Gold Etf Report
Gold Etf Report
Gold Etf Report
A PROJECT REPORT
Submitted by
Barham Kumar
Of
MBA
IN
Finance
January 2010
BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
Certified that this project report titled “GOLD ETF” is the bonafide work of
“BARHAM KUMAR ” who carried out the project work under my supervision.
SIGNATURE SIGNATURE
1
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
“The completion of any project depends upon the co-operation, coordination and
Words fall short acknowledging immense support lent to me yet I will try to give
2
Executive Summary
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are mutual fund units which investors buy/sell
from the stock exchange, as against a normal mutual fund unit, where the investor
buys /sells through a distributor or directly from the AMC. Practically any asset
class can be used to create ETFs. Globally there are ETFs on Silver, Gold,
Indices. Gold ETFs are a special type of ETF which invests in Gold and Gold
related securities. Investors can buy G-ETF units from secondary markets either
from the quantity being sold by the APs or by other retail investors. Retail
investors can also sell their units in the market. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
are open ended mutual funds that are passively managed and most of them seek to
mirror the return of an index, a commodity or a basket of assets. ETFs are listed
and traded on stock exchanges like stocks. They enable investors to gain broad
on a real-time basis, and at a lower cost than many other forms of investing. Gold
backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are securities designed accurately to track
the gold price. ETF liquidity is supported by large professional market makers
and dealers, in the normal way of providing liquidity on the relevant stock
exchange. Additionally there is the facility to create and redeem new units - on
demand.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER Particulars Page No.
1 Introduction 5
2 Objective 11
3 Gold ETF in India 12
4 Creation and Redemption 27
5 Structure of ETF 30
6 Comparison 36
7 Research Methodology 37
8 Analysis 48
9 Result and Conclusion 50
10 Bibliography 51
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Introduction
ETFs are just what their name implies: baskets of securities that are traded, like
individual stocks, on an exchange. Unlike regular open-end mutual funds, ETFs
can be bought and sold throughout the trading day like any stock. Most ETFs
charge lower annual expenses than index mutual funds. However, as with stocks,
one must pay a brokerage to buy and sell ETF units, which can be a significant
drawback for those who trade frequently or invest regular sums of money.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are open ended mutual funds that are passively
managed and most of them seek to mirror the return of an index, a commodity or
a basket of assets. ETFs are listed and traded on stock exchanges like stocks.
They enable investors to gain broad exposure to indices or defined underlying
asset (commodity) with relative case, on a real-time basis, and at a lower cost
than many other forms of investing.
Gold ETFs provided investors a means of participating in the gold bullion market
without the necessity of taking physical delivery of gold, and to buy and sell that
participation through the trading of a security on stock exchange. Gold ETF
would be a passive investment; so, when gold prices move up, the ETF
appreciates and when gold prices move down, the ETF loses value. Gold ETF
tracks the performance of Gold Bullion. Gold ETFs provide returns that, before
expenses, closely correspond to the returns provided by physical Gold. Each unit
is approximately equal to the price of 1 gram of Gold. But, there are Gold ETFs
which also provide a unit which is approximately equal to the price of ½ gram of
Gold. They first came into existence in the USA in 1993. It took several years for
them to attract public interest. But once they did, the volumes took off with a
vengeance. Over the last few years more than $120 billion (as on June 2002) is
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invested in about 230 ETFs. About 60% of trading volumes on the American
Stock Exchange are from ETFs. The most popular ETFs are QQQs (Cubes) based
on the Nasdaq-100 Index, SPDRs (Spiders) based on the S&P 500 Index,
iSHARES based on MSCI Indices and TRAHK (Tracks) based on the Hang Seng
Index. The average daily trading volume in QQQ is around 89 million shares.
Their passive nature is a necessity: the funds rely on an arbitrage mechanism to
keep the prices at which they trade roughly in line with the net asset values of
their underlying portfolios. For the mechanism to work, potential arbitragers need
to have full, timely knowledge of a fund's holdings.
