There is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness of traditional banks to lend to them. Despite repeated efforts by policymakers to stimulate this lending, it has not been forthcoming, and this, so the argument runs, is holding back growth.
This report, the first from Demos Finance, the new financial services research unit at Demos, uses new analysis of the sector to explore this question, and explode some myths. It finds that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, 90 per cent have no problems getting the financing they want. Equally, the majority are not significant contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers.
The report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth, focusing our efforts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver growth regardless of size. Second, to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we may need to look beyond bank lending and devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Such an approach would help to ensure that those businesses with the capacity to grow receive the funding they need, paving the way for economic recovery.
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Freeman, A. (2013) - Finance For Growth. Demos, London.
There is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness of traditional banks to lend to them. Despite repeated efforts by policymakers to stimulate this lending, it has not been forthcoming, and this, so the argument runs, is holding back growth.
This report, the first from Demos Finance, the new financial services research unit at Demos, uses new analysis of the sector to explore this question, and explode some myths. It finds that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, 90 per cent have no problems getting the financing they want. Equally, the majority are not significant contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers.
The report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth, focusing our efforts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver growth regardless of size. Second, to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we may need to look beyond bank lending and devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Such an approach would help to ensure that those businesses with the capacity to grow receive the funding they need, paving the way for economic recovery.
Original Title
Freeman, A. (2013). Finance for Growth. Demos, London.
There is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness of traditional banks to lend to them. Despite repeated efforts by policymakers to stimulate this lending, it has not been forthcoming, and this, so the argument runs, is holding back growth.
This report, the first from Demos Finance, the new financial services research unit at Demos, uses new analysis of the sector to explore this question, and explode some myths. It finds that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, 90 per cent have no problems getting the financing they want. Equally, the majority are not significant contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers.
The report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth, focusing our efforts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver growth regardless of size. Second, to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we may need to look beyond bank lending and devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Such an approach would help to ensure that those businesses with the capacity to grow receive the funding they need, paving the way for economic recovery.
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Freeman, A. (2013) - Finance For Growth. Demos, London.
There is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness of traditional banks to lend to them. Despite repeated efforts by policymakers to stimulate this lending, it has not been forthcoming, and this, so the argument runs, is holding back growth.
This report, the first from Demos Finance, the new financial services research unit at Demos, uses new analysis of the sector to explore this question, and explode some myths. It finds that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, 90 per cent have no problems getting the financing they want. Equally, the majority are not significant contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers.
The report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth, focusing our efforts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver growth regardless of size. Second, to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we may need to look beyond bank lending and devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Such an approach would help to ensure that those businesses with the capacity to grow receive the funding they need, paving the way for economic recovery.
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Challenging myths
about the funding of
small businesses... Andrew Freeman FINANCE FOR GROWTH Demos is Britains leading cross-party think-tank. We produce original research, publish innovative thinkers and host thought-provoking events. We have spent 20 years at the centre of the policy debate, with an overarching mission to bring politics closer to people. Demos is now exploring some of the most persistent frictions within modern politics, especially in those areas where there is a signicant gap between the intuitions of the ordinary voter and political leaders. Can a liberal politics also be a popular politics? How can policy address widespread anxieties over social issues such as welfare, diversity and family life? How can a dynamic and open economy also produce good jobs, empower consumers and connect companies to the communities in which they operate? Our worldview is reected in the methods we employ: we recognise that the public often have insights that the experts do not. We pride ourselves in working together with the people who are the focus of our research. Alongside quantitative research, Demos pioneers new forms of deliberative work, from citizens juries and ethnography to social media analysis. Demos is an independent, educational charity. In keeping with our mission, all our work is available to download for free under an open access licence and all our funders are listed in our yearly accounts. Find out more at www.demos.co.uk. First published in sog Demos. Some rights reserved Magdalen House, I6 Tooley Street London, SEI sTU, UK ISBN g;8--gogog;-qo-g Copy edited by the editors Series design by Modern Activity Typeset by Modern Activity Set in Gotham Rounded and Baskerville o FINANCE FOR GROWTH Andrew Freeman Open access. Some rights reserved. As the publisher of this work, Demos wants to encourage the circulation of our work as widely as possible while retaining the copyright. We therefore have an open access policy which enables anyone to access our content online without charge. Anyone can download, save, perform or distribute this work in any format, including translation, without written permission. Tis is subject to the terms of the Demos licence found at the back of this publication. Its main conditions are: Demos and the author(s) are credited Tis summary and the address www.demos.co.uk are displayed Te text is not altered and is used in full Te work is not resold A copy of the work or link to its use online is sent to Demos
You are welcome to ask for permission to use this work for purposes other than those covered by the licence. Demos gratefully acknowledges the work of Creative Commons in inspiring our approach to copyright. To nd out more go to www.creativecommons.org Acknowledgements 3
Foreword 5 Executive summary 9 1 Introduction 15 2 Mapping the SME population 23 3 Where do banks come in? 33 4 A brief history of SME funding in the UK 39 5 Why do governments love SMEs? 47 6 Some numbers on funding of SMEs 53 they might surprise you 7 The front line of SME lending 65 8 SMEs and growth 71 9 Debtequity: the lenders dilemma 77 10 Conclusions and policy implications 83 Appendix A 93 Data and research methodology issues for SMEs and entrepreneurship Appendix B 97 A case study on Canadas SME statistics Notes 101 References 115 Contents 3 Acknowledgements Demos Finance would like to thank Barclays Bank for its support of this independent report. Te author would like to thank the numerous people who gave generously of their time and knowledge. Professor Alan Hughes of Cambridge University and Dr Richard Roberts of Barclays deserve special thanks for their particular help and advice and for pre-publication checking. Shiona Davies, Editor of the SME Finance Monitor, kindly agreed to act as an additional expert reader of the report in drah form. Special eort has been made to ensure accuracy of the many numbers quoted in the report. Any errors that remain are the responsibility of the author. Andrew Freeman September sog 5 Foreword With this report Demos Finance is properly born. Helping to create a mainstream nancial services think-tank that inuences both the expert and the public debate and is respected by the industry and its many critics has been an ambition of mine for many years. When, more than ten years ago, as editor of Prospect magazine I created the annual think-tank of the year awards it struck me as odd that so little think-tank attention was expended on nance, the single most important feature of Britains economy. Te gap where a neutral, authoritative, ideas space should have been operating between the abstractions of academia and the instantness of journalism became even more glaring aher the soo;/8 crash. Of course nance has never been short of analysis and there are many people in the industry and its regulatory bodies, in universities and business schools, in newspapers and, indeed, in some of the general think tanks (and the CSFI) who produce excellent work. But none of them bring the attributes of a good think-tank to the subject by combining under one roof the publishing of original, independent research; organising topical events that bring together the dierent tribes in the sector; responding swihly to events with briengs and media comment and, nally, providing a public education function by translating for general audiences some of the specialist language of the nancial experts (and making it all freely available). Demos Finance, operating as a unit within the cross- party think-tank Demos (where I am director), is less than a year old but under the leadership of Andrew Freeman and Jodie Ginsberg it is beginning to make its mark. We have 7 Foreword already produced several brieng papers, most notably on the LIBOR crisis and John Kays short termism review, and hosted some memorable events, including one with the Parliamentary Banking Commission and another with Anat Admati, co-author of the remarkable book Te Bankers New Clothes, about how to make banks safe with much higher levels of equity. But the publication of our rst major piece of research Finance For Growth takes us to a new level. And Andrew Freemans report sets a template for the kind of research we want to do in the future. It is on one of the perpetually topical nancial subjects: bank lending (or lack of it) to business. It challenges a widely held assumption about lending to small and medium sized businesses and asks whether we have been looking in the right place for sustainable economic growth. It is based on a sharp-eyed overview of the existing literature plus some original research and insights. It provides practical suggestions for retuning policy in this area. It is also clearly written for a general reader audience and is pleasingly brief. Finance is of course an enormous eld that touches all our lives every day, from the money in our wallets to the national and global economy. Demos Finances scope is similarly broad: other current research projects include consumer nance, bank technology, Islamic nance, accounting rules, payments infrastructure, alternative lenders, and online currencies. Te nancial sector will remain at the heart of all modern economies. Understanding it better, including how parts of it failed in recent years and can best be mended, is a national priority both for politicians and for all of us as individual citizens and consumers. Tat is easier said than done; it is an unavoidably complex world marked by powerful vested interests. But if Demos Finance can help in a small way to increase that understanding, especially in the political and media class, it will have served its purpose. David Goodhart September sog 9 Executive summary Tere is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness or otherwise of traditional banks to lend to these businesses. Despite repeated eorts to stimulate lending by the Government and the Bank of England, net lending to SMEs has been steadily falling. Clearly, something is not working. Te SME sector is widely misunderstood and misrepresented; most signicantly it is far from obvious that SMEs as a group are in fact major contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers. Tis is because the majority of SMEs are focused on remaining in business, and have no intention of aiming to be the next Google. Teir challenges are cashow and day-to-day nancial management, not growth nance. By contrast, companies with realistic ambitions of growth are found in all sizes. Te starting position of public policy has been to focus on size, with interventions aimed at smallness, rather than at enabling growth and nancing risk. In addition, our research shows that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, go per cent have no problems getting the nancing they want. 1 Further, not enough attention is given to the appropriateness of bank loans for the very few businesses that require risk capital and struggle to secure it. A better source of funds in these cases would be equity or an alternative source. Tis report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth. If most SMEs have no immediate ambitions to 11 Executive summary interventions that meet the actual challenges they face, for instance by providing more eective cash ow support, a growth-positive tax and regulatory environment and commercial skills support. A further report on the real challenges faced by the small business community would be very welcome. Tis report makes a number of recommendations, which ow from the two changed assumptions outlined above. Tey have at their heart a belief that the UKs best chance to deliver sustainable long-term business growth, rather than short-term growth subsidised by the taxpayer, is to create an environment that meets the needs of growth companies, regardless of size. Summary of recommendations Develop a genuine pre-capital market investment house Te British Investment Bank is a welcome intervention, but the UK lacks a genuine pre-capital market equity investment house. Returning to a model of the Industrial and Commercial Finance Corporation, the precursor to gi, could strongly benet the UK economy. Learn from Canada to develop a reliable SME registry Te UK lacks adequate and reliable data on the SME sector we do not even have up-to-date numbers on how many SMEs there are. Te UK Government should instruct either the Bank of England or the Oce for National Statistics to emulate the Canadian model and address this gap. Create SME impact assessments Te World Bank has published an impact assessment framework specically on SME funding and this could be used as a blueprint for UK assessments. 2 Indeed, the UK could volunteer to work with the Gso and the World Bank as a pioneer of cost-eective SME impact assessments, creating the additional benet of insights that can be exploited in the developing world. grow, we should focus our eorts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver signicant growth in the future regardless of size. Even if most growth businesses are SMEs (which is far from certain), it certainly does not mean most SMEs are growth businesses. Second, we need to look outside traditional bank lending to address this challenge. If we want to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we need to devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. As this report shows, that is not the job of bank lending, but at the moment the UK has precious few non-bank nance alternatives. To the extent that there is an SME funding problem, and we would argue that where there is a problem it has been grossly overstated, the solution lies not with traditional banking activity, but rather with the UKs broader business culture and funding environment. Growth policy should be directed away from subsidising the SME sector as a whole towards targeted interventions aimed at those whose ambition is for growth and innovation rather than ongoing stability. Tese interventions should aim to improve business education and mentoring of existing businesses that have a propensity to grow, as well as develop alternative nance markets suited to funding growth risk. It is clear that much more attention and eort is needed to re-build an equity culture in the UK. Tis is not to let banks o the hook. Tey have a continuing responsibility to support the market for bank lending, and should also think deeply about whether they can help to address the non-bank nance gap, and help to close the clear business skills gap among UK SMEs. Te banking sector has an unmatched ability to reach businesses of all sizes and should put its distribution mechanisms to work in delivering solutions. It is apparent that SMEs have been poorly served by policy that conates their needs with those of growth companies. Tere is a need for a renewed focus on policy 13 Executive summary Infrastructure and UK business culture pose much greater challenges than access to bank loans our national debate should reect this Te most useful policy discussions should have almost nothing to do with bank funding and much more to do with the broader infrastructure and culture in which UK businesses operate. Tat is where the debate should be conducted. Dont let the banks of the hook Banks have a huge distribution system through their branch networks and an unmatched contact book of businesses and investors. Tey should be encouraged or even mandated to innovate to nd ways of distributing alternative nance and addressing knowledge and skills gaps in businesses. A further report is needed into the specic needs of SMEs SMEs are poorly served by a policy approach that assumes they are focused on growth. A further report should consider the specic challenges faced by these companies and identify policy interventions that would materially enhance these businesses survival rates and economic output. Focus on increasing the growth potential of our SMEs rather than simply increasing the number of SMEs we have Policy emphasis should be on encouraging growth potential so that businesses are more able to survive and more likely to do so in a way that makes a positive contribution to the economy and society. Unfortunately, this requires the kind of long-term policy that is notoriously dicult to synchronise with electoral cycles. It would involve thinking through not just how to direct more help to the existing stock of businesses in the form of mentoring, education and so on, but also how to build relevant literacy in the generations of future business founders and owners. Establish a business academy network able to support businesses as they develop Many businesses struggle because of a lack of professional management capability across a range of issues including marketing, access to nance and business administration. Business academies backed by the Government could address these skills gaps and signicantly increase the success rates of UK SMEs. Create a central database of lender information to allow banks and new entrants to make more informed lending decisions Te technology platforms required for this could be considered a public good and a utility created to provide lenders with information about would-be borrowers and monitoring services for existing borrowers. Te Government and the Bank of England should encourage exploration of this and related ideas, not least as a mechanism by which new entrants could accelerate their SME activities and enhance competition. Address the lack of an equity culture in the UK A working group led by the Treasury and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS) could examine the full tax and economic impact implications of a radical change to the UKs equity culture and make recommendations. 