The Philippine Monetary
System and Policy
Prepared By: Sheila E. Maloles, MMT
THE MEANING OF MONEY
Money is the set of assets in an
economy that people regularly use
to buy goods and services from
other people.
The Functions of Money
Money has three functions in the
economy:
Medium
of exchange
Unit of account
Store of value
The Functions of Money
Medium of Exchange
A
medium of exchange is an item that
buyers give to sellers when they want to
purchase goods and services.
A medium of exchange is anything that is
readily acceptable as payment.
The Functions of Money
Unit of Account
A
unit of account is the yardstick people use to
post prices and record debts.
Store of Value
A
store of value is an item that people can use to
transfer purchasing power from the present to
the future.
The Functions of Money
Liquidity
Liquidity
is the ease with which an asset
can be converted into the economys
medium of exchange.
The Kinds of Money
Commodity money takes the form of a
commodity with intrinsic value.
Examples:
Gold, silver, cigarettes.
Fiat money is used as money because of
government decree.
It
does not have intrinsic value.
Examples: Coins, currency, check deposits.
Money in the U.S. Economy
Currency is the paper bills and coins in the
hands of the public.
Demand deposits are balances in bank
accounts that depositors can access on
demand by writing a check.
Monetary policy of the Philippines
Monetary policy is the monitoring and
control of money supply by a central bank,
such as the Federal Reserve Board in the
United States of America, and the Bangko
Sentral ng Pilipinas in the Philippines. This
is used by the government to be able to
control inflation, and stabilize currency.
Monetary Policy continued.
Monetary Policy is considered to be one of the two
ways that the government can influence the
economy the other one being Fiscal Policy (which
makes use of government spending, and taxes).
Monetary Policy is generally the process by which
the central bank, or government controls the
supply and availability of money, the cost of
money, and the rate of interest.
Money Supply Indicator
Money supply indicators are often found to
contain necessary information for predicting
future behavior of prices and assessing
economic activity.
These are used by economists to confirm
their expectations and help forecast trends
in consumer price inflation.
Money Supply Indicator
One can predict, to a certain extent, the
government's intentions in regulating the economy
and the consequences that result from it. For
example, the government may opt to increase
money supply to stimulate the economy or the
government may opt to decrease money supply to
control a possible mishap in the economy.
Money Supply Indicator
These indicators tell whether to increase or
decrease the supply. Measures that include
not only money but other liquid assets are
called money aggregates under the name
M1, M2, M3, etc
M1: Narrow Money
M1 includes currency in circulation. It is the base
measurement of the money supply and includes cash
in the hands of the public, both bills and coins, plus
peso demand deposits, tourists checks from nonbank issuers, and other checkable deposits. Basically,
these are funds readily available for spending.
Adjusted M1 is calculated by summing all the
components mentioned above
M2: Broad Money
This is termed broad money because M2 includes a
broader set of financial assets held principally by
households. This contains all of M1 plus peso
saving deposits (money market deposit accounts),
time deposits and balances in retail money market
mutual funds.
M3: Broad Money Liabilities
Broad Money Liabilities include M2 plus
money substitutes such as promissory notes
and commercial papers.
M4: Liquidity Money
These include M3 plus transferable
deposits, treasury bills and deposits held in
foreign currency deposits. Almost all shortterm, highly liquid assets will be included in
this measure.
Implications
If the velocity of M1 and M2 money stock has been low,
this indicates that there is a lot of money in the hands of
consumers and money is not changing hands frequently.
Generally we would expect that when money supply
indicators are growing faster than interest rates plus
growth rate or inflation, whichever is higher, interest
rates should possibly be increased. This should only
generally apply when broad measures of money supply
growth are higher than narrow measures, to rule out
some of the measurement error issues that could emerge.
Monetary Policy Instruments
Open Market Operations
Open Market Operations consist of repurchase and
reverse repurchase transactions, outright
transactions, and foreign exchange swaps.
