0% found this document useful (0 votes)
67 views5 pages

Tut 15A Normal Distn and Sample Mean - Solutions

1. The document contains solutions to problems involving the normal distribution. It calculates probabilities and standard deviations for variables that follow normal distributions based on given means, variances, and probability values. 2. Several problems involve summing multiple normally distributed variables and finding the distribution of the sum. The central limit theorem is applied to calculate probabilities involving sample means and variances. 3. The problems cover a wide range of applications including battery lifespans, travel times, weights of fruits, and student study hours. Parameters of the normal distributions and probabilities are calculated methodically step-by-step.

Uploaded by

selmerparis
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
67 views5 pages

Tut 15A Normal Distn and Sample Mean - Solutions

1. The document contains solutions to problems involving the normal distribution. It calculates probabilities and standard deviations for variables that follow normal distributions based on given means, variances, and probability values. 2. Several problems involve summing multiple normally distributed variables and finding the distribution of the sum. The central limit theorem is applied to calculate probabilities involving sample means and variances. 3. The problems cover a wide range of applications including battery lifespans, travel times, weights of fruits, and student study hours. Parameters of the normal distributions and probabilities are calculated methodically step-by-step.

Uploaded by

selmerparis
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 5

Tutorial 15A: Normal Distribution and Sample Mean (Solutions)

10.9 + 12.1
1. For the probability to be maximum, μ = = 11.5
2
Then X ~ N(11.5, 2.25) and the greatest value of P(10.9 < X < 12.1) = 0.311

2. Let X = Time taken in minutes for a journey on route A,


and Y = Time taken in minutes for a journey on route B.
Then X ~ N(25, 52) and Y ~ N(30, 22).
(i) P(X > 32) = 0.0808

(ii) X − Y ~ N(25 − 30, 52 + 22) = N(−5, 29)


P(X > Y) = P( X − Y > 0 ) = 0.177
P(|X − Y| > 5) = P(X − Y > 5) + P(X − Y < −5) = 0.0317 + 0.5 = 0.532

(iii) Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 + Y5 ~ N(5(30), 5(22)) = N(150, 20)


P(Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 + Y5 < 160) = 0.987

3. Let X = Weight in grams of an orange and Y = Weight in grams of a pear.


By the Central Limit Theorem,
52 1 82 64
X ≈ N(107, ) = N(107, ) and Y ≈ N(110, ) = N(110, ) .
75 3 69 69
1 64 29
⇒ X − Y ~ N (107 − 110, + ) = N (−3, )
3 69 23
P( X > Y ) = P( X − Y > 0) = 0.00377

4. Let X = Lifespan of a brand A battery. Then X ~ N(μ, σ2).


(i) Given P(X < 60) = 0.01
60 − μ X −μ
⇒ P (Z < ) = 0.01 , where Z = ~ N(0,1)
σ σ
60 − μ
⇒ = −2.326
σ
⇒ −60 + μ = 2.326σ ……(1)
and P(X > 68) = 0.25
68 − μ X −μ
⇒ P (Z > ) = 0.25 , where Z = ~ N(0,1)
σ σ
68 − μ
⇒ 1 − P (Z < ) = 0.25
σ
68 − μ
⇒ P (Z < ) = 0.75
σ
68 − μ
⇒ = 0.674
σ

Pg 23
⇒ 68 − μ = 0.674σ ……(2)
8
(1)+(2): 8 = 3σ ⇒ σ = = 2.67 (to 3 s.f.) (Shown)
3
8 ⎛8⎞
Substitute σ = into (1): μ = 60 + 2.326 ⎜ ⎟ = 66.2 (to 3 s.f.) (Shown)
3 ⎝3⎠
Let Y = Lifespan of a brand B battery. Then Y ~ N(65.7, 3.512).
(ii) P(the battery lasts for more than 66 hours)
8 10
= P(X > 66) + P(Y > 66)
18 18
= 0.494
2.67 2
(iii) X = average lifespan of 8 Brand A batteries. X ∼ N (66.2, )
8
3.512
Y = average lifespan of 10 Brand B batteries. Y ∼ N (65.7, )
10
⎛ 2.67 2 3.512 ⎞
X − Y ∼ N ⎜ 66.2 − 65.7, + ⎟ = N ( 0.5, 2.1231225 )
⎜ 8 10 ⎟
⎝ ⎠
( )
P X − Y ≤ 0.3 = P ( −0.3 ≤ X − Y ≤ 0.3)
= 0.1539232
≈ 0.154 (to 3 s.f)

5.(a) Given X ~ B(20, 0.2).


Then E(X) = 20(0.2) = 4 and Var(X) = 20(0.2)(0.8) = 3.2.
3.2
By the Central Limit Theorem, X ≈ N (4, ).
n
Given P( X < 4.354) ≈ 0.9
4.354 − 4 X −4
⇒ P (Z < ) ≈ 0.9 , where Z = ~ N(0,1)
3.2 3.2
n n
0.354 n
⇒ ≈ 1.282
3.2
⇒ n ≈ 42 (nearest integer)

⎛1⎞ 80
(b) By the Central Limit Theorem, S ≈ N (80 (1) ,80 ⎜ ⎟) = N(80, ).
⎝3⎠ 3
P(75 < S < 90) = 0.807

⎛ 97 ⎞ ⎛ 4463 ⎞ 2425 111575


(c) By the Central Limit Theorem, S ≈ N (100 ⎜ ⎟ ,100 ⎜ ⎟) = N( , ).
⎝ 96 ⎠ ⎝ 9216 ⎠ 24 2304
P(S < 99) = 0.385

