INTERNET TRENDS D11 CONFERENCE

5 / 29 / 2013 Mary Meeker / Liang Wu

Outline
Key Internet Trends Growth Continues Re-Imagination Being Re-Imagined & Uploaded Mobile Aggressive Momentum Computing Yet Another Platform Change Lots to Learn from China Volume + Innovation Most Enabled Entrepreneurs Ever? So, You Want to Be a Public Company? High-Skilled Immigration Perspective Appendix
Re-Imagination is Alive & Well Traditional Industries Being Re-Imagined USA, Inc.
2

KEY INTERNET TRENDS GROWTH CONTINUES

2.4B Global Internet Users in 2012* 8% Y/Y Growth*, Driven by Emerging Markets
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Country China India Indonesia Iran Russia Nigeria Philippines Brazil Mexico USA Argentina Egypt Colombia Turkey Vietnam Top 15 World 2008-2012 Internet User Adds (MMs) 264 88 39 35 33 31 28 27 19 18 17 17 14 13 12 654 902 2012 Internet Users (MMs) 564 137 55 42 70 48 34 88 42 244 28 30 25 35 31 1,473 2,406 Y/Y Growth 10% 26 58 205 6 15 32 6 9 3 57 11 39 17 7 15% 8% Population Penetration 42% 11 23 55 49 30 35 45 37 78 68 38 54 47 35 34% 34%
4

Note: *All data (except China) as of 6/12, 2.4B global Internet users and 8% Y/Y growth rate based on the latest available data. China Internet user data as of 12/12, per CNNIC. Source: United Nations / International Telecommunications Union, internetworldstats.com.

Material Upside for Mobile Ad Spend vs. Mobile Usage

% of Time Spent in Media vs. % of Advertising Spending, USA 2012
Time Spent % of Total Media Consumption Time or Advertising Spending 50%
Internet Ad Mobile Ad = $4B* = $37B*

Ad Spend

40%

42% 43%

30% 26% 20% 23% 14% 10% 6% 0% Print Radio TV Internet Mobile 22% 12% 3%

~$20B+
Opportunity in USA

10%

Note: *Internet advertising reached $37B in USA in 2012 per IAB, Mobile advertising reached $4B per eMarketer. Print includes newspaper and magazine. $20B opportunity calculated assuming Internet and Mobile ad spend share equal their respective time spent share. Source: Time spent and ad spend share data based on eMarketer (adjusted to exclude outdoors / classified media spend), 12/12.

80% of Top Ten Global Internet Properties Made in USA 81% of Users Outside America
Top 10 Internet Properties by Global Monthly Unique Visitors, 2/13 Google Microsoft Facebook Yahoo! Wikipedia Amazon.com Apple Glam Media Tencent Baidu.com 0 200 400 600 800 Monthly Unique Visitors (MMs) 1,000 1,200 USA Users International Users

Source: comScore Global, 2/13.

Global Smartphone Operating Systems Made in USA 88% Share from 5% Six Years Ago
Global Smartphone Operating System Market Share (by Units Shipped), 2005 vs. 2012
100%

Market Share of Smartphone OS

80% Other OS 60% iOS Android Windows Phone 40% BlackBerry OS Linux Nokia Symbian 20%

0% 2005 2012
Source: 2005 data per Gartner, 2012 data per IDC.

RE-IMAGINATION BEING RE-IMAGINED & UPLOADED @ AN ACCELERATING PACE

Long Ago, People Danced @ Concerts, Now They Video / Click / Share / Tweet

1990s

2010s

Source: Left image 123RF.com. Right image amadarose.co.uk.

Today = You Can Run, But You Cant Hide

1993 OntheInternet,nobody knowsyoureadog. 2013 OntheInternet,everybody knowsyoureadog.

Source: Quote Joe Louis (American heavyweight boxer), 1946. Left image Peter Steiner, cartoonbank.com, The New Yorker, 1993. Right image Tumblr user cachorro no computador.

10

Worlds Content is Increasingly Findable + Shared + Tagged Digital Info Created + Shared up 9x in Five Years
Amount of global digital information created & shared from documents to pictures to tweets grew 9x in five years to nearly 2 zettabytes* in 2011, per IDC.
Global Digital Information Created & Shared, 2005 2015E Digital Information Created & Shared (zettabytes) 8

0 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013E 2015E

11

Note: * 1 zettabyte = 1 trillion gigabytes. Source: IDC report Extracting Value from Chaos 6/11.

Media + Data Uploading + Sharing from Mobiles = Ramping Fast & Still Early Stage

Explosive Growth, But Still Early Stage

Ramping Very Fast

Emerging

Emerging

Source: Far right Illustration Eric Prommelt.

12

Photos

13

Photos = 500MM+ Uploaded & Shared Per Day, Growth Accelerating, on Trend to Rise 2x Y/Y
Daily Number of Photos Uploaded & Shared on Select Platforms, 2005-2013YTD
600

# of Photos Uploaded & Shared per Day (MM)

500 Flickr 400 Snapchat Instagram Facebook 200

300

100

0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013YTD

14

Source: KPCB estimates based on publicly disclosed company data.

Short-Term Sharing Exploding Snapchat Growth From Content That Disappears, Up >2x in 2 Months
Snapchat Daily Number of Snaps 5/12 4/13
160 140 # of Photos Shared per Day (MM) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 5/12 10/12 12/12 2/13 3/13 4/13
Source: Snapchat.

Choose How Long Your Snap Lives

15

Video

16

Video = 100 Hours Per Minute Uploaded to YouTube, Up from ~Nada Six Years Ago
YouTube Hours of Video Uploaded per Minute, 6/07 5/13
120

Hours of Video Uploaded per Minute

100

80

60

40

20

0 6/07 1/09 5/09 3/10 11/10 5/11 5/12 5/13

17

Source: YouTube.

Video (Short-Form + Persistent) = Ramping Fast Twitter Vine

6 Second Videos 2x M/M Growth
Vine iOS App Monthly Active Users (MAUs) as % of Total USA iPhone MAUs, 1/13-4/13 8% % Share of USA iPhone Monthly Active Users 6% 4% 2% 0% 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13

Dropcam ($149 ASP)

More Video Uploaded per Minute Than YouTube

Source: Onavo, Dropcam.

18

Opt-In Video Big Brother Meets Big Mother?