History
In India goldsmiths are usually men, and are referred to by a variety of names
depending on the region. In the Vedic period (Second Millennium BC),
goldsmiths had a much higher standing in society than most other artisans,
probably because they worked with a precious metal. The goldsmiths enjoyed
royal patronage. Historical evidence suggests that Indian jewellers had early
mastery of the various skills required to make fine jewellery, such as mixing
alloys, moulding, setting stones, inlay work, relief, drawing gold and silver into
fine wires, plating and gilding. The duties of the goldsmith have been defined in
an ancient social code, but are observed more by breach than by adherence. There
is hardly any village or town, even in the remote corners of the country, where
there is no goldsmith.
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Gold Econony
Today, the gold/jewellery industry is fast-growing, with impressive domestic and
export sales. Gems and jewellery constitute one of the fastest growing export
sectors in India, accounting for one-fifth of the aggregate exports. The current
size of the gold economy is around US$ 6 billion and employs over half a million
people. The number of gold jewellery manufacturing units is put at 100,000.
Also, a large number of skilled goldsmiths/gold merchants from India are
engaged in gold trade and industry in almost all the oil-rich Middle Eastern
countries. However, for a long time in the existence of the gold economy, the
producers and consumers of gold jewellery hardly found a place in any policy
discussion on gold.
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Gold Market in India
The gold market in India is predominantly a market for buying and selling
physical gold. In the wholesale segment, nominated agencies are the bulk
importers. This market is reasonably efficient from the point of view of
distribution of bars and scraps over the length and breadth of the country, which
takes place in a very effective manner. Price uniformity is also generally
observable in areas with identical incidence of duties and tax.
Gold lending/leasing volumes are small in comparison to physical buying and
selling. Most of the leasing activities are undertaken by nominated banks on a
back-to-back basis via supply from overseas. Domestic lending resources are still
meagre, as mentioned before. This segment of the market needs to develop for at
least two reasons:
• To provide working capital at low cost together with gold price hedging,
not only to the exporters but also to jewellery manufacturers for the
domestic market. At present, non-exporters do not receive the necessary
working capital finance in rupees from the banking system.The evidence of
the significant contribution made by the spread of gold leasing, even to
small family jewellery units, in boosting exports and local sales in Italy
could provide guidance in the matter.
• The existence of a gold lending/leasing market is a pre-condition for
arbitrage-free pricing of gold forward/swap contracts in the local market.
• No worry on adulteration
• Gold provides diversification to the portfolio
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• Gold is considered as a Global Asset Class
• Gold is used as a Hedge against Inflation
• Gold is considered to be less volatile compared to equities
• Held in Electronic Form
• Store of value
• Extremely Liquid
10
Objective of Study
11
Gold ETF Funds in India
The trading unit for BeES has been fixed at one gram with a tick size of one
paisa. This instrument offers only trading and holding it in DMAT account and
not the physical delivery of gold. "Gold BeES, like any other mutual fund
instrument, would attract common men to save in small quantity with a minimum
possible monthly balance of Rs 1000 (roughly equivalent to the price of one gram
gold BoES) which, if continued, may accumulate over a period of time to give
handsome amount on the occasions like daughter's wedding or higher education
of their child," A P Kurian, chairman, AMFI said.
He further added that the New Year was adding a new benchmark in the history
of mutual funds with the addition of BeES to the securities portfolio. Looking at
the success of gold exchange traded funds in the countries like the US, South
Africa and Australia which has created an asset of about $12 billion, this
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production in India is all set to attract good amount of retail participation from the
common man, Kurian said.
There will be no exit load charge by the Fund The total expense ratio will be
maximum of 1% per annum. Since Gold BeES is classified under Mutual Fund,
investor investing in this need not pay Wealth Tax. The scheme will have Non
equity Mutual Fund taxation, applicable as per current Tax laws, which investor
has to pay after redemption.
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Issue Open 01-Mar-2009 Issue Close 16-Mar-2009
Scheme Objective
Comment None
A gold ETF was eagerly awaited by US investors. Now, there are two to choose
from. One is IAU from Barclay's Global Investors. The other is GLD from State
Street.
State Street's started trading first and has managed to capture a larger slice of the
market. In February, the GLD ETF held $6 billion worth of assets. However, both
should be equivalent bets for those looking to invest in gold. In its first three days
of trading, GLD traded roughly 30 million shares and nearly all of that has been a
new buyer if you believe the press for one, am not interested in holding too much
of this particular asset class. Why? Because gold has no real use in the world.
