14/09/2012
28/09/2012
15/10/2012
31/10/2012
15/11/2012
30/11/2012
14/12/2012
31/12/2012
15/01/2013
31/01/2013
15/02/2013
28/02/2013
15/03/2013
28/03/2013

1242.4
1146.2
1196.85
1106.95
993.6
970.95
1032.55
1015.75
1046.3
1044.15
1113.95
991.8
1057.5
1136
1119.1
1182.6
1232.25
1319.9
1352.7
1356.55
1424.3
1505.15
1449.3
1344.15
1339.85
1300.7

1.054
0.922
1.044
0.924
0.897
0.977
1.063
0.983
1.030
0.997
1.066
0.890
1.066
1.074
0.985
1.056
1.041
1.071
1.024
1.002
1.049
1.056
0.962
0927
0.996
0.970

0.054
-0.077
0.044
-0.075
-0.102
-0.022
0.063
-0.016
0.030
-0.002
0.066
-0.109
0.066
0.074
-0.014
0.056
0.041
0.071
0.024
0.002
0.049
0.056
-0.037
-0.072
0.003
-0.029

CHART: 14

AXIS BANK ROC CHART


0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below
30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From above the graph scrip ROC chart reaches the

historic low value at -0.909 on 16/AUG/2011; the scrip is in the oversold region and buys the
scrip. The ROC reaches the high value at 0.162 on 16-JAN-2012; the scrip is in the
overbought region. In this time to sell the scrip in the overbought region.
TABLE: 13
CALCULATION OF BETA VALUE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
DATE
01-04-2010
03-05-2010
01-06-2010
01-07-2010
02-08-2010
01-09-2010
01-10-2010
01-11-2010
01-12-2010
03-01-2011
01-02-2011
01-03-2011
01-04-2011
02-05-2011
01-06-2011
01-07-2011
01-08-2011
02-09-2011
03-10-2011
01-11-2011
01-12-2011
02-01-2012
01-02-2012
01-03-2012
02-04-2012
01-05-2012
01-06-2012
02-07-2012
01-08-2012
03-09-2012
01-10-2012
01-11-2012
03-12-2012
01-01-2013
01-02-2013
01-03-2013

INDEX PRICE
1205.09
1179.01
1192.98
1291.31
1271.58
1469.64
1407.68
1312.9
1295.24
1196.62
1174.69
1347.22
1234.3
1227.19
1251.25
1298.96
1044.05
991.54
1125.74
919.75
783.12
1042.74
1143.55
1112.34
1074.19
943.1
1001.36
1027.88
985.69
1120.59
1166.82
1297.64
1337.22
1483.8
1324.2
1282.75

RETURNS
-2.16415
1.184892
8.242385
-1.52791
15.5759
-4.216
-6.73306
-1.34511
-7.61403
-1.83266
14.68728
-8.3817
-0.57604
1.960577
3.812987
-19.6242
-5.02945
13.5345
-18.2982
-14.8551
33.15201
9.667798
-2.72922
-3.42971
-12.2036
6.1775
2.648398
-4.10456
13.68584
4.125505
11.21167
3.050153
10.96155
-10.7562
-3.13019

CLOSE PRICE
1270
1232.35
1242.4
1343.45
1330.65
1536.6
1471.05
1366.85
1350.1
1242.2
1218.55
1403.85
1286.6
1282.5
1289.55
1337.5
1072.75
1018.9
1159.35
947.65
808.1
1075.05
1177.75
1146.2
1106.95
970.95
1015.75
1044.15
991.8
1136
1182.6
1319.9
1356.55
1505.15
1344.15
1300.7

RETURNS
-2.96457
0.815515
8.133451
-0.95277
15.4774
-4.26591
-7.08338
-1.22545
-7.992
-1.90388
15.2066
-8.35203
-0.31867
0.549708
3.718351
-19.7944
-5.01981
13.78447
-18.2602
-14.7259
33.03428
9.553044
-2.67884
-3.42436
-12.286
4.614038
2.795964
-5.01365
14.53922
4.102113
11.61001
2.776726
10.95426
-10.6966
-3.23253

CHART: 15

AXIS BANK BETA VALUE CHART


40
y = 1.005x - 0.108
R = 0.998

30
20
X-AXIS

10

-40

RETURNS

0
-20

-10

-20
-30
Y-Axis

20

40

Linear (RETURNS)

BANK OF INDIA
TABLE: 14
CALCULATION OF MOVING AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
SNO

DATE

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

30/04/2010
31/05/2010
30/06/2010
30/07/2010
31/08/2010
30/09/2010
29/10/2010
30/11/2010
31/12/2010
31/01/2011
28/02/2011
31/03/2011
29/04/2011
31/05/2011
30/06/2011
29/07/2011
30/08/2011
30/09/2011
31/10/2011
30/11/2011
30/12/2011
31/01/2012
29/02/2012
30/03/2012
30/04/2012
31/05/2012
29/06/2012
31/07/2012
31/08/2012
28/09/2012
30/10/2012
30/11/2012
31/12/2012
31/01/2013
28/02/2013
28/03/2013

MONTHLY CLOSING
PRICE
380.80
329.65
349.5
410.60
442.35
517.45
486.55
467.80
451.60
439.10
439.55
475.35
457.10
448.15
413.80
386.10
309.10
315.25
332.75
327.25
266.35
344.65
372.25
362.65
353.50
340.85
347.05
297.90
255.30
311.20
276.5
280.65
343
353
318
302.85

MOVING AVERAGE
0
0
353.31
363.25
400.81
456.8
482.16
490.51
468.65
452.83
443.41
451.3
457.3
460.2
439.68
416.01
369.99
336.81
319.03
325.08
308.78
312.75
735.08
359.85
362.8
352.33
347.13
328.6
300.08
288.13
281
289.45
300.05
325.55
338
324.16

CHART: 16

BANK OF INDIA MOVING AVERAGE CHART


800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0

MONTHLY CLOSING PRICE


MOVING AVERAGE

INTERPRETATION:
From above the moving average chart indicate price market is bullish from
29/02/2012 we buying the scrip and 30/OCT/2012 bearish market is selling the scrip.

TABLE: 15
CALCUALTION OF RSI FOR THE PERIOD 2010-2013
CHART: 17

BANK OF INDIA RSI CHART

51.45

53.91

2010-2011
2011-2012

133.67

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
YEAR

GAIN

LOSS

RSI

2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

34.44
29.25
53.91
32.38
30.28
51.45
27.72
28.34
133.67
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level
and below 30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From the RSI CHART shows that the
shares 2012-2013 period 133.67 and its overbought level and technical strength of this year.
And other year shares flat region.
CHART: 18
34.44

35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2010-2011

29.25

32.38

30.28

2011-2012

GAIN
27.72

2012-2013

28.34

LOSS

INTERPRETATION:
From above the Gain and Loss chart is indicate the 2011-2012 to gain from 34.44
higher in the market scrip. And the 2011-2012 on 28.34 lower in the market scrip.

TABLE: 16
CALCULATION OF RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010 -2013
SNO

DATE

HALF MONTHLY
CLOSING PRICE

PRICE RATIO

ROC=RATIO1

15/04/2010

357.9

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

30/04/2010
14/05/2010
31/05/2010
15/06/2010
30/06/2010
15/07/2010
30/07/2010
16/08/2010
31/08/2010
15/09/2010
30/09/2010
15/10/2010
29/10/2010
15/11/2010
30/11/2010
15/12/2010
31/12/2011
14/01/2011
31/01/2011
15/02/2011
28/02/2011
15/03/2011
31/03/2011
15/04/2011
29/04/2011
16/05/2011
31/05/2011
15/06/2011
30/06/2011
15/07/2011
29/07/2011
16/08/2011
30/08/2011
15/09/2011
30/09/2011