30% of Dropcam viewers used Talk Back to interact over past 2 weeks.
When I am on the road, I still join my husband in singing bedtime lullabies using Dropcam, a Wi-Fi video monitoring camera that streams to my phone and computer. Randi Zuckerberg Parents Can See & Talk With Children While Away From Home

Source: Dropcam,5/13. Mashable, 4/13

19

Sound

20

Sound = Emerging as Voice Comes Back to Phones

SoundCloud
11 Hours of Sound Uploaded per Minute

Tencent WeChat
400MM+ Users, 4x Y/Y

Source: SoundCloud, Tencent.

21

Data

22

Win-Win-Win Sharing = Growing Quickly You Help Me, I Help You, We Help Others
Waze
48MM Users, +2x Y/Y 1B+ Miles Driven per Month w/ Waze Open

Jawbone UP
Per Day Billions of Steps 700K+ Hours of Sleep 5x App Interactions per User

Yelp
102MM Users, +43% Y/Y 39MM User-Generated Reviews, +42% Y/Y

Source: Company data.

23

Fitness Data on Mobile + Wearable Devices = ~2x Month-on-Month Growth

MyFitnessPal - # of API Calls*, 10/12 4/13
60

50

# of API Calls (MM)

40

30

20

10

0 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13

24
Note: *API calls are data request from fitness devices (such as Jawbone UP) and GPS-enabled activity tracking apps (such as Endomondo / Runtastic) that partner with MyFitnessPal. Source: MyFitnessPal.

Health Outcomes Behavior (at 40%) is Biggest Driver of Premature Death

USA Proportional Contribution to Premature Death, 2007 10% 5% 40% 15%

30%
Behavioral Patterns* Social Circumstances Health Care Genetic Composition Environmental Exposure

*Smoking: 44%, Obesity & Inactivity 37%, Alcohol 9%, Other 10%.
Source: We Can Do Better Improving the Health of the American People - The New England Journal of Medicine, 2007.

25

Sharing

26

Social Media Facebook Leads, YouTube + Twitter + Google+ + Pinterest + Instagram + Tumblr Rising Fast
Which of the Following Social Media Do You Use? Facebook YouTube Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Pinterest MySpace Instagram Tumblr Foursquare 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2012 2011

Source: Frank N. Magid Associates, Facebook Fatigue - Fact or Fiction?, March 2013. Based on a study of 2K social media users aged 12-64 who were asked Which of the Following Social Media Do You Use? 2011 Pinterest and Instagram data from 9/12 / 4/12.

27

Americans = Sharing Underachievers

% of Respondents Indicating They Share Everything or Most Things Online, 5/13
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

World Average = 24% 15%

Note: Survey question is describe how much you share online (including status updates, feelings, photos, videos, links, etc.) Source: Ipsos Open Thinking Exchange, via Marketingcharts.com.

28

Unprecedented Transparency in Time of Tremendous Global Uncertainty

Ramp in Always-On Connected Global Citizens
1.1B+ global active Facebook users68% on mobiles60% log in dailywith average 200+ friends 350MM photos uploaded daily* Its hard to hide - truth can be a photo or video / clicksend away. Clean, well-lighted place to do business? People are basically good? Perhaps the world is on cusp of being safer than ever? There are lots of sacrifices. This is new terrain. Only time will tell how all this plays out

* Source: Facebook, 5/13.

29

MOBILE AGGRESSIVE MOMENTUM

30

Smartphones = Extraordinary Attributes Connected + Excited + Curious / Interested + Productive

USA Smartphone User Relative Sentiment Index (10 = Strongest, 0 = Weakest), 3/13 When Asked How Social and Communication Activities on Smartphones Made You Feel
8 Relative Sentiment Index (10 = Strongest, 0 = Weakest)

Source: IDC, 3/13. Facebook-sponsored research asked smartphone owners how an array of social and communication activities on their phones made them feel. Most owners use ~7.4 social and communications apps on their phones. Responses are indexed above.

31

Mobile Traffic as % of Global Internet Traffic = Growing 1.5x per Year & Likely to Maintain Trajectory or Accelerate
Global Mobile Traffic as % of Total Internet Traffic, 12/08 5/13 (with Trendline Projection to 5/15E) 30% Trendline 25% % of Internet Traffic 20% 15% 10% 0.9% in 5/09 5% 0% 12/08 2.4% in 5/10 10% in 5/12 6% in 5/11 15% in 5/13

12/09

12/10

12/11

12/12

12/13E

12/14E
32

Source: StatCounter Global Stats, 5/13. Note that PC-based Internet data bolstered by streaming.

China Mobile Internet Access Surpassed PC, Q2:12

% of Chinese Internet Users Accessing the Web via Desktop PCs vs. via Mobile Phones, 6/07 12/12
100% % of Total Internet Users in China 96% 80% via Desktop PC 60% 71% via Mobile Phone 75%

40% 28% 20%

0% 6/07 12/07 6/08 12/08 6/09 12/09 6/10 12/10 6/11 12/11 6/12 12/12
33

Source: CNNIC, 1/13.

S. Korea Mobile Search Queries Surpassed PC, Q4:12

NHN Korea Search Query Trend (Indexed), PC vs. Mobile, 1/11 3/13

NHN Search Query (Indexed)

PC Query Mobile Query

1/11

3/11

5/11

7/11

9/11 11/11 1/12

3/12

5/12

7/12

9/12 11/12 1/13

3/13

Source: NHN Corporate Presentation, as of 5/13.

34

Groupon N. America 45% of Transactions on Mobile, Up from <15% Two Years Ago
% of Groupon North America Transactions Completed on Mobile, 1/11 3/13
50% Groupon North America Transactions Completed on Mobile (%)

45%
40%

30%

20%

10%

14%
1/11 4/11 7/11 10/11 1/12 4/12 7/12 10/12 1/13
35

0%

Source: Groupon, as of 3/13.

Facebook Mobile Has Helped Drive Users & Revenue,

Q1 Growth = Revenue +43% Y/Y, Mobile Users +54% (to 68%), ARPU + 15%

Q2:11 Ad Revenue ($MM) Y/Y Growth % from Mobile Mobile Active Users (MAUs) (MM) Y/Y Growth % of Total MAUs $776 83% --

Q3:11 $798 77% --

Q4:11 $943 44% --

Q1:12 $872 37% --

Q2:12 $992 28% --

Q3:12

Q4:12

Q1:13

$1,086 $1,329 $1,245 36% 14% 41% 23% 43% 30%

325 110% 44%

376 92% 47%

432 76% 51%

488 69% 54%

543 67% 57%

604 61% 60%

680 57% 64%

751 54% 68%

Annualized Ad ARPU ($) $4.37 Y/Y Growth Q/Q Growth 18% 11%

$4.15 19% (5%)

$4.59 1% 11%

$4.00 1% (13%)

$4.28 (2%) 7%

$4.43 7% 4%

$5.15 12% 16%

$4.60 15% (11%)

Source: Facebook.