Sure, it is admired and hoarded by people across the globe, but it doesn't generate
value on its own. Warren Buffet said it best, "I would rather own assets that
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produce value. Dow went from 66 to 12000 and paid dividends. If you owned
Gold you paid 20 and went to 400 a hundred years later."
However some investors are attracted since gold is likely to increase in value
when other areas of the market are suffering. As such, it is used as hedge against
other investments. Regardless, I prefer to invest in the long-term returns that
company stocks and bonds offer. This isn’t to say that I don’t own any gold. In
fact, the commodities ETF that have is 10% gold.
Note that gains from the gold ETF will be taxed at the collectibles rate of 28% vs.
the long-term capital gains rate of 15%. If you're going to invest in this ETF, you
might want to consider using a tax deferred account. And since gold doesn't
produce income, partial shares of your holdings will be sold to pay for
management fees.
Type of fund: Kotak Gold ETF is open ended fund. The ongoing of the scheme
commenced from August 8, 2007. The fund creates/redeem the scheme units in
large size known as creation unit. The value of unit is 1000 gram of physical gold
or multiple thereof called as the portfolio deposit and a cash component which
will be exchanged for corresponding number of units. The portfolio deposit and
cash component may change from time to time and will be announced by fund on
its website.
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Issue Open 01-july-2009 Issue Close 08-Aug-2009
Scheme Objective
Comment None
Product Features Type: An open-ended Gold Exchange Traded Fund that tracks
the domestic prices of gold through investments in physical Gold.
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Minimum Application Amount
On going purchase directly from mutual fund would be available only to the
Authorized Participants provided the value of units to be purchased is in creation
unit size. Authorized Participants may buy the units on any business day for the
scheme directly from the mutual fund at applicable NAV and transaction charges,
if applicable, by depositing Gold or cash, value of which is equal to creation size.
Each creation unit consists of 1000 units and cash components, if any, of Reliance
Gold Exchange Traded Fund.
RGETF units will be credited to the unit holders demat account on the date of
realization of instrument, at the applicable NAV.
The AMC will appoint Authorized Participants to provide liquidity in secondary
market on an ongoing basis. The Authorized Participants would offer daily two
way quote in the market.
Modes of payment for subscriptions & redemptions during NFO &
continuous offer with the AMC
During NFO all the subscriptions will happen by cash (by issuing a cheque / DD)
however during continuous offer the transactions with the AMC by Authorized
Participants & Large Investors can happen by issuing a cheque / DD or by
transferring requisite gold (as per LBMA Good Delivery Norms referred in the
Offer Document) to the fund’s Designated DP account (in the form of Portfolio
Deposit) while the balance Cash Component, if any has to be paid to the AMC.
Please refer to the offer Document for further details.
Allotment Price
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Allotment price will be equal to the face value of Rs100/- plus premium
equivalent to the difference between the face value and price of one gram of
gold on the date of allotment
For example :
If on the date of allotment the price of 10 gm of gold is 9000, then the allotment price becomes
as follows;
Rs 100 + premium equivalent to the difference between the face value and price
of one gram of gold on the date of allotment.
(The above example is for illustration purpose and does not include the expenses
of the scheme)
Purity of Gold
All gold bullion held in the scheme’s allocated account with the custodian shall
be of fineness (or purity) of 995 parts per 1000 (99.5%) or higher.
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Entry Load:
Listing: The Fund would endeavor to get the units of the Scheme listed on the
National Stock Exchange and / or any other stock exchange(s) as may be decided
by the AMC within 30 days from the closure of the New Fund Offer period.
Liquidity : After the close of the NFO, as RGETF would be listed on the
Exchange, subsequent buying or selling by Unit holders can be made from the
secondary market. The minimum number of Units that can be bought or sold on
the exchange is 1 (one) unit. All investors including Authorised Participants and
large investors may sell their units in the stock exchange(s) on which these units
are listed on all the trading days of the stock exchange. The trading will be as per
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the normal settlement cycle.
Alternatively, Authorised Participants and Large investors can directly buy / sell
Units in blocks from the Fund in ‘Creation Unit’ size, as defined in this Offer
Document on all working days. Mutual fund will repurchase units from
Authorised Participants and Large investors on any business day provided the
units offered for repurchase is not less than 100 units.
