Appendix One: Demographic Analysis: Table of Contents
Appendix One: Demographic Analysis: Table of Contents
Appendix One:
Demographic Analysis
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Population & Households (2005) 2 Household Income (2004) 26
Structure Types (2005) 3 Housing Tenure 28
Growth Forecast (2005‐2030) 5 Housing Costs 29
Age 6 Car Ownership 31
Race & Hispanic Origin 8 Computer Ownership 31
Educational Attainment 10
Employment 12
Commute Alternatives 14
Household/Family Type 16
Household Mobility 18
In‐Mover Households 20
Foreign Born 22
Language Ability 24
1
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS (2005)
Montgomery County has nearly one million people (931,000)
residing in 350,000 households. Over three‐quarters (77%) of
County residents live in single‐family (detached and attached)
houses. The remaining 23% live in multi‐family structures (garden
and high‐rise apartments).
On average, households contain 2.66 people in Montgomery
County. Single‐family homes contain the highest average number
of people (3.08 for a single‐family detached house and 2.69 people
for a townhouse). High‐rise apartments on average contain fewer
than 2 persons.
Average Household Size
Persons Per Household
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Montgomery County 2.66
Single‐Family Detached 3.08
Townhouse 2.69
Garden Apt. 2.16
High Rise 1.56
2
STRUCTURE TYPES (2005)
Overwhelmingly, the majority of County residents live in single‐
family housing. Single‐family detached housing is the dominant Muti‐Family Household Type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
form of housing in the County, with 59% of residents. 77% of
residents live in either single‐family detached or attached housing. 7%
12%
Only a small proportion of County residents live in multi‐family 35%
Married‐Couple Families
housing . Of the 23% of County residents in multi‐family housing,
Householder Living Alone
the majority live in garden apartments. Only a very small share of
Single‐Parent Families
(6%) the total County population are in high‐rise apartments.
Other
The predominance of single‐family housing has increased the 46%
average household size. The overall average household size for the
County (2.66) is larger than the average household size for both
garden (2.16) and high‐rise (1.56) apartments.
Multi‐family housing attracts families. The combined number of
married couple and single parent families (47%) living in multi‐
family units exceeds those householders living alone (46%).
3
Household Size
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
4
GROWTH FORECAST (2005 TO 2030) Average household size of the new residents is 2.11. This is lower
than the current average household size (2.66). The smaller
The County is growing. County households are projected to household size is anticipated to continue to decline through 2030.
increase by 27% between 2005 and 2030. The Metropolitian Population Projections
2005‐2030
Washington Council of Governments (COG) Round 7.1 forecast Source: COG 7.1 Projections Population 1,095,600 1,126,200
1,021,500 1,060,400
projects that an additional 94,300 households will move into the 927,200
977,700
County during this time period. Household growth is projected to
occur at a declining rate, with the largest growth occurring between
2005 and 2010 (adding an additional 23,000 households or a 17%
growth rate).
Household Projections
Total Units, 2005‐2030
Source: COG 7.1 Forecasts Households 441,300 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
424,800
390,000
407,900
370,000
347,000
New households are anticipated to favor multi‐family units. About
72% of projected households are expected to be in multi‐family
units. Of the 94,300 households, 68,098 are projected to be multi‐
family.
New Households Single Family
by housing type, 2005‐2030 Multi‐Family
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: COG 7.1 Forecasts Households
County population is projected to grow the fastest between 2005
and 2015. COG projects 199,000 new residents. Similar to the
projected household growth, population is estimated to grow
fastest between 2005 and 2010. During that time period, the
County is expected to add 50,500 new residents (which is a 5%
growth rate). By contrast, between 2025 and 2030, the County is
projected to add 30,600 new residents (2.8% growth rate). 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
5
AGE
Montgomery County has a middle‐aged population. Nearly 51% of
Montgomery County’s population is between 30 and 64 years of Age Groups by Structure Type
Household Population Single‐Family Multi‐Family
age. This age group is in their prime child‐bearing/family raising and Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
83% 83%
income‐earning years. The other large age cohort is under 18 (26%
74%
of the County’s population). 71%
66%
Age Groups
Household Population
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
34%
11% 29%
26%
26% Under 18
18 to 29 17% 17%
28% 30 to 44
12% 45 to 64
65+
Under 18 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 64 65+
23%
Families have traditionally chosen single‐family homes. As the
County’s housing stock is primarily single‐family homes, it follows
that the majority of all age groups have chosen single‐family
housing. Multi‐family housing is most popular among young
working‐age adults and seniors.
Over one‐quarter of the County’s population is between the ages
of 45 and 64. As the population ages, Montgomery County will go
from seniors accounting for a small portion of the population to a
large share.
