Capital Structure
Capital Structure
Capital Structure
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 75
Capital Structure of Real Estate Firms in Chinese Stock Market
Thian Cheng Lim
BEM department, Xian Jiaotong-Liverpool University
111 Renai Road, Dushu Lake Higher Education Town, Suzhou Industrial Park 215123, China
Tel: 86-(0)512-8816-1712
Dan Zhao
1
*
111 Renai Road, Dushu Lake Higher Education Town, Suzhou Industrial Park 215123, China
Tel: (1)718-200-4296
Ruiyang Chai
2
*
145 Forest Street, Waltham, Boston MA 02451 USA
Tel: 781-864-3089
International Journal of Management Sciences and Business Research Volume 1, Issue 9 2012- ISSN (2226-8235)
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 76
1. ABSTRACT
This paper investigates the determinants of capital structure of real estate firms in China. An empirical study on
determinants of capital structure of real estate in Chinese listed firms is conducted using a relatively regression of
accounting data for 44 A-share financial listed companies over the quarter from 2008 to the third quarter of 2011. First,
this paper identifies that the pecking order theory in China is different from western countries. Second, the results show
that profitability, non-debt tax shields and liquidity are significant influence factors in financial sector, while others like
size, growth, tangibility and non-circulating share should be judged by the size of the company. Moreover, firm size and
non-circulating shares are almost positively related to the corporate leverage ratio. It is also found that Chinese
institutional characteristic affects the capital choice decision and the largely state ownerships do affect capital structure
choices.
Keywords: China, real estate firms, capital structure, theory, leverage, financing characteristic.
2. INTRODUCTION
Real estate industry is the pivotal industry in national economy. The rapid growth of the real estate markets (both in
quantity and property appreciation rates) in Chinese cities provides us an opportunity to examine the influence of capital
structure on the real estate industry (Brandt and Rawski, 2008). Over the past 10 years, Chinese real estate markets have
joined the global universe of investable assets as exemplified by vibrant skylines and the construction of startling
commercial properties in Chinese megacities. It is now difficult to ignore a market ranked as the third largest globally by
invested stock (DTZ, 2012). This becomes evident after the 2008 financial crisis and the large amount of liquidity
injected by the government went into real estate.
Capital Structure not only affects the cost of capital and market value of the firm, but also the corporate governance and
the integral operative performance. Capitalizat ion ratio delivers the key insights to evaluate a company's capital position.
Therefore, analysts use different ratios to assess the financial strength of a company's capital structure. Firms raise
investment capital through several sources such as initial public offerings (IPO), seasoned offerings of common stock and
preferred stock which comes under equity or alternatively they raised debt. The choice of funding sources is dependent
on firms capital structure, relative cost of funds, and possibly market value of firm's securities. Several theories have
attempted to explain firms' choice of securities, but there was no consensus on this issue.
Lately, more and more Chinas real-estate enterprises raised funds from the capital market. They issue stocks and turned
themselves into listed public companies. But they remain controlled by some small group of investors mainly state
owned enterprises or families. Therefore it is necessary and significant to conduct a study of the problem of optimizat ion
of the capital structure of the listed real estate companies. Despite of western theories and models that influence firms
capital structure, what determine the capital structure of real estate firms in China had been a question to academic and
practitioners alike. Therefore, this paper study the capital structure of real estate companies listed on the Chinese stock
market to determine what affect capital structure decisions of real estate firms.
International Journal of Management Sciences and Business Research Volume 1, Issue 9 2012- ISSN (2226-8235)
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 77
Lu & Xin (1998) and Guo & Sun (2003) found that industry factors dramatically affect the capital structure of listed
companies in China. Within the industry these factors also can influence how a firm chooses to raise its capital? The
factors are as follows: Profitability, Tangibility, Firm Size, Non-debt Tax Shields, Growth Opportunities, Liquidity, and
Ownership Structure.
Chen (2009) discovered that assets liabilities ratio in real-estate industry has been keeping increasing by degrees, with an
average ratio 56.99% in 2003, 59.27% in 2004 and 59.28% in 2005; while, in other industries, it stays at around
40%-50%. This indicates that most of the capital in real-estate industry relies on debt, which is the feature of the industry.
