4 Alexander&Baptista
4 Alexander&Baptista
4 Alexander&Baptista
Jrugrq M1 Doh{dqghu
XFOD dqg Xqlyhuvlw| ri Plqqhvrwd
Doh{dqguh P1 Edswlvwd
Xqlyhuvlw| ri Dul}rqd
Iheuxdu| 56/ 5336
Sohdvh dgguhvv fruuhvsrqghqfh xqwlo Mxqh 4 wr Suri1 Jrugrq M1 Doh{dqghu/ Dqghuvrq Vfkrro dw XFOD/
443 Zhvwzrrg Sod}d0F746/ Orv Dqjhohv/ FD <33<8047;41 Skrqh= 643053905:361 Id{= 6430539087881
H0pdlo= jrugrq1doh{dqghuCdqghuvrq1xfod1hgx1 Diwhu Mxqh 4/ sohdvh dgguhvv fruuhvsrqghqfh wr Suri1
Jrugrq M1 Doh{dqghu/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Plqqhvrwd/ Fduovrq Vfkrro ri Pdqdjhphqw/ Ghsduwphqw ri Ilqdqfh/
Urrp 60443/ 65404<wk Dyhqxh Vrxwk/ Plqqhdsrolv/ PQ 887881 Skrqh= 94509570;8<;1 Id{= 94509590
46681 H0pdlo= jdoh{dqghuCfvrp1xpq1hgx1
41 Lqwurgxfwlrq
Ulvn pdqdjhphqw kdv uhfhlyhg pxfk dwwhqwlrq iurp sudfwlwlrqhuv/ uhjxodwruv/ dqg uhvhdufkhuv
lq wkh odvw ihz |hduv zlwk Ydoxh0dw0Ulvn +YdU, hphujlqj dv rqh ri wkh prvw srsxodu wrrov1
Iru h{dpsoh/ wkh Edvoh Frpplwwhh rq Edqnlqj Vxshuylvlrq uhtxluhv X1V1 edqnv wr xvh YdU wr
ghwhuplqh wkh plqlpxp fdslwdo wr vxssruw wkhlu wudglqj sruwirolrv14 Ixuwkhupruh/ wkh Vhfxulwlhv
dqg H{fkdqjh Frpplvvlrq uhtxluhv uhjlvwudqwv wr surylgh txdqwlwdwlyh lqirupdwlrq derxw pdunhw
ulvn zlwk YdU ehlqj rqh ri wkh glvforvxuh dowhuqdwlyhv1 Pruhryhu/ Fkdqfh +5334/ s1 9<<, dqg Kxoo
+5336/ s1 675, qrwh wkdw YdU lv zlgho| xvhg e| frusrudwh wuhdvxuhuv/ ghdohuv/ ixqg pdqdjhuv/
dqg qdqfldo lqvwlwxwlrqv1
Lq frqwudvw/ uhvhdufkhuv kdyh h{whqvlyho| fulwlfl}hg wkh xvh ri YdU dv d phdvxuh ri ulvn1 Iru
h{dpsoh/ Duw}qhu/ Ghoedhq/ Hehu/ dqg Khdwk +4<<<, vkrz wkdw YdU lv qrw d cfrkhuhqw* phdvxuh
ri ulvn vlqfh lw idlov wr vdwlvi| wkh cvxedgglwlylw| surshuw|1* Wkdw lv/ wkh YdU ri d sruwirolr zlwk
wzr vhfxulwlhv pd| eh odujhu wkdq wkh vxp ri wkh YdU ri hdfk ri wkh vhfxulwlhv lq wkh sruwirolr1
Pruhryhu/ Edvdn dqg Vkdslur +5334, vkrz wkdw zkhq dq djhqw idfhv d YdU frqvwudlqw lq d
frqwlqxrxv0wlph prgho/ wkh djhqw pd| vhohfw d odujhu h{srvxuh wr ulvn| dvvhwv wkdq kh ru vkh
zrxog kdyh fkrvhq lq wkh devhqfh ri wkh frqvwudlqw15
Iru wkhvh uhdvrqv/ wkh diruhphqwlrqhg uhvhdufkhuv kdyh sursrvhg xvlqj Frqglwlrqdo YdU
+FYdU, udwkhu wkdq YdU1 Erwk ulvn pdqdjhphqw prghov uhtxluh wkh xvhu wr { d frqghqfh
ohyho dqg dq lqyhvwphqw shulrg1 Zkloh d sruwirolr*v YdU lv wkh pd{lpxp orvv rqh h{shfwv wr
vxhu dw wkdw frqghqfh ohyho e| kroglqj lw ryhu wkh lqyhvwphqw shulrg/ d sruwirolr*v FYdU lv
wkh orvv rqh h{shfwv wr vxhu/ jlyhq wkdw wkh orvv lv htxdo wr ru odujhu wkdq lwv YdU1
Wkh pdlq txhvwlrqv wkdw zh dgguhvv vshflfdoo| lq wklv sdshu duh wkh iroorzlqj= +4, zkdw duh
wkh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp uhjxodwruv ru vhqlru pdqdjhphqw lpsrvlqj d FYdU frqvwudlqw lq
dq djhqw*v sruwirolr0fkrlfh sureohpB +5, krz gr wkhvh lpsolfdwlrqv glhu iurp wkh rqhv dulvlqj
iurp lpsrvlqj d YdU frqvwudlqwB dqg +6, duh wkhuh frqglwlrqv xqghu zklfk d FYdU frqvwudlqw
cgrplqdwhv* d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrroB
Lq vhhnlqj dqvzhuv wr wkhvh txhvwlrqv zh xvh d vlqjoh0shulrg phdq0yduldqfh prgho1 Zh qg
wkdw xqghu fhuwdlq frqglwlrqv/ wkh suhvhqfh ri d FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo fdxvh d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqw wr vhohfw d sruwirolr wkdw kdv d vpdoohu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq wkdq wkh rqh wkdw zrxog kdyh
Iru hpslulfdo h{dplqdwlrq ri wkh ulvn0wdnlqj dfwlylwlhv ri edqnv lq wkh frqwh{w ri wkhlu wudglqj sruwirolrv/ vhh
Ehunrzlw} dqg R*Eulhq +5335,1
5 Fxrfr/ Kh/ dqg Lvvdhqnr +5334, h{dplqh d vlplodu prgho h{fhsw wkdw wkh djhqw pxvw vdwlvi| d YdU frqvwudlqw
dw doo gdwhv udwkhu wkdq rqo| dw wkh lqlwldo gdwh1 Xqghu fhuwdlq frqglwlrqv/ wkh| vkrz wkdw lpsrvlqj vxfk d
frqvwudlqw ohdgv dq djhqw wr vhohfw d vpdoohu h{srvxuh wr ulvn| dvvhwv wkdq kh ru vkh zrxog kdyh fkrvhq lq wkh
devhqfh ri wkh frqvwudlqw1
4
ehhq vhohfwhg lq wkh devhqfh ri wkh frqvwudlqw1 Krzhyhu/ wkhuh duh dovr frqglwlrqv xqghu zklfk
wkh frqvwudlqw fdxvhv d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw wr vhohfw d sruwirolr wkdw kdv d odujhu vwdqgdug
ghyldwlrq1 Vlqfh d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv wljkwhu wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw zkhq wkh FYdU dqg YdU
erxqgv frlqflgh/ wkhvh lpsolfdwlrqv duh dovr wuxh exw wr d ohvvhu h{whqw li d YdU frqvwudlqw
lv lpsrvhg1 Frqvhtxhqwo|/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv pruh hhfwlyh wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d
wrro wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv exw kdv d pruh shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqwv1 Krzhyhu/ wklv shuyhuvh uhvxow zhdnhqv zkhq wkh FYdU erxqg lv odujhu wkdq wkh YdU
erxqg1 Pruhryhu/ li wkh FYdU erxqg lv vhw dw d ohyho wkdw lv odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg vr
wkdw wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw kdv wkh vdph shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv dv wkh YdU
frqvwudlqw/ wkhq wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo uhvxow lq voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv vhohfwlqj sruwirolrv
zlwk vpdoohu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1 Li wkh FYdU
erxqg lv vhw dw dq hyhq odujhu ohyho vr wkdw wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw ghfuhdvhv wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv
ri wkh rswlpdo sruwirolrv ri voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv e| dv pxfk dv wkh YdU frqvwudlqw/ wkhq
wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo uhvxow lq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv vhohfwlqj sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu
vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1 Khqfh/ zkhq wkh FYdU
erxqg lv vhw ehwzhhq wkhvh wzr ohyhov/ vhqlru pdqdjhphqw dqg uhjxodwruv zloo qg wkdw d FYdU
frqvwudlqw cgrplqdwhv* d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrro1
Wklv sdshu lv rujdql}hg dv iroorzv1 Vhfwlrq 5 fkdudfwhul}hv wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| dqg
h!flhqw iurqwlhu xqghu qrupdolw|1 Vhfwlrq 6 lqyhvwljdwhv wkh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj
d FYdU ru YdU frqvwudlqw lq dq djhqw*v sruwirolr0fkrlfh sureohp1 Dqdo|wlfdo h{suhvvlrqv iru wkh
glhuhqfh ehwzhhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv duh surylghg
lq Vhfwlrq 71 Wkh fdvh ri qrq0qrupdolw| lv h{dplqhg lq Vhfwlrq 81 Lq Vhfwlrq 9 dq h{dpsoh
looxvwudwhv wkh lpsolfdwlrqv ri wkh sdshu/ dqg Vhfwlrq : frqfoxghv1 Surriv ri pdlq uhvxowv duh
jlyhq lq wkh Dsshqgl{1
dqg lwv vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq1 Ohw 8 E eh wkh fxpxodwlyh glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq ri o
Il{ dq lqyhvwphqw shulrg dqg d frqghqfh ohyho | 5 E*2c 1 D sruwirolr*v YdU lv wkh
pd{lpxp orvv rqh h{shfwv wr vxhu dw wkdw frqghqfh ohyho e| kroglqj lw ryhu wkh lqyhvwphqw
shulrg17 Irupdoo|/ sruwirolr *v YdU dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho lv T d|c o o 83 E |
D sruwirolr*v FYdU lv wkh orvv rqh h{shfwv wr vxhu/ jlyhq wkdw wkh orvv lv htxdo wr ru odujhu
wkdq lwv YdU e| kroglqj lw ryhu wkh lqyhvwphqw shulrg1 Irupdoo|/ sruwirolr *v FYdU dw wkh
ff|I frqghqfh ohyho lv ud|c o o .io mo T d|c o oj
Zh ehjlq e| dvvxplqj wkdw vhfxulw| udwhv ri uhwxuq kdyh d pxowlyduldwh qrupdo glvwulexwlrq1
Lq sudfwlfh/ wklv lv d srsxodu dvvxpswlrq zkhq frpsxwlqj d sruwirolr*v YdU +vhh/ h1j1/ Kxoo
dqg Zklwh +4<<;/ s1 43,,1 Iru h{dpsoh/ wkh 5333 dqqxdo uhsruw ri Jrogpdq Vdfkv +s1 74,
vd|v wkdw wkh dvvxpswlrq ri qrupdolw| lv xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh YdU ri doo lwv wudglqj srvlwlrqv1
Ixuwkhupruh/ Gx!h dqg Sdq +4<<:/ s1 5<, srlqw rxw wkdw zkloh idw wdlov pd| eh lpsruwdqw
iru h{srvxuh wr d vlqjoh ulvn idfwru/ wkh| pd| eh ohvv fulwlfdo iru d zhoo0glyhuvlhg sruwirolr18
Qhyhuwkhohvv/ zh h{whqg rxu uhvxowv wr wkh fdvh ri qrq0qrupdolw| lq Vhfwlrq 81
Ohw xE eh wkh vwdqgdug qrupdo fxpxodwlyh glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq dqg E wkh vwdqgdug
qrupdo ghqvlw| ixqfwlrq1 Iru dq| frqghqfh ohyho | 5 E*2c / ohw=
5| x3 E |c
wkdw lv/
+4,
]35|
E%_% ' |
+5,
3"
+6,
35
U|
3"
+7,
%E%_%
|
+8,
Vhh Grzg +4<<;,/ Mrulrq +5333,/ Olqvphlhu dqg Shduvrq +5333,/ dqg Kxoo +5336, iru dq lqwurgxfwlrq wr YdU/
Gx!h dqg Sdq +4<<:, iru d uhylhz duwlfoh/ dqg Nlpedoo +5333, dqg wkh Mxo| 5335 lvvxh ri wkh Mrxuqdo ri Edqnlqj
dqg Ilqdqfh iru d glvfxvvlrq ri wkh gl!fxowlhv hqfrxqwhuhg lq lpsohphqwlqj YdU1
8 Dvvxph dq| sruwirolr rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu|= +l, lqfoxghv srvlwlrqv lq d odujh qxpehu ri vhfxulwlhv/ dqg
+ll, lv glyhuvlhg hqrxjk vr wkh Fhqwudo Olplw Wkhruhp +FOW, fdq eh xvhg +vhh/ h1j1/ Gxuuhww +4<<4/ ss1 69<06;8,>
Gx!h dqg Sdq +4<<:/ ss1 5< dqg 79, xvh vlplodu uhdvrqlqj lq d uhodwhg lvvxh,1 Xvlqj wkh FOW/ wkh glvwulexwlrq
ri wkh udwh ri uhwxuq ri dq| sruwirolr rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| lv dssur{lpdwho| qrupdo1 Khqfh/ rxu uhvxowv
dovr krog/ dw ohdvw dv dssur{lpdwlrq/ zkhq lqglylgxdo vhfxulwlhv kdyh vnhzqhvv/ idw wdlov/ ru erwk1
7
Htxdwlrq +8, lpsolhv wkdw &| : 5| Khqfh/ xvlqj htxdwlrqv +6, dqg +7,/ zh kdyh ud|c o o : T d|c o o
Pruhryhu/ lw iroorzv iurp htxdwlrqv +4, wkurxjk +8, wkdw wkhuh lv d frqghqfh ohyho | : | vxfk
wkdw ud|c o o ' T d| c o o iru hyhu| sruwirolr 5 ` +h1j1/ li | ' fb.D/ wkhq | ' fbb,1
5141 Wkh Phdq0FYdU Erxqgdu|
Zh qrz surylgh wkh qrwlrqv ri erxqgdu| dvvrfldwhg zlwk wkh fdvhv ri zkhq FYdU/ YdU/ dqg
yduldqfh duh xvhg dv d phdvxuh ri ulvn1 Iru dq| . 5 U/ ohw ` E. i 5 U? G .do o ' .j1
Ghqlwlrq 41 D sruwirolr 5 ` ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh
ohyho li dqg rqo| li/ iru vrph . 5 Uc vroyhv 6? &| jdo o .do o1
M` E.
Ghqlwlrq 61 D sruwirolr 5 ` ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| li dqg rqo| li/ iru
vrph . 5 Uc vroyhv 6? j 2 do o
M` E.
Wkh vhw ri phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| sruwirolrv grhv qrw ghshqg rq wkh frqghqfh ohyho | dv orqj
dv | : *2c zklfk zh dvvxph1 Khqfh/ zkhq uhihuulqj wr wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| zh rplw wkh
frqghqfh ohyho dw zklfk FYdU lv frpsxwhg1 Qrwh wkdw d sruwirolr ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0FYdU
erxqgdu| li dqg rqo| li lw ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| vlqfh &| : f19
Phuwrq +4<:5, vkrzv wkdw sruwirolr ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| li dqg rqo| li=
j 2 do o E.do o *2
' c
*
(* 2
+9,
Doo vwdwhphqwv ri wklv sdudjudsk dovr krog lq d vlplodu pdqqhu iru wkh phdq0YdU erxqgdu|1
d
(
dEP3 >
(
EP3 o1
Sursrvlwlrq 41 Wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho h{lvwv li dqg rqo|
s
s
li &| : (*1 Ixuwkhupruh/ li &| : (*c wkhq
v
#
$
2
2
( *
jdo6j o
6uE| ' } n .do6j o n
+:,
2
&| (*
dqg
t
2
ud|c o6uE| o '
&| (* jdo6j o .do6j o
+;,
Sursrvlwlrq 4 lpsolhv wkdw rqh pxvw eh fduhixo lq fkrrvlqj wkh frqghqfh ohyho | vr wkdw
plqlpl}lqj FYdU lv dq rewdlqdeoh remhfwlyh1 Iru euhylw|/ zh vd| wkdw wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv=
s
s
s
+l, kljk li 5| : (*/ +ll, prghudwh li 5| (* &| / dqg +lll, orz li &| (*1 Li wkh
8
frqghqfh ohyho lv orz/ wkhq wkh sureohp ri joredoo| plqlpl}lqj FYdU grhv qrw kdyh d vroxwlrq
vlqfh wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| lv qhjdwlyho| vorshg hyhu|zkhuh1
Dvvxplqj lw h{lvwv/ ohw 6T E| 5 ` ghqrwh wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh
ohyho1: Wklv sruwirolr h{lvwv li dqg rqo| li wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv kljk dqg zkhq lw h{lvwv/ lw lv
phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw +vhh Doh{dqghu dqg Edswlvwd +5335,,1 Vlqfh &| : 5| / zkhq wkh plqlpxp
YdU sruwirolr h{lvwv/ wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dovr h{lvwv1 Krzhyhu/ lw lv srvvleoh wkdw wkh
odwwhu h{lvwv exw wkh iruphu grhv qrw1
Fruroodu| 41 +l, Li wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho h{lvwv/ wkhq
.do6uE| o : .do6j o1 +ll, Li wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho h{lvwv/ wkhq
.do6T E| o : .do6uE| o1
Fruroodu| 4 vd|v wkdw zkhq erwk wkh plqlpxp FYdU dqg plqlpxp YdU sruwirolrv h{lvw/
wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr olhv rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu ehwzhhq wkh plqlpxp
yduldqfh dqg plqlpxp YdU sruwirolrv1 Wkh uhdvrq zk| .do6uE| o : .do6j o lv dv iroorzv1 Xvlqj
htxdwlrq +9,/ zh kdyh Yjdo o*Y.do om'6j ' f1 Khqfh/ dq lqfuhdvh lq wkh phdq dv zh pryh
xszdug dorqj wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu dzd| iurp wkh plqlpxp yduldqfh sruwirolr
surgxfhv d uhodwlyho| vpdoo lqfuhdvh lq vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq dqg wkxv d ghfuhdvh lq FYdU1
Wkh uhdvrq zk| .do6T E| o : .do6uE| o lv dv iroorzv1 Vlqfh &| : 5| c zh pd| ghfuhdvh FYdU
wkurxjk d ghfuhdvh lq wkh phdq +dqg/ wkhuhiruh/ lq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq, dv zh pryh grzqzdug
dorqj wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu dzd| iurp wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dqg wrzdug wkh
plqlpxp yduldqfh sruwirolr1
515151 D Fkdudfwhul}dwlrq ri Phdq0FYdU H!flhqf|
Sursrvlwlrq 5 lv d fkdudfwhul}dwlrq ri phdq0FYdU h!flhqf|1
s
(*/ wkhq qr phdq0FYdU h!flhqw sruwirolr h{lvwv dw wkh ff|I
s
frqghqfh ohyho1 +ll, Li &| : (*/ wkhq d sruwirolr lv phdq0FYdU h!flhqw dw wkh ff|I
frqghqfh ohyho li dqg rqo| li lw ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu| dqg .do o .do6uE| o1;
Dkq/ Erxgrxnk/ Ulfkdugvrq/ dqg Zklwhodz +4<<<, h{dplqh wkh sureohp ri plqlpl}lqj wkh YdU ri d vwrfn
sruwirolr zlwk sxw rswlrqv zkhq wkhuh lv d uhvwulfwlrq rq wkh dprxqw vshqw rq vxfk rswlrqv1
; Lw fdq eh vkrzq wkdw H^up
` % 4 dqg wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu frqyhujhv wr wkh hpsw| vhw dv
O+w,
s
nw & G@F1 Pruhryhu/ H^upO+w, ` & H^up ` dqg wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu frqyhujhv wr wkh phdq0yduldqfh
h!flhqw iurqwlhu dv nw % 41 Vlplodu uhvxowv krog iru wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr zkhq nw lv uhsodfhg e| }w +vhh
Doh{dqghu dqg Edswlvwd +5335,,1 Khqfh/ wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu frqyhujhv wr wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhu dv w $ 4=
:
Sursrvlwlrq 5 lqglfdwhv wkdw wkhuh lv d frqghqfh ohyho | vxfk wkdw wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhu dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho lv hpsw| iru dq| | | 1 Ixuwkhupruh/ sruwirolrv zlwk
uhodwlyho| vpdoo vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv duh qrw phdq0FYdU h!flhqw1 Wklv uhvxow lv frqvlvwhqw zlwk
uhfhqw hpslulfdo hylghqfh surylghg e| Djduzdo dqg Qdln +5336, zkr/ xvlqj khgjh ixqg gdwd/
dovr qg wkdw sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoo vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv kdyh uhodwlyho| odujh FYdU1
Fruroodulhv 5 dqg 6 duh lpphgldwh iurp Fruroodu| 4 dqg +ll, lq Sursrvlwlrq 51
Fruroodu| 51 Wkh plqlpxp yduldqfh sruwirolr lv phdq0FYdU lqh!flhqw dw dq| frqghqfh ohyho
|
Fruroodu| 61 Li wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho h{lvwv/ wkhq lw lv
