Chap 25
Chap 25
I. CHAPTER OVERVIEW
The determination of national output has, up until now, been described with little or no reference to money. It
is now time to correct this omission; money is perhaps the most powerful tool of modern stabilization policy,
and to continue to ignore its potential would be an enormous mistake. As you progress through the next
chapters, it will become clear to you that the omission was a matter of exposition—a recognition that we could
not do everything at once. The models that were constructed in earlier chapters can be expanded to include the
monetary side of an economy. It therefore made sense to develop them fully before adding a second, financial
dimension to their stories.
Chapter 25 begins with a discussion of the evolution of money and its associated financial institutions. It
is perhaps surprising to note here at the beginning that there is no single, functional definition of “money.”
Since there are different “near-money” financial instruments available from across a wide spectrum of
contemporary financial institutions, it is not possible to write a single all-encompassing definition of money.
Economists offer, instead, a list of definitions, each one applying to a slightly different notion and/or
application of “money” or “credit.”
In this chapter you are also introduced to the demand for and the supply of money. You may begin to
suspect that you will soon see a money market evolve, which could be incorporated into our multiplier model;
this will happen in the next chapter. Before that happens, though, we need to learn a little more about money
and commercial banking.
The final section explores other types of financial assets. Included here is a discussion of assets that lie
outside the technical definitions of M1 and M2, but nevertheless are held in great quantities by millions of
Americans. There is a brief analysis of the workings of the stock market as well as an introduction to some of
the strategies of financial investment.
After you have read Chapter 25 in your text and completed the exercises in this Study Guide chapter, you
should be able to:
1 Outline the highlights of the evolution of the monetary system from barter, through commodity
money, and into today’s system of fiat money.
2. Understand the differences between M1 and M2.
3. Discuss the role of interest rates in determining the price of money, and understand the differences
between nominal and real interest rate movements.
4. Describe the three functions of money and explain their role in supporting the transactions demand
and the assets demand for money.
5. Outline briefly the evolution of the banking system from a collection of simple goldsmith depositories
of wealth into an interconnected array of banks and other financial intermediaries.
6. Describe the process by which a banking system built on fractional reserves can create money.
Understand the mathematics behind the resulting money multiplier, and define the two qualifications
upon which its precise computation is dependent.
7. Understand the trade-off between risk and return on financial investments.
8. Discuss some of the historical trends in the U.S. stock market, including the great crash of 1929 and
the fall in October, 1987.
9. Understand the basis of the efficient-market hypothesis and how it translates into a random walk
theory of stock market prices.
10. Understand the economic concepts that lie behind the formulation of a rudimentary personal financial
strategy.
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Match the following terms from column A with their definitions in column B.
A B
__ Money 1. Measures the ease with which an asset can be converted into cash.
__ Barter 2. Money which is used to purchase goods and services—M1 is considered this.
__ Financial 3. Process by which the banking system transforms reserves into a much larger
Intermediaries amount of bank money.
__ Monetary economy 4. Interest rate on money, measured in money terms; also called the money interest
rate.
__ Financial 5. Anything that serves as a commonly accepted medium of exchange or means of
derivations payment.
__ Commodity 6. Sometimes called asset money or near money, it includes M1 plus savings
money accounts in banks and similar assets.
__ Term of maturity 7. The exchange of goods for other goods.
__ Bank money 8. Value determined by reserve requirements, and measures the number of times
each new dollar of deposits is expanded into new money by the banking system.
__ Transactions money 9. Describes how investors diversify their wealth into different assets.
__ Fiat money 10. Bank assets held in the form of cash.
__ Broad money 11. Checks written on funds deposited in a bank or other financial institution.
__ TIPS 12. Particular physical good, with some intrinsic value, that also serves as a
medium of exchange.
__ Riskless 13. Rate of interest that is paid on loans that have virtually no chance of
interest rate default or nonpayment.
__ Liquidity 14. Money that is recognized as the legally accepted medium of exchange.
__ Nominal interest rate 15. Accepts deposits from one group of people and lends them to others.
__ Portfolio 16. Economic system in which trade takes place through a commonly accepted
theory medium of exchange.
__ Financial 17. Institutions that provide financial services and products.
Intermediary
__ Reserves 18. A financial instrument whose values are based on or derived from the
values of other assets.
__ Money-supply 19. The length of time until an asset must be paid off.
multiplier
__ Multiple expansion 20. A bond that has its interest and principal tied to inflation.
of bank deposits
There are so many new terms and expressions in this chapter that we have included another section of matching.
To help you keep the two sections separate, the expressions in this section are preceded with letters rather than
numbers. Persistence now will pay off!