36

Facebook = Rising Mobile ARPU Has Offset Declining Desktop ARPU, So Far
Facebook Annualized Ad ARPU, Desktop vs. Mobile, 3/11-3/13
$6

Annualized Ad ARPU ($)

$4

$2

0 3/11 6/11 9/11 12/11 3/12 6/12 9/12 12/12 3/13

Desktop Ad ARPU

Mobile Ad ARPU

Overall Ad ARPU

Source: Facebook.

37

COMPUTING YET ANOTHER PLATFORM CHANGE

38

We Just Began to Figure Out Smartphones

39

Smartphone Subscriber Growth = Remains Rapid 1.5B Subscribers, 31% Growth, 21% Penetration in 2013E
Smartphone Smartphone 2013E Sub Y/Y as % of Smartphone Growth Subs (MM) Total Subs 354 219 94 70 67 43 38 36 33 32 30 21 21 21 20 29% 58 76 23 6 53 67 11 46 29 12 19 38 23 60 31% 28 15 28 52 22 18 34 27 29 38 43 36 25 27 Smartphone Smartphone 2013E Sub Y/Y as % of Smartphone Growth Subs (MM) Total Subs 20 19 19 18 17 15 15 14 12 12 11 10 10 9 8 33% 18 63 21 24 25 35 20 58 37 20 10 10 60 59 14% 34 21 30 30 37 19 26 27 60 25 40 34 16 31

Rank Country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 China USA Japan* Brazil India UK Korea Indonesia France Germany Russia Mexico Saudi Arabia Italy Australia

Rank Country 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Spain Philippines Canada Thailand Turkey Argentina Malaysia South Africa Netherlands Taiwan Poland Iran Egypt Sweden Hong Kong

2013E Global Smartphone Stats:

Subscribers = 1,492MM

Penetration = 21%

Growth = 31%

Note: *Japan data per Morgan Stanley Research estimate. Source: Informa.

40

Smartphone Usage = Still Early Stage With Tremendous (3-4x) Upside

Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Users, 2013E
6,000

5B+ Mobile
Phone Users
5,000 Global Users (MM)

4,000

3,000

1.5B
2,000

Smartphone Users

1,000

0 Smartphone Mobile Phone

41

Source: Morgan Stanley Research estimates. Note: One user may have multiple devices - actual number of actual smartphone + mobile phone devices in use (subscription numbers) may be higher than user numbers.

Apple Growing Rapidly (1.4x Share Gain) Samsung Up 7x Over ~2 Years

Global Smartphone Unit Market Share Q4:12 Q1:10 22%
16% 4% Apple Samsung 80% Other

49%

29%

55MM Units

219MM Units
42

Source: IDC, Morgan Stanley Research. Data as of 4/13.

Then Along Came Tablets

43

Tablet Growth = More Rapid than Smartphones, iPad = ~3x iPhone Growth
First 12 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPhone vs. iPad
60,000 160,000
iPad iPad iPhone iPhone

140,000 50,000

Global Unit Unit Shipments Shipments (000) (000) Global

120,000

40,000 100,000 30,000 80,000

60,000 20,000 40,000

10,000 20,000 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11

12 12

After Launch Launch Quarters After

Source: Apple, as of CQ1:13 (12 quarters post iPad launch). Launch Dates: iPhone (6/29/07), iPad (4/3/10).

44

Tablet Shipments = Surpassed Desktop PCs & Notebooks in Q4:12, < 3 Years from Intro
Global PC (Desktop / Notebook) and Tablet Shipments by Quarter Q1:95 Q1:13
60

Global Units Shipped (MMs)

50

40

30

20

10

0 Q1:95

Q1:97

Q1:99

Q1:01

Q1:03

Q1:05

Q1:07

Q1:09

Q1:11

Q1:13

Desktop PCs

Notebook PCs

Tablets
45

Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Source: Katy Huberty, Ehud Gelblum, Morgan Stanley Research. Gartner. Data as of 4/13.

Demand for Large-Screen Computing Devices is Robust, But Mix Favors Tablets, Not Notebooks & Desktops
Global PC (Desktop / Notebook) and Tablet Shipments by Quarter Q1:1995 Q1:2013
160 140 Global Units Shipped (MMs) Desktop PCs 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1Q95 Notebook PCs Tablets

1Q97

1Q99

1Q01

1Q03

1Q05

1Q07

1Q09

1Q11

1Q13

Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Source: Katy Huberty, Ehud Gelblum, Morgan Stanley Research. Gartner. Data and Estimates as of 4/13.

46

Top Vendors Largely Same in Desktop & Notebook Cycles Very Different in Tablet (& Smartphone) Cycles
Desktop PC Market Share 2000
% Share Compaq Dell HP IBM NEC Others 13% 11% 8% 7% 4% 57% HP Acer Dell Lenovo ASUS Others

Notebook PC Market Share 2010

% Share 19% 17% 12% 10% 8% 34%

Tablet Market Share 2012

% Share Apple Samsung Amazon ASUS Lenovo Others 51% 13% 8% 5% 1% 20%

Smartphone Market Share 2012

% Share Samsung Apple Sony ZTE
BlackBerry

30% 19% 5% 5% 5% 37%

Others

Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Source: Morgan Stanley Research. Gartner. Data as of 4/13.

47

An Unusual Pattern In Two Computing Cycles 1) Smartphones 2) Tablets Entering a Third Cycle 3) Wearables / Drivables / Flyables / Scannables
48

Technology Cycles Still Early Cycle on Smartphones + Tablets, Now Wearables Coming on Strong, Faster than Typical 10-Year Cycle
Technology Cycles Have Tended to Last Ten Years
Mainframe Computing 1960s Mini Computing 1970s Personal Computing 1980s Desktop Internet Computing 1990s Mobile Internet Computing 2000s Wearable / Everywhere Computing 2014+

Others?

49
Image Source: Computersciencelab.com, Wikipedia, IBM, Apple, Google, NTT docomo, Google, Jawbone, Pebble.

New Major Technology Cycles = Often Support 10x More

Users & Devices, Driven by Lower Price + Improved Functionality
Computing Growth Drivers Over Time, 1960 2020E
Devices / Users (MM in Log Scale)

100,000

10,000

1,000 1B+ Units / Users 100MM+ Units 1MM+ Units 1970 10MM+ Units 1980 1990 2000

10B+ Units???

100

10

1 1960

2010

2020

Note: PC installed base reached 100MM in 1993, cellphone / Internet users reached 1B in 2002 / 2005 respectively; Source: ITU, Morgan Stanley Research.

50

Wearables (with Sensors)

51

Smartphone Users Reach to Phone ~150x a Day Could be Hands-Free with Wearables
# of Times Typical User Checks Phone per Day
Messaging Voice Call Checking Time Music Gaming Social Media Camera Alarm News & Alerts Calendar Web Search Other 0 5 10 3 3 14 15 20 25
52

23 22 18 13 12 9 8 8 6 5

Other includes voicemail, charging, and miscellaneous activities. Source: TomiAhonen Almanac 2013.

Sensor-Enabled Wearable Attributes

Hands-Free
Voice / gesture control

3rd party apps API partners Accessories

Development Platform

Always-On

Low power consumption Instant wake Background working / sensing

Less distracting when receiving alerts / reminders / messages

AttentionGetting

Environment -Aware

GPS Accelerometer Compass Camera Microphone Other Sensors

Connected

Wi-Fi 3G / 4G Bluetooth NFC

Source: MIT, KPCB.

53

Some People Laugh at Wearables

And SNL Does Rule ;)

Source: Saturday Night Live, 5/13.

54

Some People Laughed at PC & Internet

There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.

- Ken Olsen (Founder) Digital Equipment 1977

May 1999
55

Drivables

56

A Car or a Computer on Four Wheels?

57

Pandora Usage Car / TV / Appliance Usage (~13% Now) to Likely Surpass PC (21%) Usage in 2 Years
Share of Pandora Quarterly Listening Hours, PC vs. Mobile + Tablet vs. Other*, 4/09 4/13**
100% Share of Total Listening Hours (%)
Other* (Car / TV, etc.) PC Mobile + Tablet

80%

60%

40%

20%

0% 4/09 10/09 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 10/12 4/13

58

Source: Pandora. Note that *listening share data for other non-mobile / non-PC devices (car / TV, etc) are KPCB estimates. **Pandora fiscal year ends Jan 31, so FQ4:13 ended Jan 31, 2013.

Flyables

59

Its a Bird, Its a Plane, Its a Mini-Drone

Use Cases of Low-Cost Drones Agriculture
GPS-Enabled Photos Help Pinpoint Potential Crop Damage Early On

Sports / Entertainment
Unique Angle of View Provides Insights for Training + Broadcast Audience

Public Safety / Disaster Relief*

Providing Aerial Video Coverage / First-Aid / Other Supplies in Challenging Conditions

Source: Left image Shutterstock; Middle image Dronereport.net; *Right image Drone carrying cameras + other sensors being deployed during search & rescue mission of 7.0-magnitude earthquake in Lushan, China (4/13).

60

Scannables Codes / Tags + Cameras / Sensors

61

QR Codes = Scan & Be Scanned to Get Stuff

SCAN
Quick Scan w/ Smartphone For Info on Nutrition / Product / Price

BE SCANNED
Smartphone-Generated Codes For Boarding Pass / Ticket / Payment / Rewards

62

China - Follow UK Embassy Weibo Account by Scanning QR Code Outside Embassy in Beijing

63

QR Code Scanning = Up 4x Y/Y in China, Offline Businesses Driving Online Connections

China Monthly QR Codes Scanned by Use Case, 3/12 vs. 3/13
10

9MM
China Monthly QR Codes Scanned (MMs) 8

3%

Payment

22%
Information (Nutrition Info, Business Card Exchange...) Promotions (Billboard, Advertising)

33%
4

2MM*
2

42%

Passcode (Coupons, Rewards, Tickets, Check-Ins...)

3/12

3/13
Note: * March 2012 use case breakdown not available. Source: Imageco, China QR Code Market Study, 2013. We believe data are understated.

64

Tencent WeChat (400MM+ Users, +4X Y/Y, China)

Mobile Communication + Local Commerce via QR Codes
Consumers
In addition to connecting w/ friends via voice / text / pictures, WeChat users can scan QR codes of merchants to stay connected and enroll in rewards programs + receive coupons.

Businesses
Use QR code + communication functions to manage customer acquisition and relationships. SMBs can send offers / take online orders, provide customer support via WeChat.

Tencent WeChat Registered Users, 3/11-3/13

400 Registered Users (MM) 300 200 100 0 3/11 6/11 9/13 12/11 3/12 6/12 9/12 12/12 3/13
65

Source: User growth per Tencent and Morgan Stanley estimates.

LOTS TO LEARN FROM CHINA VOLUME + INNOVATION

66

China iOS + Android Users Surpassed USA, Q1:13

Active iOS and Android Devices, USA vs. China (MM), 1/11 2/13
250 Active iOS and Android Devices (MM) China 200 USA

150

100

50

0 1/11 3/11 5/11 7/11 9/11 11/11 1/12 3/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/13

Source: Flurry Analytics.

67

China Leads USA in Mobile + Internet Time Spent vs. TV = China @ 55% vs. 38% in USA
% of Time Spent in Media, USA vs. China, 2012
50% % of Total Media Consumption Time USA 40% 42% 33% 29% 26% 20% 14% 11% 6% 0% Print 5% Radio TV Internet Mobile 22% China

30%

10%

12%

Source: USA media time spent share data based on eMarketer as of 12/12, China media time spent data per Miaozhen Systems (a leading 3rd party ad tech platform) survey of 35,750 samples as of 12/12.

68

Alibaba Gross Merchandise Volume Surpassed Amazon.com + eBay, Q4:12

Gross Merchandise Value, 1995 2012 Amazon.com + eBay vs. Alibaba / Taobao
$200 Amazon.com eBay Amazon.com + eBay GMV ($B) $150 $150 Alibaba / Taobao GMV ($B)
69

$200

Alibaba / Taobao

$100

$100

$50

$50

$0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

$0

Source: Company data.

JD.com (360buy) Same Day Delivery with Real-Time Item Tracking on Map / MobileOften on Bicycle
Free* Same-Day Delivery in 25+ Cities in China / Customer Can Track Package Location on Map / Mobile Devices and Contact Delivery Person in Real Time

Note: *For orders > $8.

70

Taxi Apps* China Push to Talk to Driver / Bid Extra to Increase Chance of Getting Car on Your Terms
Push to Talk Say current location and where youre going. Your voice message will be delivered instantly to all nearby available taxis Bid to Win Increase your chance of hailing a cab during peak hours by offering extras tips up front (in addition to regular fare) Real Time Tracking View your taxis location in real-time, push to talk to the driver directly to coordinate pick-up

*Source: Left image - Yao Yao Zhao Che; Center image Di Di Da Che; Right image Kuai Di Da Che.

