Kraft Foods
Kraft Foods
Kraft Foods
September 6, 2012
1
Irene Rosenfeld
Chairman and CEO
Forward-looking statements
This slide presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements. The words plan, will, deliver, drive, continue, focus, maintain, and similar expressions are intended to identify our forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, our opportunity for growth as two independent companies; setting Kraft Foods on a new trajectory; Mondelz International as an unique investment vehicle; snacks are growth categories; expectations for BRIC countries; expectations for Next Wave markets; 5-year revenue growth outlook for developing markets; our strategy to deliver top-tier performance; North America growth and margin upside; expectations for Europe; driving efficiency; Global Category Teams; global innovation platforms; selling; Priority Markets; maintaining leadership; Power Brands and Priority Markets growth; Gum category, including market share; Chocolate growth and developing markets as primary driver; our virtuous cycle; gross margin; overheads; reinvesting in growth; long-term targets; Free Cash Flow; long-term EPS; 2013 Outlook; and our expectation that efficiency will fuel growth. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, and important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, our failure to successfully create two companies, continued global economic weakness, continued volatility and increase in input costs, increased competition, pricing actions, our debt and our ability to pay our debt and tax law changes. For additional information on these and other factors that could affect our forwardlooking statements, see our risk factors, as they may be amended from time to time, set forth in our filings with the SEC, including our most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. We disclaim and do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement in this slide presentation, except as required by applicable law or regulation.
Tim Cofer Mark Clouse EVP and President, EVP and President, Europe North America
Mary Beth West EVP and Chief Category and Marketing Officer
FastGrowing Categories
Strong Route-toMarket
Expandable consumption
Developing Markets consumption supported by GDP growth Higher margins
Beverages 17%
Biscuits(1) 30%
Nearly 75% of revenues in fast-growing snacks categories Beverages provide multiregion scale, attractive growth and strong margins
Chocolate 27%
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Large, growing Developing Markets footprint Strong, advantaged positions in North America and Europe Broad-based growth across categories and geographies
Europe 37%
$36 Billion*
* Based on 2011 reported net revenues; includes accounting calendar changes and 53 rd Week.
13
Middle East & Africa Central & Eastern 10% Europe 24%
$16 billion(2)
(1) Biscuits includes salty/other snacks (2) Based on 2011 reported net revenues; includes accounting calendar changes and 53 rd Week.
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21%
14% 13%
10%
8%
3%
Unilever Danone Colgate Coca- Mondelz Nestl Cola International P&G Kimberly Clark PepsiCo Heinz Kellogg Clorox Hershey General Mills Campbell
Source: Company reports and presentations. See page 93 for source details.
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5-10-10 focus strategy has driven both top- and bottom-line growth
Kraft Foods Developing Markets
Organic Net Revenue
11.2% 9.9% 9.5% 13.1%
Growth(1)
2010
(1) (2)
2011
H1 2012
2010
2011
H1 2012
Organic Net Revenue growth excludes the impact of acquisitions in the first 12 months after the acquisition date. Reported Net Revenue growth for 2010, 2011 and 1H 2012 was 71.1%, 16.2% and 2.2%, respectively. See GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation at the end of this presentation. Adjusted Segment Operating Income margin excludes Integration Program costs and Restructuring Program costs. Reported Segment Operating Income Margin for 2010, 2011 and 1H 2012 was 11.6%, 13.0% and 13.7%, respectively. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this presentation.
