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June 27 - July 22, 2011: and Staff

This document provides the schedule for a week-long program on investment appraisal and risk analysis. The schedule includes sessions on integrated investment appraisal, alternative investment criteria, cash flow statements, financial modeling, impacts of inflation, microeconomics principles for valuation, and measurement of transportation project costs and benefits. Breaks are scheduled between sessions and readings are provided to supplement each topic. The week concludes with a boat cruise on Sunday and the program covers additional topics in risk analysis and project evaluation over subsequent weeks.

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Raja Fawad
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
91 views23 pages

June 27 - July 22, 2011: and Staff

This document provides the schedule for a week-long program on investment appraisal and risk analysis. The schedule includes sessions on integrated investment appraisal, alternative investment criteria, cash flow statements, financial modeling, impacts of inflation, microeconomics principles for valuation, and measurement of transportation project costs and benefits. Breaks are scheduled between sessions and readings are provided to supplement each topic. The week concludes with a boat cruise on Sunday and the program covers additional topics in risk analysis and project evaluation over subsequent weeks.

Uploaded by

Raja Fawad
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 23

PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 1

MONDAY, JUNE 27

9:00 – 10:30 Course Commencement

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Integrated Investment Appraisal


Introduction to Integrated Financial-Economic-Distributive-Risk Appraisal of Projects

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 1: The Integrated
References: Analysis”, Cost – Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions, (January 2010)
 Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 2: A Strategy for the
Appraisal of Investment Projects”, Cost – Benefit Analysis for Investment
Decisions, (January 2010).

12:30 – 13:30 Welcome Lunch with Queen’s Economics Department Faculty


and Staff

13:30 – 15:00 Alternative Investment Criteria and Estimation and Use of Debt
Service Ratios

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 4: Discounting and
References: Alternative Investment Criteria” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).
 Ley, Eduardo, “Cost-Benefit Analysis: Evaluation Criteria (Or: “Stay away from
the IRR"), KNOWLEDGE BRIEF FOR BANK STAFF, PRMED, The World Bank,
February 2008.

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 16:30 Distribution and Analysis of Case 1: Alternative Investment Criteria

Readings/  Handout of Alternative Investment Criteria case.


References:  Teaching Note: “Introduction to Excel and Word Computer Applications”,
Cambridge Resources International, Cambridge MA, 2003.

16:30 – 18:00 Walking Tour of Queen’s University

1
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 2

TUESDAY, JUNE 28

09:00 – 10:30 Development of Cash (Resource) Flow Statements

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 3: The Financial
References: Appraisal of Projects,” Cost –Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Determining Financial and Economic Values of Existing


Assets for Cash Flow Statements
Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 3: The Financial
References: Appraisal of Projects,” Cost –Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Analysis of Case 1

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Presentation of Case 1

2
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 3

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 29

09:00 – 10:30 Integration of Movements in Prices, Inflation, and Exchange


Rates

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 3: The Financial
References: Appraisal of Projects,” Cost –Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

 Harberger, A.C., “Chapter 2: Survey of Literature on Cost-Benefit Analysis for


Industrial Project Evaluation,” Project Evaluation: Collected Papers, University
of Chicago Press, 1976, pp. 42-48.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Integration of Movements in Prices, Inflation, and Exchange


Rates (Cont’d)

Distribution and Analysis of Case 2: Financial Analysis of a


12:30 – 18:00 Cement Project

Handout of Financial and Sensitivity Analysis of case 2: Cement Project

3
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 4

THURSDAY, JUNE 30

9:00 – 10:30 Impacts of Inflation

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Appendix.3.2, Chapter 3:
References: “The Financial Appraisal of Projects”, Cost – Benefit Analysis for Investment
Decisions, (January 2010)

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Financial Modelling from Alternative Points of Views (Manila


Water)

Readings/  Harberger, AC., Jenkins, G., and Kuo, CY., “Chapter 3: The Financial
References: Appraisal of Projects,” Cost – Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

 Teaching note: Manila Water Project, Spreadsheet of Samz Power Project.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Analysis of Case 2

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Analysis of Case 2

4
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 5

FRIDAY, JULY 1

9:00 – 10:30 Micro-Economics I for Economic Valuation

Readings/  Dhakal, D.N.S., Lecture Notes on "Foundations of Applied Microeconomics


References for Investment Appraisal,” Cambridge Resources International, 2000.

 Jenkins, G.P., and Harberger, A.C., “Chapter 7: Objectives and Framework


for Economic Investment Appraisal”, Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment
Decisions, Queen’s University, 2002.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 The Importance of Scale and Timing and Adjusting for length
of life in Project Appraisal

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 5: Scale, Timing,
References: Length and Inter-Dependencies in Project Selection”, Cost – Benefit Analysis
for Investment Decisions, (January 2010).