The Quantum Gold Fund (QGF) seeks to offer investors an innovative, cost-
efficient and secure way to invest in gold. The QGF is an Open Ended Fund,
which is listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in the form of an Exchange
Traded Fund (ETF) tracking domestic prices of gold. The scheme enables
investors to participate in the gold bullion market without taking physical delivery
of gold, and to buy and sell units just like a stock on any of the recognized
exchanges where it is listed..
Investment Objective
The investment objective of the Quantum Gold Fund is to provide returns that,
before expenses, closely correspond to the returns provided by the domestic price
of gold.
Scheme Details
Each unit of the QGF will be approximately equal to price of half (½) gram of
Gold. In the New Fund Offer (NFO) period, the Fund will accept cheque or
demand draft. The minimum amount of investment is Rs.5,000/- and in multiples
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ofRs.1,000/-thereafter.
After the NFO, the QGF units are listed on the NSE and investors can buy or sell
units just like any equity share. Investors can buy or sell QGF units through
member-brokers on the NSE. The minimum quantity for buying and selling
would be at least 1 unit.
Ongoing Sales/Redemption
On an ongoing basis (after the NFO), direct purchases from the Fund would be restricted to
only Authorized Participants and Eligible Investors. Authorised Participants and Eligible
Investors can buy/redeem in creation unit size and multiples thereof directly from the Fund on
all business days. Retail investors can buy and sell only on the exchange
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of both worlds. The investor has the advantages of owning physical gold, without
incurring additional expenses and losses like making charges (for gold jewellery),
and bank vault charges (for keeping coins or bars or jewellery). If investors
purchased gold from the retail jeweller or a bank, it would have cost at least a
straight loss to the extent of the premium paid (which usually ranges from 5 to
20%). And there are no concerns of quality or theft– The gold backing the ETF is
certified by the London Bullion Market Association and stored in vaults of the
custodian / sub-custodians. The fund house takes care of all risks of storage and
safety. Buying and selling is very easy. Like any other security, you just buy and
sell it though your broker on the stock exchanges. And unlike your jeweler and
bank, you do not suffer premiums or making charges in the transactions. About
the Quantum Gold Fund. The Quantum Gold Fund is an Open Ended Exchange
Traded Fund (ETF) launched by Quantum Mutual Fund and listed on the NSE. It
will track domestic prices of Gold through investments in physical Gold. How to
purchase and sell Quantum Gold Fund units.
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Entry and Exit Load structure
The load structure is however, subject to change from time to time and such
changes shall be implemented prospectively.
Liquid
Liquid Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme
Liquid BeES (Liquid Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme) is the first money
market ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) in the world. The investment objective of
the Scheme is to provide money market returns. Liquid BeES will invest in a
basket of call money, short-term government securities and money market
instruments of short and medium maturities. It is listed and traded on the NSE
Capital Market Segment and is settled on a T+2 Rolling basis. The Fund will
endeavor to provide daily returns o the investors, which will accrue in the form of
daily dividend, which will be compulsorily reinvested in the Fund daily. The units
arising out of dividend reinvestment will be allotted and credited to the Demat
account of the investors at the end of every month. Such units of Liquid BeES
will be allotted and credited daily, up to 3 decimal places.
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How ETFs is different from Traditional Mutual Funds
Since ETFs trade like stocks, they offer a degree of flexibility unavailable with
traditional mutual funds. Specifically, investors can trade ETFs intra-day, monitor
price discovery throughout the trading day and employ the usual arsenal of order
types such as limit and stop loss orders-available in single stock trading. In a
mutual fund, by comparison, investors can purchase traditional mutual funds only
at the fund's NAV, which is published at the end of each trading day. (Typically,
orders to buy or sell mutual fund shares must be placed at least an hour or two
prior to market close).
This difference gives rise to an important advantage of ETFs over traditional
mutual funds. Because they are relatively liquid, ETFs are immediately tradable;
therefore, the risk of price movement between investment decision and time of
trade is substantially less when ETFs are used in lieu of traditional funds. For
example, suppose an investor decides to purchase index exposure at 10.00 A.M.
via a traditional mutual fund and during the balance of the trading day, suppose
the index gains 1%. The investor will miss the opportunity, as he will be able to
purchase the fund only at the day's closing NAV.