6
Population by Age Group
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
7
RACE & HISPANIC ORIGIN
The majority of Montgomery County’s population is white. About
Minority Share of the Population
64% of the County is white. African American residents are the by structure type 60%
second largest population accounting for 17% of the total Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
44%
Race & Ethnicity 40%
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
6%
13%
White
African American/Black
Asian/Pacific Islander
17%
Other
64%
Montgomery County Single‐Family Muti‐Family
population.
The minority population is disproportionately located in multi‐
family households. The minority population makes up 44% of the
total County population. However, minorities account for only 40%
of single‐family households and 60% of multi‐family households.
Asian/Pacific Islander residents are the only minority group, where
this trend does not hold. Approximately 14% of single‐family
households are occupied by Asian/Pacific Islander households,
whereas 11% of multi‐family households have residents of
Asian/Pacific Islander descent.
8
Race & Ethnicity
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Montgomery County Single‐Family Muti‐Family
Household Population 931,000 719,900 211,100
White 64% 69% 47%
African American/Black 17% 12% 31%
Asian/Pacific Islander 13% 14% 11%
Other 6% 5% 10%
100% 100% 100%
Hispanic or Latino* 14% 13% 18%
*may be any race
9
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
Graduate, Professional or Doctoral Degrees
Montgomery County residents are well‐educated. Roughly 70% of Share of Population Age 25 and Over
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
residents (over the age of 25) have a degree beyond high school
education. 64% of residents have either a bachelor’s or post‐
graduate degree. Multi‐Family 28%
Educational Attainment
Population Age 25 and Over
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey Less than High School Single‐Family 37%
8% High School
Bachelor's Degree
6%
Graduate, Professional or
Doctoral Degree
29%
Post‐graduate degree holders are likely to live in multi‐family
housing. About 28% of all adults age 25 and over living in multi‐
family units in the County hold graduate, professional or doctoral
degrees. Even though post‐graduate degree holders make up a
larger share of single‐family housing dwellers age 25+ (37%), it is
important to note that they make up a significant share of residents
living in multi‐family housing.
8% of County residents do not have a high school diploma. These
residents account for 11% of adult‐age multi‐family and 7% of
single‐family housing residents.
10
Educational Attainment
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
Montgomery County Single‐Family Muti‐Family
Population 25 years and older 624,025 471,500 152,525
Less than High School 8% 7% 11%
High School 22% 21% 28%
Associate or Trade School 6% 6% 8%
Bachelor's Degree 29% 29% 26%
Graduate, Professional or Doctoral Degree 35% 37% 28%
11
EMPLOYMENT 22% for single‐family and the multi‐family average). High‐rise
buildings tend to follow the major transit routes in the County
Residents of multi‐family units have a higher labor participation
rate than residents of single‐family units. About 59% of residents Work Location of Resident Labor Force Montgomery County
Employed Residents Age 16 and Over
age 16 and over living in multi‐family units are in the labor force Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Single‐Family
compared with 56% of residents in single‐family units. 70% Muti‐Family
60% 60%60%
60%
Share of Workforce Housing
Share of employed residents by product type 50%
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey 59%
57% 40%
56%
30% 23%
22% 21%
20% 17% 18%17%
10%
1% 1% 1%
0%
Within Montgomery Washington, D.C. Other Maryland Outside DC region
County county or Virginia
(namely the Metro Red Line and MARC) that are oriented to the
Montgomery County Single‐Family Muti‐Family
District.
68% of females are participating in the labor force. In both single‐
family and multi‐family housing, 68% of females are employed.
Multi‐family units house the largest percentage of women who have
children under the age of 6 and work. (72% compared to the
countywide average of 68.5%.)
Most Montgomery County residents work within the County.
Work locations are very similar among both single‐family and multi‐
family residents.
High‐rise residents are much more likely to work in the District.
About 33% of high‐rise residents work in the district (compared to
12
Employment
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
13
COMMUTE ALTERNATIVES limited cross‐county transit alternatives. The only cross‐County rail
alternative is MARC, which has limited service and runs from
Multi‐family households are more likely to opt away from driving Germantown to Silver Spring. Otherwise, cross‐County public
alone to work than their single‐family counterparts. While the transportation options are limited to the bus. It has historically
majority of all commuters drive alone, multi‐family residents are been difficult to convince choice riders (those who own cars) to give
more likely to take public transit, walk, bike or carpool to work than
single‐family residents. (34% versus 21%) Average Commute Time (In Minutes)
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Commute Alternatives 50
Share of Employed Residents Age 16 and Over 48
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update
45
4% 5% 2%
8% 8% 9%
30 Montgomery County
15% 13% 29 28
25% Work at home
Single‐Family
Walk/bike/carpool /other
Muti‐Family
Public transit/rail
72% 74%
64% Drive alone
On average commuters via public transportation spend roughly 20
extra minutes on their commutes. As most employed residents in
Montgomery County work in the County, this could be a factor of
14
Commute Characteristics
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
15
HOUSEHOLD/FAMILY TYPE County’s households have 3+ members, 56% of single‐family
households and 24% of multi‐family households have 3+ people.
