Statistik BAB2 Jilid2

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DISTRIBUSI TEORITIS

1. DistribusiProbabilitas Binomial (p=0,5, q=0,5


n=10)
Pr(x) = n!x!n-x!pxqn-x
x
n-x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Pr(x)
1(0,5)0(0,5)10=0,0009
10(0,5)1(0,5)9=0,0049
45(0,5)2(0,5)8=0,0439
120(0,5)3(0,5)7=0,1172
210(0,5)4(0,5)6 =0,2051
252(0,5)5(0,5)5=0,2461
210(0,5)6(0,5)4=0,2051
120(0,5)7(0,5)3=0,1172
45(0,5)8(0,5)2=0,0439
10(0,5)9(0,5)1=0,0049
1(0,5)10(0,5)0= 0,0009

10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

a. P(x7)= pr(7)+pr(8)+pr(9)+pr(10)
= 0,1172+0,0439+0,0049+0,0009
= 0,1669

b. P(x4) =
pr(4)+pr(5)+pr(6)+pr(7)+pr(8)+pr(9)+pr(10)
=
0,2051+0,2461+0,2051+0,1172+0,043
9+0,0049+0,0009
= 0,7732

c. P(x1),P(x9)

=
pr(1)+pr(2)+pr(3)+pr(4)+pr(5)+pr(6)+pr(7)+
pr(8)+pr(9)+pr(10)
=
0,0009+0,0049+0,0439+0,117
2+0,2051+0,2461+0,2051+
0,1172+0,0439+0,0049+0,000
9
= 0,9382

1. DistribusiProbabilitas Binomial (p=0,9, q=0,1,


n=5)
Pr(x) = n!x!n-x!pxqn-x
x

n-x

Pr(x)

0,00001

0,00045

0,0162

0,0729

0,32805

0,59049

a. Probabilitasbahwa 1 barangrusak, x=4


P(x=3) = pr(3) = 0,0729

b. Probabilitas bahwa paling sedikit ada 2


yang rusak
P(x3) = pr(0)+ pr(1) + pr(2) + pr(3)
=
0,00001+0,00045+0,0162+0,072
9
= 0,40095
c. Probabilitasbahwa yang rusak 1 atau 2
buah
P(3x4) = pr(3) + pr(4)
= 0,0729+0,32805
= 0,40095
d. Probabilitasbahwa paling sedikitada 1 yang
rusak
P(x4)
= 1 pr(5)
= 1 0,59049
= 0,40951

1. X mengikutidistribusi Binomial dengan n = 4, p


= 0,6
Pr(x) = n!x!n-x!pxqn-x
a. Ysemua x. pr(x) = 1, untuk semua x.
x
0
1
2
3
4

n-x

Pr(x)

4
3
2
1
0

0,0256
0,1536
0,3456
0,3456
0,1296

F(x) =
P(X x)
0,0256
0,1792
0,5248
0,8704
1,0000

b. Tunjukkan E (x) = np.


E(x)
= xxpr (x)
= xxn!x!n-x! pxqn-x ,
di mana = 1, 2, 3, . . . , n.
X = Yi = Y1 +Y2 + . . . + Yn ,
di mana Yi = 1, kalau sukses
sehingga p (sukses) = p(1) = p
Yi = 0, kalau gagal
sehingga p (gagal) = p(0) = 1 p = q
E(Yi) = 1(p) + 0(1 p) = p + 0 = p, untuk
semua i,
E(Xi) =( Yi) = E (Yi) = E(Y1) + E(Y2)+ . . . =
E(Yn)
=p+p+...+p
= np
c. Tunjukkkan Var (x)= np (1 - p)
n = 4, p =0,6, q = 0,4
Var (x)
= npq = (4)(0,6)
(0.4)
= 0,96
Var (x) = np (1 - p)
0,96 = np np2
0,96 = (4)(0,6) (4)(0,6)2
0,96 = 2,4 1,44
0,96 = 0,96

1. n = 200, p = 0,2, = 0,4


Prx=()xe-x!
P(35X45) = pr(35)+ pr(36)+ pr(37)+
pr(38)+pr(39)+ pr(40)+ pr(41)+ pr(42)+
pr(43)+ pr(44)+ pr(45
=
0,0485+0,0539+0,0583+0,0614+0,06
295+0,06141+0,0585+0,0544+0,0495
+0,0440Type equation here.
= 0,61581