phdq0FYdU h!flhqw dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho1
Fruroodu| 7 frpsduhv wkh phdq0FYdU/ phdq0YdU/ dqg phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhuv1
s
Fruroodu| 71 +l, Li &| (*/ wkhq wkh phdq0FYdU dqg phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhuv duh
s
hpsw|1 +ll, Li 5| (* &| / wkhq wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv d qrq0hpsw| surshu
vxevhw ri wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu exw wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv hpsw|1 +lll,
s
Li 5| : (*/ wkhq d sruwirolr ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu li dqg rqo| li lw
ehorqjv wr wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu dqg .do o .do6T E| o/ l1h1/ wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhu lv d qrq0hpsw| surshu vxevhw ri wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu1
Zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz/ xvlqj hlwkhu FYdU ru YdU uhvxowv lq dq hpsw| h!flhqw
iurqwlhu1 Zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv prghudwh/ wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv qrq0hpsw|
exw wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv hpsw|1 Ilqdoo|/ zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv kljk/ xvlqj
hlwkhu FYdU ru YdU uhvxowv lq d qrq0hpsw| h!flhqw iurqwlhu exw wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu
lv odujhu wkdq wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu1
<
+<,
zkhuh u 5 U lv wkh FYdU erxqg1 Frqvwudlqw +<, ghshqgv rq wzr sdudphwhuv wkh frqghqfh
ohyho | dqg wkh FYdU erxqg u1 Htxdwlrq +7, lpsolhv wkdw wklv frqvwudlqw lv htxlydohqw wr=
.do o &| jdo o u
+43,
Xvlqj lqhtxdolw| +43,/ wkh vhw ri sruwirolrv vdwlvi|lqj d FYdU frqvwudlqw frqvlvwv ri doo sruwirolrv
wkdw olh rq ru deryh d olqh zlwk lqwhufhsw u dqg vorsh &| lq phdq0vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq vsdfh
Wkh lqwhufhsw ri wklv olqh lqfuhdvhv li wkh FYdU erxqg ghfuhdvhv/ dqg lwv vorsh lqfuhdvhv li wkh
frqghqfh ohyho lqfuhdvhv1 Lq hlwkhu fdvh/ wkh frqvwudlqw fdq eh wkrxjkw ri dv ehlqj cwljkwhqhg1*
6151 Wkh YdU Frqvwudlqw
Frqvlghu wkh YdU frqvwudlqw=
T d|c o o Tc
+44,
zkhuh T 5 U lv wkh YdU erxqg1 Xvlqj htxdwlrq +6,/ frqvwudlqw +44, lv htxlydohqw wr=
.do o 5| jdo o T
+45,
Il{ d frqghqfh ohyho | iru erwk wkh FYdU dqg YdU frqvwudlqwv dqg vxssrvh wkdw wkh FYdU dqg
YdU erxqgv frlqflgh +l1h1/ u ' T ,1 Vlqfh &| : 5| c htxdwlrqv +43, dqg +45, lpso| wkdw d YdU
frqvwudlqw +grwwhg olqh lq Iljxuh 4+d,, lv vlplodu wr d FYdU frqvwudlqw +gdvkhg olqh lq Iljxuh
4+d,, h{fhsw wkdw lw kdv d vpdoohu vorsh dqg khqfh lv ohvv uhvwulfwlyh1 Wkhuhiruh/ lq rughu iru
wkh frqvwudlqwv wr eh htxlydohqw +l1h1/ wr kdyh wkh vdph lpsdfw rq wkh vhw ri sruwirolrv dydlodeoh
wr dq djhqw,/ wkh| pxvw xvh wkh vdph erxqg exw glhuhqw frqghqfh ohyhov1 Pruhryhu/ jlyhq d
frqghqfh ohyho | fkrvhq iru wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw/ wkhuh lv d xqltxh frqghqfh ohyho | : | fkrvhq
iru wkh YdU frqvwudlqw vr wkdw wkh frqvwudlqwv duh htxlydohqw +h1j1/ li | ' fb.D/ wkhq | ' fbb,1
Zh qrz surfhhg wr frpsduh wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d FYdU
frqvwudlqw zlwk wkh rqhv uhvxowlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d YdU frqvwudlqw1 Sdqho +d, ri Wdeoh 4 vxppd0
ul}hv wkh uhvxowv1 Lq doo jxuhv/ wkh FYdU +YdU, frqvwudlqw lv uhsuhvhqwhg e| d gdvkhg +grwwhg,
olqh1 Wkh fdvh zkhq u ' T lv h{dplqhg qh{w1 Wkh fdvh zkhq u : T lv glvfxvvhg diwhuzdugv1
6161 Orz Frqghqfh Ohyho
Iluvw/ dvvxph wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz1
;
43
sruwirolr1 Krzhyhu/ li wkh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv ehwzhhq r dqg o/ wkhq rqo| wkh
FYdU frqvwudlqw elqgv/ uhvxowlqj lq wkh djhqw vhohfwlqj o1
618151 Voljkwo| Ulvn0Dyhuvh Djhqw
Frqvlghu d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Vxssrvh wkdw wkh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv
ehwzhhq ? dqg J lq Iljxuh 6+d, dqg wkxv grhv qrw vdwlvi| wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw exw grhv vdwlvi|
wkh YdU frqvwudlqw1 Li wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq ? zloo eh fkrvhq1 Khqfh/ rqo| wkh
FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo ghfuhdvh wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr1 Frqvhtxhqwo|/
wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh
YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1 D vlplodu uhvxow fdq eh vhhq lq Iljxuhv 6+e, dqg 6+f,1
Vxssrvh qrz wkdw wkh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv deryh J lq Iljxuh 6+d, dqg wkxv
grhv qrw vdwlvi| hlwkhu wkh FYdU ru YdU frqvwudlqw1 Li wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq ?
zloo eh fkrvhq/ exw li wkh YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq J zloo eh fkrvhq1 Khqfh/ wkh vwdqgdug
ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr1 Djdlq/ d vlplodu uhvxow fdq eh vhhq lq Iljxuhv 6+e, dqg 6+f,1
6191 FYdU Erxqg Odujhu Wkdq YdU Erxqg
Dv phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ iru d {hg frqghqfh ohyho/ d YdU frqvwudlqw lv ohvv uhvwulfwlyh wkdq d
FYdU frqvwudlqw li u ' T 1 Wkhuhiruh/ lw lv qdwxudo wr dovr frqvlghu wkh fdvh zkhq u : T 144 Zkhq
frpsduhg zlwk wkh fdvh zkhq u ' T / wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv ri kdylqj u : T fdq
eh vhhq judsklfdoo| zlwk d +sdudooho, grzqzdug vkliw ri wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lq phdq0vwdqgdug
ghyldwlrq vsdfh1 Wklv vkliw uhgxfhv wkh uhvwulfwlyhqhvv ri wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw1 Dq h{dpsoh lv
vkrzq lq Iljxuh 7+d,1 Wkh nh| wr wkh frpsdudwlyh dqdo|vlv lv qrwlqj zkhuh wkh olqhv uhsuhvhqwlqj
wkh frqvwudlqwv lqwhuvhfw uhodwlyh wr wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu|1
619141 Kljko| Ulvn0Dyhuvh Djhqw
Frqvlghu d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Sdqho +d, ri Iljxuhv 4/ 5/ dqg 6 vkrzv wkdw d grzqzdug
vkliw ri wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh vhw ri FYdU0frqvwudlqhg h!flhqw sruwirolrv
wkdw duh ri lqwhuhvw wr wkh djhqw1 Khqfh/ iru odujh T wkhuh lv qr lpsdfw ri kdylqj u : T
Lq frqwudvw/ sdqho +e, ri wkrvh jxuhv vkrzv wkdw zkhq u : Tc d FYdU frqvwudlqw pd| eh
ohvv uhvwulfwlyh iru wkh djhqw wkdq zkhq u ' T 1 Li u ud|c o6j o/ wkhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri
wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr pd| eh odujhu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo
sruwirolr exw vpdoohu wkdq zkhq u ' T 1 Li u ud|c o6j o/ wkhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri wkh
FYdU dqg YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv frlqflgh dv qhlwkhu frqvwudlqw lv elqglqj1
44 Li
O ? Y> wkhq wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv pruh uhvwulfwlyh wkdq wkh YdU frqvwudlqw iru dq| djhqw1
44
Pruhryhu/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw pd| eh hyhq ohvv uhvwulfwlyh wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw1 Iru h{dp0
soh/ frqvlghu dq djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv ehwzhhq 6j dqg s lq Iljxuh
4+f, Li wkh FYdU erxqg lv odujhu wkdq wkh FYdU ri s / wkhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0
frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1 D
vlplodu uhvxow fdq eh vhhq lq sdqho +f, ri Iljxuhv 5 dqg 6 li wkh FYdU erxqgv duh odujhu wkdq
wkh FYdU ri , dqg rc uhvshfwlyho|1
Lq vxp/ e| kdylqj u : T / wkh shuyhuvh hhfw ri d FYdU frqvwudlqw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqwv lv dw ohdvw sduwldoo| plwljdwhg1
619151 Voljkwo| Ulvn0Dyhuvh Djhqw