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BRIC
33%
Mid-to-High Teens
Russia
Brazil
17
Win in BRIC
Brazil
Revenue: $2+ billion Portfolio 80% Snacks 15% Beverages (powdered) 5% Cheese & Grocery Strategic Priorities Strengthen the Fortress Drive growth in North/NE Region Strategic Priorities Focus on premium brands Drive global platforms Expand distribution
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Russia
Revenue: $1+ billion Portfolio 70% Snacks 30% Beverages (soluble coffee)
Win in BRIC
India
Revenue: $0.7 billion Portfolio 80% Snacks, primarily Chocolate 20% Beverages (malt) Strategic Priorities Expand Chocolate distribution Launch White Space categories
Launched Oreo and Tang in 2011; Toblerone in 2012
China
Revenue: $0.8 billion Portfolio 90% Snacks, primarily Biscuits 10% Beverages (powdered, coffee) Strategic Priorities Expand Biscuits distribution Launch White Space categories
Launched Stride in August 2012
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BRIC
33%
Mid-to-High Teens
Russia
Brazil
12%
Middle East Indonesia & Africa
Mid-to-High Teens
20
Established routes-to-market
Strong profitability
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BRIC
33%
Mid-to-High Teens
Russia
Brazil
12%
Middle East Indonesia & Africa
Mid-to-High Teens
Scale Markets
Australia
Japan
27%
Central Europe Mexico
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Leading share of U.S. Biscuit category, 2x closest competitor Strong #2 player in Gum Opportunity to improve growth and profitability through
Focusing on Power Brands Driving global innovation platforms Harnessing power of DSD
$7 billion(2)
(1) Biscuits includes salty/other snacks (2) Based on 2011 reported net revenues; includes accounting calendar changes and 53 rd Week.
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Chocolate 35%
$13 billion(2)
(1) Biscuits includes salty/other snacks (2) Based on 2011 reported net revenues; includes accounting calendar changes and 53 rd Week.
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Build global Power Brands Leverage global innovation platforms Revolutionize selling Drive efficiency to fuel growth
25
Sustaining Energy
Bubbly
Long-term focus:
Develop best-in-class Instant Consumption Channel / Hot Zone sales and distribution capabilities
28
29
30
Jim Cali SVP and Global Category Leader Gum & Candy
31
Lorna Davis
SVP and Global Biscuit Category Leader
32
2011 Growth:
+9%*
* Reflects Mondelz International Pro Forma Organic Net Revenue growth. Mondelz International Pro Forma Continuing Net Revenue growth was 11.8% in 2011. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of the presentation.
33
Global
$75
8%
Developing
$45
11%
Developed
$30
2%
34
4%
3%
Kellogg
Campbell
35
35
Hunger Satisfaction
Sustaining Energy
Children Wholesome
36
Large, high-growth markets that will drive revenue growth Strong share in 3 of 4 markets Larger Next Wave markets with strong growth potential Solid market share positions Mature markets with margin upside to fund growth in Developing Markets Leading market share positions Mature markets with an opportunity to develop significant biscuit presence Leverage leadership positions in other categories
37
BRIC
Scale Markets
Next Wave
2%
58%
White Space
2%
Oreo GLOCAL model: Local Form, Flavors, Formats Form Flavor Packaging
Oreo Wafer
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Recent launches in Germany, France, UK, Czech Republic & India nearly $100MM revenue in 2011
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40
2011 Launches Generated nearly $50MM of revenue Spain, Belgium, UK and Brazil 2012 Launches United States Canada
Australia
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42
Jim Cali
SVP and Global Gum & Candy Category Leader
43
2011 Growth:
+1%*
* Reflects Mondelz International Pro Forma Organic Net Revenue growth. Mondelz International Pro Forma Continuing Net Revenue growth was 8.9% in 2011. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of the presentation.
44
Gum and Candy are high margin categories with attractive growth rates
CAGR Gum & Candy Retail Value ($B)
(Cst Fx '08-'11)
Gum
Global 26
Candy
57 $83
Gum
Candy
Total
3%
4%
4%
Developing
15
32
$48
6%
7%
7%
Developed
10
26
$35
2%
0%
1%
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After a decade of strong growth, the Gum category decelerated over the past 3 years
Gum Category Growth (%CAGR)
7%
3%
'98-'08
'08-'11
but the Gum category has strong underlying fundamentals Expandable Consumption
Snack occasions Impulse-driven Responsive to innovation and marketing
Strong margins fund A&C and innovation investments Led by global players, with product quality and innovation insulated by proprietary technologies
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7%
Mars-Wrigley
Perfetti-Van Melle
48
48
34.2%
34.8%
34.3%
34.8%
MarsWrigley 32.2%
30.5%
28.9% 28.0% 26.6% 25.5% 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 29.2% 29.4%
30.5%
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49
We have taken near-term actions to grow share and expand the category
Brand Architecture
A&C Support
Price/Size Architecture
Entry
Mid Size
50
Value
51
Big Bets
Larger Next Wave markets with strong growth potential Ability to build on solid market share Mature markets with slow category growth Strong market position White Space market opportunity for Gum Launched in China in August 2012
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Next Wave
20%
Scale Markets
19%
White Space
1%
53
Simplify brand architecture New master brand campaign Innovation to drive growth, new occasions
Brazil U.S. 54
Global Roll-Out Launched in U.S. in August 2012 Europe roll-out in Q4 2012 Further geographic expansion 2013-14
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56
Bharat Puri
SVP and Global Chocolate Category Leader
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2011 Growth:
+6%*
* Reflects Mondelz International Pro Forma Organic Net Revenue growth. Mondelz International Pro Forma Continuing Net Revenue growth was 15.6% in 2011. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of the presentation.
58
Global
$101
5%
Developing
$35
10%
Developed
$66
2%
59
7%
7% 4%
Mars
Nestle
Ferrero
Hershey
Lindt
60
60
Bubbly
Hollow Wafer
Choco-Bakery
Bitesize
61
Large, fastest growing markets Market share leader or strong #2 with fabric-of-the-nation Power Brands Scale advantage; able to step change growth trajectory Large markets, big growth potential Able to leverage route-to-market capabilities
Next Waves
4%
Scale
Big, mature markets with strong presence Leveraging Power Brands to compete and win in broader Snacking
42%
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India
Brazil
Russia
Belgium
UK
3,400 8.3
10,900 7.5
15,900 3.8
37,900 2.1
35,100 1.6
2.0
18.6
22.2
42.5
55.7
0.1
So. Africa Indonesia China Egypt
1.4
Argentina Mexico Turkey
4.6
Ukraine Poland
5.2
France Austria
10.5
USA Germany
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+37% CAGR
Category growth delivered through a consumer & portfolio strategy Aspirants Mainstream More Special Gifting
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Power Brand case study: Cadbury Dairy Milk & Milka, together over $3B
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Continental Europe Launched in 2011 Strong share performance and repeat in all key markets
68
Dave Brearton
EVP and CFO
69
Reinvest in Growth
Leverage Overheads
70
Key Enablers
Focus on Power Brands & Priority Markets
Reinvest in Growth
Leverage Overheads
71
Leverage overheads
Key Enablers
Focus on Power Brands & Priority Markets
Top-Line Growth
Expand Gross Margin
Reinvest in Growth
Leverage Overheads
72
Reinvest in Growth
Priorities
Focus on Power Brands & Priority Markets
Reinvest in Growth
Focus investments on Power Brands and innovation platforms Capitalize on White Space opportunities
Leverage Overheads
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2012 full year financials represent blend of KFT and Mondelz results Q1-Q3 to reflect Kraft Foods Group as Discontinued Operations Q4 presentation to be based on actual revenue realized and costs incurred
($ billions)
KFT PreSpin
$0.5 $0.3 $0.2
MDLZ PostSpin
$0.1 $0.8 $0.4 - $0.6
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Long-Term Target Organic Net Revenue Growth Operating EPS Growth 5%-7% Double-Digit (constant FX)
77
DM
DM
Developed
EU NA
2011
EU
Low-to-Mid Single Digit Growth
NA
Long-Term
* Based on 2011 reported net revenues; includes accounting calendar changes and 53 rd Week.