380.8
330.05
329.65
336.7
349.5
390.6
410.6
464.35
442.35
498.8
517.45
532.7
486.55
490.55
467.8
436.15
451.6
417.05
439.1
443.4
439.55
458.8
475.35
488.1
457.1
393.4
448.15
414.5
413.8
405.6
386
323.45
309.1
326.55
315.25

1.06
0.86
0.99
1.02
1.03
1.117
1.051
1.13
0.95
1.12
1.03
1.02
0.91
1
0.95
0.93
1.03
0.92
1.05
1
0.99
1.04
1.03
1.02
0.93
0.86
1.13
0.92
0.99
0.98
0.95
0.83
0.95
1.05
0.96

0.063
-0.133
-0.001
0.021
0.038
0.117
0.051
0.130
-0.047
0.127
0.037
0.029
-0.086
0.008
-0.046
-0.067
0.035
-0.076
0.052
0.009
0.008
0.043
0.036
0.026
-0.063
-0.139
0.139
-0.075
0.001
-0.019
-0.048
-0.162
-0.044
0.056
-0.034

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

14/10/2011
31/10/2011
15/11/2011
30/11/2011
15/12/2011
30/12/2012
16/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
29/02/2012
15/03/2012
30/03/2012
16/04/2012
30/04/2012
15/05/2012
31/05/2012
15/06/2012
29/06/2012
16/07/2012
31/07/2012
16/08/2012
31/08/2012
14/09/2012
28/09/2012
15/10/2012
31/10/2012
15/11/2012
30/11/2012
14/12/2012
31/12/2013
15/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
28/02/2012
15/03/2012
28/03/2012

339.25
332.75
333.2
327.25
317.95
266.35
296.4
344.65
392.8
372.25
376.05
362.65
377.35
353.5
320.8
340.85
349.75
347.05
333.65
297.9
278.25
255.3
280.9
311.2
303.2
276.5
278.8
280.65
312.55
343
384.85
353
339.4
318
322.95
302.85

CHART: 19

1.07
0.98
1
0.98
0.97
0.83
1.11
1.16
1.13
0.94
1.01
0.96
1.04
0.93
0.90
1.06
1.02
0.99
0.96
0.89
0.93
0.917
1.10
1.10
0.97
0.88
1.008
1.006
1.113
1.097
1.122
0.917
0.961
0.936
1.015
0.937

0.076
-0.019
0.001
-0.017
-0.028
-0.162
0.112
0.162
0.139
-0.052
0.010
-0.035
0.040
-0.063
-0.092
0.062
0.026
0.007
-0.038
-0.109
-0.065
-0.082
0.100
1.107
-0.025
-0.117
0.008
0.006
0.113
0.097
0.122
-0.082
-0.038
-0.063
0.015
-0.062

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level and below
30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From above the graph scrip ROC chart reaches the
historic low value at -0.162 on 30/DEC/2012; the scrip is in the oversold region and buys the
scrip. The ROC reaches the high value at 1.107 on 28-SEP-2012; the scrip is in the
overbought region. In this time to sell the scrip in the overbought region.
TABLE: 17
CALCULATION OF BETA VALUE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
DATE
30-04-2010
31-05-2010
30-06-2010
30-07-2010
31-08-2010
30-09-2010
29-10-2010
30-11-2010
31-12-2010
31-01-2011
28-02-2011
31-03-2011
29-04-2011
31-05-2011
30-06-2011
29-07-2011
30-08-2011
30-09-2011
31-10-2011
30-11-2011
30-12-2011

INDEX PRICE
248.12
251.52
266.83
270.78
287.03
290.91
291.71
298.08
299.32
300.29
308.68
309.28
313.34
317.51
321.56
325.14
330.62
333.27
334.52
340.11
340.97

