Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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Maintaining a Balance Life: Nurturing Growth, Fostering Prosperity, Preserving Nature MEDCOENERGI

POWER

Kesiapan Sektor Swasta Menanggapi Rencana Pemerintah Mendirikan PLTN di Indonesia: Industri Nuklir Nasional.
SEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANUSIA Teknik Nuklir Jurusan Teknik Fisika FT UGM Sekolah Tinggi Teknologi Nuklir Yogyakarta, 11 Agustus 2009

PT Medco Power Indonesia

Business Structure
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Sarulla Singapore Sarulla Geothermal Biomass Geothermal

New

Bali Wind farm

MPIs core business remains as a power project developer with aggressive expansion in renewable and alternative energies as well as project infrastructure.

Renewable
Geothermal Biomass Windfarm

O&M

Project Management
Singapore Biomass

The Energy Navigat New

Small scale PP

Gas Fired Coal Fired Other (Geothermal) Batam

TJB

Spare parts

New

Gas Fired PP Nuclear Coal Fired PP

Alternative
NPPs MEB Page 2

Thermal

DEB

Sengkang

New

Primary Energy Projection 2025


Presidential Regulation No.5 Year 2006 National Energy Blueprint - DESDM Energy Condition 2003
Gas 26,5% Coal 14,1% Hydro 3,4% Geothermal 1,4% Other Renew. 0,2%

MEDCOENERGI
POWER

5% Non-Fossil

NATIONAL ENERGY MIX TARGET 2025


15% Non-Fossil
MiniHydro 0.2%

Oil 54,4%

Coal >35% (Incl. 2% Coal Liq.) Hydro >2% Geothermal >5% Others >8% Biofuels 5% Solar 0.2% Wind 0.05% Fuel cell 0.00% Biomass 0.5% Nuclear 2%

+ 2 times more

Gas >30%

Oil <20%

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Electricity Projection for Jawa-Bali Grid


100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Jawa-Bali Island Big Energy Importer !! Lebih dari 90% jumlah energi didatangkan dari luar Jawa.

GW

2006 PLTU-BB

2008

2010

2012 PLTG-G/M

2014

2016

2018

2020 PLTA/MH

2022

2024

2026

PLTGU-G/M

PLTD

PLTN

(Studi PLN 2007) PLTP PLTU-M/G

Perbandingan Jawa-Bali Jepang Korea


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Penduduk 170 Juta 128 Juta 49 Juta

Th 2025 2007 2007

Kepadatan 1010 or./km2 340 or./km2 460 or./km2

Jumlah PLTN 4 unit ?? 55 Unit 20 Unit

NPP Program Revised in Indonesia


MEDCOENERGI
POWER

2005

2010 Bid Invitation Spesification (BIS)

2015

2020

2025

Years Operation Energy Planning Go Nuclear Bidding Construction


Muria-2 Muria-1
NPP NPP

Operation
Banten-2 Banten-1
NPP NPP

2009 National Team

2011

2013

2019 2020

2023 2024

Site Permit
Presidential Decree Site Evaluation Report (SER) Preliminary Safety Analysis Report (PSAR)
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Commissioning Permit Operation Permit


Plan of Commissioning Document Banten = Another possibility NPP site Plan of Operation Document

Construction Permit Environmental Permit

Environmental Analysis Document

BAGAN PERSETUJUAN PEMBANGUNAN LISTRIK SWASTA


MEDCOENERGI
POWER

MAKRO Regulasi Sektor

DEPARTEMEN ESDM (Regulator Listrik)

MENTERI

DJLPE a/n. Menteri

(PT. PLN Persero)


MENTERI BUMN/ RUPS PT PLN (Pemilik Perusahaan) 5 6

MIKRO Regulasi Korporasi

IPP 7 8 Page 6 IMPLEMENTASI

PT PLN (Persero) (Pemegang Kuasa Usaha Ketenagalistrikan) 8

KETERANGAN: 1 Permohonan Izin Usaha Ketenagalistrikan untuk Umum (IUKU) d/h Surat Persetujuan Pendahuluan (SPP) 2 IUKU Sementara 3 Permohonan persetujuan Harga Jual Tenaga Listrik 4 Penetapan Harga Jual Tenaga Listrik 5 Permohonan persetujuan PPA 6 Persetujuan PPA 7 Draft PPA 8 PPA