15 1 Introduction Tere is a broad assumption that small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) matter a great deal to the UK economy. As a consequence, there is an extraordinarily diverse literature on a topic that might, at rst glance, appear to be straightforward how the sector is funded. In recent decades, these rms have been attributed great signicance in national economies, as drivers of economic growth, employment, innovation, research and overall societal wellbeing. In the foreword to Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI, Angel Gurria, Secretary General of the OECD said: Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and entrepreneurs must continue to be key players in national strategies for growth, job creation and social cohesion. SMEs and entrepreneurs are crucial for tracing new paths to more sustainable and inclusive growth, thanks to their role in developing and diusing innovation. However, they can only fulll this potential if they obtain the nance necessary to start and grow their businesses. 3 (Ironically, the only truly substantiated nding that small businesses contribute to wellbeing is that their owners are happier than the average citizen, but we will come back to this later.) 4 Tanks to this attribution, SMEs have ohen received substantial subsidies in the form of grants and tax breaks from central and regional governments and they remain the focus of great political attention. Tat SMEs are heavily subsidised is never mentioned in the debate about their role. In fact, the subsidy is huge more than the annual budget for the police force. 17 Introduction Equally, many MPs will have heard from business owners who have been unable to access funding, which drives political concern that banking is not doing its job. A highly specic issue can appear to politicians to be a far wider, more general concern. We need to consider the sample size before we come to conclusions. We have been in a similar situation before. In the early ggos, there was a breakdown of both communication and condence between many SMEs and their main nance providers, notably the commercial banks. SMEs complained that reductions in (interest) base rates were not being fully passed on and that banks prematurely cut back on loans and so pushed viable businesses into receivership. Meanwhile, the banking sector suered bad debts among loans to the small business sector.6 In response at the time, the Bank of England initiated a major ongoing review of the relationship between banks and SMEs, aiming to bring facts into debates typied by anecdote, assertion and assumption. 7
More than two decades later it is as if we are back where this began. A close examination of the academic, regulatory and commercial literature shows that much of the rhetoric and available analysis of SMEs and their role in the economy remains riddled with poor thinking and muddled conclusions, problems compounded by a plethora of issues relating to the availability and quality of relevant data. Tis Demos Finance report aims to unpack the debate around SME funding in the UK. Te time is ripe for some myth busting, and in some cases relearning earlier ndings that have apparently been forgotten or ignored. And we can start by repeating a conclusion from the Bank of Englands Finance for Small Firms: Access to nance is not a barrier for most SMEs. 8 So much so that the Bank concluded, Tere is no longer a need for the Bank to be involved in these issues. It passed the matter o to a specialist body that would focus in future on this non-issue. But are we asking more of our small and medium-sized businesses than is fair or reasonable? Many SMEs do not currently expect to grow, and they would largely dene success as continued trading, and perhaps greater protability. Te owners of a family restaurant, for example, may be far more focused on keeping open from year to year than on opening a second premises, let alone a third or fourth. Simply by keeping going, the restaurateur provides employment and economic activity, but it would be unreasonable to expect signicant growth from this activity. Consequently, it is far from clear that unfocused support for SMEs as a category, rather than the high-growth companies which form a relatively small sub-set of them, is either particularly eective or oers good value for money in pursuit of economic growth. In the UK, there is a widespread and cross-party perception that a lack of SME funding remains a serious problem, potentially thwarting short-term economic recovery and limiting long-term economic robustness and competitiveness. High-street banks in particular have faced signicant criticism for their unwillingness to lend to SMEs. Tere is a broad consensus that since the onset of crisis in soo;, the banks have contributed to exceptionally slow general recovery of the economy by reining in their lending ocers. It is assumed that by stopping the ow of credit to the economy via small business lending, banks have eectively stopped recovery itself. 5 Te criticism of some banks struggles under the Funding for Lending scheme illustrates how potent this assumption seems to be. Tis deeply awed argument has taken hold in the media. Stories on the no-growth state of the economy are illustrated by reference to a disgruntled small business owner denied a loan by an uncaring bank, but frequently fail to ask deeper questions about whether this is a representative experience or why the business was unable to access nance. 19 Introduction Structure and a note on sources Tis report is structured as follows: Chapter s lays out the SME landscape in the UK. Chapter g explains how banks measure and report the extent of SME lending. Chapter q gives a brief history of SME funding in order to support the case that historical comparisons need to go back long before the soo; credit crisis and its ahermath. Chapter explains that SMEs receive large government subsidies with very little evidence that they deserve them. Chapter 6 lays out some surprising truths about how SMEs actually fund themselves and the actual role played by banks. Chapter ; looks at the SME lending front line how decisions get made by the big banks. Chapter 8 explores the relationship between SMEs and economic growth. Chapter g examines the tricky boundary between equity and debt. A nal chapter examines the policy implications and suggests ways the SME funding debate might be recongured to be of greater relevance and impact. Tere is a plethora of reports on SME and business funding more generally, and this report is not an attempt to summarise or synthesise them. Numerous taskforces and policy groups have addressed the issue, including sensible work on how the UK might seek to improve non-bank funding alterna- tives. 9 Arguments about SME and business funding are closely linked to parallel debates on growth and entrepreneurship and some of the relevant literature is reviewed here. Similarly, there is much available research on how business funding is organised in other countries, with a noticeable focus on Germany and the US. 10 Again, this report makes no eort to repeat this work, but refers to it where appropriate. Tis report was largely written before the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards published its June sog nal report. 11 Tis does not focus specically on SME lending, although some of its oral and written testimony discussed the An immediate objection might be that sooq is a silly place to begin a report on SME funding in sog. Aher all, in sooq the credit crisis was not far o and there was no suggestion in the report referred to here or in any other report at that time that there was something brewing that might turn out to be exceedingly damaging. In other words, the lack of a perceived problem was highly correlated with the fact that at that time credit could be obtained by businesses of all sorts looking to borrow. Credit was certainly freely available in sooq and became more so in subsequent years before catastrophe struck. Among the biggest borrowers were the banks themselves, several of which leveraged up their balance sheets until they were greater than the entire gross domestic product (GDP) of the UK. Surely these conditions were dierent and banks are now behaving dierently? Tey were and they are. But banks are not the real issue. A closer look at the small and medium- sized business sector in the UK shows clearly that the boom years aher the early sooos until the bust of soo;o8 were anomalous from a funding perspective. And insofar as we have returned to a more typical environment, we can be much clearer about how and why some, but a tiny minority of, SMEs ever want to borrow money. And this is the really odd thing about the issue: most SMEs never borrow from a bank, they borrow from the people who set them up or from friends and family, and they do their utmost not to get into debt, instead ploughing earnings back into the company or business so that they can remain debt-free. Which raises a question rarely asked and even more rarely answered. Why are we specically concerned with SMEs and whether banks are lending to them? Why would we want to encourage UK businesses to borrow more when we have right in front of our eyes the strongest possible evidence that too much debt, or the wrong kind of debt, can be extremely dangerous? Why, in fact, do we assume that SMEs as a group want to grow, and that bank lending is the right way to fund that ambition? 21 Introduction issue. However, the nal report addresses some of the cultural failings in the lending and sales cultures of banks, for instance in selling interest-rate swaps to SMEs. Tis is not looked at below because there is very little to add to the Commissions ndings, which stand on their own merits. Rather, this report seeks to give accurate numbers for SME activity in the UK in order to address a notable gap in our understanding of the national economy. It draws on a wide range of sources, from interviews and eld research to detailed use of statistics. Particular emphasis has been placed on the new ndings from the SME Finance Monitor, as these represent the most comprehensive available view of actual current SME practice. Other statistical sources include the Bank of England, the British Bankers Association, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the Oce for National Statistics (ONS). Te Bank of Englands report Finance for Small Firms referred to above was published in sooq. As there are subsequent gaps in data collection, followed by changes in statistical methods, there is no reliable data series for very long-term comparisons. And there are almost always questions about the reliability of data. For example, even in government reports, we nd disclaimers such as, Te time series is not consistent throughout due to changes in the methodology. Te series has therefore been adjusted to take account of these dierences. Figures are indicative and should be interpreted with caution. 12
We acknowledge the awkward fact that we cannot be totally precise at many points where it would be most helpful. However, where something is indicative, it is ohen strongly so and this should not be grounds for undermining or rejecting the analysis or conclusions that follow. 23 2 Mapping the SME population what are we talking about? Let us begin with a description of some of the main challenges facing anyone wanting to paint a clear picture of the SME population and its needs. What is an SME? How many of them are there? Although there are some agreed denitions of SME characteristics, these are not universally adopted, so any eort to assess SMEs and their nancing needs invariably runs into intractable problems of irreconcilable or simply missing information. A subject of great importance to many experts and policymakers is, in reality, poorly understood and ohen misrepresented. 13 Figure shows the European Commissions denition of the dierent categories of SMEs. Te important thing to note for the UK debate is that the EU suggests a combination of at least two factors is appropriate, but gives the option of looking at balance sheet or asset size instead of turnover. Tis element is almost never mentioned but arguably should be part of the discussion about SME funding. Depending on their sector, businesses will have quite dierent nancial proles. Te main factors determining whether a company is an SME are: number of employees and either turnover or balance sheet total Any discussion about SMEs needs to start with some simple numbers. What is the actual stock of UK small businesses? How many are there? Here we see the semantic and data-related issues faced by participants in this debate. 25 Mapping the SME population Figure 2 The UK business population, by rm size It is important to note that these gures do not, as is ohen claimed, include the grey economy. Each entity has some form of ocial registration, so cannot be considered as being part of the shadow economy. Te numbers immediately tell us that most of the businesses in the UK are very small, with insucient turnover to be VAT-registered. In fact, BIS estimates that three-quarters of these businesses are sole traders with no employees, while there are nearly million micro rms employing between one and nine people. 17
According to Professor Alan Hughes of the Centre for Business Research at the University of Cambridge, the vast majority of these rms employ fewer than ve people. By way of comparison, there are .s million businesses employing between and qgg workers, but a mere s,goo rms employ more than oo people and these businesses For example: Tere are at least ve ways of dening small businesses. Tere are roughly million people registered with HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) as self-employed. Tere are just over million registered companies, although many of these are holding vehicles for property management, so are not typical small companies. Approximately .g million entities are registered for VAT, while there are more than s million people using the pay as you earn (PAYE) system. 15 If everybody concerned with the SME debate used the same measures consistently, then policy discussions would be a lot easier. But politicians, academics and other lobby groups ohen oat between denitions, sometimes in support of a particular case. Ohen they simply ignore the best potential source, the Governments Inter-Departmental Business Register, which aggregates information across various government departments. 16
It is published with a time lag, but oers the most comprehensive view of UK business activity. It suggests that in sog there are q.8 million businesses in the UK a much higher number than the .g million VAT-registered entities, and an increase of almost oo,ooo from the equivalent gure in soo8. Figure 1 The European Commissions denition of diferent types of SMEs Source: Enterprise and Industry, What is an SME? 14 27 Mapping the SME population that there is no information on why a particular company ceases trading, but we do know that there can be good reasons as well as bad ones for this decision. Table 1 Use of business nance across diferent sized rms
Turnover Broad character- istics Use of regular nance Use of specialist nance Typical providers Smallest micro busin- esses Below 50k Cash-based rms, often part-time businesses; few tangible assets; local operations Limited mainly to overdraft, loans and credit cards or personal nance products Limited. Some asset-backed lending (ABL) mainly vendor nance Banks, credit card providers and point of sale (vendor assistance) Micro busin- esses 50k to 1m Increasingly full-time rms with staf, premises and assets; local activity normally limited to a single region; occasional exporting Overdraft, loans and credit cards Increased use of structured ABL. Occasional use of trade nance products Banks, credit card providers, specialised providers for ABL and trade products SMEs 1m to 25m Full-time, larger multi- regional and national rms; increasing export/import activity Overdraft, loans Still some use of ABL, factoring and invoice discounting, export nance, some equity nance Banks, credit card providers, specialised providers, business angels, private equity