A B
__ Amortization a. Borrowing money to buy stock, using the stock itself for collateral on the loan.
__ Inflation-indexed b. Market prices contain all the available information on the value of a stock.
bonds
__ Transactions demand c. The use of money as a measure of current value or price.
__ Asset demand d. Movements of stock prices which, over time, are completely unpredictable.
__ Risk-averse e. Repayment of the principal on a loan.
__ Balance sheet f. Occurs when many depositors go to a bank and attempt to withdraw their funds.
__ Unit of account g. Price increases based on the market’s expectation of further price increases, rather
than on actual increases in firm profits or dividends.
__ Financial h. U.S. government financial asset with interest payments linked to the price
intermediary level in the economy.
__ Bank run i. Stock market with rising prices.
__ Bear market j. Weighted average of the prices of a group or basket of company stocks.
__ Bull market k. Institutions that take deposits from one group and lend the funds to other
groups.
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__ Margin purchases l. Financial statement comparing a company’s asset with its liabilities and net
worth.
__ Speculative bubble m. The need for money to purchase goods and services.
__ Stock price index n. Stock market with falling prices.
__ Efficient-market o. The desire to avoid taking gambles when making financial investments.
theory
__ Random walk p. The holding of money as a store of value or wealth.
of bother checkable deposits.” The acronym stands for “Negotiable Order of Withdrawal.” These are interest-
bearing accounts that allow depositors to write checks.
4. While M1 is the most appropriate measure of money as a means of payment, a broader monetary aggregate,
M2, is also watched very closely. M2 includes M1 plus savings accounts and small time-deposits. Savings
accounts and time deposits earn interest and are slightly less liquid than the components of M1. Over the past
10 years, this broader definition of money has been a more stable indicator of money supply growth than has
M1. This is due, in part, to all the new kinds of checking instruments that have been created by banks.
5. Bonds pay a fixed amount of money, called a coupon payment, every year until they mature. (Actually,
most bonds make coupon payments every six months, but we can safely assume here that the payment is made
just once a year.) For example, if you purchase a ten-year $1000 bond that pays 6% interest, you would get
paid $60 interest every year (the coupon payment) and at the end of ten years receive your $1000 (principle)
back as well. Existing bonds can be traded, that is, bought and sold, in the bond market until they mature. If
current market interest rates rise above $6, the market price of your bond would fall. Consider the last year of
your ten-year bond. If current market rates of interest are 8%, why would anyone pay you full price for your
6% bond? They could earn 8% on some alternative financial investment. At the end of the tenth year the
owner of the bond will get paid $1060. We need to find the amount of money, which when multiplied by 1.08
yields $1060. So the present value or current market price of your bond would = $1060/1.08 = $981.48.
6. Interest rates are the price of money. If you save, you may view the interest you earn as a payment, or
return to saving. It can also be considered as the price others (usually banks) are willing to pay you for the use
of your money. Similarly, if you borrow, you must pay interest to compensate the lender for giving up the
opportunity to use the money (that you borrowed) in some alternative use.
There is no one rate of interest for the economy. Other things held constant, the rate of interest will be higher:
a. The longer the time to maturity of the deposit or loan.
b. The greater the risk associated with that particular loan or financial investment.
c. The less liquid the asset is. Liquidity measures the ease with which an asset can be converted into
cash.
d. The higher the administrative costs associated with the loan.
U.S. government securities (or bonds) are among the safest loans a saver can make because the U.S.
government is very unlikely to default on its loans. For this reason the U.S. government is able to borrow
money at relatively low rates of interest. This rate of interest is often referred to as the “riskless interest rate.”
7. Lenders and borrowers alike need to be concerned about the effect of inflation on the value of their financial
assets and debt. As inflation increases, the real value, or purchasing power, of money decreases. Suppose you
borrow $500 from a bank for one year at an interest rate of 6 percent. When the bank decides to give you a
loan, it gives up the opportunity to use that $500 in other ways. In this particular case, let us assume that the
bank gave up the opportunity to purchase a new $500 desk for one of its managers. At the end of the year, you
must pay the bank back $530 ($500 X 1.06). Suppose further that during the year that you had your loan,
inflation in the economy increased by 10 percent. The desk that the bank could have purchased last year now
costs $550! When you pay back the loan, the bank cannot use your loan repayment—even with the interest—to
purchase the desk. In real, or inflation-adjusted, terms, the bank lost money. Nominally, or in dollar terms,
the bank earned 6 percent on its loan. However, in real terms it lost 4 percent! (The bank is now $20 short of
the purchase price of the desk; $20 is 4 percent of $500.) You can calculate the real rate of interest very easily:
In 1997 the government introduced inflation-indexed bonds. The interest rate on these 10-year bonds is
indexed to the general price level. In addition, when the principal is repaid when the bond terminates, its value
is also adjusted for inflation in the economy. You should realize that when the government (or any other
organization) issues or sells bonds, it is really borrowing money. Buying bonds is a form of saving.
Individuals buying government bonds get paid interest for their loan.
8. Money has no usefulness as a commodity. We cannot eat it or wear it or use it for shelter. We demand
money so that we can use it to purchase the commodities we need or want. There are three basic functions that
money performs. It serves as:
a. a medium of exchange.
b. a unit of account.
c. a store of value.
The medium of exchange function is the most basic. If people do not universally accept the money (at least
within a country) as a means of payment, then we are back to barter. It is that simple.
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Unit of account means that whatever we use as money should also be used to measure prices or value. It
would be silly to have dollars as our money and then measure prices in terms of apples or donuts or Mexican
pesos.
Money serves as a store of value in that it does not physically deteriorate over time (this was a problem
with some forms of commodity money) or lose its acceptability. Rates of interest on cash are naturally
nonexistent, but NOW accounts and the components of M2 earn interest. While these rates of interest are
relatively low, there is also virtually no risk associated with this form of wealth.
9. The cost of holding wealth or assets as money is the forgone opportunity to earn higher rates of return or
interest on other financial investments.
10. There are two main reasons why people hold wealth as money: (a) transactions demand and (b) asset
demand. The transactions demand goes hand in hand with the medium of exchange function of money, while
the asset demand matches up with the store of value function. While other assets may pay higher rates of
interest, most portfolio managers diversify their wealth among different types of assets.
1
Money-supply multiplier = required reserve ratio
Note that in both cases, the denominator indicates an amount of money that is being withdrawn from the
system each time it changes hands. Every time a new deposit is made, the bank must withdraw the required
reserves before loaning the rest to a new borrower. Likewise, every time a marginal dollar of income is earned
by a household, a portion is saved before the rest is spent on consumption. The multipliers are not the same,
but their structure is quite similar.
3. In reality, the money creation process will be diminished if banks hold excess reserves or when all of the
new money is not deposited in banks.
Banks make loans in order to make profits. If bankers are pessimistic about the economy or the
creditworthiness of loan applicants, they will make fewer loans and hold excess reserves. It is preferable to
make no money (on reserves) than to lose money on bad loans.
The money creation process assumes that at each step along the way, the newly created money is deposited
in someone’s checking account. If, instead, the money is held outside of banks (it could even leave the
country), then the expansion process will slow down.
In an efficient market, new information affects stock and commodity prices; predictable events have
already been incorporated into market prices. Since the new information is unpredictable, prices in the market
tend to follow a random walk.
V. HELPFUL HINTS
1. Money is like grease or oil for an engine; it makes the economy run more smoothly and efficiently.
2. “Small time-deposits” are savings deposits (at banks) of up to $100,000.
3. There is an example in Chapter 25 dealing with interest rates and monthly payments on a 30-year fixed-
interest rate mortgage. If the annual rate of interest is 10 percent, you would have to pay one-twelfth of that
every month. Each month your payment would include one-twelfth of 10 percent or l0/l2 percent (or 0.833
percent) of the annual interest on the loan. Note that if the monthly payment is $877.58, over 30 years you
would pay a total of $315,928.80, $215,928.80 of which is interest on the $100,000 loan!
4. Remember, bonds pay a fixed amount of interest during their life. There is an inverse relationship between
current market interest rates and the market price of bonds.
5. Whether you lend or borrow, always make the effort to get an estimate of the (projected) rate of inflation in
the economy. This is precisely why many banks now offer loans with rates of interest that vary over the life of
the loan. They are protecting themselves against inflation.
6. There are other definitions of money beyond M1 and M2. As you move to “higher” definitions the
additional components of money become less and less liquid. Each new broader definition of money includes
the components of the lower-numbered definition that precedes it.
7. In recent years there have been many changes in the banking system. Many savings banks now offer
checking or demand-deposit accounts, and commercial banks may offer savings-type accounts. While
commercial banks are still the primary source of bank money (or checking accounts), the distinction between
commercial banks and savings banks has become blurred.
8. When bankers and portfolio managers use the term investment they are probably not using it in our
economic sense of the word. To avoid confusion, think of the assets these professionals work with as financial
investments.
Remember, to economists investment means the purchase of something tangible that adds to the
productivity capability of the economy. Companies may use the funds they receive from selling stocks and
bonds to make investment purchases (new equipment, factories, etc.), but the stocks and bonds themselves are
not considered investment. They are part of savings.
These questions are organized by topic from the chapter outline. Choose the best answer from the options
available.
4. Assume that the money interest rate is 7 percent and that inflation is 2 percent. What is the real interest
rate?
a. 9 percent.
b. 7 percent.
c. 5 percent.
d. 2 percent.
e. None of the above.
12. Commercial banks are the largest category of financial intermediaries; others include:
a. life insurance companies.
b. pension funds.
c. savings and loan institutions.
d. money market funds.
e. all the above.
13. The essential difference between money and near-money is that:
a. money is directly spendable, whereas near-money is not.
b. near-money includes all deposits in bank accounts, whereas money includes none of these.
c. the velocity of circulation of money is rapid, while that of near-money is slow.
d. near-money is fiat money, whereas money is not.
e. near-money is made up of any and all items that can be marketed for a money price.
14. If you write a check on your bank account, that check:
a counts as part of M1 provided it is a valid check, i.e., there are funds in the bank to support it.
b. counts as part of M1 whether valid or not, provided the person to whom it is given accepts it.
c. counts as part of M1 if used to buy goods and services, but not otherwise.
d. does not count as part of M1, since no bank account is considered part of the money supply.
e. does not count as part of M1; to count both it and the deposit account on which it is drawn would be
double counting.
15. When money has been deposited in any private financial institution (e.g., a commercial bank, a savings
and loan association, etc.), the critical factor in deciding whether that deposit should count as part of M1 is
that:
a. checks can be freely written against the deposit by its owner.
b. the deposit has insurance or backing by the government or some public institution.
c. the institution maintains 100 percent backing or reserve for the deposit—whether the backing is
provided by the government or not.
d. the institution has a legal franchise which permits its deposits to be counted as money.
e. as long as the money deposited consists of genuine bills or coins, then the deposit within any such
institution must be counted as part of the money supply.
16. Money serves as:
a. a medium of exchange.
b. a store of value.
c. a unit of account.
d. all the above.
e. none of the above.
17. On the basis of the transactions demand component of the demand for money:
a. the demand for money climbs as the interest rate climbs.
b. the demand for money climbs as the interest rate falls.
c. the demand for money falls as nominal income rises.
d. the demand for money falls as nominal income falls.
e. none of the above.
18. Which answer to question 10 would have been correct had that question referred to the assets demand
component of the demand for money?
a. coins, currency, and demand deposits.
b. coins, currency, and time deposits.
c. coins, currency, and all deposits in a bank.
d. all currencies and near-monies.
e. none of the above.
19. The “demand for money” means:
a. the desire to hold securities which can readily be converted into money at a fixed or near-fixed price if
necessary.
b. the amount which businesses will wish to borrow at any given interest rate.
c. the desire to save more money out of income as protection against the uncertainties of the future.
d. the same thing as “asset demand for money alone.”
e. the same thing as the sum of “assets and transactions demand for money.”
20. In a fractional-reserve banking system, such as that of the United States, the required reserve ratios imposed
on commercial banks:
a. are primarily intended to set a limit on the total money supply rather than to serve as adequate
protection against bank runs.
b. are in excess of what is normally required but are sufficient to cover what would be needed if for any
reason people became uneasy over the safety of bank deposits.
c. are essentially an average of the amounts needed to meet the public’s demands in good times and bad.
d. are now obsolete, according to the text, and will shortly be replaced by a 100 percent reserve
requirement.
e. are not correctly described by any of the above.
21. The commercial banking system (all banks taken together) lends money to business firms and consumers,
normally by setting up demand deposits which the borrowers may spend. As a result, the money supply:
a. decreases by the total amount of all coins and bills deposited with the banking system for safe-
keeping.
b. neither increases nor decreases.
c. increases by an amount somewhat less than the system’s total coin-and-bill deposits, owing to the
fraction it holds as reserves.
d. increases by an amount just equal to the system’s total coin-and-bill deposits.
e. increases by an amount considerably greater than the system’s total coin-and-bill deposits.
22. The economy’s total money supply will increase whenever commercial banks:
a. increase their deposits with a Federal Reserve Bank.
b. increase their total loans to the public.
c. increase their demand deposit liabilities by receiving coins or bills from the public as deposits.
d. withdraw part of their deposits from a Federal Reserve Bank.
e. reduce their demand-deposit liabilities by paying out part of these accounts in the form of coins or
paper bills.
23. Jackie deposits, in bank X, $10,000 in paper currency that has been hidden and out of circulation for a long
time. The legal minimum reserve requirement for banks is 25 percent of deposits. Bank X is one among many
banks. Unless bank X is already short on reserves, this deposit would enable the bank, if it wished, to increase
its loans by at least:
a. an undetermined amount.
b. $7500.
c. $10,000.
d. $30,000.
e. more than $30,000.
24. Assuming that the loan increase does not set off any increase of coins and paper currency in hand-to-hand
circulation, the deposit described in question 16 would enable the banking system to increase its loans by a
maximum of:
a. zero.
b. $7500.
c. $10,000.
d. $30,000.
e. more than $30,000.
25. In the circumstances of questions 16 and 17, if consideration were given to some small increase of coins
and paper currency in hand-to-hand circulation, the most probable maximum amount (among the five
alternatives listed below) by which the banking system as a whole could increase loans would be:
a. zero.
b. less than $5000.
c. between $20,000 and $30,000.
d. between $30,000 and $40,000.
e. more than $40,000.
26. Had bank X been a monopoly bank, with all other circumstances as in question 16 (including zero hand-to-
hand circulation leakage), then the maximum amount by which this deposit would have enabled bank X to
increase its loans, if so disposed, would be:
a. zero.
b. $7500.
c. $10,000.
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d. $30,000.
e. more than $30,000.
27. If the required reserve ratio had been 20 percent rather than 25 percent, with all other circumstances as in
question 16, the deposit would have enabled bank X to increase its loans, if so disposed, by:
a. zero.
b. $2000.
c. $8000.
d. $10,000.
e. $40,000.
28. If the deposit of question 16 (where the reserve requirement equaled 25 percent) had been a $10,000 check
drawn on bank Y, then this deposit (considered in isolation from all other deposits or withdrawals) would have
enabled bank X to increase its loans, if so disposed, by:
a. zero.
b. $7500.
c. $10,000.
d. $30,000.
e. more than $30,000.
29. The deposit of question 21 would enable the entire banking system to increase its loans, if so disposed,
by:
a. zero.
b. $7500.
c. $10,000.
d. $30,000.
e. more than $30,000.
30. If the legal required reserve ratio is a minimum of 30 percent of the amount of demand deposits, and if the
banking system now has excess reserves of $15 million, then (disregarding any resulting increase in hand-to-
hand circulation) the banking system could increase demand deposits by a maximum of:
a. zero.
b. $10.5 million.
c. $15 million.
d. $35 million.
e. $50 million.
31. The “excess reserves” of a commercial bank consist of:
a. assets which, although not money, can be quickly converted into money by the bank should the need
arise.
b. money and near-money assets possessed by the bank in excess of 100 percent of the amount of its
demand deposits.
c. cash which must be kept on hand, not because everyday bank needs require it but because of a legal
requirement.
d. money held by the bank in excess of that fraction of its deposits required by law.
e. the difference between the amount of its money assets and the amount of its demand deposits.
32 The money multiplier is the multiplicative inverse of the required reserve ratio as long as:
a. currency leakages into circulation and/or foreign markets do not occur.
b. banks do not maintain excess reserves.
c. the required reserve ratio is far in excess of the reserves that banks think are prudent given the deposits
that they hold.
d. all the above.
e. none of the above.
The following problems are designed to help you apply the concepts that you learned in the chapter.
3. It is important to understand that there is a relationship between interest rates and the price of an asset. It
is also important to understand the relationship between interest rates and inflation.
a. The relationship between a price of an asset and interest rates is (direct / inverse / indeterminate).
b. Everything else equal, when inflation increases then real interest rates will (increase / decrease /
remain the same).
6. People (and institutions) are willing to pay interest because borrowed funds allow them to satisfy
consumption needs and/or make profitable investments. The rate of interest that is paid is dependent upon a
number of factors. The changes listed below should cause the rate of interest paid to rise (R), fall (F), or stay
the same (S). Put the appropriate letter in the blank preceding each of the following statements:
___ a. An increase in the term of the debt
___ b. A reduction in the risk associated with the debt
___ c. An increase in the degree of liquidity
___ d. A reduction in the cost of administering the debt
___ e. An increase in the rate of inflation
___ f. A decrease in long-term corporate profits
7. The demand for money is a result of both the transactions demand and the asset demand.
a. The transactions demand for money means that the demand for money will (increase / be unaffected /
decrease) as income climbs.
b. As interest rates fall, the demand for money should, through its assets demand component, (fall /
remain the same / climb).
Figure 25-1
8. The four panels in Figure 25-1 show the quantity of money demanded changing from M to M’. Record in
the spaces provided the letter of the panel that best illustrates each of the following changes in economic
conditions:
a. An increase in nominal GDP that leaves interest rates fixed
b. An increase in the rate of interest
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TABLE 25-1
Assets Liabilities
Gold coins in Deposits payable to
vault ………………. $10,000 customers on
demand …………… $10,000
a. Jones, a customer of the goldsmith, owes her neighbor, Bart, some gold. Bart needs to go shopping
and asks if Jones can repay the loan. The goldsmith’s shop has already closed for the day, so Jones gives
Bart a note reading as follows:
To: Ye Gold Shoppe / Pay Bart $5 from my deposit.
(Signed) Jones
What is the name used today for such a note? ___
b. Bart presents the note the next morning, but instead of taking gold coins, he asks the goldsmith to
keep the money stored in his name. Is any change necessary in the goldsmith’s balance sheet? If so,
explain.
11. Observing how convenient it was to settle an account by check, the townspeople adjust their behavior and
now handle many transactions by check. Occasionally a depositor withdraws gold to make a payment but the
person receiving payment usually deposits it once again, since the vault is the safest place for gold storage and
checks can always be drawn against such deposits.
A responsible merchant now asks the goldsmith for a loan of $2000. The goldsmith has no gold free of
deposit claims, having only the $10,000 deposited with her. Is there any reason why she should nonetheless
consider making the loan? Explain.
12. Assume that the loan is made, and the merchant is given $2000 in gold. Table 25-2 shows the
goldsmith’s balance sheet after these transactions have been completed.
TABLE 25-2
Assets Liabilities
Gold $8,000 Demand deposits $10,000
Loans 2,000
a. Assume that Ye Gold Shoppe is the only goldsmith in the community. When the merchant gets the
loan, he initially deposits it in his account with the goldsmith. Fill in Table 25-3 showing what Ye Gold
Shoppe’s balance sheet would look like after the merchant makes the deposit.
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TABLE 25-3
Assets Liabilities
Gold $ Demand deposits $
Loans
TABLE 25-4
Assets Liabilities
Gold $ 8,000 Demand deposits $28,000
Loans 20,000
a. The total money supply (M1) is now $___, consisting of $___ in bank money (demand deposits) and
$___ in gold held in circulation.
b. Should the $8000 in gold in the goldsmith’s vault count as part of M1? (Yes / No) Briefly explain
why or why not:
TABLE 25-5
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $
Loans
b. Given only one bank, the community’s total M1 is at this point $____, consisting of $____ in bank
money (again, demand deposits) and $____ in transactions currency.
15. a. A storekeeper brings $500 in cash into the bank for deposit. Use Table 25-6 to show Bank A’s
resulting balance sheet, before any new loans are issued.
TABLE 25-6
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $____
Loans
b. With this deposit, the storekeeper now has enough money on deposit to repay a $1000 loan. His
deposit is therefore reduced by $1000, and he is given back his note. Disregarding any interest on the
loan, complete a revised balance sheet in Table 25-7.
TABLE 25-7
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $
Loans
c. When the loan is paid off, is the community’s M1 affected? (Yes / No) If so, how? If not, why not?
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We have assumed, thus far, that there is just one bank in town. Suppose, instead, that there are two
banks: the original (Bank A) and a new one (Bank B).
16. a. The new bank (Bank B) attracts depositors away from Bank A. Perhaps it has a more convenient
location or has friendlier tellers. In any event, things finally shake out such that each bank is of equal size
and has $4000 in reserves. (The reserve requirement for both banks is still 20 percent.) The townspeople
still hold $2000 in currency for transactions. Complete Table 25-8 to show the balance sheet for either
bank (remember they are, at this point, identical), assuming that each is fully loaned up against a 20
percent required reserve ratio.
b. The community’s total M1 is $____, with $____ in bank money and $____ in circulation.
17. Now suppose that a local woman who has been working abroad returns home with $3000 of new currency.
She deposits the cash entirely with Bank B.
a. Show the balance sheet for Bank B in Table 25-9, assuming that Bank B has not yet had a chance to
issue new loans.
b. Now assume that Bank B extends loans to the maximum extent allowed by the 20 percent required
reserve ratio. Revise Bank B’s balance sheet in Table 25-10, assuming that all the people who receive a
loan from Bank B deposit their (new) money in demand deposits in Bank A.
TABLE 25-11
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $
Loans
b. Now use Table 25-12 to show the balance sheet for Bank A after it meets its reserve requirement.
TABLE 25-12
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $
Loans
TABLE 25-13
Required Money Multipliers
Reserve
Ratio (%) (1) (2)
3
5
10
12
16
b. Now complete column (2) under the assumption that banks hedge against the reserve requirement by
holding 2 percentage points above and beyond the requirement in “extra reserve.” (The notion here is that
banks’ hedging against being short can turn a required reserve ratio, set by the monetary authorities, into a
functionally stricter requirement and that the actual money multiplier can fall as a result.) Required reserve
ratios are, in practice, set higher than necessary so that banks are discouraged from doing too much of this
sort of hedging. Why? Because it adds an element of unpredictability to the computation of the money
multiplier that the monetary authorities would prefer to live without.
21. The combined balance sheet (billions of dollars) of all the commercial banks in Bancoland appears in
Table 25-14. The legal reserve requirement is 10 percent of deposits.
TABLE 25-14
Assets Liabilities
Reserves (deposits Demand deposits $100
Federal Reserve and
cash in vaults) $30
Loans 70
a. These banks thus have excess reserves of ($0 / $5 / $10 / $15 / $20 / $30) billion.
b. Show their balance sheet in Table 25-15 after they have taken full advantage of excess reserves to
expand loans. Assume that all new money remains as demand deposits.
TABLE 25-15
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $ Demand deposits $
Loans
22. The process of bank-money creation is most easily explained in terms of a deposit of cash in a bank. Bear
in mind, though, that once the credit expansion process is completed and banks are fully loaned up, most
deposits made with banks do not permit any further loan expansion at all.
Assume that the banking system is fully loaned up in both of the following cases. The reserve requirement
is 10 percent.
a. Gary deposits $1000 in cash in his bank. Which description of this transaction is better?
(1) This $1000 will permit the banking system to expand loans by $9000.
(2) Unless the $1000 was a net addition to reserves, no loan expansion by the banking system is
possible. The money may have been withdrawn from another bank (or even his bank) a day or two
earlier.
b. Lucille deposits a $1000 salary check in her bank. Again, pick the better description:
(1) This $1000 will permit the banking system to expand loans by $9000.
(2) Lucille’s bank’s reserves are increased but at the cost of the reserves of some other bank. There
has been no net addition to the entire banking system’s reserves.
D. Stock Market
23. Margin buying on the stock market works as follows: You want to buy XYZ stock, currently selling at
$40 per share; you think XYZ will rise to $50 or higher. You have $1000 in cash; this will buy only 25 shares
432
(disregarding the broker’s commission and other incidental buying costs). But with a margin requirement of 25
percent, you can buy a larger number of shares. You do this by borrowing $3000 from your broker or, via the
broker, from a bank or other lending agency.
a. The loan proceeds plus your own cash will buy (25 / 50 / 100 / 200) shares.
b. Of course, you must put up some security against your loan, but you can furnish XYZ stock worth
($1000 / $3000 / $4000). This is accepted as adequate security for your $3000 loan.
If XYZ does indeed go to 50, you sell your stock, pay off the principal and interest on your loan, and pocket
the rest of your profit, happy at having taken an economics course. But if, instead, XYZ should drop below 40
say, to 35—you will get a call from your broker to report that the bank “wants more margin,” because the value
of the asset you have supplied as collateral is falling.
c. Specifically, if the market price of XYZ is $35, your investment will be worth ($2500 / $3000 /
$3500 / $3750).
d. With a margin requirement of 25 percent, and assuming that you are still using the stock as collateral,
the most you can now borrow is ($2525 / $2625 / $2725 / $2825).
e. You must put up some more security or else pay off part of the loan. You have to come up with an
additional ($375 / $400 / $425 / $450).
If you fail to come across, the bank will sell your XYZ stock. If it sells at close to 30, the entire sale proceeds
go to cover your loan, leaving you with the sad reminder that you should first have read beyond Chapter 1 in
the text before venturing into the stock market.
f. Note the unstable quality of a market heavily involved with margin buying. If prices begin to fall,
this sets off a (further wave of selling / wave of buying), as borrowers cannot furnish more margin and
lenders sell to protect their loans. This pushes stock prices down even more.
24. a. A “bull” market is one in which most expectations are that stock prices are going to (rise / fall). Most
people with cash are accordingly inclined to (buy / refrain from buying) stocks. Most people holding
stocks are inclined to (continue to hold / sell) them. The consequence of such expectations is that stock
prices generally (rise / fall).
b. A “bear” market is one in which most expectations are that stock prices are going to (rise / fall). Most
people with cash are inclined to (buy / refrain from buying) stocks. Most people holding stocks are
inclined to (continue to hold / sell) them. The consequence of such expectations is that stock prices
generally (rise / fall).
25. Suppose, for the sake of illustration, that you decide that you want to buy a few shares of stock in a firm
that has suddenly become more profitable. The firm has just marketed a new product for which demand is
unexpectedly high, or just developed a new technology that will dramatically lower its costs and improve its
competitive position, or just discovered an enormous oil deposit under its Texas plant.
a. In any case, you are attracted to the stock because future earnings by that firm should be significantly
(higher / lower) than had originally been expected.
b. You and other investors will want to (buy / sell) stock in that firm.
c. People who already own stock in that firm will, on the other hand, want to (sell / hold onto) their
shares in the expectation that they will soon be worth (less / more).
d. The result will be an immediate (increase / reduction) in the price of that stock in response to
(higher / lower / unchanged) demand and (higher / lower / unchanged) supply at the original market-
clearing price.
By the time you get to the market and find someone who will be willing to sell you the shares that you want,
the price will already include the increment in value of the newly announced profitability that you had hoped to
cash in on.
e. The problem is that the efficient-market hypothesis means that the effects of foreseeable events are
already included in the prices of stocks before you can get to them. You are therefore left with trying to
predict unforeseeable events in your effort to “beat the market.” As a result, if you invest in the stock
market and accept the hypothesis, then you should (circle one or more):
(1) concentrate your purchases on a small number of stocks.
(2) buy a widely diversified collection of stocks.
(3) keep altering your portfolio—i.e., trade frequently.
(4) stick to your portfolio—i.e., trade infrequently.
433
Answer the following questions, making sure that you can explain the work you did to arrive at the answers.
1. Samuelson and Nordhaus write that the barter system “operates under grave disadvantages.” Briefly discuss
the advantages of a monetary economy.
2. Figure 25-2 is found on page 507 in the text. Are the interest rates on the vertical axis nominal or real?
How do you know?
3. Consider Figure25-3 below. Explain what would happen to the transactions demand for money schedule
under each of the following situations:
Figure 25-3
6. Broad money
20. TIPS
13. Riskless interest rate
1. Liquidity
4. Nominal interest rate
9. Portfolio theory
15. Financial intermediary
10. Reserves
8. Money-supply multiplier
3. Multiple expansion of bank deposits
e. R
f. S
7. a. increase
b. climb
8. a. (a)
b. (c)
c. (d) (due to the decrease in nominal GDP)
d. (b)
e. (b)
f. (d)
g. (d)
9. a. commercial banks
b. savings and loans
c. life insurance funds
d. pension funds and credit unions
e. money market funds
10. a. This is a check.
b. Total deposits in the goldsmith’s vault are unchanged. Only the ownership of those deposits has
changed. The goldsmith will want to make a record of that.
11. The goldsmith should make the loan. Only a few of the depositors withdraw their gold at any one time.
Besides, the gold that is withdrawn is likely to be paid to someone in the community and then redeposited
with the goldsmith.
12. a. See table 25-3 below.
TABLE 25-3
Assets Liabilities
Gold $10,000 Demand deposits $12,000
Loans 2,000
b. Yes
c. $2,000
TABLE 25-5
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $8,000 Demand deposits $40,000
Loans 32,000
TABLE 25-6
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $8,500 Demand deposits $40,500
Loans 32,000
TABLE 25-7
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $8,500 Demand deposits $39,500
Loans 31,000
436
c. Yes. Assuming no other changes, M1 falls by $1000. However, the bank can now loan that money to
someone else.
16. a. See table 25-8 below.
c. $2,400
18. a. See Table 25-11 below.
TABLE 25-11
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $6,400 Demand deposits $22,400
Loans 16,000
TABLE 25-12
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $4,480 Demand deposits $22,400
Loans 17,920
c. $1920
d. $4320
e. $4320 + 3000 = $7320
19. a. $12,000
b. $3,000
c. $15,000
d. $5
20. a. b.
TABLE 25-13
Required Money Multipliers
Reserve
Ratio (%) (1) (2)
3 33.33 20.00
5 20.00 14.29
10 10.00 8.33
12 8.33 7.14
16 6.25 5.56
437
21. a. $20
b. See Table 25-15 below.
TABLE 25-15
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $30 Demand deposits $300
Loans 270
22. a. (2)
b. (2)
23. a. 100
b. $3000
c. $3500
d. $2625
e. $375
f. further wave of selling
24. a. rise, buy, continue to hold, rise
b. fall, refrain from buying, sell, fall
25. a. higher
b. buy
c. hold onto, more
d. increase, higher, lower
e. (2) and (4)
not spend it and do not deposit it, the money creation process will slow down. Finally, if money leaves the
domestic economy through foreign travel or trade, the process will again slow down.
7. The efficient-market theory states that the price of a stock reflects all the information the market has about
that stock.
All new information is quickly understood by market participants and becomes immediately incorporated
into market prices. The market does respond to news and surprises, but these are unpredictable events.
Samuelson and Nordhaus discuss four criticisms of the efficient-market theory. (a) If everyone believes the
theory and assumes the market automatically adjusts to changes, there will be little or no incentive to trade. If
everyone behaved this way, the market would be inefficient.. (b) Those who are quicker, and smarter or who
have better advisers may make more money than others. (c) The efficient-market theory does a poor job of
explaining why the value of stocks fell so dramatically during the crash of 1987. (d) The efficient-market
theory works best when applied to individual stocks. It does a poorer job of explaining fluctuations in the
entire market.
8. The crash in 1929 was much longer and more severe. The market eventually lost 85 percent of its value as
opposed to 25 percent in 1987. The recovery in 1987 was very quick. Many analysts believe the recovery was
due, in large part, to the quick reaction by the Fed. The banking system is much more proactive than in 1929
and has established margin requirements which are much higher.
9. A speculative bubble occurs when stock prices increase based on hopes and dreams and not on any concrete
information about the increased profitability of firms. As long as other investors observe the rising prices and
purchase stock in an attempt to benefit from the increase in prices, the market will continue to inflate. At some
point, investors realize the market and their stocks are way overvalued, so they rush to sell in order to avoid the
plunge. The bubble has just popped!
10. Stock price indexes are weighted averages of the prices of a group of stocks. These indexes are used to
track trends in the stock market. The Dow-Jones Industrial Average follows the stocks of 30 large industrial
corporations, and the Standard and Poor 500 tracks the 500 largest American firms.