In China, lack of capital is a common problem in the real estate industry; therefore most of its capital comes from bank
loan, earnest money, advance receipts and outer investment. There is little capital from its own. This results in over
dependence on loan and advance receipts and deep assets liabilities ratio.
This paper will mainly focus on the capital structure of real estate in Chinese listed companies to investigate the impacts
of different measures or determinants on the choices of capital structure and attempt to point out the optimal capital
structure for real estate firms in Chinese listed companies. Subsequently, the econometrics models such as static panel
data model and dynamic panel data model will be adopted to analyze the data.
2. Literature Review
2.2.1 Modern Theories of Capital Structure
Modern finance theories on capital structure are dominated by these three famous western theories; MM, trading off
theory (TOM) and pecking order theory (POT).
Modigliani and Miller (1958) points out one of the most classical modern theories which indicates that, in a perfect
capital market, the value of enterprise is irrelevant with the firms capital structure. This theory assumes that there are no
bankruptcy costs, individuals can borrow and lend at the risk-free rate and there are only two types of finance which is
risk-free debt and risky equity. In the hypothes is of MM theory, all firms are in the same level of risk, no growth,
symmetry information and no agency costs.
Trade off theory was put forward by Scott (1977) demonstrating that as the increase of the ratio of bonds, the risk of the
company will also increase, thus raising the bankruptcies, then decreasing the value of the company. Therefore, the
optimum capital structure of company should be the equilibrium point caused by financial crisis cost and bankruptcy cost
between section tax benefit and the rise of ratio of debt capital.
International Journal of Management Sciences and Business Research Volume 1, Issue 9 2012- ISSN (2226-8235)
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 78
In 1984, Myers and Majluf carry out pecking order theory considering the impact of information sources between
insiders and outside investors on the corporation investment and financing behaviors. Due to adverse selection, they
illustrate the retained earnings as the internal funds dominated the first place in the corporate financing preference,
followed by debt financing and equity financing. When outside funds are necessary, firms prefer debt to equity because
of lower information costs associated with debt issues. As an alternative capital structure theory, pecking order theory
takes account of the asymmetric information and the existence of transaction costs.
From the asymmetric informat ion perspective, it could be imagined that manager, as the insider, could access more
relevant and reliable information about firms than the less informed outside investors. With the information advantage,
managers could have more opportunity to issue bonds thus avoiding adverse signaling informat ion of issuing equity. This
theory is usually regarded as a competitor to the Trade-off theory.
Baker and Wurgler (2002) also suggest a new theory of capital structure: the market timing theory of capital structure.
This theory argues that firms time their equity issues in the sense that they issue new stock when the stock price is
perceived to be overvalued, and buy back own shares when there is undervaluation. Consequently, fluctuations in stock
prices affect firms capital structures. They find that leverage changes are strongly and positively related to their market
timing measure, so they conclude that the capital structure of a firm is the cumulat ive outcome of past attempts to time
the equity market.
Fama and French (2002) have attempted to compare TOM and POT, indicat ing that although the rate of the adjustment is
quite slow, regressions of firms debt ratios show reliable evidence that leverage is mean-revert ing. Hackbarth et al.
(2007) argues that the TOM is not only able to measure a certain debt level, but also could infer the optimal debt
structure in terms of bank and market debt to borrow or issue.
2.2 Capital Structure Research in China
Wang (2003) characterizes Chinese listed real estate companies with lower leverage level, lower long-term debt ratio,
and higher equity over fixed assets ratio and unique mixed ownership structure due to the undeveloped corporate bond
market and the ownership structure. Dai (2004) tests 35 real estate listed companies in China 2000-2002, with the
exception of the corporate velocity showing variables of firm characteristics are almost not related to capital structure
which has significant negative relation to short -term debt ratio. Li, Luo, & Ao (2005) put forward the real estate
companies in China have state-owned stock with high liability according to the 46 real estate listed companies in 2003.
