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Compound Probability

This lesson plan is for a 35-minute 7th grade mathematics class on compound probability. Students will define simple and compound events, draw diagrams to represent compound events using organized lists and tree diagrams, and calculate probabilities of compound events. The lesson will begin with a review of previous probability concepts. Students will then take notes on compound events and work through examples. An activity will have students simulate and calculate compound coin flip and dice roll probabilities.

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478 views

Compound Probability

This lesson plan is for a 35-minute 7th grade mathematics class on compound probability. Students will define simple and compound events, draw diagrams to represent compound events using organized lists and tree diagrams, and calculate probabilities of compound events. The lesson will begin with a review of previous probability concepts. Students will then take notes on compound events and work through examples. An activity will have students simulate and calculate compound coin flip and dice roll probabilities.

Uploaded by

api-285606546
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Lesson Plan: Compound Probability

Unit Title

Samantha Bruner and Rachel Volk


Statistics and Probability

Subject Area

7th grade Mathematics

Lesson Title

Compound Events using Organized List and Tree Diagrams

Audience Description

24 7th grade students

Lesson Length

35 minutes

Objectives

SWBAT:
a. Define simple and compound events of probability.
b. Draw a diagram: an organized list and a tree diagram.
c. Find the probability of a compound event.
8. Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables,
tree diagrams, and simulation.
a. Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a
compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for
which the compound event occurs.
b. Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as
organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in
everyday language (e.g., rolling double sixes), identify the outcomes
in the sample space which compose the event.
c. Design and use a simulation to generate frequencies for compound
events. For example, use random digits as a simulation tool to
approximate the answer to the question: If 40% of donors have type A
blood, what is the probability that it will take at least 4 donors to find
one with type A blood?

Standards/Benchmarks

Anticipatory Set
5 minutes

Lesson Activities
(Content/Methods and
Procedures)
25 minutes

All of the notes section will be


a class discussion format.

Class discussion reviewing the material from the previous lessons on


probability.
1. Ask the students for examples of probability, like the ones we
have been working on in the past lessons. Rachel will write
them on the board.
2. Sam will explain how these are simple events. Rachel will
connect the students examples of simple events to make one
compound event while explaining what a compound event is.
Then move into the lesson.
Hand out notes to students.
Go over the notes. Questions and comments to ask or add to the notes
are below.
-Simple event:
a. Example for SE: Hair color. P(girl in class), P(blonde in class)
-Compound event: go over definition. Add the comment: For
example, you draw twice in a compound event, in a simple event you
would only draw once.
a. Examples for a CE: Number cubes and a deck of cards.
P(6 and Jack), P(3 and a face card).

b. P(blonde and a girl in class)


c. Ask what is the first event, what is the second event? Have
them identify number of event?
d. P(girl and brunette and wearing blue)
Is this a compound event? Simple event? Neither?
-Organized list and tree diagram
a. Multiply across to find the probability of the compound event.
b. All the probabilities added together will equal 1. Check work with
this rule.
c. Ask a couple of probabilities with the example. For example,
P(red and blue) (KU colors) or P(red and green) (Christmas
colors).
-Question 2.
a. Ask which diagram they would like to use. Work through with the
students, draw the diagram and find the probabilities.
b. Answer the probability questions.

Introduce the activity:


a. First, the students will use the coin and number cube to find the
actual probability and record results.
b. They will flip and roll 12 times for their results in groups of three.
If time permits, flip and roll another 12 times to get a total of 24.
One student flips the coin, next rolls the number cube, the last
students records and repeat till they have the number of results
they need.
c. Next, the students will fill out the worksheet with the organized
list or tree diagram showing them what the expected probability is.
d. Compare to expected probability to the observational probability
as a class.
Closure
5 minutes

Hand out exit slip and allow time for the students to finish and hand it
in before the bell. Then, introduce that tomorrows lesson will be on
replacement probability.

Evaluation/Assessment

Exit slip: the students will make their own probability. We will assess
their tree diagram or organized list. We will also grade on their
calculation for their probabilities and following the steps of the exit
slip.
Coin, number cube, printed notes for students, guided notes for teacher,
writing utensil, and Elmo/chalkboard to present.

Resources

Unit: Statistics and Probability

Name:

Topic: Compound Events: Organized lists and Tree diagrams

Date:

Probability of a chance event is represented by the ratio: _______________


Simple event consists of exactly one outcome.
Compound event consists of two or more events.
Note: The short hand for probability of an event you can use is P(event). For
example, the probability to get an even number would be P(even).

1. Marbles: You have two bags of marbles. One bag contains 4 red marbles and 2 yellow marbles.
The other bag contains 3 blue marbles and 5 green marbles.
a. Organized List
b. Tree diagram

2. Spinner and number cube: You have a spinner with 4 colors


on it and a number cube with the numbers 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3.
a. P(red, 2) =
b. P(green,1) =
c. P(black,3) =
d. P(any color, number 1-3) =

Compound Events Activity


1. Using the coin and your number cube, flip your coin and roll your number cube 12 times. Record
your results below.
Coin

Number Cube

2. Now draw an organized list and a tree diagram of the expected probability for the compound
event that just occurred. Write the probability for each possible outcome, check your work with
the sum of the probabilities.

Exit Slip
Make your own:
e. Think of a compound probability,
f. Represent it by either an organized list or a tree diagram
g. List all probabilities in event, include checking your work by finding the sum of your
probabilities
h. Explain why it is a compound event

Exit Slip
Make your own:
a. Think of a compound probability,
b. Represent it by either an organized list or a tree diagram
c. List all probabilities in event, include checking your work by finding the sum of your
probabilities
d. Explain why it is a compound event

Exit Slip
Make your own:
i. Think of a compound probability,
j. Represent it by either an organized list or a tree diagram
k. List all probabilities in event, include checking your work by finding the sum of your
probabilities
l. Explain why it is a compound event

Exit Slip
Make your own:
e. Think of a compound probability,
f. Represent it by either an organized list or a tree diagram
g. List all probabilities in event, include checking your work by finding the sum of your
probabilities
h. Explain why it is a compound event

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