The ability to reduce the time between the investment decision and the trade
execution is critical, more so in a volatile market. Delaying a purchase decision
until next day's closing price when a decision was made the previous evening
introduces slippage costs that increase with the range of price moves during the
trading day.
The redemption process is also different for ETFs and mutual funds. While ETFs
are redeemed in-kind (by exchanging basket of shares) as opposed to cash, mutual
25
fund units are redeemed in cash, as the fund must sell shares in the open market to
meet redemptions.
closed-end funds, which also trade on exchanges, are different from ETFs as they
have a static amount of shares outstanding. For that reason, a close-ended fund
may trade at a premium or a discount to its net asset value for a protracted period
of time. (The vast majority, however, trade at a discount.) Exchange-traded funds,
on the other hand, trade close to the net asset value of the underlying portfolio
since new ETF shares can be created and redeemed.
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Creations and Redemptions
ETFs are different from Mutual funds in the sense that ETF units are not sold to
the public for cash. Instead, the Asset Management Company that sponsors the
ETF (Fund) takes the shares of companies comprising the index from various
categories of investors like authorized participants, large investors and
institutions. In turn, it issues them a large block of ETF units. Since dividend may
have accumulated for the stocks at any point in time, a cash component to that
extent is also taken from such investors. In other words, a large block of ETF
units called a "Creation Unit" is exchanged for a "Portfolio Deposit" of stocks and
"Cash Component". The number of outstanding ETF units is not limited, as with
traditional mutual funds. It may increase if investors deposit shares to create ETF
units; or it may reduce on a day if some ETF holders redeem their ETF units for
the underlying shares. These transactions are conducted by sending creation /
redemption instructions to the Fund. The Portfolio Deposit closely approximates
the proportion of the stocks in the index together with a specified amount of Cash
Component. This in-kind creation / redemption facility ensures that ETFs trade
close to their fair value at any given time.
Some investors may prefer to hold the creation units in their portfolios. While
others may break-up the creation units and sell on the exchanges, where
individual investors may purchase them just like any other shares. ETF units are
continuously created and redeemed based on investor demand. Investors may use
ETFs for investment, trading or arbitrage. The price of the ETF tracks the value
of the underlying index. This provides an opportunity to investors to compare the
value of underlying index against the price of the ETF units prevailing on the
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Exchange. If the value of the underlying index is higher than the price of the ETF,
the investors may redeem the units to the Sponsor in exchange for the higher
priced securities. Conversely, if the price of the underlying securities is lower
than the ETF, the investors may create ETF units by depositing the lower-priced
securities. This arbitrage mechanism eliminates the problem associated with
closed-end mutual funds viz. the premium or discount to the NAV.
Applications of ETEs
• Efficient Trading : ETFs provide investors a convenient way to gain
market exposure viz. an index that trades like a stock. In comparison to a
stock, an investment in an ETF index product provides a diversified
exposure to the market. Depending on the index, investors may obtain
exposure to countries/ markets or sectors.
• Equitising Cash : Investors with idle cash in their portfolios may want to
invest in a product tied to a market benchmark like an index as a temporary
investment before deciding which stocks to buy or waiting for the right
price.
• Managing Cash Flows : Investment managers who see regular inflows
and outflows may use ETFs because of their liquidity and their ability to
represent the market.
• Diversifying Exposure : If an investor is not sure about which particular
stock to buy but likes the overall sector, investing in shares tied to an index
or basket of stocks provides diversified exposure and reduces stock specific
risk.
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• Filling Gaps : ETFs tied to a sector or industry may be used to gain
exposure to new and important sectors. Such strategies may also be used to
reduce an overweight or increase an underweight sector.
• Shorting or Hedging : Investors who have a negative view on a market
segment or specific sector may want to establish a short position to
capitalize on that view. ETFs may be sold short against long stock holdings
as a hedge against a decline in the market or specific sector.
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Structure of ETFs
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Fees
Typically a commission of 0.4% is charged for trading in gold ETFs and an
annual storage fee is charged. U.S. based transactions are a notable exception,
where most brokers charge only a small fraction of this commission rate. The
annual expenses of the fund such as storage, insurance, and management fees are
charged by selling a small amount of gold represented by each certificate, so the
amount of gold in each certificate will gradually decline over time. In some
countries, gold ETFs represent a way to avoid the sales tax or the VAT which
would apply to physical gold coins and bars.
