Kuliah 1 - Blankchapter - 1-Edit

Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin
Graw Hill
Mc
CHAPTER I
FOUNDATIONS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMY
Blank & Tarquin: 5th Edition. Ch. 1 Authored by: Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University.
1.
Foundations: Overview
1. Questions 2. Decision Making 3. Study Approach 4. Interest Rate
5. Equivalence
6. Simple and Compound Interest
Graw Hill
Mc
Why Engineering Economy is Important to Engineers (and other professionals)
Definition
ENGINEERING ECONOMY IS INVOLVED WITH THE FORMULATION, ESTIMATION, AND EVALUATION OF ECONOMIC OUTCOMES WHEN ALTERNATIVES TO ACCOMPLISH A DEFINED PURPOSE ARE AVAILABLE.
ENGINEERING ECONOMY IS INVOLVED WITH THE APPLICATION OF DEFINED MATHEMATICAL RELATIONSHIPS THAT AID IN THE COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC ALTERNATIVES
Blank & Tarquin: 5th Edition. Ch. 1 Authored by: Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University. 4
Definition
Ekonomi Teknik adalah ilmu yang mempelajari penerapan aspek-aspek ekonomi dalam engineering, yang mengevaluasi perbandingan antara biaya dan manfaat (arus kas) yang ditimbulkan dari suatu alternatif.
Ekonomi Teknik adalah teknik analisa untuk mengevaluasi kelayakan dari sistem, produk, atau jasa, dalam kaitannya dengan nilai uang.
Kapan ?
Ekonomi Teknik digunakan untuk pengambilan keputusan manakala terdapat beberapa alternatif rencana yang telah memenuhi persyaratan teknis dan masingmasing membutuhkan suatu nilai investasi, sehingga perlu dipilih manakah yang lebih ekonomis. Jadi Ekonomi Teknik akan dibutuhkan pada saat aspek ekonomi menjadi kriteria pemilihan yang utama.
Mengapa ?
Engineers harus memahami dunia ekonomi karena : adanya keterbatasan dana (capital) Capital tidak tak terbatas Capital bukan milik perusahaan Capital milik pemilik perusahaan Capital is not freeit has a cost
Mengapa ?
Pengetahuan tentang Ekonomi Teknik sangat anda butuhkan untuk dapat membuat perbandingan ekonomi dari berbagai alternatif permasalahan baik dalam pekerjaan (pemerintah maupun swasta) maupun kehidupan sehari-hari.
Graw Hill
Mc
CHAPTER I Section 1.2
Peran Ekonomi Teknik dalam Decision Making
Role of Engineering Economy

Ekonomi Teknik hanyalah alat untuk penentuan dalam suatu pengambilan keputusan (decision making).
10
Problem-Solving Approach
1. Understand the Problem 2. Collect all relevant data/information 3. Define the feasible alternatives 4. Evaluate each alternative
5. Select the best alternative

6. Implement and monitor
11
Section 1.2 Problem-Solving Approach

1. Understand the Problem 2. Collect all relevant data/information 3. Define the feasible alternatives 4. Evaluate each alternative 5. Select the best alternative 6. Implement and monitor
Major Role of Engineering Economy


One of the more difficult tasks
13

Where the major tools of Engr. Economy are applied
14

Present Worth, Future Worth Annual Worth, Rate of Return Benefit/Cost, Payback, Capitalized Cost, Value Added
Tools
15
Time Value of Money

Money can make money if Invested Bila kita mengivestasikan uang, kita berharap uang kita akan menjadi lebih besar di masa depan Berkaitan erat dengan interest rate
The change in the amount of money over a given time period is called the time value of money; by far, the most important concept in engineering economy
Graw Hill
Mc
Performing and Engineering Economy Study
17
Performing a Study
1. Identifikasi alternatif alternatif penyelesaian dari permasalahan yang ada. 2. Kumpulkan data & informasi 3. Estimasi cash flow dari setiap alternatif 4. Analisa masing-masing cash flow dari tiap alternatif
18
Pemilihan Alternatif
Untuk menganalisa, diperlukan: Konsep time value of $$
Interest Rate Ukuran2 nilai ekonomi
5. Lakukan evaluasi dgn pembobotan dan memperhitungkan faktor parameter2 nonekonomi 6. Pilih, Jalankan, dan monitor
Parameter-Parameter yang Dibutuhkan

