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Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Jul. 19, 2012

The weekly agricultural report from the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange provided updates on crop conditions and projections for the week of July 19, 2012. Wheat planting was estimated at 3.6 million hectares, down 1 million from the previous season. Corn harvesting was 90.6% complete with an estimated yield of 5.27 tons/ha and total production of 19.3 million tons. Sunflower planting was less than 1% complete. Grain sorghum harvesting was 94.1% complete with an estimated total production of 4.1 million tons.

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34 views4 pages

Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport Weeklyagreport: Week Ended On Jul. 19, 2012

The weekly agricultural report from the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange provided updates on crop conditions and projections for the week of July 19, 2012. Wheat planting was estimated at 3.6 million hectares, down 1 million from the previous season. Corn harvesting was 90.6% complete with an estimated yield of 5.27 tons/ha and total production of 19.3 million tons. Sunflower planting was less than 1% complete. Grain sorghum harvesting was 94.1% complete with an estimated total production of 4.1 million tons.

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WeeklyAgReport

BUENOS AIRES GRAIN E XCHANGE

WEEK ENDED ON Jul. 19, 2012


CROP REPORT - HIGHLIGHTS
Estimations and Agricultural Projections Department Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

Referencias: NOA: Salta+Tucumn+Jujuy+Catamarca+Oeste Sgo del Estero. NEA: Chaco+Este Sgo del Estero+Formosa Ctro N Sfe: Centro-norte de Santa Fe. Ctro N Cba: Centro-norte de Crdoba Ncleo Norte: Este de Crdoba+Centro-sur de Santa Fe+Sudoeste de Entre Ros. Ncleo Sur: Sur de Santa Fe+Norte de Buenos Aires S Cba. N LP-O BA: Norte de La Pampa+Oeste de Buenos Aires. Ctro E ER: Entre Rios excluda Victoria y Diamante Ctro BA: Centro de Buenos Aires. SO BA-S LP: Sudoeste de Buenos Aires+Sur de La Pampa. SE BA: Sudeste de Buenos Aires Otras: San Luis+Depresin del Salado+Corrientes+Misiones

WEEKLY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK BUENOS AIRES GRAIN EXCHANGE OUTLOOK SUMMARY

NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 19 TO 26 2012: Scarce rainfall and strong thermal oscillation At the beginning of the current outlook, winds coming from the north/northeast will cause a moderate rise in temperature. While only the northern-end of the national agricultural area will observe temperatures above the average, the rest of the region will maintain values below normal. A storm front will then bring scarce rainfall over most of the national agricultural area. This front coupled with a vigorous and dry polar air mass will lead to a sharp drop in temperatures with frost risks.

Buenos Aires, July 19th, 2012

Buenos Aires Grain Exchange

WHEAT
The incorporation of crops has finished in the last seven days in the North-center of Cordoba, North-center of Santa Fe, the North Belt, San Luis, the NW and NE regions. All these areas reported significant surface reductions during the current cycle. Consequently we have adjusted our seeding projection by 100,000 HAS, and as of the current report the estimated surface for the cycle stands at 3,600,000 hectares, accounting for a loss of one million hectares (-22%) from the previous cycle (4.6M HAS seeded during cycle 11/12). However, this reduction is not greater thanks to an increased seeding intention reported in the productive belts of the SE and SW of Buenos Aires, triggered by good market prices and the increase of export volumes. The seeding has covered 84% of the projected area. Overall, more than 3 million hectares were added, and the early seedings in the center of the agricultural area are going through full tillering.

Wheat Planting
2012/13 SEASON
As Of: July 19, 2012

Zone
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII XIII XIV XV NOA NEA Ctro N Cba S Cba Ctro N SFe Ncleo Norte Ncleo Sur Ctro E ER N LP-OBA Ctro BA SO BA-S LP SE BA SL Cuenca Sal Otras

Hectareage (ha) 2009/10 2010/11

Porcentage Planted(%)

Hectares Planted

TOTAL

450.800 340.000 310.000 190.000 378.000 265.000 142.500 130.000 184.000 160.000 340.000 265.000 292.800 240.000 220.000 150.000 260.000 210.000 170.000 140.000 836.000 680.000 941.000 770.000 4.400 3.000 60.500 50.000 10.000 7.000 4.600.000 3.600.000

100,0 100,0 100,0 99,0 100,0 100,0 85,0 90,0 85,0 75,0 80,0 60,0 100,0 75,0 90,0 84,0

340.000 190.000 265.000 128.700 160.000 265.000 204.000 135.000 178.500 105.000 544.000 462.000 3.000 37.500 6.300 3.024.000

CORN
Up to the current report the collection of commercial corn grain nationwide has covered 90.6% of the suitable area, describing a weekly progress of 4.5 percentage points, and a YOY delay of 0.5%. The volume accrued so far amounts to 16.7 M TN. Having collected nearly 3.2 M HAS, we are able to estimate a national average yield of 5.27 tons/ha. This yield level describes a weekly growth of 0.05 tons/ha due to the good results obtained on late plots, and we therefore maintain our final production volume at 19,300,000 tons for the ongoing season.