Frqvlghu d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Iljxuh 4 vkrzv wkdw zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz/
d grzqzdug vkliw ri wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh vhw ri FYdU0frqvwudlqhg h!flhqw
sruwirolrv wkdw duh ri lqwhuhvw wr wkh djhqw1
Iljxuh 5 vkrzv wkdw wklv lv qrw wuxh li wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv prghudwh1 Zkhq u : Tc d FYdU
frqvwudlqw lv ohvv uhvwulfwlyh wkdq zkhq u ' T 1 Frqvhtxhqwo|/ wkh ghfuhdvh lq wkh vwdqgdug
ghyldwlrq ri wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d FYdU frqvwudlqw zkhq u : T lv
vpdoohu wkdq zkhq u ' T 1 Qhyhuwkhohvv/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv vwloo pruh uhvwulfwlyh wkdq d YdU
frqvwudlqw1 Khqfh/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr zloo eh
vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr hyhq li u : Tc surylghg wkdw wkh
FYdU frqvwudlqw lv elqglqj1
Iljxuh 6+d, looxvwudwhv wkdw zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv kljk/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv ohvv
+pruh, uhvwulfwlyh wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw li wkh FYdU erxqg lv juhdwhu +ohvv, wkdq wkh FYdU
ri J 1 Vlplodu uhvxowv fdq eh vhhq lq Iljxuhv 6+e, dqg 6+f, zlwk wkh wkuhvkrogv iru wkh FYdU
erxqgv jlyhq e| wkh FYdU ri ^ dqg r c uhvshfwlyho|1 Khqfh/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh
FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr pd| eh vpdoohu wkdq/ htxdo wr/ ru odujhu wkdq wkdw ri wkh
YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1
61:1 Vxppdu| ri Lpsolfdwlrqv
Sdqhov +e, dqg +f, ri Wdeoh 4 vxppdul}h wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv ri d FYdU ru
YdU frqvwudlqw zkhq wkh FYdU dqg YdU erxqgv frlqflgh1 Lq vxp/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq
ri wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr pd| eh odujhu/ vpdoohu/ ru uhpdlq xqfkdqjhg li hlwkhu frqvwudlqw lv
lpsrvhg1 Pruhryhu/ wkhuh lv qr vlqjoh FYdU ru YdU frqvwudlqw wkdw ohdgv doo djhqwv +zlwk
ydulrxv ghjuhhv ri ulvn dyhuvlrq, wr vhohfw sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh
ri wkhlu xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv1
45
Sdqho +d, ri Wdeoh 5 lqglfdwhv zklfk frqvwudlqw uhvxowv lq wkh vpdoohvw vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq
iru wkh rswlpdo frqvwudlqhg sruwirolr zkhq wkh FYdU dqg YdU erxqgv frlqflgh1 Vlqfh d FYdU
frqvwudlqw lv wljkwhu wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw iru d jlyhq frqghqfh ohyho/ wkh iruphu lv pruh
hhfwlyh wkdq wkh odwwhu dv d wrro wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv1 Krzhyhu/ lw kdv d
shuyhuvh hhfw lq wkdw lw pd| irufh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv wr vhohfw sruwirolrv zlwk odujhu
vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv145 Zkloh wklv uhvxow lv dovr wuxh zlwk wkh xvh ri YdU dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw
wrro/ lw lv hyhq pruh shuyhuvh dqg pruh olnho| wr rffxu zlwk FYdU1 Khqfh/ wkh ehqhwv ri xvlqj
FYdU lqvwhdg ri YdU frph dw d sulfh zkhq wkh FYdU dqg YdU erxqgv frlqflgh1
Zkhq wkh FYdU erxqg lv odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg/ wkh diruhphqwlrqhg shuyhuvh uhvxow
zhdnhqv146 Ixuwkhupruh/ Iljxuh 7+e, looxvwudwhv dq h{dpsoh ri d FYdU frqvwudlqw wkdw uhvxowv
lq erwk kljko| dqg voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv vhohfwlqj sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu vwdqgdug ghyl0
dwlrqv wkdq wkrvh zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg147 Pruh jhqhudoo|/ dv zh vkrz odwhu/ d
FYdU frqvwudlqw cgrplqdwhv* d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrro li wkh FYdU erxqg
lv dssursuldwho| odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg1
wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr pd| kdyh d odujhu FYdU wkdq wkh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo
sruwirolr dw dq| frqghqfh ohyho wkdw lv odujhu +vd| <<(, wkdq wkh ohyho xvhg iru wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw +vd| <8(,1
46 Zkhq wkhuh lv d ulvniuhh vhfxulw|/ qhlwkhu frqvwudlqw kdv d shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv/ exw wkh
FYdU frqvwudlqw lv pruh hhfwlyh wkdq wkh YdU frqvwudlqw wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv1 Ohlerzlw} dqg
Nrjhopdq +4<<4, surylgh d qrq0whfkqlfdo dqdo|vlv ri d YdU frqvwudlqw lq wkh sureohp ri d sruwirolr pdqdjhu
uhjduglqj krz pxfk wr lqyhvw lq dq htxlw| sruwirolr dqg d ulvniuhh vhfxulw|1 Prwlydwlrq iru wkh dvvxpswlrq ri
devhqfh ri d ulvniuhh vhfxulw| fdq eh irxqg lq Eodfn +4<:5,1 Vlqfh rxu uhvxowv krog li udwhv ri uhwxuq duh h{suhvvhg lq
uhdo whupv udwkhu wkdq lq qrplqdo whupv/ rxu dvvxpswlrq lv dovr prwlydwhg e| wkh idfw wkdw lq sudfwlfh qr vhfxulw|
kdv d vkruw0whup ulvniuhh uhdo udwh ri uhwxuq +Wuhdvxu| Lq dwlrq0Lqgh{hg Vhfxulwlhv kdyh orqj0whup pdwxulwlhv dqg
khqfh gr qrw surylgh d vkruw0whup ulvniuhh uhdo udwh ri uhwxuq gxh wr sulfh ulvn> Ider}}l +5334/ s1 64;, qrwhv wkdw
vrph sudfwlwlrqhuv lpsohphqw wkh phdq0yduldqfh prgho xvlqj uhdo uhwxuqv,1 Ilqdoo|/ wkh dvvxpswlrq lv mxvwlhg
lq wkh frqwh{w ri wkh Edvoh Fdslwdo Dffrug/ zklfk/ dv phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ uhtxluhv X1V1 edqnv wr xvh YdU wr
ghwhuplqh wkh plqlpxp fdslwdo wr vxssruw wkhlu wudglqj sruwirolrv1 Wklv sruwirolr grhv qrw frqwdlq d ulvniuhh
vhfxulw| vlqfh lw frqvlvwv ri srvlwlrqv lq qdqfldo lqvwuxphqwv dftxluhg zlwk wkh lqwhqw wr uhvhoo lq rughu wr surw
iurp vkruw0whup sulfh ru udwh pryhphqwv +vhh Ihghudo Uhjlvwhu +4<<9/ s1 7:695,,1
47 Lq frqwudvw/ iru d jlyhq frqghqfh ohyho/ qr FYdU frqvwudlqw h{lvwv wkdw ohdgv erwk w|shv ri djhqwv wr vhohfw
sruwirolrv zlwk odujhu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh wkdw zrxog eh vhohfwhg zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1
46
d FYdU frqvwudlqw elqgv zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz1 Lwv vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq lv=
t
2
2
ju ' 2
&| Eu n * (* 2 Eu n * E&| (*
&| (*
+46,
Wkh jxuh dovr vkrzv wkdw wkhuh lv d xqltxh sruwirolr rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| dw zklfk
d YdU frqvwudlqw elqgv1 Lwv vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq lv=
t
2
2
2
jT ' 2
5| ET n * (* ET n * E5| (*
5| (*
+47,
Wkh uhodwlyh glhuhqfh ehwzhhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv iru
d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv Ej u *jT c jlyhq wkdw j T lv xvhg dv d irfdo srlqw1
7151 Prghudwh Frqghqfh Ohyho
Iljxuh 5 looxvwudwhv wkdw wkhuh duh wzr sruwirolrv rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| dw zklfk d
FYdU frqvwudlqw elqgv zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv prghudwh1 Wkhlu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv duh=
t
2
2
2
ju ' 2
+48,
&| Eu n * n (* Eu n * E&| (* c
&| (*
t
2
2
2
&| Eu n * (* Eu n * E&| (*
+49,
ju ' 2
&| (*
Krzhyhu/ wkh jxuh vkrzv wkdw wkhuh lv d xqltxh sruwirolr rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| dw
zklfk d YdU frqvwudlqw elqgv1 Lwv vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq lv jlyhq e| htxdwlrq +47,1 Wkh uhodwlyh
glhuhqfh ehwzhhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv iru d kljko|
ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv Ej u *jT c jlyhq wkdw j T lv xvhg dv d irfdo srlqw1
7161 Kljk Frqghqfh Ohyho
Iljxuh 6 looxvwudwhv wkdw wkhuh duh wzr sruwirolrv rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| dw zklfk d