NPP Organization: Consortium


BATAN Leader BAPETEN BAPEDAL Govt. Institution/ National Team Pre-Project
Reg u and lation Perm it
6 In 0-7 ve 0% stm L en oa t n/

MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Indonesian Government Project Support

DESDM Leader
10 % Eq u

ity

National Private Company MEDCO &Others

Consortium Company (IPP) Project Excecution

PPA

PT. PLN

20-30% Equity

Guarantee

kWh Revenue

National/ International FINANCING

Contract Agreement

Transmition / Distribution

Manufacture
Page 7

EPC Contractor Purchase Agreement

Possibilities of NPP Financing in Indonesia


IPP Financing - Consortium
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Ownership by public company with finance composition (government responsibility 51% minimum and commercial loan 49% maximum): 1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 15-20% 2. Government loan about 36-80% (G to G) 3. Commercial loan (local/international) 49% max. (B to B). Ownership by private company (IPP) with finance composition (International investment vary between 49-70% and national invesment vary between 30-51%): 1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 10-15% 2. National private investment about 20-36% (G to B to B) or (B to B) 3. Foreign private investment about 49-70%.

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Economy of NPP
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Levelized Generation Cost Capital Cost O&M Cost Fuel Cost

US$ /kWh US$ /kWh US$ /kWh US$ /kWh

3,7831 2,5113 0,8283 0,4435

Romania actual case in 2007: 2x720 MWe NPP Project using IPP scheme (CANDU-700 Cervamoda unit 3 dan unit 4). Total invesment needed about EUR 2,2 milyard. Resulted lower generation cost about 2.8-3.2 centsEUR/kWh. Influence of oil price increasing in 2008: Akan mempengaruhi kenaikan biaya material dan konstruksi PLTN. Sehingga diperkirakan generation cost untuk nuklir akan menjadi sekitar 5-6 cent US$/kWh. Masih bernilai ekonomis untuk harga jual listrik sekitar tahun 2018.
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Public Ownership in Nuclear Power Industry


International Fact
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Page 10

Andrew D. Paterson, Deloitte Energy & Resources Practice

Public Private Risk-Sharing Model


Government participation
Government
0%
Project Development
Project Development & Design MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Industry
60% 80% 100%
First few nuclear reactors can be built through risk-sharing mechanisms between the public and private sectors. Risks vary by phase of development, construction and operation. Industry and government bring different riskbearing approaches to the common goals of building first units.

20%

40%

Risk Shared

Construction
Design & Construction

Commissioning
Commissioning

Operations / D&D Operations /


D&D

Andrew D. Paterson, Deloitte Energy & Resources Practice


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Peran Pemerintah & Industri Swasta


MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Pemerintah: - Pengaturan regulasi dan menyiapkan infrastruktur - Pemberian fasilitas dan insentif - Sebagai pionir dan ikut menanggung resiko. Swasta: - Pengembangan industri secara masal / investasi - Peningkatan dan mengembangkan ekonomi - Sebagai penyerap tenaga kerja.

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Kebutuhan SDM Nuklir


Masa Pembangunan dan Operasi PLTN
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

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ROADMAP OF NUCLEAR ENERGY INDUSTRY


(Buku Putih Ristek)
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

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Nuclear Power Development Process


MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Page 15

Condensor for Oikuloto-3 Project, Finlandia 1600 MWe NPP


Produced by PT.Siemen Indonesia, Cilegon, Banten.

MEDCOENERGI
POWER

National participation could attain 40-50% for the first 1000 MWe NPP. - Reduce cost for transportation - Less construction cost - Cheaper generation cost - More competitive

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Kesimpulan
MEDCOENERGI
POWER

Tidak cukup hanya membangun PLTN saja, tetapi harus menghidupkan industri nuklir nasional Hanya sektor industri nuklir yang dapat menyerap SDM nuklir secara maksimal. Kemandirian industri nuklir nasional sangat diperlukan sebagai jaminan penyerapan tenaga kerja secara maksimal di sektor ketenaganukliran.

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MEDCOENERGI
POWER

DR.Ir. Arnold Soetrisnanto DR.Ir. Technology Support PT. Medco Power Indonesia, Medco Tower The Energy, 50th Floor SCBD Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jl. Jend. Kav. 52Jakarta 12190 Indonesia Phone. +62.21.2995.1300 / 2995.1316, Fax. +62.21.2995.1301 Mobile Phone. +62.8128218940 Email: [email protected] www.medcoenergi.com Page 18

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