71

Sina Weibo 530MM+ Users (+2x Y/Y) Help Push For Social Change$100MM Revenue Run Rate, Up From $0 Y/Y
Notable Events / Movements Helped by Sina Weibo
Beijing Air Quality Campaign Sina Weibo users UGC photos / polls / reposts / suggestions helped drive government adoption of daily monitoring of air quality Real-Time SelfOrganized Emergency Relief Through Weibo, volunteers coordinated to pick up stranded travelers at Beijing airport during torrential downpour in 7/12

Sina Weibo Registered Users & Annualized Revenue Run Rate, 4/11-3/13
Registered Users (MM) Registered Users Annualized Revenue Run Rate Annualized Revenue Run Rate ($MM)
72

600 400 200 0 4/11

$120 $80 $40 $0

6/11

8/11

12/11

3/12

6/12

9/12

12/12

3/13

User / revenue source: Sina, Morgan Stanley Research.

GDP = China Share Gains vs. Europe & USA are Epic
Percent of Global GDP, 1820 2012, USA vs. Europe vs. China vs. India vs. Latin America
40%

30% % % of of Global Global GDP GDP

33% 33% 33% 19% USA 19% 19%

27% 27% 27% 20% 16% 16% 16%

10%

Europe

0%

2% 2% 2%

2% 2% 2%

16% 16% 15% 15% 16% China 15% 8% India 8% 8% 8% Latin 6% 6% 6% America

Source: Angus Maddison, University of Groningen, OECD, data post 1980 based on IMF data (GDP adjusted for purchasing power parity).

73

MOST ENABLED ENTREPRENEURS EVER? ZERO -> 1 MILLION USERS IN RECORD TIME(S)

74

Is This Generation Different?

Selective Formative Events of Past 20 Years
September, 2001 USA Terrorist Attacks Destabilized sense of security Rise of China as Global Super Power Altered global competition Global Financial Crisis, 2008+ Destabilized financial security High Unemployment Levels Destabilized career optimism Potential Fiscal Debt Challenges Rise in need to depend on selves Rise of Cheap / Available Computing 24x7 global access to loads of stuff including shared goods Rise of New Geek Entrepreneur Heroes Jobs + Sergey / Larry + Zuck Rise in Social Connectivity Ability to find / create / share / provide + get feedback Rise in Value of Social / Virtual vs. Financial + Physical Currency

75

Turning Passion Into BusinessesOn an Epic Internet Palette

Sports David Finocchio / BleacherReport Books Otis Chandler / Goodreads Music Daniel Ek / Spotify

Art / Creativity Georg Petschnigg / Fiftythree

Design / Inspiration Ben Silbermann Pinterest

Sound Alex Ljung + Eric Wahlforss / SoundCloud

News & Politics Chris Altchek + Jake Horowitz / PolicyMic

Product Design Ben Kaufman Quirky

Home Decoration Adi Tatarko + Alon Cohen / Houzz

76

SO, YOU WANT TO BE A PUBLIC COMPANY?

77

Internet IPO Standout LinkedIn

Registered Users = 218MM in Q1, +35% Y/Y; High Gross Margins (87%)
LinkedIn Registered Members and Gross Margins, Q1:08 Q1:13
Registered Members Registered Members (MM) 200 Gross Margin 85% Gross Margins (%)
78

250

90%

150

80%

100

75%

50

70%

0 Q1:08 Q1:09 Q1:10 Q1:11 Q1:12 Q1:13

65%

Source: LinkedIn. Data as of 5/27/2013.

Internet IPO Standout LinkedIn

Averaged 7% Revenue / 83% EBITDA Upside Since IPO, Shares +305%
LinkedIn Share Daily Closing Price, 5/11-5/13
2/13 Q4 Revenue $304MM, +81% Y/Y, 8% above 8/12 consensus Q2 EBITDA $79MM, Revenue $228MM, 25% above +89% Y/Y, 6% above consensus consensus EBITDA $50MM, 15% above consensus 5/13 Q1 Revenue $325MM, +72% Y/Y, 2% above consensus EBITDA $83MM, 16% above consensus

$225 $200 $175 $150 $125 $100 $75 $50 $25

8/11 Q2 Revenue $121MM, +124% Y/Y, 14% above consensus EBITDA $5MM, 5x consensus 11/11 Follow-on offering @ $71 per share, Raised $714MM 5/11 IPO @ $45 Raised $353MM 11/11 Q3 Revenue $140MM, +129% Y/Y, 10% above consensus EBITDA $12MM, 2x consensus 2/12 Q4 Revenue $168MM, +105% Y/Y, 5% above consensus EBITDA $34MM, 62% above consensus

5/12 Q1 Revenue $188MM, +101% Y/Y, 5% above consensus EBITDA $38MM, 31% above consensus

11/12 Q3 Revenue $252MM, +81% Y/Y, 3% above consensus EBITDA $56MM, 16% above consensus

$0 5/11

9/11

1/12

5/12

9/12

1/13

5/13
79

Source: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, FactSet. Data as of 5/17/13.

Financial Dynamics of Internet Leaders

eCommerce
Amazon Years Since Founding People Users Cumulative Operating Expense R&D Capital Expenditures Revenue Gross Margin (%) Free Cash Flow Market Capitalization 19 91K 209MM eBay 18 32K 116MM

Communication
Facebook 9 5K 1.1B Tencent 15 24K 798MM

Search
Google 15 54K 1.2B

Hardware
Apple 37 80K 500MM+

$50B $15B $9B $246B 27% $12B $122B

$42B $7B $6B $79B 69% $19B $71B

$5B $2B $3B $12B 72% $1B $62B

$5B $2B $2B $20B 56% $7B $73B

$63B $26B $20B $153B 72% $53B $301B

$87B $21B $30B $695B 37% $138B $415B

Full lifetime data for all companies not available. Company (Years of Data) as follows: Amazon (19), eBay (17), Facebook (6), Tencent (12), Google (14), Apple (37 for revenue, 26 for others). Operating expenses exclude one-time, non-recurring charges and include depreciation, amortization, stock-based compensation. Data for eBay includes Paypal. eBay users are active members of eBay marketplace. Data for Google includes DoubleClick (back to 1996). Google gross margin based on revenue net of TAC. Google user data per ComScore. Market cap. figures as of 5/21/2013. Capital expenditures for Facebook include capital leases. Apple user figures based on estimated installed base of Mac, iPad, iPhone, iPod units assuming a 4year replacement cycle for Macs, 3-year for iPads, 2-year for iPhones and iPods. Figures are not de-duplicated. Source: Public filings, FactSet, Morgan Stanley Research, Yahoo! Finance, ComScore.

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Market Value = Google + Amazon + eBay + Tencent + Priceline + Yahoo! +

Yahoo! Japan + Salesforce.com + LinkedIn Gain Y/Y Apple + Baidu Fall
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Total Company Apple Google Amazon eBay Tencent Facebook Priceline Baidu Yahoo! Yahoo! Japan Salesforce.com LinkedIn Rakuten Netflix Liberty Interactive NHN Yandex Tripadvisor Netease Verisign Mail.ru Mercadolibre Groupon Nexon Asos Region USA USA USA USA China USA USA China USA Japan USA USA Japan USA USA Korea Russia USA China USA Russia Argentina USA Korea UK 2013 Market Value ($B) $416 311 127 76 74 73 42 33 30 29 28 22 17 14 12 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 $1,375 2012 Revenue ($MM) $155,971 49,958 61,093 14,028 6,957 5,089 5,261 3,540 4,987 3,304 3,050 972 5,558 3,609 10,054 2,121 926 763 1,301 874 682 374 2,334 1,359 899 $345,064
81

2013 market value data as of 5/20/2013. Source: FactSet, Google Finance, Morgan Stanley Research.

HIGH-SKILLED IMMIGRATION PERSPECTIVE

82

Immigration in America & The Growing Shortage of High-Skilled Workers

Report / Presentation Can Be Found at www.kpcb.com/insights

83

Why Did We Publish a Report on High-Skilled Immigration?

America is the global leader in the technology industry. Immigrants (often with STEM* degrees) have been (and are) especially important to the vibrancy of tech companies. America has a shortage of high-skilled STEM workers and our tech leaders believe it's constraining their ability to compete and grow jobs in America. Government policy helps send many qualified foreign high-skilled workers home and constrains those that can come to America. Global environment for recruiting high-skilled STEM workers is likely to get much more competitive. Potential for immigration reform in America is very real and the future direction will likely be determined this year. This is a big issue for the technology industry we encourage you to read / share / opine on the report it can be found at kpcb.com/insights
*Note: STEM = Science / Technology / Engineering / Mathematics.

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99% Of Americans Are Immigrants Or Descendants Of Immigrants

USA Population by Ancestry, 2010 Census

Immigrants or Descendants of Immigrants

15%

11%

9%

15%

13%

16%

5%

15%

306 Million

German Other European Asian

Irish African American* Other / Unclassified

English Hispanic

Native Americans

0.9%

3 Million

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
85

Note: *African-American total includes those who came as slaves and not as voluntary immigrants. Other includes North America (Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and those who have more than one ethnicity reported. Source: Census Bureau, 2010 data.

High-Skilled Immigrants Are Only 1% Of Total U.S. Population

U.S. Population at a Glance, U.S. Born vs. Immigrants by Type of Admission, 2010
4MM, 1%

Legal Immigrants (High-Skilled) Legal Immigrants (Family-Based) Legal Immigrants (Refugees & Other) Undocumented Immigrants

270MM U.S. Born 87% of Total Population

19MM, 6% 40MM Immigrants 13%

6MM, 2% 11MM, 4%

Total USA Population = 310MM

Note: Number of undocumented immigrants currently residing in USA is an estimate by PEW Hispanic Center based on Census data. Precise breakdown of legal immigrants currently residing in USA by type of admission is not available and is an estimate based on Census data as well as Department of Homeland Security immigrant admission data from 1986 to 2010. Source: Census Bureau, PEW, DHS.

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60% of Top 25 Tech Companies Founded By 1st & 2nd Generation Americans = 1.3MM Employees, 2012
Founders / Co-Founders of Top 25 U.S. Public Tech Companies, Ranked by Market Capitalization
Rank Company 1 Apple 2 Google 3 IBM 4 Microsoft 5 Oracle 6 Amazon.com 7 Cisco 8 Intel 9 Ebay 10 Facebook 11 EMC 12 Hewlett Packard 13 TexasInstruments 14 VMware 15 Priceline 16 AutomaticDataProcessing 17 salesforce.com 18 Dell 19 Yahoo! 20 CognizantTechnology 21 Adobe 22 Broadcom 23 Intuit 24 LinkedIn 25 Symantec TotalFoundedby1stor2ndGenImmigrants MktCap($MM) $416,622 268,445 239,530 234,828 172,044 119,011 116,904 105,721 65,357 63,472 53,347 43,118 38,756 35,917 35,583 31,274 25,840 25,003 24,306 23,648 20,640 19,713 19,393 19,357 16,916 $1,633,048 LTMRev($MM) $164,346 49,958 104,507 72,764 37,230 61,093 47,252 53,341 14,028 5,089 21,714 118,397 12,690 4,605 5,261 10,945 3,050 56,982 4,987 7,346 4,373 8,006 4,153 972 6,839 $555,768 Employees 76,100 53,861 434,246 94,000 115,000 88,400 66,639 105,000 31,500 4,619 60,000 331,800 34,151 13,800 7,000 57,000 9,800 111,300 11,700 156,700 11,144 11,300 8,500 3,458 20,500 1,252,216 Founder/Co Founder Steve Jobs SergeyBrin HermanHollerith Bill Gates LarryEllison JeffBezos LeonardBosack AndrewGrove Pierre Omidyar MarkZuckerberg RogerMarino WilliamHewlett Cecil Green EdouardBugnion JayWalker HenryTaub MarcBenioff Michael Dell JerryYang FranciscoD'Souza JohnWarnock HenrySamueli ScottCook KonstantinGuericke GaryHendrix Generation 2ndGen,Syria 1stGen,Russia 2ndGen,Germany 2ndGen,Russia 2nd Gen,Cuba 1stGen,Hungary 1stGen,France 2ndGen,Italy 1stGen,UK 1stGen,Switzerland 2ndGen,Poland 1st Gen,Taiwan 1stGen,Nairobi 2ndGen,Poland 1stGen,Germany

Source: FactSet as of 3/13; The New American Fortune 500, a report by the Partnership for a New American Economy; American Made, The Impact of Immigrant Founders & Professionals on U.S. Corporations

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Computer Science Job Opening Forecast = 2.4x # of Computer Science Graduates

Projected Average Annual # of Graduates w/ Bachelors Degree in Computer Science vs. # of Job Openings Requiring a Bachelors Degree in Computer Science, 2010-2020E

# of Graduates w/ Bachelors Degree in Computer Science

51,474

# of Job Openings Requiring a Bachelor's Degree in Computer Science 0 50,000

122,300

100,000

150,000

Number of People, per Year

Source: Microsoft analysis (published in 2013) based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data. 88

USA Sending More Qualified Foreign Students Home Post Graduation 3.5x Rise in Student & Employment Visa Issuance Gap Over Decade
Number of Student (F1) vs. Employment (H-1B) Visas Issued per Year, 1992 - 2012
600 F1 Student Visa Issued Number of Visas Issued (000s) 500 400 300 200 100 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ~350K Difference H-1B Employment Visa Issued

~100K Difference
85K H-1B Visas Subject to Cap

Source: U.S. Department of State.