Repurchase and Reverse Repurchase
This is carried out through the Repurchase Facility
and Reverse Purchase Facility of the Bangko Sentral
ng Pilipinas.
In Purchase transactions, the Bangko Sentral buys
government securities with a dedication to sell it
back at a specified future date, and at a
predetermined interest rate.
The BSPs payment increases reserve balances and
expands the monetary supply in the Philippines. On
the other hand, in Reverse Repurchase, the
government acts as the seller, and works to decrease
the liquidity of money.
These transactions usually have maturities ranging
from overnight to one month.
Outright Transactions
Unlike the repurchase or reverse repurchase, there is
no clear intent by the government to reverse the
action of their selling/buying of monetary securities.
Thus, this transaction creates a more permanent
effect on our monetary supply. When the BSP buys
securities, it pays for them by directly crediting its
counterpartys Demand Deposit Account with the
BSP. The reverse is done upon the selling of
securities.
Foreign Exchange Swaps
This refers to the actual exchange of two currencies
at a specific date, at a rate agreed upon the deal date
and the reverse exchange of the currencies at a
farther ate in the future, also at an interest rate
agreed on deal date.
Acceptance of Fixed-Term Deposits
To expand its liquidity management, the Bangko
Sentral introduced this method in 1998. In the
Special Deposits Account, or SDA, consists fixed
terms deposits by banks and institutions affiliated
with the BSP.
Standing Facilities
To increase the volume of credit in the financial
system, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas extends
loans, discounts, and advances to banking
institutions. Rediscounting is a standing credit
facility provided by the BSP to help banks meet
temporary liquidity needs by refinancing the loans
they extend to their clients.
There are two types of rediscounting in the BSP: the
peso rediscounting facility and the Exporters dollar
and Yen Rediscount Facility.
Reserve Requirements
In banking institutions, there are required amounts
that banks cannot lend out to people. They always
need to maintain a certain balance of money, which
are called "reserves". Once these reserve
requirements are changed and are varied, changes in
the monetary supply will be observed greatly.
Two Forms:
Regular or Statutory Reserves
Liquidity Reserves
Philippine Monetary/Currency Policy
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas or BSP is the central
monetary authority of the republic of the Philippines.
It provides policy directions in the areas of money,
banking and credit and exists to supervise operations
of banks and exercises regulatory powers over
non-bank financial institutions. It keeps
aggregate demand from growing rapidly with
resulting high inflation, or from growing too slowly,
resulting in high unemployment.[9]
The primary objective of BSP's monetary policy is to
promote price stability because it has the sole ability
to influence the amount of money circulating in the
economy. In doing so, other economic goals, such as
promoting financial stability and achieving broadbased, sustainable economic growth, are given
consideration in policy decision-making.
Philippine Monetary Framework I: 1980s to early 1990s
In the past, the BSP followed the monetary aggregate
targeting approach to monetary policy. This approach is
based on the assumption that there is a stable and
predictable relationship between money, output and
inflation.
In particular, all money aggregates, with the exception of
reserve money, are incorporated with output and interest
rate. This means that there is a long-run relationship
between money on one hand and output and interest rate
on the other so that even if there are shocks in the economy,
the variables will return to their trend equilibrium levels.
This means that changes in money supply (on the
assumption that velocity is stable over time) are
directly related to price changes or to inflation. Thus,
it is assumed that the BSP is able to determine the
level of money supply that is needed given the
desired level of inflation that is consistent with the
economy's growth objective. In effect, under the
monetary targeting framework, the BSP controls
inflation indirectly by targeting money supply.
Philippine Monetary Framework II: June 1995 to Present
The BSP employs a modified framework beginning the
second semester of 1995 in attempt to enhance the
effectiveness of the monetary policy by complementing
monetary aggregate targeting with some form of inflation
targeting, placing greater emphasis on price stability.
