Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09
Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09
Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09
POWER
Kesiapan Sektor Swasta Menanggapi Rencana Pemerintah Mendirikan PLTN di Indonesia: Industri Nuklir Nasional.
SEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANUSIA Teknik Nuklir Jurusan Teknik Fisika FT UGM Sekolah Tinggi Teknologi Nuklir Yogyakarta, 11 Agustus 2009
Business Structure
MEDCOENERGI
POWER
New
MPIs core business remains as a power project developer with aggressive expansion in renewable and alternative energies as well as project infrastructure.
Renewable
Geothermal Biomass Windfarm
O&M
Project Management
Singapore Biomass
Small scale PP
TJB
Spare parts
New
Alternative
NPPs MEB Page 2
Thermal
DEB
Sengkang
New
MEDCOENERGI
POWER
5% Non-Fossil
Oil 54,4%
Coal >35% (Incl. 2% Coal Liq.) Hydro >2% Geothermal >5% Others >8% Biofuels 5% Solar 0.2% Wind 0.05% Fuel cell 0.00% Biomass 0.5% Nuclear 2%
+ 2 times more
Gas >30%
Oil <20%
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MEDCOENERGI
POWER
Jawa-Bali Island Big Energy Importer !! Lebih dari 90% jumlah energi didatangkan dari luar Jawa.
GW
2006 PLTU-BB
2008
2010
2012 PLTG-G/M
2014
2016
2018
2020 PLTA/MH
2022
2024
2026
PLTGU-G/M
PLTD
PLTN
2005
2015
2020
2025
Operation
Banten-2 Banten-1
NPP NPP
2011
2013
2019 2020
2023 2024
Site Permit
Presidential Decree Site Evaluation Report (SER) Preliminary Safety Analysis Report (PSAR)
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MENTERI
KETERANGAN: 1 Permohonan Izin Usaha Ketenagalistrikan untuk Umum (IUKU) d/h Surat Persetujuan Pendahuluan (SPP) 2 IUKU Sementara 3 Permohonan persetujuan Harga Jual Tenaga Listrik 4 Penetapan Harga Jual Tenaga Listrik 5 Permohonan persetujuan PPA 6 Persetujuan PPA 7 Draft PPA 8 PPA
MEDCOENERGI
POWER
DESDM Leader
10 % Eq u
ity
PPA
PT. PLN
20-30% Equity
Guarantee
kWh Revenue
Contract Agreement
Transmition / Distribution
Manufacture
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Ownership by public company with finance composition (government responsibility 51% minimum and commercial loan 49% maximum): 1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 15-20% 2. Government loan about 36-80% (G to G) 3. Commercial loan (local/international) 49% max. (B to B). Ownership by private company (IPP) with finance composition (International investment vary between 49-70% and national invesment vary between 30-51%): 1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 10-15% 2. National private investment about 20-36% (G to B to B) or (B to B) 3. Foreign private investment about 49-70%.
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Economy of NPP
MEDCOENERGI
POWER
Romania actual case in 2007: 2x720 MWe NPP Project using IPP scheme (CANDU-700 Cervamoda unit 3 dan unit 4). Total invesment needed about EUR 2,2 milyard. Resulted lower generation cost about 2.8-3.2 centsEUR/kWh. Influence of oil price increasing in 2008: Akan mempengaruhi kenaikan biaya material dan konstruksi PLTN. Sehingga diperkirakan generation cost untuk nuklir akan menjadi sekitar 5-6 cent US$/kWh. Masih bernilai ekonomis untuk harga jual listrik sekitar tahun 2018.
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Industry
60% 80% 100%
First few nuclear reactors can be built through risk-sharing mechanisms between the public and private sectors. Risks vary by phase of development, construction and operation. Industry and government bring different riskbearing approaches to the common goals of building first units.
20%
40%
Risk Shared
Construction
Design & Construction
Commissioning
Commissioning
Pemerintah: - Pengaturan regulasi dan menyiapkan infrastruktur - Pemberian fasilitas dan insentif - Sebagai pionir dan ikut menanggung resiko. Swasta: - Pengembangan industri secara masal / investasi - Peningkatan dan mengembangkan ekonomi - Sebagai penyerap tenaga kerja.
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MEDCOENERGI
POWER
National participation could attain 40-50% for the first 1000 MWe NPP. - Reduce cost for transportation - Less construction cost - Cheaper generation cost - More competitive
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Kesimpulan
MEDCOENERGI
POWER
Tidak cukup hanya membangun PLTN saja, tetapi harus menghidupkan industri nuklir nasional Hanya sektor industri nuklir yang dapat menyerap SDM nuklir secara maksimal. Kemandirian industri nuklir nasional sangat diperlukan sebagai jaminan penyerapan tenaga kerja secara maksimal di sektor ketenaganukliran.
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MEDCOENERGI
POWER
DR.Ir. Arnold Soetrisnanto DR.Ir. Technology Support PT. Medco Power Indonesia, Medco Tower The Energy, 50th Floor SCBD Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jl. Jend. Kav. 52Jakarta 12190 Indonesia Phone. +62.21.2995.1300 / 2995.1316, Fax. +62.21.2995.1301 Mobile Phone. +62.8128218940 Email: [email protected] www.medcoenergi.com Page 18