2. Prx=(1,8)xe-1,8x!, X=0,1,2,3,...
P (x=1)
= pr(1) =0,2975
P (x3)
= pr(3)+ pr(4)+ pr(5)+
pr(6)+ pr(7)+ pr(8)+ pr(9)
=
0,1607+0,0723+0,0260+0,0078+0,00
20+0,0005+0,0001
= 0,2154

3. Prx=()xe-x!
a) p = 0,008, n = 100, = 0,8
Pr(0) = 0,449
P(x1) = 1 pr(0)
= 1 0,449
= 0,551
b) p = 0,002, n = 3000, = 6
a. X = 0
P(X=0) = pr(0) = 0,0002
b. X = 1
P(X=1) = pr(1) = 0,0149
c. X = 2
P(X=2) = pr(2) = 0,0446
d. X = 3
P(X=3) = pr(3) = 0,0892
e. X = 4
P(X=4) = pr(4) = 0,1338
f. X = 5
P(X=5) = pr(5) = 0,1606
g. X = 5 atau X 5
P(X=5 atau X5)
= pr(5) + P(X5)
= 0,1606 +
0,7173
= 0,8779
h. X 5
i. P(X5)
=1
( pr(0)+ pr(1) + pr(2) + pr(3) pr(4))
=1
(0,0002+0,0149+0,0446
+0,0892+0,01338)
= 1 0,2827
= 0,77173

p= 0,1

q= 0,9

a) dengandiistribusi Binomial

Prx=n!x!n-x!pxqn-x
b) dengandistribusipoisson

Prx=xe-x!
=np=100,1=1
e=konstanta 2,71828
Pr(x)

Binomial

Poisson

Pr(1)

0,387

0,3678

Pr(2)

0,1937

0.1839

Pr(3)

0,05739

0,06131

Pr(4)

0,01116

0,01532

Pr(5)

0,001488

0,0030656

Pr(6)

0,00013778

0,000511

Pr(7)

0,000008748

0,00007299

Pr(8)

0,0000003645

0,000009124

Pr(9)

910-9

0,0000010137

Pr(10)

110-10

0,00000010137

c. Binomial

x==np=100,1=1
Varx=2=npq=10(0,1)(0,9)=0,9
Poisson

x==1
2==1

No.8
=10

2=16=4

Ditanya: P8X13?
Jawab:

No.7

X=8

X= banyaknyasukses

Z=X-=8-104=-0,5

n= 10

X=13

Z=X-=13-104=0,75

=0,1915+0,2734=0,4649

P8X13=P(-0,5Z0,75)

No.9

=P0Z0,5+P(0Z0,75)

a) =23

Bata
s
kelas

Nilai
Tenga
h

Batas
Bawah/
Atas

fr=f/
n

Fk

12,5
1315

14

10

0,05

17

20

20

0,1

-1,03
40

23

0,2

-0,34
60

0,3

26

40

0,2

2830

29

1,03
20

0,1

3133

32

1,72
10

33,5

0,05

0,034
7

6,94(=7)

0,108
8

0,143
5

21,76(=2
2)

0,215
4

0,358
9

43,08(=4
4)

0,266
2

0,625
1

53,24(=5
4)

0,215
4

0,840
5

43,08(=4
4)

0,108
8

0,949
3

21,76(=2
2)

0,034
7

1,00

6,94(=7)

0,348
5

0,457
3

1,0
0
2,41

0,034
7

0,133
1

0,9
5

30,5

Frekuensi
normal

0,133
1

0,8
5

27,5

Distr
Kom.
Norm
al

0,348
5

0,6
5
0,34

Fr
Norm
al

0,457
3

0,3
5

24,5
2527

0,492
0

0,1
5

21,5
2224

-2,41

-1,72

18,5
1921

P(0<Z
<[Z])

0,0
5

15,5
1618

=4,3474

0,492
0

200

1,00

b)

200

b)v=10
c)

Untuk

P(X23,24697)
Z=2X2-2v-1
No.10

Z=23,246972-210-1

a) =Rp 15.000
Ditanya:

=Rp 3.500

PX16260?

Jawab:

Z=6,4939-19
Z=2,548-4,358=-1,809
P(X23,24697)= P(Z-1,809)

Z=X-

=PZ0+P0Z1,809

Z=16260-150003500=0,36
PX16260=PZ0,36

=0,5+0,4649=0,9649
Untuk

=PZ0-PZ0,36

P(X220,483)

=0,5000-0,1406=0,3594

Z=2X2-2v-1

b)

n=16

=Rp 15.000=Rp 3.500

X~N(,2n)
Ditanya:

Z=220,4832-210-1
Z=40,966-19

PX16260?

Jawab:

Z=6,40-4,358=2,042
P(X220,483)=PZ2,042

Z=X-2n=16260-1500035004=1,44

=PZ0+P0Z2,042

PX16260=PZ1,44
=Z0-Z1,44
=0.5000-0,4251=0,0749

=0,5+0,4793=0,9793
No.12
v=10
a)P(X223,209)

No.11

Z=2X2-2v-1

a)v=30

Z=223,2092-210-1

Z=2X2-2v-1

Z=46,418-19

P(X243,733)
Z=243,7332-230-1
Z=87,466-59

Z=6,813-4,358=2,455
P(X223,209)=PZ2,455
=PZ0-PZ2,455

Z=9,352-7,681=1,67
P(X243,733)=PZ>0-PZ<1,693
=0,5-0,4525=0,0475

=0,5-0,4929=0,0071
b) P(X2>18,31)

Z=2X2-2v-1

Z=218,312-210-1

t = ( X - )/(s/n)

Z=36,62-19

= (15,5 15) / (4,2492 / 10)

Z=6,05-4,358=1,693

= 0,5 / 1,3437

P(X2>1,693)=PZ2,455

= 0,3721
__

=PZ>0-PZ<1,693

b) s2 = (Xi X )2/ (n 1)

=0,5-0,4545=0,0455
13.
Kai-kuadrat dengan derajat kebebasan v = 128.
Carilah P( X2> 162).
Jawab:

__
= (Xi )2 - n( X - )2/ (n 1)
J.Supranto hal 68)

(buku

Z = (2X2) - (2v 1)
= (Xi )2 n[st/n]2/ (n 1)

= 324 - 255
= 18 15,9688

s2 = (Xi )2 s2t2/ (n 1)

= 2,0312
P( X2> 162) = P(Z > 2,0312)

ns2 - s2 = (Xi )2 s2t2

= 0,4783
14.

Kalau ~ N (, 2), = 15, 2 = 9.


ns2 - s2 + s2t2 = (Xi )2

Berdasarkan suatu sampel acak sebesar n = 10,


1 = 9, 2 = 20, 3 = 16, 4 = 13, 5 = 10, 6 =
21,7 = 18,8 = 19, 9 = 12,10 = 17
__

__

a) Hitung t = ( X - )/(s/n) s2 = (Xi X )2/ (n


1)
__
b) Mengapa ( X - )/(s/n) mempunyai distribusi t
dengan derajat kebebasan v = n 1. (buktikan)

s2( t + n 1) = (Xi )2
15.

a) Dari soal nomor 14 hitunglah F1, (n 1) = t2 (n 1).

b) Kalau F mempunyai distribusi F dengan


kebebasan v1 = 5 dan v2 = 10. Cari a dan b sedemikian
rupa sehingga P(F a) = 0,05 dan P (F b) =
0,95 dengan demikian P (a < F < b) = 0,90
Jawab:
a) F1, 9 = (0,3721)2
= 0,13845841

Jawab:

__

a) s2 = (Xi X ) 2/ (n 1)
= (42,25 + 20,25 + 0,25 + 6,25 + 30,25 +
30,25 + 6,25 + 12,25 + 12,25 +2,25) / (10 1)
= 162,5 / 9
= 18,05556
= 4,2492

b) F (v2; v1) = F0,05 (10;5)


= 4,74
F (v1; v2) = 1 / 4,74
=0,21097
a =0,21097

__
P (F b) = 0,95

P (1/F 1/b) = 0,05


1 / F (v1; v2) = F (v2; v1)
= F0,05 (10,5)
b = 4,74
16.

A).

n=9

SA2=66

SB2=44

Xv12=8(66)A2

A2=B2

Xv22=8(44)B2

Fv1,v2=8(66)A2(8)8(44)B2(8)=6644=1,5
B).

v1=v2=8

=0,05

B).

=100

Denganmelihat table Distribusi F dengan


=0,05, nilai v1=v2=8 maka di dapat F=3,44
17).

(0,25)1(0,75)4+0,2637+0,08
79+0,0146
=
0,2373+0,3955+0,2637+0,
0879+0,0146
= 0,999
P(1X5)
=
P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)+
P(X=5)
=
0,3955+0,2637+0,08
79+0,0146+0,0010
= 0,7627
X=N(,)

v1=v2=15
P(F=SA2SB22,40)=P(F2,40)=

Denganmelihat table Distribusi F dengannilai


v1=v2=8, nilai 2,40ditemukanpadaTabelDistribusi
F 0,05. Sehinggadidapatnilai =0,05
18.

P(x)=(e-2.2x)/x! => P(x)=(e-.x)/x!

E(X)=xPr(x) = x. (e-.x)/x! = = 2
E[X-E(X)]2 = E(X-)2 = (x-2). (e-.x)/x! = =2
19.
A).
(0,1,2,3,4,5)

X = banyaknyabarang yang rusak

=10
P(X105)
X=105
Z=510=0,5
P(Z0,5) = P(Z0) P(Z0,5)
= 0,5 - 0,1915
= 0,3085
P(X95)
X=95
Z=-510=-0,5
P(Z-0,5) = P(0Z0,5) + P(Z0)
= 0,1915 + 0,5
= 0,6915
P(98X107)
X=98
Z=-210=-0,2
X=107
Z=710=0,7
P(-0,2Z0,7) = P(0Z0,2) +
P(0Z0,7)
= 0,0793 + 0,2580
= 0,3373

p = 0,25
C).

q = 0.75

P(X=3)
= 5!3!5-3!
3
2
(0,25) (0,75)
= 10(0,015625)(0,5625)
= 0,0879
20.
P(x)=5!x!5-x!(14)x(34)5-x
P(X2)=
P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)+P(X=5)
X=0,1,2,3,4,5
= 5!2!5-2!
A).
E(X)=XPrX
(0,25)2(0,75)3+0,0879+5!4!
4
1
5-4!(0,25) (0,75) +5!5!0!
(0,25)5(0,75)0
=0Pr(0)+1Pr(1)+2Pr(2)+3Pr(3)+4Pr(4)+5Pr(5)
=
0,2637+0,0879+0,0146+0,0010
=0(1)(1)(0,75)5+1(5)(0,25)
= 0,3672

(0,75)4+2(10)(0,25)2(0,75)3+3(10)(0,25)3(0,75)2+

4(5)(0,25)4(0,75)1+5(1)(0,25)5(1)
P(X4)=
P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+
P(X=4)
=0+0,3955+0,5273+0,2637+0,0586+0,0049
= 5!0!5!(0,25)0(0,75)5+5!1!
=1,25
4!

E(X-1,25)2=(X-1,25)2Pr(X)

=(-1,25)2(0,2373)+(2
2
0,25) (0,3955)+(0,75) (0,2637)+(1,75)2(0,0879)+
(2,75)2(0,0146)+(3,75)2(0,001)
=0,3708+0,0247+0,1483+0,269
2+0,1104+0,0141

=0,9375
B).

Y=5+X
P(Y)=5!(Y-5)!10-Y!(14)Y-5(34)10-Y
Y=0,1,2,3,4,5

E(Y)=YPrY

=0Pr(0)+1Pr(1)+2Pr(2)+3Pr(3)+4Pr(4)+5Pr(5)
=0(0)(0,25)-5(0,75)10+1(-0,00001)
-4
9
(0,25) (0,75) +2(-0,0005)(0,25)-3(0,75)8+

22.

=100
A).

3(-0,0119)(0,25)-2(0,75)7+4(-0,167)
(0,25) (0,75)6+5(1)(0,25)0(0,75)5
=0-0,0002-0,0064-0,07620,4756+1,1865
B).

=0,6281=0,63

=(-0,63)2(-0,00002)+(0,37)2(0,0002)+(1,37)2(-0,0032)+(2,37)2(-0,0254)+
(3,37)2(-0,1189)+(4,37)2(0,2373)
C).

=0+0-0,006-0,14271,3503+4,5317

X=N(,)
=15

P(X60)
X=60
Z=-1515=-1
P(Z-1) = P(0Z1) + P(Z0)
= 0,3413 + 0,5
= 0,8413
P(60X80)
X=60
Z=-1515=-1
X=80
Z=515=0,33
P(-1Z0,33) = P(0Z1) +
P(0Z0,33)
= 0,3413 + 0,1293

P(X120)
X=120
Z=2025=0,8
P(Z0,8) = P(Z0) + P(0Z0,8)
= 0,5 + 0,2881
= 0,7881
=100
=25
P(X80)
X=80
Z=-2025=0,8
P(Z-0,8) = P(0Z0,8)+P(Z0)
= 0,2881+0,5
= 0,7881
=100
=25

=3,0327

=25

E(Y-0,63)2=(Y-0,63)2Pr(Y)

=75

P(X65)
X=65
Z=-1015=0,67
P(Z-0,67) = P(0Z0,67) +
P(Z0)
= 0,2486 + 0,5
= 0,7486
P(X85)
X=85
Z=1015=0,67
P(Z0,67) = P(Z0) +
P(0Z0,67)
= 0,5 + 0,2486
= 0,7486
P(X90)
X=90
Z=1515=1
P(Z1) = P(Z0) + P(0Z1)
= 0,5 + 0,3413
= 0,8413
=25

-1

21.

=100

= 0,4706

23.

P(85X115)
X=85
Z=-1525=0,6
X=115
Z=1525=0,6
P(-0,6Z0,6) = P(0Z0,6) +
P(0Z0,6)
= 0,2257 + 0,2257
= 0,4514
X = banyaknyabarang yang rusak (0,1,2,3,4,5)
p = 0,25
q = 0.75

a) P(X4)

=
P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)
= 5!0!5!(0,25)0(0,75)5+5!1!4!
(0,25)1(0,75)4+5!2!3!(0,25)2(0,75)3+5!3!
2!(0,25)3(0,75)2+

5!4!1!(0,25)4(0,75)1
=
0,2373+0,3955+0,2637+0,0879+0
,0146
= 0,999
b) P(X1)=
P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)+P(X=5)
=
0,3955+0,2637+0,0879+0,0146+5!5!0!
(0,25)5(0,75)0
=
0,3955+0,2637+0,0879+0,0146+0,0010
= 0,7627
c) P(0<X<5)
=
P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)
=
0,3955+0,2637+0,0879+0,
0146
= 0,7617
24. X= upah = 50 = 5

Z= (45-50)/5 = -1Z=(60-50)/5 = 2
P(40X60) = P(-1Z2)
= P(0Z1)+P(0Z2)
= 0,3413 + 0,4772 = 0,8185

P(40X65)
Z= (40-50)/5 = -2Z=(65-50)/5 = 3
P(45X60) = P(-2Z3)
= P(0Z2)+P(0Z3)
= 0,4772+0,4987 = 0,9759
c) P(X>45)
Z= (45-50)/5= -1
P(X>45) = P(Z>-1)
= P(0<Z<1)+P(Z>0)

a) P (X 60)
Z= (X- ) / = (60-50)/5 = 2
P (X 60) = P (Z 2)

= 0,3413 + 0,5 = 0,8413


Karyawan yang upahnyalebihbesardari 45 ribu =
1000*0,8413 = 841,3

= P(Z0)-P(0Z2)
= 0,5 0,4772 = 0,0228
P ( X55)

25. X=N(, )

=100

= 10

a) P(X95)

Z= (55-50)/5 = 1

Z= (95-100)/10 = -0,5

P ( X55) = P (Z 1)

P(X95) = P(Z-0,5)

