Bank Efficiency and Non-Performing Loans: Evidence From Malaysia and Singapore
Bank Efficiency and Non-Performing Loans: Evidence From Malaysia and Singapore
Bank Efficiency and Non-Performing Loans: Evidence From Malaysia and Singapore
it
is the unconditional mean given
it
and takes the value between 0 and 1.
The translog cost function is then obtained based on SFA. We assume that the
translog cost function denes the input use for all banks in the sample. The translog
function is the most frequently selected function to measure bank efciency (Greene
1980).
5
Although the use of the translog cost function reduces the degrees of freedom
in econometric estimation, this function is usually selected because it is a exible
5 The function was developed by Kmenta (1967) as a means of approximating the CES production
function and was introduced formally in a series of papers by Berndt, Christensen, Jorgensen and
Lau, including Berndt and Christensen (1973) and Christensen et al. (1973). The literature has
produced something of a competition in the development of exotic functional form. However, the
translog function has remained the most popular.
124 PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010
functional form that places no a priori restrictions on substitution possibilities among
the factors of production and hence allows both economies and diseconomies of scale
at different output levels.
(2)
In equation (2), ln C
it
is the natural logarithm of total cost (discussion of what
constitutes a banks inputs and outputs is in the next section); ln y
it
= the natural
logarithm of the jth output (j = 1,2,.,n); ln w
kit
is the natural logarithm of the kth
input price (k = 1,2,,m). ; t is the year of observation; and are the coefcients to
be estimated. The v
it
s are random variables associated with measurement errors in the
input variable or the effect of unspecied explanatory variables in the model, and the
u
it
s are non-negative random variables, associated with inefciency of inputs used,
given the levels of outputs and the quasi-xed inputs.
The cost efciency of inputs used for the i-th bank in the t-th year of observation,
given the values of the outputs and inputs, is dened as the ratio of the stochastic
frontier input use to observed input use. The stochastic frontier input use is dened by
the value of input use if the cost inefciency effect, u
it
, is zero (i.e., the bank is fully
efcient in the use of input). If a translog stochastic frontier cost function is used, the
cost efciency for rm i at time t is dened by equation (3),
( , ; ) exp( )
( , ; ) exp( )
it it it it
it
it it it it it
C y w v
CE
C y w v u
|
|
=
+
= exp(-u
it
) (3)
where CE
it
s 1. The reciprocal of this value, exp (u
it
), can be interpreted as a measure
of the cost inefciency of input usage.
The estimation of cost efciency employs the normal-gamma model proposed by
Greene (1990). This model is more practical since it corrects the problems in stochastic
frontier analysis as a result of the one-sided disturbances in the half-normal distribution
model. The half-normal distribution model proposed by Aigner, Lovell, and Schmidt
(1977) suffers from great inexibility, because it uses a single parameter distribution
with the assumption that the density of the disturbances mostly concentrates near zero.
Hence, any deviation in the dependent variable will be extremely damaging to the
analysis. In addition, a single outlier or unexpected observation from the sample can
result in over specication of the efciency scores irrespective of sample size used.
Greene (1990) argued that this model has an added advantage, since it does not
require the assumption that the rm-specic inefciency measures be predominantly
near zero. Furthermore, since the range of random variable is no longer restricted, the
distribution of inefciency can take different shapes.
To determine the relationship between non-performing loans and bank efciency
we employ the Tobit model since the efciency scores is bounded between zero and
one. The Tobit model developed by Tobin (1958) is also known as truncated or censored
0
1 1
1
In ln ln ln
2
n m n m
it j jit k kit jl j l
j k j l
C y w y y | | | |
= =
= + + +
1 1
ln ln ln ln
2 2
m m n m
kp kit pit jk jit kit q it it
k p j k
w w y w t u v | | | + + + + +
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010 125
regression models where expected errors are not equal zero. Hence, estimation with
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) would lead to bias, since OLS assumes a normal
distribution of the error term. More formally, the standard Tobit model can be dened
as follows:
EFF
i
*
= X +
i
,
i
~ N(0,
2
) if 0 < EFF
i
*
< 1
EFF
i
= 0 if EFF
i
*
= 0 (4)
EFF
i
= 1 otherwise
where EFF
i
*
is the cost efciency scores from the stochastic cost frontier estimation,
represents a vector of parameters to be estimated, X is a vector of explanatory
variables, and
i
is a normally distributed error term. The explanatory variables for this
study are NPL, STATE, FOREIGN, ASSET, and AGE.
NPL is the ratio of non-performing loans to total loans. Variables to control for
other factors that affect bank efciency are as follows; STATE is a dummy variable
that takes a value of 1 if the bank is state-owned and 0 if the bank is privately-owned;
FOREIGN is the dummy variable that takes a value of 1 if the bank is foreign bank and
0 if it is local; ASSET is the natural logarithm of the value of total assets. It measures
the size effect of rm; AGE is the age of rm to control for bank experience. Banks
that were established earlier are expected to be more efcient. However, after the bank
reaches some age, the incremental effect of experience will be negligible.
It is believed that the relationship between non-performing loans and efciency are
bi-directional instead of unidirectional. Low efciency reects poor daily operations
and loan portfolio management practices. Poor management skills in terms of credit
scoring will lead to negative returns on a high proportion of loans and thus higher
non-performing loans. Hence, efciency also affects non-performing loans (Berger
and DeYoung, 1997). Therefore, a Tobit simultaneous equation regression model
(Equation 4 and 5) is used to estimate the relationship between non-performing loans
and efciency to control for the simultaneity effect.
0 1 1 2 3 4 it it it it it it
EFF NPL STATE FOREIGN ASSET AGE o o o o o o c = + + + + + +
(5)
0 1 1 2 3 4 it it it it it it
NPL EFF STATE FOREIGN ASSET AGE | o | | | | u = + + + + + + (6)
Choice of Banks Input and Output
In general, the literature on banking efciency has considered two approaches in
considering what constitute a banks output and costs.
6
For this study, the intermediation
approach is employed for two reasons. First, we are concerned with how cost
efcient the bank is as a nancial intermediary in channeling funds from depositors
to borrowers. Second, the number of accounts for each output category in the bank
data is unavailable. Hence, our banks total cost will include the sum of expenses on
6 Little agreement exists as to what a bank produces or how to measure output. In general, though,
two approaches are used to examine the banking industry; the production and intermediation
approach is discussed in Humphrey (1985).
126 PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010
wages and salaries, land, buildings, and equipment and interest on deposits, while the
outputs are dollar amounts of total loans, total deposits, and investments. All the output
variables take the value of USD million. The input price will include expenses on
wages and salaries per employee (unit price of labor), expenses on land, buildings, and
equipment per dollar of assets (unit price of physical capital), and expenses on interest
per dollar of deposits (unit price of nancial capital). The price of labor is computed
using the total personnel expenses to total assets, the price of physical capital takes the
ratio of other operating expenses to total xed asset, and the price of nancial capital
is computed by dividing the total interest expenses with total deposits.
Data
The data for estimating the cost frontier function for ASEAN will be drawn from IBCA
BANKSCOPE and the Banks Annual Report. Table 3 presents a summary statistics
of all the banks in the sample. All dollar amounts are in USD million. They are in real
2000 terms and have been converted using individual country GDP deators.
The average asset size of the banks in the whole sample (both local and foreign
banks) over the period 1995 to 2000 is USD 6,665.44 million. The average asset size
for local banks in Singapore is the biggest in our sample. Their average asset size
is USD 14,534.03 million with a maximum asset size USD 31,521.94 million. The
average asset size of Malaysias local banks is USD 4,161.80 million with a maximum
asset size of USD 29,608.89 million.
Table 3
Summary Statistics for Sample Banks
Assets
(USD
million)
Loans
(USD
million)
Deposits
(USD
million)
Invest-
ments
(USD
million)
Non-
performing
Loans
(USD
million)
Price of
Labor
Price of
Capital
Price of
Funds
Malaysia
Mean 4161.80 8059.72 10613.99 4422.02 764.73 90.39 35.83 540.66
Standard
Deviation
5331.31 10349.77 13271.11 6003.48 1093.33 114.39 50.45 712.75
Minimum 39.64 146.30 311.40 100.30 1.10 4.00 0.72 14.20
Maximum 29608.89 64509.60 76111.40 32419.70 6988.70 654.50 247.10 5656.60
Singapore
Mean 14534.03 8490.23 12444.31 5592.94 636.42 65.31 61.75 500.81
Standard
Deviation
13222.08 10335.04 16435.36 8518.82 916.37 85.89 76.43 653.02
Minimum 418.88 522.20 503.10 0.60 10.90 1.50 2.50 15.00
Maximum 31521.94 27740.70 46718.10 26820.10 3035.10 239.30 218.80 1984.90
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010 127
Table 4
Maximum-Likelihood Estimates of the Translog Stochastic Frontier Cost Function
Coefcient Standard Error t-ratio P-value
Constant 1.4389 2.0439 0.7040 0.4814
Ln(r
1
) -0.1181 0.4523 -0.2610 0.7940
Ln(r
2
) 0.4330 0.2395 1.8080* 0.0706
Ln(r
3
) 2.3371 0.6769 3.4530*** 0.0006
Ln(y
1
) -0.3578 0.7443 -0.4810 0.6308
Ln(y
2
) 2.2266 1.7147 1.2990 0.1941
Ln(y
3
) -0.1705 2.3249 -0.0730 0.9416
Ln(r
1
)
2
0.0397 0.0434 0.9160 0.3599
Ln(r
2
)
2
0.0109 0.0112 0.9770 0.3288
Ln(r
3
)
2
0.4141 0.1016 4.0780*** 0.0000
Ln(y
1
)
2
0.0048 0.0276 0.1740 0.8618
Ln(y
2
)
2
0.1299 0.2461 0.5280 0.5974
Ln(y
3
)
2
-0.6017 0.5809 -1.0360 0.3004
Ln(r
1
)Ln(r
2
) 0.1565 0.0396 3.9490*** 0.0001
Ln(r
1
)Ln(r
3
) -0.1816 0.0809 -2.2450** 0.0248
Ln(r
2
)Ln(r
3
) -0.1085 0.0558 -1.9440* 0.0519
Ln(y
1
)Ln(y
2
) -0.3842 0.3187 -1.2050 0.2280
Ln(y
1
)Ln(y
3
) 0.4836 0.3361 1.4390 0.1502
Ln(y
2
)Ln(y
3
) 0.3574 0.8121 0.4400 0.6598
Ln(r
1
)Ln(y
1
) 0.1477 0.1159 1.2740 0.2027
Ln(r
1
)Ln(y
2
) 0.2077 0.3284 0.6320 0.5271
Ln(r
1
)Ln(y
3
) -0.2577 0.4073 -0.6330 0.5268
Ln(r
2
)Ln(y
1
) -0.0526 0.0411 -1.2810 0.2002
Ln(r
2
)Ln(y
2
) -0.1680 0.1325 -1.2680 0.2048
Ln(r
2
)Ln(y
3
) 0.2106 0.1496 1.4070 0.1593
Ln(r
3
)Ln(y
1
) -0.1829 0.1819 -1.0050 0.3147
Ln(r
3
)Ln(y
2
) 0.7707 0.2984 2.5830*** 0.0098
Ln(r
3
)Ln(y
3
) -0.6101 0.4391 -1.3890 0.1647
Variance parameters for compound error
Theta 5.2758 1.5108 3.4920*** 0.0005
P 0.5308 0.0743 7.1470*** 0.0000
Sigmav 0.1535 0.0188 8.1470*** 0.0000
Log likelihood function 39.7503
Variances:
Sigma-squared (v)
Sigma-squared (u)
Sigma (v)
Sigma (u)
0.0220
0.0196
0.1485
0.1399
Notes:
*
signicant at 10% level,
**
signicant at 5% level.
