W W W Weeklyagreport Eeklyagreport Eeklyagreport Eeklyagreport
W W W Weeklyagreport Eeklyagreport Eeklyagreport Eeklyagreport
Referencias: NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero. NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa. Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba. Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros. S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires. Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante. Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires. SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa. SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis. Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.
OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Early in the perspective, northerly winds will raise temperatures above normal in the north of the agricultural area. The South, however, will observe winds coming from the south/southeast. Temperatures will range from average to below normal for this time of year. At the same time, the passage of a storm front will bring abundant precipitations to the north of the agricultural area, while the Center and South will report scarce values. Later, the entrance of southerly winds will lead to a sharp temperature drop in the south of the agricultural area, while the North will remain under the influence of tropical winds.
SOYBEAN
To date, harvest is 56.7% complete, covering an area of 11M hectares. Weekly and YoY progress stand at 14.2% and 9.5 % respectively. The national average yield is 3.13 T/h. So far, production stands at 34,7M tons. More than 700,000 hectares have been lost due to water excess during February and early April. Those plots still under water logging will define their future based on weather conditions during the next weeks. Our final production estimate is maintained at 54.5M tons for the current season. However, the high productivities achieved during the last 15 days indicate that the final volume could be higher than
expected. Main areas such as center-north and south of Cordoba, center-north Santa Fe and NEA ,which account for 34% of the national area, have reported productivities above initial forecasts, offsetting the losses above mentioned and renewing the possibility of achieving a new national record. (Production 2009/10: national record 55M tons).
SOYBEAN HARVEST 2013/14 Season Hectareage (Ha) Porcentage Hectares Zone Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested I NOA 1.130.000 80.000 1.050.000 11,5 120.425 II NEA 1.860.000 50.000 1.810.000 8,3 150.590 III Ctro N Cba 2.480.000 45.000 2.435.000 68,4 1.664.843 IV S Cba 1.481.000 85.000 1.396.000 76,6 1.069.504 V Ctro N SFe 1.155.000 50.000 1.105.000 55,1 609.024 VI Ncleo Norte 3.635.000 95.000 3.540.000 96,2 3.403.756 VII Ncleo Sur 2.820.000 80.000 2.740.000 81,3 2.227.528 VIII Ctro E ER 1.231.000 40.000 1.191.000 50,8 604.546 IX N LP-OBA 1.590.000 50.000 1.540.000 44,9 692.215 X Ctro BA 570.000 40.000 530.000 28,9 153.161 XI SO BA-S LP 410.000 30.000 380.000 19,8 75.073 XII SE BA 1.581.000 50.000 1.531.000 13,5 206.685 XIII SL 160.000 20.000 140.000 44,4 62.213 XIV Cuenca Sal 200.000 10.000 190.000 35,7 67.807 XV Otras 47.000 5.000 42.000 28,5 11.973 TOTAL 20.350.000 730.000 19.620.000 56,7 11.119.343
As of: Apr. 30, 2014 Yield Production (Tn) (qq/Ha) 22,9 275.257 30,6 461.218 32,3 5.379.861 30,8 3.297.252 31,6 1.924.163 33,2 11.296.839 32,7 7.274.635 25,6 1.549.979 28,0 1.939.106 28,4 435.168 16,0 120.117 23,1 476.640 17,8 110.531 33,3 225.707 17,3 20.765 31,3 34.787.238
CORN
Recent rainfalls and the harvest of soybeans over corn delays the progress of the latter. At a national level, harvest expanded into 25% of an area estimated in 840,000 hectares. The average yield stands at 7,4 tons/h. To date, production has reached 6.2M tons. Weekly and YoY progress are estimated at 2% and -18% respectively. This YoY delay is explained by a higher planting of late corn which, in most cases, is not ready for harvest. Only southern Cordoba, western Buenos Aires and northern La Pampa have already started collecting late corn. The rest of the area is still harvesting early- planted corn. Center-north Cordoba, center-north Santa Fe and the center- east of Entre Rios have completed the harvest of early plots. We maintain optimistic forecasts for late corn productivities. For this reason, we estimate a final national production at 24M tons.
CORN HARVEST Hectareage (Ha) 2013/14 Season Porcentage Hectares Zone Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested (%) Harvested I NOA 282.000 9.000 273.000 1,9 5.190 II NEA 302.000 8.500 293.500 9,6 28.075 III Ctro N Cba 580.000 12.000 568.000 9,0 51.000 IV S Cba 410.000 24.000 386.000 9,8 37.880 V Ctro N SFe 136.000 24.000 112.000 39,3 44.000 VI Ncleo Norte 360.000 7.000 353.000 64,8 228.810 VII Ncleo Sur 320.000 10.000 310.000 55,6 172.500 VIII Ctro E ER 151.000 12.000 139.000 51,8 72.050 IX N LP-OBA 424.000 27.000 397.000 26,5 105.044 X Ctro BA 218.000 11.000 207.000 29,5 61.000 XI SO BA-S LP 100.000 10.000 90.000 10,8 9.750 XII SE BA 90.000 5.000 85.000 2,5 2.145 XIII SL 130.000 4.000 126.000 9,9 12.450 XIV Cuenca Sal 48.000 3.500 44.500 31,9 14.174 XV Otras 19.000 3.000 16.000 28,8 4.600 TOTAL 3.570.000 170.000 3.400.000 25,0 848.668
As of: Apr. 30,2014 Yield Production (qq/Ha) (Tn) 65 33.735 47 130.549 75 382.500 61 230.760 55 242.000 87 1.990.647 90 1.552.500 48 345.840 73 767.010 60 366.000 50 48.750 72 15.444 53 65.985 75 106.305 45 20.700 74,2 6.298.725