CORN HARVEST
2011/12 SEASON
As of: July. 19, 2012

Zone
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII XIII XIV XV NOA NEA Ctro N Cba S Cba Ctro N SFe Ncleo Norte Ncleo Sur Ctro E ER N LP-OBA Ctro BA SO BA-S LP SE BA SL Cuenca Sal Others

Hectareage (ha) Sown Lost Harvestable

Percentage Hectares Yeld (1) harvested harvested (qq/ha)

Production (Tn)

255.000 270.000 475.000 500.000 160.000 527.000 460.000 165.000 535.000 136.000 107.000 85.000 115.000 60.000 20.000

15.000 20.000 16.000 67.500 28.000 14.500 40.500 20.000 69.000 30.000 22.000 3.500 15.000 4.000 0

240.000 250.000 459.000 432.500 132.000 512.500 419.500 145.000 466.000 106.000 85.000 81.500 100.000 56.000 20.000

63 76 88 92 89 100 99 99 91 93 92 85 96 100 94

151.176 190.425 402.000 399.250 117.600 511.235 415.636 143.812 426.100 98.932 77.861 69.138 96.378 55.940 18.800

48,1 42,6 62,4 41,0 50,6 61,9 50,0 48,8 56,3 54,0 43,2 66,5 43,0 47,4 50,8

726.923 810.455 2.508.480 1.636.925 595.056 3.164.546 2.078.180 701.803 2.398.943 534.233 336.360 459.768 414.423 265.156 95.480

TOTAL

3.870.000 365.000

3.505.000

90,6 3.174.283

52,7

16.726.730

SUNFLOWER
As it was pointed out in the previous report, the seeding of sunflower has recently started in specific locations of the NE region, more precisely in the province of Chaco, where the first plots were incorporated by conventional tillage, since they have good temperature and moisture conditions as opposed to direct seeded plots. There is a similar situation toward the North-center of Santa Fealthough the covering is to start in the first week of August, the water supply in the first inches of the plot is scarce. The South of Buenos Aires and La Pampa, which concentrate around 50% of the national agricultural area, report a slight increase of the surface. So far it is estimated that less than 1% of the national agricultural area has been covered. The forecast for the next few days predicts few rains over the area, which will produce good seeding conditions, especially in the Argentine North. Under these circumstances, we maintain our surface estimation of 2,000,000 hectares, up by 7.5% over the seeded surface last cycle (2011/12 1,860,000 HAS).

GRAIN SORGHUM
So far 94.1% of the suitable area has been collected nationwide. The harvest has finished in the North Belt area, while in the South Belt, East-center of Entre Rios, North-center of Santa Fe, North and South of Cordoba, and San Luis, it is about to end. In the North of La Pampa and West and center of Buenos Aires, the threshing is moving slowly, since many plots have suffered hydric excess, hampering the access of machinery. The yield levels obtained range between 3.5 and 7.5 tons/ha, accounting for a threshing progress a little over 80%. In the South of La Pampa and SW of Buenos Aires 87% of the suitable area has been harvested, while productivity levels are below the

above mentioned figures. Yields range between 2 and 4.5 tons/ha, averaging 3.3 tons/ha nationwide. In view of these yield levels and the harvest progress nationwide, we maintain our final production estimate at 4,100,000 tons.

GRAIN SORGHUM HARVEST


2011/12 SEASON
As of: Jul. 19, 2012
Production (Tm)

Zone
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII XIII XIV XV NOA NEA Ctro N Cba S Cba Ctro N SFe Ncleo Norte Ncleo Sur Ctro E ER N LP-OBA Ctro BA SO BA-S LP SE BA SL Cuenca Sal Others

Hectareage (ha) Sown Lost Harvestable

Percentage Hectares Yeld (1) harvested harvested (qq/ha)

22.572 216.281 129.960 42.408 195.552 51.546 24.067 120.059 45.936 8.894 134.992 6.435 52.326 28.500 20.859

2.257 25.954 12.996 6.361 25.422 4.124 722 10.500 8.728 1.067 24.299 322 2.616 570 417

20.315 190.327 116.964 36.047 170.130 47.422 23.345 109.559 37.208 7.827 110.693 6.113 49.710 27.930 20.442

94 87 99 95 99 100 99 99 82 83 87 67 98 100 100

19.096 165.585 115.794 34.244 168.429 47.422 23.112 108.463 30.511 6.496 96.303 4.096 48.716 27.930 20.442

34 27 51 52 41 62 60 51 54 48 33 44 43 50 39

64.926 447.079 590.551 178.071 690.559 294.018 138.669 553.163 164.758 31.182 317.801 18.022 209.477 139.650 79.723

TOTAL

1.100.387

126.354

974.033

94,1

916.639

42,7

3.917.649

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