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LBO Valuation Process

Private Equity is an asset class consisting of equity securities in operating companies that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange. EQT - all rights reserved and Confidential 2008 EQT in brief industrial approach to Private Equity Founded 1994 Almost 200 employees - 11 offices 80+ Senior Industrialists Around EUR11 billion capital raised in 11 funds with four investment strategies - equity - Expansion Capital - Opportunity - Infrastructure Invested in more than 70 companies, realizing 37 exits Top quartile performance over

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100% found this document useful (6 votes)
7K views31 pages

LBO Valuation Process

Private Equity is an asset class consisting of equity securities in operating companies that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange. EQT - all rights reserved and Confidential 2008 EQT in brief industrial approach to Private Equity Founded 1994 Almost 200 employees - 11 offices 80+ Senior Industrialists Around EUR11 billion capital raised in 11 funds with four investment strategies - equity - Expansion Capital - Opportunity - Infrastructure Invested in more than 70 companies, realizing 37 exits Top quartile performance over

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adarshraj
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We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Private Equity

Linköping

January 8, 2009
Stefan Glevén
Private Equity
Private Equity – A catalyst for growth?

“In finance, Private Equity is an asset class consisting of equity securities in


operating companies that are not publicly traded on a stock exchange.”

“Growth can come from a rational organization of talents”


David Ricardo (1772-1823)

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 2


Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 3


Strictly private and Confidential
EQT in brief
Industrial approach to private equity

y Founded 1994 New York

y Almost 200 employees - 11 offices


y 80+ Senior Industrialists Oslo
Helsinki
y Around €11 billion capital raised in 11 Stockholm
funds with four investment strategies Copenhagen
Frankfurt
– Equity Warsaw
– Expansion Capital Munich
– Opportunity Zurich
– Infrastructure

y Invested in more than 70 companies, realizing


37 exits
y Top quartile performance over time
Shanghai

Hong Kong

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 4


Strictly private and Confidential
Industrial heritage

Access to industrial leaders and companies through relationship with


Wallenberg family and its tradition of building and developing companies
► Active, long-term owner of highly successful international industrial
companies
► Support portfolio companies in their strategic and financial development
► International network used to exchange experience, knowledge and
competence

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 5


Strictly private and Confidential
® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 6
Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 7


Strictly private and Confidential
Transaction Process

Target Due Deal


Ownership Exit
identification Diligence Execution

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 8


Strictly private and Confidential
Deal Sources

y Families/corporations seeking partners for the development of their


companies
y Non-core divisions in large corporations
y Privatizations
y Forced divestitures
y PTP (public-to-private)
y From other PE houses and other Funds

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 9


Strictly private and Confidential
Key Participants

Investment
Committee

Auditors /
Lawyers
Accountants
Financial
Sponsor
Industry
Specialists M&A Bankers

Leverage
Finance
Bankers

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 10


Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 11


Strictly private and Confidential
General Valuation
There are primarily three valuation techniques used when
valuing a company

y Discounted cash flow valuation (DCF)


y Comparable valuation based on trading comparables
– EV/EBITDA…
y Comparable valuation based on precedent transactions
– EV/EBITDA…

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 12


Strictly private and Confidential
General Valuation
Enterprise value is the actual economic value of a company

EBITDA x Multiple Debt - Cash

Enterprise value = Equity value + Net debt

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 13


Strictly private and Confidential
LBO Valuation
LBO valuation of a company is dependent on projections, debt structure
and required return

Main assumptions:
y Projections for income statement and operational balance sheet
– Dependent on market, market position, management, profitability, cost structure etc
y Debt structure
– Dependent on cash flow generation and banks willingness to finance the investment
y Exit multiple
– Dependent on company and industry profile
y Required return for the investment
– Dependent on EQT

Most important is to build a solid Base Case, based on assumptions for


growth, margins and cash flow

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 14


Strictly private and Confidential
General Valuation
Illustrative Example
Step 1. Define Base Case
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Revenues 100 110 121 133 146 Step 3. Define Exit Multiple
Growth % 10% 10% 10% 10% Year 4
EBITDA 12.0 13.2 15.7 17.3 20.5
EV/EBITDA Multiple: 7.0x
EBITDA Margin % 12.0% 12.0% 13.0% 13.0% 14.0%
EBITDA 20.5
Free Cash Flow 7.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 15.0 Enterprise Value: 143
Debt: 23
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.0x Equity Value: 120
Debt Year 0 60

Net Debt 60 53 45 35 23
Step 4. Define Required IRR
Required IRR 30%
Step 2. Define Debt
Structure
Year 0
Debt 60
EV = 102 Equity 42
Enterprise Value 102
EV/EBITDA 8.5x

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 15


Strictly private and Confidential
Valuation Summary
Illustrative Example
70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130

LBO:
95 110
20-25% IRR; 6x-7x EBITDA Exit

DCF:
105 130
7.5%-8.0% WACC; 6x-7x EBITDA TV

Trading Comparables:
95 105
7x-8x 2009E EBITDA

Trading Comparables:
100 110
11x-12x 2009E EBIT

Precedent Transactions:
105 115
8x-9x LTM EBITDA

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 16


Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 17


Strictly private and Confidential
General debt Financing
Debt financing is a fundamental component for a leveraged buy-out
The Past… Before Lehman After Lehman

Common Equity/
Common Shareholder Loan
Equity/Shareholder Loan
Common
PIK Loan PIK Note
Equity/Shareholder Loan
Unsecured Note Unsecured Note