Nilai investasi awal Perkiraan durasi proyek Estimasi cash flows (pendapatan, pengeluaran, dan salvage values) Interest rate (Tingkat Suku Bunga) Inflasi dan Pajak Semua parameter-parameter diatas kemudian disusun dalam sebuah Cash Flow
Cash Flows
Positive cash flows adalah perkiraan aliran uang yang masuk ke perusahaan (revenue, salvage values, dll) Negative cash flows adalah perkiraan aliran uang yang keluar dari perusahaan Biaya Investasi, Operasional & Maintenance, dan Pajak)
21
Taxes
A realistic economic analysis must assess the impact of taxes. Called and AFTER-TAX cash flow analysis Not considering taxes is called a BEFORETAX Cash Flow analysis.
22
Taxes
A Before-Tax cash flow analysis (while not as accurate) is often performed as a preliminary analysis. A final, more complete analysis should be performed using an After-Tax analysis
Both are valuable analysis approaches
23
1.9 Minimum Attractive Rate of Return

An investment is a commitment of funds and resources in a project with the expectation of earning a return over and above the worth of the resources that were committed. Economic Efficiency means that the returns should exceed the inputs.
In the for-profit enterprise, economic efficiencies greater than 100% are required!
24
1.9 The MARR

A firms financial managers set a minimum interest rate that that all accepted projects must meet or exceed. The rate, once established by the firm is termed the Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR).
The MARR is expressed as a percent per year.

Numerous models exist to aid a firms financial managers in estimating what this rate should be in a given time period.
Graw Hill
Mc
Cash Flows: Their Estimation and Diagramming
26
1.10 Important TERMS

CASH INFLOWS
Money flowing INTO the firm from outside Revenues, Savings, Salvage Values, etc.
CASH OUTFLOWS
Disbursements First costs of assets, labor, salaries, taxes paid, utilities, rents, interest, etc.
27
1.10 Cash Flows

For many practical engineering economy problems the cash flows must be: Assumed known with certainty Estimated A range of possible realistic values provided
Generated from an assumed distribution and simulated
28
1.10 Net Cash Flows

A NET CASH FLOW is Cash Inflows Cash Outflows (for a given time period) We normally assume that all cash flows occur: At the END of a given time period End-of-Period Assumption
1.10 End-of-Period Assumption

END-OF-PERIOD Convention
ALL CASH FLOWS ARE ASSUMED TO OCCUR AT THE END OF AN INTEREST PERIOD EVEN IF THE MONEY FLOWS AT TIMES WITHIN THE INTEREST PERIOD. THIS IS FOR SIMPLIFICATION PURPOSES
30
1.10 The Cash Flow Diagram: CFD

Extremely valuable analysis tool First step in the solution process Graphical Representation on a time scale Does not have to be drawn to exact scale But, should be neat and properly labeled Required on most in-class exams and part of the grade for the problem at hand
31
1.10 Example Cash Flow diagrams

Assume a 5-year problem The basic time line is shown below
Now is denoted as t = 0
32
1.10 Displaying Cash Flows

A sign convention is applied Positive cash flows are normally drawn upward from the time line Negative cash flows are normally drawn downward from the time line
33
1.10 Sample CF Diagram

Positive CF at t = 1
Negative CFs at t = 2 & 3
34
1.10 Problem Perspectives

Before solving, one must decide upon the perspective of the problem Most problems will present two perspectives Assume a borrowing situation; for example: Perspective 1: From the lenders view Perspective 2: From the borrowers view Impact upon the sing convention
35
1.10 Lending Borrowing Example

Assume $5,000 is borrowed and payments are $1,100 per year. Draw the cash flow diagram for this First, whose perspective will be used? Lenders or the Borrowers ? ? ? Problem will infer or you must decide.
36
1.10 Lending Borrowing

From the Lenders Perspective
A = +$1,100/yr
0 1 2 3 4 5
-$5,000
37
1.10 Lending - Borrowing

