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Consumer Effect: Assumptions

Consumer Effect Assumptions 1. The consumer effect is closely related to the economic effect. 2. Applies to discretionary DRGs / OPCs only. 3. Grows over the decade by an SG-2 determined curve.

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122 views4 pages

Consumer Effect: Assumptions

Consumer Effect Assumptions 1. The consumer effect is closely related to the economic effect. 2. Applies to discretionary DRGs / OPCs only. 3. Grows over the decade by an SG-2 determined curve.

Uploaded by

ogangurel
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Consumer Effect SG-2 Technical Brief

Assumptions
1. The consumer effect is closely related to the economic effect.
2. Applies to discretionary DRGs/OPCs only
3. Grows over the decade by an SG-2 determined curve

Approach:
1. Convolute D's from economic analysis with the SG-2 Consumerism curve.
2. These are the new rates
3. Apply only to discretionary DRGs (non-Medicare fraction) or discretionary OPCs (total fraction)

Consumerism Curve Chart

12.

10.

8.
Fractional Impact

6.

4.

2.

.
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

DRG DRG Description Discretionary DRG?


1.00 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma N
1.10 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma N
2.00 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N
2.10 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N
3.00 Craniotomy Age 0-17 N
3.10 Craniotomy Age 0-17 N
4.00 Spinal Proc N
4.10 Spinal Proc N
5.00 Extracranial Vascular Procs N
5.10 Extracranial Vascular Procs N
6.00 Carpal Tunnel Release Y
6.10 Carpal Tunnel Release Y

The Impact of Change™


The Impact of Change™
Results:

Population / Consumerism "Wedge"


NHDS National 2000 - 2010 SG-2 Forecast

250

Consumerism
200 Population

150

100

50

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
2006
2007 2008
2009
2010

Consumerism Effect Detail

157,500

157,400

157,300

157,200

157,100

157,000

156,900
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

The Impact of Change™


Future Work:

1. How to integrate with the formal "Payment" series.


2. Reevuate our analysis
3. Localization?

The Impact of Change™

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