In the United States sales of a gold ETF are treated as sales of the underlying
commodity and thus are taxed at the 28% capital gains rate rather than the 15%
long-term capital gains rate for non-collectibles.
Funds
In Europe:
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• ETF Securities Gold Bullion Securities (LSE: GBS and Euronext: GBS)
(previously marketed by Lyxor)
In September 2006 ETF Securities launched ETFS Gold (LSE: BULL) which
tracks the DJ-AIG Gold Sub-Index, and later in April 2007 ETFS Physical Gold
(LSE: PHAU) which is backed by allocated gold bullion.
ETF Securities’ physical gold ETCs - ETFS Physical Gold (PHAU) and Gold
Bullion Securities (GBS) - are all backed by “allocated” gold bars – uniquely
identifiable bars which carry no bank credit risk. The precious metal bars are held
in trust in London by the Custodian HSBC Bank USA N.A., the world’s leading
Custodian for ETCs. The metal held with the Custodian must conform to the rules
for Good Delivery of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA). Securities
are only issued once metal is confirmed as being deposited into the Company’s
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bullion account with the Custodian. Consistent with allocated gold, no precious
metal is borrowed, loaned out nor does it earn any income.
The iShares COMEX Gold Trust was launched by iShares on 21 January 2005
and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: IAU) and Toronto Stock
Exchange (TSX: IGT). As of April 28, 2009 the fund held 62.32 tonnes of gold in
storage.
The ZKB Gold ETF was launched on 15 March 2006 by Zürcher Kantonalbank
and is listed in Switzerland under the symbol ZGLD. Shares are sold in 1 kg gold
units, with a minimum purchase of one unit. As of August 2007, ZKB Gold ETF
held 22.0 tonnes of gold in storage.
The Central Fund of Canada (TSX: CEF.A and NYSE: CEF) is a closed-end fund
headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, mandated to keep the bulk of their net
assets in a mixture of gold and silver with a small percentage of cash. The
custodian of the gold and silver assets is the main Calgary branch of CIBC. As of
March 2008, the Central Fund of Canada held 28.48 tonnes of gold and 1423.66
tonnes of silver in storage.
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Central Gold Trust
The Central Gold Trust (TSX: GTU.UN, TSX: GTU.U and NYSE: GTU) is a
closed-end fund operated by many of the same individuals, and employing many
of the same practices, as the Central Fund of Canada. Unlike its sister fund,
however, the Central Gold Trust is mandated to keep the bulk of its assets in gold,
and does not hold silver. As of March 2008, the Central Gold Trust held 5.21 tons
of gold in storage.
On 17 April 2007 UTI Mutual Fund listed Gold Exchange Traded Fund
(NSE: GOLDSHARE) on the National Stock Exchange of India. The objective of
UTI Gold Exchange Traded Fund is to endeavor to provide returns that, before
expenses, closely track the performance and yield of Gold. Every unit of UTI
Gold Exchange Traded Fund approximately represents one gram of pure gold.
Units allotted under the scheme will be credited to investors’ demat accounts.
34
physical gold but by special bonds traded in London which are linked to the gold
price.
Tracks the performance of certain index moves inside the Deutsche Bank Liquid
Commodity Index - Optimum Yield Gold. ETNs are exchange-traded notes,
which differ from exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
35
Comparison of Gold ETF with Physical Gold
I. SKEWNESS
Skewness describe asymmetry from the normal distribution in a set of statistical
data. Skewness can come in the form of "negative skewness" or "positive
skewness", depending on whether data points are skewed to the left (negative
skew) or to the right (positive skew) of the data average.
Negative skew: The left tail is longer; the mass of the distribution is concentrated
on the right of the figure. It has relatively few low values. The distribution is said
to be left-skewed.
Positive skew: The right tail is longer; the mass of the distribution is concentrated
on the left of the figure. It has relatively few high values. The distribution is said
to be right-skewed.