FYdU frqvwudlqw elqgv zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv kljk1 Wkhlu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv duh jlyhq e|
htxdwlrqv +48, dqg +49,1 Wkh jxuh dovr vkrzv wkdw wkhuh duh wzr sruwirolrv rq wkh phdq0yduldqfh
erxqgdu| dw zklfk d YdU frqvwudlqw elqgv1 Wkhlu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv duh=
t
2
2
2
jT ' 2
5| ET n * n (* ET n * E5| (* c
5| (*
t
2
2
5| ET n * (* 2 ET n * E5| (*
jT ' 2
5| (*
+4:,
+4;,
Wkh uhodwlyh glhuhqfh ehwzhhq wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv
iru d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv Ej u *jT Wklv glhuhqfh iru d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv
Ej u *j T 48 Lq wkhvh wzr fdvhv/ j T dqg j T duh xvhg dv wkh uhvshfwlyh irfdo srlqwv1
48 Htxdwlrqv
+46, wkurxjk +4;, duh dovr xvhixo zkhq rqo| rqh ri wkh frqvwudlqwv elqgv1 Iru h{dpsoh/ zkhq wkh
frqghqfh ohyho lv kljk dqg rqo| wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw elqgv/ wklv glhuhqfh iru d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw fdq
eh rewdlqhg e| frpsdulqj O zlwk wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1
47
+4<,
Iljxuh 7+f, looxvwudwhv wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d FYdU frq0
vwudlqw zlwk FYdU erxqg u1 Iluvw/ frqvlghu d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv ehwzhhq 6j dqg + dqg wkxv grhv qrw vdwlvi| hlwkhu wkh FYdU ru YdU
frqvwudlqw1 Qrwh wkdw + zloo eh fkrvhq li hlwkhu frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1
Vhfrqg/ frqvlghu d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv eh0
wzhhq + dqg 5 +li lw zdv ehwzhhq + dqg + c wkhq qhlwkhu frqvwudlqw zrxog dhfw wkh rswlpdo
sruwirolr,1 Li wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq + zloo eh fkrvhq1 Krzhyhu/ li wkh YdU
frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr zloo qrw fkdqjh1 Khqfh/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq
ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo
sruwirolr1
Ilqdoo|/ frqvlghu d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv deryh
51 Li wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq + zloo eh fkrvhq/ exw li wkh YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/
wkhq 5 zloo eh fkrvhq1 Zkloh hlwkhu frqvwudlqw zloo ghfuhdvh wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh rswlpdo
sruwirolr/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw
ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr14:
s
G@F + 5Y 4@F,=
rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv/
exw wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv vwloo pruh hhfwlyh wkdq wkh YdU frqvwudlqw wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv1
49 Vlploduo|/ zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz ru prghudwh/ zh kdyh O@ nw Y D@F
4: Li Y @ Y ^w> up `/ wkhq O @ O^w> up `1 Wkxv/ qhlwkhu frqvwudlqw kdv d shuyhuvh hhfw
48
+53,
Iljxuh 7+d, looxvwudwhv wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d FYdU frq0
vwudlqw zlwk FYdU erxqg u1 Iluvw/ frqvlghu d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv ehwzhhq 6j dqg 1 Li wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq wkh rswlpdo
sruwirolr zloo qrw fkdqjh1 Krzhyhu/ li wkh YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg/ wkhq zloo eh fkrvhq1
Khqfh/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw
ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1
Vhfrqg/ frqvlghu d voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr olhv deryh
+li lw zdv ehwzhhq dqg / wkhq qhlwkhu frqvwudlqw zrxog dhfw wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr,1 Qrwh
wkdw wklv sruwirolr grhv qrw vdwlvi| hlwkhu wkh FYdU ru YdU frqvwudlqw1 Khqfh/ zloo eh fkrvhq
li hlwkhu frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1
717161 Vxppdu|
Sdqho +e, ri Wdeoh 5 lqglfdwhv zklfk frqvwudlqw uhvxowv lq wkh vpdoohvw vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq
iru dq djhqw*v frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr zkhq wkh FYdU erxqg lv dssursuldwho| odujhu wkdq
wkh YdU erxqg vr wkdw T u u u4; Lq prvw fdvhv wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0
frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv vpdoohu wkdq wkdw ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr1
Zkdw lv wkh srolf| lpsolfdwlrq ri wklv uhvxowB Dvvxph vhqlru pdqdjhphqw ru uhjxodwruv lpsrvh
d YdU frqvwudlqw zkloh uhfrjql}lqj wkh iroorzlqj wudgh0r= +l, vhwwlqj d vpdoo YdU erxqg lv
hhfwlyh lq frqwuroolqj voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv exw kdv d shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqwv/ dqg +ll, vhwwlqj d odujh YdU erxqg grhv qrw kdyh d shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqwv exw lv qrw sduwlfxoduo| hhfwlyh wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv1 Khqfh/ vxssrvh wkdw
wkh| vhw wkh YdU erxqg wr eh htxdo wr dq lqwhuphgldwh ydoxh1 Zh kdyh vkrzq wkdw wkhuh lv d
FYdU frqvwudlqw wkdw cgrplqdwhv* wklv YdU frqvwudlqw lq wkh vhqvh wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv
4; Dv
phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ zkhq wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv orz ru prghudwh/ d YdU frqvwudlqw lv qhyhu elqglqj iru d
voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Khqfh/ wkh dssursuldwh FYdU erxqg fdq eh fkrvhq xvlqj wkh lghd ri Vxevhfwlrq 717141
49
ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv ri erwk kljko| dqg voljkwo|0ulvn dyhuvh djhqwv zloo eh
vpdoohu wkdq wkrvh ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv1 Wkhuhiruh/ vhqlru pdqdjhphqw
dqg uhjxodwruv zloo qg wkdw d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv d pruh hhfwlyh ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrro wkdq
d YdU frqvwudlqw zkhq wkh FYdU erxqg lv dssursuldwho| odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg14<
81 Qrq0Qrupdolw|
Mrulrq +4<<9/ s1 83, qrwhv wkdw zlwk odujh sruwirolrv/ vxfk dv wudglqj sruwirolrv ri frpphufldo
edqnv/ 111 wkh lvvxh lv rqh ri idwqhvv lq wdlov/ qrw dv|pphwu|1 Iru wkdw uhdvrq/ zh h{whqg rxu
uhvxowv wr wkh fdvh zkhq vhfxulw| udwhv ri uhwxuq kdyh d pxowlyduldwh w0glvwulexwlrq/ ghqrwhg e|
? E>c lc c zkhuh > 5 U? lv wkh yhfwru ri h{shfwhg udwhv ri uhwxuq/ l lv wkh E? ? vfdoh pdwul{/
dqg : 2 lv wkh qxpehu ri ghjuhhv ri iuhhgrp153 Wkh yduldqfh0fryduldqfh pdwul{ ri wkh udwhv
ri uhwxuq lv P d*E 2ol1 Iru dq| sruwirolr 5 `c zh kdyh o E >c lc 1
Ohw x E eh wkh fxpxodwlyh glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq dqg E eh wkh ghqvlw| ixqfwlrq ri d
udqgrp yduldeoh zlwk d w0glvwulexwlrq zlwk > ' fc l ' / dqg : 2 ghjuhhv ri iuhhgrp1 Iru
dq| frqghqfh ohyho | 5 E*2c c ohw=
5| E x3
E |c
wkdw lv/
+54,
35
]| E
E%_% ' |
+55,
3"
+56,
35U| E
3"
% E%_%
|
4< Dv
+57,
+58,
phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ Duw}qhu/ Ghoedhq/ Hehu/ dqg Khdwk +4<<<, vkrz wkdw YdU lv qrw d frkhuhqw phdvxuh ri
ulvn vlqfh lw idlov wr vdwlvi| wkh vxedgglwlylw| surshuw| iru fhuwdlq suredelolw| glvwulexwlrqv1 Iru wkdw uhdvrq/ wkh|
sursrvh wkh xvh ri FYdU/ zklfk lv d frkhuhqw phdvxuh ri ulvn1 Krzhyhu/ xqghu wkh frpprqo| xvhg qrupdolw|
dvvxpswlrq YdU lv d frkhuhqw phdvxuh ri ulvn1 Wkh srlqw ri rxu sdshu lv wkdw FYdU lv d ehwwhu ulvn pdqdjhphqw
wrro wkdq YdU hyhq zkhq YdU lv d frkhuhqw phdvxuh ri ulvn1
53 Eodwwehuj dqg Jrqhghv +4<:7, dovr suhvhqw hylghqfh lq idyru ri wkh w0glvwulexwlrq dv d prgho iru vhfxulw| udwhv ri
uhwxuq1 Iru duelwudu| suhihuhqfhv ryhu zhdowk/ phdq0yduldqfh suhihuhqfhv fdq eh prwlydwhg zlwk wkh dvvxpswlrq
