STA222 Exercise 2 1.

Suppose that the likelihood that someone who logs onto a particular site in a shopping mall on the World Wide Web will purchase an item is 0.20. If the site has 10 people accessing it in the next minute, what is the probability that (a) none of the individuals will purchase an item? (0.1074) (b) exactly two individuals will purchase an item? (0.3020) (c) at least two individuals will purchase an item? (0.6242) (d) at most two individuals will purchase an item? (0.6778) 2. The average number of claims per hour made to the C-G-N Insurance Company for damages or losses incurred in moving is 3.1. What is the probability that (a) fewer than three claims will be made in any given hour? (0.4012) (b) three or more claims will be made in any given hour? (0.5988) (c) exactly six claims will be made in any given 2 hours? (0.1601)

3.

The probability that John wins a certain card game is 0.25. Assuming that there is no draw game. John plays the game for n times. If the expected number of games win by John is 3.75, find the value of n. Hence, find the probability that John will win at most 2 games. (0.23609) The mean number of cups of coffee sold per minute at Relax cafeteria is 3. Assuming that the number of cups of coffee sold is independent of the day, find the probability that (i) exactly 6 cups of coffee are sold from 8.15 am to 8.20 am. (0.00484) (ii) the cafeteria will sell exactly 8 cups of coffee from 8.15 am to 8.20 am on Monday and Friday. (0.000378)
A firm has monitored the duration of long-distance telephone calls placed by its employees to help it decide which long-distance package to purchase. The duration of calls was found to be exponentially distributed, with a mean of 5 minutes. Find the probability of calls (i) last more than 2 minutes, ( 0.6703) (ii) last more than 5 minutes, ( 0.3679) (iii) are shorter than 10 minutes. ( 0.8647) Airplanes arrive at an airport according to the Poisson distribution, with a mean time between arrivals of 5 minutes. Find the probability that (i) a plane will arrive within the next 5 minutes, ( 0.6321) (ii) no planes will arrive during a given 30-minute period, ( 0.002479) (iii) no more than one plane will arrive during a given 30-minute period. (0.01735) (a) The owner of a coffee shop observed that 48% of his customers ordered coffee while the remaining 52% of the customers ordered tea. In a random sample of 6 customers, find the probability that (i) more than 2 customers would order coffee. ( 0.61804) (ii) exactly 3 customers would order tea. ( 0.31100)

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(b)

In a factory 0.1% of the items manufactured are defective. Find the probability that in a random sample of 500 items (i) exactly 3 items are defective. ( 0.01259) (ii) at most 2 items will be defective. ( 0.98567) Twenty percent of lorries arrive at the unloading bay of a supermarket without any company logo on them. For a random sample of 5 lorries which arrive at the unloading bay, what is the probability of at most 2 lorries are without any company logo? ( 0.94208)

(c)

8.

The arrival of lorries at an unloading bay of a supermarket, over a period of time, was observed. Data were collected at hourly interval. The total numbers of hours that correspond to the respective arrival rates are tabulated in the frequency distribution table below. Number of lorries arriving per hour Number of hours 0 7 1 10 2 8 3 8 4 5 5 2 (i) (ii) (iii) Find the mean number of lorries arriving per hour. ( 2)

If the arrival of lorries follows a Poisson distribution, find the probability that there will be more than 3 lorries arrive in a 2-hour period. ( 0.56653) Find the probability that the inter-arrival time of a lorry exceeds 1.5 hours. ( 0.049787)

9.

From past records, 80% of the heart transplants of a hospital are successful. Find the probability that out of five patients with heart problems that have gone through heart transplants, (i) only two heart transplants are not successful. (0.2048) (ii) more than two heart transplants are successful. (0.94208) The number of violent crimes committed in a big city is known to be a Poisson random variable with a mean of 5 per month. What is the probability that there will be (i) two or fewer violent crimes in March? (0.12465) (ii) exactly 10 violent crimes committed in four months? (5.816310-3) (iii) time between two violent crimes exceeds half a month? (0.0821) (iv) time between two violent crimes is less than a year? (1) Forty-four percent of customers who visit a departmental store make a purchase and the rest do not. In a random sample of 10 customers who visited this departmental store, find the probability that (i) exactly six would have made a purchase (0.14986) (ii) only 4 did not make a purchase (0.14986) (iii) a least 8 would have made a purchase (0.02356)

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Historical data indicated that an airline company received an average of 2.5 complaints in a day. Find the probability that the airline company will receive (i) no complaint in a given day (0.08208) (ii) exactly 5 complaints in 2 days time (0.17547) (iii) time taken between two complaints exceeds a quarter of a day (0.53526) A kindergarten teacher found that 45% of her students like butter cookies. A random sample of 7 students was chosen. (i) What is the probability that at least 5 of them like butter cookies? (0.15293) (ii) What is the mean and variance for the number of students who likes butter cookies? ( 3.15, 1.7325) At a hypermarket, the arrival of the delivery vans is random, at an average rate of 5 vans in two hours. (i) What is the probability that the inter-arrival time of the vans is more than 30 minutes? (0.28650) (ii) Assuming that the vans are unloaded immediately after they arrived. What is the probability that there will be more than 3 vans being unloaded within an hour? (0.24242)

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STA222.Ex2