From the Borrowers Perspective
P = +$5,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
A = -$1,100/yr
38
1.10 Example 1.17

A father wants to deposit an unknown lump-sum amount into an investment opportunity 2 years from now that is large enough to withdraw $4,000 per year for state university tuition for 5 years starting 3 years from now.
If the rate of return is estimated to be 15.5% per year, construct the cash flow diagram.
39
1.10 Example 1.17 CF Diagram
40
Graw Hill
Mc
Interest Rate and Rate of Return
41
Interest Rate
INTEREST - MANIFESTATION OF THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY. THE AMOUNT PAID TO USE MONEY. INVESTMENT
INTEREST = VALUE NOW - ORIGINAL
AMOUNT
LOAN
INTEREST = TOTAL OWED NOW - ORIGINAL
AMOUNT
RENTAL FEE PAID FOR THE USE OF SOMEONE ELSES MONEYEXPRESSED AS A %

Interest Rate
INTEREST RATE - INTEREST PER TIME UNIT
INTEREST PER TIME UNIT INTEREST RATE ORIGINAL AMOUNT
43
Interest Rates and Returns

Interest can be viewed from two perspectives: Lending situation Investing situation
44
Interest - Lending
You borrow money (renting someone else's money) The lender expects a return on the money lent The return is measured by application of an interest rate
45
Interest Lending Example 1.3

Example 1.3 You borrow $10,000 for one full year Must pay back $10,700 at the end of one year Interest Amount (I) = $10,700 - $10,000 Interest Amount = $700 for the year Interest rate (i) = 700/$10,000 = 7%/Yr
Interest Rate - Notation

For 1.3 the interest rate is.. Expressed as a per cent per year Notation I = the interest amount is $
i = the interest rate (%/interest period)

N = No. of interest periods (1 for this problem)
Interest Borrowing (Ex 1.3)

The interest rate (i) is 7% per year The interest amount is $700 over one year The $700 represents the return to the lender for this use of his/her funds for one year 7% is the interest rate charged to the borrower 7% is the return earned by the lender
Interest Example 1.4

Borrow $20,000 for 1 year at 9% interest per year i = 0.09 per year and N = 1 Year Pay $20,000 + (0.09)($20,000) at end of 1 year
Interest (I) = (0.09)($20,000) = $1,800

Total amt. paid one year hence $20,000 + $1,800 = $21,800
1.4 Interest Example 1.4

Note the following Total Amount Due one year hence is ($20,000) + 0.09($20,000) =$20,000(1.09) = $21,800 The (1.09) factor accounts for the repayment of the $20,000 and the interest amount This will be one of the important interest factors to be seen later
50
1.4 Interest Investing Perspective

Assume you invest $20,000 for one year in a venture that will return to you, 9% per year. At the end of one year, you will have: Original $20,000 back Plus..
The 9% return on $20,000 = $1,800

We say that you earned 9%/year on the investment! This is your RATE of RETURN on the investment
Graw Hill
Mc
Equivalence
52
EQUIVALENCE
Example You travel at 68 miles per hour Equivalent to 110 kilometers per hour Thus:
68 mph is equivalent to 110 kph

Using two measuring scales Miles and Kilometers
EQUIVALENCE
Is 68 equal to 110? No, not in terms of absolute numbers But they are equivalent in terms of the two measuring scales Miles Kilometers
54
ECONOMIC EQUIVALENCE
Economic Equivalence Two sums of money at two different points in time can be made economically equivalent if: We consider an interest rate and, No. of time periods between the two sums
Equality in terms of Economic Value
Equivalence Illustrated
Return to Example 1.4 Diagram the loan (Cash Flow Diagram) The companys perspective is shown
$20,000 is received here
T=0 t = 1 Yr
$21,800 paid back here

$20,000 is received here
T=0 t = 1 Yr
$21,800 paid back here
$20,000 now is economically equivalent to $21,800 one year from now IF the interest rate is set to equal 9%/year
$20,000 now is not equal in magnitude to $21,800 1 year from now But, $20,000 now is economically equivalent to $21,800 one year from now if the interest rate is 9% per year.
Another way to put it is ..
58
If you were told that the interest rate is 9%.... Which is worth more? $20,000 now or $21,800 one year from now? The two sums are economically equivalent but not numerically equal!
Read over Example 1.6
To have economic equivalence you must specify: Timing of the cash flows
Read over Example 1.6
An interest rate (i% per interest period) Number of interest periods (N)
60
Simple and Compound Interest