Note: Denitions have been developed for the purpose of the Taskforce and may not reconcile with other denitions of SMEs. Source: Supporting UK business: the report of the Business Finance Taskforce, October 2010, p.14 20 account for qq per cent of all UK employment and q per cent of all turnover. 18 Figure s shows the UK business population represented in simplied and rounded terms. It is already clear that this is a diverse population, and we should be suspicious of any eort to treat it as homogenous. As we will see below, there is no such thing as a typical SME, and in fact smallness is a a poor indicator of the importance of a business to the momentum of the national economy. In addition, there are some g.g million business current accounts held with UK-based banks, demonstrating that there is a large number of businesses operating in ways not easily captured by statistics. Tese might be people trading on auction sites such as eBay, or simply taking advantage of free personal banking and mingling their personal nances with those of the business. Tey might be running what amounts to a fairly substantial small business, but in a way that requires no external nance and is almost entirely unnoticed by ocial statistics. It is extremely dicult to know whether this business stock how many businesses there are currently trading is changing, for better or worse. But we can make one observation. While the headline number of business entities is relatively stable, indeed is a lot higher than it was a few decades ago, there is considerable annual churn as existing businesses die and new ones are created. Tracking this ow is not easy, however. Te guiding principle of policy in this area is the belief that an ecient, well-organised SME sector is an important economic asset. Yet while there are rich data on how people as individuals enter and exit the labour market, there are no equivalent data for businesses and most estimates are unreliable. 19 We know very little about why a new business is launched and even less about why it might subsequently exit (does it fail, become insolvent, or leave for personal reasons including exploiting capital gains tax rules?), so in eect we have very little understanding of how and why the stock of SMEs is changing. Filing requirements for Companies House are such 29 Mapping the SME population Interestingly, banks are in the privileged position of having access to the management accounts of some companies that are or wish to be borrowers. In these cases, they can see whether an entity is protable and they can assess from its transactions whether, for example, it is exporting goods and services. However, these data are also highly selective. Tey cover only the universe of companies that has dealings with each bank, and they are not aggregated in a way that might allow a national picture to emerge. Moreover, only a minority of companies are sophisticated enough to warrant management information at this level of detail. Nevertheless, there is a source of information about bank and other lending to SMEs that is gradually building a more reliable picture and is worth describing in a little detail. In July soo the Business Finance Taskforce was set up to review the role of UK banks in lending to the UK economy and to make recommendations and commitments. Te Taskforce was a response by the six main UK banks and the British Bankers Association in light of sustained criticism of banks in the wake of the credit crisis and subsequent recession. Te widespread perception, fuelled by a constant ow of political interventions, was that banks were deliberately withholding funds and making it dicult or impossible for rms to borrow or to renance on favourable terms. Te British Bankers Associations report in October soo included in its recommendations the funding of an independent survey to create an agreed and authoritative set of data on business nance demand and lending supply. 23 Te result is the SME Finance Monitor, a quarterly publication based on a rolling survey of ,ooo businesses since the rst quarter of so as of Q sog some qo,ooo interviews have been conducted. 24 Tis oers the most detailed view of SME attitudes and practices with regards to funding. It is important for this report, then, to explain its ndings in some detail. Te SME Finance Monitor is suciently well established that we can begin to see something of the shape of the SME In other words, we have limited insight into the SME business population and its evolution over time. Tis problem is exacerbated by the diering methodologies of business lobby groups, many of which conduct and publicise their own small-sample surveys on business activities and attitudes. It is a matter of logic that any company that is a member of a lobby group or trade association is, by denition, not a typical SME. 21
Indeed, it might help the debate if we abandon the very notion that there is such an entity. Table shows one eort to classify business size and the related nancial requirements and providers of nance. Its own footnote is illustrative of the issues discussed above. Te diculty of estimating the UK business stock in aggregate is mirrored by the equivalent problem at the level of individual businesses and companies. Even the simple rounded numbers used earlier in this report show that the vast majority of UK businesses are unincorporated and employ one person or no one (but mostly one person, the founder or owner, who has no current intention of employing anyone else therefore they create no employment, as we will explore below). Tey are not required by law to le information on their activities, although some of this is captured in HMRC data, particularly via individual tax returns. Where a business is incorporated, a long-standing drive against red tape has resulted in a progressive reduction in ling requirements, particularly for the smallest entities, which are not asked to le a prot and loss statement (P&L) and are oered lengthy time lags before they must le their accounts. By the time their balance sheets can be accessed the information is so old as to be eectively useless as a basis for assessing the market, its protability and its performance. 22
For their own reasons, some companies volunteer information about themselves to credit agencies such as Experian and Dun & Bradstreet, both of which gather extensive data in order to compile credit les on individual entities. However, this creates an obviously biased sample and leaves by far the biggest group of entities opaque to meaningful external analysis. 31 Mapping the SME population some international comparisons, but also oers a picture of the UK market, albeit with a time lag. Te latest scorecard for the UK is shown in gures q. and q.s. What do we learn from the scorecard? By this measure, SME lending actually increased aher soo;, and even in so was only a little below its soo; level. As a proportion of total business lending, it looks remarkably stable at around so per cent. Tis time series and the comparisons it allows will become much more valuable over time. Figure 4.2 Government loans guaranteed to SMEs (ofered) Source: Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs 2013. Figure 4.1 Trends in SME and entrepreneurship nance in the UK, 200711 population. For example, Figure g conrms the prevalence of single-owner businesses in sectors such as construction, transport and health and community services in the rst quarter of sog. In addition to the SME Finance Monitor, which looks only at the UK market, important new analysis of SMEs internationally has been developed in recent years by the OECD. 25 Aware that there are signicant challenges connected to data quality, the recently updated SME scorecard allows Figure 3 Proportion of SMEs and single-owner businesses in a number of sectors, UK, Q1 2013 33 3 Where do banks come in? A measure of the diculty facing anyone aiming to take an evidence-based approach to SMEs and the importance of funding in supporting their role in the UK economy is that the Bank of England tracks one set of numbers and the British Bankers Association another. Te OECD summary statistics shown in chapter s reect this confusion. Hence a caveat the numbers in this chapter are highly likely to be somewhat rounded because it is impossible to generate completely reliable data, but this should not reduce their credibility, as they have been extensively tested among market participants. According to the Bank of Englands numbers, the total SME market is some ;q billion of bank loans, 26 but the British Bankers Association estimates the market is only og billion a gap of more than ;o billion. Te reason? Te Banks data capture all lending to SMEs by so-called Mq lenders, and this includes foreign banks, leasing companies and so on. By contrast, the British Bankers Association reporting banks are the so-called high-street banks plus a few others such as the Co-operative Bank (although it withdrew from new business lending in May sog). Whereas the Bank of England requires reporting based on the simple metric of company or entity size, the British Bankers Association allows some discretion. Tanks to its relationships with its customers, a reporting bank has an understanding of their actual status and intent. For instance, some businesses choose to operate as a series of small aliates that link together, have nancial and organisational motives for remaining separate, but actually operate as one overall entity. Do you reect this in what you record or do you record each entity as a standalone SME? 35 Where do banks come in? Figure 5 The change in total stock of credit outstanding in each UK lending market, 200509
PNFC = private non-nancial corporations; OFC = other nancial corporations The boom period is 2005 Q1 to 2007 Q3 and the bust is 2007 Q3 to 2009 Q3. Data are not adjusted for securitisations. Excludes intragroup lending and assets held at the Bank of England. Source: Bank of England. Evidence for this comes from the Bank of England in the form of a chart clearly showing the extent to which non-UK banks ramped up the stock of lending in the boom years before exiting with haste aher the bust (gure ). 28 On the ip side, banks insistence that UK SMEs actually dont want to borrow very much at present tends to be ignored or dismissed as special pleading. Tere is good evidence, reviewed below, that they are correct in their assertion. Let us take the case of Barclays as an example of this tricky point. Its Bank of England ling suggests it lends s8 billion to SMEs as of the end of Q sog, but its British Bankers Association number is somewhere between ss billion and sq billion, reecting the Associations discretionary knowledge of its customers. Te dierence of between q billion and 6 billion is accounted for by just a few hundred customers, which Barclays judges are not SMEs, but in reality bigger, connected businesses. It believes this gives it a truer picture of the actual SME market. Anecdotal evidence from the other big UK banks suggests that they view the world in similar fashion. It is important that these numbers are understood. Take the insight that ;o billion of SME lending is not provided by the high-street banks. Teir lending amounts to roughly og billion, so is not a huge amount more. Yet the presence in the UK market of foreign banks, leasing companies and so on is almost never mentioned in the political debate about SME lending. Nor is an important consequence of this observation. Foreign banks entered the UK market aggressively in the period from soos until the blow up in soo;o8 of the entire nancial system. During that time, they competed hard, typically using mortgages on commercial property as collateral for lending. A feature of the market since the credit crisis has been the wholesale withdrawal of foreign banks providing net new lending they cannot aord to lend on an unsecured basis in the UK and they certainly cannot trust UK commercial property as the basis for secured lending. If anything, they want to call in loans. Tis helps to explain why SME lending has become such a canard. At the very time UK banks are under pressure to lend more to SMEs, following the withdrawal of foreign banks and others, the overall gures on lending show a remorseless decline, although UK banks might be trying their best to lend more. 27
Te banks feel under strong political pressure since the exposure of some business practices and attitudes that leave a lot to be desired, but in fact are much more willing to lend, and have been making much more eort to lend, than they are credited with in almost every inuential channel in UK public life. 37 Where do banks come in? Tere is an additional irony here. On the one hand, banks face criticism for lending too little to SMEs. On the other hand, there is growing awareness that if they lend too much they risk sustaining a generation of zombie companies that continue to live by recycling debt, but which in ordinary times would have gone bust (assuming they would have been able to borrow money in the rst place). Tese zombies are marginal, likely to be ex-growth or even shrinking, but they are also potentially damaging competitors who can distort markets. Te trouble is no one knows how many such companies exist, making it tricky to argue for specic behaviours or policies. Tis is by any standards a shame and the SME debate in the UK is further impoverished. What could be a genuine argument about how best to stimulate company performance, which in theory should lead naturally to employment growth and an escape from economic stagnation, remains stuck in sterile rhetoric based on lazy use of statistics and economic populism, combined with simple ignorance. 39 1 2 3 3A 4 4 A brief history of SME funding in the UK In the g8os UK businesses had a range of options for how they funded themselves externally. Tis has been described as a funding escalator, as shown in gure 6. Figure 6 The UK funding gap (funding escalator)
Source: Dr. Richard Roberts Another way of looking at this is to compile a menu of funding options for businesses of all sizes: Working capital s year cap ex/asset purchases Development capital Pure start-up capital Equity 41 A brief history of SME funding in the UK Te rst problem is that there is a potential lack of development and equity capital, thanks partly to the absence of competition from foreign banks and partly to the weak equity culture. Box 1 Dont sugar the pill Sir Alan Sugar gave a typically pithy speech in the House of Lords on sq March so: To reect on the past I years or so, it has been customary for a person dressed in a nice pair of designer jeans and a nice blue blazer with a white open-collared shirt, a bottle of Evian in one hand and a wonderful Microsof spreadsheet in the other, to walk into a bank, mention the word dotcom and walk out with million. Tose days, I am afraid, are over. We all know what went wrong there; and we also know what a mess the banks got into recently; but the penny has not dropped with some people. We still have in some cases an expectancy culture, where people still think that there should be money freely available to nance lost causes, poorly run companies or a whim of an idea True, the banks were irresponsible, and they have been told in no uncertain terms to get their act together. However, having told the banks to get their house in order, the current Government are constantly bleating that the banks are not being helpful in lending money to small businesses, whereas the message to the small business community should be one of realism in understanding that no one is going to lend money to a lost cause. Te banks are now looking at the traditional criteria of showing some assets or having some historic record of prots before parting with their money. Tey are denitely open for business. Tat, I remind your Lordships, is how they make some of their money. In my recent seminars, I have received comments from some people along the lines of, Te bank has been outrageous. It has actually asked me to put up some collateral my house, for example. Well, I am very sorry, but why not? Why should it take a risk on you if you are not prepared to take a risk on yourself? 29 Each step of the escalator had dierent participants. Te banks role was largely conned to and s with the expectation of three- to ve-year payback periods on what was eectively secured or partially secured lending in the case of s. g and q were the territory of gi, venture capital specialists and some specialist banking units. gA was typically provided from personal wealth or by friends and family, and more rarely by so-called angel investors. Te recent history of UK business funding and our two current problems is shown in gure ;. Figure 7 UK business funding from before 1990 to 2007
HNW High Net Worth; MEW Mortgage Equity Withdrawal. 43 A brief history of SME funding in the UK fund themselves thanks to a willingness among banks to compete during a time of abundant credit. But that all changed. As noted above, foreign banks, which had been aggressive competitors in the UK market, withdrew. Tere was no more equity to be released. Borrowers who had received credit in the boom years no longer seemed like plausible candidates, but needed to nd ways to deleverage or renance their existing debts. And the banks questioned whether their participation in medium- to long-term business lending made economic sense given capital requirements and the costs associated with understanding individual business borrowers. In particular, they essentially withdrew from lending with maturities from o to years on the grounds that this type of long-term funding is better suited to equity. Put simply, SME debt nance is dicult to lend protably at scale, and this problem is by no means conned to the UK. We will explore this further below. Te important point is that banks role in SME funding changed signicantly prior to soo; and is in the process of changing again. As part of that process, the banks themselves are assessing how they participate, how they make a prot over the cycle, and how they recongure customer relationships and customer attitudes so that there is a better meeting of expectations and reality. It goes without saying that successful borrowers pre-soo; will naturally nd it strange that their bank might no longer be willing to oer funding either on the same terms or at all. But the change reects the fact that the period from roughly sooo to soo; was anomalous. Some aspects of the change are particularly vexing for some borrowers, but seem more reasonable when viewed from the perspective of the lender. Aher soo;, banks increasingly asked for personal guarantees on new SME loans, to the consternation of many existing customers seeking either new or rollover funding. Tey also reviewed and ohen revised their overdrah facilities and assessed the covenants on outstanding loans to see whether these could be called in. In simple terms, for the lender a loan is a commitment, Te second problem is that life is trickier for start-ups, particularly because there is rarely the option to fund a start-up using the mortgage equity withdrawal that was a feature of the go-go years. Moreover, funding from friends and family is harder to come by. Although at the very top of the wealth spectrum there has been little hardship, many potential equity funders of start-ups lower down the cohort have been distracted by concerns about pensions, care bills, university fees and so on. An unintended consequence of the withdrawal by the state from areas such as these has been that the propensity for personal investing in risky start-ups has dropped. Tis element of the funding menu is clearly broken. Before the early ggos, banks business lending balance sheet consisted of 8o per cent overdrahs and working capital and so per cent secured loans. From todays perspective, this might look like a funding nirvana, but it was actually dangerous for SMEs. Unlike a loan, an overdrah is repayable on demand, so if a bank thinks a business is in trouble or merely shihs its risk appetite, an overdrah can be cut or cancelled. A loan, by contrast, cannot be called in unless the borrower has failed to make a due payment. Overdrahs, by denition then, are inherently short term and contingent they can be reduced or withdrawn, and the borrower has no right of appeal. Tis type of SME funding was not nearly as appropriate as it appeared to be. In the recession of the early ggos banks made signicant losses on their SME loan portfolios. 