Poverty Reduction in Africa
Poverty Reduction in Africa
Poverty Reduction in Africa
Poverty in Africa has been rising for the last quarter-century, while it has been falling in the rest of the developing world. Africas distinctive problem is that its economies have not been growing. Globally, the number of people in absolute poverty has been in decline for approximate ! years, yet in Africa it is still increasing. Accounts for Africas economic distinctiveness and derives implications for international policies for poverty reduction. "ver the period #$%&' &&& Africas population-weighted per capital annual growth of gross domestic product (G)P* was a mere &.#+. ,t stagnated, whereas other regions experienced accelerating growth. ,ndeed, between #$-& and &&& the annual rate of divergence was an astounding !+. )uring the #$$&s, the limited response to reform induced a broader search for explanations. Africas growth failure has attracted competing explanations.n)uring the #$-&s the .orld /an0 diagnosed the problem asninappropriate economic policies with /erg offering the first clear statement of this position. /ates was the first to explain these dysfunctional policy choices in terms of the interests of powerful groups, notably the taxation of export agriculture. )uring the #$$&s, the limited response to reform induced a broader search for explanations . 1ecently, three further explanations have gained currency: institutions , leadership, and geography .
population between the three categories. ,n the developing world other than Africa some --+ of the population lives in coastal, resource-scarce countries, ##+ in resource-rich countries, and a mere #+ in landloc0ed resource-scarce countries. ,n Africa the population is approximately evenly spread between the three groups. 5he African population is heavily s0ewed toward the globally slowgrowing category of landloc0ed, resource-scarce, and away from the globally fastgrowing category of coastal, resource-scarce.
Resource-Rich.
5he resource-rich countries are increasingly important in Africa, partly as a result of higher commodity prices and partly as a result of resource discoveries.Globally, high commodity prices are a mixed blessing for resource-exporting countries. 9ollier and Goderis find that for the
first ! years growth is significantly higher. /y the fifth year this faster growth has cumulatively raised constant-price G)P by ;2+ compared with what would have happened with lower prices. 5hree processes generate this long-term adverse effect. "ne is )utch disease, which ma0es nonresource exports uncompetitive6 in <igeria oil exports led to the rapid collapse of agricultural exports. Africa was ruled by narrow ethnic autocracies that lac0ed national aspirations. :ince the #$$&s the spread of democracy across much of resource-rich Africa might potentially provide accountability to citi=ens. 9ollier and 3oeffler (#!* find that globally over the period #$7&' && in the absence of natural resource rents democracies tend to grow significantly faster than autocracies but that the opposite holds when resource rents are large. 5hey suggest that in resource-rich countries democracy tends to get corrupted into patronage politics as resource rents substitute for taxation. "ther resource-rich African countries are now democratic, but they are >>instant democracies. As demonstrated by Afghanistan and ,raq, it is possible to establish electoral competition in any conditions, but it is harder to establish effective chec0s and balances.
!u"an Geography
5he other important distinctive aspect of Africas geography6 human geography, both political and social. Africas political geography is unmista0ably stri0ing6 it is divided into far more countries that any other region, despite being less populous than either :outh or @ast Asia.
:mall population and ethnic diversity are the two distinctive socio-political features of African geography6 each creates problems. 5he other socio-political aspect of African geography is the high ethnic diversity of the typical country. @thnic diversity need not be a decisive impediment to development, but it does have implications for political architecture. Africa is much less ethnically diverse than at the national level. A third aspect of diversity is that it ma0es a society more prone to violent conflict. Africas current economic opportunity is its natural resource rents. A disproportionate share of Africas population lives in resource-rich countries, and for the foreseeable future commodity prices are going to be high with discoveries s0ewed toward the region. 5he second problem caused by the interaction of physical geography and human geography is that coastal, resource-scarce Africa has missed its opportunity to brea0 into global mar0ets for labor-intensive goods and services. Although on average African economic governance remains significantly wea0er than other regions, there are now several coastal, resource-scarce countries where governance has improved, notably Ghana, ?enya, 5an=ania, :enegal, and 8adagascar. 5he final problem generated by the interaction of human and physical geography is a heightened ris0 of violent internal conflict. African countries have characteristics that globally ma0e a country prone to such conflict.