***
signicant at 1% level.
128 PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010
The price of labor and price of funds in Malaysia is relatively higher as compared to
Singapore. Besides that, Singapore banks seems to be relatively superior in their output
production, since the total loans and deposits generated from the traditional banking
activities are relatively higher compared to the commercial banks in Malaysia. In addition,
the amounts of non-performing loans of the commercial banks in Singapore are relatively
lower compared to Malaysia, with the reported non-performing loans of USD 636.42
million whereas in Malaysia the reported gure of non-performing loans is USD 764.73.
6. Results and Discussion
This section reports the results obtained from estimating the stochastic cost frontier,
including parameter estimates and hypothesis testing. Following Karim (2001),
ordinary least squares (OLS) was rst used to check whether OLS assumptions were
not violated. The Box-Pierce statistics were insignicant indicating that the error terms
were non-autocorrelated, while the Breusch-Pagan statistics were also insignicant
indicating that the null hypothesis of homoskedasticity cannot be rejected. We then
proceed to estimate the stochastic cost frontier using the maximum likelihood method.
The maximum-likelihood estimates for the twenty-seven parameters in the translog
stochastic cost frontier for input use (dened by Equation 1) are presented in Table 4.
The inputs employed in this model are the price of labor (r
1
), price of capital (r
2
), and
the price of funds (r
3
), while the outputs used in this study are total investment (y
1
),
total loans (y
2
), and total deposits (y
3
).
From the estimation obtained based on standard translog specication, it is found
that the cost of the banks in the sample study are positively related to the price of capital
and the price of funds, and they are statistically signicant at 10% and 1% signicance
level respectively. This is consistent with the theory in which an increase in the price
of factors of production will lead to an increase in the cost of the commercial banks.
The descriptive statistics for the average efciency scores obtained from the
translog cost function for both local and foreign commercial banks in Singapore and
Malaysia are presented Table 5.
Table 5
Descriptive Statistics on Average Cost Efciency Scores for the Commercial Banks in
Singapore and Malaysia from Year 1995 to 2000
Mean Standard Deviation Minimum Maximum
Full Sample 0.8768 0.0809 0.5236 0.9654
Singapore
Full 0.9253 0.0275 0.8574 0.9654
Local 0.9277 0.0227 0.8785 0.9611
Foreign 0.9225 0.0329 0.8574 0.9654
Malaysia
Full 0.8688 0.0840 0.5236 0.9612
Local 0.8809 0.0677 0.5236 0.9612
Foreign 0.8492 0.1028 0.5418 0.9561
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010 129
The average cost efciency score of the full sample is 87.68% which means that
the banks are wasting 12.32% of their inputs mix. Hence, banks may further reduce
their input mix by 12.32% in order to enhance their efciency level. From Table 5,
it is clearly indicated that the commercial banks in Singapore are relatively cost
efcient as compared to the commercial banks in Malaysia for both local and foreign
commercial banks. This may be due to the reason that Singapore, as a whole, is the
most economically efcient country in the region. Apart from that, a relatively more
efcient commercial banking industry in Singapore might also due to the openness of
the country in terms of foreign entrance to its banking sector as compared to Malaysia.
As highlighted by Karim (2001), tighter regulatory framework in one country may
also affect the efciency level of the commercial banks, and this is consistent with
the results obtained in this study. However, the difference in both mean and variance
efciency score are not statistically signicant (Table 6).
Table 6
Test for Variance and Mean Difference
Singapore Malaysia
Mean cost efciency 0.8768 0.8688
Variance cost efciency 0.0066 0.0071
F test: Two-sample for Variance
F-statistic 0.9278
P(F<=f) one-tail 0.3054
t-test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances
t-statistic 0.9283
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.3539
Notes:
*
signicant at 10% level,
**
signicant at 5% level,
***
signicant at 1% level.