RETURNS
1.370305
6.086991
1.480343
6.001182
1.351775
0.274999
2.183676
0.415996
0.324068
2.793966
0.194376
1.312726
1.330823
1.27555
1.113323
1.685428
0.801524
0.375071
1.671051
0.252859

CLOSE PRICE
380.8
329.65
349.5
410.6
442.35
517.45
486.55
467.8
451.6
439.1
439.55
475.35
457.1
448.15
413.8
386.1
309.1
315.25
332.75
327.25
266.35

RETURNS
-13.4322
6.021538
17.48212
7.732586
16.97751
-5.97159
-3.85366
-3.46302
-2.76794
0.102482
8.144693
-3.83928
-1.958
-7.66484
-6.69406
-19.943
1.989647
5.55115
-1.65289
-18.6096

15/12/2013

15/10/2013

15/08/2013

15/06/2013

15/04/2013

15/02/2013

15/12/2012

15/10/2012

15/08/2012

15/06/2012

15/04/2012

15/02/2012

15/12/2011

15/10/2011

15/08/2011

15/06/2011

15/04/2011

15/02/2011

15/12/2010

15/10/2010

15/08/2010

15/06/2010

BANK OF INDIA ROC CHART

15/04/2010

1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4

31-01-2012
29-02-2012
30-03-2012
30-04-2012
31-05-2012
29-06-2012
31-07-2012
31-08-2012
28-09-2012
30-10-2012
30-11-2012
31-12-2012
31-01-2013
28-02-2013
28-03-2013

347.29
350.46
365
381.06
384.68
407.66
407.8
410.54
413.23
417.5
424.28
432.08
443.92
451.34
479.8

1.853536
0.912782
4.148833
4.4
0.949982
5.973796
0.034342
0.671898
0.655235
1.033323
1.623952
1.838409
2.740233
1.671472
6.305668

344.65
372.25
362.65
353.5
340.85
347.05
297.9
255.3
311.2
276.5
280.65
343
353
318
302.85

29.39741
8.008124
-2.57891
-2.52309
-3.5785
1.818982
-14.1622
-14.3001
21.89581
-11.1504
1.500904
22.21628
2.915452
-9.91501
-4.76415

CHART NO: 20

BANK OF INDIA BETA VALUE


40

y = 0.785x - 1.5358
R = 0.0153

30
20
10

RETURNS
Linear (RETURNS)

0
0
-10
-20
-30

BANK OF BORAD
TABLE: 18
CALCULATION OF MOVING AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013

SNO

DATE

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

30/04/2010
31/05/2010
30/06/2010
30/07/2010
31/08/2010
30/09/2010
29/10/2010
30/11/2010
31/12/2010
31/01/2011
28/02/2011
31/03/2011
29/04/2011
31/05/2011
30/06/2011
29/07/2011
30/08/2011
30/09/2011
31/10/2011
30/11/2011
30/12/2011
31/01/2012
29/02/2012
30/03/2012
30/04/2012
31/05/2012
29/06/2012
31/07/2012
31/08/2012
28/09/2012
30/10/2012
30/11/2012
31/12/2012
31/01/2013
28/02/2013
28/03/2013

MONTHLY
CLOSING PRICE
692.20
710.70
701.70
752.35
804.95
872.50
1014.15
937.25
896.70
869.50
870.75
964.85
911.9
863.95
873.35
878.75
736.30
762.30
771.15
700.1
665.35
753.75
804.4
796.15
769.90
688.75
732.90
656.10
631.85
797.80
725.65
762.60
866.45
867.75
695.40
675.40

MOVING
AVERAGE
0
0
701.58
721.63
753.05
809.93
897.2
941.3
949.36
901.15
878.98
901.7
915.83
913.56
883.06
872.01
829.46
792.45
756.58
744.51
712.20
706.40
741.16
784.76
790.15
751.6
730.51
692.58
673.61
695.25
718.43
762.01
784.90
832.26
809.95
746.26