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 18:00 July 1 ( Canada Day) Celebration with JDIEP Faculty

5
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 1, DAY 6

SATURDAY, JULY 2
9:00 – 10:30 Micro-Economics II for Economic Valuation

 Dhakal, D.N.S., Lecture Notes on "Foundations of Applied


Readings/ Microeconomics for Investment Appraisal,” Cambridge Resources
References: International, 2000.

 Jenkins, G.P., and Harberger, A.C., “Chapter 7: Objectives and


Framework for Economic Investment Appraisal”, Cost-Benefit
Analysis for Investment Decisions, Queen’s University, 2002.

10:30 – 12:30 Participant Presentations of Case 2

12:30 – 18:00 Free Time

WEEK 1, DAY 7

SUNDAY, JULY 3

Free Time

12:00 – 18:00 Thousand Island Boat Cruise (at Lunch Hour)

END OF WEEK ONE

6
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 2, DAY 1

MONDAY, JULY 4

9:00 – 10:30 Principles Underlying the Economic Analysis of Projects

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P., and Kuo, C.Y., “Chapter 7: Principles Underlying
References: the Economic Analysis of Projects,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment
Decisions, (January 2010).

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Measurement of Costs and Benefits of Transportation


Investments

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., “Chapter 10: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transportation Projects”,


References: Project Evaluation: Collected Papers, University of Chicago Press, 1976.

 Capital Appraisal Handbook, Road Agency of Limpopo, Cambridge Resources


International, MA, USA, 2004.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Structure and Overview of M-12 Toll Road Financial Analysis

 Handout of Financial and Sensitivity Analysis of M-12 Toll Road Project

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 M-12 Toll Road Financial Analysis: Traffic Demand and Toll
Design

7
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 2, DAY 2

TUESDAY, JULY 5

9:00 – 10:30 Economic Cost of Foreign Exchange

Readings/
References:  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 9: The Shadow Price of
Foreign Exchange and Non-Tradable Outlays,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment
Decisions, (January 2010).

 Arnold C. Harberger, Notes on the Premia for Foreign Exchange and Non-Tradables
Outlays, University of California, Los Angeles, April 2003

 Harberger, A.C., Kuo, C. Y., Jenkins, G.P. and Mphahlele, M.P., “The Economic Cost
of Foreign Exchange for South Africa,” The South African Journal of Economics, Vol.
71:2, June 2003, pp. 298-324.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Economic Prices and Conversion Factors for Tradable Goods

 Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 10: Economic Prices for
Tradable Goods and Services,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

 Teaching Note: “Estimation of Economic Prices for Traded Goods and Services,”
Queen’s University, Canada, (March 2007).

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 M-12 Toll Road Financial Analysis: Financing Units, Exchange Rates
and Toll Design

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Participants Presentation M-12 Toll Road Financial and Sensitivity
Analysis

8
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 2, DAY 3

WEDNESDAY, JULY 6

9:00 – 10:30 Measurement of Economic Prices of Non-Tradable Goods

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 11: Economic Prices
References: for Non-Tradable Goods and Services,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for
Investment Decisions, (January 2010).

 Teaching Note: “Senegal Water and Sanitation Project,” Queen’s


University, Canada, 2006.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Economic Valuation of Willingness to Pay in Non-


Competitive Markets

Readings/  Graves, Philip E. and Sexton, Robert L., "Demand and Supply Curves:
References: Rotations versus Shifts" (March 2003). Atlantic Economic Journal, Volume
34, Number 3, September, 2006.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Structure and Overview of M-12 Toll Road Economic


Analysis

 Handout of Economic Analysis of M-12 Toll Road Project.

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 M-12 Toll Road Economic Analysis

9
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 2, DAY 4

THURSDAY, JULY 7

9:00 – 10:30 Stakeholder and Basic Needs Analysis

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 13: Evaluation of
References: Stakeholder Impacts,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions, (January
2010).

 Harberger, AC., Jenkins G.P., and Kuo, C.Y., “Chapter 14: The Shadow Price of
Government Funds, Distributional Weights and Basic Needs Externalities”, Cost –
Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions, (January 2010).

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Economic Opportunity Cost of Capital

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., Jenkins, G.P. and Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 8: The Economic
References: Opportunity Cost of Capital,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

 Kuo, C. Y., Jenkins, G.P. and Mphahlele, M.P., “The Economic Opportunity Cost of
Capital for South Africa,” The South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 71:3,
September 2003, pp. 496-516.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:00 – 18:00 M-12 Toll Road Stakeholder Analysis

10
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 2, DAY 5

FRIDAY, JULY 8

9:00 – 10:30 Economic Aspects of Foreign Financing

Readings/  Jenkins, G.P, “Economic aspects of foreign financing,” Queen’s University, Canada. (
References: February 2001)

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Evaluation of Economic Values of Environmental Impacts

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Structure and Overview of M-12 Toll Road Stakeholder Analysis
Handout of Economic Analysis of M-12 Toll Road Project.

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 REVIEW

11
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011


WEEK 2, DAY 6

SATURDAY, JULY 9

08:00 Niagara Falls Trip (Whole Day)

WEEK 2, DAY 7

SUNDAY, JULY 10

9:00 – 13:30 Free Time (AM)

13:00 – 18:00 Distribution, Selection and Analysis of Major Cases

END OF WEEK TWO

12
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 1

MONDAY, JULY 11
9:00 – 10:30 Economic Opportunity Cost of Labor

Readings/  Harberger, A.C. and Jenkins, G.P., Kuo, C.Y, “Chapter 12: The Economic
References: Opportunity Cost of Labor,” Cost-Benefit Analysis for Investment Decisions,
(January 2010).

 Bicak, H., Jenkins, G.P., Kuo, C. Y., and Mphahlele, M.P., “An operational guide
to the Estimation of The Economic Opportunity Cost of Labour in South Africa,”
The South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 72:5, December 2004.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Participants Presentation ; M-12 Toll Road Economic and


Stakeholder
Readings/  Lecture Notes
References:

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

13
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 2

TUESDAY, JULY 12

9:00 – 10:30 Costs and Benefits of Electricity Investments

Readings/  Harberger, A.C., “Chapter 9: Marginal Cost Pricing and Social


References: Investment Criteria for Electricity Undertakings,” Project Evaluation:
Collected Papers, University of Chicago Press, 1976.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Foundations of Risk and Uncertainty

Readings/  Lecture Notes


References:

12:30 – 13:30 Break

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

14
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 3

WEDNESDAY, JULY 13

9:00 – 10:30 Risk Analysis

Readings/  Harberger, AC., Jenkins, G.P, and Kuo, C.Y., “Chapter 6: Dealing with
References: Uncertainty and Risk in Project Appraisal”, Cost – Benefit Analysis for
Investment Decisions, (January 2010)

 Savvides, S., “Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal”, Project Appraisal,


Volume 9, Number 1, March 1994, pp. 3–18.

 Brigham, “Risk Analysis and the Optimal Capital Budget”, Chapter 10,
Canadian Financial Management, 3rd ed., Holt, Rinehart and Winston of
Canada.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Introduction to Risk Analysis Program Risk Demonstration Case:


Internet Service Provider (ISP) Case

Readings/  Mun, J., “Chapter 5: Peering into the Crystal Ball,” Applied Risk Analysis:
References: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Business, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2004, pp.
91-105.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 4

THURSDAY, JULY 14

9:00 – 10:30 Risk Management and Principles of Contracting, Risk


Sharing and Risk Reduction

Readings/  Glenday, G., “Risk Sharing Contracts in Project Appraisal,” Canadian


References: Journal of Program Evaluation, 1996.

 Mun, Johnathan, “Chapter 10: The Search for the Optimal Decision,”
Applied Risk Analysis: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Business, John
Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2004, pp. 237-252.

 Mun, Johnathan, “Chapter 11: Optimization under Uncertainty,” Applied


Risk Analysis: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Business, John Wiley &
Sons, Inc., 2004, pp. 253-266.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Cost Effectiveness

Readings/  Harberger, A.C. and Jenkins, G.P., and Kuo, C. Y., “Chapter 15: Cost-
References: Effectiveness and Cost-Utility Analysis” Cost-Benefit Analysis for
Investment Decisions, (January 2010)

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

16
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 5
FRIDAY, JULY 15

9:00 – 10:30 Cost Effectiveness Analysis in Health Sector


Guest Lecturer

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Cost Effectiveness Analysis in Health Sector(Cont’d)


Guest Lecturer

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Course Review for Participant Evaluations

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 17:00 Course Review for Participant Evaluations (Cont’d)

17
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 3, DAY 6
SATURDAY, JULY 16

09:00 – 10:30 Participant Evaluations

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Preparation of Major Cases

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

WEEK 3, DAY 7

SUNDAY, JULY 17
Free Time (AM)

13:30 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

END OF WEEK THREE

18
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 4, DAY 1

MONDAY, JULY 18

9:00 – 10:30 Parameterization of Risk

Readings/  Lim, Henry and Jenkins, Glenn, Appendix of "An Integrated Analysis of a
References: Power Purchase Agreement."

 Harberger, A.C., and Jenkins, G.P., (ed.), “Introduction: The Treatment of Risk
in Public Project Evaluation,” Cost-Benefit Analysis, Edward Elgar Publisher,
2002, pp. xxxviii to xlii.

 Mun, Johnathan, “Chapter 8: Tomorrow’s Forecast Today,” Applied Risk


Analysis: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Business, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.,
2004, pp. 175-183.

 Mun, Johnathan, “Chapter 9: Using the Past to Predict the Future,” Applied
Risk Analysis: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Business, John Wiley & Sons,
Inc., 2004, pp. 184-234.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Elements of Project Finance


Readings/  Yescombe E. R, “Chapter 2: What is Project Finance,” Principles of Project
References: Finance, Academic Press, 2002.

 Finnerty, J.D., “Chapter 1: Introduction,” “Chapter 2: The Rational for Project


Financing,” “Chapter 5: Legal Structure,” Project Financing – Asset-Based
Financial Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, Weinheim, 1996.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

19
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 4, DAY 2

TUESDAY, JULY 19

9:00 – 10:30 Project Finance and Identification of Project Risks

Readings/  Beale C. W.,, Trends in Limited and Non-Recourse Financing, 1984.


References:
 John M. Niehuss, An Introduction to International Project Financing, 1982.

 Finnerty, John D, "Chapter 3: Analysis of Project Viability," Project


Financing: Asset Based Financial Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, 1996.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Public Private Partnerships


Readings/  Hemming Richard, “Chapter 1: Public-Public Partnerships,” Public-Private
References: Partnerships, Government Guarantees, and Fiscal Risk. International
Monetary Fund, Washington DC, 2006.

 Leigland. J, and Shugart., C.,” Is the public sector comparator right for
developing countries? Appraising public-private projects in infrastructure”
Gridlines: World Bank Public-Private Infrastructure Facility (PPIAF),Note
No.4, April 2006.

 Bettingnies J. and Ross W., (2004) “The Economics of Public-Private


Partnerships”, Canadian Public Policy/Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 30, No.
2. (Jun., 2004), pp. 135-154, Canada.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

20
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 4, DAY 3

WEDNESDAY, JULY 20

9:00 – 10:30 Security Arrangements and Project Contractual Structure

Readings/  Finnerty, John D, "Chapter 4: Security Arrangements," Project Financing:


References: Asset Based Financial Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, 1996.
 Sapte, W., “Chapter 4: Overview of Contractual Structures”, Project
Finance: The guide to financing build-operate-transfer projects, Euromoney
Books, London, 1997.
 Yescombe E. R, “Chapter 6: Project Contracts (1),” Principles of Project
Finance, Academic Press, 2002.

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 Managing Contingent Liabilities


 H. Polackova (1998), Government Contingent Liabilities: A Hidden Risk to
Fiscal Stability, Policy Research Working paper, Poverty Reduction and
Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia, The World
Bank, pp. 1-8.
 Hemming Richard, “Chapter 2: Government Guarantees and Fiscal Risk,”
Public-Private Partnerships, Government Guarantees, and Fiscal Risk.
International Monetary Fund, Washington DC, 2006.
 Baldwin C., Lessard D. and Mason S. (1983), Budgetary Time Bombs:
Controlling Government Loan Guarantees, Canadian Public Policy –
Analyse de Politiques, XI:3:338-346, Canada.

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Preparation of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Preparation of Major Cases

21
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 4, DAY 4

THURSDAY, JULY 21

9:00 – 10:30 Preparation for Presentation of Major Cases

10:30 – 10:45 Break

10:45 – 12:30 ALL MAJOR CASES DUE


Submit in hard-copy and electronic form:
– Write-Up (*.doc)
– Spreadsheet (*.xls)
– Presentation (*.ppt)

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:00 Presentations of Major Cases

15:00 – 15:15 Break

15:15 – 18:00 Presentations of Major Cases

22
PROGRAM ON INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND RISK ANALYSIS

June 27 – July 22, 2011

WEEK 4, DAY 5

FRIDAY, JULY 22

9:30 – 10:30 Prof. Arnold C. Harberger Project Appraisal: A Perspective

10:30 – 11:00 Break

11:00 – 12:00 Prof. Arnold C. Harberger Project Appraisal: A Perspective

12:30 – 15:30 Closing Ceremony

END OF THE PROGRAM

23

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