30 As a consequence they changed the way they lent, increasingly moving to a fully secured basis and relying heavily on commercial mortgages as collateral. Tey quickly reversed their balance sheets, in eect changing their role in the day-to-day funding needs of their business clients. When new capital rules were introduced banks mostly closed down their development capital operations. Before the crisis of soo; rising property values suggested that this was a successful strategy. Some start-ups were able to fund themselves using mortgage equity release rather than traditional channels. Some marginal businesses were able to 45 A brief history of SME funding in the UK would be oered more favourable terms and encouraged to borrow more in order to consolidate growth. But it appears not to be the case. Banks are slow to reduce interest rates on loans, for example, even if a successful company is clearly less risky and should therefore benet from some form of risk-based price reduction. At the portfolio level, banks use price inexibility to keep a small portion of the upside being generated by the successful clients, with the eect that debt nance is more expensive than clients might have expected. Tis could partially explain why rms generally seek equity nance only when they have reached a certain size. 32 while for the borrower it represents an option on future success. Te outcome for the bank is clear it gets repaid on time in full (or partially) or it does not and loses everything. Te borrower or business owner has a dierent riskreward trade o. If the loan helps the business to add value, then all of the benet goes to the borrower or owner. If not, the option is, in eect, put back to the lender and is either worthless or worth less. Depending on the duration of the loan, a bank is constantly vulnerable to this mismatch in outcomes. Moreover, lenders are acutely aware that there can be a lemons problem in the SME market. 31 Businesses and their owners will always know more about their actual health and situation than the lender, despite its best eorts to gather and monitor information. Tere is a tendency for businesses to turn to bank funding precisely when they know something is going wrong and that external nance might help to avert a nancial problem. As one banker puts it, Among the most dangerous words a banker can hear are back me! Te tension goes both ways. Bankers describe the Friday ahernoon syndrome whereby a business owner phones to ask for an emergency short-term increase in their overdrah, typically to pay sta wages that would otherwise go unpaid. If the bank manager declines, then it is easy to see why the business owner will think that this decline is the true reason for the failure of the business, when the truth is very dierent and much more deep-seated. Te problems associated with the information asymmetries between lenders and borrowers have been the subject of much academic research. One nding of interest is that successful SMEs, the tiny minority that grow in a sustained way, can actually end up paying more for bank loans than their less successful peers because banks are aware of the dicult underlying economics of lending. With SME lending there is a portfolio eect whereby the population of good borrowers is eectively subsidising the uneconomic borrowers by paying a higher rate of interest than would apply if they were treated individually. Indeed, you might think that a visibly successful client 47 5 Why do governments love SMEs? Tis background partly explains why the Government and other groups are so focused on banks role in the SME economy. But to understand the issue we need to look harder at why SMEs are the subject of so much political attention. Te funding debate seems ohen to assume that SMEs face a form of nancial discrimination. In fact, they are heavily subsidised by taxpayers, despite a lack of robust evidence that as an aggregate group they full many of the claims made on their behalf for incremental growth rather than (welcome) stability. Professor David Storey conservatively estimated in soo6 that the annual total nancial support for small business is equivalent to a public expenditure of ;.g billion, more than the then annual budget for the nations police force. 33 Are they worth it? Tat might seem like a heretical question, but it is justied by the evidence or lack thereof. In recent years a major European Commission research project has been exploring the role of nance in growth, employment and competitiveness. 34
Some of the most striking ndings cast doubt on whether the SME sector deserves the support it receives from governments all over Europe. In their paper Muppets and gazelles, published in September so, Paul Nightingale and Alex Coad, of the University of Sussex, claimed convincingly that there is no solid proof that SMEs and entrepreneurs are especially benecial to the economy. 35 Teir arguments are worth close attention as they go to the heart of the SME problem. Academic work over recent decades has established that developed economies, including the UK, are disproportionately inuenced by a few very successful companies, which drive innovation, create wealth and generate new jobs. Te ipside 49 Why do governments love SMEs? more innovating small enterprises than there are larger innovating enterprises, and this skewed reality has shaped the policy agenda. 38 Tere is an argument in the academic literature that a combination of cultural and ideological biases in favour of entrepreneurs has crowded out a proper examination of the issue, a dilemma exacerbated by the problems of data quality already discussed above: 39
Rather than entrepreneurship being a universally good thing, the evidence for positive impact is at best weak and highly skewed towards the impact of atypical rms small rm jobs are more volatile, less productive and less well-paid, have fewer benets, and have higher rates of accidents. Entrepreneurial rms are less innovative, less productive, and are not associated with GDP growth. 40 In fact, some argue that there may be excessive entrepreneurship in an economy if public policy encourages too much market entry. A more productive policy route may be to focus attention on the growth potential of new businesses rather than the quantity. Interestingly, this is a feature of some current UK eorts to improve new business success rates. For example, the o,ooo small businesses project funded by the Goldman Sachs Foundation and run by Aston Business School oers selected businesses close mentoring and support in several UK regions. Its self-description does not challenge conventional thinking, however the programme aims to support the vital role played by small businesses in creating jobs and driving economic growth. Nightingale and Coad note that the typical entrepreneur is not Bill Gates, but rather someone who starts from an underprivileged position (s% of start-ups in the UK come from unemployment, for example), uses their savings to start a low-productivity rm such as a sh and chip shop, in a town with two sh and chips shops, but a market that can only support one if they are still around in two years, which is is that most companies, in fact the vast majority of them, have little positive impact, are not innovative, and generate no or few new jobs. Tey are in eect post-growth, regardless of the size of the rm. Most companies are SMEs, including start-ups, so these will make up most of the group that makes little impact. We can run the same observation for growth (of which more below) only a few companies are capable of sustained growth and, given the size of the SME sector as a fraction of the economy, it follows that the majority of companies that do not sustain growth are SMEs. Small company survival rates support these analyses. An accepted broad nding is that roughly half of new rms in the UK fail to survive for more than two years. Even if this is overly pessimistic, it is directionally correct. In Canada, for example, which has some of the best statistics on SMEs thanks to a long-running data-collection eort, 8 per cent of SMEs (with up to so employees) survive a full year aher starting up, ;o per cent survive through a second year, but only per cent survive for ve years. 36 Nightingale and Coad ask why the relatively poor performance of so many companies receives so little attention when the question is crucial for industrial and economic policy. Te underlying point is that this is an intensely political issue. Broadly speaking, since the g;os support for SMEs has been seen as a convenient proxy for supporting growth in the economy. Furthermore, small business owners are part of a large and vocal constituency they are good at getting attention and they have a lot of votes. Rather than asking why so many SMEs dont want to grow, all the attention is given to the few successful enterprises, which motivates a range of responses from untargeted public subsidy to criticism of banks for their unwillingness to lend. A good analogy made by Professor Storey is that of a lottery we hear plenty about the incredibly rare winners, but nothing about the millions of routine losers. 37 Professor Hughes notes that this also holds true for product and process innovations large rms dominate these activities, but there are many 51 Why do governments love SMEs? very unlikely, it is only because they have displaced a similar marginal rm. Such rms create a lot of jobs, but also destroy a lot of jobs, and while they make their owners happier, they have a fairly marginal impact on the rest of the economy and only make up a small proportion of employment. 41
Nightingale and Coad suggest that the majority of start-ups should be classied as marginal undersized poor performance enterprises (hence the muppets of their title). More usefully, the authors argue that market entry generates three kinds of rms. In addition to the muppets, there are businesses with potential that fail to realise it thanks to bad luck or poor judgement, along with the few rms that achieve their potential. By far the largest share comes from the rst of these, they conclude. Few sources better illustrate the divide between academic research, for all of its drawbacks and diculties, and policy makers. Tis is surely an area where evidence-based research in the public sphere deserves more attention. 53 6 Some numbers on funding of SMEs they might surprise you We noted above that SMEs in the UK rely overwhelmingly on banks for their funding. But this type of generalisation risks precisely the misdirection pointed out by Nightingale and Coad. We need to unpack the numbers before we can understand whether or not there is a problem. An HM Treasury and BIS report on SME nancing noted in its overview of nancing options that SMEs, in particular, suer from long-standing challenges in accessing bank and equity nance, and have therefore been historically the main target of government action. 42
Tis creates an initial potential confusion by conating bank and external equity nancing. In fact, equity nance is extremely unusual in the SME sector and represents arguably one of the biggest opportunities for future reform of overall business funding. How many SMEs seek equity funding in any given year? Only s per cent so in every ,ooo. Te number is a signal that these seekers might be of policy interest, if only because they are so unusual. Any solution here might involve banks, but is certainly not their primary responsibility. Te report goes on to note, Around a third of SMEs do not use formal sources of external nance at all, relying instead on retained earnings or personal nance to fund investment and growth. Tis is highly signicant, but also contains a serious misdirection. It is signicant because it points to an easily overlooked fact about SMEs they dont borrow very much and most simply dont borrow at all, at least from a bank. 43 And the misdirection is that investment and growth are two very dierent things, again conated. We will come back to the question of SME growth below. 55 Some numbers on funding of SMEs We also know from the SME Finance Monitor that roughly qo per cent of SMEs meet the denition of permanent non-borrowers they have not borrowed in the past ve years and indicate no intention of borrowing in the foreseeable future this tallies exactly with the Treasurys number. Tis group is over-represented among smaller SMEs, which makes sense because that very large population includes many businesses that have no need for external nance at all and they are unlikely to turn to a bank in the event that they were to do so. Tis category of permanent non-borrowers is mildly problematic, not least because it is a supplement to the earlier designations of happy non-seekers and would-be seekers, but it represents an important analytical insight. Indeed, it allows us to put some other aspects of SME funding into perspective. It demonstrates that any assertion about the demand for and supply of external funding for SMEs can apply at best to less than two-thirds of the population. In other words, one could say, Of the 6o% of SMEs that have any interest in seeking external nance, xx% etc etc or only qo per cent of SMEs are currently using external funding, and only a proportion of that, albeit a large one, comes from banks. Critics have argued that no one can be sure that they will not borrow in future and that the assumption of permanence is therefore questionable. However, whatever the semantics, it seems that there is validity in identifying those SMEs that are highly likely to remain nancially independent. Te SME Finance Monitor sets a tough hurdle before an SME is considered to belong in the group of SMEs that seem rmly disinclined to borrow, because they meet all of the following conditions: are not currently using external nance have not used external nance in the past years have had no borrowing events in the past s months have not applied for any other forms of nance in the last s months, said that they had had no desire to borrow in the past s months and reported no inclination to borrow in the next g months Figure 8 Use of external nance by UK SMEs, 2011 to Q1 2013
By date of interview Source: SME Finance Monitor, Q1 2013, p 41 We run into some dispute about the precise numbers here. Te Treasury and BIS report gure looks low compared with other research that suggests only so per cent of SMEs use bank nance, until we realise that there is an important dierence between external nance and bank nance, the latter being a sub-category of the former. 44 Anecdotally, banks believe that the so per cent number feels about right given their knowledge of local business populations. Te annual report of SME Finance Monitor in sos reported that somewhat over half (q per cent) of SMEs have not used external nance at all over the last ve years. 45 Figure 8 gives the breakdown for these gures between so and the rst quarter of sog; we can see the proportion of SMEs that have not used external nance is increasing. 57 Some numbers on funding of SMEs One completely overlooked aspect of the relationship between SMEs and banks is that over time SMEs have been a remarkably stable source of net funding for banks. Deposits from small businesses routinely were larger than their borrowings for at least three decades prior to the mid-g8os. Te Bolton Inquiry into small rms, which reported in g;, made precisely this point. 47 Only from the late g8os to the mid-ggos did a higher percentage of SMEs borrow from the banks to the extent that the group as a whole became net borrowers. Interestingly, this reversed in the late ggos, with a brief dip into net indebtedness in soo. 48 SMEs in general entered the current turmoil with relatively good net liquidity and the rate of business failures since soo; has been correspondingly low, in contrast to the earlier recession when banks were hit hard by losses from their SME portfolios. 49 Tis raises another important but subtle point about the role of SMEs in the economy and their symbiosis with the nancial system. As a group they generally lend money to banks rather than borrow it. Banks then seek productive uses for those funds, lending them on and seeking value-creating opportunities. Among the borrowers is a sub-set of the SME sector, those companies that are growing and need external funding short of being ready to raise equity. So the general population of SMEs helps the atypical tiny minority, albeit obliquely and unwittingly. We can go further. If we look at the amounts borrowed, the biggest borrowers come overwhelmingly from the biggest SMEs those companies on the cusp of escaping the classication that are not yet able, or are unwilling, to tap funding sources other than banks. Simply by their own borrowing, they greatly reduce the net deposits of the SME sector, so the typical picture we see understates the sectors actual contribution to banks funding. It is like looking down a telescope the wrong way. Tis has important implications for such matters as overall nancial stability. While most SMEs are fairly conservative in their nances, they contribute to overall stability, even if failure rates within the sector remain high. Tus during the research process there are sequential opportunities for an individual respondent to drop out of the category. Most SMEs have always funded their activities entirely from internal sources, namely accumulated capital and retained earnings. Te SME Finance Monitor is showing that there is growing reliance on these sources of funds, perhaps because of debt aversion post the credit crisis or because business owners know that in the current climate they are unlikely to look like an attractive proposition to a potential lender. More than half of SMEs have a personal element in their business nances, whether a personal bank account, a funding facility in a personal name, an application for such a facility or an injection of personal funds into the business. Te latter is by far the most common some qo per cent of SMEs say that in the last year they injected funds either because they wanted to or had to. Most of the capital injections were pretty small though 6o per cent were for ,ooo or less. Again, this makes sense. Hundreds of thousands of small business owners routinely tap in and out of their companies partly because they are optimising their personal taxes, for example using director loans that must be repaid and taking dividends in lieu of salary. We can make a useful international comparison here. Recent research by Oliver Wyman, a consulting rm, found that while many US SMEs (or small businesses dened as in business for at least one year and with fewer than oo employees) used credit cards, car loans or rst mortgages to fund their business, only % report having an operating loan or an equipment loan or lease. Tus small businesses dont actually have many small business loans. 46 Te researchers noted something equally striking: ;o8o per cent of small business owners report that access to credit is high up the list of things they look for when choosing a bank. While they dont want a traditional line of credit or a term loan, they overwhelmingly want something that can act as a reserve or buer against an occasional cashow gap, typically to cover an amount equivalent to between half and one months revenues. 59 Some numbers on funding of SMEs Figure 10 Use of external funding by UK SMEs, 2011 to Q1 2013 Percentages shown represent highest and lowest values per category Source: SME Finance Monitor, Q1 2013 We can see clearly that overdrahs overwhelmingly act as a liquidity mechanism put another way, an overdrah can be seen as protection against cashow volatility as per the Oliver Wyman US research cited above. Tis ts with our knowledge that many overdrahs are actually not fully used. In fact, there is a very large pool of unused credit in the UK SME sector according to the Business Finance Taskforce, facilities across the board are utilised by only ; per cent, with rates of utilisation ranging from o per cent in manufacturing to 8 per cent in real estate. One bank says that its overdrah facilities are only qo per cent drawn and