wkdw vhfxulw| udwhv ri uhwxuq kdyh d pxowlyduldwh w0glvwulexwlrq> vhh/ h1j1/ Lqjhuvroo +4<;:/ s1 437,1
4:
Khqfh/ rxu suhylrxv uhvxowv vwloo krog li vhfxulw| udwhv ri uhwxuq kdyh d pxowlyduldwh w0glvwulexwlrq/
dqg T d|c o c o/ 5| EdE 2*o*2 c ud|c o c oc dqg &| EdE 2*o*2 duh xvhg lqvwhdg ri T d|c o o/
5| / ud|c o o/ dqg &| / uhvshfwlyho|1 Iru h{dpsoh/ Sursrvlwlrq 4 fkdudfwhul}hv wkh plqlpxp FYdU
sruwirolr li &| EdE 2*o*2 lv xvhg lqvwhdg ri &| 154
91 H{dpsoh
Wkh iroorzlqj h{dpsoh looxvwudwhv wkdw rxu wkhruhwlfdo uhvxowv duh sodxvleoh lq sudfwlfdo ds0
solfdwlrqv1 Wkh h{dpsoh frqvlvwv ri vroylqj dq djhqw*v sureohp ri qglqj krz wr doorfdwh klv
ru khu zhdowk dprqj whq dvvhw fodvvhv= yh lqyroyh X1V1 vhfxulwlhv +odujh vwrfnv/ vpdoo vwrfnv/
frusrudwh erqgv/ Wuhdvxu| erqgv/ dqg uhdo hvwdwh lqyhvwphqw wuxvwv +UHLWv,,/ dqg yh lqyroyh
iruhljq vhfxulwlhv +vwrfnv lq Fdqdgd/ X1N1/ Jhupdq|/ Vzlw}huodqg/ dqg hphujlqj pdunhwv,155
Wkh iroorzlqj lqglfhv duh xvhg wr phdvxuh wkh udwhv ri uhwxuq rq wkhvh dvvhw fodvvhv= wkh V)S
833 lqgh{ +odujh vwrfnv,/ wkh Uxvvhoo 5333 lqgh{ +vpdoo vwrfnv,/ wkh Phuuloo O|qfk X1V1 frusrudwh
dqg Wuhdvxu| erqg lqglfhv/ wkh lqgh{ iru doo sxeolfo| wudghg UHLWv surylghg e| wkh Qdwlrqdo
Dvvrfldwlrq ri Uhdo Hvwdwh Lqyhvwphqw Wuxvwv/ dqg wkh Prujdq Vwdqoh| Fdslwdo Lqwhuqdwlrqdo
+PVFL, lqglfhv iru Fdqdgd/ X1N1/ Jhupdq|/ Vzlw}huodqg/ dqg hphujlqj pdunhwv156 Vdpsoh uh0
wxuq phdqv/ yduldqfhv/ dqg fryduldqfhv wkdw duh dvvrfldwhg zlwk wkh lqglfhv zhuh frpsxwhg xvlqj
dqqxdo gdwd iru wkh shulrg 4<;:05334 dqg wkhq xvhg dv rswlpl}dwlrq lqsxwv157
9141 H!flhqw Iurqwlhuv
Zlwk wkh diruhphqwlrqhg lqsxwv/
s
(* ' DD Vlqfh 5fbb ' &fHeH ' DD/ Fruroodu|
7 lpsolhv wkh iroorzlqj1 Iluvw/ li | fHeH/ wkhq wkh phdq0FYdU dqg phdq0YdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhuv duh hpsw|1 Vhfrqg/ li fHeH | fbb/ wkhq wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv
d qrq0hpsw| surshu vxevhw ri wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu/ exw wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhu lv hpsw|1 Ilqdoo|/ li | : fbb/ wkhq wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv d qrq0hpsw|
surshu vxevhw ri wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw iurqwlhu/ dqg wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv d
qrq0hpsw| surshu vxevhw ri wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu1
Wkurxjkrxw wkh uhvw ri wklv vhfwlrq zh dvvxph wkdw wkh frqghqfh ohyho lv bbI1 Wkh plqlpxp
54 Qrwh
wkdw gxh wr idw wdlov wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr lv forvhu wr wkh plqlpxp yduldqfh sruwirolr wkdq zkhq
vhfxulw| udwhv ri uhwxuq kdyh d pxowlyduldwh qrupdo glvwulexwlrq1
55 Wklv lv d frpprq xvh ri wkh phdq0yduldqfh prgho dv qrwhg e|/ h1j1/ Vkdush +4<;:,/ Vroqln +4<<4,/ Eodfn dqg
Olwwhupdq +4<<5,/ dqg pruh uhfhqwo|/ Plfkdxg +4<<;,1 Iru d sudfwlfdo h{dpsoh/ vhh wkh zhevlwh ri Uxvvhoo2Phoorq
Dqdo|wlfdo Vhuylfhv +kwws=22zzz1uxvvhoophoorq1frp2surgxfwv2ghvnwrswrrov2dwp2DWP1sgi,1
56 Zh lqfoxgh glylghqgv lq wkh frpsxwdwlrq ri wkh udwhv ri uhwxuq iru wkh vwrfn dqg UHLWv lqglfhv1 Wkh Phuuloo
O|qfk X1V1 frusrudwh erqg dqg Wuhdvxu| erqg lqglfhv lqfoxgh erqgv zlwk pdwxulw| htxdo wr ru juhdwhu wkdq rqh
|hdu1 Wkh PVFL hphujlqj pdunhwv lqgh{ lqfoxghv vwrfnv wkdw duh wudghg lq 59 frxqwulhv1
57 Plfkdxg +4<<;/ s1 45, qrwhv wkdw wklv lv vrphwlphv grqh lq sudfwlfdo dssolfdwlrqv1 Iru vlpsolflw|/ zh gr qrw
pdnh dq dgmxvwphqw iru hvwlpdwlrq ulvn +vhh/ h1j1/ Plfkdxg +4<<;,,1
4;
yduldqfh/ plqlpxp FYdU/ dqg plqlpxp YdU sruwirolrv duh fkdudfwhul}hg e|=
.do6j o ' 2b.I/ jdo6j o ' .HI/
+59,
+5:,
+5;,
Sursrvlwlrq 5/ Fruroodu| 7/ dqg htxdwlrqv +59,/ +5:,/ dqg +5;, lpso| wkh iroorzlqj1 Iluvw/ dq|
phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw sruwirolr zlwk 2b.I .do o .SI lv qhlwkhu phdq0FYdU qru
phdq0YdU h!flhqw1 Vhfrqg/ dq| phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw sruwirolr zlwk .SI .do o
H2fI lv phdq0FYdU h!flhqw exw qrw phdq0YdU h!flhqw1 Ilqdoo|/ dq| phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw
sruwirolr zlwk .do o H2fI lv erwk phdq0FYdU dqg phdq0YdU h!flhqw1
9151 Sruwirolr0Fkrlfh Lpsolfdwlrqv ri d FYdU ru YdU Frqvwudlqw
Zh qrz looxvwudwh wkh sruwirolr0fkrlfh lpsolfdwlrqv ri wkh frqvwudlqwv zkhq u ' T 1 Xvlqj
htxdwlrqv +59,/ +5:,/ dqg +5;,/ wkh erxqg u lv= +l, vpdoo li udfbbc o6uEfbb o ' D2I u
DH2I ' T dfbbc o6j o/ +ll, prghudwh li T dfbbc o6j o ' DH2I u .I ' udfbbc o6j o/ dqg
+lll, odujh li u udfbbc o6j o ' .I1 Khqfh/ zh xvh wkh ydoxhv D2DI/ SI/ dqg HI dv h{dpsohv
ri/ uhvshfwlyho|/ vpdoo/ prghudwh/ dqg odujh erxqgv1
915141 Kljko| Ulvn0Dyhuvh Djhqw
Frqvlghu d kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkrvh xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr kdv dq h{shfwhg
udwh ri uhwxuq uhodwlyho| forvh wr .do6j o ' 2b.I/ vd| .do o ' 2DI1 Vlqfh jdo o ' .bI/
htxdwlrqv +6, dqg +7, lpso| wkdw T dfbbc o o ' DDSI dqg udfbbc o o ' SHeI1 Iluvw/ dvvxph
wkh erxqg lv odujh/ l1h1/ u ' HI1 Vlqfh u : udfbbc o o : T dfbbc o oc lpsrvlqj hlwkhu wkh
FYdU ru YdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr1
Vhfrqg/ dvvxph wkh erxqg lv prghudwh/ l1h1/ u ' SI1 Qrwh wkdw u udfbbc o o1 Vlqfh
htxdwlrq +49, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr
lv HbI/ lwv uhodwlyh lqfuhdvh lv 2SI d' EHb .b*.bo1 Krzhyhu/ u : T dfbbc o o/ vr
lpsrvlqj wkh YdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr1
Ilqdoo|/ dvvxph wkh erxqg lv vpdoo/ l1h1/ u ' D2DI1
udfbbc o o1 Vlqfh htxdwlrq +49, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr lv ee.I/ lwv uhodwlyh lqfuhdvh lv .bSI d' Eee. .b*.bo1 Vlploduo|/ vlqfh
htxdwlrq +4;, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv
HfI/ lwv uhodwlyh lqfuhdvh lv rqo| feDI d' EHf .b*.bo1
4<
udfbbc or o1 Vlqfh htxdwlrq +48, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr lv eHDI/ lwv uhodwlyh ghfuhdvh lv e.bI d' Eb22 eHD*b22o1 Vlploduo|/
htxdwlrq +4:, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv
HbfI/ iru d uhodwlyh ghfuhdvh ri rqo| DeI d' Eb22 Hbf*b22o1
9161 Lpsohphqwlqj wkh FYdU Frqvwudlqw
Vxssrvh qrz wkdw htxdwlrqv +4<, dqg +53, duh xvhg wr qg wkh FYdU erxqg zkhq T '
D2DI Zh frqvlghu +l, wkh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkr/ dv phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ kdg dq xqfrq0
vwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr zlwk .do o ' 2DI/ jdo o ' .bI/ T dfbbc o o ' DDSI/ dqg
udfbbc o o ' SHeI/ dqg +ll, wkh voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw zkr/ djdlq dv phqwlrqhg hduolhu/ kdg
dq xqfrqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr r zlwk .dor o ' SI/ jdor o ' b22I/ T dfbbc or o ' DeDIc
dqg udfbbc or o ' HDHI1
Iluvw/ xvlqj htxdwlrq +4<,/ zh kdyh u' SDeI vr wkdw wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv
frlqflgh iru wkh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw/ exw qrw iru wkh voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Vlqfh htxdwlrq
+48, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr ri wkh voljkwo|
ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv Sb.I/ lwv uhodwlyh ghfuhdvh lv 2eSI d' Eb22 Sb.*b22o1 Krzhyhu/ wkh
vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh djhqw*v YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr lv HbfI/ iru d uhodwlyh
ghfuhdvh ri rqo| DeI1
Vhfrqg/ xvlqj htxdwlrq +53,/ zh kdyh u ' H2SI vr wkdw wkh frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolrv
frlqflgh iru wkh voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw/ exw qrw iru wkh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Vlqfh u :
53
