Presented By: Madhu Priti Sharma: Faculty: Mr. Meenakshi Arora Date: 26 March 2012
Presented By: Madhu Priti Sharma: Faculty: Mr. Meenakshi Arora Date: 26 March 2012
It is the process of designing a model of a real system and conducting experiments with this model for the purpose of understanding the behaviour for the operation of the system.
A book store wishes to carry a particular book in stock. Demand is probabilistic & replenishment of stock takes 2 days. Each time an order is placed, the store incurs, An ordering cost = Rs 10 per day. Carrying cost Rs 0.05 per day. The inventory carrying cost is calculated on the basis of stock at the end of each day. The manager of the book store wishes to compare two options for his inventory decision.
Source: Wikipedia
Given:
The probabilities of demand are given below:
Demand(daily)
0 0.05 1 0.10 2 0.30 3 0.45 4 0.10
probability
The two digit random numbers are: 89, 34, 78, 63, 61, 81, 39, 16, 13, 73
Order 5 books when the inventory at the beginning of the day plus orders outstanding is less than books. Order 6 books when the inventory at the beginning of the day plus orders outstanding is less than 8. Using Monte carlo simulatio for 10 cycles, recommend which option the manager should choose.