Rural Energy Data Sources and Estimations in India
Rural Energy Data Sources and Estimations in India
Rural Energy Data Sources and Estimations in India
Preeti Malhotra, Fellow, TERI; I H Rehman, Fellow, TERI; Preety Bhandari, Senior Fellow,
TERI; Ronnie Khanna, Research Associate, TERI ; Ritu Upreti, Research Associate, TERI
Introduction
One of the important features of rural energy is the dependence on locally
available biomass resources. Since they are collected at zero cash cost, data
collection on consumption is primarily recall-based. Similarly, local-level supply
and demand is difficult to capture. Hence, there is an inherent problem of data
availability and authenticity. Micro-level experiences are at times contrary to the
macro assessments provided. The claims, therefore, made of successful energy
transitions (both in terms of fuel and technology) or popularly known as ‘fuel
switch’, happening in the rural areas, is perhaps an over statement. The following
sections give a brief status of the present fuel/technology mix in the rural areas, a
critique of the data sets available on consumption/supply that highlight trends
and some of the key issues. The analysis has been presented with respect to the
macro assessments and the micro-level evidence (surveys, case studies, etc.)
bringing out the weaknesses in types of data available and assessments made vis-
à-vis rural energy transitions.
1
Most of the fuelwood used in rural households is collected from not one, but
several sources, such as common lands, reserved/protected areas (government
controlled forest lands), panchayat land, privately owned land, and revenue
wastelands. Mostly women and children transport wood and other biomass fuels
as head loads. The wood fuel and other biomass are burnt in inefficient
traditional mud stoves (~20% efficiency) in poorly ventilated kitchens. In the
northern states, where cooking of animal feed is common, hara is the cooking
device used. It is also used for simmering milk. Portable mud and metal cook
stoves are also used.
Petroleum products like LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) and kerosene form less
than two per cent of the total energy consumption in the rural areas. Hence the
large imports of petroleum products only marginally benefit the rural populace
that constitutes nearly 70% of the population in the country. In rural India,
kerosene is mainly used for lighting. According to the 50th round of NSS (NSSO
1996), around 62% of the rural households use kerosene primarily for lighting.
Only two per cent of the rural households in India used kerosene as the primary
cooking fuel. The total kerosene consumption in India during 2000/01 was
estimated at around 11.5 million tonnes, out of which about 60% was for the rural
areas. The PCA (per capita allocation) for states ranges between 10 and 24 kg a
year. While allocating kerosene for the year 1999/2000, the maximum PCA has
been frozen at 24 kg per annum (MoPNG 2000).
In case of LPG, since 1985, the consumption has grown from over 100 million
tonnes in 1985 to over 6000 million tonnes in 1999. The number of LPG
customers served by the four oil companies as on 1 January 2000 was 43.6
million (MoPNG 2000). However, the rural penetration during this period is just
over one per cent of the total households (MoPNG 2000).
In terms of extension of grid electricity to the rural areas, the rural electrification
programme, which is the largest rural energy programme today, claims to have
electrified more than 85% of the 580 000 villages in the country (CEA 1996).
However, at present, there are 80 000 villages in India that need to be electrified.
Out of these, 18 000 are remote and geographically inaccessible where grid
extension is not economically viable (1991 census). As per the 2001 census, the
number of such villages is likely to be considerably higher. According to an
2
estimate, about 65% of the households in electrified villages do not receive
benefits of electricity even now. This is both on account of inability of households
to afford electricity connections as well as low demand on account of poor
reliability and quality of the existing supply. The net result is that at least 70-80
million rural households still depend on kerosene lamps for meeting a basic need
such as lighting (according to the draft Tenth Five-year Plan 2002–2007 of the
Planning Commission, Government of India). Both electrified and un-electrified
households depend on kerosene-based lighting devices. The kerosene devices
used in rural areas have low luminous efficiency and a high specific fuel
consumption. In a study of the usage of kerosene-based lighting devices in the
rural areas of Uttar Pradesh (TERI 1999b); of the electrified households
surveyed, 85% households were using home-made wick lamps for more than four
hours a day (average) and the remaining were found to be using hurricane
lanterns. Another interesting pattern of usage was that a majority of electrified
households used bulbs for lighting in their living rooms and outer verandahs, but
continued to use kerosene based lighting devices in the kitchen and for other
miscellaneous activities.
3
Table1 Progress of mechanization and energy consumption in agriculture sector
Year Electric Diesel Electricity Diesel
pumps pumps
(GWh) (MMT)
1953/54 0.030 — 219.40 0.210
1960/61 0.199 0.283 832.93 0.305
1970/71 1.629 0.558 4470.23 0.799
1980/81 4.330 2.825 14489.06 3.181
1990/91 8.909 5.054 5032.40 5.405
1994/95 10.721 6.304 79300.94 6.245
Source: Maggo (1998)
4
comparison to the total inputs. As per the estimate, of the energy consuming
enterprises 28% use firewood as their source of energy while about 8% of the
enterprises use charcoal to meet their energy needs. A large population of small
enterprises uses fossil fuel as the main source of energy. In recent years, the
prices of energy, both thermal and electrical, have been increasing steadily. For
example, diesel oil prices have increased to Rs 17.05/litre (2001) from Rs
7.95/litre (January 1997). Similarly, other petroleum fuels have also registered a
steep increase in prices due to the soaring international prices of crude oil. The
electricity tariff for industrial customers is also generally much higher compared
to agricultural customers. Further, with the various regulatory mechanisms
coming into play, industrial customers may have to pay even higher rates. Also,
concessional tariffs provided initially to encourage small industry are coming to
an end, resulting in a sudden, heavy burden on such industries.
There has also been a major shift in the source type for supply of fuelwood
(Figure 1) showing a decrease in dependency on forests. The supply of fuelwood
from individual agricultural fields and roadside bushes and trees has increased.
5
Figure 1. Fuelwood collection by
Rural households
60
50
% share in supply
40
30
20
10
0
Forest Own farm Roadside Other
bushes and
trees
1978 1992
300
260
250
235
million cubic metres
200 199.6
163.9
150
129.4
115
100
50 52.6
40
28.5
8.8 9.7 13.7
0 0
1947 1953/54 1965/66 1975/76 1987 1997
6
Source: Forest Survey of India (1988)
This gap is widely believed to be met from illicit and unsustainable exploitation of
biomass resources. At the present rate of consumption, this will clearly result in
further degradation of the biomass resource base, and containing this demand
would be a major concern in the future.
1
In most of the companies, the policy is that the cylinders will
be refilled after 21 days. However, owing to logistic and
economic reasons, rural customers usually take 3 months to get
the cylinders refilled.
7
Figure 3 Gross energy consumption: Rural, by expenditure class
Source NSSO 2001
In terms of the extent of ‘switch over’, only one per cent of the households in the
rural areas has switched over from firewood and chips as a source of cooking
since 1987/88 (GoI 1997a)6. While the dependence of rural households on dung-
cake, coke, and coal has fallen and that on kerosene and gas has risen over
successive NSS rounds, the percentage of households (77%–79%) dependent on
firewood and chips has remained constant (GOI 1997). This further reiterated by
the rural energy consumption figures for the latest round of NSSO (Figure 3).
8
Figure 4 -Monthly per capita enrgy consumption in rural
areas
0.04
LPG (kg)
0.01
0.68
Kerosene (litre)
0.57
2.27
Electricity (kWh)
1.3
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
1978/79 1993/94
Source: NSSO, 1997. Consumption of some important commodities in India. Report No. 404.
New Delhi: National Sample Survey Organization, Department of Statistics, GoI.
The monthly per capita figures between 1978/79 and 1992/93 also show an
increase in the consumption of fuelwood, LPG and kerosene fuels. However, the
increase in the consumption of LPG and kerosene is marginal while that for
fuelwood and electricity it is significant (Figure 4).
With regard to rural electrification, the NSSO 50th and 55th round surveys
carried out in 1993/94 and 1999-2000, respectively, have indicated that the
households using electricity as main source of electricity has increased from 37%
in 1993/94 to 53 % in 2000.
Macro-level assessment
For Indian rural energy planning, the main agencies involved in the process of
data collection and making estimations at the national/macro level are the
NCAER (National Council for Applied Economic Research), NSSO (National
9
Sample Survey Organization), CMIE (Centre for Monitoring of Indian Economy),
and TERI (Tata Energy Research Institute).
