Statistical Analysis
Statistical Analysis
1/Jun/07
2/Jul/07
1/Aug/07
4/Sep/07
1/Oct/07
1/Nov/07
3/Dec/07
2/Jan/08
1/Feb/08
3/Mar/08
1/Apr/08
1/May/08
2/Jun/08
1/Jul/08
1/Aug/08
2/Sep/08
1/Oct/08
3/Nov/08
1/Dec/08
2/Jan/09
2/Feb/09
2/Mar/09
1/Apr/09
1/May/09
1/Jun/09
1/Jul/09
3/Aug/09
1/Sep/09
1/Oct/09
2/Nov/09
1/Dec/09
4/Jan/10
1/Feb/10
1/Mar/10
1/Apr/10
3/May/10
1/Jun/10
1/Jul/10
2/Aug/10
1/Sep/10
1/Oct/10
1/Nov/10
1/Dec/10
3/Jan/11
1/Feb/11
1/Mar/11
1/Apr/11
Merck
39.90
39.78
40.20
41.73
47.04
47.93
47.23
37.47
36.00
31.11
31.19
31.94
31.21
27.24
29.54
26.42
25.91
22.37
25.82
24.25
20.55
23.10
20.93
23.81
24.48
26.28
28.39
28.03
27.41
32.09
32.71
34.18
33.01
33.79
31.70
30.48
31.98
31.52
32.16
34.02
33.56
31.86
33.66
30.98
30.42
31.19
33.97
SP500
1,503.35
1,455.27
1,473.99
1,526.75
1,549.38
1,481.14
1,468.36
1,378.55
1,330.63
1,322.70
1,385.59
1,400.38
1,280.00
1,267.38
1,282.83
1,166.36
968.75
896.24
903.25
825.88
735.09
797.87
872.81
919.14
919.32
987.48
1,020.62
1,057.08
1,036.19
1,095.63
1,115.10
1,073.87
1,104.49
1,169.43
1,186.69
1,089.41
1,030.71
1,101.60
1,049.33
1,141.20
1,183.26
1,180.55
1,257.64
1,286.12
1,327.22
1,325.83
1,363.61
Merck
-0.30%
1.05%
3.74%
11.98%
1.87%
-1.47%
-23.15%
-4.00%
-14.60%
0.26%
2.38%
-2.31%
-13.61%
8.11%
-11.16%
-1.95%
-14.69%
14.34%
-6.27%
-16.56%
11.70%
-9.86%
12.89%
2.78%
7.10%
7.72%
-1.28%
-2.24%
15.76%
1.91%
4.40%
-3.48%
2.34%
-6.38%
-3.92%
4.80%
-1.45%
2.01%
5.62%
-1.36%
-5.20%
5.50%
-8.30%
-1.82%
2.50%
8.54%
SP500
-3.25%
1.28%
3.52%
1.47%
-4.50%
-0.87%
-6.31%
-3.54%
-0.60%
4.65%
1.06%
120.00%
-8.99%
-0.99%
100.00%
1.21%
-9.52%
80.00%
-18.56%
60.00%
-7.78%
0.78%
40.00%
-8.95%
-11.65%
20.00%
8.20%
0.00%
8.98%
-10
5.17%
-20.00%
0.02%
7.15%
-40.00%
3.30%
3.51%
-2.00%
5.58%
1.76%
-3.77%
2.81%
5.71%
1.47%
-8.55%
-5.54%
6.65%
-4.86%
8.39%
3.62%
-0.23%
6.33%
2.24%
3.15%
-0.10%
2.81%
2/May/11
1/Jun/11
1/Jul/11
1/Aug/11
1/Sep/11
3/Oct/11
1/Nov/11
1/Dec/11
3/Jan/12
1/Feb/12
1/Mar/12
2/Apr/12
1/May/12
1/Jun/12
34.73
33.71
32.60
31.62
31.61
33.35
34.56
36.88
37.44
37.34
37.98
38.82
37.17
41.75
1,345.20
1,320.64
1,292.28
1,218.89
1,131.42
1,253.30
1,246.96
1,257.60
1,312.41
1,365.68
1,408.47
1,397.91
1,310.33
1,362.16
2.21%
-2.98%
-3.35%
-3.05%
-0.03%
5.36%
3.56%
6.50%
1.51%
-0.27%
1.70%
2.19%
-4.34%
11.62%
-1.36%
-1.84%
-2.17%
-5.85%
-7.45%
10.23%
-0.51%
0.85%
4.27%
3.98%
3.09%
-0.75%
-6.47%
3.88%
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.473836
R Square
0.224521
Adjusted R Square
0.21115
Standard Error
0.068184
Observations
60
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
SS
1 0.07807
58 0.269647
59 0.347717
Coefficients
Standard Error
0.001813 0.008806
0.643503 0.157034
alpha
beta
r-squad
t-stat for alpha
0.001813136
0.643502885
0.224520805
SLOPE
INTERCEPT
0.6435
0.6435
Chart Title
120.00%
100.00%
80.00%
60.00%
40.00%
20.00%
0.00%
0
-20.00%
-40.00%
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MS
0.07807
0.004649
F
Significance F
16.79246425 0.000131232
t Stat
0.20589
4.097861
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
0.837597818 -0.015814651 0.019441 -0.01581 0.019441
0.000131232 0.329165479 0.95784 0.329165 0.95784