89

Startups & Big Tech Companies Cant Hire Enough Engineers

Street View From Silicon Valley

Five High-Tech Companies Alone IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Oracle And Qualcomm Have Combined 10,000 Current Openings In The United States.

Image: View outside of Quixeys office on Castro St. in Mountain View, CA. Picture by Joshua StantonSavitz. Data source: Technology CEO letter to the president and lawmakers, 3/13. http://www.scribd.com/doc/130388692/Tech-CEO-letter

90

Read More @ kpcb.com/insights

91

APPENDIX

92

Traditional Industries Being Re-Imagined

93

U.S. Postal Service Mail Volume Peaked in 2006 Owing to Email Rise Profitability Plummeted
Pieces of Mail Delivered (MM) and Net Profit / (Loss) ($MM) of U.S. Postal Service, 1886 - 2012
250,000
Pieces of Mail (MM) Net Profit / (Loss) ($MM)

$5,000

Pieces of Mail Delivered (MM)

200,000

$0

150,000

($5,000)

100,000

($10,000)

50,000

($15,000)

0 1886 1900 1914 1928 1942 1956 1970 1984 1998

($20,000) 2012

Source: Annual Report of the Postmaster General. Data not available for 1914 - 1925.

Net Profit / (Loss) ($MM)

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Relative Impact of Technology on Large Organizations = #2 Concern & Rising Rapidly

% of CEOs Who Thought The Following External Factors Would Have The Biggest Impact on Their Organizations
Market Factors Technological Factors Macroeconomic Factors
41% 35% 38%

84% 42% 39%

67% 44%

48% 48%

56% 39%

People Skills
37%

Regulatory Concerns
33% 25% 21%

Globalization Environmental Issues Socioeconomic Factors Geopolitical Factors

2004

2006

2008

2010

Source: IBM, Capitalizing on Complexity: Insights from Global CEO Study, May 2010. Study consisted of face-to-face conversations with over 1,500 CEOs worldwide. Executives were asked to discuss top three external forces that will have the biggest impact on their organizations.

95

Financial Services - Context

600MM+ credit cards in use in USA, average American carries 3-4 credit cards in addition to check cards / loyalty cards / coupons / cash in wallet. 17% average credit card borrowing rate vs. 1.8% 10-Year US Treasury bond yield*. 16B paper bills sent per year in USA. 4.3B bills paid by paper check per year in USA.

Source: *Credit Card #s per Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Credit Card interest rate per Indexcreditcards, 10-year Treasury yield are 5/13 averages, per Dept. of Treasury. Bill data per Fiserv.

96

Emerging Financial Services Metrics

Company Gross Volume
$15B+ Gross Payment Volume Processed to Date

Y/Y Growth
~3x Y/Y

# Users
4MM+ Merchants

$1.8B+ Loans Issued to Date

~3x Y/Y

137K+ Loans Funded to Date

$500MM+ Gross Payment Volume of bills Per Year

~17x Y/Y

8MM+ Registered Users

18MM+ Cumulative Transactions

~5x Y/Y

11MM+ Bitcoins in Circulation

$29B+ Gross Mobile Payment Volume Per Year

~2.5x Y/Y

20MM+ Registered Users

Square Y/Y growth excludes partnerships. Lending Club loans issued to date as of 5/25/2013. Bitcoins data as of 5/25/2013, per Blockchain. Source: Square, LendingClub, Check, Blockchain.info, JP Morgan Chase.

97

Education - Context
$1.1T+ annual spending on education in USA, $460B+ = post-secondary, cost of going to college up +2x (inflation adjusted) over 30 years. $914B** student loans outstanding ($25K per graduating student), bigger than credit card ($672B) & auto loans ($750B). Student loans up 8x over ten years.

Source: **Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA).

98

Online Education Growing Rapidly = 32% of Students Taking at Least One Online Course, 2011
US Online Enrollment in Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions & % of Total Enrollment, 2002 - 2011
8 7 Online Students (MM) 6 5 20% 4 15% 3 2 1 0 Fall 2002 Fall 2003 Fall 2004 Fall 2005 Fall 2006 Fall 2007 Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 10% 5% 0% 35% 30% 25% % of Total Enrollment
99

Students Taking at Least One Online Course Online Enrollment as a % of Total Enrollment
Source: Changing Course: 10 Years of Tracking Online Education in the United States. Babson Survey Research Group 1/13.

Online Education = Quickly Becoming More Accepted

77% of academic leaders at over 2,800 US colleges perceive online education as the same or superior as compared to face-to-face education Academic Leaders Perceptions of Learning Outcomes in Online Education Compared to face-to-face 2012 2011 2010 2009 2006 2004 2003 0% 20% 40% Inferior & Somewhat Inferior Same 60% 80% 100% Superior & Somewhat Superior
100

Source: Changing Course: 10 Years of Tracking Online Education in the United States. Babson Survey Research Group 1/13.

Education Being Democratized = Fast Global MOOC (Massively Open Online Course) User Growth
iTunes U Open University Downloads, 6/08 3/13
60 Downloads (MM) 10 8 (MM) 6 4 2 0 6/08 3/09 1/10 11/10 9/11 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/13 3/13

Coursera Users & Course Enrollment, 9/12 3/13

40

20

Students iTunes U Open University Downloads, by Region

Course Enrollment

Coursera Users, by Region

16% 46% 25% 16% 13%

United States China UK Other North America

35% 13% 16%

Asia Europe Other

Source: The Open University 3/13, & Coursera Company Data, 4/13.

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Healthcare Context
$2.6T+ annual spend on healthcare in USA, 18% of GDP in 2010, up from 5% in 1960, and 2x OECD average. ~100MM Americans (30%) of Americans considered obese in 2012, up from 15% in 1990. $147B estimated medical costs associated with obesity in 2008, up from $79B in 1998.

