Technical Format With Stock 03.09

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Daily Technical Report

September 03, 2012

Sensex (17381) / NIFTY (5259)


On Friday, our benchmark indices opened on a flat note and consolidated sideways during first part of the session. However, during second half selling pressure resumed which led the index to close well below the 5300 mark. Metal, Power and Auto sectors ended on a losing side and the advance to decline ratio was in favor of declining counters (A=1380 D=1419) (Source www.bseindia.com). Formation The 20-day EMA and the 200-day SMA are placed at 17560 / 5316 and 16920 / 5120 levels, respectively. Looking at the Line Chart it is clear that indices have now confirmed the Higher Top - Higher Bottom formation on the weekly chart after August 28, 2009. The weekly momentum oscillators viz., the RSI and the Stochastic are signaling a negative crossover.

Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart

Source: Falcon

Actionable points:

View

Neutral 5300 5330 5240

Trading strategy: After posting four consecutive positive weekly closings, we witnessed a correction in our markets during the last week. The bellwether indices (Sensex / Nifty) tested support level of 17285 / 5240. We are now observing a negative crossover in the weekly momentum oscillators. The impact of these tools can be seen if our indices sustain below this weeks low of 17338 / 5239. In such a scenario, the markets may test 17123 16892 / 5190 5120 levels which are the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement levels of the rise from 16598 / 5032 to 17972 / 5449, respectively. However, the weekly Higher Top Higher Bottom formation mentioned in our earlier report is still intact.

Resistance Levels Support Levels

The said formation would be negated only if indices break the important weekly swing low of 16598 / 5032. Also, looking at the extreme oversold condition of Stochastic momentum oscillator on the daily chart, the possibility of a bounce towards 17712 / 5360 levels cannot be ruled out. Under normal circumstances, this bounce should be treated as a corrective up move. However, in case we see some positive global news flow on the back of the Jackson Hole meeting and if the US Fed commits to more quantitative easing, then a close beyond 17712 / 5360 level in the initial part of the week would indicate a strong reversal of current pessimism. The Sensex / Nifty may rally towards 17972 / 5449 levels.

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Daily Technical Report


September 03, 2012

Bank Nifty Outlook - (9991)


On Friday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and traded with extreme volatility throughout the session to close with a loss of nearly 1%. The index has taken support in the support zone of 9964 9914. The positive divergence in momentum oscillator RSI on hourly chart mentioned in our previous reports is still intact. However, looking at the mixed signal in momentum oscillators on the daily and weekly chart we expect the Index to trade in a broad range of 10330 9914 for the next 5 to 7 sessions. Within the mentioned range 10130 10250 are likely to act as resistance and 9948 9914 levels are likely to act as support levels.

Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart

Actionable points:

View Resistance Levels Support Levels

Neutral 10130 10250 9948 - 9914 Source: Falcon

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Daily Technical Report


September 03, 2012 Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS SENSEX NIFTY BANKNIFTY ACC AMBUJACEM ASIANPAINT AXISBANK BAJAJ-AUTO BANKBARODA BHARTIARTL BHEL BPCL CAIRN CIPLA COALINDIA DLF DRREDDY GAIL GRASIM HCLTECH HDFC HDFCBANK HEROMOTOCO HINDALCO HINDUNILVR ICICIBANK IDFC INFY ITC JINDALSTEL JPASSOCIAT KOTAKBANK LT M&M MARUTI NTPC ONGC PNB POWERGRID RANBAXY RELIANCE RELINFRA SAIL SBIN SESAGOA SIEMENS STER SUNPHARMA TATAMOTORS TATAPOWER TATASTEEL TCS WIPRO S2 17,205 5,203 9,841 1,290 180 3,548 972 1,591 619 237 207 322 327 366 343 189 1,648 346 2,943 537 719 584 1,700 101 504 879 129 2,336 264 339 62 560 1,313 750 1,122 166 266 661 117 541 749 432 76 1,807 165 666 91 653 227 98 352 1,321 353 S1 17,293 5,231 9,916 1,299 183 3,594 982 1,604 625 242 210 328 334 371 347 192 1,663 351 2,967 541 727 590 1,732 102 510 891 131 2,349 266 345 63 567 1,328 756 1,133 167 271 669 118 547 758 438 77 1,822 168 672 94 661 231 99 357 1,333 358 PIVOT 17,425 5,267 10,023 1,313 186 3,677 998 1,617 632 246 215 339 342 377 353 196 1,683 355 2,983 544 733 595 1,783 104 520 907 135 2,367 268 352 65 579 1,342 766 1,141 169 275 677 120 550 771 448 78 1,844 171 679 96 668 234 99 363 1,346 365 R1 17,513 5,295 10,098 1,322 189 3,723 1,008 1,630 638 251 218 345 348 382 358 199 1,698 359 3,007 548 741 600 1,815 106 525 918 138 2,380 270 358 66 586 1,357 772 1,151 170 280 685 121 556 780 454 79 1,859 175 685 99 676 238 100 367 1,357 370 R2 17,645 5,331 10,206 1,336 193 3,806 1,025 1,643 645 254 223 356 356 388 364 202 1,718 363 3,023 552 747 606 1,866 107 535 934 141 2,399 272 365 67 598 1,372 781 1,159 172 284 694 123 560 793 464 80 1,880 178 692 101 683 242 101 373 1,370 377

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Daily Technical Report


September 03, 2012
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni Sameet Chavan Sacchitanand Uttekar Mehul Kothari Ankur Lakhotia Head Technicals Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst

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