78
Long-term EPS target reflects the following assumptions Operating income growth of high single digits
79
80
2013 outlook consistent with long-term profile Organic net revenue growth of 5%-7%
82
Irene Rosenfeld
Chairman and CEO
83
FastGrowing Categories
Strong Route-toMarket
84
Mary Beth West EVP and Chief Category and Marketing Officer
85
86
August 2012
US$1.05 / AUD 2.03 / $US US$1.01 / $Cdn US$1.24 / 55.51 / $US 13.17 / $US 31.92 / $US 0.88 / $US US$1.57 /
Source: Oanda
87
Argentina
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Brazil
Canada
China
Colombia
Czech Republic
Egypt
European Union
France
Germany
Hungary
India
Indonesia
Japan
Mexico
Poland
Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Spain
Switzerland
Russia
Turkey
Ukraine
United Kingdom
United States
88
89
Impact of Currency
Organic (Non-GAAP)
As Reported (GAAP)
Organic (Non-GAAP)
884
27,263
(0.3)%
4.9%
(1)
90
% Growth
Operating (Non-GAAP)
Currency
(4)
0.04
0.12
0.06
1.25
0.02
1.27
2.0%
9.6%
11.4%
2011 Diluted EPS attributable to Kraft Foods $ 1.01 $ 0.13 $ $ $ 1.14 $ $ 1.14
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Integration Program costs are defined as the costs associated with combining the Kraft Foods and Cadbury businesses, and are separate from those costs associated with the acquisition. Integration Program costs were $78 million, or $73 million after-tax including certain tax costs associated with the integration of Cadbury, for the six months ended June 30, 2012, as compared to $240 million, or $234 million after-tax for the six months ended June 30, 2011. Spin-Off Costs represent non-recurring transaction and transition costs associated with preparing the businesses for independent operations consisting primarily of financial advisory fees, legal fees, accounting fees, tax services and information systems infrastructure duplication, and financing and related costs to redistribute debt and secure investment grade ratings for both the North American Grocery Business and the Global Snacks Business. Spin-Off Costs for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $301 million, or $202 million after-tax and include $162 million of pre-tax financing and related costs recorded in interest and other expense, net. Restructuring Program costs for the six months ended June 30, 2012 were $169 million, or $107 million after-tax and represent non-recurring restructuring and related implementation costs reflecting primarily severance, asset disposals and other manufacturing related non-recurring costs. Includes the favorable foreign currency impact on Kraft Foods foreign denominated debt and interest expense due to the strength of the U.S. dollar.
91
As Reported (GAAP) For the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2010 $ 13,613 $
Impact of Divestitures
Impact of Acquisitions
(1)
Impact of Currency
Organic (Non-GAAP)
As Reported (GAAP)
Organic (Non-GAAP)
(4,753)
(150)
15
8,726
71.1%
9.9%
2009
7,956
(14)
7,942
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2011 $ 15,821 $ $ (379) $ 1 $ (183) $ (397) $ 14,863 16.2% 11.2%
2010
13,613
(105)
(148)
13,361
For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 $ 7,821 $ $ $ $ 459 $ 8,280 2.2% 9.5%
2011
7,656
(92)
7,564
(1) (2)
Impact of acquisitions reflects the operating results from our Cadbury acquisition on February 2, 2010. Includes the impacts of accounting calendar changes and the 53 rd week of shipments in 2011.
92
Spin-off Costs $
(3)
181
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2011 Segment Operating Income Segment Operating Income Margin
2,053 13.0%
161
2,214 14.0%
For the Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 Segment Operating Income Segment Operating Income Margin
1,069 13.7%
39
1,113 14.2%
(1)
Integration Program costs are defined as the costs associated with combining the Kraft Foods and Cadbury businesses, and are separate from those costs associated with the acquisition. Acquisition-related costs include transaction advisory fees, U.K. stamp taxes and the impact of the Cadbury inventory revaluation. Spin-Off Costs represent non-recurring transaction and transition costs associated with preparing the businesses for independent operations consisting primarily of financial advisory fees, legal fees, accounting fees, tax services and information systems infrastructure duplication. Restructuring Program costs represent non-recurring restructuring and related implementation costs reflecting primarily severance, asset disposals and other manufacturing related non-recurring costs.
(2) (3)
(4)
93
Mondelz International Pro Forma Continuing (1) (GAAP) 2011 Biscuits Chocolate Gum & Candy 2010 Biscuits Chocolate Gum & Candy $ 9,837 8,276 5,231 $ $ 10,997 9,566 5,698 $
Impact of Divestitures -
Impact of Acquisitions $
(2)
% Change Mondelz Mondelz International International Pro Forma Pro Forma Continuing (1) Organic (GAAP) (Non-GAAP) 11.8% 15.6% 8.9% 8.9% 5.9% 0.8%
(287) (382)
11 (117)
1 -
(1)
Pro Forma results for Mondelz International were adjusted to remove the North American grocery business results. Within the above global category disclosures, we reclassified certain net revenues to conform to the current presentation of these categories. (2) Impact of acquisitions reflects the incremental January 2011 operating results from our Cadbury acquisition.
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