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Lampiran 1 Korelasi Variabel Kemiskinan Dan Faktor-Faktor Yang Memengaruhi

The document contains the results of regression analyses examining factors that influence poverty. Several models are estimated using ordinary least squares regression. The full model finds household income (Y) is best predicted by variables X1, X2, X3, and X4. A reduced model using only X2 and X4 is also significant. Diagnostic tests find evidence of heteroskedasticity and spatial dependence. Further spatial regression modeling controls for spatial effects.

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Luh Putu Safitri Pratiwi
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50 views9 pages

Lampiran 1 Korelasi Variabel Kemiskinan Dan Faktor-Faktor Yang Memengaruhi

The document contains the results of regression analyses examining factors that influence poverty. Several models are estimated using ordinary least squares regression. The full model finds household income (Y) is best predicted by variables X1, X2, X3, and X4. A reduced model using only X2 and X4 is also significant. Diagnostic tests find evidence of heteroskedasticity and spatial dependence. Further spatial regression modeling controls for spatial effects.

Uploaded by

Luh Putu Safitri Pratiwi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Lampiran 1.

Korelasi Variabel Kemiskinan dan Faktor-Faktor yang


Memengaruhi
Correlations: Y, X1, X2, X3, X4
Y
0.260
0.051

X1

X2

0.429
0.001

0.647
0.000

X3

-0.108
0.425

0.053
0.698

-0.053
0.696

X4

0.191
0.155

-0.480
0.000

-0.382
0.003

X1

X2

X3

-0.053
0.694

Regression Analysis: Y versus X1, X2, X3, X4


The regression equation is
Y = - 195 + 0.371 X1 + 25.1 X2 - 0.00492 X3 + 9.83 X4
Predictor
Coef
SE Coef
T
Constant
-194.8
131.6 -1.48
X1
0.3715
0.3619
1.03
X2
25.058
7.546
3.32
X3
-0.004920 0.008433 -0.58
Lampiran
2 . Hasil9.830
Olahan dengan
X4
2.790 Semua
3.52
S = 166.948

R-Sq = 34.7%

P VIF
0.145
0.309 1.9
0.002 1.8
0.562 1.0
Variabel
pada
0.001 1.3

Metode OLS

R-Sq(adj) = 29.7%

Analysis of Variance
Source
Regression
Residual Error
Total

DF
4
52
56

SS
770272
1449318
2219590

MS
192568
27872

F
6.91

P
0.000

38

Hasil Olahan dengan Semua Variabel pada Metode OLS dengan Geoda

SUMMARY OF OUTPUT: ORDINARY LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION


Data set
: pulaubali
Dependent Variable :
Y Number of Observations:
Mean dependent var :
372.491 Number of Variables
:
S.D. dependent var :
197.333 Degrees of Freedom
:
R-squared
: 0.347033 F-statistic
Adjusted R-squared : 0.296805 Prob(F-statistic)
Sum squared residual:1.44932e+006 Log likelihood
Sigma-square
:
27871.5 Akaike info criterion
S.E. of regression :
166.948 Schwarz criterion
Sigma-square ML
:
25426.6
S.E of regression ML:
159.457

57
5
52

:
6.90913
: 0.000154226
:
-369.971
:
749.941
:
760.157

-------------------------------------------------------------------Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------------CONSTANT
-194.7546
131.5734
-1.480198
0.1448538
X1
0.3714737
0.3619059
1.026437
0.3094369
X2
25.05771
7.546031
3.320648
0.0016472
X3 -0.004919794
0.00843325
-0.5833806
0.5621583
X4
9.829996
2.789603
3.523797
0.0008963
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Lampiran 3. Hasil Olahan dengan Tiga Variabel pada Metode OLS


Regression Analysis: Y versus X2, X4
The regression equation is
Y = - 210 + 29.8 X2 + 9.01 X4
Predictor
Constant
X2
X4

