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Innovative Systems Design and Engineering ISSN 2222-1727 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2871 (Online) Vol 3, No 10, 2012
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same time sustaining the growth of the sector. The increasing passenger and freight traffic entail the proportional increase in fuel consumption. At the same time, constrained supply due to limited availability and environmental consideration calls for reduction in fuel consumption also. Literature advocates that the declining trend of fuel supply reflects the decreasing reserves of Fossil fuels, which if continued to be exploited at the current rate will deplete in next 50 years. According to D. Daggett (2006) Jet fuel originates from crude oil and crude oil is limited natural resource subjected to depletion in near future. The increasing demand implies either the fuel resources should have to be increased or the fuel consumption should be decreased. Limited fuel resources augment for the optimized consumption of fuel. 1.2 Research methodology For the exploration of parameters affecting fuel consumption, a literature survey was done by studying the various productive aspects of potential areas raised at different level by the researchers. The entire literature survey done from 1974 to till now converged upon few significant areas of aviation industry which are usefully identified as Technology & Design, Operation & Performance and Alternate Fuel & Fuel Properties. The information about these significant areas is put together in form of information framework that comprises of primary dimensions. The literature synthesis agreed upon three primary dimensions which includes a total of 96 decision variables. In order to identify whether information available in the information framework covers each aspect of fuel consumption in aviation industry, information needs to be evaluated scientifically. Therefore, to provide exploratory answer to research issue posed in this study, the aviation experts working in aviation sector of different organizations were asked to rate the decision variables on five point Likert scale. The entire questionnaire data was then processed with the statistical package R. Mean importance rating accredited by respondents lead to the development of ranking. The information refinement was then done by applying the Factor Analysis. It reduces 96 decision variables mentioned in the information framework in to 23 high impact decision variables. The variables having communality greater than 0.75 were regarded as high impact variables on which the fuel consumption of any aviation product depends. The seven variables identified for fuel optimization in the present study are the most influencing or high impact variables. To prove this claim, an optimization model was proposed. Now with the help of these extracted variables from our study, objective function, situation conditions (variables) and constraints were identified. To test the proposed fuel optimized based model, a specific aircraft was selected. It was tested with neural networking. It checked the authenticity of our research claim. 2. Literature review To address the objective of this paper, a thorough literature review was made to explore the information for fuel consumption optimization. The most significant studies on fuel consumption optimization were begun after the Arab oil embargo in 1973 when scarcity of fuel was observed. The recent decades research on optimization of fuel consumption has gained headway in converging upon a few important effective areas of aviation industry. The Literature (J.E. Green, 2003; D. Daggett, 2006; IEA Report, 2009; CCC Report, 2009) proposes the technological, operational and alternate fuels and fuel property as potential areas for fuel consumption optimization. The literature reveals specific areas which are taken into account for fuel optimization includes engine design, takeoff and landing fuel properties, flight route, technological trends, etc. The recent empirical studies assent that the optimization of fuel consumption needs to develop dimensions and inter-relationship among the various parameters. But how these parameters and their sub parameter coalesce with one another, is really challenging. Thus it becomes necessary to simplify the overall structure of the methodology of optimization of fuel to make it generic and applicable for aviation industry. We examined whether optimization of fuel consumption can however be radically redesigned to accommodate various research gaps that indicated in literature with the aim to make optimization of fuel consumption more logical and productive. The various challenges raised by the researchers are usefully grouped under three broad areas 1. Technological & product design, 2. Operational and performances, 3. Alternate fuels and fuel properties. Technological potential area literature contemplates the need of in-depth examination of technological parameters such as engine design, material composition, aircraft size, etc.(D L Green (1990), Nicholas E Antonie (2005)). Operational and performance potential area includes in depth examination of various operational parameters i.e. cruise speed, mach number, altitude, climb rate, flap setting, etc. to develop a sufficient knowledge base for developing enhanced models (David A Pilati (1974), Joosung Lee (2001), Antonio Filippone (2008)). Alternate fuels make the scope of use of the new fuels, fuels with better properties, their limiting cost, etc. (Robert O Price (1991), James I Hileman (2007)).
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The findings of the literature survey act as initial information for our next step. It describes various productive aspects of the potential areas of aviation for the optimization of fuel consumption in aviation industry. The various variables which came to the surface after performing the exhaustive literature survey were classified as the primary dimensions. This identifies 96 distinct variables under primary dimensions. It included 34 variables under Technology and Product Design, 39 variables under Operational & Performance, 23 variables under Alternate Fuels & fuel Properties [Table 1]. In order to check that our study from the literature survey contains all inclusive solutions, the research gaps in the literature which includes aforementioned three areas of aviation industry were identified.. The initial information was clubbed together with the identified research gaps which lead to problem definition and set the objectives for our present work. It defined the problem as Developing model for fuel consumption optimization in Aviation Industry. The objectives of work as discussed above are outlined as under: 1. To explore the variables of fuel consumption optimization in aviation industry 2. To develop the model for fuel consumption optimization 3. To discuss the findings on fuel consumption optimization 2.1 Information evaluation The next important issue is, whether the information mentioned in the framework covers each and every aspect of fuel consumption of aviation products. For that, information needs to be validated scientifically by the experts in Aviation Industries. In order to provide exploratory answers to the research issue posed in this study, the learned experts were asked to rate each of the decision variable of information framework in terms of "degree of importance they attach with the information". The options of evaluation were based upon Likert scale ranging from extremely important (1st level) to unimportant (5th level). A total of 140 responses were obtained. Entire questionnaire data is processed with statistical package R. The epitome of the means, standard deviations (SDs) and ranking of importance ratings accredited by respondents to the decision variables was obtained. For statistical analysis mean was calculated. The mean importance rating ranged from 1.16 (the highest importance rating for decision variable number 11) to 4.49 (the lowest importance rating for decision variable number 28) for Technology and Product Design decision variables. The mean importance rating ranged from 1.12 (the highest importance rating for decision variable number 28) to 4.52 (the lowest importance rating for decision variable number 34) for Operational decision variables. Also, the mean importance rating ranged from 1.21 (the highest importance rating for decision variable number 19) to 4.54 (the lowest importance rating for decision variable number 16) for Alternate Fuel decision variables. This comprehensive study of information validation reveals three kinds of decision variables on the basis of their importance in fuel consumption optimization. The variables which have importance rating above or equal to 3 were rated as less important decision variables. The decision variables ranged from 1 to 2 on importance scale, were considered as important variables. The decision variables with importance rating ranged from 2 to 3, were acknowledged as moderately important decision variables. Therefore, it was expected that these distinguished sets of decision variables (important and moderately important) may help to make effectual and dynamic decisions for the fuel optimization [Table 2, 3, 4]. 2.2 Information refinement To refine the findings of information evaluation, the data of sample size 140 was subjected to Factor Analysis. After varimax rotation, the factors emerged with Eigen values greater than 1.0, accounting for the independent decision variables and explaining 66.8%0 of total variance. Seven variables are loaded on Factor Analysis 1 which account for 22.5% of the total variance. For Factor Analysis 2, nine variables are loaded which account for 25.5% of total variance. Eight variables are loaded for Factor Analysis 3, which account for 18.8% of the total variance [Table 5]. After applying the Factor Analysis, we obtained set of 23 variables having communality greater than 0.5. Therefore, this analysis explores 23 highly influencing decision variables for fuel optimization. It justifies the authenticity of previous finding related to importance of decision variables, mentioned in table 3,4 and 5. The decision variables highlighted as less important [table 2,3,4] for fuel consumption optimization are automatically excluded in Factor Analysis study [table 5]. The information refinement resulted in a set of 23 variables, which serve as parent set for developing fuel consumption optimization model. Seven variables having communality greater than 0.75 are considered most reliable and used for the development of present model. These seven variables are mentioned below 1. Aircraft Velocity 2. Altitude 3. Mach Number 4. Thrust 5. Wing Area 6. Maximum Takeoff Weight 7. Number of Engines
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These 7 variables are further divided into two categories
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Aircraft Velocity, Altitude, Mach number and Thrust have been considered as Situational Conditions (variables). Wing Area, Maximum Takeoff Weight and Number of Engines have been considered as Constraints.
3. Model development The study of primary dimensions and highly influencing decision variable concludes a model for fuel consumption optimization. The existing fuel consumption model utilizes the energy balance relation to estimate the fuel consumption of an aircraft. This relation is based on aerodynamics and engine characteristics of an aircraft [Collins 1980]. The seven variables evolved in this study are claimed as the influencing variables which are sufficient to optimize the fuel consumption of aircraft. The model is customized with respect to the findings of information framework. These 7 high influencing variables have been used for model development. 3.1 Methodology The general approach as well as the means and methods that were used to achieve the goals of this work are outlined through the following steps: 3.1.1 Selection of aircraft and data collection For the purpose of this work, a medium sized jet aircraft is selected for testing. The aircraft manual consists of different charts related to fuel consumption. Along with these charts, aircraft characteristics are also given like engine weight, number of engines, maximum takeoff weight, maximum velocity of aircraft etc. The basic plane characteristics of this particular aircraft are: Engine GEnx - 2B67 Maximum velocity Overall length Wing span Wing Area = 520 knots = 250 feet 2 inch = 224 feet 7 inch = 5200 ft Operating Empty Weight Number of Engines Height Maximum Fuel Capacity Seating capacity = 470,100 lb =4 = 63 feet 6 inch = 242,470 liter = 581 persons Maximum Takeoff Weight = 973,000 lb
This aircraft is certified for the operations at altitudes up to 35,000 ft with takeoff weight up to 97,500 lb. Its minimum climb rate is 300 ft/sec and maximum operating speed of 550 knots. 3.1.2 Training neural network To achieve the desired target, programs were developed in MATLAB to perform neural network computation which allowed performing the following task Network training/learning, Testing and evaluation of trained network, and Implementation to calculate the fuel consumption of an aircraft 3.1.3 Implementation of Neural Network Due to non linearity of the input data, non- linear transfer function are selected. The aim of model is to achieve accuracy between the inputs and outputs of a sum squared error of 0.05%, typically. A back propagation neural network with Levenberg Marquart approximation algorithm is employed that reduces the training time using Newtons method (Simon Heykin, 2003). Input vectors and corresponding output vectors are used to train the network until it estimated the function. The transfer function used throughout the first layer is a hyperbolic tangent sigmoid function, called as tansig in MATLAB language. The second layer uses transfer function purelin. During the final feed forward process the nets compare the neurons outputs to associative target vectors. 3.2 Model envelop For fuel optimization model, objective function, set of situation conditions (variables) and constraints were identified as mentioned below. 3.2.1 Objective function
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The objective function formulated for the model development in present study has been used by the various researchers in past. The objective function for the present work has been identified as To minimize the function Where F is fuel flow and F , F and F are aircraft fuel flow functions [Collins, 1984]. 3.2.2 Situation conditions (variables) The situation conditions for specific aircraft are Aircraft Velocity Mach number 3.2.3 Constraints The constraints which have been considered for model development in present study are; Maximum Takeoff Weight = 973,000 lb Wing Area 4.Results & Discussion 4.1 Results After training the neural networks with the help of the program written, optimized fuel consumption, altitude and velocity were obtained for the specific aircraft. Neural networking toolbox provided by MatLab software have been used to get the optimized values of variables for specific aircraft considered. 400 random data points are taken for the calculation of specific fuel consumption at 400 different velocities within the model envelope. The mathematical relations between different variables have been used to calculate the required specific fuel consumption of the aircraft. The standard value of the specific fuel consumption for the specific aircraft is between 0.8503 4 lb/hr and 13.76 4 lb/hr. Thus, if the proposed 10 10 model gives the value of fuel consumption with in this specified range, it will prove the validity of the work. Various results obtained are elucidated belowFigure1 represents the fuel consumption Vs velocity before and after using the neural networks. The black points show the fuel consumption at different velocities. The minimum value of fuel consumption after using the neural networks was found to be 0.8703 4 lb/hr which is in agreement with the standard value of fuel consumption specified in the aircraft manual. It 10 clearly affirms that the velocity of the aircraft is significantly contributing towards the fuel consumption. Figure 2 illustrates the fuel consumption of selected aircraft at different altitudes at which it flies. It is clear from the graph that at start i.e. from 010,000 feet of height, the fuel consumption of the aircraft is increasing but between 10,00030,000 feet of height, the fuel consumption is less by the aircraft. After 30,000, consumption of the fuel increases at rapid rate. Fuel consumption at different values of the Mach number has been shown in Figure 3 at 400 random data points. As clear from the graph, increasing Mach number has negative effect on fuel consumption of aircraft. Increasing value of the Mach number decreases the fuel consumption of the aircraft. It is clear from Figure 4 that as the value of thrust goes on increasing; the consumption of the fuel for the aircraft also goes on increasing. The minimum consumption of fuel is at 0.4892x105 lb/ft2 thrust and maximum amount of fuel is 5 2 consumed for this aircraft is at 3.411x10 lb/ft thrust. 4.2 Conclusions and Findings In the present study, the model for the fuel consumption optimization is successfully developed. The energy balance concept in combination with neural network is successfully employed for modeling aircraft fuel consumption performance. Efforts are made to make the work exploratory and holistic in nature. Literature synthesis on aviation has identified 96 variables on which the fuel consumption depends. In order to optimize the fuel consumption of aviation product, we believe, 23 variables which come to surface during the information refinement stage, will be sufficient to achieve the objectives of this aimed research. The study also advocates that fuel consumption can be optimized with the help of seven variables identified for the model development, in contrast to 96 variables available in aviation industry. The optimized values of the various parameters on the successful application of neural network are: = 5,200 ft Number of engines =4 = 175 Knots 350 Knots = 0.2 0.9 Altitude = 0 ft (sea level) 45,000 ft Thrust produced = 0 4 10 lobes
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1. The optimized value of the aircraft velocity at which fuel consumption is minimized is obtained to be 319 knots with fuel consumption rate of 8703 lb/hr [Figure 5]. 2. The optimized value of altitude is 24100 feet with optimum fuel consumption rate of 9313 lb/hr [Figure 6]. 3. The optimized value of Mach number for the specific aircraft is found to be 0.74 with fuel consumption rate of 8072 lb/hr [Figure 7]. 4. Also, the optimum thrust produced by the specific aircraft is found to be1.37 5 lobes with fuel consumption rate of 10 9303 lb/hr [Figure 8]. All these results obtained above lies in the range specified by aircraft manual. It strongly shows that the seven parameters are the most influencing parameters which affect the fuel consumption of any aircraft. Any studies regarding the optimization of fuel should consider these variables preferably. Also, results obtained from the neural network aided fuel consumption model show that a neural network with proper training is an efficient mean to calculate fuel consumption of an aircraft. The research implications must be taken within the context of limitations. First, there is a scope of increase in sample size as small sample size limits the range of tests. Researchers should increase the sample size for better data interpretation. Second, because this study relied on the memory or recall of the respondents, some responses might have been inaccurate or biased. Moreover, in Aviation industry, it is difficult to obtain an accurate data due to classified information. In the present model, only Technology & Product Design and Operational & Performance parameters have been considered in this study. So, in future one can also consider parameters of alternate fuel, Infrastructure and social political & economic growth. Also, only velocity, altitude, Mach number and thrust have been considered as input parameters in this study. Other parameters of Technology & Product Design and Operational & performance can also be used for the estimation of fuel consumption by aircrafts. Furthermore, instead of Artificial Neural Network, some other optimization techniques like genetic algorithm, simulated annealing etc. can also be used for the calculation of fuel consumption in aircraft and results can also be compared with each other. References Antonio Filippone, "Cruise altitude flexibility of jet transport aircraft", International Journal of Aerospace Science and Technology, Vol. 14, No 4, 2010, Pages 283-294. Antonio Filippone, "Comprehensive Analysis of Transport Aircraft Flight Performance", International Journal of Aerospace Science and Technology, Vol. 44, No 5, 2008, Pages: 192-236. Collins, B.P., Bell, Noel. J., and Ford, David. W. Concepts for Aviation Fuel Efficiency. Aviation Fuel Consumption Symposium, September, 1984. Committee on Climate Change (CCC), "Meeting the UK Aviation Target-Options for Reducing Emission to 2050", 2009. D. L. Green, "Commercial Aircraft fuel efficacy potential through 2011", Transportation Research, Vol.12, No 6, 1990, Pages: 81-90. Daggett, O. Hadaller, R. Hendricks and R. Walther, "Alternative Fuels and Their Potential International Congress of the Aeronautical Sciences- ICAS, 2006, Impact on Aviation", 25th
David A. Pilati, (1974), "Energy Use and Conservation Alternatives for Airplanes", Transportation Research, Vol. 8, No 4, 1974, Pages: 433-441. International Energy Agency (IEA)," Transport Energy and CO 2", IEA/OECD, 2009. J.E. Green, "Civil aviation and environmental challenge", The Aeronautical Journal, Vol 107, No 2, 2003, Pages: 281-299. J.E. Green, "The Potential for Reducing the impact of Aviation on Climate", Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, Vol. 21, No.1, 2009, Pages: 39-59. James I. Hileman, David S. Ortiz, James T. Bartis, Hsin Min Wong, Pearl E. Donohoo, "Near Alternative Jet Fuels" RAND, Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment, Vol. 5, 2009, Pages: 1-95. term feasibility of
Joosung J. Lee, "Can We Accelerate the Improvement of Energy Efficiency in Aircraft Systems?" Energy Conservation and Management, Vol. 51, 2010, Pages: 189-196 Nicolas E. Antonie, "Framework for Aircraft Conceptual Design and Environmental Performance Studies ", AIAA Journal,
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Vol.43, No.10, 2005, Pages: 2100-2109.
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Robert O. Price, "Liquid Hydrogen- An Alternative Aviation Fuel ", International Association for Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 16, No. 8, 1991, Pages: 557-562. Sgouris Sgouridis, Philippe A. Bonnefoy, R. John Hansman, "Air transportation in a carbon constrained world: Long-term dynamics of policies and strategies for mitigating the carbon footprint of commercial aviation", Transportation Research, 2010 (In Press). Sharma Anshul, Sharma Somesh, "Validation of Parameters of Fuel Optimization in Aviation Industry", International Journal of Business Research, 2011 (In Press). Simon Haykin, Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation", Prentice Hall, 2003. Suchada Butnark, Mark W. Badger, Harold H. Schobert, Coal-Based Jet Fuel: Composition, Thermal Stability and Properties", Fuel Chemistry Division, Vol 48, No 1, 2003, Pages: 158-161. Vedant Singh, Somesh Kumar Sharma, S. Vaibhav, Identification of Dimensions of the Optimization of Fuel Consumption in Air Transport Industry: A Literature Review, Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy, Vol.2, No.7, 2012
Devender Kumar is working in the research area of aviation industry from last year. His B. Tech Degree in Mechanical Engineering will be awarded in Aug. 2013 from National Institute of Technology Hamirpur (India). His research interests are focused over Aeronautics and Physics.
Anshul Sharma has obtained his M.Tech Degree from Mechanical Engineering from National Institute of Technology Hamirpur (India) and is currently doing Ph.d.)
Somesh Kumar Sharma is the corresponding author of this paper. He has obtained M.E in Industrial Engineering and P.hd. in Aviation and Defence Operations Mgmt in 2009 from Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore (India). Currently he is working as Associate. Professor in Mechanical Engineering Dept. at National Institute of Technology Hamirpur (India). He has earned National & International awards in the Defence Research, and is currently pursuing research in aviation sector.
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Table 1. List of Parameters
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. Technological and Product Design Engine Weight By Pass Ratio Temperature ratio Pressure ratio Nozzle Area 1. Wing Area Thrust Engine Type Alternative Engine Cycle Structural Weight Lift/Drag Air Fuel ratio Wing Thickness over Chord Wing Aspect Ratio Aircraft centre of Gravity Wing Taper Ratio Horizontal Tail Area Vertical Tail Area Aircraft Size Wing Location over Fuselag Lift Coefficient Drag Coefficient Wing Chord Angle Of Incidence Induced Drag Seating Capacity Aircraft Design Range Aircraft Maintenance Weight Strength Corrosion Resistance Fatigue Resistance Air Cooling Electrical Systems Operational & Performance Taxing Fuel tanking Maintenance Operating cost Operational weight Use of ground power Number of engine Airplane towing instead of APU Aircraft replacement Refueling segment Cabin dead weight Payload weight Aircraft extra weight Climb approach Roll speed Roll Distance to Runway Climb Rate Flap Setting Max. takeoff weight Engine Power Level Load Factor Altitude Cruise Speed Mach No. Fuel Ferrying Aircraft Range Air-To-Air Refueling Crew Weight Airborne Hour Block Hour Flight Hour Fuel transportation Contingency Fuel Cost Of Index For Flight Path Pilot Techniques Descent Approach Descent Speed Angle Of Descent Reduced/Delayed Flap Approach Alternate Fuel and Fuel Properties Aromatics Fuel procurement Sulphur Mercapton Mass Fuel handling Contaminants Additives Water Vapors Micro-Spectrometer Rating Boiling Point Flash Point Density Fluidity Lubricity Electrical Conductivity Freezing Point Smoke Point Fuel prices Acidity Energy per unit volume Energy Per Unit mass Corrosivity Distillation Residue Distillation Loss
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Table 2. Classification of Technology and Product Design Variables
Important Variables 1,2,7,11,19,26,29 Moderate Variables 3,4,6,8,9,10,14,21,22,23,25,27 Unimportant Variables 5,12,13,15,16,17,18,20,24,28,30,31,33,32,34
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Unimportant Variables 5,6,7,8,14,16 Communality 0.74 0.77 0.87 0.62 0.72 0.57 0.73 0.74 0.88 0.80 0.83 0.82 0.66 0.78 0.55 0.61 0.58 0.61 0.57 0.60 0.57 0.68 0.71 18.8 25.5 22.5 Variance
Table set
5. of
Technological and product design
2. Thrust 3. Wing Area 4. Lift/Drag 5. Drag Coefficient 6. Lift Coefficient 7.Seating Capacity 8.Payload Weight 9.No. of engines 10.Altitude 11.Cruise Speed Operational and Performance 12.Mach Number 13.Fuel tanking 14.Maximum Takeoff weight 15.Operating Cost 16.Fuel Transportation 17.Density Alternate fuels And Fuel Properties 18.Flash Point 19.Freezing Point 20.Acidity 21.Fuel Prices 22.Fuel Handling 23.Fuel Procurement
Refined variable
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Before
After
Figure 1. Comparison of fuel consumption Vs Velocity before and after using neural networking
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