Pg 24
6. Let X = Mass of a melon and Y = Mass of a pumpkin.
Then X ~ N(0.8, 0.12) and Y ~ N(1.2, 0.22).
5 3

∑ X i ~ N(5(0.8), 5(0.12)) = N(4, 0.05),


i =1
∑Y
i =1
i ~ N(3(1.2), 3(0.22)) = N(3.6, 0.12)
5 3
1.5 ∑ X i + 0.5 ∑ Yi ~ N(1.5(4) + 0.5(3.6), 1.52(0.05) + 0.52(0.12))
i =1 i =1
= N(7.8, 0.1425)
5 3
P(1.5 ∑ X i + 0.5 ∑ Yi > 8) = 0.298
i =1 i =1

7. Let X = Mass of coffee in a jar. Then X ~ N(203, 2.52).


(i) P(X ≥ 200) = 0.885

(ii) Given P(X > m) = 0.03


⇒ P(X ≤ m) = 0.97
⇒ m = 208

(iii) X1 + X2 ~ N(2(203), 2(2.52)) = N(406, 12.5)


P(400 < X1 + X2 < 405) = 0.344

__
2.52
(iv) C ~ N (203, ) = N(203, 0.3125)
20
__
Given P( C− 203 < a) = 0.95
__
⇒ P (− a < C− 203 < a) = 0.95
__
⇒ P (203 − a < C < 203 + a) = 0.95
__
1 − 0.95
⇒ P (C < 203 + a) = 0.95 + = 0.975
2
⇒ 203 + a = 204.096
⇒ a = 1.10

8. Let M = No. of hours per week spent in study by male students,


and F = No. of hours per week spent in study by female students.
Then M ~ N(28.4, 62) and F ~ N(31.3, 42).
(i) M1 + M2 ~ N(2(28.4), 2(62)) = N(56.8, 72)
P(M1 + M2 ≥ 54.5) = 0.607

(ii) F − M ~ N(31.3 − 28.4, 42 + 62) = N(2.9, 52)


P(F < M) = P(F − M < 0) = 0.344

Pg 25
(iii) M1 + M2 + M3 − 3F ~ N(3(28.4) − 3(31.3), 3(62) + 32(42)) = N(−8.7, 252)
P(M1 + M2 + M3 > 3F) = P(M1 + M2 + M3 − 3F > 0) = 0.292

M 1 + M 2 + M 3 + M 4 + M 5 + M 6 + F1 + F2
(iv) T =
8
1 1 233
E(T ) = ⎡⎣6 ( E( M ) ) + 2 ( E( F ) ) ⎤⎦ = [ 6(28.4) + 2(31.3) ] = (Shown)
8 8 8
1 1 31
Var(T ) = 2 ⎡⎣6 ( Var( M ) ) + 2 ( Var( F ) ) ⎤⎦ = ⎡6 ( 62 ) + 2 ( 42 ) ⎤ =
8 64 ⎣ ⎦ 8 (Shown)
233 31
∴T ∼ N( , )
8 8
P(25 < T < 32) = 0.910

9. Let C = Mass in grams of a bar of chocolate,


and L = Mass in grams of a lollipop.

Then C ~ N(71, 72) and L ~ N(57, 52).

(i) L1 + L2 + L3 + L4 − 3C ~ N(4(57) − 3(71), 4(52) + 32(72)) = N(15, 541)


P(L1 + L2 + L3 + L4 − 3C < 10) = 0.415

(ii) X = C1 + C2 + C3 + C4 + C5 + L1 + L2
E(X) = 5 E(C) + 2 E(L) = 5(71) + 2(57) = 469 (Shown)
Var(X) = 5 Var(C) + 2 Var(L) = 5(72) + 2(52) = 295 (Shown)
∴ X ~ N(469, 295)

(iii) Y = C1 + C2 + C3 + L1 + L2 + L3 + L4 + L5
E(Y) = 3 E(C) + 5 E(L) = 3(71) + 5(57) = 498
Var(Y) = 3 Var(C) + 5 Var(L) = 3(72) + 5(52) = 272
∴ Y ~ N(498, 272)
X − Y ~ N(469 − 498, 295 + 272) = N(−29, 567)
P(|X − Y| < 10) = P(−10 < X − Y < 10) = 0.162

10. Let X = Weight in grams of a grade A apple. Then X ~ N(200, σ2).


(i) Given P(X > 214) = 0.12
214 − 200 X − 200
⇒ P (Z > ) = 0.12 , where Z = ~ N(0,1)
σ σ
14
⇒ P (Z ≤ ) = 0.88
σ
14
⇒ = 1.175
σ
⇒ σ = 12 (to 2 s.f.) (Shown)

Pg 26
(ii) P(|X − 200| > 10)
= P(X − 200 > 10) + P(X − 200 < −10)
= P(X > 210) + P(X < 190)
= 0.405

Let Y = Weight in grams of a grade B apple. Then Y ~ N(160, 92).


(iii) Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 − (X1 + X2 + X3)
~ N(4(160) − 3(200), 4(92) + 3(122)) = N(40, 756)
P(Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 < X1 + X2 + X3)
= P(Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + Y4 − ( X1 + X2 + X3 ) < 0)
= 0.0728

92
(iv) Y ~ N (160, )
n
Given P( Y > 158) ≥ 0.95
158 − 160 Y − 160
⇒ P( Z > ) ≥ 0.95 , where Z = ~ N(0,1)
92 92
n n
2 n
⇒ P (Z > − ) ≥ 0.95
9
2 n
⇒ P (Z < ) ≥ 0.95
9
2 n
⇒ ≥ 1.645
9
⇒ n ≥ 54.797
∴Least integer value of n = 55.

Pg 27

You might also like