Figure 9 Use of bank overdraft as nance by UK SMEs, 2011 to Q1 2013 Source: SME Finance Monitor, Q1 2013 Where they do use external nance, overdrahs from a bank are the most common source of funding. But only just, as Figure g shows, and the number of overdrahs has fallen sharply in the last few years. Tis is in part because capital requirements have made it much more expensive for banks to advance overdrahs, so they have responded by introducing annual fees even if the overdrah is not used. One interesting nding concerns those SMEs using a credit card for their business. Tree-quarters of them report that they usually pay o their balance in full each month, which suggests that the cards are more a source of short-term liquidity and a payment mechanism than they are actual loan nance as such. In addition, small business owners are shrewd and know that bank charges on card balances can be substantial and should be avoided if possible by regular clearing. Only 8 per cent of SMEs has a bank loan or a commercial mortgage. But as Figure Io shows, in soII the figure was only Is per cent the difference is hardly dramatic. This again raises the question of why SME funding should require so much attention. Figure lists the reasons why businesses apply for overdrahs or bank loans. Te SME Finance Monitor looks at the motivation of SMEs that actively sought to have a new overdrah or to renew an existing overdrah in the last s months a surprisingly small number of just gs6,ooo rms as of the rst quarter of sog, or ; per cent of all SMEs. 50
61 Some numbers on funding of SMEs that the trend is falling: Across the industry, undrawn committed facilities from banks exceed 8 billion. Tere is a further ;o billion of committed, undrawn facilities available from other lenders. 51
To put that into context the stock of undrawn credit is greater than the stock of all SME loans. Te equivalent gures for loans made to SMEs in the last two years is also revealing (gure s). Only q per cent of all SMEs, or some 6g,ooo businesses, 52 applied for a loan during this period. Further, we can see that those SMEs that do want to borrow dont want to borrow very much (gure g). As you would expect, only the larger rms want to borrow signicant amounts and it is likely that it is in this sub-group that we will nd the true pressure point between would-be borrowers and bank lenders. 53 Many of the smaller SMEs want a loan to purchase a car or van, or to purchase xed assets such as oce equipment, while larger rms want to fund expansion within the UK or to purchase oce premises. 54
Figure 13 Amount UK SMEs initially applied to borrow, where stated, Q1 2013 Figure 12 Types of loans UK SMEs applied for, Q1 2013 Figure 11 Purpose of overdrafts sought by UK SMEs, June 2010 63 Some numbers on funding of SMEs Preliminary analysis suggests that roughly ;o per cent of the applications for loans and overdrahs were successful, sq per cent were unsuccessful and per cent ended with the borrower taking some other form of funding. Tus roughly gg,ooo businesses wanted to borrow from a bank in the form of a loan or an overdrah, but were unable to do so. Why? From the lenders perspective, the biggest single reason for declining an application for a loan or overdrah from an SME is that they judge the potential borrower as being unlikely to be able to service the debt. Even with collateral or a government guarantee, if a loan has only a small chance of being repaid lets say less than o per cent it would be irresponsible to advance the money. Many of those refused credit were recently-started small businesses looking to borrow for the rst time. Others were established businesses seeking to renew an existing loan or take on additional debt, and we can put that gure into some context. One high-street bank has a business banking arm that lends only to SMEs up to a turnover limit of million. It processes roughly oo,ooo credit applications annually and says that go per cent of applicants are successful. 55 Let us assume it has a s per cent market share and that the other big banks have roughly the same number of applications reasonable, but not oo per cent accurate assumptions. Tat would suggest there are something in the region of qoo,ooo applications annually. Te gg,ooo businesses that fail to get funding reect proportionally almost exactly the o per cent of applicants refused by the one bank (gure q). We can say with some condence, then, that the SME funding problem boils down to this a fraction of the SME population wishes to borrow and Io per cent of that fraction fails because the bank or lender deems them unacceptably risky or simply inappropriate. 56 It hardly seems the stu of frantic national debate. Figure 14 Business credit applications by UK SMEs, 2013 65 7 The front line of SME lending It was mentioned above that it is dicult to lend to small businesses at scale while making a prot. Tis is an important issue with a distinct lack of hard data, but there is some persuasive evidence. In the report cited above, Oliver Wyman explains that in the US market, which is much bigger than that in the UK, small business loan portfolios typically show positive accounting prots but negative economic prots through the cycle. 57 Why? Te researchers identied the main factors that determine SME lending protability as: unit cost cost of funds loan losses economic capital loan pricing Unit cost the cost associated with booking an individual loan is by far the biggest factor, followed by capital and inadequate loan pricing. 58 It made apparent sense to try to cut unit costs by introducing techniques borrowed from consumer lending, in particular semi- automated methods relying on credit scoring of a business or its owner, or both. But banks in the US used these new techniques only on the easy cases those applicants that were obviously good or bad, so relatively few loans ended up being decided only via the automated path, which in turn ensured that unit costs remained stubbornly high. 67 The front line of SME lending dierent levels, but the maximum loan before a request moves to a dierent area of the bank is g million. Tese are coveted and senior jobs: each sanctioner in the banks national team has an average of s years experience; they usually began working in a branch and then worked up through consumer to business credit. Te lending requests for overdrahs or actual loans begin overwhelmingly in the banks branches, of which it has roughly s,ooo. In each branch there might be between oo and soo business customers, and new potential borrowers invariably go to the nearest branch of the bank to which they are applying. 61 So, in fact, it is the branch business manager, who supposedly no longer exists (but who may not be the same person as the actual branch manager), who makes the initial call on whether or not to advance a request. Te no decision ofen happens exactly where no one suspects right in the branch. But here is where automation comes in. Te branch managers request or recommendation to advance credit is sent to the banks internal systems. A credit-scoring technique then determines not whether or not the loan should be approved or denied but instead suggests where decision rights over the approval should lie. In one-quarter of cases, it gives the choice right back to the branch. In the remaining three-quarters of cases the sanctioners decide, but even then the branch-based colleague can appeal a decision on behalf of the applicant. Any decline is subject to a second opinion. Appeals can work. 62 Roughly qo per cent of no decisions are over-turned internally, mainly because during the process new information emerges that gives the lender more comfort remember the discussion above of the lemons problem in SME lending. Te point is that people, not machines, make the lending decision. Tere is a twist in the story at this point, and one that helps to explain why banks get so much ak for apparently being tough on SMEs. Te one-quarter of applications that get sent back to the branch have a higher failure rate than those processed centrally by the experienced sanctioners. So it is actually in the high street that businesses feel rejection most directly. Why? The truth about automation Tis is useful background to something almost never mentioned in the SME funding debate. It is something of a clich that UK banks collective aversion to SME lending has its roots in our own version of automation. Across the relevant literature is a never-challenged narrative: in the olden, golden days, local bank branch managers knew their business customers and knew exactly how much to lend them. Put aside the fact that they could be highly prejudiced, not just in business lending but, for example, in their decisions about whether they viewed someone as t to be granted a mortgage so they could buy a house. In the harsh, modern environment, greedy banks took away the branch manager role, replacing him (not many women here) with automated decision-making systems based on credit scoring. 59 Nowadays, cold calculation replaces the nuance and judgement of the past. Banks have forgotten how to lend, hence the deciencies of their SME oerings. We can see that, based on everything above, this is already looking like another myth to be questioned. Te US evidence is that SME lending is tricky precisely because there are so many exceptions to automation it only works well for the obvious duds or must-haves, so exceptions crowd out the cost-saving potential of the data-based analysis. How does a loan get decided? What informs whether a request for credit is approved or turned down? What happens on the front line of SME lending? To answer these questions, let us look in some detail at the role played by a sanctioner in the SME lending unit of one of the high-street banks. 60 Te unit has sta whose job is to approve, query or decline requests for loans by businesses with a turnover of up to million. Te term sanctioner sounds forbidding, but suggests that these sta are pre-disposed to approve loan requests. Teir job is to act as independent judges of whether loans should be granted o the back of customer credit les put together by colleagues on the ground who interact directly with the would-be borrowers. Depending on their experience, they are authorised to sanction loans at 69 The front line of SME lending month-end, and that treatment is highly dependent on the nature and extent of the request. Some are nodded through because the business case is so well set out by the business manager at branch level. Others lead to almost forensic inquiry. If the applicant has their personal bank accounts with the bank, then the sanctioner can look closely at the connection between the two, but clearly this is impossible if the customer banks elsewhere. Google Earth might be used to assess the shape and state of a piece of land. Detailed credit les are accessed where they exist. Companies House records are checked to make sure what the bank has been told is correct. And so on. When one sits alongside a sanctioner it is clear that the bank wants to lend aher all, that is its business purpose, despite it reporting at demand. But what is impossible to appreciate from outside is the care with which the decisions are made. In one case the sanctioner approved a renancing for an existing customer, investigating to allow them to look beyond several indicators that there were underlying risks that were deteriorating or at least suggested a need for further investigation. But the sanctioner only did so aher making careful checks about the development status of a piece of land that had been key to the original lending decision a few years earlier. Te sanctioner also checked on the personal nances of the borrower to assess whether trouble in the business was mirrored there. Reassured on both counts, the loan extension was approved. Te sanctioner explained that the rationale was that this increased the chance of eventual repayment, a better outcome than forcing the customer into default. In another case, a large new loan for an existing borrower was also approved, but only aher the sanctioner had spoken directly to the business manager to check some facts that were unclear in the application. Tis was as about as far from machine lending as one can imagine. Tme-consuming and costly. And certainly not impersonal. Te answer is that a dierent process kicks in at branch level, which is dened by the economics of small business lending. Most of the requests are for fairly small, unsecured loans. Tese would be prohibitively expensive for the bank to process using central underwriting. Te customer would not see the costs as reasonable if they were passed on, but if the bank absorbed them then SME lending would be instantly unprotable. Tus many of these requests are sent back to the branch and are treated less as idiosyncratic one-os and more like a retail product where the yesno decision is based on a set of absolute rules rather than the managers discretion. Tat dierence between decision and discretion is vital. If the rules say no, then that must be the branch managers response, hence the higher proportion of refusals in the branches. Does that still seem dierent in a bad way from go or qo years ago? Banks accept that these days there is less deep business expertise, and certainly less discretion, in their branches. Branch sta have less experience and training than might be needed to make lending decisions for large amounts. But, once again, economics is key. Tirty years ago there were roughly one-quarter of todays number of business entities, so the many fewer requests could be handled at branch level by experienced business lenders and the economics worked. Today, the business has such high volumes that central processing is the only possible economic route for the majority of loan requests. But, as we will see, central processing is not the terrible thing it is ohen made out to be. Interestingly, the centralised loan sanctioners make the yesno decision, but they do not set the price of the loan. Prices are set centrally, so this aspect of the automation myth has some truth. Tat said, even pricing can be appealed at the branch level. Te bank maintains a specialist pricing desk to allow for exceptions to the norm. Tere might therefore also be a disconnect between centre and satellites as to the true costs of what is, in eect, idiosyncratic decision making. A senior sanctioner explains that on average there are numerous daily requests with spikes at 71 8 SMEs and growth Following the logic of the numbers set out above, we can also bring some light to the debate about whether and how SMEs are crucial to overall economic growth. Anyone who runs or owns a small business will be familiar with a question that is routinely asked by nancial advisers and accountants is the business something you are intending to grow? If not, then it is a reasonable assumption that the company in question will aspire to a given level of turnover and no more. Equally likely, it will have no intention of creating jobs because the turnover is intended to meet the owners lifestyle needs and little else. Such a company is likely to be protable and, depending on the sector, might trade with very high margins. But it is not a growth company. Tis is not to denigrate the contribution of these businesses to the economy, a great many jobs, and a good deal of multiplier benets via the supply chain rely on them. But it is important to note that while small, these businesses are post-growth. Further, although it is not directly the topic of this report, company growth is a vexed subject in its own right. Academic studies suer from many of the same issues that aict the SME debate. For example, what is the correct denition of growth? Some look at employment, others at turnover. Some start-ups demonstrate exponential growth rates because the starting point is zero, but the survival rates mentioned above are a reminder that very few companies go on and grow consistently for a sustained number of years. As businesses get larger it becomes ever more challenging to maintain high growth rates, while the tendency towards mergers and acquisitions can complicate our ability to tease out underlying growth rates. Some top-line growth can be at 73 SMEs and growth on size. Tis leads us to a changed assumption: rather than thinking small, policymakers should think growth if most SMEs have no immediate ambitions to grow, we should focus our eorts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver signicant growth in the future. Even if most growth businesses are SMEs, it certainly does not mean most SMEs are growth businesses. Loans are not always the best nance All of this is consistent with the idea outlined above that SMEs are not a single category and that there will always be a high proportion of them that must be excluded from any attempt to generalise. Intelligent analysis of them and their nancing needs requires a lot of specication, but this is typically missing from the debate. We can look a little closer at the growth challenge to develop this point. An important, but largely overlooked, question relates to the dierent needs for nance that companies in dierent industries might have at various points in their life cycles. We have established that a majority of SMEs, regardless of industry sector, have no or only little need for external nance beyond plain-vanilla, transaction banking services. Te minority of businesses that do require external nance, indeed depend on it for their development, typically have needs that are determined by the industry in which they are competing. A growing manufacturing rm, for example, will require term loans in order to make capital purchases machine tools, production facilities and so on. From the lenders perspective this is ne because there are some recoverable assets in the event that the business fails and the term of the loan can be linked to the lifetime of the assets. An agricultural business will have seasonal needs from sowing to harvest, but might also need capital investment for machinery, so requires a combination of term loans and overdrahs. Here, as with the manufacturer, the lender can assess asset values and the history of the shorter-term direct nancing of the business is this a business that regularly pays on time or manages its overdrahs well, thereby avoiding the expense of sustainability of growth, so how should we measure good growth as opposed to absolute growth in the short term? Some growth among larger SMEs that are heading towards raising equity might occur because a management team has set that goal and is deliberately managing towards it, but it might be cutting into corporate fat in order to get there. Te methodological problems are myriad. Nevertheless, it is clear that the few companies capable of growth contribute a disproportionate amount to the overall performance of the economy. Pioneering research by Nesta published in soog studied a cohort of roughly so,ooo rms that were new in gg8. It concluded, High-growth companies represent only 6 per cent of all UK rms employing ten or more people, but accounted for more than half the growth in jobs. More specically, II,o high-growth rms were responsible for I. million out of the increase in s.q million new jobs in established businesses employing ten or more people between soo and soo8 (q per cent). 63
