Intervalos de Confianza: N Z X N Z X
Intervalos de Confianza: N Z X N Z X
UACH-2011
INTERVALOS DE CONFIANZA
I.C. Media ( conocida n > 30)
xZ
x Z (1 )
(1 )
n
n
2
2
S
S
x t
x t (1 ;n 1)
( 1 ;n 1)
n
n
2
2
p q
donde q = 1- p
p Z1
n
2
12 22
( x1 x 2 ) Z
1
n1
n2
2
I.C. Diferencia de medias desconocido (se asumen varianzas iguales) (n1 + n2 30)
( x1 x 2 ) t
s12
s 2
2
n1
n2
s12 s22
n n
con v = 12 2 2 grados de libertad
s12
s22
n1 n2
n1 1 n2 1
p 1 q1
p q
2 2
( p1 p 2 ) Z1
n1
n2
2
I.C. Varianza (una muestra)
2
(
n
1
)
S
(n 1) S 2
2
2
2
1 ;n 1
; n 1
2
2
2
2
2
F1 S 2 2 F S 2
BAIN052
UACH-2011
H1
1 0
Regin de
Rechazo
Zc < -Z
Zc > Z
Zc <- Z/2
Zc > Z1-/2
Zc <- Z
Zc > Z
Zc < -Z/2
Zc > Z1-/2
tc <- tn-1;
tc > tn-1;
0
p p0
p p0
Zc > Z
p p0
2 02
Zc < -Z/2
Zc > Z1-/2
c2 n21;
2 02
c2 n21;1
2 02
c2 2
conocido
x 0
Zc
1 0
2 desconocido
n 30
x 0
Zc
S
n
1 0
2 desconocido
n < 30
p = p0
2 02
tc
x 0
S
n
Zc
c2
p p0
p0 (1 p0 )
n
(n 1) S 2
n 1;
2
c
2
n 1;1
BAIN052
UACH-2011
H1
1 2 d 0
1 2 d 0
Regin de
Rechazo
Zc < -Z
1 2 d 0
Zc > Z
1 2 d 0
1 2 d 0
tc <-tn1+n2-2;
1 2 d 0
tc > tn1+n2-2 ;
1 2 d 0
1 2 d 0
Zc <-Z
1 2 d 0
Zc > Z
1 2 d 0
Zc < -Z/2
Zc
( x1 x 2 ) d 0
12
12 y 22 conocidos
n1
22
n2
1 2 d 0
con y desconocid os
Pero aproximadamente
iguales, muestras
aleatorias pequeas
independientes de
tamao n1 y n2 (n1 30
y/o n2 30)
2
1
2
2
tc
sp
1 1
n1 n 2
( x1 x 2 ) d 0
g.l. n1 n2 2
( n1 1) S1 ( n 2 1) S 2
2
Sp =
n1 n 2 2
1 2 d 0
_
con y desconocid os
Pero aproximadamente
iguales, muestras
aleatorias
independientes de
tamao n1 y n2 ambos >
30 (n1 > 30 y n2 > 30)
1 2 d 0
2
1
2
2
Zc
(x 1 x 2 ) d 0
2
y distintos. Muestras
aleatorias pequeas
independientes de
tamao n1 y n2 (n1 30
y/o n2 30)
S1 S 2
n1
n2
Zc > Z1-/2
con 12 y 22 desconocid os
tc
1 2 d 0
tc <-tn1+n2-2;
1 2 d 0
tc > tn1+n2-2 ;
1 2 d 0
( x1 x 2 ) d 0
S12 S 22
n1 n2
2
s12 s22
n n
con v = 12 2 2 g.l.
s12
s22
n1 n2
n1 1 n2 1
BAIN052
12 22
n1
S12
n 1
Fc 1
n2
S 22
n2 1
UACH-2011
12 22
Fc Fn1 1;n2 1;
12 22
12 22
Fc F
n1 1;n2 1;
Fc F
n1 1;n2 1;1
p1-p2 = p0
Zc
( p 1 p 2 ) p0
p 1 (1 p 1 ) p 2 (1 p 2 )
n1
n2
p1 p2 p0
Zc < -Z
p1 p2 p0
Zc > Z
p1 p2 p0
Zc < -Z/2
Zc > Z1-/2
BAIN052
UACH-2011
TABLA NORMAL
Z
-3.5
-3.4
-3.3
-3.2
-3.1
-3.0
.00
0.0002
0.0003
0.0005
0.0007
0.0010
0.0013
.01
0.0002
0.0003
0.0005
0.0007
0.0009
0.0013
.02
0.0002
0.0003
0.0005
0.0006
0.0009
0.0013
.03
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0006
0.0009
0.0012
.04
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0006
0.0008
0.0012
.05
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0006
0.0008
0.0011
.06
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0006
0.0008
0.0011
.07
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0005
0.0008
0.0011
.08
0.0002
0.0003
0.0004
0.0005
0.0007
0.0010
.09
0.0002
0.0002
0.0003
0.0005
0.0007
0.0010
-2.9
-2.8
-2.7
-2.6
-2.5
-2.4
-2.3
-2.2
-2.1
-2.0
0.0019
0.0026
0.0035
0.0047
0.0062
0.0082
0.0107
0.0139
0.0179
0.0228
0.0018
0.0025
0.0034
0.0045
0.0060
0.0080
0.0104
0.0136
0.0174
0.0222
0.0018
0.0024
0.0033
0.0044
0.0059
0.0078
0.0102
0.0132
0.0170
0.0217
0.0017
0.0023
0.0032
0.0043
0.0057
0.0075
0.0099
0.0129
0.0166
0.0212
0.0016
0.0023
0.0031
0.0041
0.0055
0.0073
0.0096
0.0125
0.0162
0.0207
0.0016
0.0022
0.0030
0.0040
0.0054
0.0071
0.0094
0.0122
0.0158
0.0202
0.0015
0.0021
0.0029
0.0039
0.0052
0.0069
0.0091
0.0119
0.0154
0.0197
0.0015
0.0021
0.0028
0.0038
0.0051
0.0068
0.0089
0.0116
0.0150
0.0192
0.0014
0.0020
0.0027
0.0037
0.0049
0.0066
0.0087
0.0113
0.0146
0.0188
0.0014
0.0019
0.0026
0.0036
0.0048
0.0064
0.0084
0.0110
0.0143
0.0183
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
0.0287
0.0359
0.0446
0.0548
0.0668
0.0808
0.0968
0.1151
0.1357
0.1587
0.0281
0.0351
0.0436
0.0537
0.0655
0.0793
0.0951
0.1131
0.1335
0.1562
0.0274
0.0344
0.0427
0.0526
0.0643
0.0778
0.0934
0.1112
0.1314
0.1539
0.0268
0.0336
0.0418
0.0516
0.0630
0.0764
0.0918
0.1093
0.1292
0.1515
0.0262
0.0329
0.0409
0.0505
0.0618
0.0749
0.0901
0.1075
0.1271
0.1492
0.0256
0.0322
0.0401
0.0495
0.0606
0.0735
0.0885
0.1056
0.1251
0.1469
0.0250
0.0314
0.0392
0.0485
0.0594
0.0721
0.0869
0.1038
0.1230
0.1446
0.0244
0.0307
0.0384
0.0475
0.0582
0.0708
0.0853
0.1020
0.1210
0.1423
0.0239
0.0301
0.0375
0.0465
0.0571
0.0694
0.0838
0.1003
0.1190
0.1401
0.0233
0.0294
0.0367
0.0455
0.0559
0.0681
0.0823
0.0985
0.1170
0.1379
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
-0.0
0.1841
0.2119
0.2420
0.2743
0.3085
0.3446
0.3821
0.4207
0.4602
0.5000
0.1814
0.2090
0.2389
0.2709
0.3050
0.3409
0.3783
0.4168
0.4562
0.4960
0.1788
0.2061
0.2358
0.2676
0.3015
0.3372
0.3745
0.4129
0.4522
0.4920
0.1762
0.2033
0.2327
0.2643
0.2981
0.3336
0.3707
0.4090
0.4483
0.4880
0.1736
0.2005
0.2297
0.2611
0.2946
0.3300
0.3669
0.4052
0.4443
0.4840
0.1711
0.1977
0.2266
0.2578
0.2912
0.3264
0.3632
0.4013
0.4404
0.4801
0.1685
0.1949
0.2236
0.2546
0.2877
0.3228
0.3594
0.3974
0.4364
0.4761
0.1660
0.1922
0.2206
0.2514
0.2843
0.3192
0.3557
0.3936
0.4325
0.4721
0.1635
0.1894
0.2177
0.2483
0.2810
0.3156
0.3520
0.3897
0.4286
0.4681
0.1611
0.1867
0.2148
0.2451
0.2776
0.3121
0.3483
0.3859
0.4247
0.4641
BAIN052
UACH-2011
Z
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
.00
0.5000
0.5398
0.5793
0.6179
0.6554
0.6915
0.7257
0.7580
0.7881
0.8159
.01
0.5040
0.5438
0.5832
0.6217
0.6591
0.6950
0.7291
0.7611
0.7910
0.8186
.02
0.5080
0.5478
0.5871
0.6255
0.6628
0.6985
0.7324
0.7642
0.7939
0.8212
.03
0.5120
0.5517
0.5910
0.6293
0.6664
0.7019
0.7357
0.7673
0.7967
0.8238
.04
0.5160
0.5557
0.5948
0.6331
0.6700
0.7054
0.7389
0.7703
0.7995
0.8264
.05
0.5199
0.5596
0.5987
0.6368
0.6736
0.7088
0.7422
0.7734
0.8023
0.8289
.06
0.5239
0.5636
0.6026
0.6406
0.6772
0.7123
0.7454
0.7764
0.8051
0.8315
.07
0.5279
0.5675
0.6064
0.6443
0.6808
0.7157
0.7486
0.7794
0.8078
0.8340
.08
0.5319
0.5714
0.6103
0.6480
0.6844
0.7190
0.7517
0.7823
0.8106
0.8365
.09
0.5359
0.5753
0.6141
0.6517
0.6879
0.7224
0.7549
0.7852
0.8133
0.8389
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
0.8413
0.8643
0.8849
0.9032
0.9192
0.9332
0.9452
0.9554
0.9641
0.9713
0.8438
0.8665
0.8869
0.9049
0.9207
0.9345
0.9463
0.9564
0.9649
0.9719
0.8461
0.8686
0.8888
0.9066
0.9222
0.9357
0.9474
0.9573
0.9656
0.9726
0.8485
0.8708
0.8907
0.9082
0.9236
0.9370
0.9484
0.9582
0.9664
0.9732
0.8508
0.8729
0.8925
0.9099
0.9251
0.9382
0.9495
0.9591
0.9671
0.9738
0.8531
0.8749
0.8944
0.9115
0.9265
0.9394
0.9505
0.9599
0.9678
0.9744
0.8554
0.8770
0.8962
0.9131
0.9279
0.9406
0.9515
0.9608
0.9686
0.9750
0.8577
0.8790
0.8980
0.9147
0.9292
0.9418
0.9525
0.9616
0.9693
0.9756
0.8599
0.8810
0.8997
0.9162
0.9306
0.9429
0.9535
0.9625
0.9699
0.9761
0.8621
0.8830
0.9015
0.9177
0.9319
0.9441
0.9545
0.9633
0.9706
0.9767
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
0.9772
0.9821
0.9861
0.9893
0.9918
0.9938
0.9953
0.9965
0.9974
0.9981
0.9778
0.9826
0.9864
0.9896
0.9920
0.9940
0.9955
0.9966
0.9975
0.9982
0.9783
0.9830
0.9868
0.9898
0.9922
0.9941
0.9956
0.9967
0.9976
0.9982
0.9788
0.9834
0.9871
0.9901
0.9925
0.9943
0.9957
0.9968
0.9977
0.9983
0.9793
0.9838
0.9875
0.9904
0.9927
0.9945
0.9959
0.9969
0.9977
0.9984
0.9798
0.9842
0.9878
0.9906
0.9929
0.9946
0.9960
0.9970
0.9978
0.9984
0.9803
0.9846
0.9881
0.9909
0.9931
0.9948
0.9961
0.9971
0.9979
0.9985
0.9808
0.9850
0.9884
0.9911
0.9932
0.9949
0.9962
0.9972
0.9979
0.9985
0.9812
0.9854
0.9887
0.9913
0.9934
0.9951
0.9963
0.9973
0.9980
0.9986
0.9817
0.9857
0.9890
0.9916
0.9936
0.9952
0.9964
0.9974
0.9981
0.9986
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
0.9987
0.9990
0.9993
0.9995
0.9997
0.9998
0.9987
0.9991
0.9993
0.9995
0.9997
0.9998
0.9987
0.9991
0.9994
0.9995
0.9997
0.9998
0.9988
0.9991
0.9994
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9988
0.9992
0.9994
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9989
0.9992
0.9994
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9989
0.9992
0.9994
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9989
0.9992
0.9995
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9990
0.9993
0.9995
0.9996
0.9997
0.9998
0.9990
0.9993
0.9995
0.9997
0.9998
0.9998
BAIN052
UACH-2011
0.75
0.90
0.95
0.975
0.99
0.995
1
2
3
4
5
1.0000
0.8165
0.7649
0.7407
0.7267
3.0777
1.8856
1.6377
1.5332
1.4759
6.3138
2.9200
2.3534
2.1318
2.0150
12.7062
4.3027
3.1824
2.7764
2.5706
31.8207
6.9646
4.5407
3.7469
3.3649
63.6574
9.9248
5.8409
4.6041
4.0322
6
7
8
9
10
0.7176
0.7111
0.7064
0.7027
0.6998
1.4398
1.4149
1.3968
1.3830
1.3722
1.9432
1.8946
1.8595
1.8331
1.8125
2.4469
2.3646
2.3060
2.2622
2.2281
3.1427
2.9980
2.8965
2.8214
2.7638
3.7074
3.4995
3.3554
3.2498
3.1693
11
12
13
14
15
0.6974
0.6955
0.6938
0.6924
0.6912
1.3634
1.3562
1.3502
1.3450
1.3406
1.7959
1.7823
1.7709
1.7613
1.7531
2.2010
2.1788
2.1604
2.1448
2.1315
2.7181
2.6810
2.6503
2.6245
2.6025
3.1058
3.0545
3.0123
2.9768
2.9467
16
17
18
19
20
0.6901
0.6892
0.6884
0.6876
0.6870
1.3368
1.3334
1.3304
1.3277
1.3253
1.7459
1.7396
1.7341
1.7291
1.7247
2.1199
2.1098
2.1009
2.0930
2.0860
2.5835
2.5669
2.5524
2.5395
2.5280
2.9208
2.8982
2.8784
2.8609
2.8453
21
22
23
24
25
0.6864
0.6858
0.6853
0.6848
0.6844
1.3232
1.3212
1.3195
1.3178
1.3163
1.7207
1.7171
1.7139
1.7109
1.7081
2.0796
2.0739
2.0687
2.0639
2.0595
2.5177
2.5083
2.4999
2.4922
2.4851
2.8314
2.8188
2.8073
2.7969
2.7874
26
27
28
29
30
0.6840
0.6837
0.6834
0.6830
0.6828
1.3150
1.3137
1.3125
1.3114
1.3104
1.7056
1.7033
1.7011
1.6991
1.6973
2.0555
2.0518
2.0484
2.0452
2.0423
2.4786
2.4727
2.4671
2.4620
2.4573
2.7787
2.7707
2.7633
2.7564
2.7500
31
32
33
34
35
0.6825
0.6822
0.6820
0.6818
0.6816
1.3095
1.3086
1.3077
1.3070
1.3062
1.6955
1.6939
1.6924
1.6909
1.6896
2.0395
2.0369
2.0345
2.0322
2.0301
2.4528
2.4487
2.4448
2.4411
2.4377
2.7440
2.7385
2.7333
2.7284
2.7238
36
37
38
39
40
0.6814
0.6812
0.6810
0.6808
0.6807
1.3055
1.3049
1.3042
1.3036
1.3031
1.6883
1.6871
1.6860
1.6849
1.6839
2.0281
2.0262
2.0244
2.0227
2.0211
2.4345
2.4314
2.4286
2.4258
2.4233
2.7195
2.7154
2.7116
2.7079
2.7045