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Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Feb. 21, 2013

- The abundant rains of the past week relieved drought conditions in some regions but may have still reduced soybean yields, so production is estimated at 50 million tons if soil moisture remains sufficient. - Corn harvesting progressed slowly due to rains, with 5% of the crop harvested so far and average yields of 8 tons/hectare reported. Production is estimated at 25 million tons, up 16.3% from the previous season. - Sunflower harvesting also slowed due to rains, with 32.1% of the crop harvested so far and average yields above historical levels. Production is estimated at 3.2 million tons, down 11.1% from last season.

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52 views2 pages

Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Feb. 21, 2013

- The abundant rains of the past week relieved drought conditions in some regions but may have still reduced soybean yields, so production is estimated at 50 million tons if soil moisture remains sufficient. - Corn harvesting progressed slowly due to rains, with 5% of the crop harvested so far and average yields of 8 tons/hectare reported. Production is estimated at 25 million tons, up 16.3% from the previous season. - Sunflower harvesting also slowed due to rains, with 32.1% of the crop harvested so far and average yields above historical levels. Production is estimated at 3.2 million tons, down 11.1% from last season.

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WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Feb. 21, 2013


CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias: NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero. NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa. Ctro N Sfe: Centro-Norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-Norte de Crdoba. Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-Sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros. S Cba: Sur de Crdoba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+ Oeste de Buenos Aires. Ctro E ER: Entre Ros excluido Victoria y Diamante. Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires. SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa. SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires. SL: San Luis. Cuenca Sal: Este de la Cuenca del Salado. Otras: Corrientes+Misiones.

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK BUENOS AIRES GRAINS EXCHANGE

February 21, 2013


AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: FEBRUARY 21 TO 27, 2013: PRECIPITATIONS AND A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE. OUTLOOK SUMMARY
At the beginning of the current perspective, winds will rotate to the North. This condition will bring a rise in temperature and atmospheric humidity to most of the agricultural rea. At the same time, a storm front will will bring abundant precipitations to most of the agricultural rea: most of NOA, most of the Chaco region, most of Mesopotamia, most of Uruguay, northern Crdoba, most of Santa Fe and northern Buenos Aires will observe abundant/ very abundant precipitations. (25 to 75mm) with severe local storms, likelihood of hail and torrential downpours.; Southern Crdoba, eastern La Pampa and central and southern Buenos Aires will report moderate precipitations (10 to 25mm), with abundant local values. (more tan 25mm): Western NOA, most of Cuyo and the west of the Pampas region will observe scarce precipitations (less than 10mm). The storm front will be followed by a cold air mass which will lead to a sharp drop in temperature over most of the agricultural area.

SOYBEAN
The abundant precipitations registered in the last seven days have relieved the hydric deficit that was affecting several regions. However, we cannot rule out yet the loss of potential yield stemming from the extended lack of rains, coupled with high temperatures, which hit most of the agricultural area during several weeks. Therefore, the precipitations accumulated so far are only stopping the fall of potential yield, and so we are able to sustain our production estimate at 50,000,000 tons for the ongoing cycle. Nevertheless, this estimation will only be maintained if we are able to keep the hydric supply in good levels on the plots until harvest time. Otherwise, we will have to adjust the projection.

CORN
The harvest progress has been delayed over the whole of the agricultural area due to the precipitations of the last seven days. Conversely, the same rainfalls are benefiting the plots sown on later dates, which are now finishing the vegetative stage or starting the critical phase of flowering. In the Mid-north of Crdoba, mid-north of Santa Fe, the north Belt, and in the mid-east of Entre Ros, the harvest of commercial corn grain has progressed but a few points, due to the constant rains of last days. Consequently, 5 % of the national suitable area was collected, describing a weekly progress rate of only 1.3 percentage points, and a YOY increase of 2 points. In total, a little more than 180 thousand hectares were harvested. Likewise the south Belt region has registered random progress rates of harvest during the last seven days. The yields reported so far are very good, nearing 8 TN/HA. The rest of the agricultural area sown earlier is passing through grain filling to full phisiological maturity, and the yields expected range from 7 to 10 TN/HA. Based on the yields obtained and the effect of the rains accumulated during the last weeks, we maintain our production estimate at 25,000,000 tons, starting from a sown area of 3,678,000 hectares nationwide. This volume is 16.3 % above the one obtained during the previous cycle (2011/12; 21.5 M TN), and it will rank as a record productivity.

SUNFLOWER
The precipitations accumulated during the last week have slowed down the progress of the harvest. So far, 32.1 % of the suitable area has been collected. In total, the harvest amounts to 565 thousand hectares, yielding an average of 1.7 TN/HA. At the same time, the collection of specific plots has started in the west of Buenos Aires and north of La Pampa, and in the center and southwest of Buenos Aires. They reported very good productivity results, since the crop evolved through its cycle with good hydric supply. The largest sunflower belt, which sits in the southeast of Buenos Aires, has not started to harvest yet, and the entire area is going through the grain filling stage in conditions ranging from good to very good. The expected yields rank above historical averages. Under these conditions, we sustain our production estimate in 3,200,000 TN, 11.1 % below the volume obtained during the previous cycle.

SUNFLOWER HARVEST
2012/13 SEASON As of: Feb. 21, 2013
Hectareage (Ha) Percentage Hectares Yield Sown Lost Harvestable Harvested Harvested (qq/Ha) I NOA II NEA 370.000 15.000 355.000 100 355.000 16,5 3.000 400 2.600 90 2.340 19,0 III Ctro N Cba IV S Cba 22.000 650 21.350 18 3.843 18,0 V Ctro N SFe 195.000 4.000 191.000 100 191.000 19,0 7.500 120 7.380 37 2.731 24,0 VI Ncleo Norte VII Ncleo Sur 7.000 0 7.000 0 0 0,0 VIII Ctro E ER 9.500 0 9.500 0 0 0,0 IX N LP-OBA 115.000 9.000 106.000 2 2.120 23,0 X Ctro BA 27.000 2.000 25.000 4 1.000 22,0 XI SO BA-S LP 460.000 7.500 452.500 2 6.788 19,0 XII SE BA 475.000 0 475.000 0 0 0,0 XIII SL 32.000 0 32.000 0 0 0,0 XIV Cuenca Sal 73.000 0 73.000 0 0 0,0 XV Otras 4.000 0 4.000 0 0 0,0 1.800.000 38.670 1.761.330 32,1 564.821 17,5 TOTAL Zone Production (Tn) 585.750 4.446 6.917 362.900 6.553 0 0 4.876 2.200 12.896 0 0 0 0 986.539

Buenos Aires, February 21, 2013

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange

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