Tis nding goes a long way to explain the enduring interest among politicians in identifying and facilitating growth companies a tiny minority are engines that can create jobs. But other headline ndings in the same report have received much less attention. In fact, Nesta noted that eorts to target a few rms with higher growth potential are likely to be more ecient than general business support policy for all SMEs, many of whom lack the ambition to grow. 64 Tis is another way of saying, as Nesta itself also did, that eorts to focus on quality and growth potential might do better than those focused on quantity. Te Nesta report also points out that ;o per cent of high-growth rms are at least ve years old. Only one-third of the initial cohort from gg8 survived to soo8, and only around 8,ooo of the survivors employed more than ten people. It is clear that size is a poor proxy for growth potential, and that it would appear more rational for policymakers to focus their attention directly on growth as a characteristic than 75 SMEs and growth fees? Note that the bank is concerned mainly with the security of repayment, not other measures such as the protability of the business. A high-tech start-up with no prospect of prots for several years, no positive cashow in its rst three years and few assets against which to secure a loan obviously requires quite dierent nancing. Te sort of venture funding that it needs is very unlikely to come from a bank, although a bank will be involved in the more prosaic funding needs and doubtless watch overdrah and other limits with care. Paradoxically, it might be the high-tech start-up that generates jobs in the short term, with no guarantee that those jobs will survive beyond the companys initial eorts. But this also brings us up against one of the fundamental issues of SME funding in general. As a lender, a bank is asked to extend a loan that exceeds the visible lifetime of the asset securing that loan. Should it make the loan? In recent history, specically the anomalous period before soo;, it tended to, because the loan could be secured additionally against property and also because credit was cheap in an extremely competitive environment. Cheap credit is no longer available now, so the lending decision is more complicated. If there has been a reversion to the mean, this is it. But we can also see this is a way of explaining that there is a boundary, somewhat uid and denitely somewhat cyclical between what banks should nance and what should come from other sources. Tis boundary is key and it leads to our next section. 77 9 Debtequity: the lenders dilemma In the UK there is a cultural assumption that it is somehow preferable for the owner of the business to take on a loan rather than to raise capital by selling equity. We noted above the option-like nature of a loan for the borrower. And surely debt is cheaper than equity? As always, real life is more complicated than neat theory. By the time a borrower has nished negotiating a loan, the costs can double from the initial quoted interest rate to something not far o the cost of equity. Moreover, debt can behave in funny ways, especially in bad times. We noted above that many indebted SMEs found that their lenders attitudes changed once the credit crunch began. Banks seeking to deleverage scanned their loan agreements for covenants that the borrower might have breached and if they found any they called in the loan or altered its terms. One of the reasons this was so upsetting was that debt was actually behaving like equity the lender became the de facto owner of the business, able to dictate terms and potentially even to put the business into administration. Equity, on the other hand, only conveys control if an owner sells a majority stake. 65 Tere is a fundamental issue related to the nancial structure of equity and a traditional loan, which is at the heart of the unsuitability of lending as a mechanism for absorbing development, innovation or start-up risk. A loan requires certainty of income to meet interest payments, and in the case of secured lending a dened asset on which to secure the loan. A classic example might be an established manufacturer seeking nance to fund the purchase of a new machine, the output of which is predictable, with the loan addressed within the lifetime of the asset. As noted earlier in this report, this nance remains available to the market. 79 Debtequity: the lenders dilemma equity culture for business is that it receives less favourable tax treatment than debt. A few tentative steps have been taken to alter this. For example, in March the Government abolished stamp duty on shares for medium-sized business listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM). Tat alone cut the cost of equity capital for SMEs by per cent, according to the chief executive of the London Stock Figure 15 External funding sources for UK SMEs, Q1 2013 Equity nance does not demand interest repayments, and does not require assets on which to secure the nance. It is structured to allow the investor exposure to potential open-ended capital growth, but asks the investor to accept losses in the event that the investment fails. It is therefore the most appropriate structure to nance risk. As an example, a pre-prot high-tech business may well have no cash ow and no certainty over future cash ow. It may also have no assets other than its emergent intellectual property. It therefore represents signicant investment risk, but might oer signicant potential. Equity nance would be the most appropriate solution for the business and for the investor or lender. It is ohen remarked that UK business owners have a cultural disposition against selling equity and that this contrasts with the more open attitude among, for example, US entrepreneurs. Figure shows how little equity is used by SMEs and how relatively little dierence there is by company size. But the SME Finance Monitor went further, asking those SMEs that are incorporated whether they used equity from third parties. Te response? Only per cent reported using this form of external funding. 66 Tis seems like a more profound issue than whether or not banks are lending to SMEs. Indeed, it could be argued that the preponderance of bank lending is a problem not because there is too little of it but because there is too much. Tm Ward, Chief Executive of the Quoted Companies Alliance, makes the neat analogy of an engine designed to grow the economy. It requires both fuel and lubrication. Te latter can be bank debt, exactly as it is used for day-to-day purposes, but in recent times it also became the fuel, replacing or displacing equity, which is a much more natural form of growth capital. 67 He reiterates the point made above that bank debt used for long-term nance can put a company at risk in ways that are not evident until it is too late. One much-noted problem with Britains lack of an 81 Debtequity: the lenders dilemma Exchange. 68 But much more could be done. As the veteran nancial commentator Anthony Hilton pithily remarked, If the Government is serious in its desire to support SMEs, it needs to stop ogging the disabled horse of bank nance and instead commit itself to making equity more attractive. 69
83 10 Conclusions and policy implications Tis report has uncovered a good deal of well-meaning, and at times hugely expensive policy activity in support of SMEs, which has proved unsuccessful both in supporting these businesses and in delivering growth for the wider economy. We believe that this activity needs to be fundamentally reframed, and a new approach developed, underpinned by two changed assumptions about the nature of the growth challenge: Rather than thinking small, we should think growth If most SMEs have no immediate ambitions to grow, we should focus our eorts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver signicant growth in the future regardless of size. Even if most growth businesses are SMEs (which is far from certain), it is not the case that most SMEs are growth businesses. We need to look outside traditional bank lending to address this challenge If we want to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we need to devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Tat is not the job of bank lending, but at the moment the UK has precious few non-bank nance alternatives. From this new position, we propose a series of recommendations which we believe can together materially improve matters. 85 Conclusions and policy implications pressure to focus more on short-term cyclical issues. With the right structure it could occupy a strategic place in the market. Learn from Canada to develop a reliable SME Registry Te UK lacks adequate and reliable data on the SME sector we do not even have up-to-date numbers on how many SMEs there are. Te UK Government should instruct either the Bank of England or the Oce for National Statistics to emulate the Canadian model and address this gap. As this report has consistently noted, there are signicant problems with the integrity of data about this topic. Given the extent of public subsidy directed at SMEs, there is likely to be a strong cost-benet case for (re-)investing in SME statistics. Te SME Finance Monitor is an important addition. Although the Monitor is industry-funded, it is produced independently by BDRC Continental and the data are publicly available. However, it remains the case that there is no central data warehouse for SME information. Not only are SME data fragmented, but many are simply lost, for example when an individual bank closes its les on a business customer that switches its business or simply shuts down. An unfortunate consequence of data fragmentation is that SMEs themselves lack the ability to measure how well they are performing, or how well they should be performing given the economic and sector conditions in which they are competing. Te UK can learn valuable lessons from other countries eorts to understand their SMEs and to provide services to them based on more comprehensive data. In Canada, for example, in addition to excellent base data the Government provides a simple, but eective, benchmarking service via a website. A business can test how it is performing against other similar rms nationally or regionally, looking for example at whether its margins are in line with typical levels for its industry. Tis can give managers and would-be lenders extremely useful insights. Te UK Government should instruct either the Bank of England or the Oce for National Statistics to design and implement an SME registry that emulates the Canadian Recommendations Develop a genuine successor to the Industrial and Commercial Finance Corporation Te British Investment Bank is a welcome intervention, but the UK lacks a genuine pre-capital market equity investment house. Returning to a model of this gi precursor could strongly benet the UK economy. Eective policy options have been around for decades but have been ignored or sidelined. One is the British experience with the Industrial and Commercial Finance Corporation (ICFC), set up in gq. Its history is neatly summarised in a recent book by Professor Colin Mayer, and some points are important here. 70 Te ICFC was owned by the UK clearing banks, but these institutions were not especially happy at having what they viewed as a competitor focused on nancing small manufacturing companies, ohen via equity stakes. Te ICFC actively monitored its borrowers via the attention of loan ocers who had technical expertise and were committed to long-term lending. Aher years of success the ICFC became gi and by the late-g8os was the largest provider of venture capital in the UK. But aher it was oated on the stock exchange in ggq it changed its nature, becoming mainly a buy-out rm. As Professor Mayer notes, By the beginning of this century, Britain had once again returned to being a country in which there was little serious long-term funding of SMEs and limited venture capital to nance seed-corn, start-ups, and early stage ventures. 71
It seems like a winning move to attempt to recreate the gi of old and it is possible that the state-funded British Investment Bank could try to emulate some of its characteristics. However, as currently envisaged this appears not to be likely, as the bank is being set up mainly as a provider of funds to other lenders rather than as a specialist provider of risk capital directly to the SME sector. Tis is something that could be reconsidered before the banks formal launch in the second half of soq. Te Business Bank could be given an explicit mandate to address the long-term structural problem of UK business funding rather than facing political 87 Conclusions and policy implications Establish a business academy network able to support businesses as they develop Building on this point, the UK Government needs to look at whether taxpayers money is better spent in the form of very large nancial subsidies (direct and indirect) to SMEs rather than on specic funded eorts to improve the growth potential of UK business. Tis report has argued that there is no particular problem with SMEs having access to nance in the UK, although there is less nance around at present and there are issues about which forms of nance are appropriate for particular types of borrowing. Nevertheless, the Government is intent on handing hundreds of millions of pounds to SMEs in the form of debt that is cheaper than it otherwise would be. Tat money might be much better spent on creating a series of regional or targeted business academies designed to support rms and help them develop in a sustainable way. David Sainsburys recent book Progressive Capitalism lists a series of existing and past interventions that can be highly eective without requiring the handing over of cheap debt. 75 His concept of the enabling state is also relevant for the way governments can help to create conditions in which businesses can ourish, without that amounting to an industrial policy that repeats mistakes made in the past. Tis is a role which local enterprise partnerships, given renewed support from the Government in the sog budget, can help ll. Create a central database of lender information to allow banks and new entrants to make more informed lending decisions Blaming banks for not lending to SMEs in the current environment is misleading. Not that the banks are blameless, far from it, and they thoroughly deserve some of the criticism they have been receiving. But the right policy for Britain is to create a stable banking system with appropriate exposures, rather than use it as a route to unsustainable or inappropriate lending. So might the banks be able to serve the SME sector better in ways that do not involve lending per se? We referred model and acts as a central gatherer and provider of reliable SME data. 72 It should also form an expert group to report on the relationship between size and growth, addressing many of the issues raised on this report. Work with the G20 and the World Bank to create SME impact assessments Better data in future will allow governments to make better policy choices. And policies can be assessed for their impact systematically so that only the most eective ones receive valuable public support. Te World Bank has published an impact assessment framework specically on SME funding and this could be used as a blueprint for UK assessments. 73
Indeed, the UK could volunteer to work with the Gso and the World Bank as a pioneer of cost-eective SME impact assessments, creating the additional benet of insights that can be exploited in the developing world. Focus on increasing the growth potential of our SMEs rather than simply increasing the number of SMEs we have We commented above that a potential policy route is to advocate that what the UK needs is not more but better SMEs. Te emphasis should be on encouraging growth potential so that businesses are more able to survive and more likely to do so in a way that makes a clear positive contribution to the economy and society. Tis requires the kind of long-term policy that is anathema to successive governments hooked on electoral cycles. It would involve thinking through not just how to direct more help to the existing stock of businesses in the form of mentoring, education and so on, but also how to build relevant literacy in the generations of future business founders and owners. 74
