Synergy Decisions White Paper
Synergy Decisions White Paper
The Challenge of
Sponsorship Valuation
Nothing is more important to the future of sponsorship than
for all of us to become far, far better at understanding,
quantifying and communicating its value.
The sad truth, however, is that most of the industry is looking
for it in the wrong place. There is no magic number, unifying
model, game-changing algorithm, foolproof formula or reliable
proxy. Without a good understanding of the value created,
Return On Investment (ROI) is just a meaningless ratio, while
Balanced Scorecards and Return On Objectives (ROO) are
lame attempts to coat easily manipulated and fluffy marketing
speak with some science (but at least they nod to the breadth
of ways that sponsorship can create value).
Contents
The Challenge of Sponsorship Valuation
The Value of Sponsorship
Implementing the Asset Valuation Approach
Building Sponsorship Valuation Models
Using the Model
In Summary
Appendix
For the past year, Synergy has been applying this approach
in a controlled manner to some of our major clients. Having
gained this experience, we are now in a position to roll it out
more broadly across the market.
Carsten Thode
10m
In writing this paper, our hope is that we will be doing our bit to
help the sponsorship industry make better decisions by
gaining a better understanding of the value of sponsorship and
the drivers of that value. In turn, we hope that this will help
sponsorship hold its own at the top table of companies
strategic investment decisions, which will ultimately result in
increased sponsorship spend.
Building Sponsorship
Valuation Models
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
Understand
the Pathways
to Value
Identify the
Value Drivers
for Each
Pathway
Build the
Model
Find the
Best Possible
Inputs and
Assumptions
Interrogate
the Model
Every Pathway to Value has its own value drivers. These are
basically the things that influence how much value is being
created within the specific pathway.
Lets take the Corporate Hospitality Pathway to Value as a simple
example. Here are some of the value drivers that may be relevant:
Number of hospitality spaces available: This could include
VIP and VVIP spaces.
Cost per space: This needs to be fully allocated to include not
only the cost of the ticket, but all the travel, entertainment,
food and beverages along with anything else that goes into
the event. If corporate hospitality is a major Pathway to Value,
it might also make sense to allocate a portion of the rights fee
to the cost per space.
million 14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
STEP 2 Identify
the Value Drivers for
Each Pathway
Brand
Favourability
Corporate
Hospitiality
Consumer
Promotion
Employee
Performance
Tender
Rights
Sponsorship
Cost
Net
Sponsorship
Value
500
500
20%
Segment A
20%
30%
50%
Segment B
25%
25%
50%
Total
45%
55%
100%
5%
10%
10%
15%
Segment B
50,000
40,000
20,000
15,000
Calculations
Total number of clients
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
New Business Prospects
Existing Clients for Retention
Total
Segment A
80
120
200
Segment B
100
100
200
Total
180
220
400
Segment A
4
12
16
Segment B
10
15
25
Total
14
27
41
Outputs
Total Incremental Sales Driven by Hospitality
Total Cost of Hospitality Programme
Total Value of Hospitality
1,105,000
250,000
855,000
Step 4
Find the Best Possible
Garbage in, garbage out is a common refrain when it
comes to building financial models. The outputs of a model
can only ever be as good as the inputs and assumptions
that drive it.
In our experience, pinning down these inputs and assumptions
is usually the most difficult and time-consuming part of the
whole process. It certainly causes the hottest debate.
Broadly speaking, there are three types of input:
1 FACTUAL INPUTS THAT ARE RELATIVELY
EASY TO FIND
(e.g. Number of tickets, cost per space, how the spaces
are being filled)
2 CALCULATED INPUTS THAT REQUIRE A
BIT MORE DIGGING
(e.g. Average values of new business wins and
retained clients)
3 BIG ASSUMPTIONS THAT ARE
VIRTUALLY UNKNOWABLE
(e.g. Expected incremental conversion rates)
So does the fact that the model requires some unknowable
assumptions call the whole process into question? For us,
the answer is a clear no.
Firstly, as discussed earlier, this process is not about finding
the right answer its about making better decisions.
An assumption doesnt need to be 100% accurate, as long
as it doesnt change the ultimate decision.
In the example above, does it really matter if the average
customer lifetime values for our four segments are exactly
50,000, 40,000, 20,000 and 15,000? What if they were
actually 45,127, 36,742, 18,561 and 13,236? Well, it turns
out that the programme would still create over 750k in value.
Thats about 100k less (See: Appendix 1), but it wouldnt
change our decision about whether or not to invest in the
corporate hospitality programme.