CHART: 21

BANK OF BARODA MOVING AVERAGE CHART


1200

MONTHLY CLOSING
PRICE
MOVING AVERAGE

1000
800
600
400
200
0

INTERPRETATION:
From above the moving average chart indicate price market is bullish from1-Dec-2010 we
buying the scrip and 31/AUG/2012 bearish market is selling the scrip.
TABLE: 19
CALCUALTION OF RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) FOR THE PERIOD
2010-2013

YEAR
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013

GAIN

LOSS
59.54
31.45
70.44

RSI
38.37
59.56
67.56

60.79
34.55
51.02

CHART: 22

BANK OF BORADA RSI CHART

51.02

60.79
2010-2011
2011-2012

34.55

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
When the shares values go above 70 it is time to sell and overbought level
and below 30 it is time to buy and oversold level. From the RSI CHART shows that the
shares 2010-2011period 60.79 flat region.
CHART : 23

80
70

70.44
59.56

59.54

60

31.45

40
30
20
10
0
2010-2011

2011-2012

GAIN
LOSS

38.37

50

67.56

2012-2013

INTERPRETATION:
From above the Gain and Loss chart is indicate the 2012-2013 to gain from 70.44
higher in the market scrip. And the 2011-2012 on 38.37 lower in the market scrip.
TABLE: 20
CALCULATION OF RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010 -2013
SNO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

DATE
15/04/2010
30/04/2010
14/05/2010
31/05/2010
15/06/2010
30/06/2010
15/07/2010
30/07/2010
16/08/2010
31/08/2010
15/09/2010
30/09/2010
15/10/2010
29/10/2010
15/11/2010
30/11/2010
15/12/2010
31/12/2011
14/01/2011
31/01/2011
15/02/2011
28/02/2011
15/03/2011
31/03/2011
15/04/2011
29/04/2011
16/05/2011
31/05/2011
15/06/2011
30/06/2011
15/07/2011
29/07/2011
16/08/2011
30/08/2011
15/09/2011
30/09/2011
14/10/2011
31/10/2011

HALF MONTHLY PRICE RATIO ROC=RATIOCLOSING PRICE


1
629
0
0
692.2
1.10
0.100
686.5
0.99
0.99
710.7
1.035
0.35
730.1
1.027
0.027
701.85
0.961
0.961
716.75
1.021
0.021
752.35
1.049
0.049
785.25
1.043
0.043
804.95
1.025
0.025
868.9
1.079
0.079
872.5
1.004
0.004
960.35
1.100
0.100
1014.15
1.056
0.056
985.65
0.971
-0.028
937.25
0.950
-0.049
883.15
0.942
-0.057
896.7
1.015
0.015
827.05
0.922
-0.077
869.50
1.051
0.051
919.05
1.056
0.056
870.75
0.947
-0.052
899
1.032
0.032
964.85
1.073
0.073
983.9
1.019
0.019
911.9
0.926
-0.073
900.5
0.987
-0.012
863.95
0.959
-0.040
861.90
0.997
-0.002
873.35
1.013
0.013
880.55
1.008
0.008
878.75
0.997
0.002
801.1
0.911
-0.088
736.3
0.919
-0.080
771.2
1.047
0.047
762.3
0.988
-0.011
770.6
1.010
0.010
771.15
1
0.000

39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

15/11/2011
30/11/2011
15/12/2011
30/12/2012
16/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
29/02/2012
15/03/2012
30/03/2012
16/04/2012
30/04/2012
15/05/2012
31/05/2012
15/06/2012
29/06/2012
16/07/2012
31/07/2012
16/08/2012
31/08/2012
14/09/2012
28/09/2012
15/10/2012
31/10/2012
15/11/2012
30/11/2012
14/12/2012
31/12/2013
15/01/2012
31/01/2012
15/02/2012
28/02/2012
15/03/2012
28/03/2012