Hence, there is no sufcient evidence to conclude that there are differences in
the cost efciency level between commercial banks in Singapore and Malaysia even
though the commercial banks in Singapore exhibit a higher average cost efciency
score than the commercial banks in Malaysia.
To study the effect of non-performing loans on the commercial banks performance
and vice-versa, a Tobit simultaneous equation regression model (Equation 4 and 5)
is used to estimate the relationship between non-performing loans and efciency to
control for the simultaneity effect. The Tobit regression model was used in this study
as the cost efciency scores take on values between 0 and 1. The estimation results are
presented in Table 7.
130 PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010
Table 7
Tobit Simultaneous Equation Model Estimates
Dependent: EFF
Coefcient Standard Error t-ratio
Constant 0.598 0.225 2.659***
NPL -1.869 0.277 -6.741***
STATE 0.032 0.056 0.568
FOREIGN -0.026 0.066 -0.400
ASSET 0.057 0.034 1.665*
AGE 0.000 0.001 -0.009
Dependent: NPL
Coefcient Standard Error t-ratio
Constant 0.320 0.149 2.144**
EFF -0.535 0.079 -6.741***
STATE 0.017 0.031 0.559
FOREIGN -0.014 0.035 -0.403
ASSET 0.030 0.016 1.874*
AGE 0.000 0.000 -0.009
Variance parameters
s
12
/s
22
1.869 0.277 6.741***
s[e
1
,e
2
] 0.000 0.000 9.008***
Notes:
*
signicant at 10% level,
**
signicant at 5% level,
***
signicant at 1% level.
The results obtained from the Tobit simultaneous equation model show that the
coefcient of NPL in the equation where cost efciency is the dependent variable
is negative and is statistically signicant at the 1% level. This indicates that
non-performing loan have a negative effect on cost efciency. The result is consistent
with the studies by Altunbas et al. (2000), Fan and Shaffer (2004), and Girardone et
al. (2004). As pointed out by Berger and DeYoung (1997), the negative relationship
exists since banks will incur extra operating costs from non-value-added activities,
such as handling and supervising the collection process of the non-performing loans.
The efcient banks are better at managing their credit risk and hence it leads to lower
non-performing loans.
Likewise, the results show that the coefcient of EFF in the equation where NPL
is the dependent variable is negative and statistically signicant at the 1% level. The
result indicates that an increase in bank efciency decreases non-performing loans.
This supports the bad management hypothesis proposed by Berger and DeYoung
(1997) which suggests that poor management in banking institutions will result in
bad quality loans. The results also found that the banks total assets, which are used to
control for scale of operation, are positively related to cost efciency. This shows that
banks enjoy economies of scale, which is consistent with theory.
PRAGUE ECONOMIC PAPERS, 2, 2010 131
7. Conclusion
The objectives of this paper are twofold. First, the paper examines whether there are
signicant differences in banking efciency between Malaysian and Singaporean
banks. Second, the paper seeks to explain the relationship between non-performing
loans and bank efciency. Using actual data of both Malaysian and Singaporean banks
from 1995 to 2000, we estimate banks cost efciency by the stochastic cost frontier
method. The efciency scores are then used in the second stage Tobit analysis to
investigate the relationship between non-performing loans and banking efciency.
The cost efciency estimation results indicate an average cost efciency score
of 87.68% for the full sample. This suggests that banks are wasting 12.32% of their
inputs. The results also indicate that there is no signicant differences in the cost
efciency level between commercial banks in Singapore and Malaysia even though
the commercial banks in Singapore exhibit a higher average cost efciency score than
the commercial banks in Malaysia. The Tobit regression results clearly indicate that
higher non-performing loan reduces cost efciency. Likewise, lower cost efciency
increases non-performing loans. The results are consistent with the studies by Altunbas
et al. (2000), Fan and Shaffer (2004), and Girardone et al. (2004) that found that
non-performing loans lead to inefciency in the banking sector. In addition, the results
also support the hypothesis of bad management proposed by Berger and DeYoung
(1997), which suggests that poor management in the banking institutions results in bad
quality loans, and therefore, escalates the level of non-performing loans.
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