udfbbc o oc lpsrvlqj wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr ri wkh kljko|
ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw1 Krzhyhu/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh djhqw*v YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo
sruwirolr lv HfI/ iru d uhodwlyh lqfuhdvh ri feDI1
Ilqdoo|/ dvvxph SDeI ' u u u ' H2SI/ vd| u ' .efI Vlqfh u : udfbbc o o/
lpsrvlqj wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw grhv qrw fkdqjh wkh rswlpdo sruwirolr ri wkh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh
djhqw/ exw wkh YdU0frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr kdv d vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri HfI/ iru d uhodwlyh
lqfuhdvh ri feDI1 Jlyhq wkdw htxdwlrq +48, lpsolhv wkdw wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh FYdU0
frqvwudlqhg rswlpdo sruwirolr ri wkh voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqw lv .b.I/ lwv uhodwlyh ghfuhdvh lv
DHI d' Eb22 .b.*b22o1 Krzhyhu/ wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq ri wkh djhqw*v YdU0frqvwudlqhg
rswlpdo sruwirolr lv HbfI/ iru d uhodwlyh ghfuhdvh ri rqo| DeI1 Khqfh/ wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw
uhvxowv lq sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv iru erwk w|shv ri djhqwv1
:1 Frqfoxvlrq
Lq wklv sdshu/ zh dqdo|}h wkh lpsolfdwlrqv dulvlqj iurp lpsrvlqj d FYdU frqvwudlqw lq dq
djhqw*v sruwirolr vhohfwlrq sureohp/ dqg frpsduh wkhp zlwk wkrvh dulvlqj iurp wkh lpsrvlwlrq
ri d YdU frqvwudlqw1 Iru d jlyhq frqghqfh ohyho/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv wljkwhu wkdq d YdU
frqvwudlqw li wkh FYdU dqg YdU erxqgv frlqflgh1 Khqfh/ d FYdU frqvwudlqw lv pruh hhfwlyh
wkdq d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d wrro wr frqwuro voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv/ exw kdv d shuyhuvh hhfw lq
wkdw lw pd| irufh kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv wr vhohfw sruwirolrv zlwk odujhu vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv1
Zkloh wklv lv dovr wuxh zlwk wkh xvh ri YdU dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrro/ lw lv hyhq pruh shuyhuvh
dqg pruh olnho| zlwk FYdU1 Wkhuhiruh/ wkh ehqhwv ri xvlqj FYdU lqvwhdg ri YdU frph dw d
sulfh zkhq wkh FYdU dqg YdU erxqgv frlqflgh1
Zkhq wkh FYdU erxqg lv odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg/ wklv shuyhuvh uhvxow zhdnhqv1 Pruhryhu/
li wkh FYdU erxqg lv vhw dw d ohyho wkdw lv odujhu wkdq wkh YdU erxqg vr wkdw wkh FYdU
frqvwudlqw kdv wkh vdph shuyhuvh hhfw rq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv dv wkh YdU frqvwudlqw/ wkhq
wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo uhvxow lq voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv vhohfwlqj sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu
vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1 Li wkh FYdU erxqg lv
vhw dw dq hyhq odujhu ohyho vr wkdw wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw ghfuhdvhv wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv ri
wkh rswlpdo sruwirolrv ri voljkwo| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv e| dv pxfk dv wkh YdU frqvwudlqw/ wkhq
wkh FYdU frqvwudlqw zloo uhvxow lq kljko| ulvn0dyhuvh djhqwv vhohfwlqj sruwirolrv zlwk vpdoohu
vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv wkdq wkrvh zkhq d YdU frqvwudlqw lv lpsrvhg1 Khqfh/ zkhq wkh FYdU
erxqg lv vhw ehwzhhq wkhvh wzr ohyhov/ vhqlru pdqdjhphqw dqg uhjxodwruv zloo qg wkdw d FYdU
frqvwudlqw cgrplqdwhv* d YdU frqvwudlqw dv d ulvn pdqdjhphqw wrro1
54
Uhihuhqfhv
Djduzdo/ Y1/ Qdln/ Q1\1/ 53361 Ulvnv dqg Sruwirolr Ghflvlrqv Lqyroylqj Khgjh Ixqgv/ Uhylhz ri
Ilqdqfldo Vwxglhv/ iruwkfrplqj1
Doh{dqghu/ J1M1/ Edswlvwd/ D1P1/ 53351 Hfrqrplf Lpsolfdwlrqv ri Xvlqj d Phdq0YdU Prgho
iru Sruwirolr Vhohfwlrq= D Frpsdulvrq zlwk Phdq0Yduldqfh Dqdo|vlv1 Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplf
G|qdplfv dqg Frqwuro 59/ 448<044<61
Dkq/ G10K1/ Erxgrxnk/ M1/ Ulfkdugvrq/ P1/ Zklwhodz/ U1I1/ 4<<<1 Rswlpdo Ulvn Pdqdjhphqw
Xvlqj Rswlrqv1 Mrxuqdo ri Ilqdqfh 87/ 68<06:81
Duw}qhu/ S1/ Ghoedhq/ I1/ Hehu/ M10P1/ Khdwk/ G1/ 4<<<1 Frkhuhqw Phdvxuhv ri Ulvn1 Pdwkhpdw0
lfdo Ilqdqfh </ 536055;1
Edvdn/ V1/ Vkdslur/ D1/ 53341 Ydoxh0dw0Ulvn0Edvhg Ulvn Pdqdjhphqw= Rswlpdo Srolflhv dqg
Dvvhw Sulfhv1 Uhylhz ri Ilqdqfldo Vwxglhv 47/ 6:407381
Ehunrzlw}/ M1/ R*Eulhq/ M1/ 53351 Krz Dffxudwh Duh Ydoxh0dw0Ulvn Prghov dw Frpphufldo EdqnvB
Mrxuqdo ri Ilqdqfh 8:/ 43<6044441
Eodfn/ I1/ 4<:51 Fdslwdo Pdunhw Htxloleulxp zlwk Uhvwulfwhg Eruurzlqj1 Mrxuqdo ri Exvlqhvv
78/ 77707881
Eodfn/ I1/ Olwwhupdq/ U1E1/ 4<<51 Joredo Sruwirolr Rswlpl}dwlrq1 Ilqdqfldo Dqdo|vwv Mrxuqdo
7;/ 5;0761
Eodwwehuj/ U1F1/ Jrqhghv/ Q1M1/ 4<:71 D Frpsdulvrq ri wkh Vwdeoh dqg Vwxghqw Glvwulexwlrqv
dv Vwdwlvwlfdo Prghov iru Vwrfn Sulfhv1 Mrxuqdo ri Exvlqhvv 7:/ 57705;31
Fkdqfh/ G1P1/ 53341 Dq Lqwurgxfwlrq wr Ghulydwlyhv dqg Ulvn Pdqdjhphqw/ Iruw Zruwk/ W[=
Kdufrxuw1
Fxrfr/ G1/ Kh/ K1/ Lvvdhqnr/ V1/ 53341 Rswlpdo G|qdplf Wudglqj Vwudwhjlhv zlwk Ulvn Olplwv1
zrunlqj sdshu/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Shqqv|oydqld1/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Shqqv|oydqld1
Grzg/ N1/ 4<<;1 Eh|rqg Ydoxh dw Ulvn= Wkh Qhz Vflhqfh ri Ulvn Pdqdjhphqw1 Mrkq Zloh| )
Vrqv/ Fklfkhvwhu/ Hqjodqg1
55
Gx!h/ G1/ Sdq/ M1/ 4<<:1 Dq Ryhuylhz ri Ydoxh dw Ulvn1 Mrxuqdo ri Ghulydwlyhv 7/ :07<1
Gxuuhww/ U1/ 4<<41 Suredelolw|= Wkhru| dqg H{dpsohv1 Zdgvzruwk/ Qhz \run1
Ihghudo Uhjlvwhu/ 4<<91 Uxohv dqg Uhjxodwlrqv1 Yro1 94/ Qr1 4:7/ 7:68:07:6:;1
Kxdqj/ F1/ Olw}hqehujhu/ U1K1/ 4<;;1 Irxqgdwlrqv iru Ilqdqfldo Hfrqrplfv1 Suhqwlfh0Kdoo/
Hqjohzrrg Folv/ QM1
Kxoo/ M1F1/ 53361 Rswlrqv/ Ixwxuhv/ ) Rwkhu Ghulydwlyhv1 Suhqwlfh0Kdoo/ Xsshu Vdggoh Ulyhu/
QM1
Kxoo/ M1F1/ Zklwh/ D1/ 4<<;1 Ydoxh0dw0Ulvn Zkhq Gdlo| Fkdqjhv lq Pdunhw Yduldeohv Duh Qrw
Qrupdoo| Glvwulexwhg1 Mrxuqdo ri Ghulydwlyhv 8/ <04<1
Lqjhuvroo/ M1/ 4<;:1 Wkhru| ri Ilqdqfldo Ghflvlrq Pdnlqj1 Urzpdq dqg Olwwohhog/ Wrwrzd/ QM1
Mrulrq/ S1/ 4<<91 Ulvn2 = Phdvxulqj wkh Ulvn lq Ydoxh dw Ulvn1 Ilqdqfldo Dqdo|vwv Mrxuqdo 85/
7:0891
Mrulrq/ S1/ 53331 Ydoxh dw Ulvn= Wkh Qhz Ehqfkpdun iru Frqwuroolqj Pdunhw Ulvn1 PfJudz0Kloo/
Qhz \run1
Nlpedoo/ U1F1/ 53331 Idloxuhv lq Ulvn Pdqdjhphqw1 Qhz Hqjodqg Hfrqrplf Uhylhz1 60451
Ohlerzlw}/ P1O1/ Nrjhopdq/ V1/ 4<<41 Dvvhw Doorfdwlrq xqghu Vkruwidoo Frqvwudlqwv1 Mrxuqdo ri
Sruwirolr Pdqdjhphqw 4:/ 4;0561
Olqvphlhu/ W1M1/ Shduvrq/ Q1G1/ 53331 Ydoxh dw Ulvn1 Ilqdqfldo Dqdo|vwv Mrxuqdo 89/ 7:09:1
Phuwrq/ U1F1/ 4<:51 Dq Dqdo|wlf Ghulydwlrq ri Wkh H!flhqw Sruwirolr Iurqwlhu1 Mrxuqdo ri
Ilqdqfldo dqg Txdqwlwdwlyh Dqdo|vlv :/ 4;8404;:51
Plfkdxg/ U1R1/ 4<<;1 H!flhqw Dvvhw Doorfdwlrq= D Sudfwlfdo Jxlgh wr Vwrfn Sruwirolr Rswl0
pl}dwlrq dqg Dvvhw Doorfdwlrq/ Kduydug Exvlqhvv Vfkrro Suhvv/ Ervwrq1
Vkdush/ Z1I1/ 4<;:1 Dvvhw Doorfdwlrq Wrrov/ Wkh Vflhqwlf Suhvv/ Uhgzrrg Flw|/ Fdoliruqld1
Vroqln/ E1K1/ 4<<41 Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Lqyhvwphqwv/ Dgglvrq0Zhvoh| Sxeolvklqj Frpsdq|/ Uhdglqj/
Pdvvdfkxvhwwv1
56
Dsshqgl{
Surri ri Sursrvlwlrq 41 Iluvw/ zh vkrz wkdw &| :
s
(* lv d qhfhvvdu| dqg vx!flhqw frqglwlrq
iru wkh h{lvwhqfh ri wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho1 Htxdwlrq +9,
lpsolhv wkdw iru dq| phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw sruwirolr / zh kdyh
.do o ' * n
s
E(*Ej 2 do o *
+5<,
Lw lv zhoo nqrzq +vhh/ h1j1/ Kxdqj dqg Olw}hqehujhu +4<;;/ ss1 9909:,, wkdw
s
.do6j o ' * dqg jdo6j o ' *
+63,
Khqfh/ xvlqj Ohppd 4 dqg htxdwlrqv +7, dqg +5<,/ zh fdq vroyh
4?