764.8
700.1
719.5
665.35
731.85
753.75
852.75
804.4
841.05
769.15
790.35
769.9
632.8
688.75
702.85
732.9
726.6
656.1
642.65
631.85
680.8
797.8
779.7
725.65
752.55
762.6
841.45
866.45
877.85
867.75
757.6
695.65
720.05
675.4

0.991
0.915
1.027
0.924
1.099
1.029
1.131
0.943
1.045
0.914
1.027
0.973
0.821
1.088
1.020
1.042
0.991
0.902
0.979
0.983
1.077
1.171
0.977
0.930
1.037
1.013
1.103
1.029
1.013
0.988
0.873
0.918
1.035
0.937

-0.008
-0.084
0.027
-0.075
0.099
0.029
0.131
-0.056
0.045
-0.085
0.027
-0.026
-0.178
0.088
0.020
0.042
-0.008
-0.097
-0.020
-0.016
0.077
0.171
-0.022
-0.069
0.037
0.013
0.103
0.029
0.013
-0.011
-0.126
-0.081
0.035
-0.062

CHART: 24

BANK OF BARODA ROC CHART


1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2

INTERPRETATION:
From the graph the scrips ROC reaches the historic low value at -0.178 on 15-May-12, the
scrip is in the over sold region. The ROC reaches the high value at 0.100 on 30-Apr-2010; the
scrip is in the overbought region.
TABLE: 21
CALCULATION OF BETA VALUE FOR THE PERIOD OF 2010-2013
DATE
01-04-2010
03-05-2010
01-06-2010
01-07-2010
02-08-2010
01-09-2010
01-10-2010
01-11-2010
01-12-2010
03-01-2011
01-02-2011
01-03-2011
01-04-2011
02-05-2011
01-06-2011
01-07-2011
01-08-2011
02-09-2011
03-10-2011

INDEX PRICE
626.05
643.11
649.15
696.4
744.35
807.14
934.95
867.21
829.06
803.77
805.34
890.7
843.53
798.45
822.04
828.08
695.61
720.17
727.38

RETURNS
2.725022
0.939186
7.278749
6.885411
8.435548
15.83492
-7.24531
-4.39917
-3.05044
0.19533
10.59925
-5.29583
-5.34421
2.954474
0.734757
-15.9972
3.530714
1.001153

CLOSE PRICE
692.2
710.7
701.7
752.35
804.95
872.5
1014.15
937.25
896.7
869.5
870.75
964.85
911.9
863.95
873.35
878.75
736.3
762.3
771.15

RETURNS
2.672638
-1.26636
7.218184
6.991427
8.391826
16.23496
-7.5827
-4.32649
-3.03334
0.143761
10.80678
-5.4879
-5.25825
1.088026
0.618309
-16.2105
3.531169
1.16096

15/12/2013

15/10/2013

15/08/2013

15/06/2013

15/04/2013

15/02/2013

15/12/2012

15/10/2012

15/08/2012

15/06/2012

15/04/2012

15/02/2012

15/12/2011

15/10/2011

15/08/2011

15/06/2011

15/04/2011

15/02/2011

15/12/2010

15/10/2010

15/08/2010

15/06/2010

15/04/2010

-0.4

01-11-2011
01-12-2011
02-01-2012
01-02-2012
01-03-2012
02-04-2012
01-05-2012
01-06-2012
02-07-2012
01-08-2012
03-09-2012
01-10-2012
01-11-2012
03-12-2012
01-01-2013
01-02-2013

660.54
623.06
710.36
757.84
748.27
723.09
647.71
707.39
633.62
610.69
771.43
700.53
737.25
837.69
838.18
679.28

-9.18914
-5.67415
14.01149
6.683935
-1.2628
-3.3651
-10.4247
9.214
-10.4285
-3.61889
26.32105
-9.19072
5.241746
13.6236
0.058494
-18.9577