Coef
-209.6
29.763
9.005

S = 165.852

SE Coef
114.8
6.106
2.614

R-Sq = 33.1%

T
-1.83
4.87
3.45

P
0.073
0.000
0.001

VIF
1.2
1.2

R-Sq(adj) = 30.6%

Analysis of Variance
Source
Regression
Residual Error
Total

DF
2
54
56

SS
734219
1485371
2219590

MS
367110
27507

F
13.35

P
0.000

39

Hasil Olahan dengan Tiga Variabel pada Metode OLS dengan Geoda
SUMMARY OF OUTPUT: ORDINARY LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION
Data set
: pulaubali
Dependent Variable :
Y Number of Observations:
Mean dependent var :
372.491 Number of Variables
:
S.D. dependent var :
197.333 Degrees of Freedom
:

57
3
54

R-squared
: 0.330790
F-statistic
:13.3461
Adjusted R-squared : 0.306005
Prob(F-statistic)
:1.95065e-005
Sum squared residual:1.48537e+006 Log likelihood
:-370.671
Sigma-square
: 27506.9
Akaike info criterion :747.342
S.E. of regression : 165.852
Schwarz criterion
:753.471
Sigma-square ML
: 26059.1
S.E of regression ML: 161.428
-------------------------------------------------------------------Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------------CONSTANT
-209.6173
114.8331
-1.825409
0.0734716
X2
29.76261
6.10611
4.874235
0.0000100
X4
9.005489
2.61361
3.445613
0.0011101
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Uji Homogenits degan Glesjer


Coefficientsa
Unstandardized Coefficients

Model

B
1

(Constant)
X1
X2

-4.949

Std. Error
81.213

-.285
6.238

.223
4.658

Standardized
Coefficients
Beta
-.230
.230

Sig.

-.061

.952

-1.276
1.339

.208
.186

40

X3
X4

.013
.416

.005
1.722

.334
.036

2.567
.241

.013
.810

Breusch-Pagan test Residual dengan dengan Geoda


DIAGNOSTICS FOR HETEROSKEDASTICITY
RANDOM COEFFICIENTS
TEST
DF
VALUE
Breusch-Pagan test
4
12.52307
Koenker-Bassett test
4
9.24265

PROB
0.0138573
0.0553124

Lampiran 4. Uji Dependensi Spasial (Morans I)

41

42

43

Data set
Spatial Weight
Dependent Variable
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Lag coeff.
(Rho)

: pulaubali
: pulaubali.gal
:
Y Number of Observations:
:
372.491 Number of Variables
:
:
197.333 Degrees of Freedom
:
:
0.194049

Lampiran 5. Morans I z-value


R-squared
Sq. Correlation
Sigma-square
S.E of regression

: 0.368042 Log likelihood


:
: Akaike info criterion :
:
24608.5 Schwarz criterion
:
:
156.871

57
6
51

-369.281
750.561
762.82

-------------------------------------------------------------------Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
z-value
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------------W_Y
0.1940489
0.1490948
1.301514
0.1930829
CONSTANT
-210.9238
123.7358
-1.70463
0.0882633
X1
0.39836
0.3415438
1.166351
0.2434727
X2
20.32104
7.494993
2.711281
0.0067025
X3 -0.001945203
0.007940486
-0.2449727
0.8064776
X4
9.355001
2.706136
3.456958
0.0005464

44

Output Uji Lagrange Multiplier (LM)


DIAGNOSTICS FOR SPATIAL DEPENDENCE
FOR WEIGHT MATRIX : pulaubali.gal
(row-standardized weights)
TEST
MI/DF
VALUE
PROB
Moran's I (error)
0.149260
2.6174080
0.0088601
Lagrange Multiplier (lag)
1
1.2322497
0.2669700
Robust LM (lag)
1
0.1807839
0.6707004
Lagrange Multiplier (error)
1
2.7604749
0.0966196
Robust LM (error)
1
1.7090092
0.1911140
Lagrange Multiplier (SARMA)
2
2.9412588
0.2297808
========================= END OF REPORT ==============================

45

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