NPV Irr
NPV Irr
NPV Irr
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Choose a project if it costs less than the PV of its cash flows. More generally: take a project if its Net Present Value is positive.
EXAMPLE
Interest rate Year Cash flow PV factor PV of cash flow Cumulative PV Net Present Value
10% 0 (600) 100% (600) (600) 123 1 200 91% 182 (418) 2 200 83% 165 (253) 3 500 75% 376 123
Investors would have to invest 123 more (a total of 723) to get the cash flows of 200, 200, and 500 at an interest rate of 10%. Therefore the project has a value of 123 for investors. The interest rate is called the cost of capital, because it is the opportunity cost of funds - the rate investors can earn on alternative investments.
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IRR RULE
NPV > 0
Choose a project
Standard means - cash outflows occur in early years and cash inflows in later years. - the alternative to the project is the status quo.
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A B C D E F G NONSTANDARD PROJECTS MAY HAVE MORE THAN ONE INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
Cost of capital
12%
Year Net cash flow PV factor PV of net cash flow Cumulative PV Net present value IRR (Internal Rate of Return)
For this project, varying the initial guess in the IRR function can cause the IRR to change. This is a good project (positive NPV), but you can't tell it from the IRR function. The following chart shows that there are two break-even costs of capital or IRR's. The NPV is positive at the actual cost of capital (12%), so it is a good project.
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A B 1 Year 0 2 Net cash flow (400,000) 3 4 Discount Rate NPV 5 6 2% (8,612) 7 4% (5,769) 8 6% (3,418) 9 8% (1,509) 10 10% 11 12% 1,148 12 14% 1,970 13 16% 2,497 14 18% 2,758 15 20% 2,778 16 22% 2,580 17 24% 2,185 18 26% 1,612 19 28% 879 20 30% 21 32% (1,010) 22 34% (2,139) 23 36% (3,374) 24 38% (4,705) 25 40% (6,122)
D 1 2 960,000 (572,000)
4,000 2,000 Net Present Value 0% (2,000) (4,000) (6,000) (8,000) (10,000) Discount Rate 20% 40% 60%
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A B C D AN EXAMPLE OF MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS Cost of capital 10% Year Project A Cash flow PV factor PV of cash flow NPV IRR Cash flow PV factor PV of cash flow NPV IRR 0 (10,000) 100% (10,000) 8,182 100% (20,000) 100% (20,000) 11,818 75%
Project B
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Cost of capital
10% Year 0 (10,000) 100% (10,000) 8,182 (10,000) 100% (10,000) 3,636 1 20,000 91% 18,182
Project A
Cash flow PV factor PV of cash flow NPV Cash flow PV factor PV of cash flow NPV
Project B-A
Project B has a positive NPV relative to A (on an incremental basis) so should be taken.
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