700.1
665.35
753.75
804.4
796.15
769.9
688.75
732.9
656.1
631.85
797.8
725.65
762.6
866.45
867.75
695.4

CHART: 25

BANK OF BARODA BETA VALUE


30

y = 0.9945x - 0.1977
R = 0.9941

20

X-Axis

10

-30

RETURNS

0
-20

-10

0
-10
-20
-30
Y-Axis

10

20

30

Linear (RETURNS)

-9.21351
-4.96358
13.28624
6.719735
-1.02561
-3.29712
-10.5403
6.410163
-10.4789
-3.69608
26.26414
-9.04362
5.091986
13.61789
0.150038
-19.8617

FINDINGS
1. Stock market is highly volatile.
2. It is depending upon the demand and supply forces
3. Technical analysis alone cant determine the price of the shares
4. A lot of people were involved in this market due its downward trend, as it is best to buy
the shares.
5. Changes in trends are caused by shift in supply and demand.
6. From the RSI Calculation for this period right time to sell the shares.
7. From the RSI Calculation for AXIS BANK26-Feb-10 to 30-sep-10 this period right time
to sell the shares.
8. From the RSI Calculation for BANK OFINDIA 30-Oct-09 to 29-oct-10 this period right
time sell the shares.
9. From the RSI Calculation for HDFC BANK 20-oct-09, 30-Apr-10, 31-aug-10, 30-sep-10
and 29-oct-10 this Period right time to sell the shares.
11. From the RSI calculation for ICICI BANK30-oct-09 and 31-may-10 these period right
time to sell the shares.

12. From the RSI calculation for IDBI BANK 31-jul-09 and 30-nov-10 these period right
time to sell the shares.
13. From the RSI calculation for KOTAK BANK30-sep-09 to 30-oct-09 these period
right time to sell the shares.
14. From the RSI Calculation for ORIENT BANK 30-sep-10 to 30-nov-10 these
period right time to sell the shares.
15. From the RSI calculation for PNB BANK 30-apr-10, 31-mar-10, 30-sep-10, and
30-nov-10 these period right time to sell the shares.
16. From the RSI Calculation for SBIN BANK 30-sep-10 to 30-nov-10 these period
right time to sell the shares.
17. From the RSI Calculation for UNION BANK 31-jan-09 and 30-nov-10 these
period right time to sell the shares.
18. From the ROC calculation for BANK OF BARODA, historic low value at -0.074
on 14-Jun-11, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region.
19. From the ROC calculation for AXIS BANK, historic low value at -0.109 on 14-Jan-11,
the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the scrip
in the oversold region.
20. From the ROC calculation for BANK OF INDIA, historic low value at -0.28 on
30-Oct-09, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region.
95
21. From the ROC calculation for CANARA BANK, historic low value at -017 on
14-Jan-11, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region
22. From the ROC calculation for ICICI BANK, historic low value at -0.155 on 30-Oct-09,
the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the scrip

in the oversold region.


23. From the ROC calculation for IDBI BANK,historic low value at -0.153 on 30-Sep-10, the
scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the scrip
in the oversold region.
24. From the ROC calculation for KOTAK BANK, historic low value at -0.4281 on
30-Sep-10, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region.
25. From the ROC calculation for ORIENT BANK, historic low value at -0.237 on
15-May-09, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region.
26. From the ROC calculation for PNB BANK, historic low value at -0.084 on 14-Jan-11, the
scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the scrip
in the oversold region.
27. From the ROC calculation for SBIN BANK,historic low value at -0.098 on 15-Dec-11,
the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the scrip
in the oversold region.
28. From the ROC calculation for UNION BANK, historic low value at -0.1026 on
14-Jan-11, the scrip is in the over sold region. In this time investor can buy the
scrip in the oversold region.
29. From the EMA chart whenever the closing price down to up cut the EMA, that
time is right to sell the shares. Closing price up to down cut the EMA that time the
investors can buy the shar

You might also like