Tis challenge links directly to the vexed issue of general nancial literacy, of which business literacy is a close cousin. While there are some interesting programmes seeking to engage secondary schools in business ventures and innovation, these could be much more systematic. 89 Conclusions and policy implications is rich material in the Breedon Report and those interested can also refer to the report by Andy Davis mentioned above. 76 Te recent report from the Commission on Banking Standards strongly endorses the idea that bank alternatives are of growing interest and importance for funding UK business. 77 Address the lack of an equity culture in the UK A working group led by the Treasury and BIS could examine the full tax and economic impact implications of a radical change to the UKs equity culture and make recommendations. More work is needed to rebuild an equity culture. Tis challenge links directly to the broader long-term literacy issue, but has some discrete elements, particularly related to the tax treatment of dierent instruments. Stamp duty exemptions could be extended and there is no shortage of policy suggestions by SME trade lobbies, many of them worthy. An ohen-suggested route by which SMEs can be supported is via government procurement, and this could be usefully linked to the creation of new equity markets or to the repopulating of existing ones. Infrastructure and UK business culture pose greater challenges than access to bank loans, and our national debate should reect this Te intensity of the SME funding debate is remarkable given that there is no problem. But as this nal chapter makes clear, this is not quite the same as saying that there are no problems among SMEs in the UK and that there is no need for a loud policy debate. It is just that the most useful discussions have almost nothing to do with bank funding and much more to do with the broader infrastructure and culture in which UK businesses operate. Tat is where the debate should be conducted. Dont let the banks of the hook Banks should innovate to nd ways of distributing alternative nance and addressing knowledge and skills gaps in businesses. Tey have huge distribution networks and a deep above to research carried out in the US by Oliver Wyman on small business banking there. Te report made the parallel observation for that market that small businesses overwhelmingly want short-term liquidity, but currently they obtain this using overdrahs and credit cards. It then makes an intriguing suggestion that what it calls new-form lending has the potential to transform how banks serve the SME sector. Te underlying idea is that a businesss cashows can be a strong real-time indicator of its creditworthiness. Banks can have a window into cashows via merchant servicing accounts (for businesses that take payment via credit cards) and via primary current accounts. Te Oliver Wyman report contains useful detail on how new-form lending works and how it has the potential to improve banks traditional SME lending. Not only will unit costs be lower, but the funding on oer should be more relevant for the borrower and less risky for the lender. Te UK Government would arguably have greater positive impact by actively encouraging banks to consider this type of service innovation than it has had by focusing on their supposed unwillingness to lend to SMEs. But this raises important issues linked to competition. SME lending in the UK is an oligopoly and banks are therefore forbidden from tying loans to other services such as credit cards or current accounts. So new-form lending, for example, will only work if the lender can actually see the relevant cashows. Te technology platforms required for this could be considered a public good and a utility created to provide lenders with information about would-be borrowers and monitoring services for existing borrowers. Te Government and the Bank of England should encourage exploration of this and related ideas, not least as a mechanism by which new entrants could accelerate their SME activities and enhance competition. Tis report has deliberately not focused on alternatives to bank funding for SMEs, for two reasons. Te rst is that its principal aim has been to blow away much of the fog around the existing debate. Te second is that this ground has been extensively covered elsewhere and there is little new to add beyond calling attention to new-form lending as above. Tere 91 Conclusions and policy implications understanding of the challenges faced by small businesses; they also have an unmatched contact book of businesses and investors. Tese are strengths that the banks should be encouraged to leverage. Banks should innovate to nd ways of distributing alternative nance and addressing knowledge and skills gaps in businesses. Growth SMEs need appropriate nancing, but just because this is not a role for bank lending does not mean that this is not a problem for the banks. A further report is needed into the specic needs of SMEs SMEs are poorly served by a policy approach which assumes they are focused on growth. A further report should consider the specic challenges faced by these companies and identify policy interventions which would materially enhance these businesses survival rates and economic output. 93 Appendix A Data and research methodology issues for SMEs and entrepreneurship
Nightingale and Coad make the important point that as the breadth and quality of research into SMEs and entrepreneur- ship has grown, so has reasonable scepticism about some of the earlier ndings, concluding that both the sector and the phenomenon are good things. Indeed they suggest that more nuanced conclusions are required in light of better evidence and understanding. 78 Tey explore six ways in which research in these areas is easily compromised: Poor data quality: the desire to lih red tape was mentioned above. Further, conventional datasets ohen miss whole areas of SME activity. For instance, roughly half of new businesses fail in their rst three years, so are eectively invisible. Data might be non-existent or inaccurate. And the available data will over- sample successful rms while under-representing SMEs that are unsuccessful. Tis generalises into a problem with unrepresentative samples both for entrepreneurs and SMEs in general. A general feature is the skewness of the statistics. Most start-ups and entrepreneurial rms perform poorly, but a tiny minority bring up the average performance of a cohort, so any discussion of average is likely to highly misleading. As the authors note, It is fallacious to ascribe the properties of one atypical subsample to the entire population of rms. As denitions of SMEs and entrepreneurs are so exible there is no consensus on research objectives and ndings, which can leave policymakers wildly confused. While most (but not all) new rms are small, most small rms are old, the authors remind us. Another common statistical fallacy relates to regression to the 95 Appendix A mean and how initial classications can lead to misleading subsequent analysis. A small rm that grows large will typically be categorised as a high-growth small rm, but if it later shrinks it will be seen as a fast-shrinking large rm, leading to the fallacious conclusion that small rms grow while large ones decline. Te literature is riddled with conceptual slides, for example between net and gross gures (in job creation, for example, but also in bank lending to SMEs). It is vital to take starting points into account when examining such things as growth rates because ohen, small rms show very large rates from very low bases. 79 97 Appendix B A case study on Canadas SME statistics Summary of the 2011 results Below are the key results from the so survey. 80 For further descriptive statistics by business size, industry, region, census metropolitan area, age of business, export status, innovation activity and owner age, gender and education see the data tables. Comparable statistics are also available for the years sooo, soo, sooq, soo;, soog and soo. Financing characteristics In so, g6 per cent of SMEs requested some type of external nancing, with s6 per cent requesting debt nancing, ; per cent requesting leasing nancing, 8 per cent requesting trade credit, q per cent requesting government nancing and s per cent requesting equity nancing. Chartered banks were the main suppliers of nancing to SMEs in so, serving per cent of nancing requests, followed by credit unions or caisses populaires (6 per cent), government institutions (; per cent), leasing companies (q per cent), family and friends (s per cent), venture capital funds or angel investors ( per cent) and foreign banks (o.q per cent). In so, go per cent of debt nancing requests were approved. Both request and approval rates for debt nancing increase with business size (see table s), suggesting that the larger the business, the more likely they are to require debt nancing and the more likely they are to obtain debt nancing. SMEs paid an average interest rate of 6.; per cent for their debt nancing in so. Two-thirds (6 per cent) of SMEs were required to provide collateral to obtain their loan: q8 per cent pledged business assets, s6 per cent pledged personal assets and .g per cent pledged intellectual property. Table 2 Debt request and approval rate by size of business, Canada, 2011 99 Appendix B
Employees Request rate Approval rate* Amount authorised/ Amount requested ratio All SMEs 1 499 25.5 89.9 94 Size of business 1 4 19.9 88.4 90.4 5 19 29.9 88.5 88.6 20 99 36.9 97.1 97.2 100 499 47.6 97.7 99
*A request that was fully or partially approved was considered approved. Tese are some of the SME owner characteristics: In so, 6o per cent of SME owners were o years of age or older, s8 per cent were between qo and qg, and s per cent were younger than qo. ;; per cent of SME owners had over o years of management or owner experience. Most SME owners were male: 66 per cent of SMEs were majority male-owned, 6 per cent were majority female-owned, and 8 per cent were owned equally by men and women. ;8 per cent of SME owners were born in Canada while ss per cent were born elsewhere. Te majority of SME owners possessed some form of post- secondary education with gs per cent having a college, CEGEP or trade school education, ss per cent having received a bachelors degree and g per cent a masters degree or above. For sq per cent of SME owners, high school was the highest level of education obtained and o per cent of owners had not completed high school. 101 Notes 1 Tis gure is the internal metric used by a major high street bank and represents applications for secured and unsecured lending by SMEs. Given the diculty in dening what constitutes an application (and for example how much triaging takes place before an application is put forward) it is unsurprising that these numbers are heavily contested. Te SME Finance Monitor, for example, which is produced for a group of organisations including business trade groups, banks and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS), uses a dierent number. It nds that in the year ending Q sog where applicants applied for new money, but not for the rst time, ;; per cent of overdrah applications and 6g per cent of loan applications resulted in a facility. Among rst time applicants, g8 per cent of overdrah applications and q per cent of loan applications resulted in a facility. 2 See World Bank and Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion, Impact Assessment Framework: SME nance, Oct sos, www.gp.org/sites/default/les/documents/SME%so Finance%soImpact%soAssessment%soFramework%so GPFI.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 3 A Gurria, introduction, Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI: An OECD Scoreboard, sog, https://www.sanayi.gov.tr/ Files/Documents/cfe-sme-sos-s-nal-eng-86sogoggg6. pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 4 Te happiness nding is widely available in academic literature and seems to hold across countries where this
103 Notes 9 An excellent example is Seeds of Change by Andy Davis, which contains what at the time was a comprehensive table of alternative nance suppliers; see A Davis, Seeds of Change: Emerging sources of non-bank funding for Britains SMEs, Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation, Jul sos, www.cs.org/les/Seeds_of_Change_by_Andy_ Davis_PDF.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). See also the Breedon report: BIS, Boosting Finance Options for Business: Report of industry-led working group on alternative debt markets, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, Mar sos, www.bis.gov.uk/assets/BISCore/enterprise/docs/ B/s-668-boosting-nance-options-for-business.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 10 For example see the Doughty report: Small Business Taskforce, Fullling the Promise of British Enterprise, Dec so, www.labour.org.uk/uploads/c;6b6g-g8cq-gbq-odo- geaeo6bg;d.pdf (accessed g Jul sog), which contains useful material on US small business funding and its origins in the gqos and gos. Te nal report of the Small Business Taskforce contains additional materials on Germany and its network of local and regional business lending banks: Small Business Taskforce, An Enterprising Nation: Te nal report of the Small Business Taskforce, Dec sos, www.labouremail.org.uk/les/uploads/b6e;fasg-gs- og6q-6o-;8g88qedo;b.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 11 Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, Changing Banking for Good Fifh Report, HL Paper s;, sog, www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/jtsogq/jtselect/ jtpcbs/s;/s;os.htm (accessed Aug sog). 12 BIS, Building the Business Bank. 13 A useful, if somewhat technical, note on SME lending statistics that also gives a sense of the complexity of the issues can be found in an article by Michael Lyon and Sylaja Srinivasan; see M Lyon and S Srinivasan, Lending research has been undertaken. See P Nightingale and A Coad, Muppets and gazelles: rooting out ideological and methodological biases in entrepreneurship research, FINNOV discussion paper, Sep so, www.nnov-fp;.eu/ publications/nnov-discussion-papers/muppets-and- gazelles-rooting-out-ideological-and-methodologica (accessed g Jul sog). 5 Examples are too numerous to list, but the following is typical: Inadequate access to nance for small and medium sized enterprises is one of the biggest risks to economic recovery. We need bold action to x what has always been a weakness of the UK economy, and since the nancial crisis has become an urgent problem. Whilst we are making great strides to reform the banking system in the UK, more needs to be done to ensure that it suciently serves the manufacturers, exporters and high growth rms that drive economic growth. From the Foreword by Vince Cable in foreword to BIS, Building the Business Bank, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, Mar sog, https://www.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/ le/sogq8/bis-g-;gq-building-the-business-bank- strategy-march-sog.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). See also testimony given to the House of Lords Select Committee on SME Exports, Chapter q: Financing exports. 6 Bank of England, Finance for Small Firms: An eleventh report, sooq, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/ Documents/nanceforsmallrms/nqsm.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 7 Ibid. 8 Te foreword continued there are some specic challenges facing certain types of SME, notably those seeking small amounts of risk capital; see Bank of England, Finance for Small Firms. 105 Notes 18 See A Hughes, Entrepreneurship and innovation policy: retrospect and prospect in V Uberoi et al (eds), Options for Britain II: Cross-cutting policy issues changes and challenges, Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, soo, pp ggs. 19 Te Labour Force Survey captures individuals moving in and out of self-employment, which gives us a loose proxy for changes in one aspect of the SME population, but it oers no understanding of why individuals circumstances are changing. 20 Te SME Finance Monitor records that s per cent of SMEs belong to one or other. 21 Business Finance Taskforce, Supporting UK Business: Te report of the Business Finance Taskforce, Oct soo, www.betterbusinessnance.co.uk/images/uploads/ Business_Finance_Taskforce_report.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 22 Research on the US market cited in the main text below by Oliver Wyman notes that typical US bank underwriting procedures for SME loans ask the business owner to provide two years of accounts and/or two or three years of personal tax returns and remarks, either way, these data are essentially out of date by the time the bank reviews them and may not have been that accurate to begin with. It is not just a UK problem, then. 23 pH, Overview of bank borrowing by businesses in the millionoo million turnover bracket, for British Bankers Association, soo, www.bba.org.uk/downloads/ bba/pHGroup_report.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 24 BDRC Continental, SME Finance Monitor, Q sog: Te uncertainty of demand, p 8, www.sme-nance-monitor. co.uk/ (accessed g Jul sog). Data in the quarterly reports to business a new data source, Monetary & Financial Statistics, Mar sos, www.bankofengland.co.uk/ statistics/Documents/ms/articles/artsmars.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 14 Enterprise and Industry, What is an SME?, European Commission, nd, http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/ sme/facts-gures-analysis/sme-denition/ (accessed Aug sog). 15 Tese numbers vary over time, particularly the VAT- registered numbers. Sources include HMRC, HM Treasury and BIS. See J Frankish, R Roberts and D Storey, Measuring business activity in the UK, sos. See also Lord Youngs Growing Your Business: A report on growing micro businesses, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills May sog, https://www.gov.uk/government/ uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/le/g86/ growing-your-business-lord-young.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Special thanks to Dr Richard Roberts for help with this material. 16 See Oce for National Statistics, Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR), nd, www.ons.gov.uk/ons/ about-ons/who-we-are/services/unpublished-data/business- data/idbr/index.html (accessed g Jul sog). 17 Te International Finance Corporation tracks SMEs globally via the SME Finance Forum, but divides them by micro, small and medium categories or MSMEs. Its most recent gures show that in soo the UK had .66 million SMEs, of which .q; million were micro, or 88 per cent of the MSME population. Small companies were o per cent of the population, while medium-sized companies (dened as employing between o and sqg people) accounted for just .6 per cent of the population. Te IFC estimated that MSMEs account for just under g per cent of total UK employment. 107 Notes 31 Tis is the idea that there is an adverse selection problem owing to information asymmetries, rst identied by George Akerlof in the market for used cars. A lemon is American slang for second-hand car that turns out to be a dud. 32 Tis is well described in S Dolan, F Brouard and A Riding, Financing growing rms and the importance of banking relationships, working paper, sos, www. swinburne.edu.au/lib/ir/onlineconferences/ agseso/ooooq.pdf (accessed g Aug sog), including a literature summary. Te key theoretical work was by R Rajan, Insiders and outsiders: the choice between informed and arms-length debt, Journal of Finance q8, no q (Sep ggs), pp g6;qoo. 33 DJ Storey, Evaluating SME policies and programmes: technical and political dimensions in Te Oxford Handbook of Entrepreneurship, Oxford: Oxford University Press, soo6. See also Hughes, Entrepreneurship and innovation policy; Hughes attributes the gures to research undertaken in soo6 on behalf the then government department responsible for business. 34 Te FINNOV project began in March soog. 35 Nightingale and Coad, Muppets and gazelles. 36 Industry Canada has an excellent website, for this reference see Industry Canada, Small business statistics July sos, www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/o6.nsf/eng/os;g.html (accessed g Jul sog). 37 See DJ Storey, Optimism and chance: the elephants in the entrepreneurship room, International Small Business Journal sg, Aug so, pp gogs. 38 Hughes, Entrepreneurship and innovation policy. are typically presented based on YE QX, or the last four quarters, which explains the reference gure of so,ooo given in many of the tables below. 25 Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI: An OECD Scoreboard. 26 Te July sos issue of Trends in Lending concluded that, of the qo billion of total business loans, some g per cent can be attributed to SMEs, or 8 billion. Te way the statistics are released makes it extremely dicult to follow a reliable time series. And these data do not cover all Mq lenders, hence the lower total. In general, gures quoted in this report are correct as of May sog. 27 Te outstanding stock of UK SME loans rose by ;.g per cent in soo8 and by g.o per cent in soog, but fell by ;.q per cent in soo and by the same amount in so, according to Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI: An OECD Scoreboard. Te share of the overall business loan market accounted for by SME loans was so.s per cent in soo;, falling to 8.o per cent in soo8 but returning to so.6 per cent in so. 28 G Hoggarth, J Hooley and Y Korniyenko, Which way do foreign branches sway? Evidence from the recent UK domestic credit cycle, Bank of England, Financial Stability Paper ss, Jun sog, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/ Documents/fsr/fs_paperss.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Te chart is on page o. 29 House of Lords Debates, sq Mar so, col 8s, www. publications.parliament.uk/pa/ldsoo/ldhansrd/ text/ogsq-ooo.htm (accessed g Jul sog). 30 Te Bank of England suggested that the major clearing banks had to make provisions of around g billion. See Bank of England, Finance for Small Firms. 109 Notes 49 Te Bank of England noted in sooq that deposits appear to have generally exceeded total lending in the SME market since gg; and suggest that the health and liquidity of the small rms sector has, in the aggregate, improved over the past decade (Bank of England, Finance for Small Firms). On g July sog the head of RBSs corporate lending business said on the Today programme that his bank then had ; billion of SME deposits. 50 BDRC Continental, SME Finance Monitor, Q sog, p 8;. 51 Ibid, p so. 52 Ibid, p g. 53 Ibid, p gg. 54 Ibid, p g. 55 Tis gure is the internal metric used by a major high street bank and represents applications for secured and unsecured lending by SMEs. Given the diculty in dening what constitutes an application (and for example how much triaging takes place before an application is put forward) it is unsurprising that these numbers are heavily contested. Te SME Finance Monitor for example, which is produced for a group of organisations including the business trade groups, banks and BIS, uses a dierent number. It nds that in the year ending Q sog those applying for new money, but not for the rst time, were given a facility in ;; per cent of overdrah applications and 6g per cent of loan applications. Among rst time applicants, g8 per cent of overdrah applications and q per cent of loan applications resulted in a facility. 56 Te turndown proportion is exactly the same in Canada see Appendix B. 57 SME Finance Forum, Oliver Wyman. 39 Because these issues are so fundamental, they are explored in more detail in appendix A, but this material is excluded from the main text for reasons of length. 40 Nightingale and Coad, Muppets and gazelles. 41 Ibid. 42 BIS, Financing a Private Sector Recovery, Cm ;gsg, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, soo, section g.g, www.bis.gov.uk/assets/BISCore/corporate/docs/F/o-o8- nancing-private-sector-recovery.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 43 For more evidence on this, see pH, Overview of bank borrowing by businesses in the millionoo million turnover bracket. 44 See Business Finance Taskforce, Supporting UK Business, p g, which is referenced to the UK SME Finance survey for soo8 and soog. 45 For comparison and as an indication that these numbers are reliable, see the Industry Canada equivalents. Its latest survey covering so notes that g6 per cent of SMEs requested some type of external nancing, with s6 per cent requesting debt, ; per cent requesting leasing, 8 per cent requesting trade credit, q per cent requesting government nancing and s per cent requesting equity nancing 46 See SME Finance Forum, Oliver Wyman how new-form lending will reshape banks small business strategies, sog, smenanceforum.org/post/oliver-wyman-how-new-form-lending- will-reshape-banks-small-business-strategies (accessed g Jul sog). 47 Report of the Committee of Inquiry on Small Firms, Cmnd q8, London: HMSO, g;. 48 See Young, Growing Your Business. 111 Notes relates mainly to whether banks correctly inform applicants that they have a right to appeal. Te SME Finance Monitor suggests that only about per cent of rejected applicants are aware of the scheme, so there is room for improvement. 63 Nesta, Measuring Business Growth: High-growth rms and their contribution to employment in the UK, Oct soog. 64 Ibid. 65 An important point here is that, unlike an overdrah, a loan cannot be recalled unless the borrower is in breach of its terms or has failed to make scheduled repayments. 66 BDRC Continental, SME Finance Monitor, Q sog, p q6. 67 See numerous speeches and articles on the Quoted Companies Alliance website: www.theqca.com (accessed g Jul sog). 68 See London Stock Exchange, Abolishing stamp duty on aim shares is a bold and decisive policy from the government, press release, s Mar sog, www.londonstockexchangegroup. com/newsroom/sogpressreleases/stampduty.htm (accessed g Jul sog). 69 A Hilton, Small rms need nurturing, and fast, Evening Standard, ; Mar sog, www.standard.co.uk/business/ markets/anthony-hilton-small-rms-need-nurturing-and- fast-8sq68.html (accessed g Jul sog). 70 C Mayer, Firm Commitment: Why the corporation is failing us and how to restore trust in it, Oxford: Oxford University Press, sog, especially pp s;qo. 71 Ibid. 58 Ibid, pp sg. 59 A ne example of this can be found in Small Business Taskforce, An Enterprising Nation. 60 For obvious reasons this material has been anonymised, but the author would like to thank the sanctioner who generously worked through real case examples in real time in order to explain the credit process. Tis eld research was conducted in June sog. 61 An important caveat here is that SME loans are increasingly sourced via specialist brokers, some of them former loan ocers, some independent nancial advisers. Tis is an area where there is very little information, but one implication of a growing role for brokers, including internet-based services, is that SME lending competition is actually healthier than the purely bank-sourced numbers imply. Te job of the broker is to shop around on behalf of the SME to secure the best rate available, on a commission basis. Clearly, there is also scope here for the next mis-selling scandal were a bank sanctioner to enter into a corrupt relationship with a broker. 62 Tere is now a formal independent appeals process, run by Professor Russell Griggs. Its rst annual report noted that, In the rst year of the process there have been s;; appeals and gg. per cent have been overturned. An overturn is where the bank and the customer reach a satisfactory conclusion to a lending application. Tis does not mean that the business has received exactly what they asked for initially, but that they have reached a lending agreement with which both parties are satised. See Better Business Finance, Banking Taskforce Appeals Process Independent External Reviewer Annual Report soII/soIs, sos, www.betterbusinessnance.co.uk/ images/uploads/Annual_Report_Master_sos.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Any controversy about this 113 Notes 72 See appendix B. 73 See World Bank and Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion, Impact Assessment Framework. 74 A recent report sponsored by Royal Bank of Scotland and produced by Aston Business School on closing the generational start-up gap contains much useful information on this topic. See M Hart, J Levie and MK Shamsul, Closing the Generational Start-Up Gap, Royal Bank of Scotland, sos, www.rbs.com/content/dam/rbs/Documents/News/sos/og/ Youth-Enterprise-Closing-the-Generational-Start-UpGap. pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 75 D Sainsbury, Progressive Capitalism: How to achieve economic growth, liberty and social justice, London: Biteback Publishing, sog, especially Chapter g passim. 76 See BIS, Boosting Finance Options for Business; Davis, Seeds of Change. 77 Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, Changing Banking for Good. 78 Nightingale and Coad, Muppets and gazelles 79 Ibid. 80 Industry Canada, Key Small Business Statistics, sos, www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/o6.nsf/eng/h_os68g.html (accessed g Aug sog). 115 References Bank of England, Finance for Small Firms: An eleventh report, sooq, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/ nanceforsmallrms/nqsm.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). BDRC Continental, SME Finance Monitor, Q sog: Te uncertainty of demand, p 8, www.sme-nance-monitor.co.uk/ (accessed g Jul sog). Better Business Finance, Banking Taskforce Appeals Process Independent External Reviewer Annual Report soII/soIs, sos, www.betterbusinessnance.co.uk/images/uploads/Annual_ Report_Master_sos.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). BIS, Boosting Finance Options for Business: Report of industry-led working group on alternative debt markets, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, Mar sos, www.bis.gov.uk/assets/ BISCore/enterprise/docs/B/s-668-boosting-nance-options- for-business.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). BIS, Building the Business Bank, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, Mar sog, https://www.gov.uk/government/ uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/le/sogq8/ bis-g-;gq-building-the-business-bank-strategy-march-sog.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). BIS, Financing a Private Sector Recovery, Cm ;gsg, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, soo, section g.g, www.bis.gov.uk/assets/BISCore/corporate/docs/F/o-o8- nancing-private-sector-recovery.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Business Finance Taskforce, Supporting UK Business: Te report of the Business Finance Taskforce, Oct soo, 117 References Hart M, Levie J and Shamsul MK, Closing the Generational Start-Up Gap, Royal Bank of Scotland, sos, www.rbs.com/ content/dam/rbs/Documents/News/sos/og/Youth-Enterprise- Closing-the-Generational-Start-UpGap.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Hilton A, Small rms need nurturing, and fast, Evening Standard, ; Mar sog, www.standard.co.uk/business/markets/ anthony-hilton-small-rms-need-nurturing-and-fast-8sq68. html (accessed g Jul sog). Hoggarth G, Hooley J and Korniyenko Y, Which way do foreign branches sway? Evidence from the recent UK domestic credit cycle, Bank of England, Financial Stability Paper ss, Jun sog, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/fsr/ fs_paperss.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Te chart is on page o. Hughes A, Entrepreneurship and innovation policy: retrospect and prospect in V Uberoi et al (eds), Options for Britain II: Cross-cutting policy issues changes and challenges, Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, soo, pp ggs. Industry Canada, Small business statistics July sos, www.ic.gc.ca/eic/site/o6.nsf/eng/os;g.html (accessed g Jul sog). Industry Canada, Key Small Business Statistics, sos, www.ic.gc. ca/eic/site/o6.nsf/eng/h_os68g.html (accessed g Aug sog). London Stock Exchange, Abolishing stamp duty on AIM shares is a bold and decisive policy from the government, press release, s Mar sog, www.londonstockexchangegroup. com/newsroom/sogpressreleases/stampduty.htm (accessed g Jul sog). Lyon M and Srinivasan S, Lending to business a new data source, Monetary & Financial Statistics, Mar sos, www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/Documents/ms/articles/ artsmars.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). www.betterbusinessnance.co.uk/images/uploads/Business_ Finance_Taskforce_report.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI: An OECD scoreboard, sog, https://www.sanayi.gov.tr/Files/ Documents/cfe-sme-sos-s-nal-eng-86sogoggg6.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Davis A, Seeds of Change: Emerging sources of non-bank funding for Britains SMEs, Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation, Jul sos, www.cs.org/les/Seeds_of_ Change_by_Andy_Davis_PDF.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Dolan S, Brouard F and Riding A, Financing growing rms and the importance of banking relationships, working paper, sos, www.swinburne.edu.au/lib/ir/onlineconferences/ agseso/ooooq.pdf (accessed g Aug sog). Enterprise and Industry, What is an SME?, European Commission, nd, http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/ sme/facts-gures-analysis/sme-denition/ (accessed Aug sog). Frankish J, Roberts R and Storey D, Measuring business activity in the UK, sos. See also Lord Youngs Growing Your Business: A report on growing micro businesses, Dept for Business, Innovation and Skills, May sog, https://www.gov. uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/le/g86/growing-your-business-lord-young.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Special thanks to Dr Richard Roberts for help with this material. Gurria A, introduction, Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development, Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs soI: An OECD scoreboard, sog, https://www.sanayi.gov.tr/ Files/Documents/cfe-sme-sos-s-nal-eng-86sogoggg6. pdf (accessed g Jul sog). 119 References Small Business Taskforce, An Enterprising Nation: Te nal report of the Small Business Taskforce, Dec sos, www.labouremail.org.uk/les/uploads/b6e;fasg-gs-og6q- 6o-;8g88qedo;b.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Small Business Taskforce, Fullling the Promise of British Enterprise, Dec so, www.labour.org.uk/uploads/c;6b6g- g8cq-gbq-odo-geaeo6bg;d.pdf (accessed g Jul sog), which contains useful material on US small business funding and its origins in the gqos and gos. SME Finance Forum, Oliver Wyman how new-form lending will reshape banks small business strategies, sog, smenanceforum.org/post/oliver-wyman-how-new-form- lending-will-reshape-banks-small-business-strategies (accessed g Jul sog). Storey DJ, Evaluating SME policies and programmes: technical and political dimensions in Te Oxford Handbook of Entrepreneurship, Oxford: Oxford University Press, soo6. Storey DJ, Optimism and chance: the elephants in the entrepreneurship room, International Small Business Journal sg, Aug so, pp gogs. World Bank and Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion, Impact Assessment Framework: SME nance, Oct sos, www.gp.org/sites/default/les/documents/SME%so Finance%soImpact%soAssessment%soFramework%so GPFI.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Mayer C, Firm Commitment: Why the corporation is failing us and how to restore trust in it, Oxford: Oxford University Press, sog, especially pp s;qo. Nesta, Measuring Business Growth: High-growth rms and their contribution to employment in the UK, Oct soog. Nightingale P and Coad A, Muppets and gazelles: rooting out ideological and methodological biases in entrepreneurship research, FINNOV discussion paper, Sep so, www.nnov-fp;. eu/publications/nnov-discussion-papers/muppets-and-gazelles- rooting-out-ideological-and-methodologica (accessed g Jul sog). Oce for National Statistics, Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR), nd, www.ons.gov.uk/ons/about-ons/who-we- are/services/unpublished-data/business-data/idbr/index.html (accessed g Jul sog). Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, Changing Banking for Good Fifh Report, HL Paper s;, sog, www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/jtsogq/jtselect/ jtpcbs/s;/s;os.htm (accessed Aug sog). pH, Overview of bank borrowing by businesses in the millionoo million turnover bracket, for British Bankers Association, soo, www.bba.org.uk/downloads/bba/pHGroup_ report.pdf (accessed g Jul sog). Rajan R, Insiders and outsiders: the choice between informed and arms-length debt, Journal of Finance q8, no q (Sep ggs), pp g6;qoo. Report of the Committee of Inquiry on Small Firms, Cmnd q8, London: HMSO, g;. Sainsbury D, Progressive Capitalism: How to achieve economic growth, liberty and social justice, London: Biteback Publishing, sog, especially Chapter g passim. 121 lesharing or otherwise shall not be considered to be intended for or directed toward commercial advantage or private monetary compensation, provided there is no payment of any monetary compensation in connection with the exchange of copyrighted works. 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B You may not exercise any of the rights granted to You in Section 3 above in any manner that is primarily intended for or directed toward commercial advantage or private monetary compensation.The exchange of the Work for other copyrighted works by means of digital 2013 Demos 10 ISBN 978-1-909037-40-3 Tere is an ongoing and heated debate in the UK about the importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for economic recovery, and the willingness of traditional banks to lend to them. Despite repeated eorts by policymakers to stimulate this lending, it has not been forthcoming, and this, so the argument runs, is holding back growth. Tis report, the rst from Demos Finance, the new nancial services research unit at Demos, uses new analysis of the sector to explore this question, and explode some myths. It nds that most SMEs do not wish to borrow from a bank and of those that do, 90 per cent have no problems getting the nancing they want. Equally, the majority are not signicant contributors to economic growth, despite the crucial role they play as existing employers, customers and suppliers. Te report therefore argues for two fundamentally changed assumptions. First, rather than thinking small, we should think growth, focusing our eorts on those businesses with the will and potential to deliver growth regardless of size. Second, to target the parts of the economy where growth is achievable, we may need to look beyond bank lending and devise a funding environment able to support the risks associated with innovation and start-ups. Such an approach would help to ensure that those businesses with the capacity to grow receive the funding they need, paving the way for economic recovery.
Andrew Freeman is Director of Demos Finance. He is also Risk Fellow at the Cambridge Judge Business School and was previously Banking Editor of the Economist.