International Journal of Management Sciences and Business Research Volume 1, Issue 9 2012- ISSN (2226-8235)
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 79
In contrast to Booth et al. (2001), who has examined the capital structure in developing countries are similar to developed
countries using market-based economic models, Chen (2004) demonstrates that the modern theories of capital structure
are less applicable to the financing choice of Chinese firms, showing a new Pecking order for financing with the first
consideration of internal fund, then equity financing and lastly long-term debt. Huang and Song (2006) exercise a new
data set more than 1000 Chinese listed companies to analyze the capital structure models in over the period 1994-2000,
with the same findings as Booth et al. (2001) that firms in developing countries tend to have lower long-term debt.
Qian et al. (2007) have examined the six determinants of capital structure for Chinese listed companies over the period of
1999-2004, which have validated the work Chen and Huang & Song. The static panel-data models showed that firm size,
tangibility and state ownership are positively related with firms leverage ratio. However, factors such as profitability,
non-debt tax shields and volatility have a negative relationship with the leverage ratio. Li (2010) make an empirical study
to investigate the determinants of capital structure of real estate in Chinese listed firms during 2003 -2007. The finding
shows that institutional differences and financial constraints in the capital markets have also significantly con stituted to
the influencing factors for companies capital structure.
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The research method of this empirical study involves the econometrics model with a series of Descriptive Statistic
Analysis and quantitative methods from the Ch inese listed companies financial and accounting database. Due to the data
limitat ion of state-owned share percentage and fixed assets ratio, the analysis is conducted by using a panel data linear
regression model where the dependent variable is leverage rat io during the time period from the first quarter of 2008 to
the third quarter of 2011. In this paper, static and dynamic panel data models will be used, and the results from these two
models will be run in the STATA program in the following empirical analysis.
3.1 Static Panel Data Model
The init ial basic regression model for analyzing panel data is the ordinary least squares regression (OLS). The
formulation of this model in mathematics is:
12 ,... 1 ; 44 ,... 2 , 1 ,
'
= = + + = t i x y
it it it
c | o
In this model,
it
y
represents the capital structure of real estate firm i in year t;
o
is the constant term;
'
it
x
is a
vector of seven independent variables which is the explanatory indicators;
|
is coefficient vector of parameters which
is independent variables that is constant over quarters;
it
c
is the unobserved error term or disturbance term. In Table 1,
we have ext racted the main variables from Li (2010). In terms of the literature review and research objectives, the
regression model is going to be constructed as following expression:
LEV = f (FS, Pro, GO, Tan, Liq, NTS, NCS)
International Journal of Management Sciences and Business Research Volume 1, Issue 9 2012- ISSN (2226-8235)
http://www.ijmsbr.com Page 80
LEV is the dependent variable represents the debt ratio with the size of total assets. In the bracket, there are seven
independent variables: FS: Firm Size, Pro: Profitability, GO: Growth Opportunity, Tan: Tangibility, Liq: Liquidity, NTS:
Non-tax shields, NCS: Non-Circulating Shares.
The practical and theoretical reasons why we use the OLS estimators is due to the dominant method used in practice.
OLS has become the common language for regression analysis throughout economics, finance and social sciences more
generally. The using OLS presents results indicating that you are speaking the same language as other economists and
statisticians. The OLS formulas are built into virtually all spreadsheet and statistical software packages, making OLS
easy to use. The desirable theoretical properties are also the advantages of OLS estimators. The OLS estimator is
unbiased and consistent which is also efficient among a certain class of unbiased estimators; however, additional special
conditions need to be discussed and more result analysis should be deferred (Stock and Watson, 2007).
3.2 Dynamic Panel Data Model
Dynamic PDM contains a lagged dependent variable as a regression. It considers a dynamic model with variable
intercepts. Take the following equations as an example:
it i it t i it
u z x y y + + + + =
|
' '
1 ,
.
In the above equation,
it
y
is the dependent variable of unit i at time t;
<1;
1 , t i
y
is the lagged dependent variable of unit i at time t;
'
it
x
is time-varying strictly exogenous variables;
'
i
z
is
time-invariant strictly exogenous variables;
it
u
is an idiosyncratic component;