EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

1. (a) ∑ m = 150 ; ∑ m 2 = 5500

5500 & 2147

∑ t = 71.6 ; ∑ t 2 = 930 ; ∑ mt = 2147 B1
seen

357 M1
150 × 71.6 Accept = 59.5
Smt = 2147 − = 357 60 A1
6

150 2 •
Smm = 5500 − = 1750 Accept 291. 6 A1 (4)
6
No working shown SR: B1 B1 only

(b) 357 M1
b= = 0.204
1750

71.6 150 •
a= − 0.204 × = 6.8 3 M1
6 6
•
(Accept 6.8 3 , 6.83,
∴ t = 6.83 + 0.204m
5 A1
6 %) (3)
No working seen SR: t = 6.83 + 0.204m B1 only 6

7.35 ⇒ m = 35
(c)

• • M1
∴ t = 6.8 3+ 0.204 × 35 = 13.97 3 14.0 AWRT
A1 (2)

(d) (i) 9.00 ⇒ m = 120

B1;
No; outside range of data (after 7.50 am)
B1

No; No evidence model will apply one B1;

(ii)
month later B1 (4)

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

2. (a) Symmetrical (about the mean µ )

Mode = mean = median

Horizontal axis asymptotic to curve B1;B1;B1

(3)

Distribution is ‘bell shaped’ – accept sketch Any 3

sensible
properties
95% of data lies within 2 sd’s of the mean

(b) X ~ N (27, 10 2 )

Standardising with
⎛ 26 - 27 28 − 27 ⎞ µ = 27, M1
∴ P ( 26 < × < 28) = P ⎜ <Z< ⎟
⎝ 10 10 ⎠ σ = 10 or 10 A1
One correct
(seen)
= P (- 0.1 < Z < 0.1) -0.1 or 0.1 A1

= Φ (0.1) − {1 − Φ (0.1)}
or 2 x {Φ (0.1) − 0.5}

= 0.0796 0.0796 or 0.0797 A1

(4)

Data is continuous B0
Area under curve = 1 B0
Limits are - ∞ & ∞ B0
IQR contains 50% of data B0
68% between µ ± σ B1
Most of data within 3 s.d of mean B1
No +ve or –ve skew B1
Never touches axes at either side B1
(ie asymptotic)

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Mark

3. (a) P (1 < X ≤ 3) = P (X = 2) + P (X = 3) M1

1 1 2 1 2 1
= + = = ; ; 0.167;
12 12 12 6 12 6 A1
• • (2)
0.16 6 ; 0.16

1 11 11 ; 0.917; 0.916•
F (2.6) = P(X ≤ 2) = 1 − P(X = 3) = 1 − = B1
(b) 12 12 12 (1)

1 1 1 11
(or : P(X ≤ 2) = + + = )
3 2 12 12

Use
(c) ⎛ 1⎞ ⎛ 1 ⎞ 11 of ΣxP(X = x) M1
E (X) = ⎜ 0 × ⎟ + ... + ⎜ 3 × ⎟=
⎝ 3⎠ ⎝ 12 ⎠ 12 11 A1
; AWRT 0.917 (2)
12

(d) E (2X-3) = 2E(X)-3 Use of M1

E (ax + b)

11 14 7 7 1
= 2× −3= − = − - ; -1 ; A1
12 12 6 6 6 (2)
AWRT -1.17

2 Use of M1
(e) 1 1 ⎛ 11 ⎞
Var (X) = 1 × + ... + 3 2 × − ⎜ ⎟
2

2 12 ⎝ 12 ⎠
( )
E X 2 − {E(X )}
2

Correct A1
substitution

107 107
= ; A1
144 144 (3)
AWRT 0.743

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

4 1 4 2 M1
4. (a) (i) P(A ∩ B ' ) = P(A/B ' ) P(B ' ) = × = = Use of
5 2 10 5 ' ' A1
P (A/B )P (B )

(ii) P (A ∩ B) = P(A) − P(A ∩ B ' ) M1

2 2
= −
5 5

=0 A1

(iii) P (A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) M1

2 1
= + −0
5 2

9
=
10 A1

(A ∩ B)
(iv) P (A/B) = P =0 B1
P(B) (7)

(b) (i) since P (A ∩ B) = 0 seen B1

A and B are mutually exclusive B1 (2)

B1
(ii) Since P (A/B) ≠ P (A) or equivalent B1 (2)
A and B are NOT independent

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

5. (a) Sales No. of days Class width Frequency density

Frequency M1
1-200 166 200 0.830 densities
A1
201-400 100 200 0.500
Graph
401-700 59 300 0.197
701-1000 30 300 0.100 3 (5)
1001-1500 5 500 0.010

NB Frequency densities can be scored on graph

Q 2 = 200.5 +
(180 − 166) × 200 = 228.5 228/229/230
(b) M1
100 A1

90 109 AWRT A1
Q1 = 0.5 + × 200 = 108.933L
166

(270 − 266)
Q 3 = 400.5 + × 300 = 420.838 AWRT 421/425 A1
59

(n = 270.75 ⇒ Q3 = 424.6525)

IQR = 420.830 K − 108.933K = 311.905K B1 (5)

Attempt at
(c) Σfx or Σfy
∑ fx = 110980 ; ∑ fx 2 = 58105890 M1

x - 100.5 Attempt at M1
∑ fy = 748 ; ∑ fy 2 = 3943.5 where y =
100 Σfx 2 or Σfy 2

•
µ = 308.277 7 308 AWRT M1 A1

σ = 257.6238
258 AWRT M1 A1
(6)
No working shown: SR B1 B1 only for µ , σ .

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Frequency density

1.0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5
Scales & Labels B1
Bases B1
Heights B1
0.4
3

0.3

0.2

0.1

0 200.5 400.5 600.5 800.5 1000.5 1200.5 1400.5

Sales
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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

(d) Median & IQR B1

Sensible reason e.g. Assuming other years are B1 dep

(2)
skewed.

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

6. (a) K
¼ Tree with
correct number M1
½ K ¾ K
of branches
K
¼ 2 1
K , A1
⅔ ½ K
¾
3 3
K
1 1 1 1
¼
K , , , A1
⅓ 2 2 2 2
K ½ K
¾ K 1 3 3
, ... A1
4 4 4 (4)
¼ K
½ K

¾
K

1 •
2 1 1 2 1 ; 0.08 3 ;
(b) P (All 3 Keys) = × × = = 12 M1 A1 (2)
3 2 4 24 12
0.0833

⎛ 2 1 3⎞ ⎛ 1 1 3⎞ ⎛ 1 1 1⎞
(c) P (exactly 1 key) = ⎜ × × ⎟ + ⎜ × × ⎟ + ⎜ × × ⎟ 3 triples added M1
⎝ 3 2 4⎠ ⎝ 3 2 4⎠ ⎝ 3 2 4⎠

10 5 Each correct
= = A1 A1 A1
10 5
24 12 ; ; A1
24 12 (5)
•
0.416 ; 0.417

(d) P (Keys not collected on at least 2 successive

stages)

3 triples added M1
⎛ 2 1 3⎞ ⎛1 1 1⎞ ⎛1 1 3⎞
= ⎜ × × ⎟ + ⎜ × × ⎟ +⎜ × × ⎟
⎝ 3 2 4⎠ ⎝3 2 4⎠ ⎝3 2 4⎠ Each correct A1 A1 A1

10 5
10 5 ; ;
= = 24 12 A1 (5)
24 12 •
0.416 ; 0.417

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EDEXCEL 6683 STATISTICS S1 JANUARY 2004 MARK SCHEME

Question Mark Scheme Marks

6. (d) Alternative:

1 – P (Keys collected on at least 2 successive stages) M1

⎧⎛ 2 1 1 ⎞ ⎛ 2 1 3 ⎞ ⎛ 1 1 1 ⎞⎫
= 1 – ⎨⎜ × × ⎟ + ⎜ × × ⎟ + ⎜ × × ⎟⎬ A1 A1 A1
⎩⎝ 3 2 4 ⎠ ⎝ 3 2 4 ⎠ ⎝ 3 2 4 ⎠⎭
5 A1
=
8 (5)