Two types of interest calculations Simple Interest Compound Interest Compound Interest is more common worldwide and applies to most analysis situations
61
Simple and Compound Interest

Simple Interest Calculated on the principal amount only Easy (simple) to calculate Simple Interest is:
(principal)(interest rate)(time)
$I = (P)(i)(n)
Graw Hill
Mc
CHAPTER I - Summary
Summary of Important Points
63
Chapter Summary
Engineering Economy: Aplikasi dari kriteria & faktor-faktor ekonomi untuk mengevaluasi alternatif2 yg ada dengan mempertimbangkan nilai waktu dari uang (interest and time)
64
Chapter Summary
Engineering Economy Study: Involves modeling the cash flows Computing specific measures of economic worth Using an interest rate(s) Over a specified period of time
65
Chapter Summary
The MARR
The MARR is a reasonable rate of return established as a hurdle rate to determine if an alternative is economically viable. The MARR is always higher than a return from a safe investment.
66
Chapter Summary
Attributes of Cash Flows
Difficulties with their estimation. Difference between estimated and actual value. End-of-year convention for cash-flow location.
67
Chapter Summary
Attributes of Cash Flows
Net cash flow computation. Different perspectives in determining the cash-flow sign convention. Construction of a cash-flow diagram. Introduction to spreadsheet analysis
68
End of Chapter I Lecture Set
69

Kuliah 1 - Blankchapter - 1-Edit

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Kuliah 1 - Blankchapter - 1-Edit

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Kuliah 1 - Blankchapter - 1-Edit

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

FOUNDATIONS OF ENGINEERING ECONOMY

1. Questions 2. Decision Making 3. Study Approach 4. Interest Rate

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

Why Engineering Economy is Important to Engineers (and other professionals)

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

CHAPTER I Section 1.2

Peran Ekonomi Teknik dalam Decision Making

Role of Engineering Economy

5. Select the best alternative

Section 1.2 Problem-Solving Approach

Major Role of Engineering Economy

Section 1.2 Problem-Solving Approach

One of the more difficult tasks

Section 1.2 Problem-Solving Approach

Where the major tools of Engr. Economy are applied

Section 1.2 Problem-Solving Approach

Time Value of Money

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

Performing and Engineering Economy Study

Parameter-Parameter yang Dibutuhkan

Both are valuable analysis approaches

1.9 Minimum Attractive Rate of Return

1.9 The MARR

The MARR is expressed as a percent per year.

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

Cash Flows: Their Estimation and Diagramming

1.10 Important TERMS

1.10 Cash Flows

Generated from an assumed distribution and simulated

1.10 Net Cash Flows

1.10 End-of-Period Assumption

1.10 The Cash Flow Diagram: CFD

1.10 Example Cash Flow diagrams

1.10 Displaying Cash Flows

1.10 Sample CF Diagram

Negative CFs at t = 2 & 3

1.10 Problem Perspectives

1.10 Lending Borrowing Example

1.10 Lending Borrowing

1.10 Lending - Borrowing

1.10 Example 1.17

1.10 Example 1.17 CF Diagram

ENGINEERING ECONOMY Fifth Edition Blank and Tarquin

Interest Rate and Rate of Return

RENTAL FEE PAID FOR THE USE OF SOMEONE ELSES MONEYEXPRESSED AS A %

INTEREST RATE - INTEREST PER TIME UNIT

INTEREST PER TIME UNIT INTEREST RATE ORIGINAL AMOUNT

Interest Rates and Returns

Interest Lending Example 1.3

Interest Rate - Notation

i = the interest rate (%/interest period)

Interest Borrowing (Ex 1.3)

Interest Example 1.4

Interest (I) = (0.09)($20,000) = $1,800

1.4 Interest Example 1.4

1.4 Interest Investing Perspective

The 9% return on $20,000 = $1,800