Several efforts have been made by these agencies and others (e.g. working groups
set up by the government) to determine the fuel mix in rural areas. Prominent
among these are ESI (1965), Working Group on Energy Policy (1979), ABE
(1985), EDSG (1986), NCAER (1985), REDB (1991) etc. However, most of these
are sample surveys and the actual energy use is only an estimation using some
standard norms while doing the surveys. Internationally comparable, cross-
sectoral, or time-series data is either non-existent or incomplete. Most of the
frequently used data in estimating rural household consumption patterns comes
from the surveys of the NCAER and the NSSO. One of the initial household level
surveys on rural energy consumption was done in 1962 by NCAER that was used
in the ESI (Energy Survey of India Committee) report, which was published in
1965. Following this, the Working Group on Energy Policy was set up in 1977 by
the Government of India, which used the results of the 18th and 28th rounds of
the NSS to project the aggregate energy demand. After these initial efforts,
several more studies were done to estimate energy consumption (demand).
NCAER Most of the above mentioned studies have relied on the surveys done by
the NCAER (in 1978/79 and 1992/93). The survey of 1978/79 was first of its kind
at the macro level, which covered 13 010 sample households spread over 18 states
of which the rural sample was 7500 households in 600 villages selected from 300
districts. This survey estimated that 89.7% of the household energy is consumed
for cooking in rural areas, while lighting and all other end uses account for only
6.3% and 4.0% of the total energy consumed respectively (NCAER 1985).
10
With respect to rural energy, NSSO collects data on primary sources of energy for
cooking and lightning from households throughout the country. The survey gives
per thousand distribution of households by primary sources of energy for cooking
and lighting for each household (occupation) type and social groups (SC, ST and
other households). It also gives the distribution of households by MPCE (monthly
per capita expenditure) class for each source of energy for cooking and lighting.
The survey covers the entire country and uses the stratified sampling design for
data collection.
The data, however, is limited only to the household sector and does not focus on
energy requirement for agriculture and rural industry. As a result, two vital
components of rural energy are overlooked and it is not possible to form a
comprehensive picture regarding the distribution of energy consumption in the
rural areas. It would have been particularly helpful if the economic categories of
farmers had also been considered in the survey. Moreover, the consumption
levels for rural cooking and lighting are available; but the supply of fuels at the
district, state, and country level are not available. Moreover, the data does not
have some basic information, like the number of villages electrified, for an energy
planner to use.
CMIE Energy Survey. This is an energy database put together by the CMIE. This
contains extensive data on the energy sector from petroleum to coal. The
mandate and design of the CMIE survey, however, does not include a number of
issues related to rural energy planning. Some of these issues have been discussed
below.
The primary problem with this data set is that energy consumption for petroleum
products like kerosene is not segregated into rural and urban components. Only
the consumption figures have been given and there is no data on the supply of
these products at the national, regional, or state level. Moreover, the data does
not address the demand, supply, and consumption of traditional sources of
energy like fuelwood. Also, the data on renewables, capacity, type and place of
installation is not available.
11
REDB database. The REDB database has been compiled by TERI, New Delhi.
The REDB database gives the per capita consumption values of various fuels used
in the rural areas, especially in the household sector. It is based on the several
micro surveys done in different agro-climatic regions of the country. The surveys
are recall based. The database, however, is too geographically scattered, the
sampling is non-uniform and primarily focuses on per capita consumption.
Micro-level studies
In addition to the macro-level studies, several micro-level case studies have been
conducted which corroborate the fact that cooking continues to dominate the
rural domestic sector with biomass as the predominant energy source. Some
examples are Nishanka and Misra (1990); Bose et al. (1991); Ravindranath and
Chanakya (1986); Puri (1988) etc. For example, Bose et al. made a comparative
analysis of rural energy consumption patterns and the resource potential of three
un-electrified villages in the tarai region of eastern Uttar Pradesh—Maulaganj
(dist. Gorakhpur), Arro (dist. Pratapgarh), and Bishnapur (dist. Bahraich). The
study mainly examined how the energy consumption patterns in these three
villages – representing agriculturally advanced, moderate, and backward
categories, respectively – are influenced by the local availability of energy
resources. The analysis indicated a heavy reliance on biomass fuels (of the order
of 98%) for meeting domestic energy needs. Several such micro-level studies at
the block and district level have also been done by TERI, New Delhi, that has
primarily fed into the REDB database.
12
13
Issues in data collection and estimations
14
Use of recall based method
Some of the survey information is based on recall. The biases introduced as a
result can skew the estimations. Field experience shows that people often over
estimate the amount of fuel they use for a particular end use. This is generally
done with the objective that some project and programme will then be
implemented to reduce such high consumption levels and therefore the people
hope for receiving some benefit. Further, especially in case of traditional fuels
such as biomass, people find it difficult to ‘average’ the amount of wood they
might be using in a day. Often people get confused between the head loads they
carry and the quantities they feed into the fire. Attempts are made to carry out
some measurements like weighing how much one basket or head load of wood or
dung cake weighs. However, still, estimations tend to be over- or in some cases
under-stated.