= P (0Z1)+P(Z0)
=0,3410 + 0,5 = 0,8413

= P(0Z0,5)+(Z0)
= 0,1915+0,5 = 0,6915

P (X45)
Z= (45-50)/5 = -1

b) P(X105)
Z= (105-100)/10 = 0,5

P (X45) = P(Z-1)
= P(0Z1)+P(Z0)
= 0,3413 + 0,5 = 0,8413
b) P(40X60)
Z= (40-50)/5 = -2

= P(Z 0)+(0Z0,5)
= 0,5+0,1915 = 0,6915

Z= (60-50)/5 = 2

P(40X60) = P(-2Z2)
= P(0Z2)+P(0Z2)
= 0,4772+0,4772 = 0,9554
P(45X60)

P(X105) = P(Z0,5)

c) P(95X105)
Z= (95-100)/10 = -0,5
100)/10 = 0,5
P(95X105) = P(-0,5Z0,5)

Z= (105-

= P(0Z0,5)+P(0Z0,5)

= 0,0987+0,0987 = 0,1974

= 0,1915+0,1915 = 0,383

26. = 50

=5

c) P(X>18)
Z=(18-20)/4 = -0,5

P(X60)
P(X>18) = P(Z>-0,5)
Z= (60-50)/5 = 2

= P(0<Z<0,5)+P(Z>0)

P(X60) = P(Z2)
= 0,1915+0,5 = 0,6915
= P(Z0)-P(0Z2)
= 0,5-0,4772 = 0,0228
d) P(X>20,5)
Z=(20,5-20)/4 = 0,125
P(X55)

P(X>20,5) =P(Z>0,125)

Z=(55-50)/5 = 1

= P (Z>0)-P(0<Z<0,125)

P(X55) = P(Z1)

= 0,5-0,0478 = 0,4522

= P(Z0)-P(0Z1)
= 0,5-0,3413 = 0,1587

e) P(X>25)
Z= (25-20)/4 = 1,25
P(X>25) = P(Z>1,25)

P(X65)

= P(Z>0)-P(0<Z<1,25)

Z= (65-50)/5 = 3

= 0,5-0,3944 = 0,1056

P(X65) = P(Z3)
= P(0Z3)+P(Z0)

28. =50

= 0,4987+0,5 = 0,9987

=5

a) P(X53)
Z=(53-50)/5 = 0,6

27. = 20

=4

P(X53) = P(Z0,6)

a) P(X>21)

= P(0Z0,6)+(Z0)

Z= (21-20)/4 = 0,25

= 0,2257+0,5 = 0,7257

P(X>21) = P(Z>0,25)
= P(Z>0)-P(0<Z<0,25)
= 0,5-0,0987 = 0,4013

b) P(X48)
Z=(48-50)/5 = -0,4
P(X48) = P(Z-0,4)

b) P(19X21)
Z= (19-20)/4 = -0,25

= P(0Z0,4)+P(Z0)
Z= (21-20)/4 = 0,25

= 0,1554+0,5 = 0,6554

P(19X21) = P(-0,25Z0,25)
= P(0Z0,25)+P(0Z0,25)

c) P(47X54)

Z=(47-50)/5 = -0,6

Z=(54-50)/5 = 0,8

P(47X54) = P(-0,6Z0,8)

30. =10/menit
a) Pr(0)= (100.2,71828-10)/0! = 0,000045

= P(0Z0,6)+P(0Z0,8)
= 0,2257+0,2881 = 0,5138

b) Pr 3 = Pr(0)+Pr(1)+Pr(2)+Pr(3)
Pr(0) = 0,000045

29. = 48/jam

Pr(1) = (101.2,71828-10)/1! = 0,00045

a) Probabilitasteleponmasuksebanyak 3 kali
dalamselang 5 menit (Pr(3))

Pr(2) = (102.2,71828-10)/2! = 0,00227

= 4 per 5 menit

Pr(3) = (103.2,71828-10)/3! = 0,00757


Pr 3 = 0,000045+0,00045+0,00227+0,00757
= 0,010339

Pr(X)= ( x.e- )/X!


Pr(3) = (43.2,71828-4)/3! = 0,1954

c) = 2,5 per 15 detik


b) Probabilitasteleponmasuksebanyak 15 kali

Pr(0) = (2,50.2,71828-2,5)/0! = 0,08208

dalamselang 15 menit (Pr(15))


=12 per 15 menit
15

-12

Pr(15)= (12 .2,71828 )/15! = 0,0724

d) Pr(1) = (2,51.2,71828-2,5)/1! = 0,20521

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