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Bernoulli Vs Binomial Distribution

The Bernoulli distribution describes experiments with two possible outcomes, like coin tosses, where p is the probability of success. The binomial distribution describes experiments with n Bernoulli trials, where X is the number of successes. For a binomial random variable X ~ B(n, p): - The probability of k successes is (nCk)pk(1-p)n-k - The expected value is np - The variance is np(1-p) - The probability mass function is unimodal, peaking at around np successes.

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259 views2 pages

Bernoulli Vs Binomial Distribution

The Bernoulli distribution describes experiments with two possible outcomes, like coin tosses, where p is the probability of success. The binomial distribution describes experiments with n Bernoulli trials, where X is the number of successes. For a binomial random variable X ~ B(n, p): - The probability of k successes is (nCk)pk(1-p)n-k - The expected value is np - The variance is np(1-p) - The probability mass function is unimodal, peaking at around np successes.

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Bernoulli Distribution:

This distribution best describes all situations where a "trial" is made resulting in
either "success" or "failure," such as when tossing a coin, or when modeling the
success or failure of a surgical procedure. The Bernoulli distribution is defined as:
f(x) = px (1-p)1-x, for x = 0, 1,
where
is the probability that a particular event (e.g., success) will occur.
p

Binomial Distribution
Suppose we repeat a Bernouilli p experiment n times and count the number X of
successes, the distribution of X is called the Binomial B(n,p) random variable.
Probability mass function:

,
where q = 1 - p, k=0, 1, 2, ..., n.
E(X) = np
Var(X) = np(1-p)
Odds Ratios and Mode: The odds of k successes relative to (k-1) successes are:

This is very useful for computing by recursion the probability mass of the
binomial.
Property:

For X a B(n,p) random variable with probability of success p neither 0 or 1, then


as k varies from 0 to n, P(X=k) first increases monotonically and then decreases
monotonically, (it is unimodal) reaching its highest value when k is the largest
integer less or equal to (n+1)p.
Proof:

is equivalent to

The value where the the probability mass function takes on its maximum is called
the mode.
Examples:
1. A manufacturer of nails claims that only 3% of its nails are defective. a
random sample of 24 nails is selected, and it is found that two of them are
defective. Is it fair to reject the manufacturer's claim based on this
observation.
2. A certain rare blood type can be found in only 0.05% of people. If the
population of a randomly selected group is 3000, what is the probability that
at least two persons in the group have this rare blood type.

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