It is absolutely crucial that we use the model to find
breakeven points. This gives us various ranges within which
the decision remains the same. As long as we are confident
that our assumption falls within that range, we are happy to
move forward.
Using our example model, we find that the corporate hospitality
programme will be creating value even if the average value for
each of our segments is 77% lower than our assumption.
The breakeven values are 11,312, 9,050, 4,525 and 3,394
(See: Appendix 2), which gives us plenty of confidence that the
actual value is well above our required minimum.
Post-Campaign
How much value did our
sponsorship campaign create?
Did we hit our KPIs?
What impact did it have on
the overall value?
Should we renew our
sponsorship and what rights
do we need to increase our
value in the next contract?
In Summary
Appendix
Using our example model, we find that the corporate hospitality programme will be creating value even if the average value
for each of our segments is 77% lower than our assumption. The highlighted inputs have been flexed.
General Inputs
General Inputs
Total Hospitality Places
Fully Allocated Cost per Place
% of hospitality places used by hosts
500
500
20%
500
500
20%
Total
45%
55%
100%
Segment A
20%
30%
50%
Segment B
25%
25%
50%
Total
45%
55%
100%
Segment B
18,561
13,236
Breakeven Decrease
77%
Calculations
Calculations
Total number of clients
Segment B
4,525
3,394
400
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
Segment A
Segment B
Total
New Business Prospects
80
100
180
Existing Clients for Retention
120
100
220
Total
200
200
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
Segment A
Segment B
Total
New Business Prospects
80
100
180
Existing Clients for Retention
120
100
220
Total
200
200
400
Total
14
27
41
Outputs
Outputs
1,105,562
250,000
755,562
-99,438
Total
14
27
41
Segment A
45,249
108,597
153,846
250,000
250,000
Segment B
45,249
50,905
96,154
Total
90,498
159,502
250,000
Shifting the proportion of guests towards the more profitable Segment A leads to more value creation. The highlighted
inputs have been flexed.
Counterintuitively, shifting the proportion of guests towards new business customers, who are more profitable on a per-guest
basis, actually reduces the expected value of the corporate hospitality programme. The highlighted inputs have been flexed.
General Inputs
General Inputs
Total Hospitality Places
Fully Allocated Cost per Place
% of hospitality places used by hosts
500
500
20%
Segment B
12.5%
12.5%
25%
Total
42.5%
55.5%
100%
500
500
20%
Segment B
40%
10%
50%
Total
75%
25%
100%
Segment B
20,000
15,000
Calculations
Calculations
Total number of clients
400
Segment A
120
180
300
Segment B
50
50
100
400
Total
170
230
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
Segment A
Segment B
Total
New Business Prospects
140
160
300
Existing Clients for Retention
60
40
100
Total
200
200
400
Total
11
26
37
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
New Business Prospects
Existing Clients for Retention
Total
Segment B
20,000
15,000
Outputs
Outputs
Total Incremental Sales Driven by Hospitality
Total Cost of Hospitality Programme
Total Value of Hospitality
1,232,500
250,000
127,500
982,500
Total
23
12
35
1,000,000
250,000
-105,000
750,000
Even though they are less profitable on a per-guest basis, better incremental conversion rates mean that we can increase the value
of the corporate hospitality programme by increasing the proportion of Existing Clients. The highlighted inputs have been flexed.
As long as we believe that the Incremental Conversion Rate is above 2%, then the corporate hospitality programme will
create value. The highlighted inputs have been flexed.
General Inputs
General Inputs
Total Hospitality Places
Fully Allocated Cost per Place
% of hospitality places used by hosts
500
500
20%
Total
25%
75%
100%
Segment A
20%
30%
50%
Segment B
25%
25%
50%
Total
45%
55%
100%
Segment A
2%
2%
Segment B
2%
2%
Segment A
50,000
40,000
Segment B
20,000
15,000
Calculations
Calculations
Total number of clients
500
500
20%
400
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
Segment A
Segment B
Total
New Business Prospects
40
60
100
Existing Clients for Retention
160
140
300
Total
200
200
400
Number of clients in each segment (total number of clients x percentage of clients in each segment)
Segment B
100
100
200
Total
180
220
400
Total
4
4
8
Total
8
37
45
Segment A
80
120
200
Outputs
Outputs
1,175,000
250,000
925,000
70,000
250,000
250,000
We are Synergy
We make New for our clients
and share it with the world.
We love change, stay curious,
and always ask Whats next?
Synergy Sponsorship
60 Great Portland Street
London W1W 7RT
Read our blog:
www.synergy-sponsorship.com/blog
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www.youtube.com/synergylondon
Innovato rs in Sponsorship