Singapore Industry Flash Note

Singapore Property Companies

DBS Group Research . Equity 21 Jan 2013
STI : 3,211.22

Good response to new launches

New launches continue to be well received More pricing incentives means less upside momentum Maintain BUY on CMA, Capitaland and Wing Tai Brisk sales continue. Our visit to the Q Bay Residences showflat over the weekend showed that crowds continue to flock to new project launches even after the recent cooling measures. Far East Organisation/ Frasers Centrepoint/ Sekisui Houses JV project, Q Bay Residences, located near Tampines Ave 10 and Tampines Ave 1, is a 630 unit development, which is accessible to major arterial roads such as the TPE and PIE and is about 10mins walk from the new Tampines West MRT, scheduled to open in 2016. It also has shopping and schooling amenities such as UWC close by. It is also in close proximity to the Tampines Quarry Park and Bedok Reservoir Park. The developer has released 388 units comprising the smaller SUITES 1-2BR units, 3-bedder Verandah units and larger TRIO units. Of these, we understand an estimated 90% had been taken up since its preview launch on Friday. Developers respond with more incentives, buyer profile leaning towards upgrader/investment demand. Prices averaged S$985-1,050psf, after taking into account total discounts of up to 23-24% including early bird discount of 14-15%, another 4% incentives from loyalty, HDB upgrader, special vicinity or multiple purchase discounts as well as a 7% stamp duty discount. We understand buyers were largely Singaporeans, and for this development, there was interest from upgraders as well as investment demand from those who are looking for investment units but still qualify for up to 80% LTV. Mortgage rates are still at sub 1.5% for the first 3 years. Elsewhere, in other developments such as DLeedon, developers are also dangling more incentives with higher discounts of 10% for the 1-2 bedders to 15% for the 3-bedders or 3+study units. Prefer CMA, Capitaland and Wing Tai. The response above shows that price upside momentum is likely to be eroded by increased incentives and we maintain our expectation for a 5% drop in average private home prices this year, although volume demand seems to be ahead of our expectations at this point. With limited price upside, we expect developers RNAVs to remain flat. Hence, our strategy for the sector is to continue to prefer companies with asset monetisation capabilities such as CMA and Capitaland and our top mid cap pick remains Wing Tai for its attractive valuations.

Analyst LOCK Mun Yee +65 6398 7972 [email protected]

STOCKS
Price S$ Mkt Cap Target Price US$m S$ Performance (%) 3 mth 12 mth Rating

CapitaMalls Asia CapitaLand Wing Tai

2.18 6,903 3.87 13,400 1.87 1,192

2.30 4.09 2.33

22.1 18.4 10.3

69.7 62.6 83.3

BUY BUY BUY

Source: DBS Vickers

CapitaMalls Asia Limited : CMA is one of the largest listed shopping mall developer, owner, operator, asset manager and fund manager in Asia CapitaLand : Residential, commercial and integrated property owner and developer. Wing Tai : Core business in property development, investment and management.

www.dbsvickers.com Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report ed: JS / sa: JC

Industry Flash Note Singapore Property

Location of Q Bay Residences

Q Bay Residences

Project Details Total Units Tenure Expected TOP Unit Configuration 1 BR/ 1+ Study 2 BR/ 2+ Study 3BR 4 BR 5BR 630 99 years May 2017 Size (sf) 524 - 663 sf 791-1184 sf 897-1461 sf 1375-1648 sf 1609-1971 sf % of Project 19.9% 29.6% 38.6% 9.5% 2.4%

Attendance at Q Bay showflat

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Industry Flash Note Singapore Property

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Share price appreciation + dividends

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ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views. The analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. As of 21 Jan 2013, the analyst and his / her spouse and/or relatives who are financially dependent on the analyst, do not hold interests in the securities recommended in this report (interest includes direct or indirect ownership of securities, directorships and trustee positions).

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Industry Flash Note Singapore Property

COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd and its subsidiaries do not have a proprietary position in the company mentioned as of 1. 17 Jan 2013 2. DBSVR, DBSVS, DBS Bank Ltd and/or other affiliates of DBS Vickers Securities (USA) Inc ("DBSVUSA"), a U.S.-registered brokerdealer, may beneficially own a total of 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the company mentioned as of 21 Jan 2013. Compensation for investment banking services: i. DBSVR, DBSVS, DBS Bank Ltd and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have received compensation, within the past 12 months, and within the next 3 months receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the Capitaland, Capitamall Asia, Wing Tai. DBSVUSA does not have its own investment banking or research department, nor has it participated in any investment banking transaction as a manager or co-manager in the past twelve months. Any US persons wishing to obtain further information, including any clarification on disclosures in this disclaimer, or to effect a transaction in any security discussed in this document should contact DBSVUSA exclusively.

3.

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