Source: American Heart Association, Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 2012, OECD. 102

Right Story, Great ReportingPerhaps, Right Time

When we debate health care policy, we seem to jump right to the issue of who should pay the bills, blowing past what should be the first question: Why exactly are the bills so high?
- Steven Brill, Time, March 2013

103

Re-Imagination is Alive & Well

104

Re-Imagination of Basic Business Process

Building / Funding KickStarter
Online / Social Distribution / Real-Time Progress

Logistics JD.com (360buy)

At Your Door Same-Day Delivery / RealTime Tracking / Last Mile on Bikes

Manufacturing MakerBot
3-D Prototyping / Printing

Education Codecademy
Accessible by Anyone, Anywhere, Anytime

Housing Airbnb
Turn Privately-Owned Properties into Hotel Experience

Transportation Uber
On-Demand Transportation

105

Re-Imagination of Asset-Heavy Products / Services

Music
(Spotify)
Pay for Access / Instant On-Demand Streaming on Internet-Enabled Devices

Video
(Netflix)
On-Demand / Instant Access Anywhere

Textbooks
(Chegg)
Pay For Usage Rights During Semester

Wallet
(Square)
Smartphone is the New Wallet

Employment
(oDesk / eLance)
Workforce as a Service (WaaS) / On-Demand / Global

Store Fronts
(Zaarly)
Anyone Can Open / Beautifully Designed

106

Re-Imagination of R&D
Minted
85K designs submitted 4MM monthly visitors

Quirky
87K designs submitted 360K registered users

99Designs
228K designers 216K contests

Source: Company data.

107

Re-Imagination of Learning Tools = Twitter / YouTube / Google Docs / Google / WordPress

C4LPT Ranking of Top Learning Tools

582 learning professionals worldwide were asked to provide their top 10 tools used for learning in 2012 / 2009 Learning tool is defined as any tool that you could use to create or deliver learning content/solutions for others, or a tool you use for your own personal learning The 2012 survey compiled data from 582 learning professionals worldwide (55% working in education & 45% in noneducational organizations

Company Twitter YouTube Google Docs* Google Search WordPress Dropbox Skype Powerpoint Facebook Wikipedia Moodle Evernote Slideshare Prezi Blogger / BlogSpot

2012 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

2009 Rank 1 3 5 8 6 71 11 13 31 17 14 27 7 28 14
108

Source: Centre for Learning & Performance Technology (C4LPT) Top 100 Tools For Learning 2012.

Re-Imagination of Computing Operating Systems iOS + Android = 60% Share vs. 35% for Windows
Global Market Share of Personal Computing Platforms by Operating System Shipments, 1975 2012 1983 Wintel - 25%
100% Market Share of Personal Computing Platforms by Operating Systems (%) 90% 80% 70% 60% TRS-80 50% 40% Apple 30% 20% Other 10% Commodore Amiga Android Atari WinTel

1998 2005 Wintel 96%

2012 Wintel 35%

0% 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

Source: Asymco.com (as of 2011), Public Filings, Morgan Stanley Research, Gartner for 2012 data.

109

USA, Inc.

Report / Presentation Can Be Found at www.kpcb.com/insights

110

Consumer Confidence =
At Five-Year Highs, Though Still Well Below 30-Year Average
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, 1978 2013 YTD
160

140

120 Consumer Confidence Index (1985=100)

35 Year Average CCI = 91.5

4/13 CCI = 68.1

100

80

60

40

20

2/09 Trough CCI = 25.3

0 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Note: Index started in 1967 / benchmarked to 1985=100. The Index is calculated each month on the basis of a household survey of consumers' opinions on current conditions and future expectations of the economy. Source: The Conference Board, 5/13.

111

Consumers Less Concerned About Employment, More Concerned About Rising Prices
Percent of USA Respondents Citing Their One Most Important Issue, 4/09 4/13
Q. Based on your current situation, which one of the following economic conditions most concerns you?

54% 50% 46% 42% 42% 44% 45% 42% 32% 32% 28% 29% 29% 33% 30% 36% 27% 43% 38% 37% 48% 44% 47% 45% 34% 31% 45%

Unemployment / Job Security Rising Prices Financial Markets Real Estate / Home Values

40%

37%

33% 37% 31% 26%

33%

4/09

7/09 10/09 1/10

4/10

7/10 10/10 1/11

4/11

7/11 10/11 1/12

4/12

7/12 10/12 1/13

4/13

Source: comScore surveys, 4/13.

112

Stock Markets = Often Leading Indicators of Economic Activity

Stock / Commodity Markets Performance (% Change From 1/93), 1/93 5/13
800%

700%

600% Index Value (1/1/1993 = 100%)

500%

400%

300%

200%

100%

0% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 S&P 500 NASDAQ China Shanghai Composite MSCI Europe Oil Gold

Note: All values are indexed to 1 (100%) on Jan 1, 1993. Data as of 5/24/13. Source: FactSet. 113

USA, Inc. Biggest Gap Between Revenue & Expenses in USA History Outside of World War I & II
USA Inc. Revenue & Expenses as % of GDP, 1901 2012
50% Revenue as % of GDP (Left Axis) Revenue & Expenses as % of GDP 40% Expenses as % of GDP (Left Axis) Real GDP (Right Axis) $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 20% $6 $4 10% $2 0% 1901 $0 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 Real GDP (in Trillions of 2005 Dollars)
114

Biggest Gap Between Revenue & Expenses in USA History Outside of World War I & II

30%

Source: 1910 1930 per Census Bureau, 1940-2012 per White House OMB. Real GDP adjusted for inflation, in 2005 dollars.

Where Your Tax Dollars Go Entitlements = 59%

% of USA Federal Government Spending, 2012
Entitlements Defense Other* Interest

59%

19%

16% 6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
115

Note: Federal entitlement expenses include Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. Source: White House OMB.

USA Social Security + Medicare + Medicaid + Interest Payments Should Exceed Federal Revenue Within 12 Years, 35 Years Sooner than 1999 Forecast, per CBO
Federal Social Security + Medicare + Medicaid + Interest Payments vs. Revenue as % of GDP, 1980 2042E
40%
Revenue Federal Social Security + Medicare + Medicaid + Net Interest Payments

30%

% of GDP

20%

10%

0% 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020E 2030E 2040E

Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Long-Term Budget Outlook (6/12). Data in our chart is based on CBOs alternative fiscal scenario forecast, which assumes a continuation of todays underlying fiscal policy. Note that CBO also maintains an extended-baseline scenario, which adheres closely to current law. The alternative fiscal scenario deviates from CBOs baseline because it incorporates some policy changes that are widely expected to occur and that policymakers have regularly made in the past.

116

Disclosure
The information offered in this presentation speaks to industry trends in general, and should not be construed as providing any particular recommendations or analysis for any specific company that is mentioned in this presentation. KPCB is a venture capital firm that owns significant equity positions in certain of the companies referenced in this presentation.

117