The majority of households in the County are married couple
families. Married couple families are disproportionately in single‐ Families with 3 or More Members
family homes (74% of households in single‐family homes are Share of Households with More than 2 Members
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
married couple families. 62% of the County’s households are
married couple families, either with or without children.) Only 10%
Montgomery County 46%
of the County’s households are single parent households.
Household Types
by structure type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Muti‐Family 24%
5% 3% 7%
10% 10%
12%
14%
24% Other
46% Single‐Parent Families Single‐Family 56%
Householder Living Alone
74%
62% Married‐Couple Families
35%
Multi‐family households are more varied than single‐family
households. Single‐family households are skewed heavily towards
one household type (married‐couple families). No one type of
family represents a majority in multi‐family households: 35% of
multi‐family households are married couples, 46% householders
living alone, 12% single‐parent families, and 7% other families.
Families with 3+ members are far more likely to live in single‐
family housing than in multi‐family housing. Nearly 46% of the
16
Household/Family Type
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
17
HOUSEHOLD MOBILITY County. As owners tend to remain in their residence much longer
than renters, it is no surprise that single‐family housing has a much
Montgomery County households are generally stable. longer median length of residency.
Montgomery County households on average have been in their
residence for 6 years. Single‐family households are in their homes
for an average of 9 years, compared with 3 years for multi‐family
households. There is a discrepancy in length of time in residence
between single‐family attached and single‐family detached
households. The median number of years a single‐family detached
home was in place was 11 years. The median number of years for
single‐family attached was much lower at 5 years. There was little
difference between garden and high‐rise apartments (3 and 4 years
respectively).
Median Years Households Have Been in Place
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Muti‐Family 3
Single‐Family 9
Montgomery County 6
The difference in median length of time in household unit can be
linked to tenure. The vast majority of single‐family homes are
owner‐occupied (upwards of 90%), whereas multi‐family housing
makes up the majority of renter‐occupied housing stock in the
18
Household Mobility
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
19
IN‐MOVER HOUSEHOLDS
The majority of in‐mover households are choosing multi‐family Residence in 2000 Montgomery County
housing. About 60% of in‐mover households are located in multi‐ Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey Single‐Family
family housing, while 40% are in single‐family housing. 67%
58% Muti‐Family
In‐Mover Households 37%
by structure type
27%
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey 22%20% 23%
12%
4% 3% 8% 4% 3% 6% 7%
The County had a large number of in‐movers between 2000 and
2005. Almost 20% of the County’s households are new to
Montgomery County. The majority of in‐mover households came
from outside the metropolitan area (12% versus 4% from Maryland
and 4% from D.C./Virginia).
In‐movers from outside the metropolitan area overwhelmingly
chose multi‐family housing. Roughly 23% of in‐mover multi‐family
households were not living in the Washington D.C. metropolitan
area in 2000, compared with 7% of in‐mover single‐family houses.
In‐movers from elsewhere in the County are also more likely to
occupy multi‐family housing (27% versus 20%).
20
In‐Mover Households
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
21
FOREIGN BORN
Montgomery County has a large foreign‐born population. Roughly Foreign Born Households
one‐third of Montgomery County households have a foreign born by structure type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
head of household or spouse.
Single‐family households and multi‐family households have a
similar proportion of foreign born households. Almost 34% of
single‐family households have a foreign born head of household or Muti‐Family,
31%
spouse. 38% of multi‐family households have a foreign born head
or household or spouse. Single‐Family,
69%
Foreign born households are much more likely to live in single‐
family housing. Only about one‐third of foreign born households
live in multi‐family households.
Foreign‐Born Households
by housing type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Muti‐Family 38%
Single‐Family 34%
Montgomery County 35%
22
Foreign Born Households
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
23
LANGUAGE ABILITY The County has a fair amount of Spanish speaking households. Of
the 13% of County households that speak Spanish, 12% of single‐
Many Montgomery County residents speak a language other than family households speak Spanish and 14% of multi‐family
English at home. One in three Montgomery County residents speak households speak Spanish.
a language other than English at home.
Spanish speaking households are found overwhelmingly in single‐
Foreign Language Speakers family households. Almost 65% of Spanish speaking households are
Share of Population Speaking a Language Other Than English at in single‐family housing units, with the remaining 35% in multi‐
Home
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update family units.
Muti‐Family 42%
Spanish Speaking Households
by structure type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Single‐Family 34%
Montgomery County 35%
Muti‐Family,
35%
Single‐Family,
65%
Multi‐family residents are more likely to speak a language other
than English. About 42% of multi‐family residents (age five and
older) speak a language other than English compared to 34% of
single‐family residents.
Proficiency level in English differs by housing type. Almost 10% of
County residents (age five and older) speak English less than ‘very
well’. The rate of single‐family residents speaking English less than
‘very well’ is 9%. The rate increases to 14% for multi‐family
residents.
24
Language Ability
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
25
HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2004)
Montgomery County is an affluent county. The median household Household Income Groups Montgomery County
income in the County is $83,880. This is nearly twice the median Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Single‐Family
household income for the United States. The United States had a Muti‐Family
39% 40% 38%
median household income of $44,684 in 2004 (2004 American
34% 33%
Community Survey, US Census). 30%
26%
There is a large income‐gap between single‐family and multi‐ 19%
14% 15%
family households. Single‐family households have a median 11%
household income of $106,242. Whereas, at $48,463, the median 2%
household income of multi‐family households was more in line with
the national median. Less than $50,000 $50,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $200,000+
$199,000
Median Household Income (2004)
by structure type
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Muti‐Family $48,463
Single‐Family $106,242
Montgomery County $83,880
The distribution of higher‐income households are skewed towards
single‐family households. Roughly 79% of multi‐family households
earn less than $100,000 and 53% of single‐family households earn
more than $100,000.
26
Household Income (2004)
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
27
HOUSING TENURE
The majority of County households own their own home. Almost Homeownership Rate
75% of households are homeowners. Share of Households that Own their Own Home
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
There is a home ownership gap between single‐family and multi‐
family households. While 94% of single‐family households own Muti‐Family 29.6%
their own home, only 30% of multi‐family households own their
own home.
Single‐Family 94.3%
The ownership gap may be narrowing. Multi‐family housing has
traditionally been a rental product. While this is still the case in the
majority of multi‐family buildings, in recent years ownership of Montgomery County 74.3%
multi‐family units has been increasing through an increased number
of new condominium buildings, as well as conversion of older
apartment buildings into condominiums.
28
HOUSING COSTS
Homeownership costs represent a larger share of household
Households Spending +30% of Income on Housing Renters
income for renters than owners. Renters are more likely to spend Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey Homeowners
greater than 30% of income on housing. Countywide, 41% of
renters are spending more than 30% of household income on 42%
Muti‐Family
housing, compared with 17% of owners. This data was collected 22%
prior to the ongoing foreclosure crisis. It is anticipated that the
percent of homeowners with a housing burden (paying greater than 34%
Single‐Family
16%
30% of their household income) will increase dramatically in the
2007 Census Update Survey.
41%
Montgomery County
17%
Multi‐family households are more likely to have a housing burden
than single‐family households. This is regardless of tenure. About
42% of multi‐family renter households spend more than 30% of
their income on housing compared with 34% of single‐family renter
households. Almost 22% of multi‐family owners are housing
burdened compared with 16% of single‐family owners.
29
Household Tenure and Housing Costs
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
30
CAR OWNERSHIP high‐rise households live alone (60%), which eliminates the need for
additional cars.
Montgomery County has a high car ownership rate. County
households own on average 1.9 cars. The predominance of single‐ COMPUTER OWNERSHIP
family households drives up car ownership rates. Single‐family
households own on average 2.2 cars, while multi‐family households The majority of Montgomery County households own at least one
own on average 1.2 cars. computer. About 89% of County households own one or more
computers. Computer ownership rates are near 100% for single‐
Car Ownership family households (93%). While multi‐family household computer
Average Cars per Household
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey ownership rates are lower (79%), they are still relatively high. This
indicates a technologically savvy County population.
Muti‐Family 1.2
Computer Ownership
Share of Households With at Least One Computer
Source: M‐NCPPC 2005 Census Update Survey
Single‐Family 2.2
Muti‐Family 79%
Montgomery County 1.9
Single‐Family 93%
High‐rise households have the lowest car ownership rate. (1 car
per household, compared to 1.3 cars per garden apartment Montgomery County 89%
household, 1.8 cars per single‐family attached household, and 2.3
cars per single‐family detached household.)
The low rate of car ownership among high‐rise households is due
to several factors. High‐rise buildings are typically located
proximate to fixed rail transit (Metro red line). High‐rise buildings
tend to charge for parking spaces (both rental and for‐sale
buildings), which discourages car ownership, and a large percent of
31
Technology Ownership
Source: 2005 Census Update Survey
32