37
zero). By knowing which way data is skewed, one can better estimate whether a
given (or future) data point will be more or less than the mean .Most advanced
economic analysis models study data for skewness and incorporate this into their
calculations. Skewness risk is the risk that a model assumes a normal distribution
of data when in fact data is skewed to the left or right of the mean
38
TABLE- 1.1
39
TABLE – 1.2
Return on Gold Exchange traded fund
Month Benchmark UTI Kotak Reliance Quantam
Apr-07 -0.00229
May-07 -0.02229 -0.02072
Jun-07 -0.00848 -0.00815
Jul-07 0.002073 0.002085
Aug-07 0.003408 0.003607 0.003546
Sep-07 0.023105 0.023409 0.023153
Oct-07 0.016954 0.016638 0.016999
Nov-07 0.02718 0.02727 0.027249
Dec-07 -0.00195 -0.00175 -0.00195 -0.00557
Jan-08 0.040381 0.04033 0.040394 0.038645
Feb-08 0.021915 0.021968 0.021921 0.021111
Mar-08 0.027262 0.025925 0.0272 0.026949 0.007996
Apr-08 -0.03119 -0.03037 -0.03133 -0.03192 -0.02987
May-08 0.011585 0.012134 -0.00889 0.011994 0.011903
Jun-08 0.00664 0.00666 0.027209 0.006526 0.006587
Jul-08 0.024097 0.02406 0.024042 0.024073 0.024134
Aug-08 -0.04694 -0.04698 -0.04567 -0.04775 -0.0471
Sep-08 0.017653 0.017689 0.01394 0.017167 0.019581
Oct-08 0.021125 0.019008 0.02459 0.015844 0.018462
Nov-08 -0.02984 -0.02428 -0.02746 -0.02471 -0.02945
Dec-08 0.032984 0.02959 0.029556 0.021161 0.034612
Jan-09 0.018971 0.01698 0.018951 0.026869 0.017955
Feb-09 0.042731 0.045557 0.044099 0.043166 0.042319
Mar-09 0.011892 0.010403 0.010379 0.010194 0.011565
Apr-09 -0.02631 -0.02636 -0.02584 -0.02626 -0.02596
May-09 0.002253 0.002548 0.001861 0.002625 0.002503
Jun-09 0.0017 0.001947 0.001806 0.001811 0.001931
Jul-09 0.002314 0.002419 0.002211 0.002352 0.002435
The coefficient of variation represents the ratio of the standard deviation to the
mean, and it is a useful statistic for comparing the degree of variation from one
data series to another, even if the means are drastically different from each other.
In the investing world, the coefficient of variation allows you to determine how
much volatility (risk) you are assuming in comparison to the amount of return you
can expect from your investment. In simple language, the lower the ratio of
standard deviation to mean return, the better your risk-return tradeoff.
of variations
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III. ANALYSIS OF VARAINCE (ANOVA)
The Analysis Of Variance, popularly known as the ANOVA test, can be used in
cases where there are more than two groups. When we have only two samples we
can use the t-test to compare the means of the samples but it might become
unreliable in case of more than two samples. If we only compare two means, then
the t-test (independent samples) will give the same results as the ANOVA. It is
used to compare the means of more than two samples. This can be understood
better with the help of an example.
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5 1219.5 5 1209.2 5 1229.7 5 1239.76 5 1473.95
10 1459.9 10 1495.3
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Step-1 : Variance Between Colum
N(sample
mean
Sample Grand sample mean (sample mean - grand mean )
N mean mean - grand mean - grand mean ) 2 2
Which specifies that return from all the Gold exchange traded fund are same
they bear no difference.
Sx Sy
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Benchmark gold ETF
benchmark gold Mcx bsc100 nifty
benchmark 1 0.99964 -0.03745 -0.46234 -0.43995
gold 0.999647 1 -0.04762 -0.46899 -0.4467
mcx -0.03745 -0.04762 1 0.472066 0.561259
bse-100 -0.46234 -0.46899 0.472066 1 0.97291
nifty -0.43995 -0.4467 0.561259 0.97291 1
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ANALYSIS
PRIMARY DATA:
Sample Size – 100
Sampling method: convenience sampling
Collected by Questionnaire
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RESULT AND CONCLUSION
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Bibliography
1. www.scribd.com
2. www.nseindia.com
3. www.bloomberg.com
4. www.bseindia.com
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