Mezzanine Mezzanine
PIK
2nd Lien 2nd Lien
Loan Note

Senior Debt
Senior Debt
Senior Debt

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 18


Strictly private and Confidential
Debt Volumes
LBO volume has been significantly lower in YTD 2008
LBO Loan Volume Annual Senior LBO Loan Volume

( € in billions) ( € in billions)
€160B €140B 320

€140B €120B 280

240
€120B €100B

200
€100B €80B
160
€80B €60B
120
€60B
€40B
80

€40B
€20B 40

€20B
€0B 0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
€0B
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Deal Count*
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 YTD 2008
Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 19


Strictly private and Confidential
Impact on Leveraged Finance Transactions
The debt structures has clearly changed during 2008
LBO Debt Structure Average Leverage
7.0x
100%
5.9x
6.0x
80%
5.0x 4.5x
60%
4.0x

40%
3.0x

20% 2.0x

0% 1.0x
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Jan-Sep 08
0.0x
Sr Only Sr + 2nd Lien Sr + Mezz Sr + 2nd Lien + Mezz
2007 3Q08

Average Purchase Multiple Average Equity Contribution


12.0x 50%
44%
10.1x 45%
10.0x
8.7x 40%
34%
35%
8.0x
30%
6.0x 25%
20%
4.0x
15%
10%
2.0x
5%
0.0x 0%
2007 3Q08 2007 YTD Sep 2008

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 20


Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 21


Strictly private and Confidential
The Path to Value Creation
There are several ways to create value in a portfolio company

• Accelerate organic opportunities


• Add-on acquisitions to expand product range and/or
Sales Growth geographical reach and/or provide synergies

• Operational Improvements
Margin • Product mix enhancement
Expansion

• Equity “Story” Improvement


Strategic • Consolidation, Critical Mass
re-positioning

• Using the target company’s cash flows to increase the equity component of
enterprise value by repaying debt
Debt pay down

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 22


Strictly private and Confidential
EQT’s Industrial Acceleration Strategy

EQT
Industrialists
Industrial
Industrial Acceleration
Acceleration
Management
Team

Network

Strategy People Incentives


ƒ Board defines and ƒ EQT appoints key personnel ƒ Board, management and
monitors roadmap for - The chairman always owners interests are
creating shareholder appointed from EQT network of aligned through
value international experienced investments
- Strategic industrialists ƒ Common mindset
positioning - EQT partner always member of established through
- Internationalization the board as owner but never - Joint business plan
- M&A chairman
- Transparency
- Financing issues - EQT active in assisting in the
- Open
- Preparation for exit recruitment of first line
communication
management
ƒ EQT contributes
industrial and financial - Internationally experienced
expertise executives appointed to the
board or as consultants

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 23


Strictly private and Confidential
Exit General
EQT has not made a good deal until exit – the goal is to achieve a
return of at least 2-4 times investment in three to five years

• Has delivered on the plan? (financials)


Company • Has the right structure? (reporting etc)
• More to do? (marginal return)

• Equity Markets
• Debt Markets
Market
• Competing Offerings

• Many
Buyers • Willing
• Able

• Return vs requirements
EQT • Need for exits (fund raising etc)
• Portfolio Management issues

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 24


Strictly private and Confidential
EQT Value Creation
EQT has historically created value through accelerated revenue growth,
increased efficiency and strategic re-positioning
Focus on Growth and Efficiency Proven Ability to Drive Growth

Historic Breakdown of Value Creation Average growth of all EQT portfolio


companies in Europe (1) 20%
100%

80% 42%
Revenue growth 13%
12%
60%

40% 36%
Margin
improvements

20%
Strategic re-
19%
positioning
0% 3% Debt pay-down
Employee growth Sales growth EBITDA growth

(1) Includes organic and acquisitive growth. Analysis based on Carl Zeiss having acquired Sola and Dragoco Haarmann &
Reimer. If base for these acquisitions is adjusted, EQT portfolio companies recorded an average +10% employee growth, ® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 25
+11.3% sales growth and +18% EBITDA growth Strictly private and Confidential
Agenda

I. Introduction to EQT

II. Private Equity


- Process
- Valuation
- Financing
- Value Creation & Exit
III. EQT Infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 26


Strictly private and Confidential
EQT Infrastructure
The EQT Infrastructure fund was launched in November 2008

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 27


Strictly private and Confidential
EQT Infrastructure
EQT will invest €6–7 billion in infrastructure assets in the next years with a
focus on the Northern and Eastern Europe
y Fund size: ~€1.2 billion

y Focus on Northern and Eastern Europe

– Advising teams in Stockholm, Helsinki, Munich and New York


y Medium-sized infrastructure operating assets/companies – control or co-control
positions
y Primary targets;
– Regulated basic infrastructure (e.g. power generation, power transmission and
distribution, wind power, gas pipelines, telecom)
– Concession-based essential infrastructure (e.g. airports, ports, toll roads, rail
transport, water and waste treatment facilities)

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 28


1. Source: OECD “Infrastructure to 2030 Telecom, Land, Transport, Water and Electricity” Strictly private and Confidential
EQT Infrastructure
Infrastructure - macro perspective

y Global need for new and improved infrastructure

– Rising global population


– Focus on competitiveness
– Huge investment need (some €52 trillion for basic infrastructure worldwide
through 20301)
y Privatization important part of infrastructure investment solution - risk split, free up
capital, strengthen competitiveness
y Decreased government spending on infrastructure

® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 29


1. Source: OECD “Infrastructure to 2030 Telecom, Land, Transport, Water and Electricity” Strictly private and Confidential
Infrastructure fundamentals
Decreased government spending on infrastructure

Source: OECD ® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved 30


Strictly private and Confidential
® 2008 EQT – All Rights Reserved
Strictly private and Confidential

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