I
k
l
s
&| j * n E(* Ej 2 *
+64,
jMd* c"
+65,
s
s
j (*
$ 4
Fohduo|/ j ' * grhv qrw vroyh plqlpl}dwlrq sureohp +64, vlqfh &| s 2
j 3*
s
dv j $ * Xvlqj htxdwlrq +65,/ d qhfhvvdu| frqglwlrq iru jdo6uE| o wr vroyh plqlpl}dwlrq
sureohp +64, lv
s
jdo6uE| o (*
' f
+66,
&| t
j 2 do6uE| o *
t
s
Vlpsoli|lqj htxdwlrq +66,/ zh rewdlq &| j 2 do6uE| o * ' jdo6uE| o (* dqg/ wkhuhiruh/
t
jdo6uE| o ' &|2 *E&|2 (
+67,
s
(* lv d qhfhvvdu|
frqglwlrq iru wkh h{lvwhqfh ri wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho1
s
Zh qrz vkrz wkdw &| : (* lv d vx!flhqw frqglwlrq iru wkh h{lvwhqfh ri wkh plqlpxp
FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho1 Htxdwlrq +65, lpsolhv wkdw
q
k
lr
s
s
2
2
Y &| j * n E(*Ej *
s
* (*
'
:
fc
;j
5
E*
c 4
Yj2
Ej 2 **2
+68,
Wkh ghvluhg uhvxow iroorzv iurp wkh idfw wkdw htxdwlrq +68, lpsolhv wkdw zh duh plqlpl}lqj d
frqyh{ ixqfwlrq lq +64,1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh uvw sduw ri rxu surri1
57
Vhfrqg/ zh vkrz wkdw htxdwlrq +:, krogv1 Htxdwlrqv +5<,/ +63,/ dqg +67, lpso| wkdw
v
(
&|2
n
.do6uE| o '
&|2 (
v
(2 * 2
jdo6j o
' .do6j o n
&|2 (*
+69,
Htxdwlrq +:, iroorzv iurp htxdwlrq +69, dqg wkh idfw wkdw iru dq| . 5 U wkhuh lv d xqltxh
phdq0yduldqfh erxqgdu| sruwirolr . } n . zlwk h{shfwhg udwh ri uhwxuq . +vhh Kxdqj dqg
Olw}hqehujhu +4<;;/ ss1 97098,,1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh vhfrqg sduw ri rxu surri1
Wklug/ zh vkrz wkdw htxdwlrq +;, krogv1 Xvlqj htxdwlrqv +7,/ +67,/ dqg +69,/ zh kdyh
v
v
&|2
(2 * 2
o
ud|c o6uE| o ' &|
.do
jdo6j o
6j
&|2 (
&|2 (*
t
&|2 (*jdo6j o .do6j oc
+6:,
'
zklfk frpsohwhv wkh wklug sduw ri rxu surri1
Surri ri Fruroodu| 41 Iluvw/ zh vkrz +l,1 Dvvxph wkh plqlpxp FYdU sruwirolr dw wkh
s
frqghqfh ohyho | h{lvwv1 Xvlqj Sursrvlwlrq 4/ zh kdyh &| :
(* Lw iroorzv iurp
htxdwlrq +69, wkdw .do6uE| o : .do6j o1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh uvw sduw ri rxu surri1
Vhfrqg/ zh vkrz +ll,1 Dvvxph wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dw wkh frqghqfh ohyho |
s
h{lvwv1 Vlqfh &| : 5| : (*/ zh kdyh .do6T E| o : .do6uE| o1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh vhfrqg sduw
ri rxu surri1
Surri ri Sursrvlwlrq 51 Iluvw/ zh vkrz +l,1 Dvvxph &|
s
(* Ohw eh dq duelwudulo|
n
jdo o '
(*
+6;,
Yud|c o o
' &| t
Y.do o
n
E.do o3*2
(*
+6<,
Xvlqj htxdwlrq +6<,/ zh kdyh Yud|c o o*Y.do o f/ l1h1/ wkh vorsh ri wkh phdq0FYdU erxqgdu|
lv hyhu|zkhuh qhjdwlyh1 Khqfh/ iru dq| sruwirolr 5 `c wkhuh lv d sruwirolr 5 ` vxfk wkdw
.do o : .do o dqg ud|c o o ud|c o o1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh uvw sduw ri rxu surri1
58
s
(* Lw lv hqrxjk wr vkrz wkdw Y 2 ud|c o o*Y.do o2 : f
&| *(
n
E.do o3*2
(*
l*2 : fc
+73,
wkh plqlpxp YdU sruwirolr dw wkh ff|I frqghqfh ohyho grhv qrw h{lvw1 Khqfh/ erwk wkh
phdq0FYdU dqg phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhuv duh hpsw|1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh uvw sduw ri rxu
surri1
Vhfrqg/ zh vkrz +ll,1 Dvvxph 5|
s
(* &| Sursrvlwlrq 4 lpsolhv wkdw wkh phdq0FYdU
h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv qrq0hpsw|1 Qrwh wkdw YT d|c o o*Y.do o f/ l1h1/ wkh vorsh ri wkh phdq0YdU
erxqgdu| lv hyhu|zkhuh qhjdwlyh1 Khqfh/ iru dq| sruwirolr 5 `c wkhuh lv d sruwirolr 5 `
vxfk wkdw .do o : .do o dqg T d|c o o T d|c o o1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh vhfrqg sduw ri rxu surri1
s
Wklug/ zh vkrz +lll,1 Dvvxph 5| : (*1 Xvlqj Sursrvlwlrq 4/ wkh phdq0FYdU h!flhqw
iurqwlhu lv qrq0hpsw|1 Wkh phdq0YdU h!flhqw iurqwlhu lv dovr qrq0hpsw|1 Wkh ghvluhg uhvxow
iroorzv iurp wkh idfw wkdw .do6T E| o : .do6uE| o1 Wklv frpsohwhv wkh wklug sduw ri rxu surri1
Surri wkdw htxdwlrqv +46, wkurxjk +4;, krog1 Zh vkrz wkdw htxdwlrq +46, krogv1 Xvlqj
s
htxdwlrqv +7, dqg +5<,/ zh qhhg wr qg j vxfk wkdw &| j * E(*Ej 2 * ' uc
ru htxlydohqwo|/ wr vroyh wkh txdgudwlf htxdwlrq @j2 n Kj n S ' fc zkhuh @ &|2 (*c
K 2&| Eu n * c S Eu n *2 n (* 2 Khqfh/
t
2
2
2
&| Eu n * (* d Eu n * E&| (*o
j' 2
&| (*
+74,
Vlqfh &|2 (* f dqg j : fc htxdwlrq +74, lpsolhv wkh ghvluhg uhvxow1 Wkh surriv wkdw
htxdwlrqv +47, wkurxjk +4;, krog duh vlplodu dqg wkhuhiruh rplwwhg1
Surri wkdw htxdwlrqv +4<, dqg +53, krog1 Zh vkrz wkdw htxdwlrq +4<, krogv1 Ohw T ghqrwh
wkh phdq0yduldqfh h!flhqw sruwirolr zlwk wkh vpdoohvw h{shfwhg udwh ri uhwxuq dw zklfk wkh YdU
s
frqvwudlqw elqgv1 Lw iroorzv iurp htxdwlrq +5<, wkdw .doT o ' * n (* Ej 2T * Khqfh/
s
li u ' &| j T * (* Ej 2T *c wkhq ud|c oT o ' uc wkh ghvluhg uhvxow1 Wkh surri wkdw
htxdwlrq +53, krogv lv vlplodu dqg wkhuhiruh rplwwhg1
59
Table 1
Impact of a CVaR or VaR constraint within a mean-variance model on portfolio efficiency and selectiona
(a) Mean-variance efficient portfolios that are precluded by the presence of a CVaR or VaR constraintb
Bound L=V
Confidence level t
Constraint
Large
Moderate
Low
CVaR
none
small
VaR
none
none
Moderate
CVaR
large
small and large
VaR
none
none
High
CVaR
large
small and large
VaR
large
large
Small
small
small
small and large
small
small and large
small and large
27
(b) Impact of a CVaR constraint on the standard deviation of an agents optimal portfolioc
Bound L
Confidence level t
Agent
Large
Moderate
Low
Highly risk-averse
no effect
increase
Slightly risk-averse
no effect
no effect
Moderate
Highly risk-averse
no effect
increase
or High
Slightly risk-averse
decrease
decrease
Small
increase
no effect
increase
decrease
(c) Impact of a VaR constraint on the standard deviation of an agents optimal portfoliod
Bound V
Confidence level t
Agent
Large
Moderate
Low or
Highly risk-averse
no effect
no effect
Moderate
Slightly risk-averse
no effect
no effect
High
Highly risk-averse
no effect
no effect
Slightly risk-averse
decrease
decrease
Small
increase
no effect
increase
decrease
The confidence level is: (i) high if z t > D C , (ii) moderate if z t D C <k t , and (iii) low if k t D C . The bound is: (i) large if L = V L[t ,r m ],
The entries in the cells show the characteristics of the portfolios that are precluded.
The impact is measured relative to the agents optimal portfolio in the absence of the CVaR constraint.
d
The impact is measured relative to the agents optimal portfolio in the absence of the VaR constraint.
c
Table 2
Constraint that results in the smallest standard deviation for the constrained optimal portfolioa
(a) CVaR and VaR bounds coincide
Confidence level t
Low
Moderate or
High
Agent
Highly risk-averse
Slightly risk-averse
Highly risk-averse
Slightly risk-averse
Large
both
both
both
CVaR
Bound L
Moderate
VaR
both
VaR
CVaR
Small
VaR
both
VaR
CVaR
Maximum
NA
NA
NA
NA
CVaR
both
Bound L
Intermediate
CVaR
both
CVaR
CVaR
CVaR
CVaR
Minimum
both
both
both
CVaR
both
CVaR
28
Moderate
High
a
Agent
Highly risk-averse
Slightly risk-averse
Highly risk-averse
Slightly risk-averse
Highly risk-averse
Slightly risk-averse
high if z t > D C , (ii) moderate if z t D C <k t , and (iii) low if k t D C . The bound is: (i) large if
The CVaR bound is determined by equations (19) and (20), i.e., L L L . NA means does not apply.
Figure 1
Effect of the CVaR and VaR constraints in the efficient frontier when the confidence level is low
The dashed (dotted) line represents the CVaR (VaR) constraint. (a) When the bound is large, all efficient portfolios satisfy both constraints. (b) When the bound
is moderate, efficient portfolios with small standard deviations do not satisfy the CVaR constraint but satisfy the VaR constraint. (c) When the bound is small,
efficient portfolios with small standard deviations do not satisfy either constraint. Moreover, the CVaR constraint precludes more efficient portfolios with small
zt
a
b
c
m
d
kt
29
e
f
m
-V=-L
-V=-L
-V=-L
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Figure 2
Effect of the CVaR and VaR constraints in the efficient frontier when the confidence level is moderate
The dashed (dotted) line represents the CVaR (VaR) constraint. (a) When the bound is large, efficient portfolios with small standard deviations satisfy both
constraints. Moreover, efficient portfolios with large standard deviations do not satisfy the CVaR constraint but satisfy the VaR constraint. (b) When the bound
is moderate, efficient portfolios with both small and large standard deviations do not satisfy the CVaR constraint but satisfy the VaR constraint. (c) When the
bound is small, efficient portfolios with small and large standard deviations do not satisfy the CVaR constraint. The VaR constraint only precludes efficient
mL(t)
m g
h
-V=-L
mL(t)
i
m
j
30
k
mL(t)
k
l
-V=-L
-V=-L
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Figure 3
Effect of the CVaR and VaR constraints in the efficient frontier when the confidence level is high
The dashed (dotted) line represents the CVaR (VaR) constraint. (a) When the bound is large, efficient portfolios with large standard deviations do not satisfy
either constraint. Moreover, the CVaR constraint precludes more efficient portfolios with large standard deviations than the VaR constraint. (b) When the
bound is moderate, efficient portfolios with small and large standard deviations do not satisfy the CVaR constraint. The VaR constraint only precludes efficient
portfolios with large standard deviations. (c) When the bound is small, efficient portfolios with small and large standard deviations do not satisfy either
constraint. Moreover, the CVaR constraint precludes more efficient portfolios with both small and large standard deviations than the VaR constraint.
n
mL(t)
m
n
q
p
mL(t)
p
m
q
31
r
mL(t)
r
s
m
-V=-L
-V=-L
-V=-L
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Figure 4
Effect of the CVaR and VaR constraints in the efficient frontier when the CVaR bound is larger than the VaR bound
The dashed (dotted) line represents the CVaR (VaR) constraint. (a) When the CVaR bound is equal to a large threshold value, the constraints preclude the same
efficient portfolios with large standard deviations. However, the VaR constraint precludes more efficient portfolios with small standard deviations than the
CVaR constraint. (b) When the CVaR bound is equal to an intermediate value, the CVaR constraint precludes more (less) efficient portfolios with large (small)
standard deviations than the VaR constraint. (c) When the CVaR bound is equal to a small threshold value, the constraints preclude the same efficient portfolios
32
t
mL(t)
t
u
m v
-V
mL(t)
x
m
z
y
mL(t)
y
m
-V
-L
-V
-L
-L
with small standard deviations. However, the CVaR constraint precludes more efficient portfolios with large standard deviations than the VaR constraint.
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation