Starch Sector Report - AASPL - 23-07-10
Starch Sector Report - AASPL - 23-07-10
Starch Sector Report - AASPL - 23-07-10
S E C U R I T I E S P V T. L T D.
Starch, one of the most present biomaterials has witnessed significant developments over the years. As a result, the
simple product now stands transformed into a valuable ingredient, offering varied application benefits in both food
as well as non-food industries. Earlier Starch being mainly used in the food & beverage industry is now used in its
raw or modified form in many applications in industries such as Paper, Pharmaceuticals, textiles, Food and Animal
Feeds across the globe.
After witnessing a temporary dip in growth in the year 2008 and 2009, the world market for starch, by consumption is expected to
recover and register healthy growth to reach 80 mn metric tonnes by 2015. Growth will primarily be driven by revival of demand
fundamentals, such as, improving income levels, and rising propensity to spend, and the subsequent increase in demand for a variety
of food & manufactured products in the country.
The Global Starch market is likely to get respite from deceleration in its market growth, with growth poised to receive a new lease of
life in the next few years, thanks to the growing consumption of liquid starches and modified starches. The modified starch market is
projected to be the fastest growing segment over the period 2007-2015. This growth in the modified starch segment is due to the
rising health awareness across the globe and growing functional and nutritional needs in global economies, which demands use of
innovative modified starches.
The US represents the largest geographic market for starch, having accounted for a share of about 51% in the total volume of starch
consumed in 2009. Given the country's large per-capita income, the demand for starch in the US has been steadily on the rise. Asia-
Pacific represents the fastest growing market over the period 2007-2015. Growing employment opportunities, and subsequent
increase in per-capita income over the last few years, particularly in China and India, have been driving the growing demand for
starch in the region. (“Starch: A Global Strategic Business Report May 2010” report by Global Industry Analysts, Inc)
900
800
700
Anil Products Ltd.
Sales (Rs. Crs)
600
0
0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0
Mkt. Cap (Rs. Crs)
Source: Capitaline, AASPL Research
Indian Starch industry mainly consumes Corn (Maize) as input raw material.
Maize (Yellow Corn) is present in one form or other in Food, Milk, Chocolates/Biscuits, Clothes, Paper and Medicines. Corn contains
about 70% starch, other components being protein, fibers and fat. The basis of the corn milling process is the separation of the maize
(yellow corn) kernel into its different parts. Corn starch is produced by the wet milling process, which involves grinding of softened
corn and separation of corn oil seeds (germs), gluten (proteins), fibers (husk) and finally pure starch.
2
Research Desk INDIA STARCH SECTOR
Corn starch forms viscous, relatively short and opaque paste with cereal flavor. Its paste sets to stiff gels and is widely used for
thickening sauces, gravies, puddings and pie fillings. Corn starch finds numerous uses in the baking industry for the production of
cakes, cookies, in ice-cream preparations etc.
Modified starch is used in the manufacturing of chewing gum. In jellies, this replaced gelatine (a non-vegetarian base). This not only
helped in cutting of cost but also produced a 100% vegetarian product. The modified starches were also used in biscuits, cookies,
breads and cakes. It improves stiffness and crispness in biscuits and cookies and increased the volume in cakes. Dextrose (starch)
offers better consistency in jams than sugar.
In Paper industry a large quantity of starch is consumed as a surface-sizing agent, as a binder, as a paper coating agent etc.
In textile industry, starch is used in sizing to strengthen the warp yarn, in finishing and changing the appearance of fabric after it is
bleached, dyed or printed, in printing and increase the consistency of printing pastes. Also starch is used as a component in finishing
agent to glaze and polish sizing thread.
High-speed weaving required enhanced quality inputs like starch for sizing activity (preparatory weaving process in which yarn used
for weaving would be processed by using starch).
With global economy showing signs of recovery, consumer’s willingness to spend more and demand picking up, demand for products like
starch & glucose is also likely to pick up. Also, FMCG companies have continued to grow by volume and thereby would in turn increase the
demand for raw materials/inputs used in bakery & confectionery products.
These products are partly soluble in water and find several applications in food industry as:
Thickner in Sauces and Soups
Gel Former in Puddings
Suspension Stabilizer
Bodying agent in Baking
Modified Starches such as oxidised starch, pregelatinized starch and cationic starch find wide applications in paper industry, textile
industry, Confectionary etc.
B. Starch Sweeteners
Starch based sweeteners are other class of products manufactured in starch industries. A variety of sweeteners for very specific end
users are produced by acid/enzyme hydrolysis of starch. Following starch sweeteners are available in the market: Malto dextrin,
Liquid glucose, Dextrose monohydrate, High Maltose syrup, Liquid Sorbitol.
These starch based sweeteners find various end users, a few are mentioned below:
Maltodextrin: In syrup and powder form used in food, baby food and medical preparations as a non sweet, nutritive agent.
Liquid Glucose: Widely used in the confectionary bakery, jam, canning and leather industries.
Liquid Dextrose: In fermentation industries for the manufacture of dextrose monohydrates, fructose and Sorbitol syrups.
Dextrose Monohydrates: A crystalline free flowing product used in food and pharmaceutical industries for Glucose-D, Glucose-
C manufacture etc.
High Maltose Syrup: As a malt replacement in brewing industry, in confectionary for Candy making.
Sorbitol Syrup: It is hydrogenated dextrose syrup not having any reducing sugars widely used by tooth paste, pharmaceuticals,
cosmetics and tobacco industries.
3
Research Desk INDIA STARCH SECTOR
Karnataka Belgaum Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Ltd 1500 TPD 745.6 39.2
Madhya Pradesh Indore Tirupati Starch Products Ltd 27900 TPA 46.5 1.52
Rajnandgaon Rajaram Maize Products Ltd
Andhra Pradesh Hyderabad Gayatri Bio-Organics Ltd 53550 TPA 61.6 1.49
Samalkot Vensa Biotek Ltd
Punjab Phagwara Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals Ltd 150750 TPA 258.5 14.67
4
Research Desk INDIA STARCH SECTOR
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Source: United States Dept of Agriculture
Despite industry challenges like uncertainties of the monsoons and higher farmer returns, overall corn availability is expected to grow
at about 6% annually based on past trends, leading to an overall production of around 23.4 million tonnes by 2011-12.
18000
India Corn Consumption (1000 MT)
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
5
Research Desk INDIA STARCH SECTOR
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
Mar’09
Apr’09
May’09
Jun’09
Jul’09
Aug’09
Sep’09
Oct’09
Nov’09
Dec’09
Jan’10
Feb’10
Mar’10
Apr’10
May’10
Jun’10
Source: Bloomberg, AASPL Research
The corn (maize) prices during current year are expected to prevail in the range of Rs.8500-9500 per tonne in September-October
and are likely to increase by Rs.500-1000 per tonne afterwards. (Source: Agricultural Market Intelligence Centre)
6
RESEARCH
NOTE
ANIL PRODUCTS LTD
S E C U R I T I E S P V T. L T D.
Promoters 68.9%
FII & Institutions 6.5% Food Industry: Basic Starch is basically used for thickening sauces, pudding and gravies.
Public & Others 24.6% It is also used in bakeries and for preparing ice cream cones.
Relative Price Movement Animal Feeds: By-products is useful in cattle and poultry feeds as it activates weight
increase in animals and table birds. Gluten (by products) is a rich source of protein and is
150 used in Poultry feed as it contains 65% protein.
130
110
MANUFACTURING FACILITIES
90
Jul-10
Jul-10
Sep-09
Sep-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
Jan-10
Feb-10
Feb-10
Apr-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Jun-10
Nov-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Mar-10
Mar-10
May-10
May-10
Oct-09
Oct-09
7
Research Desk ANIL PRODUCTS LTD
402 16.0%
339 12.0%
276 8.0%
Rs. Crs
213 4.0%
150 0.0%
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
FY2010-11E GUIDANCE:
Sales target of ~Rs.500 Cr (vs. Rs.374 Cr in FY10) – 70% contribution will be from Value added products.
Revenue from By-products increased from Rs. 3 Cr in FY08 to Rs.17 cr in FY10. The company is expecting revenues of Rs.65 Cr
in FY’11E and about Rs.300 Cr by FY14E.
Till March 2011, the current capacity has been already booked.
EBITDA margin to improve to 17-18% in FY11E as compared to 14% in FY10 on account of higher contribution from Value
added products.
Net profit margin to be in the range of 7-8% which will translate into PAT of ~Rs.35 Cr in FY11E.
Target growth for the next 2-3 years to be in the range of 30-35% in revenue.
The focus of the company will be Food and Agro related Industries.
The company has added 23 countries to its exports list in FY10 and plans to add another ~20 countries by this year end.
8
Research Desk ANIL PRODUCTS LTD
VALUATION
The Stock at Rs.167 quotes at P/E multiple of 4.66x FY’11E EPS of Rs.35.82.
We recommend BUY on the stock with a price target of Rs.288, an upside of 72% from the current levels over a period of
12-18 months.
FINANCIALS
Profit & Loss A/c (Rs in Cr.) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
9
RESEARCH
NOTE
RIDDHI SIDDHI GLUCO BIOLS LTD (RSGBL)
S E C U R I T I E S P V T. L T D.
COMPANY PROFILE
Key Share Data
Incorporated in 1990, Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Limited (RSGBL) an Ahmedabad-based
BSE Code 524480 company is India’ largest starch and starch derivatives manufacturer. With 4 production
NSE Code NA units strategically located across the country and 1500 TPD capacity, RSGBL enjoys
Bloomberg RDSD IN market share of about 35%. The Company has manufacturing plants located in
Reuters RSGB.BO Viramgam (Gujarat), Gokak (Karnataka), Pantnagar (Uttarakhand) and Puducherry
Industry Starch (Union Territory).
Sensex 18113.2
Nifty 5442.0 The product portfolio of RSGBL includes various grades of corn starch powder, modified
Equity (Rs.Cr) 11.14 starches, liquid glucose, high maltose corn syrup (HMCS), dextrose monohydrate,
F.V (Rs.) 10 maltodextrine, dextrose syrup and related by-products.
M.Cap (Rs. Cr) 314
52 Wk H/L 304/119 LARGEST CORN PROCESSING CAPACITY
Avg Daily Volume 11,556 The Company's cumulative 1,500 TPD corn wet milling capacity is the largest in the
domestic industry.
Absolute Returns (%)
Year of Corn Processing
Unit Location Land
1m 3m 12m Commencement Capacity
Absolute 4.6% 23.6% 127.1%
Viramgam, Gujarat 1993-1994 250 TPD 50 Acres
Rel. to Sensex 2.5% 21.3% 108.2%
Gokak, Karnataka 1995-96 750 TPD 100 Acres
Pantnagar, Uttarakhand 2007-08 500 TPD 31 Acres
Shareholding Pattern (%): (30th June ‘10)
TOTAL 1500 TPD
Promoters 43.1% Puducherry, Union Territory 2005-06 8000 MT/year*
FII & Institutions 46.6%
# Puducherry unit is into modified starch.
Public & Others 10.3% Source: Company
Gokak (Karnataka) unit is India's single largest corn wet milling plant, followed by the
Relative Price Movement Pantnagar plant, which is the second largest in the country.
250
RSGBL has expanded its capacity during the year from 325000 tonnes in FY’09 to
200 440000 tonnes in FY’10 and there is no major expansion plans and capex lined up in
FY11E.
150
Apr-10
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Jun-10
Jul-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
among others and the Company's business from long-standing customers accounted for
~60% of revenues in FY09.
RSGBL Sensex
10
Research Desk RIDDHI SIDDHI GLUCO BIOLS LTD (RSGBL)
RSGBL strategic alliance with a Roquette Freres will facilitate the company in the transfer of technology know how which is likely to
help in enhance its standards and technology leadership in the industry.
There was also news that Roquette Freres is in advanced talks to buy RSGBL by raising its stake to 51% from 15%. Roquette is likely to
pay nearly Rs.150 crore for the ~36% stake, a premium of up to 30% over the then current market price of Rs.265. Roquette will then
have to launch an open offer to buy 20% more in RSGBL, which may cost another Rs.75 crore. However, the management clarified
later that it’s just a speculation and they don’t want to comment on speculations.
CONSISTENT PERFORMANCE
800 18.0%
650 13.5%
500 9.0%
Rs. Crs
350 4.5%
200 0.0%
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Net Sales (LHS) EBITDA Margin (RHS) PAT Margin (RHS)
11
Research Desk RIDDHI SIDDHI GLUCO BIOLS LTD (RSGBL)
VALUATION
The Stock at Rs.282 quotes at P/E multiple of 4.2x FY’11E EPS of Rs.67.3.
FINANCIALS
Profit & Loss A/c (Rs in Cr.) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
12
RESEARCH
NOTE
SUKHJIT STARCH AND CHEMICALS LTD
S E C U R I T I E S P V T. L T D.
COMPANY PROFILE
Key Share Data
Incorporated in 1943, Sukhjit Starch and Chemicals Limited (SSCL) a Punjab based
BSE Code 524452 company is primarily engaged in the manufacture of corn (maize) starch, dextrins,
NSE Code NA modified starches and its by-products, and derivatives like gluten, maize oil cake, maize
Bloomberg SHSC IN oil, dextrose monohydrate, dextrose anhydrous, sorbitol and maltodextrin (liquid and
Reuters SSCL.BO powder).
Industry Starch
Sensex 18113.2 It has four segments: starch & its derivatives, readymade garments, leasing hire purchase
Nifty 5442.0 financing and manufacturing of heavy machinery. The Company’s subsidiaries include
Equity (Rs.Cr) 7.38 The Vijoy Steel & General Mills Co. Ltd., Sukhjit Finance Ltd. and Scott Industries Ltd.
F.V (Rs.) 10
M.Cap (Rs. Cr) 125 LOCATION OF PLANTS:
52 Wk H/L 178/88
Avg Daily Volume 7,217 (i) Sarai Road, Phagwara (Punjab.)
PRODUCT-WISE CAPACITIES
Shareholding Pattern (%): (30th June ‘10)
Licensed Installed Production Sales Capacity
Promoters 56.9% Product Capacity (MT) Capacity (MT) (MT) (MT) Utilised
FII & Institutions 3.0%
Public & Others 40.1% Maize Starch 101500 95000 94279 36384# 99%
Glucose 48637 36000 43711 43339 121%
Relative Price Movement
Sorbitol 12000 9500 7614 7535 80%
200
180
Dextrine & Textilose 10250 10250 6381 6359 62%
160
140 # Out of 94279 MT of production, Captive consumption was 58604 MT
120 All figures are for FY09
100
80
Source: Company
60
40
20
0
CLIENTELE LIST
Aug-09
Apr-10
Jun-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
May-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Mar-10
May-10
SSCL's clients comprise prominent brands like Wrigley India ltd, Dabur India Ltd, Perfetti,
SRSL
SRSL
SENSEX
Sensex Godrej, Parle, Hindalco, Cadbury, and Ballarpur Industries among others.
13
Research Desk SUKHJIT STARCH AND CHEMICALS LTD
300
19.0%
17.0%
250 15.0%
13.0%
200 11.0%
Rs. Crs
9.0%
7.0%
150
5.0%
3.0%
100 1.0%
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
VALUATION
The Stock at Rs.169 quotes at P/E multiple of 6.8x FY’11E EPS of Rs.24.97.
FINANCIALS
Profit & Loss A/c (Rs in Cr.) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
14
Research Desk SUKHJIT STARCH AND CHEMICALS LTD
S E C U R I T I E S P V T. L T D.
Registered Office:
124 Viraj, S.V.Road, Khar (W), Mumbai – 400 052
Tel: 022 2649 7997 Fax: 022 2649 7997 Email: [email protected]
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