15
The sample surveys cater more to the issue of energy expenditure than rural
electrification. The quality aspect of rural energy is merely anecdotal and no
systematic information exists on it. Alternatively, the grid reach information is
provided in terms of circuit kilometres of network developed. It is very difficult to
get the information on where all these grids are available and also the future
plans for its extension at any central location. Neither is it possible to get
information on the load that can be supported at the village electrification points.
16
percentage of households using electricity as primary souce of energy would be
approximately 61 per cent. This also reflects the fact that there is not much
correlation between expenditure levels and level of electrification.
99-00
90 93-94
% point Increase
80
70
Percentage
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
5
25 5
30 0
34 0
38 0
42 0
47 0
52 5
61 5
77 5
95 50
e
22
25
30
34
38
42
47
52
61
77
or
9
m
0-
5-
5-
0-
0-
0-
0-
0-
5-
5-
5-
0-
22
MPEC Class
Field experience also suggests that the switch to the use of superior fuels (e.g.,
LPG) is more to do with just increase in incomes. A primary energy survey in
Jalore district in Rajasthan, done by TERI (2001) (Figure 6), showed that people
6.00
consumption
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Kr l/m LPG kg/m FW kg/day CR kg/day DC kg/day
Type
17 of fuel
Variations in estimations
The national level aggregates of rural domestic energy consumption, as estimated
by different studies, are presented in Table 2. It is apparent that across the
different agencies responsible for data collection there are large and significant
variations in estimations (Box 1). This makes it extremely difficult to use the data
for planning or projecting rural energy requirements.
Table 2 Estimation of household energy consumption (biofuels) - national
aggregates
Data Source Year of Fuelwood Dung- Crop
study cake residues
There is a wide variation of estimates in annual (1991) rural wood usage pattern
(excluding crop residues and dung), in different studies undertaken by different
agencies like NCAER (1985), FSI (1988), IREP, and Joshi et al. (1992), ranging
from 93mt (110kg/capita/yr) to 309 mt (492kg/capita/yr). The case studies done
at the village level also show that the per capita fuelwood usage (excluding crop
residue and dung ) ranges between these two extremes (288.35mt).There is
18
another estimate ( 252mt/yr) calculated on the basis of the three estimates given
by Joshi et al. (1992), which is much higher than the estimates of fuelwood use
by FSI (1988) made for 1986, by NCAER (1985) for 1978/79 and FAO (1993)
calculated for the 1991 population.
This wide variation among different estimates bring out the question as to which
estimate is to be taken for further calculations.
Conclusion
The majority of rural energy data especially on the household energy is derived
from the NCAER and NSSO surveys. Currently, the majority of other agencies
and institutions do not have on their basic mandate rural energy related data
collection. Hence, in order to overcome the problem of lack of consolidated
information related to rural energy demand, supply, and consumption, it is
desirable to allocate the responsibility of data collection to one agency.
Moreover, it will also be necessary to evolve a system of continually updating the
information. The need is to evolve a system to capture the data on an area basis,
focusing on a synergetic approach involving patterns and trends in traditional
and commercial energy consumption, and economic, social and environmental
indicators of rural development.
19
References
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villages in eastern Uttar Pradesh of India. Biomass and Bioenergy 1, 99-109.
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Environment and Forests, Dehra Dun, India.
Joshi, V., Sinha, C.S., Karuppaswamy, M., Srivastava, K. K., and Singh, P. B.
1992. Rural energy database. TERI, New Delhi.
Maggo, J.N. 1998. Sectoral Energy Demand in the Ninth Plan and the Perspective
Period up to 2011/12. A technical note. Planning Commission. 68 p.
20
NSSO. 1997. Energy used by Indian households. New Delhi. National Sample
Survey Organization, Department of Statistics [Report No. 410/2]
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Delhi: NSSO, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation,
Government of India.
TERI 1992. Rural Energy Database–India. New Delhi: Tata Energy Research
Institute.
TERI. 1999a. TEDDY (TERI Energy Data Directory & Yearbook 1999/2000) New
Delhi: TERI.
TERI. 2000. TERI Energy Data Directory & Yearbook 1999/2000. New Delhi:
TERI.
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