Certain key modifications include:
Allows base money levels to go beyond target as long as the
inflation rates are met
An excess of one or more percentage points of inflation over
the program induces mopping up operation by the BSP to
bring down base money to the previous months level
Under an aggregate targeting framework, the BSP
fixes money growth so as to minimize expected
inflation. On the other hand, under the new
framework, BSP sets monetary policy so that price
level is not just zero in expectation but is also zero
regardless of latter shocks. Moreover, the framework
was changed because BSP wanted to address the fact
that aggregate targeting did not account for the longrun effects of monetary policy on the economy.
With this approach, the BSP can exceed the
monetary targets as long as the actual inflation rate
is kept within program levels and policymakers
monitor a larger set of economic variables in making
decisions regarding the appropriate stance of
monetary policy.
Current Approach: Inflation Targeting
As mentioned earlier, Inflation Targeting requires a
public announcement of an inflation rate that a country
will target for the coming years, or in a given period of
time. It focuses on maintaining a low level of inflation,
that which is considered to be optimal, or at least would
allow the country to have ample economic growth. Its
main desire is to achieve price stability as the ultimate
end goal of the monetary policy.
The Philippines formally adopted Inflation Targeting as
the framework for Monetary Policy on January 2002.
The Philippines inflation target is measured through
the Consumer Price Index (CPI). For 2009, inflation
target has been set to be 3.5 percent, having a 1%
tolerance level, and 4.5 percent for 2010, also having
1% tolerance. Also, the Monetary Board of the
Philippines announced a target of around 41
percent from 2012 to 2014.
Monetary Policy Issues
Exchange rates play a significant role in monetary
transmission mechanism and at the same time, it can
have a large impact on inflation rates. Although the
BSP has adopted the inflation targeting approach, it
may be tempted to inexplicitly target exchange rate to
achieve its low inflation target. The issue here is the
extent of the exchange rate pass-through or ERPT to
domestic prices since higher ERPT would require the
BSP to shift its attention to exchange rate movements
to stabilize prices.
Role of Monetary Aggregates
Since the shift to inflation targeting, BSP has already
abandoned monetary aggregates because its
information content has apparently declined in the
recent years. Moreover, it is also assumed that a shift
of approach was necessary because money
aggregates are normally not good indicators of future
economic policy requirements due to unreliability of
measurement.
Measurement of Inflation and Liquidity Trap
Since inflation targeting leads to lower and stable
inflation rates, more improvement should then be
given to the measurement of the consumer price
index since few percentage points have greater
repercussions when rates are low. Errors in CPI
measurement could lead to ineffective and
unsuitable monetary policy response by the BSP
which definitely result to detrimental effects to the
economy.
Another issue arising from monetary policies is the
liquidity trap. This happens when inflation rate
declines too much leading to a threat of deflation.
Liquidity trap is defined as a situation in which there
are zero nominal interest rates, persistent deflation
and deflation expectations. In the event this occurs,
bonds and money earn the same real rate of return
thus making people indifferent to holding bonds or
excess money.
Budget Deficit and External Debts
Given high budget deficits, the government is
concerned about two closely related issues: it does not
want to pay very high interest on its borrowings and it
does not want to crowd out the market.
Ideally, the government could raise tax revenues to
avoid borrowing huge sums from the market.
However, the government opted to borrow from the
international capital market and though rates are low,
these have shorter maturity and countrys outstanding
external debt has continued to move towards a less
ideal position.
Fiscal Dominance
According to the fiscal theory of the price level, it is
not the non-interest bearing money but the total
nominal liabilities including interest bearing notes
and future fiscal surpluses that matter for price-level
determination. In the absence of fiscal discipline, an
independent central bank such as the BSP cannot
guarantee a stable nominal anchor. In other words,
for the BSP to successfully focus on price stability,
there must be a credible commitment on the part of
the National Government to reduce total fiscal deficits
by a meaningful amount.
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