Technical Format With Stock 03.09
Technical Format With Stock 03.09
Technical Format With Stock 03.09
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
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Trading strategy: After posting four consecutive positive weekly closings, we witnessed a correction in our markets during the last week. The bellwether indices (Sensex / Nifty) tested support level of 17285 / 5240. We are now observing a negative crossover in the weekly momentum oscillators. The impact of these tools can be seen if our indices sustain below this weeks low of 17338 / 5239. In such a scenario, the markets may test 17123 16892 / 5190 5120 levels which are the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement levels of the rise from 16598 / 5032 to 17972 / 5449, respectively. However, the weekly Higher Top Higher Bottom formation mentioned in our earlier report is still intact.
The said formation would be negated only if indices break the important weekly swing low of 16598 / 5032. Also, looking at the extreme oversold condition of Stochastic momentum oscillator on the daily chart, the possibility of a bounce towards 17712 / 5360 levels cannot be ruled out. Under normal circumstances, this bounce should be treated as a corrective up move. However, in case we see some positive global news flow on the back of the Jackson Hole meeting and if the US Fed commits to more quantitative easing, then a close beyond 17712 / 5360 level in the initial part of the week would indicate a strong reversal of current pessimism. The Sensex / Nifty may rally towards 17972 / 5449 levels.
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Actionable points:
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni Sameet Chavan Sacchitanand Uttekar Mehul Kothari Ankur Lakhotia Head Technicals Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst